VOLUME 11

Concerns Over Fluoride in Water and Free Speech Violations

This is Irving Washington and Hagere Yilma. We direct KFF’s Health Misinformation and Trust Initiative and on behalf of all of our colleagues across KFF who work on misinformation and trust we are pleased to bring you this edition of our bi-weekly Monitor.


Summary

This volume of the Monitor explores the growing opposition to water fluoridation and its potential impact on dental health efforts. It also examines how misinformation about COVID-19 vaccines is influencing public health policies and trust in health authorities, as well as the complex issues surrounding the balance with free speech and mitigating health misinformation.


Recent Developments

Unsubstantiated Claims About Water Fluoridation Threaten Public Health Efforts

Kemal Yildirim / Getty Images

Growing opposition to water fluoridation, fueled by figures like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., is challenging this longstanding public health measure in the U.S. The CDC and other health experts endorse fluoridation as a safe and effective way to prevent cavities and promote dental health, but some fear that fluoride is a neurotoxin, and water fluoridation can cause fluorosis – a condition resulting from excessive fluoride consumption that affects the appearance of children’s teeth. Some also fear cognitive decline and even cancer. These claims, which have circulated since fluoride was first introduced into water supplies, have recently been amplified by misrepresentations of findings from an August 2024 U.S. National Toxicology Program (NTP) monograph. The NTP report suggests a potential link between high fluoride levels (above 1.5 mg per liter) and lower IQ in children, but only in regions with naturally high fluoride concentrations, not in U.S. public water supplies where fluoride is added at the much lower level of around 0.7 mg per liter.

Health experts explain that most studies linking fluoride to negative health effects examine samples with fluoride levels well above U.S. standards, concluding that fluoridation at recommended levels is safe. However, unverified claims about fluoride risks have begun to influence policy discussions. Some communities have already voted to remove fluoride from their water supplies. As more communities consider doing the same, experts warn that it could lead to increased dental health issues, especially in areas with limited access to dental care.

This debate reflects broader issues of public trust in health measures and scientific authority. For example, a popular post on X (formerly Twitter) from October 7 claimed that “the government put fluoride in our water and attacked anyone who questioned it,” falsely asserting that the NIH labeled fluoride “hazardous to human health.” By October 22, the post had amassed 2.8 million views, 17.8 thousand reposts, and 60.7 thousand likes. In response to such misinformation, overly simplistic public health messaging that categorizes fluoride as universally “safe” or “unsafe” may inadvertently fuel distrust. Instead, public health messaging could benefit from a more nuanced approach that explains how fluoride generally benefits dental health within recommended levels while acknowledging scientific uncertainties. This approach may help build a foundation of trust in public health guidance amidst a climate of skepticism.

Idaho Health Department Bans COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution, Reflecting Growing Misinformation and Eroding Public Trust

Luis Alvarez / Getty Images

On October 22, the Southwest District Health Division board in Idaho voted to stop distributing COVID-19 vaccines at its district clinics, citing alleged safety concerns. Although extensive research supports the safety and efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines, this decision marks the first instance of a U.S. health department banning their distribution. On social media, some vaccine opponents praised Idaho’s decision, framing it as “leading the way” in opposition to COVID-19 vaccines. Residents can still access COVID-19 vaccines at pharmacies and clinics not affiliated with the health department. However, such policies may undermine public trust in vaccines and limit access to essential health services, especially for vulnerable populations. The vote in Idaho aligns with a trend of local health departments making public health choices based on misleading or incomplete information. Last year, Texas banned the use of public funds to promote COVID-19 vaccinations, and the Florida Health Department continues to advise against COVID-19 mRNA boosters. These actions indicate that misinformation may not only reduce vaccination rates but also erode public trust in health authorities’ ability to handle future health crises. Studies suggest that addressing misinformation among those hesitant to receive COVID-19 vaccines remains difficult when trust in health institutions like the CDC is low.

Polling Insights:

Trusted messengers and information sources play an important role in efforts to combat the proliferation of health misinformation. KFF’s Health Misinformation Tracking Poll Pilot found that individual doctors are the most trusted source of information on health issues, with 93% of the public saying they have a great deal or a fair amount of trust in their own doctor to make the right recommendations on health issues. Most adults also say they trust government health agencies – including the CDC, FDA, or their state and local public health officials. While similar shares across partisans say they trust their doctor for health information, Republicans and independents are less likely than Democrats to trust the CDC, the FDA, and their state and local health authorities for such information.

Most Adults Have at Least a Fair Amount Of Trust in the CDC, FDA, or
 Their State and Local Health Officials to Make the Right Health Recommendations, Though Partisans are Divided

Balancing Free Speech and Public Health Becomes Difficult as Misinformation Discipline and Social Media Censorship Come into Focus

Nora Carol Photography / Getty Images

A federal judge’s decision to allow the Missouri v. Biden case to continue renews discussions on First Amendment rights and social media content moderation. Originally brought by Missouri and Louisiana, the case challenges the Biden administration’s communications with social media companies regarding COVID-19 information. The states allege that officials pressured these platforms to censor certain views. The Supreme Court dismissed the case in June, citing a lack of standing due to insufficient links between government influence and platform moderation, but the judge’s recent ruling allows further discovery to determine if the states have legal standing to proceed. As the states continue to look for evidence of government suppression of free speech, this case could impact public trust in health communication efforts and set new precedents for the government’s role in moderating online content.

The debate over First Amendment rights extends beyond social media to include medical advice shared by professionals both online and offline. During the COVID-19 pandemic, some health providers faced allegations of spreading misinformation, particularly regarding unverified treatments like ivermectin. However, regulating misinformation—even when spread by physicians—presents challenges due to First Amendment protections and the difficulty of distinguishing harmful speech from legitimate medical practice. State medical boards can discipline doctors for spreading harmful misinformation, but their authority varies by state. A recent study found that disciplinary actions against physicians for misinformation are rare, accounting for less than 1% of all medical board sanctions. Agencies like the FDA and the FTC can also discipline clinicians who spread false health information or engage in fraudulent practices. However, the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn the Chevron doctrine may make it harder for these agencies to regulate misinformation, as they may now face more legal challenges in doing so.


Research Insights

Training Community Health Educators Can Improve Confidence in Delivering Vaccine Education

FG Trade / Getty Images

A study in Vaccines explored a program aimed at equipping U.S. Extension professionals—community-based educators who connect local populations to research-based resources and support—with the tools to improve adult vaccination education, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic. The intervention included a tailored toolkit designed to address key challenges such as maintaining community trust, connecting with medical experts, and enhancing Science Media Literacy to counter misinformation. Components like motivational interviewing, neuromarketing techniques, and targeted workshops were well-received and helped increase professionals’ confidence in delivering vaccine education. Through iterative feedback, the toolkit was refined for practical use, making it adaptable to different community needs. The researchers present a framework that could be applied to train other healthcare providers, emphasizing trust-building, clear communication, and the development of practical tools to combat misinformation and improve patient education.

Source: Austin, E. W., O’Donnell, N., Rose, P., Edwards, Z., Sheftel, A., Domgaard, S., … & Sutherland, A. D. (2024). Integrating Science Media Literacy, Motivational Interviewing, and Neuromarketing Science to Increase Vaccine Education Confidence among US Extension Professionals. Vaccines, 12(8), 869.

Sources of Fluoride Information for Mothers: The Role of Family, Healthcare Professionals, and Community Beliefs

SolStock / Getty Images

A 2022 study published in JAMA explores where mothers obtain information about fluoride use for their children’s dental health, focusing on various social sources such as family, healthcare professionals, and community members. The study found that while many mothers rely on these networks for fluoride-related advice, the information they receive is often conflicting, leading to confusion about fluoride’s safety and effectiveness. Some mothers trust family members or healthcare professionals, while others are influenced by community beliefs, leading to concerns about fluoride’s safety. The study highlights how inconsistent messages can make it difficult for mothers to evaluate the accuracy of fluoride information, suggesting that improving communication within these social networks could help address misinformation and support more informed decisions about children’s oral health.

Source: Burgette, J. M., Dahl, Z. T., Janice, S. Y., Weyant, R. J., McNeil, D. W., Foxman, B., & Marazita, M. L. (2022). Mothers’ sources of child fluoride information and misinformation from social connections. JAMA network open5(4), e226414-e226414.


AI & Emerging Technology

Leveraging AI for Efficient and Credible Health Misinformation Fact-Checking

Laurence Dutton / Getty Images

Artificial intelligence (AI) can be a tool in combatting health misinformation by offering the potential to automate and scale up fact-checking efforts. With misinformation spreading rapidly, particularly in online spaces, AI can help identify and debunk false health claims quickly and efficiently by quickly detecting claims, gathering supporting evidence, and assessing the accuracy of statements to verify information in real-time. Not everyone trusts AI for health information, but a study examining AI-assisted fact-checking found that the persuasive effect of fact-checking remained strong even when AI was involved, regardless of participants’ attitudes toward the technology. This suggests that AI can support fact-checking efforts without diminishing their impact, even among those skeptical of AI. The perception of AI as impartial may also reduce bias concerns and make fact-checking more credible. By leveraging AI in newsrooms, fact-checking processes can become faster and more efficient, allowing for broader coverage of health misinformation.

About The Health Information and Trust Initiative: the Health Information and Trust Initiative is a KFF program aimed at tracking health misinformation in the U.S., analyzing its impact on the American people, and mobilizing media to address the problem. Our goal is to be of service to everyone working on health misinformation, strengthen efforts to counter misinformation, and build trust. 


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Support for the Health Information and Trust initiative is provided by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (RWJF). The views expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of RWJF and KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities. The Public Good Projects (PGP) provides media monitoring data KFF uses in producing the Monitor.

Coverage of Dental Services in Traditional Medicare

Published: Nov 25, 2024

NOTE: This analysis was updated in November 2024 to reflect changes in the most recent Physician Fee Schedule Final Rule.

Medicare does not offer broad coverage of dental services under traditional Medicare, but through recent regulatory action, the Biden Administration has taken steps to modify Medicare payment policies to expand the types of dental services that are covered. In Medicare Physician Fee Schedule Final Rules from recent years, the administration made changes to Medicare payment policies for certain dental services, in addition to other payment and policy changes. The 2023 rule clarified CMS’s interpretation of when medically necessary dental services can be covered and codified certain payment policies, and the 2023, 2024, and 2025 rules define new clinical scenarios for which Medicare payment can be made for dental services. This brief describes current law related to coverage and payment for dental services under Medicare and the rationale for changes to current policy, explains changes to dental payment and coverage included in these rules, and discusses the impact on Medicare and beneficiaries.

As explained in more detail below, these rules modestly expand the types of dental services that are covered under Medicare, including dental or oral examinations prior to any organ transplant surgery, cardiac valve replacement or valvuloplasty procedures, beginning in 2023, and dental or oral examinations prior to treatment for head and neck cancer beginning in 2024. Based on changes in the 2024 rule, Medicare will cover treatment to address dental complications after radiation, chemotherapy, and/or surgery for head and neck cancer, as well as dental or oral examinations prior to chemotherapy, chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapy, and the administration of high-dose bone-modifying agents when used in the treatment of cancer. Further, based on changes in the 2025 rule, Medicare will cover dental or oral examinations as well as diagnostic and treatment services to eliminate an oral or dental infection prior to or at the same time as Medicare-covered dialysis services for the treatment of end-stage renal disease.

While these changes are projected to benefit a small number of Medicare beneficiaries, they do not represent a broad expansion of Medicare coverage of dental services. Traditional Medicare does generally not cover routine preventive services including exams and x-rays, or coverage of more extensive services, including root canals and dentures. These changes will not substantially increase Medicare spending or covered dental services for a large number of Medicare beneficiaries. Absent a broader expansion of dental coverage under Medicare, people on Medicare who do not have a comprehensive source of dental coverage will continue to face relatively high out-of-pocket costs, particularly if they need extensive dental care that is unrelated to other covered medical services.

Medicare coverage of dental services is generally very limited

Since its establishment in 1965, Medicare has explicitly excluded coverage for dental services, except under limited circumstances. Limited or no dental coverage contributes to Medicare beneficiaries foregoing routine and other dental procedures. For example, in 2018, half of Medicare beneficiaries did not have a dental visit (47%), and cost was a major barrier to care for those who reported they couldn’t get dental care in the past year. Among those who used dental services, average out-of-pocket spending was $874 in 2018. Lack of dental care can exacerbate chronic medical conditions, such as diabetes and cardiovascular disease, and contribute to delayed diagnosis of serious medical conditions. While routine dental services are not covered by Medicare, many Medicare beneficiaries have access to some dental coverage through other sources: nearly half of all Medicare beneficiaries are enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans, almost all of which offer dental coverage as an extra benefit, but the scope of coverage varies by plan.

Under current law, Section 1862(a)(12) of the Social Security Act, Medicare is prohibited from making payments for “…services in connection with the care, treatment, filling, removal, or replacement of teeth or structures directly supporting teeth.” However, exceptions to this prohibition can apply in the context of inpatient hospital services “in connection with the provision of such dental services if the individual, because of his underlying medical condition and clinical status or because of the severity of the dental procedure, requires hospitalization in connection with the provision of such services.”

Current CMS policy has interpreted the Medicare statute to cover medically necessary dental services under both Parts A and B if they are “incident to and as an integral part” a covered procedure. For example, Medicare currently covers dental procedures, such as:

  • when the reconstruction of a ridge is performed as a result of and at the same time as the surgical removal of a tumor (for other than dental purposes);
  • extraction of teeth to prepare the jaw for radiation treatment of neoplastic disease; and
  • an oral or dental examination performed on an inpatient basis as part of a comprehensive workup prior to renal transplant surgery.

Interested stakeholders, including patient advocates, providers, and members of Congress have asked CMS to use its authority to expand Medicare coverage of medically necessary dental services. CMS has also received feedback that its interpretation of Section 1862(a)(12) of the Social Security Act has been “unnecessarily restrictive” and may contribute to inequitable care, particularly for older adults who are at high risk of poor oral health, which can exacerbate and complicate the treatment of other medical issues. Further, these stakeholders have asserted there are additional clinical scenarios where dental services are directly related to the clinical success of a covered service under Medicare Parts A and B.

To provide greater clarity on current dental coverage under Medicare and to respond to these stakeholders, in the 2023 physician payment final rule, CMS clarified its interpretation of the statute, codified certain payment policies, defined new scenarios where payment can be made for dental services, and outlined a process for more medically necessary dental services to potentially be covered under Medicare. In the 2024 and 2025 rules, CMS included additional scenarios where payment can be made for dental services and covered by Medicare.

The 2023 final rule clarifies CMS’s interpretation of when medically necessary dental services can be covered and codifies certain payment policies

In the 2023 final rule, CMS clarified its interpretation of the statute and permitted Medicare to make payment for dental services under Medicare Part A and B “that are inextricably linked to, and substantially related and integral to the clinical success of, certain other covered medical services” regardless of the setting, whether inpatient or outpatient.

With this clarification of the statute, the rule codified that dental services can continue to be made based on the interpretation that these services “are inextricably linked to, and substantially related and integral to the clinical success of, an otherwise covered medical service”, including:

  • dental or oral examination as part of a comprehensive workup prior to a renal organ transplant surgery;
  • reconstruction of a dental ridge performed as a result of and at the same time as the surgical removal of a tumor;
  • wiring or immobilization of teeth in connection with the reduction of a jaw fracture;
  • extraction of teeth to prepare the jaw for radiation treatment of neoplastic disease; and
  • dental splints only when used in conjunction with medically necessary treatment of a medical condition.

The 2023 final rule clarified that Medicare Parts A and B payment for dental services can occur only when dental and medical services are integrated, meaning medical and dental professionals must coordinate care. The rule also finalized a policy whereby Medicare can pay for ancillary services that are critical to the success of dental services, such as X-rays, administration of anesthesia, and use of an operating room.

Currently, for the limited circumstances under which Medicare pays for some dental services, Medicare payments to dentists are generally based on the physician fee schedule. For services that are not included on the fee schedule, regional Medicare Administrative Contractors (MACs), which are responsible for administering Medicare claims, determine the amount to be paid. The 2023 final rule continued this policy, allowing MACs to determine that payment can be made for dental services and the payment amount itself in other circumstances not specifically addressed in the rule.

The final rules define new clinical scenarios for which Medicare payment can be made for dental services

CMS evaluated clinical evidence for additional dental services to determine whether they are substantially related and integral to the clinical success of other covered services. Based on this evidence, payment can now be made under Medicare Parts A and B for:

2023 Rule

  • dental or oral examinations, including necessary treatment, performed as part of a comprehensive workup prior to any organ transplant surgery (rather than only renal organ transplant surgery), or prior to cardiac valve replacement or valvuloplasty procedures (beginning in 2023).
  • dental or oral examination, including necessary treatment, performed as part of a comprehensive workup in either the inpatient or outpatient setting prior to or at the same time as Medicare-covered treatments for head and neck cancer (beginning in 2024).

2024 Rule

  • diagnostic and treatment services to address dental or oral complications after radiation, chemotherapy, and/or surgery when used in the treatment of head and neck cancer (beginning in 2024).
  • dental or oral examinations, including necessary treatment, performed as part of a comprehensive workup prior to or at the same time as chemotherapy, chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapy, and the administration of high-dose bone-modifying agents (antiresorptive therapy) when used in the treatment of cancer (beginning in 2024).

2025 Rule

  • dental or oral examination as part of a comprehensive workup prior to, or at the same time as Medicare-covered dialysis services for the treatment of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) (beginning in 2025).
  • diagnostic and treatment services to eliminate an oral or dental infection prior to, or at the same time as, Medicare-covered dialysis services for the treatment of ESRD (beginning in 2025).

As part of the 2023 final rule, CMS described how it will use the Physician Fee Schedule annual rulemaking process to determine whether additional dental services should be considered for payment under Medicare. CMS will make this determination based on evidence from relevant peer-reviewed medical literature and research studies, clinical guidelines, or generally accepted standards of care for the suggested clinical scenario, and other supporting documentation. CMS used this process to determine that payment should be made for the dental services described above that were finalized in the 2024 and 2025 rules.

Impact on Medicare beneficiaries and payments

CMS has estimated that these changes will not result in a significant increase in Medicare spending or covered dental services for a large number of Medicare beneficiaries.

  • CMS estimated that approximately 190,000 additional dental services could be covered by Medicare prior to organ transplants, cardiac valve replacement, or valvuloplasty procedures beginning in 2023, at an additional annual cost of $200,000 to $2.55 million, depending on utilization.
  • CMS estimated an additional 155,000 beneficiaries might receive dental services for which Medicare could be paid relating to chemotherapy, Car T-cell therapy, and bone-modifying agents for cancer as well as treatment for head and neck cancers, beginning in 2024, at an additional annual cost of $130,000 to $2 million, depending on utilization.
  • CMS estimated the potential cost of the payment for dental services for beneficiaries with ESRD, which would apply to approximately 30,000 patients in traditional Medicare, would represent a small cost to the Medicare program of less than $1 million in any given year, even at varying levels of utilization.

How Pending Health-Related Lawsuits Could be Impacted by the Incoming Trump Administration

Published: Nov 25, 2024

Note: This content was updated on July 1, 2025 to reflect new regulations eliminating ACA Marketplace eligibility for DACA recipients.

Introduction

While much of health policy will be shaped by executive and legislative action under the incoming Trump administration, a variety of pending lawsuits also may be affected by the incoming administration, as it may choose to drop litigation that the Biden administration defended or pursued. The outcomes of these lawsuits could have significant impacts across many aspects of health care, including preventive services, abortion care, gender affirming care, Medicare drug price negotiations, nursing home staffing rules, private coverage consumer protections, and protections and health coverage for Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) recipients. While in many cases President-elect Trump has not commented publicly on the issues in these lawsuits, his record as president, comments on the campaign trail, and proposals from conservative groups suggest he might view these cases differently from the Biden administration. This brief provides an overview of these legal challenges, how they may be affected by the incoming Trump administration, and the implications of their potential outcomes.

Affordable Care Act

ACA Preventive Services

The outcome of a pending federal lawsuit, Braidwood Management Inc v Becerra, which challenges the ACA preventive services requirements, could put coverage of many preventive services at risk. The Biden administration is defending the ACA requirement and fighting the case. President-elect Trump has not publicly voiced an opinion on the case, but Project 2025, a set of policy proposals from conservative groups, calls for the federal government to issue new requirements for contraceptives and other women’s preventive services because of the pending case.

The ACA requires most private health insurance plans to cover a range of preventive services without any patient cost-sharing. In the case, Braidwood Management v. Becerra, Christian owned businesses and six individuals in Texas assert that (1) the requirements in the law for specific expert committees and a federal government agency to recommend covered preventive services is unconstitutional, and that (2) the requirement to cover preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP), medication for HIV prevention, violates their religious rights. In June 2024, the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals affirmed the district court’s ruling that the part of ACA’s preventive services coverage requirement (services recommended by United States Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) is unconstitutional) but that only the plaintiffs are permitted to exclude USPSTF recommended services from their plans. The plaintiffs’ claim that the Secretary of HHS’s ratification of HRSA and ACIP recommendations violates the Administrative Procedure Act was sent back to the lower court for further briefing and a judgment. In September 2024, the Biden Administration petitioned the Supreme Court to review the 5th Circuit’s decision. The Supreme Court has not yet decided whether to take the case. If the Trump administration does not defend the case, a state might join the lawsuit to defend the ACA’s preventive services requirement just as California intervened in the case brought by Texas challenging the ACA when the first Trump administration did not defend the federal law.

Private Coverage Consumer Protection Regulations

Lawsuits have recently been filed challenging Biden administration rules that regulate so-called “junk” insurance products that do not provide comprehensive health insurance coverage, which the Trump administration may not defend. For example, designed for people who experience a temporary gap in health insurance coverage, short-term, limited duration (short-term plans) plans typically offer fewer covered benefits and consumer protections compared to plans that meet ACA standards. The duration and renewability of short-term plans have been the subject of changing federal regulations, with the Obama administration in 2016 restricting coverage to less than three months without renewability, and the Trump administration in 2018 expanding the permitted coverage duration to less than 12 months with the ability to renew coverage for up to an additional 24 months. The Biden administration’s 2024 regulation limits short-term plan coverage to three months plus a one-month extension. A lawsuit was recently filed in a Texas federal court, American Association of Ancillary Benefits v. Becerra et. al, challenging this regulation as beyond the authority of the agency under the Administrative Procedure Act. That lawsuit also challenges new standards in the regulation that add consumer protections for fixed indemnity products. Fixed indemnity plans pay a specific amount if someone is sick or hospitalized. Like short-term plans, fixed indemnity plans do not have to meet most of the ACA’s consumer protections. Another lawsuit challenges the same regulation, questioning new consumer notice requirements for fixed indemnity products. The new Trump administration may not defend these actions, instead reinstating Trump-era rules for these plans or seeking to incorporate them into legislation.

Less clear is the what the Trump administration will do to defend various lawsuits challenging Biden administration regulations that implement surprise billing protections in the 2020 No Surprises Act. The No Surprises Act (NSA), signed into law by President Trump in 2020, protects patients with private insurance from surprise medical bills in certain situations when the patient receives care from an out-of-network hospital or clinician that they did not choose. The law requires health plans to cover surprise bills at in-network rates and prohibits out-of-network providers at certain in-network facilities from billing patients directly for the remainder of the bill. Biden administration regulations implementing these protections have been challenged in several lawsuits. Many of these cases are still working their way through lower courts, but two recent Fifth Circuit decisions in separate lawsuits brought by the Texas Medical Association throw out some parts of Biden administration regulations that set out how disputes between providers and insurers about out-of-network rate are resolved, while retaining other parts of Biden administration regulations on other aspect of the NSA. While consumers are still shielded from receiving surprise balance bills in many instances, the end result of these legal challenges could be an increase in insurance premiums and out-of-pocket costs for consumers.

DACA Program and ACA Marketplace Coverage Expansion

The future of the DACA program remains uncertain due to ongoing litigation, and the Trump Administration has finalized regulations to eliminate the ACA health coverage expansion for DACA recipients. DACA was established via executive action in June 2012 to protect certain undocumented immigrants who were brought to the U.S. as children from removal proceedings and provide them work authorization. The first Trump administration sought to end DACA but was blocked by the Supreme Court in 2020. The Biden administration issued regulations in 2022 to preserve DACA, but in September 2023, a district court in Texas ruled the DACA program unlawful, preventing implementation of the regulations while the case awaits a decision in the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals. Under the pending ruling, the Department of Homeland Security is processing DACA renewal requests and related employment authorizations but not initial DACA requests. In May 2024, the Biden administration issued regulations to extend eligibility for ACA Marketplace coverage with subsidies to DACA recipients, who were previously ineligible for federally funded health coverage. The regulation became effective November 1, 2024. In August 2024, a group of 19 states filed a lawsuit against the federal government alleging that the coverage expansion for DACA recipients violates the Administrative Procedure Act. On December 9, 2024, a federal court in North Dakota granted the plaintiffs’ motion by blocking the ACA coverage expansion from being implemented in the 19 states that filed the lawsuit (AL, AR, FL, IA, ID, IN, KS, KY, MS, MT, ND, NE, NH, OH, SC, SD, TN, TX, VA). On December 16, 2024, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit issued a temporary stay of the federal court’s injunction, temporarily allowing DACA recipients in all states to sign up for ACA Marketplace coverage. However, on December 23, 2024, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit vacated the administrative stay, thereby making DACA recipients in the aforementioned 19 states ineligible for ACA Marketplace coverage again. The Trump administration said that it would try again to eliminate DACA protections after the first attempt failed in 2020. Given its views generally on immigration issues and DACA specifically, the Trump administration is presumably unlikely to appeal any ruling against DACA or the coverage expansion. In an interview prior to his inauguration, President-elect Trump indicated that he would work on addressing the status of “Dreamers” and indicated a willingness to work with Democrats on the issue, although the details of this proposed plan remain unclear. On June 25, 2025, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) finalized a rule that will once again exclude DACA recipients from the definition of “lawfully present” immigrants for the purposes of health coverage, making them ineligible to purchase coverage through the ACA Marketplaces beginning 60 days after the final rule’s publication. Elimination of the coverage expansion could leave thousands of DACA recipients without an affordable coverage option while elimination of the DACA program would put the over half a million DACA recipients, a majority of whom are working and many of whom have U.S.-born children, at risk of deportation.

Reproductive Health and Abortion Care

Medication Abortion

Access to mifepristone, one of the pills used in the medication abortion regimen, could be limited if the Trump administration does not defend pending litigation, amends the FDA rules, or enforces the Comstock Act. In November 2022, Alliance for Hippocratic Medicine (a group of anti-abortion medical organizations) challenged the FDA’s 2000 approval of mifepristone on procedural grounds, as well as recent changes to the regulation of the medication that eliminated the in person dispensing requirement by a physician and enabled to be mailed to patients following a telehealth consultation, as being beyond the FDA’s authority. In addition, they contended that an 1873 anti-obscenity law, the Comstock Act, prohibits the mailing of medications used for abortion. In June 2024, the Supreme Court unanimously ruled that the Alliance for Hippocratic Medicine and the individual doctors lacked legal standing to sue the FDA, but did not address the claims made by the anti-abortion challenges. However, the case continues at the district court with three state interveners (Kansas, Idaho, and Missouri) who may have legal standing. The Trump administration is not expected to defend the FDA’s actions challenged in this lawsuit. While President-elect Trump does not have a stated position on the case or on medication abortion, Project 2025 is clear in its opposition to the FDA’s approval of mifepristone and also endorses enforcement of the Comstock Act, which would effectively ban the mailing and distribution of abortion pills within the country, even in states that currently allow abortion without restrictions.

Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act (EMTALA) and Emergency Abortion Care

Pending litigation could determine whether states can implement abortion bans without health exceptions. Shortly after Roe v Wade was overturned, the Biden administration issued guidance in July 2022 regarding the enforcement of EMTALA, a federal law requiring hospitals to provide stabilizing treatment to patients. The guidance clarified that hospitals and physicians have obligations to provide stabilizing care, including abortion, to preserve the health of a pregnant person, not only in situations where abortion is necessary treatment to save a patient’s life. Six states (AR, ID, MS, OK, SD, and TX) have no health exception to their state abortion ban. After the guidance was issued, the Biden administration sued the state of Idaho to block the state law’s enforcement to the extent it conflicts with EMTALA, a challenge that ultimately reached the Supreme Court. In June 2024, the Supreme Court dismissed the case, Moyle v. United States (consolidated with United States v. Idaho) and returned the case to the lower court. While this case proceeds, Idaho is blocked from enforcing its abortion ban when abortion is necessary to prevent serious harm to the patient’s health. However, in a similar case, Texas successfully sued the Biden administration to block enforcement of the EMTALA guidance in Texas. The Biden administration asked the Supreme Court to review the Texas case, but the Court declined. President-elect Trump says he believes in exceptions for “life of the mother” but has not weighed in on health exceptions. Project 2025 authors call for the reversal of the Biden administration’s EMTALA guidance, which the new Trump administration could do right away, and withdrawal of federal lawsuits challenging state abortion bans without health exceptions.

Reproductive Health Privacy Regulation

A Biden administration regulation on reproductive health privacy is at risk, as the Trump administration may not defend legal challenges to the rule, as well as to parts of the HIPAA privacy regulation. In April 2024, HHS finalized a regulation adding a new category of protection to HIPAA privacy regulations for the use and disclosure of reproductive health information in certain circumstances. The rule prohibits health care providers, health plans and others from disclosing, for example, information about reproductive health care such as abortion or contraception counseling obtained legally, to a law enforcement agency seeking to investigate or impose legal liability related to that care. The state of Texas has challenged these rules and existing HIPAA standards as preventing the state from enforcing its own laws restricting abortion and other reproductive health care, including gender affirming care. The state argues in a lawsuit filed in September that HHS went beyond its authority provided in the HIPAA law and seeks to set aside these protections. Another lawsuit by a Texas physician against HHS makes similar allegations, and is also pending in a Texas federal court. Most of the reproductive health privacy rule will be effective on December 23, 2024, unless blocked by the court in these cases. If the rule becomes effective, the Trump administration could take administrative action to rescind this rule and perhaps alter existing HIPAA protections so states have greater leeway to require disclosure of reproductive health information.

Pregnant Workers Fairness Act

The outcome of pending litigation and potential regulatory changes under the new Trump administration will determine whether employers must provide accommodations to employees after an abortion. The Biden administration issued a final rule and interpretive guidance to implement the Pregnant Workers Fairness Act, which requires a covered entity to provide reasonable accommodations to a qualified employee’s or applicant’s known limitations related to, affected by, or arising out of pregnancy, childbirth, or related medical conditions, unless the accommodation will cause an undue hardship on the operation of the business of the covered entity. The Biden administration includes abortion in the definition of “pregnancy, childbirth or related medical conditions.” There are several ongoing lawsuits in federal courts challenging this rule that the incoming Trump administration is not likely to defend. The Trump administration may issue new rules that do not include abortion in the definition of “pregnancy, childbirth or related medical conditions.”

Federal Title X Family Planning Program

The structure of the Title X program could be reshaped by ongoing litigation, and the incoming Trump administration could reinstate their prior regulations that were rescinded by Biden. For more than 50 years, the federal Title X program has provided family planning services to nearly four million low-income people a year through a national network of clinics. The first Trump administration issued Title X regulations that prohibited grantees from referring clients for abortion services or having co-located family planning and abortion services which led to the withdrawal or disqualification of almost a quarter of the sites from the Title X network. The Biden administration issued regulations to reverse the first Trump administration’s policies.

The ability of states to ban abortion has added a new layer of litigation to the program. Several states that ban abortion are challenging counseling and referrals for abortion requirements under Title X. There is also ongoing litigation brought by Ohio and 11 other states contending that the Biden administration rules violate a section of the Title X law that states “none of the funds appropriated under Title X can be used in programs where abortion is a method of family planning.” In a 1991 decision, Rust v Sullivan, the Supreme Court deferred to the agency’s interpretation of that provision. However, in June 2024, the Supreme Court overturned the Chevron deference to agency interpretation of federal laws, and it is likely that the Supreme Court will ultimately decide the “correct” interpretation of that provision in a future case.

Finally, a provision requiring confidentiality–including for minors–as a criterion for receiving federal Title X funding nationally could be at risk. As a result of a privately filed lawsuit (Deanda v. Becerra) minors in Texas must receive parental consent before obtaining contraceptive services at Title X clinics to comply with the state’s parental consent law. The Texas Attorney General recently filed a new lawsuit seeking to block nationwide enforcement of this provision. Some states, including Texas, require parental consent to get contraception for those who are not married or legally emancipated. Project 2025 calls for the reinstatement of the first Trump administration rules. The new administration could also revise the rules to eliminate the requirement for confidential services to minors, which would likely end the litigation on all these cases.

Gender Affirming Care

Gender Affirming Care Ban

The Trump administration may not support a pending challenge to a Tennessee law prohibiting gender affirming care services for minors. In the wake of a proliferation of laws curtailing minor access to gender affirming care and litigation challenging these state restrictions, the Supreme Court agreed to hear a case challenging the Tennessee ban (United States v. Skrmetti). Both the plaintiffs in the Tennessee case and the Biden administration, as an intervener, requested review. The Supreme Court granted the Biden administration’s request for review and scheduled oral argument on December 4, 2024. The Court is presented with the question of whether Tennessee’s law, which prohibits core gender affirming care services for minors, violates the equal protection clause of the 14th Amendment. Given President-elect Trump’s record to date, his administration would presumably be unlikely to support the plaintiffs as the Biden administration has. As the Court accepted the petition from the Biden administration’s Department of Justice, the future of the case is uncertain. The Court might hear the case as scheduled in December, before the administration changes, and issue its’ decision in June 2025. It’s also possible that the state of Tennessee will ask for the court to reconsider its review given the impending change of administrations.

Gender Identity Protections (Section 1557)

The outcome of pending litigation, and how the incoming Trump administration engages with it, as well as regulatory changes, will determine the reach of nondiscrimination protections for LGBTQ people. A group of 15 states sued HHS (Tennessee et al. v. Becerra et al.), challenging the Biden administration’s final rule implementing section 1557 of the ACA. Section 1557 holds the law’s major nondiscrimination protections, including those on the basis of sex, which the Biden administration interpreted to include protections on the basis of sexual orientation and gender identity. In July 2024, the district court (S.D. Miss) granted the plaintiffs’ request to block HHS from enforcing provisions of the rule related to gender identity nationwide while the case proceeds. HHS ﷟appealed the ruling to the 5th Circuit and also asked the lower court to stay proceedings pending the outcome of their appeal. The Trump administration could drop the appeal and halt any intervention with the lower court, favoring the ruling currently in place, at least until the administration issues a revised regulation.

Gender Dysphoria Disability Protections

Disability law nondiscrimination protections for people with gender dysphoria could be weakened if the Trump administration chooses not to defend a Biden regulation currently being challenged and/or issues new rules without protections. A group of 17 states sued HHS (State of Texas et al v. Becerra et al), over a nondiscrimination rule implementing amendments to its section 504 of the Rehabilitation Act of 1973 (section 504) regulation. In the preamble to the final rule, HHS states that in certain circumstances, gender dysphoria may be protected under section 504, a federal law proving nondiscrimination protections for people who have disabilities. In adopting this protection, HHS agreed with a recent Fourth Circuit case, Wiliams v. Kincaid, which concluded that gender dysphoria may constitute a disability under section 504 and the Americans with Disabilities Act, if certain conditions are met. The plaintiffs challenging the regulation argue that HHS exceeded its statutory authority with the rule, that the rule was arbitrary and capricious, and unconstitutional. The Trump administration could choose not to defend the regulation and/or issue new rules without explicitly naming these protections.

Medicare

Medicare Drug Price Negotiation Program

The new Medicare drug price negotiation program is the subject of several pending lawsuits, and it is uncertain whether the Trump administration will continue to defend the program. The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, signed into law by President Biden in August 2022, includes a requirement for the Secretary of HHS to negotiate prices with drug companies for certain drugs covered under Medicare. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services is due to announce the list of up to 15 Part D drugs to be selected for the second round of price negotiation by February 1, 2025, after concluding the first round of negotiation for 10 Part D drugs in August 2024.

Since June 2023, several lawsuits have been filed challenging the drug price negotiation program by manufacturers of selected drugs and entities representing the pharmaceutical industry. These lawsuits – nine of which remain, as of November 2024 – have raised several constitutional and statutory challenges against the program. To date, none of these lawsuits have been decided in favor of the pharmaceutical industry plaintiffs and HHS has prevailed on the substantive questions at hand, but most cases are either in the briefing stage or awaiting decisions before various U.S. appellate courts. In the event of conflicting rulings, an eventual hearing of one or more of these cases by the Supreme Court would likely be the outcome, but the timing of that is uncertain. If the plaintiffs were to prevail in one or more of these lawsuits, HHS could be blocked from continuing to implement some or all aspects of the program, which would negate savings to the Medicare program and people with Medicare associated with drug price negotiation. It is unknown to what extent HHS under the incoming Trump administration will continue to defend the Medicare drug price negotiation program in court, since the Trump campaign articulated no position on it.

Nursing Homes

Nursing Home Staffing

Several ongoing lawsuits are challenging new nursing home staff rules issued by the Biden administration, and it is unclear whether the Trump administration will defend the rule, support litigation opposing the rule, or issue new regulations. In response to longstanding staffing shortages in nursing facilities and quality concerns, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services released a highly anticipated final rule in April 2024 that created new requirements for nurse staffing levels in nursing facilities. The final rule requires facilities to have a registered nursing on staff 24 hours per day, 7 per days per week and to meet minimum levels of nursing care per resident per day starting in 2026 for urban facilities and in 2027 for rural facilities. KFF estimates that only 19% of nursing facilities would currently meet the required number of staffing hours in the final rule if it took effect immediately.

Several lawsuits have been filed in opposition to the final rule, including lawsuits filed by nursing home industry groups, Texas’ attorney general, and a group of Republican state attorneys general. The legal challenges have overlapping claims including that the rule exceeds CMS’s statutory authority, the rule needs Congressional rather than agency action, and the rule is arbitrary and capricious, in violation of the Administrative Procedure Act. Opponents of the staffing rule have expressed concerns about the expected impact of the rule on costs for nursing homes and states. It is not clear whether the Trump administration will defend the nursing home staffing final rule in court, support the litigation in opposition to the rule, or issue new regulations to scale back the provisions in the staffing rule.

Poll Finding

The Role Health Care Issues Played in the 2024 Election: An Analysis of AP VoteCast

Published: Nov 25, 2024

Findings

The outcome of the 2024 presidential election is settled with Republicans regaining control of the U.S. house and controlling the U.S. Senate, with President-elect Donald Trump set to begin a second term in January 2025. With most votes counted and races called, this analysis takes a deeper dive into the role that health care issues played in the 2024 race. In the first presidential election since the overturning of Roe v. Wade and amid voters’ increased anxieties about the country’s economic direction, health care issues influenced voters’ decisions in complicated but rational ways.

In the 2022 midterm elections, Democratic candidates were able to capitalize on their base’s enthusiasm for protecting reproductive rights to encourage turnout in key electoral races. Two years post-Dobbs, voters in 10 states (including some staunchly Republican states) were directly voting on ballot measures aimed at expanding or protecting abortion access in their states, presenting a real test for abortion rights advocates who had seen other conservative states enshrine abortion rights or push back on restrictions through ballot initiatives in 2022 and 2023. Nationally, while abortion hadn’t risen to a top campaign issue when President Biden was the Democratic candidate – perhaps due to his reticence on the issue – when Vice President Harris became the nominee, the issue became more salient for voters who were confronted with two very different candidates talking about their positions on reproductive rights. President-elect Trump had successfully garnered support from the pro-life contingent of the Republican Party due to his Supreme Court appointments who overturned Roe, while he repeatedly stated throughout his campaign that he was not in favor of passing a national ban. Vice President Harris, on the other hand, embraced reproductive freedom as a core campaign issue during her short bid for president.

Yet, abortion policy never rose to a top campaign issue for voters. Instead, concerns about inflation continued to take center stage, and candidates on both sides of the aisle were tasked with crafting messages about how they would address voters’ economic concerns. Previous KFF polls before and during the campaign documented the important role that health care expenses played in voters’ economic worries.

This analysis examines the role that abortion policy and abortion-related state ballot initiatives, as well as the economy and health care costs, played in the 2024 election. In partnership with The Associated Press (AP), KFF added supplemental questions to AP VoteCast, a survey of around 120,000 voters conducted nationally and in 48 states, to provide a deep dive into how voters were weighing health care issues as they made their decisions. These questions and KFF’s analysis shed light on the role health care issues, including abortion, played in shaping the concerns voters brought to the ballot box, as well as their decisions about whether to vote and whom to vote for.

Key Findings

  • President-elect Trump won key electoral victories in four states where voters also chose to expand or protect abortion access. Trump garnered small but important shares of votes from those who voted in favor of ballot measures protecting abortion access, including support from about a third of those who voted in favor of abortion access in Missouri and three in ten voters in the battleground states of Nevada and Arizona. Large shares of pro-Trump, pro-abortion voters say they think abortion should be legal, but few say it is the most important factor in their vote. In addition, in Arizona, a substantial share of this group (more than a quarter) are young men, who are less motivated by the issue of abortion than by other issues.
  • Voters in seven states voted to expand abortion access through abortion-related ballot measures, while the ballot measures to expand or protect abortion access failed in Florida, South Dakota, and Nebraska.1  In Florida, while the ballot measure failed to reach the 60% threshold required to pass in the state (57% voted “yes”), it garnered support from majorities of voters across key demographics (including large majorities of Democratic voters (93%), Black voters (83%), independent voters (72%), women voters (66%), and Hispanic voters (65%)). However, most Florida Republicans opposed the measure (58%). Similarly, in Nebraska and South Dakota, large majorities of Republicans opposed expanding abortion access – helping to ensure the ballot measures’ defeat. And, while majorities of women voters in Nebraska voted in favor of expanding abortion rights, a majority of South Dakota women voters voted against.
  • Nationwide, abortion continued to be a motivating factor for a notable share of women voters in 2024. About three in ten women voters said abortion policy was the “single most important factor” in their vote, including 44% of Black women, 39% of Hispanic women, and one third of women voters between the ages of 18 and 44. Black women and Hispanic women were also more likely than White women to say abortion policy had a major impact on their decision to turn out and which candidate they supported. Black and Hispanic women disproportionately voted for Vice President Harris over President-elect Trump.
  • Voters’ economic anxieties were pervasive throughout the 2024 presidential campaign, and four in ten (39%) voters said “the economy and jobs” was the most important issue facing the country. With this in mind, voters also said they were worried about being able to afford many household expenses, including the cost of health care. President-elect Trump garnered majority support among voters who were most concerned with the cost of household expenses, including over half (58%) of voters who said they were “very concerned” about their own health care costs – even as Harris was seen as the more trusted candidate on health care. Overall, President-elect Trump had a ten-point advantage over Vice President Harris on who voters trust to better handle the economy.

Abortion Ballot Initiatives

In the 2024 election, voters in 10 states were asked to cast ballots on abortion-related ballot measures. In all of the states, the ballot measures were aimed at protecting or expanding abortion access, while Nebraska’s ballot also included a competing measure curtailing abortion rights. Voters in seven states voted to expand abortion access, while the ballot measures to expand or protect abortion access failed in Florida, South Dakota, and Nebraska. To see a complete explanation of the abortion-related ballot measures and the outcome of the election, check out KFF’s dashboard.

About half of voters in each of the 10 states said the outcome of the abortion ballot initiative was “very important” to them. This includes majorities of voters who said they cast their ballot in support of the ballot measures in each of the 10 states. Voters who were opposed to the ballot measures were less likely than their counterparts to say the outcome of the ballot initiative on abortion was “very important” to them, except in Nebraska and South Dakota – two states where the ballot measure seeking to expand abortion access failed. In both these states, majorities of voters on both sides of the ballot measure said the outcome of the measure was “very important” to them – suggesting that both sides were equally motivated by the potential outcome of these ballot measures.

In Florida, the ballot measure failed to reach the 60% threshold needed to pass.2  About six in ten Florida voters who voted in favor of expanding abortion access said the outcome of the ballot measure was “very important” to them compared to nearly half of voters who voted against the ballot measure in the state who said the same, suggesting while enthusiasm for the outcome of the ballot measure was on the pro-access side, it wasn’t enough to overcome the high vote percentage threshold required by Florida law.

Voters Who Voted in Support for Abortion Measures Were More Likely To Prioritize Outcome of Ballot Measure, Except in States Where Ballot Measures Failed

President-elect Trump won key electoral victories in four states where voters also chose to expand or protect abortion access. Across the ten states with abortion ballot measures, Trump garnered small but important shares of votes from those who voted in favor of ballot measures protecting abortion access, including support from about a third of those who voted in favor of abortion access in Missouri and at least three in ten voters in the battleground states of Nevada and Arizona.

In States With Abortion on the Ballot, Notable Share of Those Who Voted to Protect Abortion Rights Also Voted for Trump

Arizona and Nevada: Two Battleground States

Arizona and Nevada are two swing states that President-elect Trump won and a majority of voters passed ballot measures expanding abortion access. This is largely due to significant shares of Republican voters in each of the states voting in favor of expanding abortion access.

Arizona’s Proposition 139 (“Right to Abortion”) proposed enshrining the right to abortion in the state constitution, allowing abortion until fetal viability or at any stage in cases where the pregnant person’s health or life is at risk. The ballot measure will add an amendment to the Arizona state constitution which will provide protections similar to those in place at the federal level before Roe v. Wade was overturned. Arizona law currently bans abortions after 15 weeks. Majorities of voters across age groups and gender voted in support of Proposition 139, even as fewer men said the outcome of the measure was “very important” to them. Nearly eight in ten Black voters and three in four Hispanic voters in Arizona voted in support for expanding abortion access, as did nearly two in three White voters.

Majorities of Key Voting Groups Voted "Yes" on Arizona Proposition 139

Yet, the proposition was viewed largely through a partisan lens. The vast majority of Democratic voters and those who voted for Kamala Harris in the state also voted in support of the proposition (95% and 94%, respectively). On the other hand, most Republicans in the state and those who voted for Donald Trump voted against the proposition, yet about four in ten in both groups voted in favor of the measure. Importantly, while about three-fourths of Democratic voters and Harris voters in the state said the outcome of the ballot measure was “very important” to them, less than half of independent voters, Republican voters, and Trump voters said the same.

Support for Arizona Proposition 139 Was Largely Partisan With Large Majorities of Democratic Voters Voting "Yes"

Nevada’s ballot featured the Right to Abortion Initiative, Question 6, which sought to affirm a constitutional right to abortion up to fetal viability and after viability in cases where the pregnant person’s life or health is endangered.3  Similar to Arizona, majorities of voters across age groups, race and ethnicity, and gender voted in support of the measure – but with more variation. For example, a much larger majority of younger voters ages 18-29 in Nevada voted in support of the measure (80%) compared to older voters (63%), ages 65 and older. Younger voters were also twenty points more likely than their older counterparts to say the outcome of the initiative was “very important” to them. In addition, while two-thirds of men voted in support of the measure, just four in ten said the outcome of the initiative was “very important” to them. Less than half of white voters said the outcome of the initiative was “very important” to them, even as two-thirds voted in support.

Younger Voters, Voters of Color Were Much More Likely To Vote in Favor of Nevada Abortion Access, Say the Outcome Was Important to Them

The measure passed, receiving support from over nine in ten Nevada Democrats (94%) and those who voted for Harris (93%), as well as nearly half of Republicans (46%) and those who voted for Trump (46%). While nearly half of Republican voters and Trump voters supported the measure, just three in ten said the outcome of the ballot measure was “very important” to them.

Most Democratic and Independent Voters Supported Nevada’s Right to Abortion, As Did Half of Republican Voters
Who Were the Pro-Trump and Pro-Abortion Voters?

In all 10 states with abortion-related ballot measures, a larger share of voters voted in favor of abortion access than voted for either presidential candidate. This is largely due to significant shares of Republicans and Democrats voting in favor of the ballot measures, suggesting that partisans may agree more on abortion policy than on the candidate they want to guide national legislation on abortion access. Throughout the campaign, Trump said that abortion laws should be left to the states and that he didn’t plan on signing a national abortion ban, while Harris, on the other hand, said she would sign a national law to restore the abortions rights set by Roe.

This analysis focuses on two key battleground states and finds the demographic profile of pro-abortion ballot measure voters who also voted for President-elect Trump looks very different than the Democratic voters who voted in favor of abortion access in terms of how motivated they were by the issue. Yet, Trump voters who voted in support of abortion access also differ from the other segment of Republican voters (those opposed to the ballot measure) in their views on abortion access legality.

Young men represent the largest segment of Trump voters who voted in support of abortion access in Arizona. More than a quarter (28%) of pro-abortion Trump voters were men between the ages of 18 and 49, while older women represent the largest segment of Harris voters who voted in support of abortion access (31%). Unsurprisingly, partisanship matters a lot. Republican men and Republican women constitute nearly all of pro-abortion Trump voters.

Trump voters who voted in favor of abortion access were much less motivated by the issue of abortion compared to Harris voters who supported the ballot initiative. While four in ten (43%) Harris voters who supported the abortion initiative said that abortion was the single most important factor to their vote, just one in seven (15%) pro-abortion Trump voters said the same. While large majorities of Harris supporters who voted for the ballot measure said the issue of abortion impacted whether they turned out to vote (81%) and who they voted for (76%), far fewer Trump supporters who voted for abortion access said the same.

Four in Ten Harris Supporters in Arizona said Abortion Policy Was Their Most Important Voting Factor; Few Trump Supporters Said the Same

When comparing Trump supporters who voted for and against the ballot measure, supporters of the Arizona abortion initiative tended to be younger (51% were under age 50 compared to 39% of anti-abortion Trump voters). About seven in ten (71%) Trump voters who supported the measure said abortion should be legal in all or most cases, while the large majority of Trump voters who voted against the measure said it should be illegal in all or most cases. Among both groups, few (about one in eight) said abortion was the single most important factor in their vote.

Voters in Arizona Who Supported Abortion and Voted for Trump Were Younger, More Pro-Choice Than Anti-Abortion Trump Voters

Some of the same patterns in Arizona were also present in Nevada, with pro-abortion Harris voters more likely to rate abortion as the single most important factor than pro-abortion Trump voters, and pro-abortion Trump voters being more likely than anti-abortion Trump voters to say they think abortion should be legal in at least most cases. In Nevada, there wasn’t as much of an age and gender difference between Harris supporters and Trump supporters who voted in favor of the ballot measure, with 18-49 year old men representing about a fifth of each voting group.

Nevada Voters Who Supported Trump and Abortion Rights Were Younger and More Likely To See Abortion as a Factor, Compared to Anti-Abortion Trump Voters

Voters in South Dakota, Florida, and Nebraska Rejected Constitutional Amendments Which Would Have Invalidated Current State Bans or Restrictions

For the first time since voters have been asked to vote on abortion access since the Dobbs decision, abortion-related ballot measures failed to pass in three states—Florida, Nebraska, and South Dakota. In each of these three states, the views and motivations of Republican voters proved to be important in determining the future of abortion access.

Florida

Florida’s Amendment 4, the “Florida Right to Abortion Initiative,” would have amended the state constitution to enshrine the right to abortion until the point of fetal viability or to protect the mother’s health. While a majority (57%) of the electorate voted in favor of the initiative, it failed to meet the 60% supermajority required to pass.4  Therefore, Florida’s current 6-week abortion ban will remain in effect in the state.

While the ballot measure failed to reach the 60% threshold, large majorities of Democratic voters (93%), Black voters (83%), and independent voters (72%) in the state voted in favor. About two-thirds of women voters (66%) and Hispanic voters (65%) also supported the measure, as well as six in ten White voters (60%) and male voters (61%). While most Republicans opposed the measure, around four in ten (42%) voted in favor.

Though Majorities of Florida Voters Voted in Favor of the Abortion Rights Initiative, The Measure Did Not Reach the 60% "Yes" Threshold

Nebraska

Nebraska was the only state in this election cycle to have two competing abortion-related ballot measures. One, Initiative 434, would have established a fundamental right to abortion until fetal viability or when needed to protect the life or health of the pregnant person at any time during pregnancy, while Initiative 439, which passed, has amended the constitution to ban abortions past the first trimester, except in medical emergencies or when the pregnancy is a result of rape or incest. The state’s current 12 week ban will stay in effect, and the legislature cannot enact any protections beyond the first trimester – 14 weeks gestation.

Support for the two ballot measures was largely divided along partisan lines, with nine in ten (89%) Democrats supporting the “Right to Abortion Initiative” and about three-quarters (76%) of Republicans supporting the measure restricting abortion access. Among independent voters, a larger share supported the measure expanding abortion access (60%) than the one restricting abortion access (42%).

Over half (58%) of male voters in Nebraska voted in favor of the restrictive abortion initiative, while similar shares (57%) of women voters voted in favor of the initiative to expand abortion rights.

Majorities of Democrats, Young Adults in Nebraska Supported the Ballot Measure Enshrining Abortion Access; Republicans and Older Voters Supported the Measure Banning Abortion After the First Trimester

South Dakota

South Dakota voters rejected Amendment G, which would have amended the state constitution so that the government could only prohibit abortion after the end of the second trimester, except when necessary to preserve the life or health of the pregnant person.

Four in ten (41%) voters in South Dakota supported the measure, though there were pronounced partisan differences. Nine in ten (90%) Democrats, voted in favor of the measure, compared to about one in five Republican voters including a quarter (25%) of Republican men and one in five (19%) Republican women. A larger share of voters, including six in ten (59%) voters ages 45 and older, voted against the amendment rather than in support. Women, ages 18-44, were more divided with about half saying they voted “yes” (48%), and 52% saying they voted “no.”

Majorities of South Dakota Voters Across Gender and Age Voted Against the Ballot Measure to Expand Abortion Rights; Nine in Ten Democrats in the State Voted "Yes" on the Measure

Abortion as a Voting Issue

Abortion continued to be a motivating factor for a notable share of voters in 2024, especially a core constituent of the Democratic base – women. Overall, a quarter (25%) of voters said abortion was the “single most important” factor to their vote, similar to the share in 2022 who said the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade was the most important factor (24%). In addition, about four in ten voters (43%) in 2024 said abortion had a major impact on their decision about whether to turn out, and over half (56%) said it had a major impact on which candidates they supported.

Abortion Remains a Motivating Factor Among Voters

While the overall share of voters who said abortion had an impact on their vote is unchanged from the 2022 midterm elections, it ranked well behind two key factors for voters: the future of democracy in this country and the high prices for gas, groceries, and other goods. Abortion policy also ranked behind the future of free speech in this country and the situation at the U.S.-Mexico border. For Democratic voters, abortion policy ranked above all other issues other than the future of democracy, and Democrats were more than twice as likely as Republicans to say abortion policy was the “single most important factor” to their vote.

One in Four Voters Said Abortion Was the Single Most Important Factor to Their Vote, With Larger Shares Citing the Future of Democracy or High Prices for Essential Goods

The impact of abortion policy on voters’ decisions stands out among certain groups of voters, namely groups of women voters. Three in ten women voters said abortion policy was the “single most important factor” in their vote, including 44% of Black women, 39% of Latina women, and one third of women voters between the ages of 18 and 44. Similar shares of college educated women and women without college degrees said abortion policy was the “single most important factor” in their vote.

In addition, majorities of several groups of women voters said abortion policy had a “major impact” on their decision to turn out and which candidates they supported. More than half of women ages 18 to 44, Black women, and Hispanic women said abortion policy had a major impact on their turnout in the election. Additionally, two thirds or more of Black women voters and Hispanic women voters said abortion policy had a major impact on which candidates they supported. Vice President Harris garnered majority support among Black and Hispanic women.

Large Shares of Young Women Voters and Black Women Voters Said Abortion Was the Single Most Important Factor to Their Vote, With Majorities Saying it Had a Major Impact on Their Decision to Vote

Vice President Harris Did Better Among Voters Who Prioritized Abortion

A large majority of voters (69%) who said abortion was the single most important factor to their vote supported Vice President Harris. The only other issue that one candidate had such a strong advantage on was among those who said the situation at the U.S.- Mexico border was their most important factor in their vote, a group that overwhelmingly voted for President-elect Trump. Other issues, such the future of democracy or high prices for gas, food, and groceries, were more mixed with an advantage for Harris on the former, and Trump on the latter. Voters whose most important issue when voting was the future of free speech in this country split between Harris (45%) and Trump (54%).

Harris Gained Majority Support Among Voters Who Said Abortion Was The Most Important Factor to Their Vote, While Trump Gained Support From Those Who Cited High Prices, the Border

Health Care Costs and Other Issues

Voters’ economic anxieties were pervasive throughout the 2024 presidential campaign, and four in ten (39%) voters said “economy and jobs” was the most important issue facing the country. With this in mind, voters also said they were worried about being able to afford many household expenses, including the cost of health care. Two-thirds (67%) of voters said they were “very concerned” about the cost of food and groceries, followed by more than half who said the same about affording their own health care costs (54%). About half of voters said they were “very concerned” about being able to afford the cost of their housing (51%) or the cost of gas (48%).

Two-Thirds of Voters Say They Are "Very Concerned" About the Cost of Food and Groceries, Half Say the Same About Health Care Costs

Overall, President-elect Trump had a ten-point advantage over Vice President Harris on who voters trust to better handle the economy. Trump’s advantage on the economy was present among voters, regardless of age, but varied among other groups. For example, his advantage was larger among White voters and men voters. Hispanic voters were split on which candidate they trusted to do a better job handling the economy, while Black voters were much more likely to say they trusted Harris to do a better job. Women voters, on the other hand, were also split on which candidate they trusted on the economy.

Democratic voters predictably gave Harris a big advantage and Republican voters gave Trump the advantage, while independent voters also gave Trump the advantage. Fifteen percent of independent voters said they trusted neither candidate on the economy.

Over Half of Men, White Voters, Older Voters, and Republicans Said Trump Is Better Able to Handle the Economy; Large Majorities of Democrats and Black Voters Said Harris Is Better

President-elect Trump garnered majority support among voters who were most concerned with the cost of household expenses, including over half (54%) of voters who said they were “very concerned” about their own health care costs – even as Harris was seen as the more trusted candidate on health care. Trump also garnered majority support among voters who were very concerned about the costs of gas (67%), food (61%), and housing (56%).

President Elect Trump Garnered Majority Support Among Voters Who Were Most Worried About Personal Economic Expenses

Methodology

AP VoteCast is a survey of more than 115,000 voters conducted nationally and in 48 states by NORC at the University of Chicago for The Associated Press, Fox News, PBS NewsHour, and The Wall Street Journal beginning on Oct. 28 and concluding as polls close on Nov. 5, 2024. AP VoteCast conducts interviews with a random sample of registered voters drawn from state voter files and combines them with interviews from self-identified registered voters selected using nonprobability approaches. It also includes interviews with self-identified registered voters conducted using NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak panel, which is designed to be representative of the U.S. population. Interviews are conducted in English and Spanish.

Note: Party labels include partisan leaning independents.

Find more details about AP VoteCast’s methodology at https://www.ap.org/content/politics/elections/ap-votecast/about.

Endnotes

  1. The other ballot measure in Nebraska, which did pass, amended the state constitution to ban abortion after the first trimester except in medical emergencies or when the pregnancy is the result of rape or incest. ↩︎
  2. While most states with abortion on the ballot required a simple majority for the measure to pass, Florida’s measure required 60% to pass. ↩︎
  3. Ballot measures have to pass in two successive general elections in Nevada. This measure will have to appear on the ballot again in 2026 before the proposed amendment is added to the Nevada constitution. ↩︎
  4. Only California (66.88%) and Vermont (76.77%) passed abortion measures protecting abortion by more than 60% in the past — this election Arizona (61.6%) Colorado (62%) Maryland (75.8%) Nevada (64.4 %) and New York (62%) exceeded 60%. ↩︎

The Ground Has Shifted Under PEPFAR: What Does That Mean for Its Future?

Authors: Jennifer Kates, Brian Honermann, and Gregorio Millett
Published: Nov 22, 2024

In this viewpoint article in the Journal of the International AIDS Society written ahead of World AIDS Day (December 1), KFF’s Jennifer Kates and co-authors Brian Honermann and Gregorio Millett of amfAR explore the implications of shifts in the global economic and political environment for the future of PEPFAR, the U.S government’s global HIV program created under President George W. Bush and credited with changing the trajectory of the global HIV/AIDS pandemic.

State Reported Efforts to Address Health Disparities: A 50 State Review

Published: Nov 22, 2024

Summary

In recent years, there has been a growing focus on addressing health disparities and advancing health equity. This growth was spurred by incidents in 2020, including the COVID-19 pandemic, which highlighted the disproportionate impact of the virus on low-income people and people of color in the U.S. in addition to the police killings of George Floyd, Breonna Taylor, and others that increased attention to systemic racism that contributes to inequities such as health disparities. While the federal government can play a key role in addressing inequities, states also play a pivotal role, as they set policies, allocate resources, and administer many services and programs that are important for addressing the conditions that determine health both within and beyond the health care system. Moreover, states have varying demographics, population needs, and political leadership, which may shape efforts to address health disparities and promote health equity. Efforts at the federal level are expected to shift under the Trump Administration, given that, during his first term, he took executive action to prohibit federal agencies and contractors from providing training addressing racism and sexism and has proposed policies that may widen disparities in coverage and access to care. As such, understanding state actions in this area may be of increasing importance.

This analysis focuses on current state efforts, many of which were implemented during or after 2020, to address health disparities and advance health equity based on a review of publicly available materials from all 50 states and DC. In addition, case study interviews were conducted with 14 stakeholders in three states (California, North Dakota, and Michigan) to increase understanding of the factors contributing to success of these state initiatives, lessons learned, and potential implications for other states. The case study initiatives reflect some of the broad themes of state-level activities identified through the analysis of publicly available materials and include states with varied geography, racial and ethnic demographics, and political leadership (See Methods for more details.) Key takeaways from the review include the following:

  • Nearly all states identify health equity and/or addressing health disparities as a strategic priority, and most have established infrastructure to lead this work. States vary in the level of governance they have established, how the positions or offices were created, and their scope and areas of responsibility. A few states do not have governance dedicated to addressing health disparities or health equity, although most of these states still have efforts focused on addressing health disparities. In contrast, a small number of states have passed legislation or instituted policies that prohibit activities related to diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) and/or that refer to structural racism. In addition to establishing infrastructure, some states describe shifts in their internal operations to address disparities and/or advance equity, including developing cross-agency collaboratives to embed equity into institutional practices and codifying these operational procedures into policy; mandating equity training for state staff; and stipulating equity-related requirements for budget, funding, and contracting decisions.
  • Nearly all states include community engagement as part of their approach to addressing health disparities and/or equity. However, states vary in how they define community and the extent to which they share decision-making and resources with communities. Approaches range in the degree of engagement, as well as in the extent of power and resource sharing with communities, from soliciting input and feedback from communities; to having community representation on advisory councils, task forces, or similar groups to inform state planning and decision-making; to providing resources to support increased capacity of communities; to facilitating and funding community-defined and led strategies. States often are implementing multiple types of community engagement approaches, which may address different health or population needs and/or facilitate greater reach and impact.
  • Many states describe cross-sector initiatives to address health disparities, recognizing the role social and economic factors play in determining health. States are incorporating a health equity focus across sectors in various ways. For example, several states have adopted place-based initiatives to address social determinants of health (SDOH) in specific geographic areas. Some states indicate that they employ a Health in All Policies (HiAP) approach and/or use Health Impact Assessments (HIAs) to incorporate health equity considerations into decision making across sectors beyond health. Many states also report using Medicaid managed care contracts to promote strategies to address SDOH.
  • States also point to training and diversifying the health care workforce as part of efforts to address disparities and advance equity. These efforts include optional or mandated equity-related training for health care workers; efforts to increase diversity in the pipeline of health care workers; and recruitment, training, and support for community-based providers, including doulas and community health workers. Expanding access to and creating infrastructure to support doulas and community health workers are common areas of focus as part of state efforts to address disparities in maternal and infant health. A growing number of states are providing Medicaid reimbursement for doula services and/or providing funding and infrastructure to support doula training and credentialing and community health workers.
  • States are implementing data collection, analysis, and reporting strategies aimed at addressing health disparities and/or equity. Most states are publicly reporting data to support efforts to address disparities, but there is wide variation in the timeliness, format, and scope of these data. A number of states have also developed or indicated that they are in the process of developing indices or datasets related to measuring equity and/or social vulnerability. Beyond increasing access to data through public reporting, some states also report changing data collection practices to support greater disaggregation of data and increased data sharing, including with communities.

This analysis shows that states with varying geography, demographics, and political leadership are pursuing work to address health disparities. However, states range in the level of commitment and resources focused on this work. While some states are taking more incremental steps, others have identified this work as a major cross-sector strategic priority, established dedicated infrastructure and resources to support this work, taken steps to empower and support impacted communities, and are working toward broader systems and policy changes to mitigate disparities.

As a result of these efforts, states have directed increased staff and resources to this work, established infrastructure and/or policies that facilitate community input to inform state decision-making and program implementation, increased funding to community-based organizations, and enhanced data available to identify and direct efforts to address disparities. In particular, the establishment of new infrastructure and policies to address disparities and advance equity may facilitate sustainability of this work amidst potential turnover in staff and leadership. Case study respondents highlighted factors that contributed to the success of initiatives and potential lessons for other states, including the presence of strong state leaders and champions, developing trusted and authentic relationships between the state and community, state leadership being open to innovative community-led approaches, and using evaluation data to support sustainability of initiatives over time.

This information may help inform state efforts to address health disparities and advance health equity by identifying potential strategies and approaches states may consider and factors that contribute to success. It is subject to limitations. While we sought to be comprehensive in our review, states may have activities underway that are not reflected in public-facing materials. It is also possible that new activities have begun, concluded, or been retracted after our data collection period. Moreover, while this analysis provides greater insight into the range of state-reported activities to address health disparities and/or equity, it does not give insight into the effectiveness or outcomes associated with these actions. Future work examining the impacts of these efforts on state operations and disparities in health care and health outcomes will be important to help guide ongoing efforts to address health disparities and advance greater health equity.(Back to top)

Publicly Reported State Activities

State Infrastructure and Governance

Nearly all states have an office or division focused on health equity or disparities (Table 1). States vary in the level of governance they have established, how positions or offices were created, and in their scope. However, these offices are generally located within the states’ Departments of Health or Health and Human Services. While some are longstanding offices focused on minority health or disparities, others were more recently established or refocused in the wake of the disparate health impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. As such, in a number of states the levels of staff and resources focused on addressing disparities and advancing equity have increased in recent years. The few states without an office or division dedicated to health disparities or health equity generally still have resources and initiatives aimed at addressing disparities or advancing equity. For example, although Vermont does not have a dedicated health equity office, health equity is a primary strategic goal, and it has an Office of Health Equity under development.

Some states also have equity branches or divisions within agencies or divisions of their Departments of Health or Health and Human Services, such as their Medicaid agencies and/or Behavioral Health agencies. Additionally, a number of states have health equity task forces, councils, or commissions, which vary in composition and roles. Some include membership from community members and experts outside the state to provide feedback and information to guide state efforts. Others bring together state employees across sectors to collaborate on equity efforts across the state and/or to coordinate regional or local activities. Some include a combination of external experts, community representatives, and state employees.

In contrast, a small number of states have passed legislation or instituted policies that prohibit activities related to diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI), and/or refer to structural racism. In these states, health equity and disparities related activities and content do not exist in their public materials, are being scaled back, or have been eliminated. For example Texas‘ previous Center for Minority Health Statistics and Engagement was defunded in 2017, and a legislative proposal to establish a new Office of Health Equity failed due to Republican opposition. In 2022, Florida’s state health goals removed equity as a state priority. The new state health improvement plan did not reference equity and made no mention of race or ethnicity. In July 2024, the Utah legislature passed a bill prohibiting DEI training, hiring, and inclusion programs in higher education and government employment. In Arizona, SB1005 prohibits public institutions from spending funds on DEI programming and removes requirements for employees to engage in DEI programming or training.

Less than a third of states have an overarching equity office or position (not specific to health) that was identifiable through public-facing materials. Many of these were established in 2019 or later. In California, Governor Newsom established a Chief Equity Officer through an Executive Order, who is housed within the Government Operations Agency. Similarly, in Illinois, an Office of Equity within the Office of the Governor was established via Executive Order, and New Jersey has an Office of Diversity, Equity, Inclusion, and Belonging (Office of Equity) that was created by Executive Order. Vermont’s Office of Racial Equity was formed in 2019 through legislation and has since grown in scope. Washington State’s Office of Equity was established by legislation in 2020 in response to the growing diversity of the population, disparities in opportunities across groups, and the economic and social costs of inequities.

The scope of these offices varies across states. For example, in DC, the Office of Racial Equity, which was established in 2021, focuses on developing an infrastructure to ensure policy decisions and programs are evaluated through a racial equity lens and to implement the Racial Equity Achieves Results (REACH) Act. In New Jersey, the Office of Equity is charged with increasing the presence and participation of historically underrepresented groups in state government; developing equity frameworks to guide state policy decisions; directing diversity, equity, inclusion, and belonging efforts in the Governor’s Office; guiding and coordinating state agency initiatives to strengthen diversity, equity, inclusion, and belonging within the state workforce; and monitoring implementation of these measures. Other offices, such as the Office of Diversity, Opportunity, and Inclusion in Virginia and Division of Equity, Diversity, and Inclusion in Rhode Island, are primarily focused on promoting diversity and inclusion among the state workforces.

Table 1: State Infrastructure to Address Equity
 Office of Health Disparities and/or Health Equity and/or Minority HealthOffice of Equity and/or Equity Officer Position
Total  
AlabamaOffice of Health Equity and Minority Health 
AlaskaHealthy and Equitable Communities 
ArizonaOffice of Heath Equity 
ArkansasOffice of Minority Health and Health Disparities 
CaliforniaOffice of Health EquityChief Equity Officer
ColoradoOffice of Health EquityStatewide Equity Office
ConnecticutOffice of Health Equity 
DelawareBureau of Health Equity 
DCOffice of Health EquityOffice of Racial Equity
FloridaOffice of Minority Health 
Georgia
HawaiiOffice of Health Equity (Under Development) 
Idaho
IllinoisCenter for Minority Health ServicesOffice of Equity
IndianaOffice of Minority HealthOffice of the Chief Equity, Inclusion, and Opportunity Officer
Iowa
Kansas
KentuckyOffice of Health Equity 
LouisianaCommunity Partnerships and Health Equity 
MaineOffice of Population Health Equity 
MarylandOffice of Minority Health and Health Disparities 
MassachusettsOffice of Health Equity 
MichiganOffice of Equity and Minority HealthDiversity, Equity, and Inclusion
MinnesotaCenter for Health EquityOffice of Equity, Opportunity, and Accessibility
MississippiHealth Equity Office 
MissouriOffice of Minority Health 
Montana
NebraskaOffice of Health Disparities 
NevadaOffice of Minority Health and Equity 
New HampshireOffice of Health Equity 
New JerseyMinority and Multicultural HealthOffice of Equity
New MexicoOffice of Health Equity 
New YorkOffice of Health Equity and Human Rights 
North CarolinaOffice of Health Equity 
North DakotaCommunity Engagement Unit 
OhioOffice of Health OpportunityOffice of Opportunity and Accessibility
OklahomaOffice of Minority Health and Health Equity 
OregonEquity and Inclusion Division 
PennsylvaniaOffice of Health EquityDiversity, Equity, and Inclusion
Rhode IslandDivision of Community Health and EquityDivision of Equity, Diversity, and Inclusion
South Carolina
South Dakota
TennesseeDivision of Health Disparities Elimination and Office of Minority Health and Disparities Elimination 
Texas
UtahOffice of Health Equity 
VermontOffice of Racial Equity
VirginiaOffice of Health EquityOffice of Diversity, Opportunity, and Inclusion
WashingtonOffice of Public Affairs and EquityOffice of Equity
West VirginiaDivision of Health Promotion and Chronic Disease
WisconsinOffice of Health Equity 
WyomingOffice of Training, Performance, and Equity 
Source: KFF analysis of state public websites between September 13, 2023 and March 5, 2024.

A number of states, particularly those that are home to larger populations of American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN) people, have established positions, offices, or other organizational infrastructure focused on communicating and consulting with Tribes and/or addressing AIAN health. Some of these states have Tribal liaisons who serve as a link to exchange information between the state and Tribal nations and facilitate Tribal consultation processes. For example, in Arizona, the Department of Health Services Tribal Liaison serves as an “advocate, resource, and communication link between the Department and Arizona’s Native American health care community.” North Dakota has four Tribal health liaisons who facilitate community engagement with five Tribes throughout the state (Box 1.) The liaisons also serve as an internal resource to the state’s Indian Affairs Commission. Other states have established leadership positions or offices focused on AIAN health. For example, Montana has an American Indian Health Director who directs the Office of American Indian Health, which serves as a communication link between the state and American Indian communities. A few states have councils or commissions that serve similar roles. In Oklahoma, the Tribal Behavioral Health Coalition specifically focuses on providing guidance on mental health and substance abuse issues for Tribal nations co-located in the state. Beyond this infrastructure, some states have clearly outlined policies and processes for Tribal consultation. For example, in 2020, Michigan established a formal Tribal Consultation policy that was developed with feedback from Tribal representatives.

Box 1: State Engagement with Tribes in North Dakota

In North Dakota, the Community Engagement Unit has four Tribal liaisons that work with the five Tribes placed in the state, who help build relationships and support bidirectional information sharing. The liaisons, along with leadership from the Community Engagement Unit and the state health officer, participate in quarterly meetings with the Tribal Health Directors, which have been consolidated with North Dakota Medicaid Tribal consultation meetings.

Case study respondents noted that this meeting process was established to improve working relationships between the state and Tribes, which previously had been challenged by a lack of trusted relationships and low meeting attendance. Respondents also noted that Tribal nations have had a government-to-government relationship with the federal government rather than the state, but over time the federal government has ceded more responsibilities to the states. This has necessitated relationship building between the state and Tribes, which is being facilitated by the Tribal Health Directors meetings.

Respondents highlighted several successes of this meeting and consultation approach. They noted that the individuals convening the meetings are primarily members of Tribal Nations placed in North Dakota, and that it has been valuable having the meeting invitation come from trusted enrolled members. They also highlighted the value of state leaders and staff coming to the community for meetings over the previous expectation of Tribal representation traveling to the state capital. They indicated that having state leaders and staff see the community and meet people in the community is important for informing culturally appropriate and responsive decision making and building trust.

Respondents said the meeting format has contributed to an improved working relationship, suggesting that it has allowed for more problem solving and supports honest and sometimes difficult dialogue that is necessary to work through. For example, they noted that it has facilitated the development of data sharing agreements between the state and Tribes and addressing Medicaid eligibility and reimbursement concerns.

Many states have also established ancillary governance structures such as commissions, task forces, councils, and workgroups to support state efforts to address health disparities and/or equity. While some of these structures include state staff persons, they often facilitate engagement of non-governmental leaders, such as subject matter experts, advocates, health care practitioners, and community-based organizations, in the development and implementation of the state’s strategy. These structures can help inform an agency’s decision-making process and/or be responsive to specific information or advisory needs. In April 2020, for example, the Tennessee Department of Health’s Division of Health Disparities Elimination launched the Tennessee Health Disparities Advisory Group to address the disproportionate number of individuals in communities of color affected by COVID-19 by examining data, monitoring trends, and generating responsive solutions during the pandemic. In Minnesota, the Department of Health formed the Health Equity Advisory and Leadership Council to serve as a voice for communities impacted by health inequities throughout the state and provide guidance on policies, programs, performance metrics geared toward the promotion of \health equity. Similarly, the Oregon Health Policy Board established a Health Equity Committee to coordinate, develop, and recommend policy designed to eliminate health inequities.(Back to top)

Strategic Priorities

Nearly all states have identified addressing health disparities and/or advancing health equity as a strategic priority, with most framing their goals around improving health for all residents. These include aims of advancing health equity, promoting optimal health for all residents, enabling all residents to achieve their full health potential, providing equitable opportunities for people to be healthy and have access to health services, and reducing or eliminating health disparities. While these goals typically encompass all residents, some states identify specific types of disparities or population groups that are of particular focus, including those that face inequities by demographic factors such as race and ethnicity, age, socioeconomic status, sexual orientation, gender, ability, immigration status, religion, and/or geographic location. State strategic goals commonly reference the role of SDOH and importance of engaging with the community as part of their efforts. A smaller number of states explicitly identify addressing racism and recognizing historical discrimination, disparities in behavioral and mental health, or environmental justice as components of this work. Some states also identify addressing internal capacity and workforce diversity as key components of these efforts.

Most states have a definition of health equity in their publicly posted materials, and about half have a publicly posted definition of health disparities. How states define health equity and health disparities may shape the directions and focus of their work in this area, as they vary in recognition of factors that drive disparities and potential mechanisms to advance equity. State definitions of health equity most commonly refer to or draw on definitions from the CDC, including the Healthy People 2030 definition, which recognize that achieving health equity requires addressing social and economic factors that contribute to disparities and historical and contemporary injustices. Some also reference or draw on definitions from the World Health Organization or the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. Oregon’s definition of health equity is unique in that it identifies “equitable distribution or redistribution of resources and power” as a component for achieving health equity. State definitions of health disparities generally refer to or draw on definitions from Healthy People, the CDC, and the National Institutes of Health. These definitions all recognize that disparities impact groups of people who are socially disadvantaged or experience more obstacles to health. The Healthy People definition identifies health disparities as linked to social, economic, and environmental disparities, although states vary in the extent to which their definitions identify root causes of disparities and the role of social and economic factors. Minnesota’s definition specifies that disparities are not explained by genetic or biological factors and highlights that they are life-threatening and urgent to address. By contrast, Missouri identifies genetics as a contributing factor to disparities. Oklahoma’s definition highlights root causes of disparities as “poverty, racism, class and gender discrimination, and other factors.” California’s definition is unique in its inclusion of mental health disparities.

Areas of focus related to addressing health disparities spanned a wide array of health needs and conditions, with some areas of common focus, including maternal and infant health and chronic disease. For example, Michigan has prioritized addressing disparities in maternal and infant health through its 2024 strategic plan (Box 2). Ohio created the Eliminating Racial Disparities in Infant Mortality Task Force to work with local, state, and national leaders. Arizona’s AZ Health Start Program supports home visits for at-risk pregnant or postpartum women and its Tribal Maternal Task Force was established to develop a culturally relevant Tribal maternal health plan. The North Dakota Diabetes Prevention and Control Program (NDDPCP) established a collaborative between health systems, health centers, and pharmacies to increase point-of-care testing in community pharmacies. Some states also identified a focus on addressing disparities in behavioral health. The California Reducing Disparities Project is a statewide initiative designed to address disparities in behavioral and mental health among certain populations. Colorado established the Behavioral Health Administration, which focuses on addressing the social and structural determinants of behavioral health. Environmental health justice and addressing disparities in health-related environmental impacts is also an emerging focus area. For example, California developed Climate Change and Health Vulnerability indicators to identify people and places more susceptible to adverse health impacts associated with climate change. Wisconsin is developing an Environmental Equity Tool, which will help identify communities impacted by pollution, climate change, socioeconomic factors, and other environmental and health hazards.

Box 2: Michigan’s Maternal and Infant Health Strategic Plan

Michigan’s Department of Health and Human Services (MDHHS) through its Division of Maternal and Infant Health released its 2024 -2028 Advancing Healthy Births – An Equity Plan for Michigan Families and Communities in October 2023. The plan was developed with input through 12 town hall discussions hosted by Regional Perinatal Quality Collaboratives and includes four focus areas: 1) health across the reproductive span, 2) full-term, healthy weight babies, 3) infants sleeping safely, and 4) mental, behavioral health & well-being. The plan includes an expansion of funding for community-based organizations focused on addressing disparities in birth outcomes that is distributed through the regional collaboratives.

Case study respondents noted that the state had a focus on birth equity prior to the COVID pandemic but that the COVID experience accelerated these efforts and drove momentum for an action-oriented plan that was reflective of community input. Success of the state’s COVID racial disparities task force in closing gaps demonstrated the possibility of achieving improvements with focused action.

Some respondents further noted that the strategic plan has helped unify regional and local activities and provided increased structure and funding to support the work. They indicated that providing funding through the collaboratives to local organizations recognizes that the value of community solutions and helps remove barriers for organizations accessing funds, since they do not have to go through state contracting processes.

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Community Engagement

Nearly all states are engaging with or have reported plans to engage with communities to address health disparities and/or equity, although they vary in how they identify community as well as in their approaches and the extent to which they share decision-making with communities. States varied in their references to community, with some defining community as local public health agencies or other local government partners, whereas others included community-based organizations. Some further sought to engage directly with individuals impacted by disparities. How states defined community informed their engagement approaches. State community engagement approaches range in level of engagement and sharing of power and resources, from more incremental efforts that solicit feedback to more comprehensive and deeper efforts that support the increased capacity of communities and community-defined and -led strategies to address disparities. States often implement multiple community engagement approaches, which may address different health or community needs. States engaged in efforts to share power and decision-making with communities tend to have more comprehensive and multi-pronged approaches (See Box 3).

Box 3: Minnesota’s Multi-Pronged Community Engagement Approach

In 2018, Minnesota established a Health Equity Advisory and Leadership Council, which represents the voices of communities impacted by disparities, including people of color, rural residents, people with disabilities, American Indian people, LGBTQ communities, and refugees and immigrants. The council assists the Department of Health in carrying out the efforts outlined in the department’s strategic plan and its Advancing Health Equity report, including advising on specific MDH policies and programs. It also assists in developing performance measures related to advancing health equity.

In 2023, the state passed legislation that created the Capacity Strengthening Initiative, a grant program that provides state funding to community organizations to amplify their ability to support the health and well-being of state residents, with a focus on helping community and faith-based organizations that serve people of color, American Indian people, LGBTQIA+ communities, and people with disabilities. The state also provides grants to community-based organizations through its Community Solutions for Health Child Development Grants and funding to organizations and Tribes through its Eliminating Health Disparities Initiative.

The state also reports using a shared leadership and decision-making model to develop and implement policy and systems solutions to reduce infant mortality among African Americans in Hennepin County. This included establishing a Community Voices and Solutions leadership team representing community groups, grassroots organizations, and local and state health departments to guide the project, which was completed in 2020.

Other community engagement initiatives include The Healthy Minnesota Partnership, which brings together public health professionals, community leaders, and healthcare providers to implement the state’s health improvement plan. The Department of Health Center for Public Health Practice offers training and technical assistance to support authentic engagement practices. Its Health Equity Data Analysis Guide emphasizes the importance of community engagement in the data collection, analysis, and application of results. In addition, the state’s regional Health Equity Networks provide support for local public health, Tribal public health, and community organizations. These networks help to connect, strengthen, and amplify health equity efforts using a regional and relational approach.

States described gaining input from communities by hosting listening sessions or town halls, administering surveys and/or focus groups, or by requesting public comments. For example, when Michigan sought to improve how it collected race and ethnicity data for its health surveys, it posted its proposed changes on its website and requested feedback and held meetings with community groups across the state to raise awareness and garner feedback. Similarly, to inform the development of its Health in All Policies (HiAP) agenda, the New Jersey’s Department of Health worked with Rutgers University to conduct listening sessions with experts and community leaders across the state. To center the voices of Wisconsinites, the state conducted a series of community conversations to understand needs and resources in developing its state health improvement plan.

Beyond soliciting feedback, some states have included community-based organizations, Tribal members, local health departments, faith-based institutions, and other local organizations in strategic planning processes and on task forces, work groups, committees, advisory councils, and boards to inform decision-making. For example, in developing its strategic plan, Hawaii included contributions from universities, physicians, community-based organizations, and other local stakeholders. Oregon’s Healthier Together strategy was led by a community-based steering committee called the PartnerSHIP, which made final decisions about the plan’s priorities and strategies. Nevada’s Health Equity plan outlines efforts to form a data advisory committee to assess data needs and gaps and identify communities for inclusion  in efforts to identify, analyze and report data.

Many states also are providing resources and assets to support community-level efforts and increase the capacity of organizations serving the community. These efforts include strengthening community networks; utilizing community health workers; increasing local health services capacity; and providing training, technical assistance, and culturally tailored communications and resources to community-based organizations. South Carolina’s Cancer Alliance, for example, brings together a network of leaders, communities and organizations to coordinate, collaborate, and provide education and research on cancer disparities and solutions to communities in partnership with the state’s Department of Health and Environment Control. With its COVID Community Partnership (CCP), Utah deployed community health workers to connect under-resourced communities to provide credible health information and COVID-19 vaccines. Moreover, through its Embrace Project Study, it sought to build trust with the Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander communities by having community health workers provide biometric screenings and health coaching sessions for diabetes and maternal mortality and morbidity prevention. Illinois has focused on increasing the capacity of local health services for behavioral health through its Recovery Oriented Systems of Care (ROSC). This statewide network program geographically distributes councils that assist communities with building local recovery systems of care, including local primary care, law enforcement, hospitals, prevention and recovery services, and a variety of community stakeholders.

Some states have demonstrated a deeper commitment to community engagement by sharing decision-making with the community and supporting community-led initiatives. In some cases, this is via government-to-government partnerships between states and Tribal nations and/or by having a dedicated state infrastructure to partner in Tribal affairs. For example, Alaska’s state health improvement plan (SHIP) is led by a state and Tribal partnership between the Alaska Native Tribal Health Consortium and the state’s Department of Public Health. In other cases, such as Minnesota’s Community Voices and Solutions infant mortality reduction initiative in Hennepin County and the Health Equity Zones in Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Washington, the states facilitate and fund initiatives. These initiatives are determined and led by the local communities themselves. In California, the California Reducing Disparities Project was developed specifically to support the design, implementation, and evaluation of community-led approaches to address behavioral and mental health disparities among certain populations (Box 4).

Box 4: The California Reducing Disparities Project

The California Reducing Disparities Project (CRDP) funds and evaluates community-designed and led initiatives to reduce behavioral and mental health disparities among five focus populations: African American people; Asian and Pacific Islander people; Latino people; Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, Transgender, Queer, and Questioning people; and Native American people.

In case study interviews, respondents emphasized the importance of a focus on behavioral and mental health outcomes as part of health equity efforts and the value of supporting interventions that are developed by the affected communities. They indicated that the state’s openness to supporting these approaches, which include non-Westernized approaches, has allowed for implementation of innovative interventions that are effective for the populations being served. They noted that going forward, the evaluation component of the project has been helpful to illustrate the benefits of and justify these approaches, which may facilitate their sustainability going forward.

Some states have demonstrated a long-term commitment to community engagement through the establishment of staff, infrastructure, and/or strategic plans dedicated to leading and implementing community engagement initiatives. Louisiana’s community engagement strategy is guided by its Community Engagement Framework, which aims to build the health agency’s capacity to engage people and communities equitably. Colorado’s Community Action and Engagement Unit works to identify and support community organizations, healthcare entities, and public health agencies to promote health equity and address SDOH related to COVID-19. Similarly, North Dakota’s Community Engagement Unit is dedicated to community-engaged strategies and serves as a resource for addressing health disparities and advancing health equity.(Back to top)

Cross-Sector Approaches

As part of efforts to address health disparities, many states are implementing initiatives that focus on broader social, economic, and environmental factors that influence health. For example, Connecticut’s Healthy Connecticut 2025 plan addresses SDOH through strategies focused on economic stability, healthy food and housing, and community resilience, while incorporating areas of structural racism, transportation, and education. In Washington State, the Governor’s Interagency Council on Health Disparities, which was created by legislative action, emphasizes equity and community engagement in addressing SDOH, including improving access to healthy food and educational opportunities and reducing environmental hazards. In North Dakota, the state is implementing a new Multi-Partner Health Collaborative, which includes state leaders across sectors and focuses on areas outlined in the State Health Improvement Plan (SHIP) (Box 5).

Box 5: North Dakota Multi-Partner Health Collaborative (MPHC)

The North Dakota MPHC aims to work with community members, non-profit organizations, non-government organizations, healthcare systems, businesses and governmental agencies to equitably enhance the health of all North Dakotans. The MPHC’s steering committee will guide and support four goal groups focused on areas outlined in the SHIP to ensure their effectiveness and alignment with the mission, vision, purpose and values of the MPHC, which includes a cross-cutting focus on equity. The steering committee’s composition strives for broad representation across demographic factors and sectors including but not limited to aging populations, community members, Tribal nations, youth, child advocacy, disability, environment, health care, local public health, and education.

Case study respondents indicated that the intention of the MPHC is to help break down silos between community-based organizations, local public health, and state agencies. This will be the first time the SHIP implementation is driven by external stakeholders and includes a focus on upstream drivers, which one respondent indicated reflects recognition of the importance of addressing systemic issues to drive improvements in health.

Several states have adopted place-based initiatives to address SDOH in specific geographic areas. Get Healthy Idaho’s place-based initiatives engage residents in local areas to identify priorities, challenges, and opportunities to ensure community voices guide the strategy development and implementation process. In Pennsylvania, North Philadelphia’s Health Enterprise Zones and Regional Accountable Health Councils collaborate using health and SDOH assessments to inform population health planning and develop long-term public health strategies, particularly for areas with high disease burden and health disparities. Rhode Island’s Health Equity Zones (HEZs) focus on addressing health inequities in geographic zones through community-led assessments and action plans, with a focus on integrated healthcare, community resilience, the physical environment, socioeconomics, and community trauma.

Some states indicate that they employ a HiAP approach and use Health Impact Assessments to incorporate health equity considerations into decision making across sectors. Nevada’s Health Equity Action Plan recommends adoption of an HiAP approach and utilization of tools like Health Impact Assessments, Racial Equity Impact Assessments, and the Office of Minority Health Equity’s Health Equity Lens to measure the effects of proposed policies, programs, and plans on health equity and community health. Additionally, Nevada promotes the use of health impact notes, similar to fiscal notes, to evaluate the potential health outcomes of proposed legislation across different sectors. In Washington, DC, the Office of Health Equity implements the Calling All Sectors Initiative, which is a multisector approach to operationalize health equity by using a HiAP approach and engaging stakeholders across sectors to promote health, wellness, and equity, recognizing the impacts of housing affordability, insecurity, and homelessness on maternal and infant health.

A growing number of states also are addressing health-related social needs (HRSNs) through their Medicaid programs. Most states that contract with managed care plans to deliver care to Medicaid enrollees report leveraging managed care organization (MCO) contracts to promote at least one strategy to address SDOH in FY 2024. These included requiring MCOs to screen enrollees for behavioral health needs, screen enrollees for social needs, provide referrals to social services, and partner with community-based organizations. States also report requiring MCOs to encourage or require providers to capture SDOH data, incorporate uniform SDOH questions within screening tools, employ community health workers, and track outcomes of referrals to social services. In addition to these MCO activities, as of October 2024, CMS approved ten states (Arizona, Arkansas, California, Illinois, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, and Washington) under the new Health-Related Social Needs (HRSN) Section 1115 framework. These waivers authorize evidence-based housing and nutrition services for specific populations with unmet social needs. For example, Arizona’s AHCCCS Whole Person Care Initiative provides housing and other supports to individuals at risk of homelessness with health needs. States can also obtain “infrastructure” funding to support the implementation of HRSN waivers or build state or regional capacity to manage population health. For example, New York’s Health Equity Regional Organization is designed to develop regionally focused approaches to reduce health disparities, advance quality and health equity, and make recommendations to incorporate HRSN into value-based payments.(Back to top)

Training and Diversifying the Health Workforce

A number of states identified health equity-related training initiatives for health care providers, although they varied in scope and implementation, with some optional and others required. For example, Alabama has an optional on demand web-based training for nurses, social workers, clinicians, health educators, and other healthcare professionals and administrators to better understand health equity and why it is important to their daily work. Other states have mandated equity-related training through executive action or legislation. For example, a 2019 law in California seeks to reduce Black maternal mortality by requiring all perinatal health care providers to undergo implicit bias training. Colorado passed legislation in 2022 requiring the Office of Health Equity and The Department of Public Health and Environment to create a culturally relevant and affirming health care training grant program aimed at increasing provider capacity to provide culturally responsive care. Maryland passed legislation requiring applicants for the renewal of a health occupations board license or certificate to attest to the completion of an approved implicit bias training program. Maryland also is in the process of creating a maternal health equity advisory group that will produce recommendations to educate non-obstetric providers of care to pregnant and postpartum patients on the topics of maternal morbidity, racial bias, and the importance of respecting the patient’s voice.

Some states reported efforts to increase the diversity of the health care workforce. For example, California’s Medicine Scholars Program, which was established, in part, through state funding, seeks to reduce barriers students of color face as they move through the pipeline to jobs in the medical workforce. Similarly, New York provides funding for student support programs designed to increase the diversity of providers in the state, including its longstanding diversity in medicine program.

Another area of focus for states is increasing access to and availability of community-based providers, including community health workers and doulas. Some states are seeking to increase access to these providers by providing patient education about these services, supporting training to increase the supply of these providers, and providing reimbursement for their services. For example, the intends to increase the number of Black birthing people who are informed about the benefits of doula care and offered the opportunity to work with doulas; improve the prenatal, labor, and delivery, and postpartum care of Black birthing people; and support the development of a culture of understanding and mutual respect between doulas and clinical staff. Other analysis shows, as of early February 2024, 12 states reimburse services provided by doulas under Medicaid , with two states, Louisiana and Rhode Island, also implementing private coverage of doula services. Additionally, states are funding grants or scholarships to support doula training and credentialing. Michigan launched a Doula Initiative that includes Medicaid reimbursement for doulas and efforts to increase and support doula providers, which is informed by a Doula Advisory Committee (Box 6). Other states identified efforts to enhance access to community health workers. For example, the Indiana Department of Health is using a place-based approach in which districts experiencing disparities are allocated community engagement funds to be used by community health workers to address the needs of underserved populations in the area. Montana is investing in the ongoing training for community health workers on issues related to health equity, cultural competencies, and SDOH.

Box 6: Michigan Doula Initiative

In January 2023, the Michigan Medicaid program began reimbursing doula services. Coinciding with this reimbursement, the state established the Doula Initiative, which maintains a registry of doulas and aims to increase and support doula services by providing technical assistance and engaging with doulas, families, and partners to increase access to services. These efforts are informed by a Doula Advisory Council that represents doulas across the state and advises on training curricula, continuing education, billing issues, and challenges.

Case study respondents indicated that the Doula Advisory Council and other community organizations have provided important feedback to help guide implementation of the Medicaid reimbursement policy. They noted that there are challenges associated with applying a clinical model to non-clinical providers who do not have prior experience or, in some cases, capacity to participate in a reimbursement model. As such, providing doulas tools to understand and navigate the system is an important component of implementation of the new policy.

(Back to top)

Data Equity Initiatives

Most states are publicly reporting data to support efforts to address disparities, but there is wide variation in the timeliness, format, and scope of these data. Many states have static reports with measures of health and, in some cases, health-related social and economic factors broken out by race and ethnicity and other demographic factors, which may be updated on a regular basis. For example, in California, the Office of Health Equity produces a biannual demographic report on health and behavioral and mental health inequities for the state legislature and residents. The scope of measures included in these reports, as well as the timeliness of the data included, varies across states. In some states, the latest publicly available reports have outdated data, while others are updated on a regular and timely basis. Beyond these static reports, a growing number of states are developing interactive data dashboards, data portals, or maps that allow users to explore a wide variety of measures, sometimes including social, economic, and/or environmental measures, by various demographic factors. For example, Washington’s Tracking Network was developed to make public health data more accessible by featuring a variety of data tools, including an Environmental Health Disparities map, which depicts where environmental health disparities are occurring to prioritize public investments. Similarly, in a partnership between the Division of Public Health, Delaware Racial Justice Collaborative, and United Way, Delaware’s Equity Counts Data Center provides multiple data points (i.e., indicators in health, education, criminal justice, and economics) that can be used to examine disparities by race, ethnicity, gender, and age across the state and at the zip code level.

Several states also have developed or indicated that they are in the process of developing indices or datasets related to measuring equity and/or social vulnerability. For example, the Get Healthy Idaho Index and Community Data tool measures and ranks neighborhoods’ health and well-being based on factors like access to healthy food, parks, clean air, and healthcare services, to provide a holistic view of community health. The index aims to guide policymakers and community leaders to improve the overall health of Idaho. Arizona indicates that it is adapting the CDC’s Social Vulnerability Index into an Arizona-specific index. Utah’s Health Improvement Index includes nine determinants of health including demographics, socioeconomic deprivation, economic inequality, resource availability, and opportunity structure. Michigan reports it is developing a health equity data set that will include indicators for social and economic conditions; environmental conditions; health status, behaviors, and healthcare; and priority health outcomes to monitor racial health disparities. In addition to SDOH, some states also are reporting measures related to environmental quality and conditions in their data dashboards or indices. For example, Rhode Island provides a map of extreme heat impacts in their Health Equity Zones.

Beyond efforts to increase accessibility of data through public reporting, some states also report changing data collection practices to support greater disaggregation of data. For example, through its REALD (race, ethnicity, language, and disability) and SOGI (sexual orientation and gender identity) efforts, Oregon is working to increase and standardize the collection of these data across health agencies. Utah’s Department of Health and Human Services has developed guidelines to promote a uniform set of data collection standards for race and ethnicity. Several other states have indicated plans to enhance their data collection and reporting practices. For example, North Dakota is examining how to improve data for multiracial people and incorporate race and ethnicity questions into its data collection practices. California also has pending legislation to use more detailed racial and ethnic categories. Michigan is prioritizing expanding the collection of race, ethnicity, and preferred language data. It is also working to implement reliable survey tools to collect data from smaller racial and ethnic groups and communities not represented in standard data collection systems.

Additionally, some states are working to increase data accessibility through data sharing. For example, some are putting data sharing agreements in place and/or improving the interoperability of datasets within and across state agencies, healthcare organizations, and with Tribes. Some states have also established data committees or advisory groups that oversee data coordination between agencies and sectors. For example, Connecticut is working to establish a cross-sector data committee that would act as a technical body to provide support to agencies across the department and advise the State Health Improvement Plan Advisory council.

Some states include a focus on equity as part of their Maternal Mortality Review Committees (MMRCs). Nearly all states have MMRCs, many of which are funded through the CDC, that review pregnancy-associated deaths and offer recommendations to prevent future deaths. However, state MMRCs vary in the extent to which they examine racial disparities, with some identifying and addressing disparities as a key focus. For example, in California, each death is examined through a health equity lens and considerations include how SDOH, discrimination, and racism may have contributed to the death. Similarly, Vermont amended the charge of its committee in 2020 to include considerations of disparities and SDOH, including race and ethnicity in perinatal death reviews. Rhode Island recently replaced its MMRC with the Pregnancy and Post-Partum Death Review Committee and noted that the name acknowledges the breadth of gender identity of individuals who may become pregnant. States also vary in the membership of their committees, with some having requirements related to Tribes and/or doulas or midwives. For example, Colorado’s MMRC includes experts with lived experience in the drivers of maternal mortality, including doulas, midwives, and patient advocates.(Back to top)

Internal Operations

Some states have created cross-agency learning collaboratives to embed equity into their institutional practices among their state workforces. Through its Capitol Collaborative on Race and Equity, California established a 15-month learning cohort of 25 of the state’s departments, agencies, offices, commissions, and conservancies to embed racial equity into their respective institutional culture, policies, and practices with the aim that race will no longer be a factor in determining life outcomes or well-being for communities of color. The Minnesota Department of Health Equity Learning Community helped teams from local public health departments integrate health equity practices into their work. It identified several areas of suggested changes to existing practice, including data collection, analysis, and use; community engagement; organizational operations, like policies, budgets, and hiring; and policy work. Rhode Island’s Capacity Building for Policy Change Workshop Series is designed to support their Health Equity Zones in enhancing their capacity to engage in policy and systems change efforts that include making equity improvements to ordinances, state and local regulations, and agreements with municipal agencies and/or institutions like hospital systems.

States are also shifting internal operations by providing and, in some cases requiring, equity-related training for their staff. In Louisiana, Initiative 16 was developed to train and build the capacity of staff to have an understanding of systemic health equity, translate this to their daily work, and incorporate equity practice expectations into annual performance reviews. Maine’s Department of Health and Human Services developed a plan to increase DEI capacity within the department through a range of strategies, including publicly reporting staff demographics and providing staff training on best practices for hiring a diverse workforce and education about Equal Employment Opportunity and implicit bias in hiring. Some states are mandating training among the state workforce. For example, through executive order in Colorado, the Department of Personnel and Administration was tasked with developing and delivering required training for all state employees, with additional requirements and expectations for agency executives on DEI issues, including education on implicit bias, historical injustices and trauma, community engagement practices, and new assessment tools. Similarly, in Washington, the Secretary of Health’s directive mandates that leadership, management, and supervisors adhere to the recruitment policy and implement “hiring best practices” which include the requirement to complete implicit bias training and encourage ongoing training in the areas of diversity, inclusion, cultural humility, oppression, and equity.

In contrast, other states are moving to ban or restrict DEI-related activities. For example, under SB 266, public institutions in Florida are prohibited from funding or maintaining DEI programs. Similar legislation was passed in Texas under HB 5127, which bans DEI offices and diversity training for students and employees at public institutions as of January 1, 2024. Utah passed HB 261, which bans DEI offices and training requirements and prohibits race being considered in hiring practices for state board and government employees. In December of 2023, the Oklahoma governor signed an executive order banning DEI programs at state agencies; effective immediately, the order eliminated funding for all DEI positions. Some state medical boards have also been moving to limit DEI actions. A lawsuit against the Tennessee medical board challenges the legality of policies to ensure representation from minority groups through racial quotas. A similar lawsuit has been filed in Louisiana against the medical board for the use of racial quotas.

States are also stipulating requirements in operational procedures such as budgetary decisions, funding criteria, and contracting to support equity. For example, states like Minnesota, New York, Illinois, and Michigan dedicate specific budget lines to allocate funding for programs to reduce racial health disparities in areas including maternal health, HIV prevention, and mental health services. California established a Racial Equity Commission to develop tools for assessing how budget allocations impact communities of color, and Rhode Island is exploring incorporating community participatory budgeting practices. Some states are leveraging budgetary and funding requirements to expand state capacity to address disparities in social and environmental determinants of health. For example, Washington’s HEAL Act instructs covered agencies to incorporate environmental justice into funding and budgeting processes with the goal of directing 40% of funding for programs that create environmental benefits to go to “overburdened communities and vulnerable populations.” Other states stipulate requirements for contractors and procurement procedures that support equitable practices. Arizona’s Community Reinvestment policy, for example, requires contractors to designate and spend a minimum share of profits for community reinvestment activities (e.g., housing, non-medical transportation services, activities to combat social isolation or enhance social support, activities that reduce recidivism, employment or educational supportive activities, social programs that promote health and wellness and/or research activities that support a specific community activity that improves health outcomes).

Within Medicaid, many states leverage managed care contracts to promote reducing health disparities. As noted above, this includes adopting contract requirements related to addressing SDOH. Additionally, some state managed care organization (MCO) contracts incorporate requirements to advance health equity and/or tie MCO financial quality incentives to reducing health disparities. In a KFF survey, about one-third of responding MCO states reported at least one MCO financial incentive tied to reducing racial and ethnic disparities in place in FY 2024, including linking capitation withholds or pay-for- performance incentives to improving health disparities. Additionally, nearly all responding MCO states also reported at least one specified MCO requirement related to reducing disparities in FY2024, including requiring MCOs to have a health equity plan in place and train staff on health equity and/or implicit bias. Over half of states reported requiring MCOs to meet health equity reporting requirements and seek enrollee input or feedback to inform health equity initiatives. Fewer states reported requiring MCOs to achieve national accreditation standards or to have a health equity officer.(Back to top)

Lessons Learned

In addition to the review of public materials, we conducted 14 case study interviews with stakeholders in three states to increase understanding of lessons learned from state efforts to address disparities. The case study initiatives reflect some of the broad themes of state activities identified through the analysis of publicly available materials and represent states with varied geography, racial and ethnic demographics, and political leadership. They include California’s Reducing Disparities Project (CRDP), which implements  community defined practices to reduce mental health disparities; North Dakota’s Community Engagement Unit, which prioritizes a community engagement approach to reducing disparities and includes a focus on Tribal relations; and Michigan’s efforts to narrow disparities in maternal and infant health through its Advancing Healthy Births equity plan and its Doula Initiative. (See Methods for more details.) Lessons learned from the case study interviews include the following.

Having strong leaders and champions within the state is important for success. Respondents noted that supportive leadership at the state executive level and within key state agencies has been key for facilitating the vision and funding necessary to support these initiatives. For example, in Michigan, respondents highlighted the importance of the Governor’s prioritization of maternal and infant health equity, which was backed by investment in the work. Respondents also referenced the importance of having champions within state legislature and at the local level, particularly in cases in which initiatives have required ongoing legislative funding. For example, respondents in California noted that having champions within the state legislature and county behavioral health offices was important for establishing the CRDP and maintaining it over multiple legislative funding cycles. Respondents further emphasized the importance of such leaders being supportive of addressing upstream drivers of disparities, including social and economic factors, and openness to systems change. At the same time, one respondent noted the importance of institutionalizing changes through policy or operations so that efforts are not contingent on specific leadership being in place and are more likely to continue amidst staff turnover or changes in leadership.

Authentic long-term trusted relationships between the state and community are an integral piece of this work. Respondents noted the importance of establishing authentic community engagement by meeting communities where they are, demonstrating responsiveness to their interests and needs, and maintaining ongoing, long-term conversations. For example, in North Dakota, the community engagement team travels to meet with communities, including Tribes, on an ongoing basis. This allows them to respond to issues raised by the community and deepen relationships over time. In Michigan, the state participates in regular meetings hosted by regional collaboratives in locations chosen by the community that are usually held in the evenings when families can attend. Families drive the conversation, and the state takes advisement and then reports back on issues raised in subsequent meetings. Respondents noted that authentic community engagement often involves a shift in dynamics from one in which communities used to have to come to the state to now the state traveling out to meet communities and from the state just taking data previously versus now sharing it back with the community.

Openness to innovation and community-led approaches facilitates development of new models and strategies.  Community defined and led approaches are core features across the initiatives being implemented in the case study states. Respondents highlighted the importance of state leadership being open to innovative models that do not fit within current systems and structures and supporting their implementation by allowing communities to design and lead efforts and providing funding to support these efforts. It was recognized that this sometimes requires being creative and finding ways to work within existing limits of system structures to implement new approaches. In California, the CRDP model recognizes that community-defined practices can be viable and valuable and that prevention and services do not need to adhere to a one-size-fits-all approach. This model recognizes that a particular approach may not work for everyone but can be effective at addressing the specific needs of the community being served. In North Dakota, respondents noted that the state is engaging with the community and key stakeholders to work toward the goals outlined in its SHIP. Respondents also pointed to the value of investing directly in the community. For example, in Michigan, the state increased funding directed to community-based organizations as part of its Advancing Healthy Births initiative. One respondent noted that the experts are the families and that solutions to challenges often can be found from the people you are serving.

Terminology used to describe this work can be important for garnering broad-based support amid opposition to DEI efforts and race-based interventions. Several respondents noted that describing initiatives as equity-focused can jeopardize broad support for this work amid the rising anti-DEI movement. They felt that implementing the work is more important than what it is called and noted that using terminology that is truthful to the work being done but intentional in avoiding potential opposition can be key for maintaining broad-based support. Some emphasized, for example, that health equity is not just about race, it is about working with a wide variety of populations, including rural and low-income populations, and about focusing on access to health care and addressing SDOH. Moreover, work to mitigate health disparities can elevate the entire system and benefit all residents of the state, not just populations of focus.

Having strong evaluation data can help maintain support for initiatives and facilitate their sustainability over time. Respondents highlighted the importance of having data to document the impacts and successes of initiatives, which can help counter potential opposition to equity-focused efforts and makes the case for sustaining the work. In California, each of the CRDP initiatives is being evaluated individually and as a whole, which helps demonstrate the impacts of the work and the value of community-designed approaches. Respondents also noted that having data can help guide programs to adapt and change over time by providing insight into what is working and what is not.

Establishing long-term funding strategies will be key to sustaining these initiatives over time. Much of the work under these initiatives in the case study states has been supported through limited funding streams, including time-limited appropriations and grants. Respondents recognized that to support long-term sustainability and increased scalability over time, it will be important to embed the efforts into systems and support them through reimbursement mechanisms. They identified challenges to integrating community practices into public health systems and suggested it will be important to consider how existing systems could adapt to integrate a broader array of models through a combination of cultural and systems change. For example, in Michigan, the Medicaid program has expanded to provide reimbursement for doulas and to create the doula registry. Respondents in California noted how identifying Medicaid and other reimbursement models could evolve to include community-designed approaches demonstrated through the CRDP will be important for long-term sustainability of these efforts.(Back to top)

Looking Ahead

This analysis shows that states with varying geographies, demographics, and political leadership are pursuing work to address health disparities. However, states differ in the level of commitment and resources focused on this work. While some states are taking more incremental steps, others have identified this work as a major cross-sector strategic priority, establishing dedicated infrastructure and resources to support this work, taken steps to empower and support impacted communities, and are working toward broader systems and policy change to mitigate disparities. In these cases, case study respondents shared that certain facilitating factors have been vital to establishing and working toward sustaining health equity initiatives including having supportive leadership, building trust with communities, prioritizing community-driven innovations, considering the political context for messaging, demonstrating impact with data, and planning for sustainability.

As a result of these efforts, states have directed increased staff and resources to this work, established infrastructure or policies that facilitate community input to inform state decision-making and program implementation, directed increased financing to community-based organizations, and enhanced the data available to identify and direct efforts to address disparities. In particular, the establishment of new infrastructure and policies to address disparities and advance equity may facilitate the sustainability of this work amidst potential turnover in staff and leadership.

While this analysis provides greater insight into the range of state-reported activities to address health disparities and/or equity, it does not give insight into the effectiveness or outcomes associated with these actions. Future work examining the impacts of these efforts on both state operations and disparities in health care and health outcomes will be important to help guide continued efforts to address health disparities and advance greater health equity.(Back to top)

Methods

The approach for this analysis consisted of two phases: a systematic review of publicly available materials and case studies in three states on efforts to address health disparities and advance health equity. The review was conducted for about a six-month period between September 13, 2023 and March 5, 2024. It began by compiling, reading, and synthesizing relevant literature including reports, blog posts, and journal articles to get grounded in the potential landscape of state-level issues on the topic. This informed an iterative process that started with piloting a draft protocol and inclusion criteria for reviewing public-facing webpages and content linked to webpages (e.g., PDFs of reports) for two states. The research team then created a data collection framework based on thematic categories (e.g., health equity infrastructure, strategic initiatives, data equity, etc.) that was piloted with two more states. Following, the protocol, inclusion criteria, and framework were refined over time through routine team discussions to reconcile divergent issues and by making adjustments for emergent themes for the remaining states.

The team conducted the review using criteria that were intentionally inclusive, rather than exclusive, to allow for capture of a range of possible state activity that states identify as related to addressing health disparities and/or equity. Specifically, the team included a broad range of work identified by states related to health equity, health disparities/inequities, social determinants of health, health in all policies, and efforts to address the health needs of diverse populations. An expansive search approach was utilized by looking for information across a diverse set of state agencies, beyond those dedicated to health (e.g., justice, natural resources, education, etc.) and by including content where the state agency was a collaborating partner but not necessarily the lead. Relevant information that did not fit the established data collection framework was also included to facilitate the identification of atypical and innovative activities occurring in a small number of states.

The states selected for the case studies were California, North Dakota, and Michigan. In selecting the case study states, the goal was to identify state efforts that reflect the broad themes of state activities identified through the analysis of publicly available materials, as well as to represent varied geography, racial and ethnic demographics, and political leadership. We also sought to avoid including state efforts that have already been highlighted in other national-level analyses. The team conducted five interviews for each state case study with the aim of understanding the impetus for the initiative, the accomplishments and lessons learned, and perspective on future directions for the work. Key stakeholders who were interviewed represented state employees that staffed the initiatives and their community partners allowing our team to gain insights of both the intentions of the initiative and the challenges that may come with program development and implementation. Each interview was tailored to the key stakeholder’s role, and the analysis to develop the case was conducted iteratively as each interview was conducted.

This project is limited to being descriptive in nature during a specified period of time. It is possible that states may have had activity underway that was not reflected in their public-facing materials. In some cases, it was difficult to determine the current phase of strategy. For example, the presence of a strategic plan does not mean it has been funded and implemented as intended.

This work was supported in part by Arnold Ventures. KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities. KFF worked with Naima Wong of Croal Services Group and Jalisa Whitley of Unbound Impact to conduct this project.

Medicare Part D in 2025: A First Look at Prescription Drug Plan Availability, Premiums, and Cost Sharing

Authors: Juliette Cubanski and Anthony Damico
Published: Nov 22, 2024

During the Medicare open enrollment period from October 15 to December 7 each year, people with Medicare can enroll in a plan that provides Part D prescription drug coverage, either a stand-alone prescription drug plan (PDP) for people in traditional Medicare, or a Medicare Advantage plan that covers all Medicare benefits, including prescription drugs (MA-PD). In 2024, 53 million of the 67 million Medicare beneficiaries are enrolled in Medicare Part D plans, including employer-only group plans; of the total, 57% are enrolled in MA-PDs and 43% are enrolled in stand-alone PDPs. This analysis provides an overview of Part D plan availability, premiums, and cost sharing in 2025 and key trends over time. (Separate analyses of 2025 Medicare Advantage plans, premiums and benefits are also available.) (See Methods box for details on this analysis.)

Overall, KFF analysis shows that the market for Part D coverage remains robust based on the overall number of plan options, but the number of sponsors, plans, and enrollees in the stand-alone PDP market has trended downward over time, while the MA-PD market remains stable and continues to experience steady enrollment growth. In part, this reflects the predominance of low- or zero-premium MA-PDs and the availability of extra benefits, which are enabled by rebates in the Medicare Advantage payment system and amplified by aggressive marketing. Monthly premiums for stand-alone PDPs are substantially higher than for MA-PDs.

Changes to the Part D benefit in the Inflation Reduction Act, including a new $2,000 out-of-pocket drug spending cap, will mean lower out-of-pocket costs for some Part D enrollees but higher costs for Part D plans overall. Some stand-alone PDPs are increasing monthly premiums for 2025 by up to $35, the maximum increase allowed for plans participating in a new premium stabilization demonstration, while a larger share of MA-PD plans are imposing deductibles for drug coverage and coinsurance for certain types of drugs in 2025 compared to 2024. Part D plans often make other changes from one year to the next that could affect drug coverage and costs, including changes to formularies and preferred pharmacies, re-enforcing the value for Part D enrollees in comparing plans during the annual open enrollment period.

Medicare Part D Highlights for 2025

  • The average Medicare beneficiary has a choice of 48 Medicare plans with Part D drug coverage in 2025, including 14 Medicare stand-alone prescription drug plans (7 fewer than in 2024) and 34 Medicare Advantage drug plans (2 fewer than in 2024). Over the past 10 years, the number of PDPs available to the average beneficiary has decreased by 52% while the number of MA-PDs has increased by 143%.
  • The number of firms offering stand-alone PDPs has dropped from 11 in 2024 to 7 in 2025, along with a reduction in the overall number of PDPs (down from 709 to 464).
  • In 2025, a smaller number of PDPs will be “benchmark” plans – that is, PDPs available for no monthly premium to Medicare Part D enrollees receiving the Low-Income Subsidy (LIS) – than in any year since Part D started. Medicare beneficiaries will have access to 1 less benchmark PDP in 2025 than in 2024, on average – two out of the average 14 PDPs available overall. An estimated 1.1 million LIS enrollees (26% of all LIS PDP enrollees) need to switch plans during the 2024 open enrollment period if they want to be enrolled in a benchmark plan in 2025.
  • The estimated average enrollment-weighted monthly premium for Medicare Part D stand-alone PDPs is projected to be $45 in 2025, a modest increase from $42 in 2024 (based on June 2024 enrollment). After accounting for enrollment choices by new enrollees and plan changes by current enrollees, the actual average weighted PDP premium for 2025 is likely to be lower than the estimated average of $45.
  • Monthly premiums for drug coverage are estimated to be six times higher for PDPs compared to MA-PDs in 2025 – $45 versus $7. The average monthly premium is projected to increase for PDPs but decrease for MA-PDs. MA-PD sponsors can use rebate dollars from Medicare payments to lower or eliminate their Part D premiums, as well as provide extra benefits, but there is no equivalent rebate system for PDPs.
  • Average monthly premiums for the 12 national PDPs are projected to range from around $3 to $128 in 2025. Premium variation across plans is in part related to whether plans offer basic or enhanced benefits and the value of benefits offered, as well as variation in the underlying costs that plans incur for their enrollees.
  • More than half of non-LIS Part D PDP enrollees (7.0 million out of 13.1 million) will see a reduction or no change in their monthly premium in 2025 if they make no changes during open enrollment, but 1 in 5 non-LIS PDP enrollees (2.6 million) will see their monthly premium increase by $35 if they stay in their same plan for 2025. This is the maximum increase allowed for PDPs participating in the new Part D premium demonstration, which includes measures intended to stabilize the PDP market as major changes to the Part D benefit take effect in 2025, including a new $2,000 out-of-pocket drug spending cap.
  • The share of MA-PD enrollees who will be in plans that charge a deductible for Part D coverage will nearly triple from 21% in 2024 to 60% in 2025 if they do not switch plans. Most stand-alone PDP enrollees (84%) will also be enrolled in plans that charge a deductible for drug overage in 2025, similar to the share in 2024 (87%). (Some of the enrollees in these plans receive low-income subsidies that cover their deductible.) The average deductible in 2025 will be more than twice as large for PDP enrollees as for MA-PD enrollees ($486 versus $225) (the standard deductible in 2025 is $590).
  • Many Part D enrollees will face coinsurance rather than copayments for both preferred brands and non-preferred drugs, which can mean less predictable out-of-pocket costs. This includes a larger share of MA-PD enrollees compared to 2024: 28% will be in plans that charge coinsurance for preferred brands versus 2% in 2024, and 57% will be in plans that charge coinsurance for non-preferred drugs versus 11% in 2024. Among PDP enrollees, 83% will be in plans that charge coinsurance for preferred brands and 100% in plans charging coinsurance for non-preferred drugs in 2025. For specialty tier drugs (those that cost more than $950 per month), median coinsurance will be 25% for PDP enrollees and 30% for MA-PD enrollees.

Part D Plan Availability

For 2025, the Average Medicare Beneficiary Has Fewer Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Plan Options Than in Prior Years but a Similar Number of Medicare Advantage Drug Plan Options

The Part D market for 2025 offers the average Medicare beneficiary fewer choices for drug coverage from stand-alone prescription drug plans than in prior years, but a similar number of choices for coverage from Medicare Advantage drug plans. The average Medicare beneficiary has a choice of 48 options for Part D coverage in 2025, including 14 PDPs (7 fewer than in 2024) and 34 MA-PDs (2 fewer) (Figure 1). Over the past 10 years, the number of PDPs available to the average beneficiary has decreased by 52% while the number of MA-PDs has increased by 143%.

The Average Medicare Beneficiary Has a Choice of 48 Medicare Plans Offering Drug Coverage in 2025, Including 14 Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Plans and 34 Medicare Advantage Drug Plans

Of the 14 PDPs available to the average beneficiary in 2025, 12 are national PDPs (available in all 34 PDP regions nationwide) (Appendix Table 1). This reduction of two national PDPs from 2024 is the result of one plan sponsor (CVS Health/Aetna) consolidating its 3 PDP offerings in 2024 (SilverScript Choice, Plus, and SmartSaver) to 1 PDP in 2025 (SilverScript Choice). The 2.0 million enrollees in the SilverScript Plus and SmartSaver PDPs (as of June 2024) will be automatically enrolled in SilverScript Choice for 2025 unless they choose a different plan during open enrollment.

A Total of 7 Firms Will Offer 464 Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Plans in 2025, the Lowest Number of PDP Sponsors and Plans Since Part D Started

The number of firms sponsoring stand-alone PDPs is decreasing from 11 firms in 2024 to 7 firms in 2025, the smallest number since the Part D benefit was launched (Figure 2). Due to the market withdrawal of Mutual of Omaha from the PDP market and the termination of Clear Spring Health PDPs by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) due to low quality ratings over three years, the 537,000 enrollees in these firms’ PDPs (as of June 2024) will need to select a new Part D plan from a different plan sponsor during the 2024 open enrollment period if they want their Part D coverage to continue in 2025.

A total of 464 PDPs will be offered by these 7 firms in the 34 PDP regions (plus another 10 PDPs in the territories), a decrease of 245 PDPs (-35%) from 2024, and the lowest number of PDPs available in any year since Part D started in 2006.

Seven Firms Will Offer a Total of 464 Medicare Part D Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Plans in 2025, Fewer PDP Sponsors and Plans Than in Any Other Year

Despite the reduction in PDP availability overall, beneficiaries in each state will have a choice of multiple plans, ranging from 12 PDPs in 12 states and the District of Columbia to 16 PDPs in California, plus multiple MA-PDs offered at the local level (Figure 3, Appendix Table 2).

The Number of Medicare Part D Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Plans in 2025 Ranges Across States from 12 to 16

Premiums

Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Plan Enrollees Will Pay Higher Monthly Premiums Than Medicare Advantage Drug Plan Enrollees in 2025 – $45 versus $7, on Average

The estimated national average monthly PDP premium is projected to be $45 in 2025, which is six times higher than the average $7 monthly premium for drug coverage in MA-PDs (Figure 4). Between 2024 and 2025, the average monthly premium is increasing by $3 for PDPs but decreasing by $2 for MA-PDs. MA-PD sponsors can use rebate dollars from Medicare payments to lower or eliminate their Part D premiums and offer extra benefits, but there is no equivalent rebate system for PDPs. According to MedPAC, Medicare Advantage monthly rebates per enrollee have more than doubled since 2018, from $95 to $194 in 2024, and of the $194 total monthly rebate amount in 2024, $24 was used to reduce MA-PD Part D premiums.

The Average Monthly Premium for Drug Coverage Is Substantially Higher for Medicare Part D Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Plans Compared to Medicare Advantage Drug Plans

It is likely that, after accounting for enrollment choices by new enrollees and plan changes by current enrollees, the actual average weighted PDP premium for 2025 will be lower than the estimated weighted average of $45 but still well above the average MA-PD premium.

There are two mechanisms in place that are helping to constrain Part D premium increases for PDPs between 2024 and 2025:

  • One is a premium stabilization provision in the Inflation Reduction Act that capped annual growth in the Part D base beneficiary premium at 6% beginning in 2024. (The base beneficiary premium is not the same as the amount that Part D enrollees pay for coverage, and the law did not cap the growth in individual plan premiums to 6%.)
  • The other is a new voluntary Part D premium stabilization demonstration for PDPs, which capped premium increases at $35 per month, along with other measures intended to stabilize the PDP market as changes to the Part D benefit take effect in 2025, including a new $2,000 out-of-pocket drug spending cap. MA-PDs are not eligible for this demonstration.

Without these mechanisms in place, it is likely that the average PDP premium increase, and monthly PDP premium amounts in 2025, would have been larger.

Average Monthly Premiums for the 12 National PDPs Are Projected to Range from $3 to $128 in 2025

Actual Part D premiums for 2025 vary widely across plans, as in previous years, and may be increasing by more or less than the national average (or even decreasing). Among the 12 national PDPs, there is a difference of more than $1,500 in average annual premiums between the highest-premium PDP and the lowest-premium PDP. At the high end, the monthly premium for Humana Premier Rx Plan (the 8th largest plan by overall enrollment) will be $128, totaling more than $1,500 annually. At the low end, the monthly premium for Wellcare Value Script (the largest plan) will average just over $3, or $38 annually (Figure 5).

In addition to Humana Premier Rx Plan, two other national PDPs will charge monthly premiums of more than $100 in 2025, on average: Cigna Healthcare Extra Rx, the 12th largest plan ($102), and Wellcare Medicare Rx Value Plus, the 10th largest plan ($107). An estimated 1.3 million people will be enrolled in the 3 national PDPs that charge more than $100 per month in premiums in 2025 if they make no changes to their coverage during open enrollment. Another 2.0 million enrollees will pay an average $95 monthly premium for the AARP Medicare Rx Preferred PDP in 2025, unless they switch plans.

Average Monthly Premiums for the 12 National Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Plans in 2025 Are Projected to Range from a High of $128 to a Low of $3

Monthly premiums for several national PDPs vary widely around each plan’s national average (Figure 5). For 6 of the 12 national PDPs, there is a difference of $90 or more across the 34 PDP regions between the plan’s lowest and highest premiums. For example, the monthly premium for the AARP Medicare Rx Saver PDP averages $67 but ranges from $0 to $128 across regions; and for Humana Basic Rx, the average premium is $43 but ranges across regions from $0 to $121. For most of these 12 national plans, monthly premiums are consistently higher in New York and California relative to other regions.

More Than Half of Stand-Alone PDP Enrollees Will See a Reduction or No Change in Their Monthly Premium in 2025 if They Stay in Their Current Plan

Of the 13.1 million Part D PDP enrollees who are responsible for paying the entire premium, which excludes Low-Income Subsidy (LIS) recipients, more than half (54%), or 7.0 million enrollees, will see either a reduction in their monthly premium (41%) or no change (13%) if they stay in their current plan for 2025 (Figure 6). Just under half of Part D stand-alone plan enrollees (46%, or 6.0 million) will see their monthly premium increase in 2025 if they make no change to their coverage during open enrollment for 2025. This is lower than the two-thirds of non-LIS PDP enrollees (66%, or 8.6 million) who were projected to pay higher monthly premiums if they remained in their plan for 2024.

Of the 6 million non-LIS PDP enrollees who will see an increase in their Part D premium if they stay in their current plan, 3.4 million (26% of non-LIS PDP enrollees overall) will see an increase of less than $35 and 2.6 million (20% overall) will see an increase of exactly $35. This is the maximum monthly premium increase allowed for PDPs participating in the new Part D premium stabilization demonstration. According to CMS, virtually all PDP enrollees are in plans sponsored by insurers that opted to participate in the voluntary demonstration.

More Than Half of Part D Stand-Alone Drug Plan Enrollees Without Low-income Subsidies Will See a Reduction or No Change in Their Monthly Premium in 2025 If They Stay in Their Current Plan - A Larger Share Than in 2024

Medicare Part D enrollees in national PDPs in 2024 will face a range of premium increases and decreases if they make no change to their coverage for 2025 during open enrollment (Figure 7). Notably, enrollees in two of the three PDPs sponsored by CVS Health-Aetna could see substantial premium changes, with the consolidation of SilverScript Plus and SilverScript SmartSaver PDPs into one PDP for 2025 (SilverScript Choice). If they make no changes during open enrollment, the 0.3 million enrollees in SilverScript Plus in 2024 will see their monthly premiums reduced by more than half when they are crosswalked to SilverScript Choice, from $103 to $45. On the other hand, the 1.7 million enrollees in SilverScript SmartSaver will face a substantial increase, from $11 to $44, on average.

Part D Enrollees in the National PDPs in 2024 Will Face a Range of Premium Increases and Decreases for 2025 If They Make No Changes During Open Enrollment

Deductibles and Cost Sharing

6 in 10 Medicare Advantage Drug Plan Enrollees Will Be in Plans That Charge a Deductible for Drug Coverage in 2025, up from 1 in 5 in 2024, and the Average Deductible is Increasing Four-Fold for MA-PD Enrollees

Among MA-PD enrollees, 60% (10.9 million) will be in a plan that charges a deductible for drug coverage if they stay in their same plan, though only 11% will be in a plan that charges the standard $590 deductible (Figure 8). The share of MA-PD enrollees who will be in plans charging a deductible for drug coverage in 2025 is increasing substantially over 2024 levels, when only 21% of MA-PD enrollees were in a plan charging a drug deductible, including 3% in plans charging the standard deductible amount.

A majority of PDP enrollees (84% or 14.5 million) will be in plan that charges a drug deductible in 2025, including three-fourths (76%) who will be in a plan that charges the standard deductible of $590, assuming no change in enrollment (Figure 8). (These estimates include Part D enrollees receiving Low-Income Subsidies, who do not pay a deductible regardless of whether their plan charges one.)

Most Part D Enrollees Will Be in Plans That Charge a Deductible for Drug Coverage in 2025, Including 84% of Stand-alone Drug Plan Enrollees and 60% of Medicare Advantage Drug Plan Enrollees

The average drug deductible charged by MA-PD plans is increasing four-fold from $59 in 2024 to $225 in 2025 (Figure 9). Of the 34 MA-PD plan choices available to the average beneficiary in 2025, 7 will charge the standard $590 deductible, while 13 will charge no deductible. In contrast, only 3 of the 36 MA-PD plan options available to the average beneficiary in 2024 charged the standard deductible and 21 MA-PDs charged no deductible.

For PDP enrollees, the average deductible is increasing from $423 in 2024 to $486 in 2025 – a higher average deductible amount but a smaller increase than for MA-PD enrollees, reflecting the fact that most PDP enrollees were already (and will continue to be) enrolled in plans that charge the standard deductible. Of the 12 national PDPs in 2025, 8 will charge the standard $590 deductible, 2 will charge a lower deductible, and 2 will charge no deductible.

Average Deductibles for Part D Coverage Will Be Higher in 2025 Than in 2024 - Four Times Higher for Medicare Advantage Drug Plan Enrollees

A Larger Share of MA-PD Enrollees Will Face Coinsurance Rather Than Copayments for Preferred Brands and Non-Preferred Drugs in 2025 Compared to 2024

In 2025, as in prior years, Part D enrollees will face much higher cost-sharing amounts for brands and non-preferred drugs (which can include both brands and generics) than for drugs on a generic tier, and a mix of copayments and coinsurance for different formulary tiers. Coinsurance can mean less predictable out-of-pocket costs than copayments. The typical five-tier formulary design in Part D includes tiers for preferred generics, generics, preferred brands, non-preferred drugs, and specialty drugs.

In a notable change for 2025, a larger share of MA-PD enrollees is in plans charging coinsurance rather than flat copayments for preferred brands and non-preferred drugs compared to 2024 levels. The share of MA-PD enrollees facing coinsurance for preferred brands is increasing from 2% in 2024 to 28% in 2025, and the share facing coinsurance for non-preferred drugs is increasing from 11% in 2024 to 57% in 2025.

Among all Part D plans, median standard cost sharing in 2025 for different types of drugs is (Figure 10):

  • Generics: $0 for preferred generics and $5 for other generics in both PDPs and MA-PDs.
  • Preferred brands: a copayment of $47 in both PDPs and MA-PDs, or coinsurance of 20% in PDPs and 24% in MA-PDs); 83% of PDP enrollees and 28% of MA-PD enrollees face coinsurance rather than copayments for preferred brands.
  • Non-preferred drugs: For non-preferred drugs, which can include both brands and generics, all PDP enrollees face a median coinsurance of 40%; 57% of MA-PD enrollees face a median coinsurance rate of 42%, and 43% of MA-PD enrollees face a median copayment of $100.
  • Specialty drugs: Median coinsurance for specialty drugs is 25% for PDP enrollees and 30% for MA-PD enrollees.
A Larger Share of Stand-Alone PDP Enrollees Face Coinsurance for Preferred Brands and Non-Preferred Drugs but the Share of MA-PD Enrollees Facing Coinsurance Has Increased

Among the 12 national PDPs, 8 PDPs will charge $0 for preferred generics in 2024, but copays of $45 to $47 or coinsurance of 15% to 25% for preferred brands, and coinsurance ranging from 31% to 50% for non-preferred drugs; 4 out of the 12 national PDPs are charging the maximum 50% coinsurance for non-preferred drugs. Coinsurance for specialty tier drugs ranges from 25% to 33% in these plans, with 8 of the 12 national PDPs charging 25% and 2 charging 33%. (Plans that charge the standard deductible amount of $590 cannot charge more than 25% for specialty tier drugs.)

Low-Income Subsidy Plan Availability

In 2025, a Smaller Number of Stand-Alone PDPs Will Be Premium-Free to Enrollees Receiving the Low-Income Subsidy Than in Any Year Since Part D Started

Through the Part D LIS program, enrollees with low incomes and modest assets are eligible for assistance with Part D plan premiums and cost sharing. Nearly 14 million Part D enrollees are receiving LIS, including 9 million (66%) in MA-PDs and 4.7 million (34%) in PDPs.

In 2025, a smaller number of PDPs will be premium-free benchmark plans – that is, PDPs available for no monthly premium to Medicare Part D enrollees receiving the Low-Income Subsidy (LIS) – than in any year since Part D started, with 90 premium-free benchmark plans, or 19% of all PDPs in 2025 (Figure 11). The number of benchmark plans available in 2025 will vary by region, from one to five (Appendix Table 2).

In 2025, 90 Part D Stand-Alone Drug Plans Will Be Available Without a Premium to Enrollees Receiving the Low-Income Subsidy (“Benchmark” Plans); the Average Beneficiary Will Have 2 Benchmark PDP Options in 2025, 1 Less Than in 2024

PDPs offering basic benefits qualify to be benchmark plans if they have premiums below the benchmark amount in a region. The benchmark is calculated as a weighted average of the beneficiary premiums for basic drug coverage offered by both PDPs and MA-PDs in a region (calculated before taking MA rebates into account). (MA-PD premiums are included in this calculation even though MA-PDs do not qualify as benchmark plans.)

On average, LIS beneficiaries will have 2 benchmark plans available to them out of the average 14 PDPs available overall for 2025 – one fewer than the average number of benchmark plan options in 2024. All LIS enrollees can select any plan offered in their area, but if they enroll in a non-benchmark plan, they must pay some portion of their chosen plan’s monthly premium.

One quarter (26%) of all LIS PDP enrollees who are eligible for premium-free Part D coverage (1.1 million LIS enrollees) will pay Part D premiums averaging $30 per month in 2025 unless they switch or are reassigned by CMS to premium-free plans during the open enrollment period.

Juliette Cubanski is with KFF. Anthony Damico is an independent contractor.

Methods

This analysis focuses on the Medicare Part D drug plan marketplace in 2025 and trends over time, including both stand-alone prescription drug plans (PDPs) and Medicare Advantage drug plans (MA-PDs). The analysis focuses on the 17.6 million enrollees in PDPs and 18.1 million enrollees in individual MA-PDs (as of June 2024). The analysis excludes enrollees in non-individual MA-PDs (including Special Needs Plans) and enrollees in employer-group only PDPs and MA-PDs plans for whom plan premium and benefits data are unavailable.

Data on Part D plan availability, enrollment, and premiums were collected from a set of data files released by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS):

  • Medicare plan landscape file, released each fall prior to the annual open enrollment period
  • Part D plan crosswalk files, released each fall
  • Part D contract/plan/state/county level enrollment files, released monthly
  • Part D Low-Income Subsidy enrollment files, released each spring
  • Medicare plan benefit package files, released periodically each year

In this analysis, premium and deductible estimates are weighted by June 2024 enrollment unless otherwise noted. Percentage and dollar differences are calculated based on non-rounded estimates and in some cases differ from percentages and dollar differences calculated based on rounded estimates presented in the text. 

Appendix

Medicare Part D National Stand-alone Prescription Drug Plans in 2025

Contraceptive Experiences, Coverage, and Preferences: Findings from the 2024 KFF Women’s Health Survey

Published: Nov 22, 2024

Issue Brief

Contraceptive care is an important component of overall health care for many people, and most women use contraception at some point in their lifetime. As abortion access has become more limited post-Dobbs there has been an increased attention on the need for and future of contraceptive access.

This brief provides a close examination of women’s experiences with contraception, insurance coverage, contraceptive preferences, and interactions with the health care system. We also explore the influence and reach of contraceptive information on social media. The KFF Women’s Health Survey, a nationally representative survey of women in the United States was fielded in May and June 2024 and includes a sample of 3,901 women of reproductive age (18-49). Women include individuals who identify as such, as well as those with other gender identities that preferred to complete the female set of sexual and reproductive health questions in the survey. See the methodology section for detailed definitions, sampling design, and margins of sampling error.

Key Takeaways

Use of Contraceptives

  • Eight in ten (82%) women of reproductive age say they used some form of contraception in the past 12 months.
  • Almost half (48%) of contraceptive users used more than one contraceptive method in the past 12 months, with male condoms and oral contraceptives representing the most commonly used methods.
  • The majority of women use contraception to prevent pregnancy (85%), but one in seven (14%) use it solely for another reason, such as managing a medical condition or preventing a sexually transmitted infection.
  • Nearly seven in ten (69%) women of reproductive age say it is very important for them to avoid becoming pregnant in the next month.

Contraception in Social Media

  • Nearly four in ten (39%) of reproductive age women have heard something on social media about birth control in the past 12 months, including half (49%) of women ages 18 to 25.
  • Almost four in ten (38%) women of reproductive age who have heard something on social media about birth control (19% of all reproductive age women), have talked to someone in their life about what they saw or heard.
  • One in seven women ages 18 to 25 (14%) say they made a change or thought about making a change to their birth control method because of something they saw or heard on social media.

Contraceptive Coverage

  • While insurance paid the full cost of contraception for the majority (69%) of contraceptive users with private insurance, a quarter (24%) report that they paid some or all of the costs out-of-pocket because their plan did not cover the full cost or did not cover birth control at all.
  • Despite emergency contraceptive pills being covered by insurance at no cost (with a prescription), few (17%) of those who have used emergency contraception in the past 12 months say they got it with a prescription.
  • The costs of contraceptives are still a barrier for some women; one in five (20%) uninsured women had to stop using a birth control method because they couldn’t afford it.

Access and Quality of Care

  • Three quarters (78%) of women received their most recent contraceptive care at a doctor’s office, but clinics play an important role for women with low incomes (21%) and women without insurance (28%).
  • One in five (20%) reproductive age women say they would not know where to get emergency contraception if they wanted or needed it despite its availability as an over-the-counter method.
  • Four in ten (42%) contraceptive users rated their contraceptive counseling as excellent across all measures of care.
  • Nearly a quarter (23%) of contraceptive users say if they could use any type of birth control method available, they would use a different method than the one they are currently using. Of this group, nearly one in four (23%) say they prefer their partner get a vasectomy.

Use of Contraceptives

The majority of reproductive age women use contraception. Eight in ten (82%) women ages 18 to 49 say they used some form of contraception in the past 12 months (Figure 1). Methods used include a sterilization procedure that they or their partner have had, pills, injectables, patch, ring, intrauterine device, contraceptive implant, male condoms, emergency contraception, fertility awareness-based methods, and withdrawal. Nearly one in ten (9%) reproductive age women say they are either pregnant or trying to conceive, 4% say they are unable to conceive, and 6% did not use contraception in the past 12 months.

Eight in Ten Reproductive Age Women Used Contraception in the Past Year

Nearly half (48%) of contraceptive users report using more than one kind of contraceptive method in the past 12 months, and the methods used shift as they age (Table 1). Among all reproductive age women, three in ten (31%) rely on a permanent method, such as female sterilization (21%) or a partner’s vasectomy (10%). The share of women who report relying on permanent methods increases to over half (52%) of women ages 36 to 49. Almost a quarter (24%) of women used a long-acting reversible method in the past year, such as an intrauterine device (IUD) or contraceptive implant, with highest shares of women ages 26 to 35 using IUDs and larger shares of women ages 18 to 25 using contraceptive implants. Four in ten women used a shorter acting hormonal prescribed method in the past 12 months, with oral contraceptive pills accounting for the largest share among all age groups.

Sizable shares of women use contraceptive methods that they can easily start and stop on their own without a prescription, with condoms and withdrawal representing two of the most widely used methods among women of all age groups. Almost one in four (22%) younger women ages 18 to 25 report using fertility awareness-based methods, which could reflect a growing interest in non-hormonal methods, discussed extensively on social media outlets targeting young people. One in four (24%) younger women also report using emergency contraception in the past 12 months compared to just 4% of women ages 36 to 49.

The Types of Contraception That Women Use Shift Over the Course of Their Reproductive Years

Women also use contraception for reasons other than preventing pregnancy. Two-thirds (65%) of women say they use contraception only to prevent pregnancy (Figure 2), one in seven (14%) use contraception solely for a reason outside of preventing pregnancy, such as to manage a medical condition or prevent a sexually transmitted infection in the case of condoms, and one in five (20%) use it to prevent pregnancy and another reason. Among women who identify as a disabled person or a person with a disability, one in four (26%) use contraception solely for a reason outside of preventing pregnancy, such as managing a medical condition, making access to contraception particularly important for this population (data not shown in figure).

Individuals Use Different Contraceptive Methods Depending on Their Reasons for Using Contraception

The type of method selected may depend on their reason for use. For those who only used an IUD in the past 12 months, eight in ten (81%) report using contraception for the sole reason of preventing pregnancy. A much larger share of contraceptive pill users, compared to users of other forms of contraception, report using contraception for only reasons outside of pregnancy prevention, as many hormonal methods are used to manage menstrual irregularities, treat acne, alleviate menstrual migraines, and manage symptoms of conditions like polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS). Nearly one in five condom only users use contraception to prevent both prevent pregnancy and some other reason, likely to prevent STIs.

Nearly seven in ten (69%) women of reproductive age say that avoiding pregnancy in the next month is very important to them (Figure 3). Pregnancy prevention is very important to nearly three in four (74%) women ages 18 to 25. While smaller shares of contraceptive non-users say it is very important for them to avoid pregnancy compared to contraceptive users (31% vs. 73%), four in ten (44%) still say it is important for them to avoid becoming pregnant in the next month. There are not significant differences between women of certain demographics including race/ethnicity, income, disability, and abortion status in state of residence.

Four in Ten Contraceptive Non-Users Say It is Important for Them to Avoid Pregnancy

There are many reasons why someone may choose not to use contraception. Among sexually active women capable of becoming pregnant who do not use contraception, four in ten (40%) say they did not want to use birth control, another nearly four in ten (38%) say they didn’t really mind if they got pregnant, and almost one in four (22%) say they did not think they could get pregnant (even though they or their partner were not sterilized etc.) (Table 2). One in five (19%) do not use birth control because they were worried about or disliked the side effects of birth control. Another 7% say they did not expect to have sex, 6% couldn’t find a method they were satisfied with, and 4% do not use contraception for religious reasons.

There Are Many Reasons Why Women Choose Not to Use Birth Control

Contraception in Social Media

Contraceptive information is pervasive on social media. Nearly four in ten (39%) women of reproductive age say they have seen or heard something on social media about birth control in the past 12 months (Figure 4). This includes half of women ages 18 to 25 (49%) and four in 10 women ages 26 to 35 (41%) who report seeing or hearing information about birth control via social media. Exposure to social media that talks about birth control was higher among women who use contraception than those who do not.

Four in Ten Reproductive Age Women Say They Heard or Saw Something on Social Media About Birth Control

Almost four in ten (38%) reproductive age women who have seen or heard something on social media about contraception report they have talked to at least one person in their lives about the content (Figure 5). Among those who have seen or heard anything on social media about birth control (39% of women ages 18 to 49), a quarter (25%) say they talked to their family or friends about the birth control content. One in five (19%) say they talked to their partner or spouse, and one in ten (10%) say they talked to their doctor or healthcare provider. Most women who have seen or heard anything on social media about birth control did not talk to anyone about the content (62%).

Four in Ten Reproductive Age Women Who Have Seen or Heard Birth Control Information on Social Media Have Talked to Someone About The Content

While social media can be a tool to spread reliable and trustworthy health-related information, it can be and has been used to spread mis- and dis-information. A growing number of social media influencers have tapped into their social networks to share their negative experiences with certain birth control methods such as oral contraceptive pills or intrauterine devices (IUDs), often making false claims about the safety and efficacy of hormonal contraception. While previous KFF research found that only a small share of women use social media as their main source of information about birth control side effects, there have been anecdotal reports about women stopping contraception use after consuming misleading or factually incorrect social media.

Few women say they made a change or thought about making a change to their method of birth control because of something they saw on social media, but younger women seem to be more receptive to change based on social media messaging (Figure 6). Compared to older reproductive age women (ages 36 to 49; 3%), larger shares of women ages 18 to 25 (14%) and 26 to 35 (8%) made a change or thought about making a change to their birth control method based on something they saw or heard on social media. Across all age groups, most reproductive age women say they did not change their birth control method because of something they saw or heard on social media.

Higher Shares of Younger Women Made, or Considered Making, a Change to Their Birth Control Method Because of Something They Saw or Heard on Social Media

Contraceptive Coverage

The ACA requires that plans cover out-of-pocket contraception costs for most individuals with private insurance, yet a sizable share of women are still paying some of the cost. A quarter (24%) of contraceptive users with private insurance say they paid out-of-pocket some or all of the costs of their contraception because their plan did not cover the full cost or did not cover birth control at all (Figure 7).

Nearly One in Four Privately Insured Contraceptive Users Paid Some or All of the Costs of Their Contraception

The share of individuals paying out-of-pocket for contraception dropped dramatically shortly after the ACA’s contraceptive coverage requirements were adopted, however, there have been several reports about people continuing to pay out-of-pocket. Reasons could be enrollment in a grandfathered health plan that does not have to adhere to the contraceptive coverage requirements, working for an employer that has religious or moral objections to covering contraception, or going to an out-of-network provider. Some face out-of-pocket costs for using a brand name method that has a generic alternative. A higher share of privately insured women who received their contraceptive care at a location other than a doctor’s office say they paid out-of-pocket for their care (40% vs. 20%) (Figure 8).

Higher Shares of Privately Insured Women Who Received Their Contraceptive Care at a Location Other Than a Doctor's Office Paid Out-of Pocket

This could include individuals using telecontraception apps, which do not always accept insurance or charge a membership or subscriber fee. It could also include individuals purchasing emergency contraception without a prescription, which health plans have not been required to cover. New proposed regulations issued by the Biden administration, if finalized would require health plans to cover all OTC methods, including Opill, spermicide, and male condoms when obtained through an in-network pharmacy. While a type of emergency contraceptive pills (Plan B and its generic alternatives) is available over the counter, most insurers require a prescription before they will cover the costs. Among those who used EC pills in the past 12 months (12% of reproductive age women), less than one in five (17%) got it with a prescription. The majority (83%) of reproductive age women who used EC pills in the past years obtained over-the-counter emergency contraception without a prescription and most likely pay the full cost, which can be up to $50.

Overall, 5% of reproductive age women and 20% of those who are uninsured, say they have had to stop using a contraceptive method because they could not afford it (Figure 9). Discontinuation of a method due to costs was reported by nearly one in ten (9%) women with low incomes and one in five (20%) women who are uninsured. Title X clinics and federally qualified health centers are designed to provide free or low-cost contraception to people with low incomes and those without insurance. However, people may not be aware of these free or low-cost services, or they may reside in a community that does not have a clinic site nearby.

One in Five Uninsured Women Have Had to Stop Using A Birth Control Method Because They Couldn’t Afford It

Access to and Quality of Contraceptive Care

There has been an increased attention to the importance of contraceptive access, especially post-Dobbs where access to abortion is now banned or severely restricted in many states. Nationally, nearly one in five women of reproductive age say it is “difficult” to access contraceptive care in their state and this rises to nearly one in four (23%) among those who are uninsured women (Figure 10). Larger shares of younger women and women with lower incomes also describe contraceptive care as difficult to access compared to those who are older or with higher incomes.

Nearly One in Five Women of Reproductive Age Say It Is Difficult to Access Contraceptive Care in Their State

The avenues through which people can access contraception has been expanding, but most (77%) women still obtain their contraceptive care through a doctor’s office (Figure 11). Clinics also play an important role for many, with higher shares of Black (16%) and Hispanic (19%) women compared to White women (10%) receiving their contraceptive care at a clinic-based setting, such as a community health center, Planned Parenthood or other family planning clinic, or a school-based or walk-in clinic. Among contraceptive users, one in five (21%) women with low incomes and those who have Medicaid coverage (20%) obtain their contraceptive care at a clinic and this rises to 28% of women who are uninsured. Nearly one in ten (9%) women using contraception access their birth control care outside of a clinic setting, such as online through a website or app or through a pharmacy, drug store, or some other place.

Among Women Who Used Contraception in the Past 12 Months, Most Got Their Birth Control Care at a Doctor’s Office, But Clinics Play a Larger Role for Women with Low Incomes and Those Without Insurance

Over-the-counter (OTC) options from pharmacies, drug stores, and online websites can be appealing avenue for contraceptive access especially for people without a clinician’s prescription for hormonal methods. Until recently, over-the-counter options for contraceptives intended for regular use were limited to non-hormonal methods such as condoms and spermicides. After FDA-approval in 2023, the first ever daily oral contraceptive pill became available in stores and online in early 2024, making Opill the most effective form of contraception available over the counter. However, awareness of the new Opill is generally low, with a quarter (26%) of women 18 to 49 saying they have heard of the new daily oral contraceptive pill. Among those who have heard of it, just 4% have purchased it and an even smaller share (3%) have used or taken Opill since it became available in stores and online earlier in 2024.

Emergency contraceptive pills have been available OTC since 2006, as well as through many doctors’ offices and clinics, however, one in five (19%) reproductive age women would not know where to get emergency contraception pills if they wanted or needed them in the near future (Figure 12). Higher shares of women with lower incomes compared to higher incomes (25% vs. 16%) and women living in rural areas compared to those living in urban or suburban areas (30% vs. 17%) say they would not know where to get emergency contraception pills if they wanted or needed them in near future. A higher share of women living in states where abortion is banned say they would not know where they could go to get emergency contraception compared to women living in states where abortion is generally available (23% vs. 17%).

One in Five Reproductive Age Women Do Not Know Where to Get Emergency Contraception Pills if They Wanted or Needed It

An important part of a contraceptive care visit is contraceptive counseling that is focused on a patient’s own needs, values, and preferences with regard to their contraceptive decision-making., referred to as person-centered contraceptive counseling. The quality of this counseling can be measured using a four-item survey that uses a 5-point scale and asks patients to rate the extent to which their provider respected them as a person, let them say what mattered to them about their birth control method, took their preferences about their birth control seriously, and gave them enough information to make the best decision about their birth control method. Using this measure, four in ten (42%) contraceptive users report receiving excellent person-centered contraceptive counseling across all dimensions (Figure 13). Smaller shares of women with low incomes compared to women with higher incomes rate their contraceptive counseling as excellent across all four items (39% vs. 49%). Only a third (33%) of women without insurance rate their contraceptive counseling as excellent compared to 45% of women with private insurance. Smaller shares of women receiving their contraceptive care at a clinic rate their contraceptive counseling as excellent compared to those getting care in a doctor’s office (38% vs. 49%) which disproportionately reflects the experiences of women who are low income or uninsured. Just over 10% of contraceptive users rated their provider as fair or poor on at least one of the four items of patient-centered contraceptive counseling. Higher shares of women with low incomes (16%) and uninsured women (21%), as well as one in five women with disabilities say they received fair or poor contraceptive counseling on at least one item.

Less Than Half of Women Say They Received Excellent Contraceptive Care Across a 4-Item Measure of Person-Centered Contraceptive Counseling

Part of person-centered contraceptive counseling is letting patients say what matters to them about their birth control method and taking their preferences about their birth control seriously. However, nearly a quarter (23%) of contraceptive users say if they could use any type of birth control method available, they would use a different method than the method they are currently using (Figure 14). This is similar across age groups and race/ethnicity. Larger shares of women with low incomes say that if they could use any type of birth control method available, they would use a different method than they are currently using compared to women with higher incomes (29% vs. 19%). Over three in ten (31%) women with Medicaid coverage say they would use a different method than the one they are currently using if they could use any method compared to one in five (20%) women with private insurance.

Nearly a Quarter of Women Aren’t Using Their Preferred Contraceptive

Among women who aren’t using their preferred method, nearly one in four (23%) say they would use a partner’s vasectomy if they could use any type of birth control, regardless of cost or other possible barriers (Figure 15). Contraceptive use is commonly the responsibility of women due to the extremely limited contraceptive methods available to men. For women or those who can get pregnant, avoiding pregnancy involves undergoing a procedure, or remembering to take a pill every day, or tracking one’s cycle and for many, living with side effects. Having the ability to rely on a partner’s vasectomy can take some of the burden off those who are capable of becoming pregnant. Nearly one in five (18%) women who aren’t using their preferred method (23% of contraceptive users) say they would choose to be sterilized, while 21% would use a long-acting reversible method, such as an IUD (14%) or implant (7%). These long-acting methods can be appealing because they can be used for three to ten years and don’t rely on regularly remembering to take a daily pill or get a periodic injection in the case of short acting hormonal methods. Among those who are not using their preferred method one in five (19%) women would use a short acting hormonal method, such as pills (8%), injectables (5%), patch (2%), ring (2%), and emergency contraception (2%). While one in ten (12%) would choose a non-hormonal method, including male condoms (6%), withdrawal (3%), and fertility awareness-based methods (3%).

Four in Ten Contraceptive Users Who Are Not Using Their Preferred Contraception Would Use a Permanent Method if Cost and Other Barriers Were Not an Issue

Concern about side effects or previously experienced side effects are leading reasons women are not using their preferred method of birth control, with a quarter (25%) of women who are not using their preferred method citing this as the reason (Figure 16). Over four in ten (44%) Black women who are not using their preferred method say concern about side effects is the primary reason compared to 18% of White women. Some of the other top reasons women are not using their preferred method include inability to afford their preferred method (15%), their provider recommending a different method (10%), or their partner not wanting them to use their preferred method (8%).

One in Four Contraceptive Users Are Not Using Their Preferred Method Because of Concern About Side Effects

The primary reasons for not using their preferred method of birth control depends on the method they prefer to be using. For those who prefer to be using a permanent method, such as female sterilization or a partner’s vasectomy, the top reasons they are not using these methods is affordability (26%) and their partner does not want them to use this method (16%) (Figure 17). Among those who prefer to be using a long-acting contraceptive or hormonal method, four in ten (40%) cite concern about side effects, 17% say their provider recommended a different method, 11% say medical conditions make them ineligible, and 10% can’t afford their preferred method.

Reasons for Not Using Preferred Method by Method Preference

Methodology

The 2024 KFF Women’s Health Survey was designed and analyzed by women’s health researchers at KFF. The survey was conducted from May 13 – June 18, 2024, online and by telephone among a nationally representative sample of 6,246 adults ages 18 to 64, including 3,901 women ages 18 to 49. Women include anyone who selected woman as their gender (n = 3,867) or who said they were non-binary (n = 26), transgender (n = 4), or another gender (n = 3) and chose to answer the female set of questions with regard to sexual and reproductive health. Sampling, data collection, weighting, tabulation, and IRB approval by the University of Southern Maine’s Collaborative Institutional Review Board were managed by SSRS of Glenn Mills, Pennsylvania in collaboration with women’s health researchers at KFF.

Throughout the reports of findings, we refer to “women”. This includes respondents who said their gender is “woman,” plus those who said their gender is “transgender,” or “non-binary,” or another gender and that they prefer to answer the survey’s set of questions for females. We followed this approach to try to include as many people as possible but recognize that some people who need and seek abortion and other reproductive health care services may not be represented in the findings or identify as women.

The sample was drawn from two nationally representative probability-based panels: the SSRS Opinion Panel and the Ipsos KnowledgePanel. The SSRS Opinion Panel is a nationally representative probability-based panel where panel members are recruited randomly in one of two ways: (a) Through invitations mailed to respondents randomly sampled from an Address-Based Sample (ABS) provided by Marketing Systems Groups (MSG) through the U.S. Postal Service’s Computerized Delivery Sequence (CDS); (b) from a dual-frame random digit dial (RDD) sample provided by MSG. For the online panel component, invitations were sent to panel members by email followed by up to five reminder emails. 5,276 panel members completed the survey online and panel members who do not use the internet were reached by phone (175). Another 970 respondents were reached online through the Ipsos Knowledge Panel to help reach adequate sample sizes among subgroups of interest, specifically women ages 18 to 49. This panel is recruited using ABS, based on a stratified sample from the CDS. The questionnaire was translated into Spanish, so respondents were able to complete the survey in English or Spanish.

In this survey, adults with disabilities are those who self-identify as such. This population includes those who selected “yes,” when asked, “Do you identify as a disabled person or a person with a disability?” A follow-up question was then asked to determine the nature of the disability. The SSRS Opinion Panel and Ipsos KnowledgePanel are representative of U.S. adults with disabilities who live outside of institutional settings and are able to participate in the panel.

The sample was weighted by splitting the sample into three groups: [1] Women 18-49, [2] Women 50-64, and [3] Men 18-64 and each group was separately weighted to match known population parameters (see table below for weighting variables and sources). Weights within the three groups were then trimmed at the 4th and 96th percentiles, to ensure that individual respondents do not have too much influence on survey-derived estimates. After the weights were trimmed, the samples were combined, and the weights adjusted, so that the groups were represented in their proper proportions for a final combined, gender by age-adjusted weight.

DimensionsSource
AgeCPS 2023 ASEC
Education
Age by Education
Age by Gender
Census Region
Race/Ethnicity by Nativity
Home Tenure
Civic EngagementCPS 2021 Volunteering & Civic Engagement Supplement
Internet FrequencySSRS Opinion Panel Database 2024
Population DensityACS 206-2020 5-year data
NEP RegionsCensus Planning Database 2022
Voter RegistrationCPS 2022 Voting & Registration Supplement

The margin of sampling error for the sample of reproductive age women, is plus or minus 2 percentage points. Numbers of respondents and margins of sampling error for key subgroups are shown in the table below. For results based on other subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher.  Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error and there may be other unmeasured error in this survey.

 GroupN (unweighted)M.O.S.E.
National Women Ages 18-493901± 2 percentage points
White, non-Hispanic1856± 3 percentage points
Black, non-Hispanic603± 5 percentage points
Hispanic963± 4 percentage points
Asian286± 7 percentage points
<200% FPL1667± 3 percentage points
200%+ FPL1974± 3 percentage points
Pro-life1074± 4 percentage points
Pro-choice2815± 2 percentage points
Republican/Republican-leaning1076± 4 percentage points
Democrat/Democrat-leaning1803± 3 percentage points
Urban/Suburban3379± 2 percentage points
Rural473± 6 percentage points
Lives in a state where abortion is banned857± 4 percentage points
Lives in a state where abortion has gestational limits 6-12 weeks819± 5 percentage points
Lives in a state where abortion has gestational limits 15-22 weeks594± 6 percentage points
Lives in a state where gestational limited are 24+ weeks or none1631± 3 percentage points

Medicaid Work Requirements: Current Waiver and Legislative Activity

Published: Nov 21, 2024

With Donald Trump returning to the presidency and Republican control of the Senate and House, work requirements are likely to be back on the agenda—through federal legislation or Medicaid waivers. Although past legislative attempts to incorporate work requirements into Medicaid statute failed, plans from Republican and conservative groups continue to support federal legislation to allow or require work requirements in Medicaid. A Congressional Budget Office analysis of a recent work requirement proposal shows that the policy would reduce federal spending due to reductions in enrollment and increase the number of people without health insurance but would not increase employment. Several states have also continued to pursue work requirement Section 1115 waivers, often tied to Medicaid expansion efforts. South Dakota just passed a ballot measure allowing the state to pursue a work requirement for its (newly implemented) Medicaid expansion population. The makeup of state legislatures and governor control are important, as Medicaid policy changes may require state legislative action or may be authorized at the direction of the governor. While a focus on work requirements remains, data show most Medicaid adults are working or face barriers to work. Among adults with Medicaid who are under age 65 and do not have Medicare or SSI, 91% are working, or are not working due to an illness, caregiving responsibilities, or school attendance.

This issue brief briefly highlights the history of Medicaid work requirements, describes recent state activity to advance work requirement policies, and recaps the landscape of work requirement approvals and pending requests at the end of President Trump’s first term.

Work Requirement Waiver History

For the first time in the history of the Medicaid program, the Trump administration encouraged and approved Section 1115 waivers that conditioned Medicaid coverage on meeting work and reporting requirements, approving 13 state work requirement waivers. Only Arkansas implemented such requirements with consequences for noncompliance, which resulted in over 18,000 people losing coverage before a federal court deemed the work requirement unlawful. While the vast majority of enrollees were working or qualified for exemptions, barriers with meeting reporting requirements led to people getting dropped from the program. Other states that began implementation did not disenroll those who did not comply and instead paused implementation due to litigation and/or the COVID-19 pandemic.

The Biden administration withdrew Medicaid work requirement waivers in all states that had approvals, concluding that these provisions do not promote the objectives of the Medicaid program, such as promoting coverage for low-income people. Although CMS withdrew work and premium requirements in Georgia’s waiver, these provisions remain in place after a federal judge overturned the CMS withdrawal. While work requirements waivers were the subject of litigation during the Trump and Biden administrations, the Supreme Court never ruled on the issue leaving it open for future administrations; however, any future waivers with work requirements would likely face legal challenges.

Work Requirement Waiver Activity

Work Requirements Currently Implemented

Georgia’s “Pathways” waiver expands eligibility to 100% of the federal poverty level (FPL) ($25,820 for a family of three, $15,060 for an individual in 2024) for parents and childless adults, with initial and continued enrollment conditioned on meeting work requirements. This is not a full Medicaid expansion under the ACA and does not qualify for enhanced federal matching funds. The waiver was implemented in July 2023. Over a year into the demonstration, enrollment remains low—as of October 2024, the state had only enrolled about 5,100 adults, a fraction of the estimated 175,000 adults in the Medicaid “coverage gap” in Georgia (individuals who did not qualify previously for Medicaid with incomes below poverty, making them ineligible for premium subsidies in the ACA Marketplace). As of the end of CY 2023, over 90% of the $26.6 million spent on the Pathways program was spent on administrative and consulting costs (largely through contracts with Deloitte consulting), as opposed to spending on health care costs. The demonstration is set to expire on September 30, 2025.

Recent State Legislative Consideration of Work Requirements Tied to Medicaid Expansion

A few states have introduced or passed legislation tying the implementation or adoption of the ACA Medicaid expansion to work requirements (also see Appendix table for additional state-by-state details).

  • South Dakota adopted the Medicaid expansion through a ballot initiative in 2022; coverage began on July 1, 2023. In early 2024, the state legislature passed a resolution adding a 2024 ballot measure that asked voters for approval to allow the state to impose work requirements on certain adults eligible for Medicaid expansion coverage. The measure passed (with 56% of voters in favor). The state must still seek CMS approval to implement work requirements.
  • The March 2023 legislation that adopted the ACA Medicaid expansion in North Carolina includes a provision to seek approval for work requirements if there is any indication that CMS would approve such a waiver. Medicaid expansion coverage in North Carolina began on December 1, 2023. In less than a year, nearly 580,000 expansion adults have enrolled.
  • After a failed effort in 2024, the Mississippi legislature may revisit whether to adopt and implement the ACA Medicaid expansion with a work requirement during the 2025 legislative session (which starts in January).
  • In January 2024, bills to introduce the Kansas governor’s proposal to expand Medicaid, which for the first time included a work requirement, were referred to the legislature. While the legislature held a hearing on the governor’s proposed legislation, both the House and Senate bills died in committee.
  • In January 2024, legislators in Idaho introduced a bill that would have repealed the state’s Medicaid expansion if work requirements and other conditions were not met, but it failed to advance after a House committee voted to hold the bill.

Work Requirement Requests Submitted During Biden Administration

In June 2023, Arkansas requested federal approval to condition Medicaid expansion QHP coverage (expansion adults in Arkansas are enrolled in ACA Marketplace plans) on meeting a work requirement. Individuals that do not comply with workforce activity requirements, including following individualized plans created by assigned “care coordinators,” would be transitioned from Marketplace coverage to fee-for service coverage (where individuals may face different provider networks). This waiver remains pending at CMS.

Recap: Work Requirement Approvals & Pending Requests at End of President Trump’s First Term

CMS under the Trump administration approved waivers with work requirements in 13 states. Across states, work requirement waivers were generally similar in conditioning Medicaid coverage for certain adults on reported employment or other qualifying activities, with some variation in technical details. For example, waivers varied by population (with most applying to expansion adults), exemptions (e.g., for older age or medical frailty), qualifying activities, number of required hours, reporting methods/requirements, and consequences for noncompliance. Nine additional state work requirement requests were pending (i.e., had not been approved) at the end of President Trump’s first term. For state-level detail on the approved waivers as well as additional requests that were not approved by the end of the Trump administration, see KFF’s 1115 waiver tracker.

Note that work requirement waivers submitted to the Trump administration date back several years. Changes in the makeup of state legislatures and governors will impact state interest in pursuing these policies. Some states require state legislative action before state plan amendments or Section 1115 waiver requests can be submitted by the state Medicaid agency to CMS for federal approval and others do not.

Medicaid Work Requirement Waiver Requests &amp;amp; State Activity

Appendix

State Medicaid Work Requirement Waiver and Legislative Activity

Expected Immigration Policies Under a Second Trump Administration and Their Health and Economic Implications

Published: Nov 21, 2024

Note: This content was updated on July 1, 2025 to reflect new regulations eliminating ACA Marketplace eligibility for DACA recipients.

Introduction

Immigration was a central campaign issue during the 2024 Presidential election with President-elect Trump vowing to take strict action to restrict both lawful and unlawful immigration into the U.S. Such actions would have stark impacts on the health and well-being of immigrant families as well as major economic consequences for the nation. As of 2023, there were 47.1 million immigrants residing in the U.S., and one in four children had an immigrant parent.1  Increased immigration boosts federal revenues and lowers the national deficit through immigrants’ participation in the country’s economy, workforce, and through billions of dollars in tax contributions.

This issue brief discusses key changes to immigration policies that may take place under the second Trump administration based on his previous record and campaign statements, and their implications. President-elect Trump has indicated plans to restrict and eliminate legal immigration pathways, including humanitarian protections, and deport millions of immigrants, which would likely lead to separation of families, negative mental and physical impacts for immigrant families, and negative consequences on the nation’s workforce and economy.

Expected Policy Changes

Elimination of Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) Program

The future of the DACA program remains uncertain due to pending litigation, and President-elect Trump tried to eliminate DACA during his first term; over half a million DACA recipients would lose protected status if it is eliminated. DACA was originally established via executive action in June 2012 to protect certain undocumented immigrants who were brought to the U.S. as children from removal proceedings and receive authorization to work for renewable two-year periods. During his prior term, President-elect Trump sought to end DACA but was blocked by the Supreme Court in 2020. The Biden administration issued regulations in 2022 to preserve DACA protections. In September 2023, a district court in Texas ruled the DACA program unlawful, preventing the Biden administration from implementing the new regulations while the case awaits a decision in the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals. Under pending court rulings, while the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is accepting first-time DACA requests, it is unable to process them. DHS is continuing to process DACA renewal requests and related requests for employment authorization. After the attempt to end DACA failed in 2020, the Trump administration said that it would try again to eliminate DACA protections, and, if the pending court ruling finds the program unlawful, the administration is unlikely to appeal the decision. However, in a recent interview, President-elect Trump indicated that he would work on addressing the status of “Dreamers” and indicated a willingness to work with Democrats on the issue, although the details of this proposed plan remain unclear. There are over half a million active DACA recipients, a majority of whom are working and many of whom have U.S.-born children, who could be at risk of deportation if the program is eliminated.

A recent health coverage expansion to DACA recipients has also been eliminated by the Trump administration. In May 2024, the Biden administration published regulations to extend eligibility for Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplace coverage with premium and cost-sharing subsidies to DACA recipients, who were previously ineligible for federally funded health coverage options. The regulation became effective November 1, 2024, allowing for enrollment during the 2025 Open Enrollment Period. In August 2024, a group of 19 states filed a lawsuit against the federal government alleging that the ACA Marketplace coverage expansion to DACA recipients violates the Administrative Procedure Act. On December 9, 2024, a federal court in North Dakota granted the plaintiffs’ motion by blocking the ACA coverage expansion from being implemented in the 19 states that filed the lawsuit (AL, AR, FL, IA, ID, IN, KS, KY, MS, MT, ND, NE, NH, OH, SC, SD, TN, TX, VA). On December 16, 2024, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit issued a temporary stay of the federal court’s injunction, temporarily allowing DACA recipients in all states to sign up for ACA Marketplace coverage. However, on December 23, 2024, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit vacated the administrative stay, thereby making DACA recipients in the aforementioned 19 states ineligible for ACA Marketplace coverage again. On June 25, 2025, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) finalized a rule that will exclude DACA recipients from the definition of “lawfully present” immigrants for the purposes of health coverage, making them ineligible to purchase coverage through the ACA Marketplaces beginning 60 days after the final rule’s publication.  Elimination of the coverage expansion could leave thousands of DACA recipients without an affordable coverage option.

Changes to Public Charge Policy

President-elect Trump could reinstate changes to public charge policy that he made during his first term, which led to increased fears and misinformation among immigrant families about accessing programs and services, including health coverage. Under longstanding immigration policy, federal officials can deny entry to the U.S. or adjustment to lawful permanent resident (LPR) status (i.e., a “green card”) to someone they determine to be a public charge. During his prior term, President-elect Trump issued regulations in 2019 that broadened the scope of programs that the federal government would consider in public charge determinations to newly include the use of non-cash assistance programs like Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP). Research suggests that these changes increased fears among immigrant families about participating in programs and seeking services, including health coverage and care. Prior KFF analysis estimated that the 2019 changes to public charge policy could have led to decreased coverage for between 2 to 4.7 million Medicaid or CHIP enrollees who were noncitizens or citizens living in a mixed immigration status family. The Biden administration rescinded these changes. However, as of 2023, a majority of immigrant adults said in a KFF survey that they were “not sure” about public charge rules, and roughly one in ten (8%), rising to about one in four (27%) of likely undocumented immigrant adults, said they have avoided applying for assistance with food, housing, or health care in the past year due to immigration-related fears (Figure 1). As of November 2024, President-elect Trump has not indicated whether his administration plans to reinstate his first term changes to public charge policy.

About One in Four Undocumented Immigrant Adults Says They Have Avoided Applying for Assistance with Food, Housing, or Health Care Due to Immigration-Related Fears

Expanded Interior Enforcement Actions

President-elect Trump has indicated that his administration plans to carry out mass detentions and deportations of millions of immigrants, including long-term residents, which could lead to family separations and negative mental and physical health consequences. President-elect Trump has stated that he will declare a national emergency and use the U.S. military to carry out mass deportations of tens of millions of undocumented immigrants residing in the U.S., many of whom have been living and working in the country for decades. Such a policy could lead to family separations as well as mass detentions, which can have negative implications for the mental health and well-being of immigrant families and also put their physical health at risk. Tom Homan, who was the director of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) during the first Trump administration and has been selected as the incoming administration’s “border czar”, has said that it is possible to carry out mass deportations without separating families by deporting an entire family unit together, even if the child may be a U.S. citizen. As was the case during his first term, he may also carry out workplace raids as part of mass deportation efforts. Research shows that such raids can lead to family separations, poor physical and mental health outcomes for immigrant families, negative birth and educational outcomes for the children of immigrants, and financial hardship due to employment losses. Prior KFF research shows that restrictive immigration policies implemented during the first Trump administration, including detention and deportation led to increased fears and stress among immigrant families and negatively impacted the health and well-being of children of immigrants, most of whom are U.S. citizens.

Mass deportations could also negatively impact the U.S. workforce and economy, where immigrants make significant contributions. Immigrants have similar rates of employment as their U.S.-born counterparts and play outsized roles in certain occupations such as agriculture, construction, and health care. Research has found that immigrants do not displace U.S.-born workers and help foster job growth through entrepreneurship and the consumption of goods and services. Further, federal data show that unemployment rates for U.S.-born workers have not decreased between 2022 and 2023 and have remained similar to those for immigrant workers. In addition, immigrants, including undocumented immigrants, pay billions of dollars in federal, state, and local taxes each year. Mass deportation of immigrants could lead to workforce shortages in key sectors which could have negative economic consequences including an increase in the cost of essential goods such as groceries. Vice President-elect Vance has stated that immigrants are responsible for the U.S. housing crisis. While some studies show a link between immigration and rising housing costs, in general, economists are skeptical of immigration being a primary driver. Mass deportation of immigrants could also worsen housing shortages since immigrants make up a significant share of construction workers. Workplace raids can exacerbate existing labor shortages and have a negative impact on the local economies of the communities where they take place. Further, research shows that without the contributions undocumented immigrants make to the Medicare Trust Fund, it would reach insolvency earlier, and that undocumented immigrants result in a net positive effect on the financial status of Social Security. There also is likely to be a significant cost to taxpayers for the government to carry out large-scale detention and deportations.

Ending Birthright Citizenship

President-elect Trump has stated that he will sign an executive order to end birthright citizenship for the children of some immigrants despite it being a guaranteed right under the U.S. Constitution, which would negatively impact the health care workforce and economy. This proposed action would limit access to health coverage and care for the children of immigrants since they may not have lawful status. It could also have broader ramifications for the nation’s workforce and economy, potentially exacerbating existing worker shortages, including in health care. KFF analysis of federal data shows that adult children of immigrants have slightly better educational and economic outcomes than adult children of U.S.-born parents and make up twice the share of physicians, surgeons, and other health care practitioners as compared to their share of the population (13% vs. 6%) (Figure 2). Other research also has found that children of immigrants contribute more in taxes on average than their parents or the rest of the U.S.-born population, and that their fiscal contributions exceed their costs associated with health care, education, and other social services.

Adult Children of Immigrants Play an Outsized Role in the U.S. Health Care Workforce

Reinstatement of “Remain in Mexico” Policy

President-elect Trump has stated that he will reinstate the “Remain in Mexico” border policy and that he may use military spending to carry out stricter border enforcement, which would leave an increased number of asylum seekers facing unsafe conditions at the border. The first Trump administration implemented Migrant Protection Protocols, often referred to as the “Remain in Mexico” policy, in 2019. Under this policy, asylum seekers were required to remain in Mexico, often in unsafe conditions, while they awaited their immigration court hearings. The Biden administration ended this policy in 2022, following some legal challenges, although it implemented a series of increasingly restrictive limits on asylum eligibility in 2023 and 2024 in response to a high number of border encounters. President-elect Trump said he plans to reinstate the Migrant Protection Protocols. He also has indicated that he will deploy the National Guard, as well as active duty military personnel, if needed, to the U.S.-Mexico border, although details of the plan remain unclear. Heightened military presence at the border can lead to increased fears among immigrant families living in border areas and using part of the military budget for border security could face legal challenges.

Restrictions on Humanitarian Protections

President-elect Trump said he plans to significantly limit the entry of humanitarian migrants into the U.S. during his second term by restricting refugee limits, shutting down the CBP One application for asylum seekers, and eliminating Temporary Protected Status (TPS) designations for immigrants from some countries.  During his first term, President Trump set the annual refugee admissions ceiling at its lowest levels, ranging from 50,000 in 2017 to a historic low of 18,000 in 2020. The Biden administration increased the limit to 65,000 in 2021, a level close to the annual ceilings prior to the first Trump term, and further increased the limits in 2022 and 2024 in response to humanitarian concerns. It is likely that President-elect Trump will reduce the admissions ceiling for refugees in his second term. The President-elect has also said that he will close the CBP One application created by the Biden administration which allows asylum seekers to seek lawful entry to the U.S. by making an interview appointment with the DHS. While there have been implementation challenges with the CBP One application, shutting down the application could lead to “mass cancellation of appointments” and possibly an increase in attempts to cross the border outside of ports of entry. President-elect Trump also has indicated that he will roll back TPS designations for some immigrants, including those from Haiti. TPS designations protect immigrants from countries deemed unsafe by the DHS from deportation and provide them with employment authorization but do not provide a pathway to long-term residency or citizenship. As of March 2024, over 860,000 immigrants from 16 countries were protected by TPS. Loss of TPS would put people at risk for deportation, which could contribute to family separation which in turn can have negative impacts on the mental and physical health of immigrant families, and broader negative consequences for the workforce and economy.

  1. KFF analysis of 2023 American Community Survey 1-year Public Use Microdata Sample. ↩︎