Wide Disparities in the Income and Assets of People on Medicare by Race and Ethnicity: Now and in the Future


Asset and income projections are based on the Urban Institute’s Dynamic Simulation of Income Model (DYNASIM3). DYNASIM3 is a dynamic microsimulation model that projects the population and analyzes the long-run distributional consequences of retirement and aging issues.  The model starts with a representative sample of individuals and families and ages the data year by year, simulating demographic and economic events including all key components of retirement income. The model integrates many important trends and differences among groups in life course processes, including birth, death, schooling, leaving home, first marriage, remarriage, divorce, disability, work, retirement, and earnings. Projections of fertility, disability, mortality, net immigration, employment, average earnings, and price changes are aligned to be consistent with 2011 OASDI Trustees projections. Projections of assets are aligned to the Survey of Consumer Finance (SCF). For a fuller description of DYNASIM3, see Karen E. Smith. February 2012. “Projection Methods Used in the Dynamic Simulation of Income Model (DYNASIM3),” Program on Retirement Policy, The Urban Institute.

 Section 4: Projected Growth in Income, Assets, and Home Equity




Table A1. Per Capita Income, Savings, and Home Equity of Medicare Beneficiaries by Selected Demographic Characteristics, 2012 and 2030 (in 2012 dollars)
Table A2. Number of Medicare Beneficiaries by Race/Ethnicity and Other Selected Demographic Characteristics, 2012 and 2030 (in thousands)
Section 4: Projected Growth in Income, Assets, and Home Equity

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