Kaiser Health Tracking Poll: January 2015

This Kaiser Health Tracking Poll was designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF). The survey was conducted January 15-21, 2015, among a nationally representative random digit dial telephone sample of 1,503 adults ages 18 and older, living in the United States, including Alaska and Hawaii (note: persons without a telephone could not be included in the random selection process). Computer-assisted telephone interviews conducted by landline (751) and cell phone (752, including 450 who had no landline telephone) were carried out in English and Spanish by Princeton Data Source under the direction of Princeton Survey Research Associates International (PSRAI). Both the random digit dial landline and cell phone samples were provided by Survey Sampling International, LLC. For the landline sample, respondents were selected by asking for the youngest adult male or female currently at home based on a random rotation. If no one of that gender was available, interviewers asked to speak with the youngest adult of the opposite gender. For the cell phone sample, interviews were conducted with the adult who answered the phone. KFF paid for all costs associated with the survey.

The combined landline and cell phone sample was weighted to balance the sample demographics to match estimates for the national population using data from the Census Bureau’s 2013 American Community Survey (ACS) on sex, age, education, race, Hispanic origin, nativity (for Hispanics only), and region along with data from the 2010 Census on population density. The sample was also weighted to match current patterns of telephone use using data from the January-June 2014 National Health Interview Survey. The weight takes into account the fact that respondents with both a landline and cell phone have a higher probability of selection in the combined sample and also adjusts for the household size for the landline sample. All statistical tests of significance account for the effect of weighting.

The margin of sampling error including the design effect for the full sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Numbers of respondents and margins of sampling error for key subgroups are shown in the table below. For results based on other subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher. Sample sizes and margins of sampling error for other subgroups are available by request. Note that sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Kaiser Family Foundation public opinion and survey research is a charter member of the Transparency Initiative of the American Association for Public Opinion Research.

Group N (unweighted) M.O.S.E.
Total 1,503 ±3 percentage points
Party Identification
   Democrats 455 ±5 percentage points
   Republicans 405 ±6 percentage points
   Independents 455 ±5 percentage points
Insurance Status
   Uninsured, ages 18-64 149 ±9 percentage points
   Insured, ages 18-64 922 ±4 percentage points
Marketplace Type
  State-run marketplaces 455 ±5 percentage points
  Federal/ Partnership marketplaces 1048 ±4 percentage points
Opinion of ACA
  Favorable 583 ±5 percentage points
  Unfavorable 726 ±4 percentage points
ACA Next Steps
  Expand/Move forward with implementation 595 ±5 percentage points
  Repeal/ Scale back 743 ±4 percentage points
Followed News- ACA’s 2nd Open Enrollment
  Followed story closely 396 ±6 percentage points
  Did not follow story closely 1093 ±3 percentage points
Followed News- Proposed Definition Change of Full Time Employee
  Followed story closely 442 ±5 percentage points
  Did not follow story closely 1049 ±4 percentage points
Kaiser Health Tracking Poll: January 2015 Findings