10 Things to Know About Rural Hospitals

Published: Apr 16, 2025

The financial health of rural hospitals has been an ongoing concern for some policymakers. More recently, these concerns have been amplified in the context of the concurrent budget resolution that passed the House and Senate in April 2025, with instructions for the House to reduce federal Medicaid spending by up to $880 billion or more over the next decade. The financial challenges of rural and other financially vulnerable hospitals have also been raised in the context of proposals to achieve Medicare savings through site-neutral payment reforms, which would align Medicare payment rates for a given outpatient service across different sites of care. Strains on hospital finances could have implications for both access to care as well as local economies, including in rural areas. Hospitals are the sixth largest employer nationally when comparing industry subsectors. As policymakers consider reductions in Medicaid and Medicare spending, some are considering options to support rural and safety-net hospitals.

In light of these policy discussions, this brief presents ten things to know about rural hospitals, using data from Medicare cost reports, the American Hospital Association (AHA) Survey Database, and other sources (see Methods for more details). Rural hospitals are defined as those in nonmetropolitan areas (and urban hospitals as those in metropolitan areas), in line with a definition used by the Medicare Payment and Advisory Commission (MedPAC), though there are several ways of defining “rural” (see Methods). The federal government also includes nonmetropolitan in its definition of “rural” for certain Medicare rural payment designations. Rural areas are further broken out in this brief into those that are adjacent to metropolitan areas and those that are not. Rural counties that are not adjacent to metropolitan areas are referred to as the “most rural” areas. The analyses focus on community hospitals or non-federal general short-term hospitals that comprise the majority of all hospitals, unless stated otherwise. (See Methods for additional information about the definition of rural and the analytic sample.)

Although rural hospitals more frequently have negative operating margins than urban hospitals, more than half had positive operating margins in 2023 (the most recent year of data available), and nearly one fifth (19%) had margins of at least 10%. Rural hospitals in states that have not adopted the Affordable Care Act (ACA) Medicaid expansion were more likely to have negative margins than rural hospitals in expansion states. Among rural hospitals, negative margins were more common among those in the most rural areas, while positive margins were more common among those that had more beds, higher occupancy, were affiliated with a health system, and were not government-owned in 2023.

1. Rural hospitals account for about one third of all community hospitals nationwide and at least a third of all hospitals in most states

About one third (35%) of all community hospitals were in rural areas in 2023 (Figure 1), or 1,796 rural community hospitals. Rural hospitals accounted for only 8% of all discharges nationwide, in part because they tend to be smaller and serve less densely populated areas, contributing to lower volumes than urban hospitals. Forty-six million people lived in rural areas in 2023 as it is defined in this issue brief, most of whom (88%) resided in a county with a hospital.

Rural hospitals operate in nearly every state (48) and account for at least a third of hospitals in most (31) states. In 17 states, rural hospitals accounted for at least half of all hospitals, including states in the Northwest, South, Midwest, and West. Rural hospitals accounted for at least 70% of hospitals in seven states, five of which border each other in the Great Plains: Montana, Nebraska, South Dakota, North Dakota, and Wyoming.

Over two fifths (44%) of rural hospitals were in areas that are not adjacent to metropolitan areas. These hospitals represented 3% of all hospital discharges and operated in 43 states. Fifteen million people lived in rural areas not adjacent to a metro area in 2023 compared to 31 million in rural adjacent areas.

Rural hospitals provide varying types of inpatient and outpatient services. For example, about half of rural hospitals provide obstetrics care (53%), intensive medical and surgical care (50%), and care through a certified trauma center (52%). In 2023, Medicare began to offer a new rural emergency hospital (REH) designation, which provides support to hospitals that operate 24/7 emergency departments but do not provide inpatient care, recognizing that some regions cannot support a broader suite of services.

Rural hospitals tend to have fewer beds, are less likely to be part of a broader health system, are less likely to have for-profit ownership, and are more likely to be government-owned than urban hospitals according to prior KFF analysis, and they are also more likely to have low inpatient occupancy rates. For example, as might be expected, a larger share of rural hospitals (50%) than urban hospitals (14%) have 25 or fewer beds. One third of rural hospitals are owned by a state or local government versus 10% of urban hospitals. About half of all rural hospitals are part of a broader health system, as compared to more than three quarters of all urban hospitals (52% versus 78%). Consolidation may allow providers to operate more efficiently and help struggling providers keep their doors open in underserved areas, but it could also reduce competition—which may lead to higher prices and lower quality—and make hospitals less responsive to their local communities.

Rural Hospitals Account for 35% of All Community Hospitals Nationwide and at Least a Third of All Hospitals in Most States

2. Medicare covered a larger share of hospital discharges in rural than urban areas in 2023, while private insurance covered a smaller share and Medicaid covered a similar share

Medicare covered a larger share of discharges in rural versus urban areas (53% versus 45%) while Medicaid covered a similar share (19% versus 21%) and private insurance (not including Medicare and Medicaid plans) covered a smaller share (19% versus 24%). Private insurers generally reimburse at higher rates than Medicare and Medicaid.

With Medicaid covering about one fifth of discharges in rural areas, any substantial reduction in Medicaid spending could have a large impact on rural hospital finances, particularly given the lower margins of rural hospitals. In addition to providing primary coverage for many patients, Medicaid also provides secondary coverage for many beneficiaries who are dually enrolled in Medicare.

Medicare Covered a Larger Share of Hospital Discharges in Rural Than Urban Areas in 2023, While Private Insurance Covered a Smaller Share and Medicaid Covered a Similar Share

3. Medicaid covered nearly half of all births in rural areas, the vast majority of which were in hospitals, in 2023

Medicaid covered 1.5 million births in 2023—representing 41% of all U.S. births—and financed nearly half (47%) of births in rural areas (Figure 3). Births are the most common reason for a hospital inpatient stay. The vast majority (96%) of births in rural areas occurred in a hospital in 2023 according to KFF analysis of CDC data.

Decreases in Medicaid spending could accelerate the closure of obstetrics service lines in rural hospitals, in addition to affecting the availability of services at rural hospitals more generally. From 2010 to 2022, 238 rural hospitals closed obstetrics units while only 26 hospitals opened new units. Low Medicaid reimbursement rates and difficulty recruiting and retaining providers were cited as the biggest challenges to providing obstetrics care in rural areas, according to the Government Accountability Office.

Medicaid Covered Nearly Half of All Births in Rural Areas, the Vast Majority of Which Were in Hospitals, in 2023

4. A larger share of rural than urban hospitals had negative margins in 2023, though more than half of all rural hospitals had positive margins

Despite the government support that most rural hospitals receive, a larger share of rural hospitals had negative operating margins than did urban hospitals in 2023 (44% versus 35%) (Figure 4). A larger share of rural hospitals in areas that were not adjacent to a metropolitan area (i.e., that were in the most rural areas) had negative margins than did rural hospitals in areas adjacent to a metropolitan area (49% versus 40%). Operating margins reflect profit margins earned on patient care and other operating activities, rather than profits earned on other sources, such as investments.

At the same time, more than half (56%) of all rural hospitals had positive operating margins. Further, while about one sixth (15%) of all rural hospitals had margins less than -10%, about one fifth (19%) had margins greater than 10% (data not shown). In other words, financial conditions as measured by operating margins varied substantially across rural hospitals.

Rural hospitals may face financial and operational challenges for a number of reasons. For example, rural hospitals tend to have low patient volumes, stemming from low and declining populations in rural areas and rural patients bypassing local hospitals for treatment at urban facilities. Low patient volumes may lead to higher costs on average—e.g., to the extent that the fixed costs of operating a hospital, such as building upkeep and maintaining a minimum number of administrative and clinical staff, are spread across fewer patients—and limit the ability of rural hospitals to offer specialized services. Many rural areas also have a particularly hard time attracting and retaining health care workers.  Both urban and rural hospitals have encountered financial challenges since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, including rising labor and supply costs, although there are signs that hospital finances have been recovering.

A Larger Share of Rural Than Urban Hospitals Had Negative Margins in 2023, Though More Than Half of All Rural Hospitals Had Positive Margins

5. Among rural hospitals, positive margins were more common among those that had more beds, higher occupancy, were affiliated with a health system, and were not government-owned in 2023.

Large, high occupancy, system-affiliated, and non-government rural hospitals were more likely than other rural hospitals to have positive margins. While 56% of rural hospitals overall had positive margins, the share was larger among hospitals with at least 200 beds (73%), with occupancy rates of at least 75% (70%), and that were affiliated with a broader system (63%). For-profit and nonprofit rural hospitals also more frequently had positive margins (62% and 61% respectively) than rural hospitals overall.

While 44% of rural hospitals overall had negative margins, about half of rural hospitals that had 26-99 beds (52%) and were not affiliated with a broader health system (51%) had negative margins. The likelihood of having negative margins tended to decrease with lower occupancy rates and fewer beds, except that hospitals with 25 or fewer beds were less likely to have negative margins than average. That may reflect the fact that this group mostly includes critical access hospitals, which receive additional government support.

More than half of non-federal, government-owned hospitals (54%)—which make up a third of rural community hospitals—had negative margins. Most government-owned hospitals in rural areas included in this analysis are operated by a county or hospital district.

Among Rural Hospitals, Positive Margins Were More Common Among Those That Had More Beds, Higher Occupancy, Were Affiliated With a Health System, and Were Not Government-Owned in 2023

6. The ACA Medicaid expansion has helped improve hospital finances, and may especially benefit rural hospitals

State Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act has had financial benefits for hospitals according to several studies. The financial impact of Medicaid expansion for at least certain measures may be most evident among rural hospitals, small hospitals, and hospitals that see a higher proportion of low-income patients, based on some of this research.

Half (50%) of rural hospitals in states that had not adopted the ACA Medicaid expansion as of the beginning of 2023 had negative margins in that year, compared to four tenths (41%) of rural hospitals in expansion states. Differences were larger among hospitals in the most rural areas (i.e. in rural areas not adjacent to metropolitan areas). In those regions, about six tenths (59%) of hospitals in non-expansion states had negative margins compared to less than half (45%) of rural hospitals in expansion states. Differences between expansion and non-expansion states could reflect the effects of expansion on hospital finances but could also reflect a variety of unique state circumstances, such as demographics, hospital ownership and cost structure, commercial reimbursement rates, and state and local health and tax policy.

Rural Hospitals Were More Likely to Have Negative Margins in 2023 in States That Had Not Expanded Medicaid

About two thirds (69%) of the rural hospital closures from 2014 to 2024 occurred in states that had not expanded Medicaid at the time according to KFF analysis of data from the UNC Sheps Center. (The Sheps Center has a broader definition of “rural” than used in this brief, such as by including critical access hospitals in metropolitan areas).

7. Hospital closures outpaced openings in rural areas from 2017 to 2024, and many rural hospitals have dropped specific service lines over time.

From 2017 to 2024, 62 rural hospitals closed compared to 10 that opened, a net reduction of 52 hospitals. (Closures refer to hospitals that eliminate inpatient services—aside from those that convert to rural emergency hospitals—or cease operations altogether). Over the longer twenty-year period from 2005 to 2024, 193 rural hospitals closed according to the UNC Sheps Center (which uses a broader definition of “rural” than this brief). The small number of studies that have evaluated the association between consolidation with rural hospital closures and service eliminations have had mixed results.

Aside from closing altogether, rural hospitals have also dropped certain service lines over time. For instance, according to one analysis, the share of rural hospitals offering obstetrics care dropped from 57% in 2010 to 48% in 2022. The share among urban hospitals also dropped over that period (from 70% to 64%) but remained higher than in rural areas in 2022 (64% versus 48%). Government relief funds may have helped some rural hospitals stay open and maintain certain service lines during the COVID-19 pandemic. The new REH hospital designation in 2023 may have helped prevent some rural hospitals from closing according to MedPAC.

Rural hospital closures often raise concerns about access to care and the local economy. When a rural hospital closes, patients may have to travel further to obtain services, which could lead some to forgo care altogether. Closures may be especially problematic for people who have difficulty traveling long distances and for people with time-sensitive conditions, such as heart attacks and childbirth. Research suggests that rural hospital closures lead to increased unemployment (including among non-healthcare industries), lower income levels, and slower economic growth.

While there has been interest among some policymakers in sustaining rural hospitals, doing so may be difficult in certain scenarios—such as in areas with shrinking populations—and could involve tradeoffs. For instance, although rural hospitals can help the local population access care, it is also possible that some of the services they offer can be provided at a lower cost through telehealth or freestanding rural outpatient clinics. Further, while traveling to large regional hospitals may be burdensome for patients in some cases, it is also possible that these hospitals may offer higher quality of care in certain scenarios.

Hospital Closures Outpaced Openings in Rural Areas From 2017 to 2024

8. Medicare provides additional funding for the large majority (96%) of rural hospitals through special payment designations

Traditional Medicare includes special payment designations targeted towards rural hospitals that can increase payments through the inpatient and outpatient prospective payment systems (IPPS), by reimbursing hospitals based on their costs, or by providing monthly facility payments. The Medicare-dependent designation and an expansion of low-volume hospital adjustments are not permanent but have been renewed over time. Congress passed a continuing resolution in March 2025 that extends these policies through September 30, 2025, and proposed legislation in the Senate would make them permanent.

A hospital may only be designated as one of the following:

  • Critical access hospitals (CAHs) are rural hospitals with at most 25 beds that are a minimum distance from other facilities (with some exceptions) and meet other requirements. Medicare pays CAHs 101% of inpatient and outpatient costs (although with sequestration, it reimburses below cost). CAHs receive an estimated $3 to $4 billion in higher payments annually according to a 2022 MedPAC report. CAH is the most common designation, accounting for more than half (59%) of rural hospitals in 2023 (Figure 7).
  • Sole community hospitals (SCHs) are hospitals that are the only source of short-term, acute inpatient care in a region. Medicare reimburses some SCHs at higher rates than they would have received under IPPS, including based on historical costs. Since 2006, CMS has also increased OPPS rates for rural SCHs. SCHs receive $0.8 billion in higher payments annually (including low-volume adjustments to SCHs) according to a 2022 MedPAC report.
  • Medicare-dependent hospitals (MDHs) are small rural hospitals with high Medicare inpatient shares. Medicare pays MDHs higher rates based on historical costs if greater than IPPS rates. MDHs receive $0.1 billion in higher payments annually according to a 2022 MedPAC report.
  • Rural emergency hospitals (REHs) are rural hospitals that operate 24/7 emergency departments but do not provide inpatient care. REHs are reimbursed at 105% of standard OPPS rates and receive monthly facility payments. This designation became available in 2023, recognizing that some areas cannot support a broader suite of services. MedPAC has estimated that REHs cost an additional $30 million in 2023, much lower than original CMS projections for 2023 ($408 million), possibly because fewer hospitals converted to REHs in 2023 than originally anticipated. Nineteen hospitals converted in 2023 (most of which did so in the second half of the year) and an additional 18 converted in 2024 according to the UNC Sheps Center.

There are two additional rural designations that can be applied to a hospital, with additional benefits:

  • Low-volume hospitals (LVHs) are hospitals with few discharges that are a minimum distance from other facilities. They receive up to 25% higher payments through the IPPS. LVHs receive $0.4 billion in higher payments annually according to a 2022 MedPAC report.
  • Rural referral centers (RRCs) are hospitals that generally either treat patients from across a large region or treat complex cases. Some RRCs are eligible for higher IPPS base payments, among other benefits. Although RRCs are sometimes referred to as a rural payment designation, most (73%) are not in rural areas based on KFF analysis of cost report data. There is no recent estimate for the value of this designation.

While these special payment designations are available for hospitals discharges covered by traditional Medicare, Medicare Advantage accounts for a rising share of discharges across the nation, and is growing more rapidly in nonmetropolitan areas, which may pose additional challenges for rural hospitals. Hospitals in rural areas and elsewhere have raised concerns about the growth of Medicare Advantage, pointing to payment delays and denials and lower reimbursement than traditional Medicare. According to the American Hospital Association, Medicare Advantage reimburses rural hospitals at lower rates than traditional Medicare on average. MedPAC has noted that Medicare Advantage plans do not pay REHs monthly facilities payments (in contrast to traditional Medicare), and at least some providers have said they do not receive increased Medicare Advantage payments equivalent to the payment bumps under traditional Medicare rural payment designations. Whether or to what extent rural hospitals experience revenue declines as Medicare Advantage covers a larger share of Medicare patients is unclear.

Medicare Provides Additional Funding for the Large Majority (96%) of Rural Hospitals Through Special Payment Designations

Other federal programs or policies also provide additional support for rural hospitals. For instance, Medicare adjusts IPPS and OPPS reimbursements based on the wages hospitals pay in a given area (known as the Wage Index), which generally results in lower reimbursement for rural hospitals. However, sole community hospitals and rural referral centers can be more easily reclassified to areas that receive higher reimbursements through the Wage Index. Many state Medicaid programs also have special payment rules for hospitals in rural areas, such as by paying higher rates or based on costs or through supplemental payments. HRSA also administers several programs providing grants, technical support, workforce development, and other assistance to rural hospitals and rural providers more generally. As another example, the Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation (CMMI) recently concluded its test of the Pennsylvania Rural Health Model, which provided rural hospitals with an all-payer global budget and was intended to reduce costs, increase quality, and improve the sustainability of rural hospital finances.

Rural hospitals can also benefit from other programs or payment policies that are available to certain hospitals across the country. This includes higher Medicare reimbursement for Disproportionate Share Hospitals, tax-exempt status for nonprofit hospitals, and participation in the 340B Drug Pricing Program, which requires manufacturers participating in Medicaid to sell outpatient drugs to eligible nonprofit and government providers at a substantial discount, with the intent of supporting entities caring for low-income and other underserved populations. In 2023, critical access and sole community hospitals alone purchased $1.5 billion in 340B drugs.

9. Even with additional funds, about half of sole community, Medicare-dependent, and low-volume hospitals had negative margins in 2023.

About half of sole community hospitals (49%), Medicare-dependent hospitals (52%), and low-volume hospitals (52%) had negative margins in 2023. As discussed below, there have been proposals to increase Medicare reimbursement for these facilities. A smaller share of critical access hospitals (40%) and rural referral centers (37%) reported negative margins in 2023 than hospitals in other designated categories, such as sole community hospitals.

Even With Additional Funds, About Half of Sole Community, Medicare-Dependent, and Low-Volume Hospitals Had Negative Margins in 2023

10. Significant reductions in federal spending on health care under consideration would have direct or indirect implications for rural hospitals

The House and Senate passed a concurrent budget resolution in April 2025 with instructions for the House Energy & Commerce Committee to reduce the federal deficit by at least $880 billion over ten years, which the Congressional Budget Office and other analysts have confirmed would require significant cuts to Medicaid. Large reductions in Medicaid would likely have significant implications for hospitals, given that hospital care accounted for about one third of Medicaid spending in 2023. Options under consideration for reducing Medicaid spending include targeting state directed payments to hospitals or restricting states’ ability to fund Medicaid through provider taxes. Because provider taxes disproportionately fund supplemental payments to hospitals, restricting them as a revenue source is likely to result in lower funding for hospitals broadly, including for rural hospitals. Also being considered among other options is reducing the federal share of funding for Medicaid expansion, which has helped improve hospital finances. The hospital industry has been lobbying Congress against proposed cuts, arguing that reductions in Medicaid spending would threaten access to care at hospitals.

Also being discussed are site-neutral payment reforms that would achieve Medicare savings by aligning Medicare payment rates for a given outpatient service across different sites of care. These reforms would reduce payments to hospitals, with the impact varying based on the extent to which a given hospital relies on Medicare outpatient revenues and other factors. MedPAC estimated that one approach applying to on- and off-campus hospital outpatient departments (HOPDs) would lead to relatively large decreases in Medicare revenues for smaller and rural hospitals. Other research has found that off-campus HOPDs—the focus of some reforms—account for a smaller share of outpatient revenues in rural versus urban areas.

Some Members of Congress have expressed concern about the impact of site-neutral payment reforms on rural hospitals, though these reforms would likely not apply to many rural hospitals. Site-neutral payment reforms would likely only apply to OPPS reimbursement and would therefore not affect critical access hospitals, which are reimbursed based on costs and account for most rural hospitals (59%; see Figure 7). CMS has excluded sole community hospitals (20% of rural hospitals) from an existing regulation that extends site-neutral payments to clinic visits at off-campus HOPDs, and it is possible that future policies may do the same. Senators Cassidy and Hassan released a framework for site-neutral reforms in November 2024 that would reinvest some of the savings by increasing reimbursement for sole community, Medicare-dependent, and low-volume hospitals, as well as for urban and suburban safety-net hospitals and certain essential services.

Members of Congress have proposed various policies to prop up rural hospitals that could also be used to soften the impact of cuts to federal spending. For example, bills introduced during the last Congress would expand support for rural emergency hospitals, allow for increased reimbursement for Medicare-dependent and sole community hospitals, and eliminate Medicare sequestration for rural hospitals. More recently, Republicans released a menu of options for reducing federal spending in February 2025, which included an offsetting measure that would expand the rural emergency hospital program. Notably, the list of options did not include new sources of funding for urban safety-net hospitals, even though some of the major options for cutting spending would likely have a disproportionate impact on these facilities, including large cuts in Medicaid spending and reductions in Medicare uncompensated care and bad debt payments.


Methods

Urban hospitals are defined as those operating in a metropolitan area, while rural hospitals are defined as those operating in nonmetropolitan areas. A metropolitan area is a county or group of counties that contains at least one urban area with a population of 50,000 or more people. Nonmetropolitan areas include micropolitan areas—which are counties or groups of counties that contain at least one urban area with a population of at least 10,000 but less than 50,000—and noncore areas (areas that are neither metropolitan nor micropolitan). The analysis further breaks down rural areas into those that are adjacent to metropolitan areas (defined as the “most rural” areas in this brief) and those that are not adjacent to metropolitan counties.

There are many different ways of defining rural areas, each of which would capture a different number of hospitals with different characteristics. The Appendix below includes examples of different definitions created by various federal agencies. This analysis defines rural as nonmetropolitan, in line with a definition used by MedPAC, and given the policy relevance of nonmetropolitan areas. The federal government defines “rural” areas as including nonmetro areas and other regions in some instances, such as when administering additional support through Medicare for critical access hospitals, Medicare-dependent hospitals, sole community hospitals, and rural emergency hospitals. Nonetheless, the definition of rural in this brief includes some areas that others would consider to be urban and excludes some areas that others would consider to be rural. For example, the Federal Office of Rural Health Policy (FORHP), which is part of HRSA, uses a broader definition of rural, noting that some large unpopulated regions, such as the Grand Canyon, are in metropolitan counties.

Data for this analysis came from the following sources:

  • American Hospital Association (AHA) Annual Survey. Data from an annual survey of all hospitals in the United States and its associated areas. Used for analyses of rural hospital prevalence, hospital discharges, hospital services, payer mix, and system membership.
  • RAND Hospital Data. A cleaned and processed version of annual cost reports that Medicare-certified hospitals are required to submit to the federal government. Used for analyses of hospital margins and special Medicare payment designations.
  • UNC Sheps Center lists of rural hospital closures and rural emergency hospitals. The former tracks closures among short-term, general acute care, non-federal hospitals in nonmetropolitan and certain other areas and among critical access and rural emergency hospitals. Closure data was was matched to KFF data on Medicaid expansion status and date of expansion to determine the expansion status of a given state when a given rural hospital closure occurred. The latter was used to identify rural emergency hospitals.
  • Census Bureau population estimates. This analysis relied on annual population estimates from July 1, 2023 (excluding U.S. territories) from the Census Bureau’s Population Estimates Program.
  • MedPAC publications. MedPAC’s March 2025 Report and July 2022 Data Book were used to identify rural hospital openings and closures over time,

This analysis categorized counties and county equivalents as urban (metropolitan) or rural (nonmetropolitan) areas and divided rural areas into those that are or are not adjacent to metropolitan areas based on 2024 Urban Influence Codes from the USDA, as follows:

  • Urban
  • 1: Large metro (in a metro area with at least 1 million residents)
  • 4: Small metro (in a metro area with fewer than 1 million residents)
  • Rural, adjacent to a metro area
  • 2: Micropolitan, adjacent to a large metro area
  • 3: Noncore, adjacent to a large metro area
  • 5: Micropolitan, adjacent to a small metro area
  • 6: Noncore, adjacent to a small metro area
  • Rural, not adjacent to a metro area (“most rural”)
  • 7: Micropolitan, not adjacent to a metro area
  • 8: Noncore, not adjacent to a metro area and contains a town of at least 5,000 residents
  • 9: Noncore, not adjacent to a metro area and does not contain a town of at least 5,000 residents

This analysis uses different groups of hospitals depending on the analysis, as described in the figure notes. Analyses primarily using AHA data focused on community hospitals—which are short-term, non-federal, general and specialty hospitals that are open to the general public—and exclude hospitals in U.S. territories. There were 1,796 community hospitals in rural areas in 2023, representing 92% of all hospitals in rural areas.

Analyses of hospital margins relied primarily on RAND Hospital Data and focused on non-federal general short-term hospitals, excluding those in U.S territories. Those analyses also included other sample restrictions, such as ignoring certain outlier values. Operating margins were approximated as (revenues minus expenses) divided by revenues after removing reported investment income and charitable contributions from revenues. The Methods section of a prior KFF analysis of operating margins includes additional details, such as the limitations of available financial data. Our analyses of margins included 1,690 hospitals in rural areas in 2023. Data for certain characteristics were missing for 1% or less of the sample with margins data.

The analysis of the share of rural hospitals with special payment designations focused on non-federal general short-term and rural emergency hospitals (excluding those in U.S territories), which included 1,787 hospitals in 2023.


Appendix

Examples of Rural Definitions Created by Federal Agencies

Office of Management and Budget (OMB). OMB defines Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs), which include metropolitan and micropolitan areas. A metropolitan area is a county or group of counties that contains at least one urban area (as defined by the Census) with a population of 50,000 or more people. A micropolitan area is a county or group of counties that contains at least one urban area with a population of at least 10,000 but less than 50,000. This brief defines “rural” as nonmetropolitan, as do many researchers and MedPAC, though OMB itself does not do so. The federal government defines “rural” to include nonmetro areas and other regions in some instances, such as when administering additional support through Medicare for critical access hospitals, Medicare-dependent hospitals, sole community hospitals, and rural emergency hospitals.

Federal Office of Rural Health Policy (FORHP). FORHP is an office within the Health Resources and Services Agency (HRSA) that distributes grants, technical assistance, and other support to rural areas, including rural hospitals. FORHP defines “rural” as all nonmetropolitan counties, as well as well as some portions of metropolitan counties based on population density, terrain ruggedness, and commuting patterns.

United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). The USDA Economic Research Service (ERS) maintains multiple definitions of rurality, including Rural-Urban Continuum Codes (RUCC), Rural-Urban Commuting Areas (RUCA), and Urban Influence Codes (UIC). Various federal programs use these definitions to administer support for health care and other resources (such as broadband access and housing) in rural areas.

Census Bureau. The Census Bureau classifies urban areas as census blocks (which are smaller geographic areas than counties) with at least 2,000 housing units or where more than 5,000 people reside. Rural areas are regions outside of urban areas. Federal transportation funds are based in part on this classification.

This work was supported in part by Arnold Ventures. KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities.

Title X Grantees and Clinics Affected by the Trump Administration’s Funding Freeze

Published: Apr 15, 2025

This data note was updated on April 28, 2025 to update the number of sites affected by the funding freeze.

Title X provides federal funding to support clinics across the country to provide comprehensive family planning services to low-income and uninsured individuals. Federal support assists nearly 4,000 clinics across the country to provide services to 2.8 million clients in all 50 states, D.C. and U.S. territories.

Over the last decade, there have been major changes to the program’s regulations based on shifting administrations’ priorities. The program underwent significant changes during the first Trump Administration when the regulations were revised to disqualify clinics that had co-located abortion services and provided abortion referrals. Over 1,000 clinics were no longer eligible for Title X funds. The Biden Administration reversed the Trump Administration regulations and funding was restored to many of these clinics. Recent actions by the current Trump Administration indicate that their efforts to disqualify clinics from funding will resume.

On March 31, 2025, almost one in five (16 out of 86) of the current Title X grantees received notification that their year 4 funding of a 5-year project period would be temporarily withheld. This funding freeze affects all 9 of the Planned Parenthood grantees, in addition to 7 other nonprofit grantees. These grantees fund networks of clinics that include health departments, federally qualified health centers, school-based providers, and Planned Parenthood clinics. The remaining grantees received partial FY2025 awards. KFF estimates that a total of 879 clinics (24% of all Title X clinics) in 23 states are affected by the funding freeze (Table 1).

Figure 1

Title X Grantees and Clinics Affected by the Trump Administration's Funding Freeze

According to one estimate, up to 834,000 people may lose access to Title X-funded care if these funds are not released. These are largely low-income and uninsured individuals that go to Title X clinics to get free or reduced cost contraception and STI testing. It is anticipated that in addition to this administration’s efforts to withhold funds, that new regulations restoring the previous Trump Administration’s policies will be promulgated in the near future.

Texas Judge Overturns Controversial Nursing Facility Staffing Rule

Published: Apr 11, 2025

On Monday, April 7, Judge Matthew Kacsmaryk in the US District Court for Northern Texas ruled to overturn key elements of a Biden administration rule that established the first-ever minimum staffing ratios for nursing facilities. The court’s opinion stated that the regulations ultimately overstepped CMS’ authority, noting “the agency lacks authority to eliminate consideration of a facility’s nursing ‘needs’ when prescribing minimum staffing standards”, and “any regulatory response must be consistent with Congress’s legislation governing nursing homes.”

The rule, finalized to address long-standing concerns about the effect of staffing shortages on the quality of care in nursing homes, has been mired in controversy since it was issued. The nursing home industry opposed the rule, suggesting it was too burdensome and costly, and could lead to nursing facility closures. Resident and family advocates and others supported the new staffing standards to address well-documented concerns about substandard facility conditions, unattended residents, and poor patient care. According to one estimate, the rule was projected to save 13,000 lives each year. In April 2022, the National Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medicine also recommended minimum staffing levels as part of its comprehensive report to improve nursing home quality.

The ruling overturned two requirements that were slated to phase in over time, but take effect no later than 2029 for all facilities:

  1. Facilities must have a registered nurse (RN) on duty 24 hours a day, 7 days a week (24/7 requirement);
  2. Facilities must have a minimum of 3.48 hours per resident day of total nursing care, including at least 0.55 hours of RN care and 2.45 hours of nurse aide care.

Before the rule had passed, the only federal requirements for nursing facility staffing were that, irrespective of facility size, there had to be one RN on staff for 8 consecutive hours a day and at least one RN or licensed practical nurse working for the remaining 16 hours. There were no requirements for nurse aides or minimum staffing ratios that would account for facility size. Updated data maintain that about 1 in 5 nursing facilities meet the now-overturned minimum staffing hour requirements, and the percentage of for-profit facilities (12%) that meet the requirements is lower than that of non-profit (47%) and government-owned facilities (41%).

For-Profit Nursing Facilities Were the Least Likely to Meet the Requirements in the Now-Overturned Rule

The court left several other requirements from the staffing rule intact, including the requirement for state Medicaid agencies to report the percentage of Medicaid payments for institutional long-term care that are spent on compensation for direct care workers and support staff.

The future of nursing home regulation is unclear, though President Trump’s first term may provide some insight. During President Trump’s first term, CMS proposed regulations that rolled back or relaxed many of the 2016 Obama-era regulations, categorizing them as “unnecessary, obsolete, or excessively burdensome.” Those rollbacks were not finalized under his first term, though the Administration may reissue them or issue similar ones. Another open question is the fate of regulations issued under the Biden Administration aimed at promoting transparency around nursing facility ownership.

Congress has been considering legislative proposals as part of a tax and spending package to overturn the nursing home staffing rule which could have included up to $22 billion in savings over the next 10 years. It is unclear how the CBO will score these proposals in light of the recent court ruling, and it could depend on future court decisions and actions by the administration. The House budget resolution includes up to $880 billion or more in federal Medicaid reductions. Such reductions in Medicaid spending could have implications for nursing facility residents, since Medicaid covers 63% of all nursing home costs nationwide, and could lead to reductions in Medicaid payment rates for nursing homes, making it harder for nursing facilities to bolster staffing to improve the quality of patient care.

This work was supported in part by The John A. Hartford Foundation. KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities.

PEPFAR Reauthorization: Side-by-Side of Legislation Over Time

Published: Apr 10, 2025

Overview

The President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) is the U.S. government’s global effort to combat HIV and the largest global health program in the world devoted to a single disease (for more information, see PEPFAR). First proposed by President George W. Bush in 2003, PEPFAR was authorized that same year and has been reauthorized four times since, including its latest – a short-term extension that marks a significant departure from past five-year PEPFAR reauthorizations (see Table 1). PEPFAR’s authorizing legislation governs the U.S. bilateral HIV response, as well as participation in the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria (Global Fund) and bilateral assistance for tuberculosis (TB) and malaria programs. These legislative vehicles have permanently authorized most of the program within U.S. law but have also created some time-bound provisions; other than these time-bound provisions, PEPFAR does not need to be reauthorized to continue to operate, as long as Congress appropriates funding for the program. The recent short-term reauthorization extended the program until March 25, 2025, but since its timebound provisions have now lapsed, what happens after this point is uncertain and likely to be affected by the ongoing Trump administration actions related to global health as well as the current complex outlook for PEPFAR. This brief provides a detailed comparison of PEPFAR’s authorizing legislation over time and highlights those authorities that are time-bound (see Tables 2 and 3).

PEPFAR Legislation

Legislative Changes to PEPFAR Over Time

After first setting the broad parameters for PEPFAR and creating its main structures in 2003, PEPFAR’s subsequent authorizing legislation has made several key changes to the program, as the HIV response has evolved and as PEPFAR has moved from an emergency response to one supporting longer-term sustainability and epidemic control. These include changes to funding authorization levels and spending directives, as well as requirements for reporting and oversight. Among the major changes over time are:

  • Funding authorization levels: The Leadership Act authorized $15 billion during PEPFAR’s first five-year period (FY 2004 – FY 2008), which marked a significant increase in funding for HIV by the U.S. government. The Lantos-Hyde Act authorized even more, with $48 billion over the next five-year period (FY 2009 – FY 2013). Subsequent reauthorizations have not included specific authorization of funding amounts.
  • Spending directives: Congress has provided several spending directives to PEPFAR through its authorizing legislation, although these have generally been relaxed over time. For example, in the Leadership Act, Congress required that at least 33% of prevention funds be spent on abstinence-until-marriage programs during the FY 2004 – FY 2009 period. This was relaxed in the Lantos-Hyde Act, which removed the 33% directive and replaced it with a requirement of “balanced funding” for prevention, to be accompanied by a report to Congress if less than half of prevention funds were spent on abstinence, delay of sexual debut, monogamy, fidelity, and partner reduction activities in any host country with a generalized epidemic.
  • Reporting, monitoring, and transparency: Each of the authorizing bills has included reporting requirements to provide Congress and others with data and information about the program and to support oversight and evaluation. For example, the Leadership Act and the Lantos-Hyde Act required the Institute of Medicine to conduct evaluations of PEPFAR; however, this has not been included in subsequent reauthorizations. On the other hand, all authorizations have required the Inspectors General of several U.S. agencies (the Department of State, the Department of Health and Human Services, and the U.S. Agency for International Development) to jointly develop coordinated annual plans for overseeing U.S. government global HIV, TB, and malaria programs.

It is important to note that Congress has also made changes to PEPFAR through other legislative vehicles. For example, Congress has used appropriations legislation in certain years to change the amount of withholding required from the annual U.S. contribution to the Global Fund, pending certification of certain benchmarks by the Secretary of State. Still, by the time of the Stewardship Act in 2013, a decade after PEPFAR’s creation, most changes have been relatively minor, focused on adding new or refining existing reporting requirements.

Permanent and Time-Bound Authorities

PEPFAR operates largely under permanent authorities of U.S. law that allow for ongoing funding and the continuation of the major structures of the program, such as the Office of the Global AIDS Coordinator at the Department of State (now within the Bureau of Global Health Security and Diplomacy) as well as the position of Global AIDS Coordinator, U.S. participation in the Global Fund, and annual reporting on PEPFAR efforts. Absent a reauthorization, the PEPFAR program would continue, provided funds are appropriated. At the same time, a subset of PEPFAR’s congressionally-mandated requirements are time-bound and are currently lapsed, having been extended through only March 25, 2025 (approximately midway through FY 2025). Of these, two relate to how HIV funding is allocated, four specify requirements related to the U.S. contribution to the Global Fund, and two address reporting or oversight (see Table 2).

Current Status of PEPFAR Time-Bound Provisions

Detailed Comparison

Table 3 provides a detailed comparison of PEPFAR’s authorizing legislation over time, by key topic. Time-bound provisions are specified. The recent short-term reauthorization’s extension of these provisions is reflected in The PEPFAR Extension Act column.

Side-by-Side of PEPFAR Legislation

5 Key Facts About Medicaid Coverage for Adults with Chronic Conditions

Published: Apr 10, 2025

Note: This brief was updated on April 14, 2025 to clarify the sources of data, which include data on both self-reported and diagnosed chronic conditions.

Chronic conditions (also referred to as chronic disease or illness) have drawn increased attention in recent months, partly due to the focus on chronic conditions under HHS secretary Robert F. Kennedy’s “Make America Healthy Again,” (MAHA) initiative. Among working age adults enrolled in Medicaid, approximately three quarters have one or more chronic conditions, and nearly one-third have three or more. Medicaid coverage facilitates access to care for this population.

To achieve the federal savings required by the House budget resolution, Congress would need to cut federal Medicaid spending by hundreds of billions of dollars, leaving states with significant budget shortfalls. Federal funding cuts of that magnitude would force states to make difficult choices—such as reducing Medicaid eligibility, scaling back benefits, lowering provider reimbursement rates, raising taxes, or cutting spending on other programs such as education. Because state Medicaid programs differ considerably, their policy responses would likely vary. Amid this evolving landscape, this issue brief examines Medicaid’s coverage of adults with chronic conditions using data from the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) and Medicaid administrative data (see Methods).

1. Three in four adults enrolled in Medicaid report one or more chronic conditions.

Chronic conditions are conditions that last at least one year and require ongoing medical care or limit daily activities (e.g. heart disease, diabetes, cancer, mental illness, etc.). Medicaid-enrolled adults (ages 19-64) report higher chronic condition rates than privately insured adults (75% vs. 66%), and nearly one-third report three or more chronic conditions (Figure 1). Higher rates among Medicaid enrollees partly reflect program eligibility criteria because states are generally required to cover people with disabilities who receive Supplemental Security Income, and all states choose to provide additional optional coverage for other adults with disabilities or high medical spending. Uninsured adults report lower chronic condition rates, which may reflect less incentive to obtain coverage because they don’t feel it’s needed or a lack of awareness of their health conditions because of limited health care access. Other KFF work shows that less than half of those without insurance had a doctor’s visit in the past year versus about 85% of insured adults.

Three in Four Nonelderly Adults Enrolled in Medicaid Have One or More Chronic Conditions--More Than Other Coverage Groups

2. Medicaid facilitates access to care for people with chronic conditions.

Nine in ten (91%) of Medicaid-enrolled adults with chronic conditions reported having a healthcare visit in the last year, which is just higher than privately insured adults (86%), and significantly higher than uninsured adults (63%) (data not shown). In addition to health care visits, many chronic conditions require routine access to prescription medications and when that access is limited, the risk of health complications, including those that are life-threatening, rises. Over three-quarters of Medicaid-enrolled adults with one or more chronic conditions filled a prescription medication in the past year, rising to 95% among those with three or more conditions (data not shown). Low or no out-of-pocket costs for prescription medications in the Medicaid program help adults with chronic conditions avoid cost-related rationing or delays in prescription access. Uninsured adults were 2.5 times more likely than Medicaid-enrolled or privately insured adults to report skipping or delaying prescription medications due to cost (28%, 11%, and 8%, respectively, Figure 2).

Medicaid Coverage Helps Adults With Chronic Conditions Avoid Cost-Related  Prescription Medication Rationing or Delays

3. The most common chronic conditions diagnosed among adult Medicaid enrollees are physical conditions, followed by behavioral health.

The most common chronic conditions are physical, with 13.9 million adult Medicaid enrollees having a diagnosed physical health condition in 2021. High blood pressure, high cholesterol, and obesity were the most frequently diagnosed physical health conditions and can act as risk factors for other chronic conditions, such as heart disease. More than 10.1 million nonelderly Medicaid-enrolled adults have a diagnosed behavioral health condition, including mental health and substance use conditions. A separate KFF analysis shows that among those with any mental illness, approximately 2.3 million have a diagnosed serious mental illness. Cognitive impairment conditions, including dementia and intellectual and developmental disabilities (IDD), affect over 700,000 nonelderly Medicaid adults and often cause functional limitations that require long-term care (Figure 3). The number of enrollees diagnosed with behavioral, physical, or cognitive impairment conditions varies by state, but in all states, at least 1,000 Medicaid enrollees have each type of chronic condition (Appendix Table 1).

Unlike earlier exhibits, this analysis uses Medicaid claims data from 2021, the latest available to KFF. Claims data reflect only diagnoses recorded during medical visits in 2021 and do not measure overall prevalence. Prevalence rates from surveys are generally higher than claims-based estimates because not everyone is screened, treated, or has a recorded diagnosis for their chronic conditions in claims data in any given year. Additionally, during the pandemic, certain types of health care utilization declined even as Medicaid enrollment increased. While the direction of change for utilization rates is more clear (a decline), it is uncertain how these changes impacted the total number of people with recorded diagnoses in 2021 claims data. The numbers exclude Medicaid enrollees who also have Medicare (since Medicare is the primary payer for outpatient and acute care services), as well as enrollees ages 65 and older, nearly all of whom also have Medicare coverage (see Methods).

The most common chronic conditions among adult Medicaid enrollees are physical conditions, followed by behavioral health conditions

4. Rates of diagnosed physical conditions among adult Medicaid enrollees increase with age.

Unlike behavioral health and cognitive impairment conditions, rates of diagnosed physical health conditions among adult Medicaid enrollees increase with age. Seventeen percent of Medicaid enrollees ages 19 to 26 have one or more diagnosed physical health conditions in a year, rising to 32% of enrollees ages 27 to 49 and 61% of enrollees ages 50 to 64. In contrast, rates of diagnosed behavioral health conditions remain relatively stable across age groups, ranging from 20% among those ages 19 to 26 to 27% among the older age groups. Cognitive impairments are less prevalent among adults under age 65, affecting only 3% of Medicaid enrollees ages 19-26 and 1% of enrollees ages 27-64 (Figure 4).

Rates of Physical Health Conditions Among Adult Medicaid Enrollees Increase With Age

5. Medicaid spending doubles for adult enrollees diagnosed with one or two chronic conditions and increases fourfold for those with three or more conditions.

Medicaid spends an average of $5,000 for adult enrollees without chronic conditions compared with $10,000 for those with one or two diagnosed conditions in a year, and nearly $20,000 for those with three or more conditions (Figure 5). The higher spending reflects increased health care needs, which result in in more health care visits, greater use of acute care, and an increased likelihood of using long-term care. Adult enrollees with chronic conditions account for 69% of all spending for adult enrollees (data not shown).

Medicaid spending doubles for adult enrollees with one or two chronic conditions and increases fourfold for those with three or more conditions

Medicaid-Enrolled Adults with Any Diagnosed Chronic Condition, by Condition Group

Methods

National Health Information Survey (NHIS): The NHIS is a nationally representative survey that collects data on chronic conditions, among other topics, from respondents. This analysis includes 24 chronic conditions: coronary heart disease, high cholesterol, angina, myocardial infarction, stroke, hypertension, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, arthritis, psoriasis, Crohn’s disease, ulcerative colitis, hepatitis, epilepsy, dementia, depression/anxiety, glaucoma, cataracts, diabetic retinopathy, macular degeneration, cancer, obesity, and chronic fatigue syndrome. Anxiety and depression are combined into a single mental health flag. The total number of chronic conditions reported by respondents was categorized as none, 1-2, or 3 or more. Most chronic conditions are self-reported, and for conditions where NHIS differentiates lifetime from current prevalence (cholesterol, hypertension, chronic fatigue, asthma), only current conditions were included. National survey estimates presented in Figures 1 and 2 use the most recent NHIS data (2023) and include respondents ages 19-64. Health insurance coverage is self-reported and includes respondents who report any Medicaid.

Medicaid Claims Data: This analysis used the 2021 T-MSIS Research Identifiable Files including the inpatient (IP), long-term care (LT), other services (OT), and pharmacy (RX) claims files merged with the demographic-eligibility (DE) files from the Chronic Condition Warehouse (CCW).

Defining Chronic Conditions: This analysis used the CCW algorithm for identifying chronic conditions (updated in 2020). This analysis also included in its definition of chronic conditions substance use disorder, mental health, obesity, HIV, hepatitis C, and intellectual and developmental disabilities. In total, 35 chronic conditions were included and were further grouped into 3 broad categories: behavioral health, physical health, and cognitive impairment conditions. Specific conditions within these groupings include:

  • Behavioral health conditions: Any mental health condition and any substance use disorder. See KFF’s brief, “5 Key Facts About Medicaid Coverage for Adults with Mental Illness,” KFF brief “SUD Treatment in Medicaid: Variation by Service Type, Demographics, States and Spending,” and the Urban Institute, Behavioral Health Services Algorithm for additional details (Victoria Lynch, Lisa Clemans-Cope, Doug Wissoker, and Paul Johnson. Behavioral Health Services Algorithm. Version 4. Washington, DC: Urban Institute, 2024).
  • Physical health conditions: Hypertension, transient ischemic attack, acute myocardial infarction, hyperlipidemia, ischemic heart disease, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, obesity, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pneumonia, asthma, diabetes, arthritis, hip fracture, osteoporosis, cataracts, glaucoma, chronic kidney disease, colorectal cancer, endometrial cancer, urologic cancer, prostate cancer, lung cancer, breast cancer, benign prostatic hyperplasia, hepatitis, HIV, anemia, hypothyroidism
  • Cognitive impairment conditions: Alzheimer’s, intellectual and developmental delay, Parkinson’s, and dementia

Enrollee Inclusion Criteria: Enrollees were included if they were ages 19-64, had full Medicaid or CHIP coverage for at least one month, and were not dually eligible for Medicare.

State Inclusion Criteria: To assess the usability of states’ data, the analysis examined quality assessments from the DQ Atlas for OT claims volume and OT managed care encounters and compared the share of adults diagnosed with any mental illness (AMI) in each states’ Medicaid data to estimates for adult Medicaid enrollees from the 2021-2022 restricted National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH). States were excluded if: (1) they received a “High Concern/ Unusable” rating on the relevant DQ Atlas assessment measure, and (2) their Medicaid estimate of AMI differed from the NSDUH estimate by more than 15.1 percentage points (the 75th percentile of all differences). If at least 70% of a state’s Medicaid enrollees were covered by either managed care or by fee for service, only the corresponding DQ Atlas indicator was considered (i.e. managed care encounters volume or claims volume (FFS)). For states with more mixed delivery systems, both sets of indicators were considered; in these cases; a “High Concern/Unusable” rating on either measure, combined with a difference above 15.1 percentage points, led to exclusion. Based on these criteria, Mississippi was excluded, leaving 49 states and D.C. in the data presented in Figures 3 and 4.

The DQ Atlas was used to assess the usability of state Medicaid spending data. Due to “unusable” 2021 spending data according to the DQ Atlas, West Virginia and Mississippi were excluded from Figure 5.

Most People in the Most Rural Counties Get Medicare Coverage from Traditional Medicare

Published: Apr 10, 2025

Enrollment in Medicare Advantage, the private plan alternative to traditional Medicare, has grown steadily over the past decade, and since 2023, more than half of all eligible Medicare beneficiaries have been enrolled in Medicare Advantage. The rapid transformation of the Medicare program to a system that is largely administered by private companies has been less pronounced in places where Medicare Advantage has a smaller presence, such as in rural counties, especially those that are far from metropolitan areas.

This data note examines the share of eligible Medicare beneficiaries (those with both Part A and Part B) with coverage under traditional Medicare and Medicare Advantage across counties that are part of either urban or rural areas, defined using Urban Influence Codes published by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. To focus on rural areas that have less access to the goods and services of urban areas, including for the delivery of health care services, rural counties are further classified as adjacent or not adjacent (most rural) to an urban area.

In the most rural areas, nearly six in ten (58%) Medicare beneficiaries are covered by traditional Medicare.

The share of Medicare beneficiaries who receive their coverage through traditional Medicare is higher in the most rural counties (58%) than in rural counties that border an urban area (48%) or counties that are within an urban area (44%) (Figure 1). Among the just over 61 million Medicare beneficiaries with both Part A and Part B in 2024, 3.4 million lived in a rural county that is outside an urban area, 7.3 million lived in a county that borders an urban area, and 50.4 million lived in a county that is in an urban area.

In Rural Areas, Nearly Six in Ten (58%) Medicare Beneficiaries are Covered by Traditional Medicare

In 44% of the most rural counties, at least 70% of Medicare beneficiaries are in traditional Medicare.

In 44% of the most rural counties, at least 70% of Medicare beneficiaries are in traditional Medicare, which is substantially larger than the 13% of counties in rural counties adjacent to urban areas, and 6% of counties in urban areas where at least 70% of Medicare beneficiaries are in traditional Medicare (Figure 2). Across all 3,144 counties in the United States (excluding territories), 912 are in a rural area not adjacent to an urban area, 1,046 are in a rural area adjacent to an urban area, and 1,186 are in an urban area.

In 44% of Rural Counties, At Least 70% of Medicare Beneficiaries are Covered by Traditional Medicare

Half as many Medicare Advantage plans are available to people living in the most rural areas compared with those living in urban areas

Medicare Advantage plans are offered at the county level and the number of plans available varies considerably across counties. Counties with larger populations tend to have more plans available. In 2024, the average Medicare beneficiary living in one of the most rural counties had 22 plans to choose from, compared with 30 for those living in rural counties adjacent to urban areas, and 46 for those in urban areas (Figure 3) (note, plan counts include those with and without Part D prescription drug coverage).

Half as Many Medicare Advantage Plans are Available to People Living in Rural Areas (23) Compared With Those Living in Large Metropolitan Areas (50)

The share of Medicare beneficiaries in traditional Medicare varies substantially in both rural and urban counties.

Among the most rural counties, the share of beneficiaries in traditional Medicare ranges from 26% in Clay County, Kentucky to 100% in Lake and Peninsula Borough, Alaska (Figure 4, Tab 1). Among rural counties adjacent to urban areas, the share of beneficiaries in traditional Medicare ranges from 16% in Starr County, Texas to 99% in Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area, outside of Fairbanks, Alaska (Figure 4 Tab 2). Similarly, among counties in urban counties, the share of eligible beneficiaries in traditional Medicare ranges from 17% in Monroe County, New York to 98% in Fairbanks, AK (Figure 4, Tab 3).

Share of Medicare Beneficiaries in Traditional Medicare in Rural Counties

This work was supported in part by Arnold Ventures. KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities.

How Does Health Spending in the U.S. Compare to Other Countries?

Published: Apr 10, 2025

Relative to the size of its economy, the U.S. spends a greater amount on health care than other high-income nations. And while the U.S. has long had higher than average health spending, recent years have seen higher spending growth in peer nations. This chart collection compares health care spending in the U.S. and other OECD countries that are similarly large and wealthy, using data from the OECD Health Statistics database.

The slideshow is available through the Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker, an online information hub dedicated to monitoring and assessing the performance of the U.S. health system.

Health Spending Issues to Watch This Year

Authors: Emma Wager, Lynne Cotter, Cynthia Cox, Sarah Berk, Mairin Mancino, and Julia Harris
Published: Apr 10, 2025

The cost of health care in the United States has continued to grow in recent years. Between 2022 and 2023, overall health spending rose 7.5%, and it is projected to rise another 4.2% in 2025.

A new issue brief authored by KFF and the Peterson Center on Healthcare examines market trends contributing to rising health costs and identifies several potential federal and state policy issues to watch throughout 2025, including high-cost drugs, federal funding cuts, and workforce shortages.

This brief is available through the Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker, an online information hub dedicated to monitoring and assessing the performance of the U.S. health system.

VOLUME 20

Fluoride Bans and Food Safety Doubts


Summary

This Monitor covers how fears about fluoride as a neurotoxin are impacting public health and how trust in food safety is eroding following the USDA’s disbandment of two food safety panels. It also discusses approaches to addressing false information and the accuracy of AI chatbots, like ChatGPT, in answering health questions compared to traditional search engines.


Recent Developments

CDC and EPA Will Re-Evaluate Water Fluoridation Recommendations as Communities Push to Ban Fluoride

Source: KFF Health News

On April 7, Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Robert Kennedy Jr., a fluoridation skeptic, announced that he is assembling a task force of health experts to study fluoride and will ask the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) to change its water fluoridation recommendation. At the same time, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), which regulates fluoride levels in public water systems, said it will review new evidence on the health effects of water fluoridation. Fluoride, a naturally occurring mineral, was first added to public water in Grand Rapids in 1945 to prevent tooth decay and has since spread to around 70% of the U.S. population. The CDC, American Dental Association, and the American Academy of Pediatrics support adding fluoride to drinking water to prevent cavities, and multiple studies have shown that water fluoridation reduces tooth decay by about 25% in children and adults.

Opponents of water fluoridation have linked the practice to illnesses without scientific backing for decades, including bone cancer and AIDS. Public debate over fluoride was reignited last September when a federal judge in California ordered the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to regulate fluoride in drinking water over concerns of cognitive effects on children. More recently, a January review published in JAMA Pediatrics found that as fluoride exposure increased, children’s IQ tended to decrease. The authors note that most of the studies they reviewed were from countries where the fluoridation level far exceeded the United States’ recommended level of 0.7 milligrams per liter, and, according to the review, no studies of fluoride exposure and children’s IQ have been performed in the United States.

Fears that fluoride is a neurotoxin are contributing to efforts to ban it. In March, Utah became the first state to ban fluoride in public drinking water under a new law that will take effect on May 7, and dozens of other cities and local governments are considering similar actions. However, dentists and researchers warn that ending community fluoridation, especially in rural communities where dental care access is more limited, could risk exacerbating this lack of access. More than 150 towns and counties have voted to end fluoridation since 2010, and 14 states this year have considered or are considering ending fluoride mandates or banning fluoridation. According to a KFF Health News analysis, at least 230 counties face dentist shortages and mostly or completely unfluoridated drinking water.

Polling Insights:

A January KFF tracking poll found that about four in ten adults say they have a great deal or a fair amount of trust in Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (43%). However, there are large partisan differences in trust. Few Democrats express trust in health recommendations from Secretary Kennedy (7%), whereas among Republicans, about eight in ten say they trust Secretary Kennedy (81%). Notably, Republicans are as likely to say they trust Secretary Kennedy as they are to trust their own doctors (84%) to make the right recommendations on health issues.

About Four in Ten Adults, Including Eight in Ten Republicans Trust Secretary Kennedy to Make the Recommendations on Health Issues

Shifts in Public Confidence in Food Safety after USDA Disbands Two Safety Panels

Nitat Termmee / Getty Images

The USDA’s decision to disband two advisory panels on food safety in March prompted a sharp uptick in online discussion, reflecting both genuine concern and emerging misinformation. Between March 5 and March 11, there were approximately 9,000 news articles, social media posts, and comments mentioning the committees. Most of these posts expressed concern that the elimination of these committees would lead to more foodborne illnesses. However, some posts and comments, primarily on Instagram, responded to these fears by misleadingly claiming that a plant-based diet prevents foodborne illness entirely. While animal products are more likely to be contaminated with bacteria and viruses that can cause foodborne illness, plant products can also be contaminated. A CDC study looking at the origins of foodborne illness outbreaks in the U.S. found that produce contributed to 46 percent of cases. This nuance is often lost in posts promoting plant-based diets as completely risk-free.

The response to the USDA’s decision reflects a broader decline in trust in the government’s ability to ensure food safety. In recent years, public concern about food additives and ingredients such as seed oils and artificial coloring has grown, sometimes fueled by false or overstated claims that misrepresent their risks.

Training to Identify False Health Information Builds Resilience, but Follow-Up Reminders Are Needed for Long-Term Impact

champpixs / Getty Images

The rapid spread of false or misleading claims on social media makes it difficult for fact-checkers to keep up as new versions of persistent narratives quickly resurface during high-profile health policy and news events. Many health communicators work with limited time and resources, and reactive debunking alone may not keep up with the scale and speed of misinformation. Instead, building resilience to false or misleading information by training people on how to recognize and reject false information before they encounter it may offer a more sustainable approach. However, resilience requires reinforcement, as people forget what they’ve learned, and repeated exposure to falsehoods makes them seem more believable over time – a phenomenon known as the “illusory truth effect.” A study published in Nature Communications finds that using “booster” messages – follow-up reminders that repeat key lessons – can strengthen people’s ability to recognize false or misleading information after their initial training. The researchers used either an article, a video, or a game to train people to recognize and reject false information. They found that the article and video had the longest-lasting effects, but resilience lasted longer when participants received a refresher. These findings suggest that, without reinforcement, communicators and educators risk losing the impact of their initial intervention. Even with limited resources, adding brief follow-up messages can help sustain the impact of health literacy interventions over time in a complicated information environment.

Efforts to fact-check health information are further complicated by a lack of agreement about what counts as false health information. For example, KFF’s 2023 Health Misinformation Pilot Poll asked adults to cite COVID-19 misinformation they had encountered and found that many examples directly contradicted each other – what one person considered misinformation, another considered accurate. Instead of combatting misinformation directly, it may be more effective to focus on common goals that can bring people together and improve the way trusted messengers communicate. One study in the HKS Misinformation Review suggests that rather than simply labeling claims as “misinformation,” health communicators and educators should consider why people disagree in the first place. The authors explain that false information often spreads because of deeper differences in values, identities, or ways of understanding the world, not just gaps in knowledge. Health communicators and educators can address these deeper differences by creating respectful conversations that explore the emotional, cultural, and social context that underlie people’s beliefs. This might involve focusing on shared concerns, like protecting loved ones or keeping communities healthy, rather than simply pointing out what’s true or false. While this approach may be more complex and slower than fact-checking alone, the study from HKS Misinformation Review suggests that it is likely to build more trust and lead to longer-term changes in how people engage with health information.


AI & Emerging Technology

Half of Adults Trust AI Chatbots to Provide Reliable Information About Practical Tasks, Technology; Fewer Trust Their Reliability for Health  and Political Information

A 2024 KFF poll found that while most adults reported regularly using search engines for health information and advice on a weekly basis, few (13%) said they regularly used AI chatbots for this purpose. Additionally, 70% of adults say they trust AI chatbots “not too much” or “not at all” to provide them with reliable health information. A recent study published in Nature Digital Medicine, however, suggests that LLMs may provide more accurate results than traditional search engines. Search engines, like Google or Bing, work by indexing large amounts of web content and ranking results based on keywords and popularity, often directing users to existing websites. LLMs, on the other hand, are trained on large datasets and generate original responses based on patterns in the data, rather than retrieving exact matches from the web. Unlike search engines, which display a list of sources, LLMs typically present a single answer, which can feel more direct but may also hide the reasoning or sources behind it. The study found that search engines share correct answers 50-70% of the time, with 10-15% of top-ranked results containing harmful advice. In contrast, LLMs generally outperformed the search engines, although they still provided incorrect answers, particularly with poorly framed prompts.

As AI continues to shape the health information landscape, traditional search engines are integrating more AI capabilities. For example, Google’s AI Overviews provide AI-generated summaries at the top of search queries, although their accuracy can vary. These summaries are powered by LLM-like technology, blending the retrieval functions of a search engine with the generative abilities of a chatbot. More recently, Google introduced the “What People Suggest” feature, which uses AI to collect and present comments from patients with similar health conditions to help users understand how others have described their experiences. However, relying on the experiences of others may impact the quality of the information provided, as it introduces subjective perspectives that may not always align with medical evidence or expert advice.

About The Health Information and Trust Initiative: the Health Information and Trust Initiative is a KFF program aimed at tracking health misinformation in the U.S., analyzing its impact on the American people, and mobilizing media to address the problem. Our goal is to be of service to everyone working on health misinformation, strengthen efforts to counter misinformation, and build trust. 


View all KFF Monitors

The Monitor is a report from KFF’s Health Information and Trust initiative that focuses on recent developments in health information. It’s free and published twice a month.

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Support for the Health Information and Trust initiative is provided by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (RWJF). The views expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of RWJF and KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities. The Public Good Projects (PGP) provides media monitoring data KFF uses in producing the Monitor.

Ending the HIV Epidemic (EHE) Funding Tracker

Authors: Lindsey Dawson, Tenzin Dhondup, and Jennifer Kates
Published: Apr 8, 2025

The “Ending the HIV Epidemic Initiative” (EHE), is a federal effort to reduce new HIV infections in the United States, launched by the first Trump administration in 2019, with the goal of a 75% reduction in five years and 90% reduction in ten years. The EHE built on earlier efforts made by the Obama administration and was continued throughout the Biden administration.

The initiative has focused on a subset of “Priority Jurisdictions”, comprised of the 48 counties in the U.S. that had the largest number of HIV diagnoses (in 2018), as well as San Juan, Puerto Rico, Washington D.C., and 7 states with a substantial share of rural HIV cases (see Figure 1). It also has been accompanied by additional federal funding, including reprogrammed funding in FY 2019 and new Congressional appropriations in FY 2020 through FY 2025. Still, this additional funding accounts for a relatively small share of overall federal HIV funding provided to state and local jurisdictions.

While the second Trump administration has not explicitly stated its plans for EHE, a leaked document suggests the administration may not support EHE moving forward. Additionally, reports emerged in March 2025 that the administration was exploring cutting HIV prevention funding at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), which could include EHE funding. More recently, the CDC’s HIV Prevention branch and the Office at Health and Human Services (HHS) tasked with coordinating the EHE were eliminated as were key HIV officials at NIH as was the Office of Infectious Disease Policy at HHS, which coordinated EHE. As such, with threats to funding and staff eliminations, EHE’s future is uncertain.

Ending the HIV Epidemic (EHE) Priority Jurisdictions –  Local Jurisdictions

This tracker provides up-to-date data on federal EHE funding, including an overview of funding mechanisms by year, agency, grant mechanism, and jurisdiction. It will be updated over time.

Funding by Year, Agency, and Grant Mechanism

While FY 2020 is considered the first year of EHE funding, in FY 2019, some funds were reprogrammed from existing accounts to help start the initiative. From FY 2019-2024, funding totaled $2.33 billion. Funding for the EHE increased each year from FY 2020-2023 and was flat in FY 2024. It is not yet clear what FY25 funding will look like for EHE other than $165 million allocated to the Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program in the FY24 budget. (See Table 1.)

Ending the Epidemic Funding, FY 2019 – FY 2025 (in Millions)

Prior to the Congressional appropriations process, the administration makes a presidential budget request for Congress to consider. A budget request lays out presidential priorities both in terms of the policy issues identified and the level of funding requested. Table 2 provides the history of EHE presidential budget requests showing that EHE funding requests increased each year from FY 2020 to FY 2023. In FY 2024 the request was flat compared to the prior year. The FY 2025 budget request represents a $256.75 million decrease compared to the FY 2024 request. However, the funding request for FY 2025 is double that of FY 2020 request and each year the request has surpassed the appropriated amount (seen in Table 1).

Ending the HIV Epidemic Budget Requests FY2020 - FY2025 (in Millions)

Table 3 provides detail on each federal EHE grant mechanism by agency. Most EHE funding is allocated directly to EHE jurisdictions to assist with local efforts. A subset of EHE funding is provided to other grantees to carry out related efforts, such as to support capacity building and technical assistance and for science implementation hubs through NIH-funded Centers for AIDS Research (CFAR) and the NIMH AIDS Research Centers (ARC) programs.

FY2019 EHE Funding – Federal Funding Streams and Grants Awarded

Funding by Year and Jurisdictions

Tables 4 and 5 detail funding from FY 2019 to FY 2024 directed to EHE priority jurisdictions (data for FY 2025 are not yet available). Table 4 includes funding directed to EHE Counties and other local jurisdictions. Table 5 includes funding directed to the seven EHE states. See notes in these tables for details on how funding was allocated in this analysis.

Ending the HIV Epidemic Initiative: FY2019 Funding for Counties, D.C., and San Juan, Puerto Rico
Ending the HIV Epidemic Initiative: FY2019 Funding for States