Recent State Actions Impacting Immigrants’ Access to State-Funded Health Coverage and Other Public Programs

Published: Jul 16, 2025

In 2025, states have enacted or proposed a range of legislation that will impact immigrants’ access to state-funded health coverage and other public programs. Several states have proposed rolling back state-funded health coverage programs that expand coverage to immigrants regardless of status as part of broader state actions to reduce budget deficits amid economic uncertainties. At the same time, Congressional Republicans passed the budget reconciliation bill, which would reduce federal health program funding by more than $1 trillion over the next decade for states according to estimates from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). These funding cuts could exacerbate financial pressure on states to eliminate state-funded coverage programs despite the potential for higher demand due to provisions limiting immigrants’ eligibility for Medicaid, Medicare, and Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplaces. States have also enacted laws expanding immigration enforcement that reflect the Trump administration’s increased interior enforcement activities to support mass deportation. More limited access to health coverage options and increased immigration enforcement activities may increase fear and uncertainty among immigrant families and have negative physical and mental health implications, including for their citizen children.

In contrast, some states have moved to limit interior enforcement activities and increase immigrants’ access to certain public benefits. While some states are seeking to enhance protections for immigrants, the Trump administration signed an executive order directing federal agencies to suspend federal grants and contracts with states or local jurisdictions identified as obstructing enforcement of federal immigration laws, or “sanctuary jurisdictions”, which may limit states’ ability to implement protections for immigrants.

This policy watch summarizes recent proposed actions by states related to state-funded health coverage for immigrants and trends in other legislation enacted during the 2025 session that have implications for immigrants. It is based on KFF analysis of publicly available materials and the National Conference of State Legislatures’ Immigration Legislation Database.

Access to State-Funded Health Coverage and Other Programs

As of June 2025, of the 14 states that offer state-funded health coverage to at least some immigrants regardless of status, three states (California, Illinois, and Minnesota) plus D.C. have proposed or enacted budgets to end or limit new enrollment of adults in these programs as part of broader efforts to reduce state budget deficits. Economic uncertainties and federal funding reductions that may reduce state revenues and the rising costs of health care and social services have driven states across the country to consider measures to reduce spending. California plans to maintain coverage for existing enrollees in their state-funded health coverage program but pause new enrollment for immigrant adults ages 19 and older starting in January 2026, end state-funded dental benefits starting in July 2026, and charge $30 monthly premiums to currently enrolled adults ages 19-59 starting in July 2027. Illinois plans to end their state-funded health coverage program for all immigrant adults ages 42 to 64 regardless of immigration status enrolled in the Health Benefits for Immigrant Adults (HBIA) program starting July 2025. This is in addition to Illinois’ previously announced pause in new enrollment in the Health Benefits for Immigrant Seniors (HBIS) program, which provides state-funded health coverage for immigrants 65 and older regardless of status. Minnesota plans to end their state-funded health coverage program for all undocumented immigrant adults ages 18 and older by 2026. The D.C. mayor’s proposed budget, subject to council approval, proposes ending coverage of immigrant adults 21 and older regardless of status in their locally-funded Healthcare Alliance program. Losing health coverage may have negative impacts on health care access and health outcomes as research suggests that coverage expansions for immigrants are associated with lower uninsured rates and improved access to care.

As of June 2025, states have also enacted legislation that would limit immigrant access to certain public benefits. In March 2025, Idaho enacted legislation that decreases the maximum income refugees in Idaho can earn to remain eligible for the Refugee Medical Assistance program from 150% to 133% of the federal poverty level (FPL). Idaho also enacted legislation in April 2025 preventing undocumented immigrants from accessing public benefits that were previously exempt from immigration status verification, including publicly-funded vaccinations, communicable disease testing, prenatal and postnatal care for women, crisis counseling, and food assistance for children. In May 2025, Tennessee enacted legislation that would hold churches and charitable organizations liable for providing housing aid to immigrants without legal status who commit crimes, which may reduce the services available to immigrants.

In contrast, several states have enacted legislation in 2025 to increase access to certain public benefits, the health care workforce, and educational opportunities for immigrants. In February 2025, Massachusetts enacted legislation requiring resettlement agencies to coordinate the provision of services to immigrant and refugee families and pregnant women. In February 2025, New York enacted legislation to direct their Military Immigrant Family Legacy Program to connect noncitizen military members and their families to immigration legal assistance. In March 2025, Utah enacted legislation to create a new Refugee Services Office to coordinate services and benefits available to refugees. Washington and Oklahoma enacted legislation in April and May 2025, respectively, that would allow international medical graduates to practice in health care facilities in certain situations. In May 2025, Oregon enacted legislation exempting asylum seekers enrolled in the state’s public universities from paying non-resident tuition and fees, and Colorado enacted legislation that removed a requirement for immigrants to attest that they have applied or will apply for lawful presence when applying for in-state tuition at the state’s public universities.

Immigration Enforcement

Several states have enacted legislation in 2025 to enhance law enforcement against undocumented immigrants and implement increased immigration verification requirements for driver’s licenses and voting. Some states have enacted legislation related to law enforcement actions against immigrants, continuing trends in recent years on immigration enforcement. For example, Indiana enacted legislation in May 2025 which would enhance criminal sentencing if the individual is an undocumented immigrant, and Missouri enacted legislation in March 2025 that would require law enforcement to submit immigration status data to a statewide database. Some states also have prohibited local level policies that would limit cooperation with federal immigration enforcement authorities. For example, legislation enacted in North Dakota in April 2025 and in New Hampshire in May 2025 prohibit state and local government entities from adopting sanctuary policies. Several states have also continued passing driver’s licensure laws impacting immigrants. For example, Wyoming enacted legislation in February 2025 limiting noncitizens’ access to driver’s licenses. Kansas and Tennessee enacted legislation in April 2025 that would create a database of noncitizens holding driver licenses. States have also enacted legislation related to voting, such as in Alabama in May 2025 that prevents foreign driver’s licenses from being used as voter identification and in Wyoming in March 2025 that would allow the state to verify immigration status during voter registration.

In contrast, some states have also enacted legislation that may limit federal immigration enforcement in certain settings. In March 2025, Connecticut and Delaware enacted legislation requiring every school to have a designated administrator and a plan for interacting with federal immigration authorities and prohibiting public schools from sharing student information without a warrant. In May 2025, Maryland enacted legislation prohibiting sensitive locations such as schools and libraries from allowing federal immigration enforcement officials entry, with some exceptions. In May 2025, Colorado enacted legislation that would limit sharing of immigration status with federal immigration authorities and increase protections for immigrants in public facilities from enforcement.

Key Facts About Medicare Part D Enrollment, Premiums, and Cost Sharing in 2025

Authors: Juliette Cubanski and Anthony Damico
Published: Jul 16, 2025

The Medicare Part D program provides an outpatient prescription drug benefit to more than 50 million older adults and people with long-term disabilities in Medicare who enroll in private plans, including stand-alone prescription drug plans (PDPs) to supplement traditional Medicare and Medicare Advantage prescription drug plans (MA-PDs) that include drug coverage and other Medicare-covered benefits. This brief analyzes Medicare Part D enrollment and costs in 2025 and trends over time, based on data from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS).

Highlights for 2025

  • Enrollment in Medicare Part D stand-alone PDPs remained stable at 23 million in 2025, despite monthly premium increases in some PDPs of up to $35, the maximum increase allowed for plans participating in the Part D premium stabilization demonstration, which included measures intended to stabilize the PDP market as major changes to the Part D benefit took effect in 2025, including a new $2,000 out-of-pocket spending cap.
  • Medicare Advantage continues to be the primary source of Part D drug coverage for people with Medicare, with close to 32 million enrollees. Overall, Part D enrollment is concentrated in a handful of large plan sponsors, including UnitedHealth, Centene, Humana, and CVS Health.
  • Enrollment in the Part D Low-Income Subsidy (LIS) decreased in 2025, from 13.7 million to 13.1 million, the first decrease in enrollment since 2007, the first full year of the Part D program. This decrease is likely related to Medicaid disenrollment among dual-eligible individuals that stemmed from the unwinding of the Medicaid continuous enrollment provision in place during the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Average monthly premiums decreased for both PDPs and MA-PDs in 2025, but the average monthly premium for Part D coverage is still substantially higher for PDPs than for MA-PDs ($39 versus $7), mainly because most MA-PD enrollees are in zero-premium plans, which is related to the ability of Medicare Advantage plan sponsors to reduce their Part D premiums using rebates, which are not available to PDP sponsors.
  • Median cost-sharing amounts for drugs covered on some formulary tiers are the same or similar in PDPs and MA-PDs, but PDP enrollees are more likely than MA-PD enrollees to face coinsurance for preferred brands and non-preferred drugs, while MA-PD enrollees face higher median coinsurance for specialty tier drugs.

Part D Enrollment

Medicare Advantage drug plans continue to enroll more beneficiaries than stand-alone drug plans, but PDP enrollment has stabilized

More than half (58%) of all Part D enrollees in 2025 are in Medicare Advantage drug plans, continuing a trend of increasing enrollment in Medicare Advantage plans (Figure 1). Despite some concerns about the stability of the stand-alone PDP market as changes to the Part D benefit took effect in 2025 and an overall reduction in the number of PDPs for 2025, that decline did not result in lower overall PDP enrollment in 2025. In fact, the number of PDP enrollees has increased by 1 million since 2023. MA-PD enrollment growth was more than three times larger over the same period, however, with enrollment in MA-PDs increasing by 3.3 million between 2023 and 2025.

More Medicare Part D Enrollees Are in Medicare Advantage Drug Plans Than in Stand-alone Prescription Drug Plans, but PDP Enrollment Has Stabilized

Part D Low-Income Subsidy enrollment is tilted even more towards Medicare Advantage drug plans than overall Part D enrollment, but overall LIS enrollment decreased in 2025

The Medicare Part D Low-Income Subsidy (LIS) provides financial assistance with drug plan premiums and cost sharing for low-income enrollees. Two-thirds of LIS enrollees – 8.8 million out of 13.1 million – are enrolled in Medicare Advantage drug plans in 2025 (Figure 2). Six million LIS enrollees are enrolled in Medicare Advantage Special Needs Plans (SNPs), nearly all of whom are in plans designed specifically for dual-eligible individuals (Table 1). LIS enrollment in MA-PDs has increased over time in tandem with overall enrollment of Medicare beneficiaries in Medicare Advantage plans.

At the same time, Part D LIS enrollment overall decreased in 2025, from 13.7 million to 13.1 million – the first decrease in enrollment since 2007, the first full year of the Part D program. This decrease is likely due to Medicaid disenrollment among dual-eligible individuals that stemmed from the unwinding of the Medicaid continuous enrollment provision in place during the COVID-19 pandemic. Medicare beneficiaries with Medicaid coverage (dual-eligible individuals) automatically qualify for LIS, meaning a loss of Medicaid coverage would lead to a loss in LIS unless eligible individuals apply and enroll separately.

Two-Thirds of Beneficiaries Receiving the Part D Low-Income Subsidy Are Enrolled in Medicare Advantage Drug Plans in 2025

Five firms cover nearly three-fourths of Part D enrollees in 2025

Part D enrollment is concentrated in a handful of top plan sponsors, with 5 firms covering 73.5% of all Part D enrollees in 2025, or 40.2 million out of 54.8 million enrollees (Figure 3). Nearly 1 in 4 enrollees (12.6 million) are in Part D plans sponsored by UnitedHealth, including both stand-alone PDPs and MA-PDs. CVS, Humana, and Centene each have around 15% of the Part D market, with enrollees in both types of Part D plans.

Centene is the top firm in the PDP market, with one-third (34%) of all PDP enrollees, followed by CVS Health (18%) and UnitedHealth (15%), while UnitedHealth is the top firm in the MA-PD market, with 29% of all MA-PD enrollees, followed by Humana (17%) and CVS Health (11%).

The Top 5 Firms Cover Nearly Three-Fourths of Part D Enrollees in 2025

Nearly 5 million PDP enrollees – more than 1 in 4 – are enrolled in the lowest-premium PDP in 2025

Among the 12 national PDPs available in 2025, only one – Wellcare Value Script – has an average monthly premium less than $10 and, likely for this reason, has attracted a substantial share of all PDP enrollees, with more than 1 in 4, or 5 million, PDP enrollees in 2025 (Figure 4). Between 2024 and 2025, Wellcare Value Script gained 1.2 million PDP enrollees, as several other national PDPs experienced smaller increases and some PDPs lost enrollment, even after taking plan consolidations into account (Table 2).

Nearly 5 Million PDP Enrollees - More Than 1 in 4 - Are In the Lowest-Premium PDP in 2025; Fewer Are Enrolled in PDPs With the Highest Premiums

The number and share of LIS enrollees in national PDPs vary considerably, which is related to the fact that only 5 of these 12 plans are benchmark PDPs, meaning they are available to Part D enrollees receiving LIS for no premium. For example, a majority of all enrollees in Wellcare Classic (83% or 2.1 million) are receiving LIS; this is a benchmark plan in 33 of 34 PDP regions (Table 3). More than two-thirds of enrollees in Cigna Healthcare Assurance Rx, a benchmark plan in 12 regions, are LIS enrollees (69% or 0.7 million). In contrast, only 3% of the 5 million enrollees in Wellcare Value Script are LIS enrollees; despite its low average premium, this is an enhanced PDP and therefore does not qualify to be a benchmark plan.

Overall, 15% (0.6 million) of the 4.2 million PDP enrollees receiving LIS (excluding those in employer group plans) are enrolled in non-benchmark PDPs. LIS enrollees in non-benchmark plans are required to pay a portion of the plan’s premium for the cost of basic benefits that exceeds the LIS benchmark amount in their region or if their plan charges a premium for enhanced benefits.

Part D Premiums

Average monthly premiums decreased for both PDPs and MA-PDs in 2025, but the average monthly premium for Part D coverage is still substantially higher for PDPs than for MA-PDs

The Part D premium demonstration for stand-alone PDPs established by the Biden administration in 2024 worked as intended to stabilize PDP premiums, with the average monthly PDP premium decreasing 9% between 2024 and 2025 from $43 to $39, despite monthly premium increases in some PDPs of up to $35, the maximum increase allowed for plans participating in the premium stabilization demonstration.

The $39 average monthly PDP premium, based on current enrollment after the end of the open enrollment season for 2025, is lower than the estimated $45 monthly PDP premium for 2025, which was based on enrollment in June 2024 and did not account for plan switching by current enrollees or plan choices by new enrollees during the open enrollment period. Taking into account plan switching and new enrollment into lower premium plans resulted in the lower enrollment-weighted average monthly premium for 2025.

On average, PDP enrollees continue to pay substantially more each month for their Part D drug coverage than enrollees in Medicare Advantage drug plans. The $39 average monthly PDP premium is nearly 6 times higher than the $7 average monthly premium for drug coverage in MA-PDs (weighted by enrollment) (Figure 5). (The total average premium for MA-PDs, including all Medicare-covered benefits, is $13 per month in 2025.) The weighted average MA-PD premium decreased by 25% between 2024 and 2025 (down from $9 to $7).

The difference between average monthly premiums for drug coverage offered by PDPs and MA-PDs has been growing larger, with the average PDP premium rising and the average MA-PD premium falling. The average premium for drug coverage in MA-PDs is heavily weighted by zero-premium plans because MA-PD sponsors can use rebate dollars from Medicare payments to lower or eliminate their Part D premiums. Rebates to Medicare Advantage plans have doubled since 2018 and now exceed $2,000 per year per beneficiary.

The Average Monthly Premium for Part D Drug Coverage is Nearly 6 Times Larger for Stand-Alone Drug Plans Than for Medicare Advantage Drug Plans in 2025 (Grouped column chart)

Eight in 10 MA-PD enrollees without low-income subsidies pay no monthly premium for Part D coverage compared to 3 in 10 PDP enrollees

Nearly 80% of MA-PD enrollees without low-income subsidies (15.1 million) pay no monthly premium for Part D coverage in 2025, compared to 31% of PDP enrollees without LIS (4.3 million). For 2025, Medicare beneficiaries had access to 29 zero-premium MA-PD plans on average, whereas only 1 PDP – Wellcare Value Script – was available for zero premium for non-LIS enrollees in most PDP regions (29 out of 34), and 6 other PDPs were available for zero premium in 5 or fewer PDP regions.

Just over half of PDP enrollees without LIS (51%) pay $30 or more – including 1 in 7 PDP enrollees without the LIS (14%) who pay at least $100 per month for their Part D plan (Figure 6). In contrast, less than 10% of MA-PD enrollees pay $30 or more per month for Part D coverage, and less than 1% pay $100 per month or more.

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Out-of-Pocket Costs

Most Part D enrollees are in plans that charge a deductible for drug coverage in 2025, including 60% of MA-PD enrollees and 85% of PDP enrollees

Among MA-PD enrollees, 60% (12.3 million) are in a plan that charges a deductible for drug coverage – an increase from 2024, when only 23% of MA-PD enrollees were in a plan charging a drug deductible. In 2025, 12% of MA-PD enrollees are in a plan that charges the standard deductible of $590 (up from 3% in 2024) and 49% face a partial deductible averaging $328 (Figure 7).

A large majority of PDP enrollees (85% or 15.3 million) are in a plan that charges a drug deductible in 2025, including more than three-fourths (77%) in a plan that charges the standard deductible of $590 and 8% facing a partial deductible averaging $495. (These estimates include Part D enrollees receiving Low-Income Subsidies, who do not pay a deductible regardless of whether their plan

Most Part D Enrollees Are in Plans That Charge a Deductible for Drug Coverage in 2025, Including 60% of MA-PD Enrollees and 85% of PDP Enrollees

PDP enrollees are more likely than MA-PD enrollees to face coinsurance for preferred brands and non-preferred drugs, while MA-PD enrollees face higher median coinsurance for specialty tier drugs

As in previous years, Part D enrollees face low copayments for generic drugs and higher cost-sharing amounts for preferred brands, non-preferred drugs, and specialty drugs, regardless of whether they are in PDPs or MA-PDs (Figure 8). Median copayments for drugs covered on generic tiers are the same in PDPs and MA-PDs, but for preferred brands and non-preferred drugs, PDP enrollees are much more likely than MA-PD enrollees to pay coinsurance, or a percentage of a drug’s price. Whereas most MA-PD enrollees face a median copayment of $47 for preferred brands, most PDP enrollees face median coinsurance of 21%. For non-preferred drugs, a somewhat larger share of MA-PD enrollees face median coinsurance of 42% than a copayment of $100, while all PDP enrollees face coinsurance for non-preferred drugs, with a median rate of 40%.

Median coinsurance for specialty tier drugs (those that cost over $950 in 2025) is higher for MA-PD enrollees than PDP enrollees – 30% vs. 25%. Plans that waive some or all of the standard deductible, which most MA-PDs do, are permitted to set the specialty tier coinsurance rate above 25%.

These cost-sharing amounts apply when beneficiaries fill prescriptions in the initial coverage phase of the Part D benefit. Under a provision in the Inflation Reduction Act, beneficiaries no longer face cost sharing in the catastrophic coverage phase of the Part D benefit. In 2025, Medicare beneficiaries will pay no more than $2,000 out of pocket for prescription drugs covered under Part D.

Part D Enrollees Face Similar Cost-Sharing Amounts for Some Covered Drugs in PDPs and MA-PDs in 2025, But a Larger Share of PDP Enrollees Face Coinsurance for Preferred Brands and Non-Preferred Drugs

Among the 12 PDPs offered nationwide, most charge $0 for preferred generics but only 2 charge flat copayments for preferred brands and all charge coinsurance for non-preferred drugs

Part D enrollees in 8 of the 12 national PDPs face a median copayment of $0 for preferred generics, while median copays for drugs on the standard generic tier range from $0 to $10 (Figure 9). For preferred brands, 10 of 12 national PDPs charge coinsurance, with median amounts ranging from 15% to 25%, and only 2 national PDPs charge copays. All 12 national PDPs charge coinsurance for non-preferred drugs, ranging from 31% to 50% at the median, and coinsurance for specialty tier drugs ranging from 25% to 33%.

Among the 12 PDPs Offered Nationwide, Most Charge $0 for Preferred Generics but Only 2 Charge Flat Copayments for Preferred Brands and All Charge Coinsurance for Non-preferred Drugs
Medicare Part D and Part D Low-Income Subsidy Program Enrollment, by Plan Type, 2006-2025
Enrollment and Premiums for Medicare Part D Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Plans Offered Nationwide in 2024 and 2025
Enrollment in Medicare Part D Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Plans Offered Nationwide in 2025, By Low-Income Subsidy Status

Juliette Cubanski is with KFF. Anthony Damico is an independent consultant.

 

The Uncertain Future of Medicare’s Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Plan Market and Why It Matters

Published: Jul 16, 2025

Ahead of Medicare’s annual mid-year announcement about the national average premium for Part D prescription drug coverage in 2026 and other plan details, two questions loom large for the insurers that sponsor Part D stand-alone prescription drug plans (PDPs) and the 23 million people in traditional Medicare who are currently enrolled in these plans: Will the Trump administration continue Medicare’s Part D premium stabilization demonstration for a second year, and what will the PDP market look like in 2026 and in subsequent years? The answer to the first question could determine whether monthly PDP premiums remain at a relatively affordable level and whether PDP availability remains stable in 2026. The answer to the second question has larger implications for the viability of traditional Medicare as an option for beneficiaries nationwide but especially for beneficiaries who live in rural areas. This is because rural Medicare beneficiaries are more likely to be enrolled in traditional Medicare and rely more on drug coverage from stand-alone PDPs than Medicare Advantage plans.

Why does the stability of the PDP market matter?

For Medicare beneficiaries who are enrolled in traditional Medicare, which is just under half of all people with Medicare, getting Medicare Part D prescription drug coverage means enrolling in a stand-alone PDP. For Medicare beneficiaries who qualify for the Part D Low-Income Subsidy (LIS), enrolling in certain PDPs provides the only guaranteed option for premium-free drug coverage and lower cost sharing. In recent years, the overall number of PDPs has declined, with the number of PDPs available to the average beneficiary decreasing from 30 in 2021 to 14 in 2025 (Figure 1). The number of premium-free (“benchmark”) plans for LIS enrollees is even lower and decreased from 8 benchmark PDPs in 2021 to 2 in 2025. Over this period, the average number of Medicare Advantage drug plans (MA-PDs) increased from 27 to 34.

The Number of Part D Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Plan Options for the Average Medicare Beneficiary Has Fallen by Half in Recent Years, While Medicare Advantage Drug Plan Options Have Increased

Ultimately, the erosion of the PDP market – fewer plans coupled with rising premiums – could diminish the ability of Medicare beneficiaries in traditional Medicare to obtain affordable Medicare Part D drug coverage, leaving them with little choice but to enroll in Medicare Advantage, a choice that comes with tradeoffs. While Medicare Advantage plans typically charge zero premium beyond the standard Part B premium and offer extra benefits than what is covered under traditional Medicare, they also have more limited provider networks and greater use of prior authorization than in traditional Medicare. The erosion of the PDP market could also further reduce premium-free stand-alone drug plan choices for low-income Medicare beneficiaries.

Why is PDP market stability an issue for rural Medicare beneficiaries in particular?

While most people with Medicare live in urban areas, a majority of Medicare beneficiaries who live in the nation’s most rural areas are enrolled in traditional Medicare, not Medicare Advantage, and six in 10 of these beneficiaries are enrolled in stand-alone PDPs in 2025 (Figure 2).

Nearly 6 in 10 Medicare Part D Enrollees Who Live in the Nation's Most Rural Areas Are Enrolled in Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Plans

If rural Medicare beneficiaries in traditional Medicare are unable to obtain affordable Medicare drug coverage through PDPs, they could be left with no option but to enroll in Medicare Advantage if they want Part D coverage. However, beneficiaries living in rural areas have far fewer Medicare Advantage plan options than those in urban areas, often with more limited provider networks.

What was the impetus for the Part D premium stabilization demonstration?

The Part D premium demonstration was established in 2024 ahead of a major redesign of the Part D benefit that took effect in 2025, including a new $2,000 out-of-pocket drug spending cap and changes that significantly shifted benefit costs from the federal government to Part D plan sponsors. Sponsors of Part D stand-alone drug plans projected greater variability in the impact on their benefit costs than sponsors of Medicare Advantage drug plans, and the voluntary demonstration, established under the federal government’s Section 402 demonstration authority, provided additional premium subsidies to stand-alone PDPs to prevent substantial premium increases along with other measures designed to help stabilize the PDP market.

What was the effect of the PDP stabilization demonstration in 2025?

The demonstration worked as intended to stabilize premiums, with the average monthly PDP premium holding steady at under $40 in 2025, despite monthly premium increases in some PDPs of up to $35, the maximum increase allowed for plans participating in the premium stabilization demonstration. Even as the number of PDPs dropped from 709 to 464, enrollment in stand-alone PDPs remained stable for 2025, suggesting that the demonstration helped to minimize disruption in the PDP market that might otherwise have occurred.

How much did the PDP stabilization demonstration cost the federal government?

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated that the demonstration would cost $5 billion in 2025. Some GOP members of Congress criticized these additional subsidies to PDPs as shifting costs from plan sponsors and enrollees to taxpayers. However, these subsidies are being offered to PDPs on a temporary demonstration basis. By comparison, through the existing statutory Medicare Advantage payment system, the government is providing additional Part D subsidies to Medicare Advantage plans in the form of rebates that total more than $500 per year for each MA-PD enrollee in 2025. This amounts to close to $11 billion in additional federal subsidies that MA-PD sponsors are using to lower or eliminate their Part D premiums and offer Part D supplemental benefits in 2025. As a result, most MA-PD enrollees pay no premium for their Medicare Advantage Part D drug coverage.

In response to a 2024 request from members of the House and Senate GOP, the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) recently issued a legal decision that the Part D premium stabilization demonstration is consistent with the authority granted to the HHS Secretary under Section 402 of the Social Security Act to conduct Medicare payment demonstrations. GAO’s official assessment of the legality of the demonstration may take some of the wind out of the sails of its critics, but it doesn’t bind the Trump administration to continuing the demonstration beyond 2025.

What comes next?

The Trump administration has not provided a clear signal as to whether it will continue the PDP premium stabilization demonstration for 2026 and if so what the specific parameters will be. That announcement is expected at the end of July. For Medicare beneficiaries in traditional Medicare, and rural Medicare beneficiaries in particular, continuation of the Part D premium stabilization demonstration could be key to ensuring access to relatively affordable Part D coverage through PDPs in 2026.

Plan-level Part D premiums for 2026 are not yet known and will be announced in the fall. Premiums are expected to vary across plans, with lower monthly premiums for MA-PDs than PDPs, on average. If so, this would be consistent with 2025, when average monthly premiums are $7 for MA-PDs and $39 for PDPs. The lower average MA-PD premium is heavily weighted by zero-premium plans, with MA-PD sponsors using rebates to reduce their Part D premiums.

The premium differential in 2026 could be even greater, however, if the Trump administration decides to scale back or terminate the PDP premium stabilization demonstration. Doing so could also result in further reductions in PDP availability, which would have implications for access to Part D drug coverage among Medicare beneficiaries enrolled in PDPs. If PDP options become less numerous and more expensive, that could hasten the shift of enrollees from traditional Medicare to Medicare Advantage. With the federal government spending more per beneficiary in Medicare Advantage than traditional Medicare, that would mean even higher federal spending over time.

This work was supported in part by Arnold Ventures. KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities.

Demand for 988 Continues to Grow at Third Anniversary

Published: Jul 14, 2025

On July 16, 2022, the federally mandated crisis number988, became available to all phone users at no charge. This three-digit number connects users–via phone, text, or chat–to a network of over 200 local and state-funded crisis call centers that provide access to crisis counseling, resources, and referrals through the 988 Suicide & Crisis Lifeline. The introduction of 988 came against the backdrop of rising suicide rates. Between 2013 and 2023, more than half a million lives (509,115) were lost to suicide, with increases observed nationally and across most states. Firearms have been the predominant suicide method, accounting for over half of all suicide deaths and contributing to a record high number of suicides in 2022.

988 enters its third year amid significant legislative changes to Medicaid and other health programs, projected by the CBO to reduce federal Medicaid spending by $1 trillion dollars and result in 11.8 million people losing health coverage (from Medicaid and Marketplace changes) over the next 10 years. These changes could disrupt access to mental health care and create ripple effects across the broader mental health system. The HHS budget has proposed maintaining current 988 funding levels, much of which supports 988’s federal infrastructure. At the same time, the substantial federal Medicaid spending reductions in the recently-passed 2025 tax cuts and domestic policy bill could lead states to scale back spending, including on behavioral health services. The recent elimination of the specialized 988 service for LGBTQ+ young people—which previously handled about 10% of all 988 contacts—raises concerns about the mental health support for LGBTQ+ youth, a population already experiencing high rates of suicidal ideation and attempt.

Taken together, these changes could simultaneously increase mental health needs and reduce available support, potentially leading to higher rates of suicide attempts or deaths in coming years. This policy watch examines 988 on its third anniversary, drawing from the latest Lifeline data available through May 2025 and suicide death data from CDC WONDER for the period 2013 to 2023.

988 received 16.5 million contacts since its launch in July 2022, including 11.1 million calls, 2.9 million texts, and 2.4 million chats. Monthly contact volume has steadily increased, consistently surpassing 500,000 contacts per month over the past year and approaching or exceeding 600,000 per month since early 2025—double the contacts recorded before launch (303,332 in May 2022). Public awareness of the 988 service was low in 2023 but may have since improved, potentially contributing to the increases in contact volume. These 988 metrics do not include suicide hotline contacts from centers operating outside of the 988 network. As of 2022, fewer than half of all hotline call centers (about 200 of 544) participated in the 988 network.

Over 16 Million Calls, Texts, and Chats Received by 988 Crisis Service Since July 2022 Launch

Most states now answer 80% or more of 988 calls in-state, a significant improvement compared to before 988’s launch. In May 2025, 42 states answered at least 80% of calls locally, up from 23 states just before 988’s launch. In-state answer rates in May 2025 ranged from 58% (Arkansas) to 99% (Rhode Island). Calls not answered in-state are redirected to national backup centers, where counselors answer the crisis call but may be less familiar with local resources. Nationally, 91% of 988 calls, texts, and chats are answered, while 9% are disconnected—for reasons that may include the person ending the contact or technical issues. This compares to a 30% disconnection rate before 988’s launch in May 2022. Federal funds supported 988’s launch, including some initial funding to support state infrastructure and local call centers, but ongoing funding for these call centers largely falls to states. Currently, 12 states passed legislation to help fund 988 through telecom fees (similar to 911 funding), with early-adopting states raising between $8 and $44.3 million in CY2023. Several other states have appropriated funds for 988, related crisis services, or efforts to improve interoperability across crisis response systems—and Medicaid, along with other payers in some cases, may also help finance 988 and related crisis services.

Most States Now Answer at Least 80% of Their 988 Calls Through In-State Call Centers

The overall number of suicide deaths remained stable from 2022 to 2023 (49,476 to 49,316), though it is too soon to fully determine the impact of 988. This stability was driven by small declines in non-firearm (other) suicides, while firearm suicides increased slightly (Figure 3). These patterns were generally consistent across demographic groups, including several of those previously experiencing increases over longer periods. Provisional CDC data suggest this stabilization may be continuing into 2024 (48,796), though these data are preliminary and may be incomplete. While there is no direct way to measure the effect of 988 on these rates, it could be a factor.

The Overall Number of Suicide Deaths Remained Stable From 2022 to 2023

If you or someone you know is considering suicide, call or text the 988 Suicide & Crisis Lifeline at 988

Most Medicare Advantage Markets are Dominated by One or Two Insurers

Published: Jul 14, 2025

Enrollment in Medicare Advantage, the private plan alternative to traditional Medicare, has increased steadily since 2010. The average beneficiary has access to 34 Medicare Advantage plans with prescription drug coverage in 2025, double the number available in 2018. On average, Medicare beneficiaries have access to plans offered by 8 firms, a slight increase from 2018. One goal of offering Medicare coverage through private plans is to leverage competition with the idea that insurers will compete to provide better benefits and lower costs to attract and retain enrollees. However, recent analysis finds that Medicare Advantage markets are highly concentrated, suggesting that the growth in enrollment and plan availability has not occurred in the context of a competitive market.

Higher market concentration in Medicare Advantage insurance markets may lower the incentive for insurers to compete for potential enrollees by making plans more appealing through more comprehensive benefits or lower costs. However, the competitiveness, or lack thereof, of Medicare Advantage markets has not been a priority of policymakers or regulators, especially in recent years. The most recent activity at the federal level occurred in 2017 when the Department of Justice blocked a merger between insurers Aetna and Humana, arguing if it went through it would significantly raise market concentration in the Medicare Advantage market. More recently, the conversation regarding competition in health care has revolved around increased consolidation in provider markets, especially hospitals and health systems.

To examine the competitiveness of Medicare Advantage markets, this analysis uses publicly available, county-level Medicare Advantage plan information and enrollment data for all 50 states, D.C., and Puerto Rico, published by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid, to calculate the Herfindahl-Hirshman Index (HHI) for each market (a county is considered a Medicare Advantage market because plans are offered at the county level). The HHI uses the relative market shares of all Medicare Advantage insurers offering plans in a county to create a measure of market concentration. Counties are then classified as unconcentrated, moderately concentrated, highly concentrated, or very highly concentrated markets. These categories align with guidelines published by the Federal Trade Commission and U.S. Department of Justice, except in that a fourth category (very highly concentrated) is added to further discern differences within the most concentrated markets. This analysis also examines how often one or two Medicare Advantage insurers enrolled at least half of all enrollees within a county, which provides an alternative illustration of market concentration (See Methods for more details).

Key Takeaways

  • Virtually all counties were highly concentrated (79%) or very highly concentrated (18%) in 2024. Less than 1% were moderately concentrated and 0% of counties were unconcentrated. (2% of counties had low or no Medicare Advantage enrollment.)
  • Most (89%) Medicare Advantage enrollees were in highly concentrated markets, with another 4% of Medicare Advantage enrollees in very highly concentrated markets.
  • Medicare Advantage markets were more concentrated in rural counties than in urban counties: 39% of the most rural counties were very highly concentrated in 2024 compared with 15% of rural counties that were near urban areas and 6% of urban counties.
  • Nine in ten (90%) Medicare beneficiaries lived in a county where at least half of all Medicare Advantage enrollees were in plans sponsored by one or two insurers in 2024.
  • UnitedHealthcare (41%) or Humana (25%) had the highest enrollment in two-thirds of counties, which comprised 59% of all Medicare Advantage enrollment, in 2024. Among all Medicare Advantage insurers, UnitedHealthcare was the dominant insurer in the largest share of highly concentrated markets (41%) and very highly concentrated markets (50%) in 2024.
  • In more than four in ten counties (44%), comprising 22% of all Medicare Advantage enrollment, a single Medicare Advantage insurer had at least 50% of enrollment in 2024, including 22% of counties where UnitedHealthcare had at least 50% of enrollment and 10% of counties where Humana had at least 50% of enrollment. Some large counties where one insurer had at least 50% of enrollment include Dallas County, Texas (55%), Salt Lake County, Utah (52%), and Milwaukee County, Wisconsin (64%).

Virtually all Medicare Advantage insurance markets were highly concentrated (79%) or very highly concentrated (18%) in 2024.

In 2024, virtually every county was a highly concentrated or very highly concentrated market for Medicare Advantage (Figure 1). A total of 2,524 counties (79%) were highly concentrated markets and 574 counties (18%) were very highly concentrated markets (Figure 2). Just 30 counties (<1%) were moderately concentrated markets. No counties were unconcentrated. (In 2024, 72 counties (2%) did not have sufficient Medicare Advantage enrollment to have a market concentration classification.)

Most Medicare Advantage Markets Are Highly Concentrated (79%) or Very Highly Concentrated (18%)

Most Medicare Advantage enrollees were in a highly concentrated (89%) or very highly concentrated market (4%) in 2024.

Most Medicare Advantage enrollees lived in a highly concentrated or very highly concentrated market: 28.9 million out of 32.3 million Medicare Advantage enrollees (89%) lived in a highly concentrated market, while 1.1 million lived (4%) lived in a very highly concentrated market in 2024 (Figure 2). Of the remaining Medicare Advantage enrollees, 2.3 million (7%) lived in moderately concentrated markets. No Medicare Advantage enrollees were in unconcentrated markets.

Most Medicare Advantage Enrollees Lived in a County That Was Highly Concentrated or Very Highly Concentrated

Since 2010, the share of counties that were either highly concentrated or very highly concentrated Medicare Advantage markets has changed little (94% of counties in 2010 compared to 97% in 2024). However, there have been shifts within markets at the highest levels of concentration. Specifically, the share of counties that are very highly concentrated markets declined from 36% in 2010 to 18% in 2024, while the share of counties that are highly concentrated has increased from 58% in 2010 to 79% in 2024 (Appendix Table 1).

Medicare Advantage markets were more concentrated (and less competitive) in rural than urban counties.

On average, Medicare Advantage markets in rural areas were more concentrated than those in urban areas in 2024 (data not shown). Consistent with this finding, substantially more counties were very highly concentrated in the most rural areas (39%), compared with rural counties near urban areas (15%), and counties in urban areas (6%) (Figure 3).

Almost 4 in 10 of the Most Rural Counties (39%) Were Very Highly Concentrated in 2024

A much larger share of Medicare Advantage enrollees living in the most rural counties were in very highly concentrated markets than either rural adjacent or urban counties: 16% of Medicare Advantage enrollees in the most rural counties lived in very highly concentrated markets, compared to 6% of Medicare Advantage enrollees in rural counties near urban areas and approximately 3% of Medicare Advantage enrollees in urban areas.

Nine in ten (90%) Medicare beneficiaries lived in counties where more than half of all Medicare Advantage enrollees were in plans sponsored by one or two firms in 2024.

In 2024, 90% of eligible Medicare beneficiaries – 54.3 million out of 60.5 million – lived in a county where at least 50% of Medicare Advantage enrollees in that county were in plans sponsored by one or two insurers (Figure 4). This represents a small decrease since 2010, when 96% of eligible beneficiaries – 41.4 million out of 43.5 million – lived in a county where at least half of Medicare Advantage enrollees were in plans sponsored by one or two insurers.

There has been a sharper decline in the share of Medicare beneficiaries living in counties where at least 75% of Medicare Advantage enrollment was in plans sponsored by one or two insurers. In 2010, 50% of Medicare beneficiaries lived in counties where the two largest firms comprised at least 75% Medicare Advantage enrollment compared with 25% in 2024.

UnitedHealthcare or Humana was the largest Medicare Advantage insurer in over half of counties in 2024.

UnitedHealthcare had the highest market share in more counties (41%) than any other Medicare Advantage insurer in 2024 – meaning that for 38% of all Medicare Advantage enrollees nationwide, UnitedHealthcare was the largest insurer in their county (Figure 5). Humana was the largest insurer in 25% of all counties in 2024; for 21% of all Medicare Advantage enrollees nationwide, Humana was the largest insurer in their county. UnitedHealthcare and Humana have consistently been the two largest insurers in the Medicare Advantage market, and comprised nearly half (47%) of all Medicare Advantage enrollment across the country in 2024.

In 2024, 90% of Medicare Beneficiaries Lived in a County Where at Least Half of Medicare Advantage Enrollment was in Plans Sponsored by One or Two Insurers

UnitedHealthcare and Humana’s dominance was especially prominent in the least competitive markets: UnitedHealthcare was the largest Medicare Advantage insurer in 50% of all very highly concentrated counties and in 41% of highly concentrated counties in 2024, while Humana was dominant in 22% of very highly concentrated counties and in 26% of highly concentrated counties.

Other insurers enrolled the largest number of Medicare beneficiaries in a smaller number of counties. BlueCross BlueShield (BCBS) affiliates were the largest Medicare Advantage insurer in 11% of all counties, followed by CVS Health (8%), and Elevance Health (4%). In 2% of counties there was not sufficient Medicare Advantage enrollment to examine enrollment by insurer.

In More Than Half of All Counties, UnitedHealthcare (41%) or Humana (25%) Was the Largest Medicare Advantage Insurer

A single insurer comprised at least half of Medicare Advantage enrollment in 44% of counties in 2024.

In 44% of counties, comprising 22% of all Medicare Advantage enrollment, a single insurer enrolled at least 50% of all Medicare Advantage enrollees in 2024. In half of these counties (22%), UnitedHealthcare was the single insurer with a market share of at least 50%, including in Dallas County, Texas (55%), Salt Lake County, Utah (52%), Milwaukee County, Wisconsin (64%), Boulder County, Colorado (52%), and the District of Columbia (64%) (Appendix Table 2).

Humana enrolled at least half of all Medicare Advantage enrollees in 10% of counties, BCBS affiliates in 5% of counties, CVS Health in 3% of counties, and Elevance Health in less than 1% of counties (Appendix Table 3). Other insurers had at least 50% of Medicare Advantage enrollment in 3% of counties.

Appendix

Total Number and Share of Counties Per Market Concentration Classification

Top 20 Largest Counties Where UnitedHealthcare's Medicare Advantage Market Share Is At Least 50%

op 20 Largest Counties Where Humana's Medicare Advantage Market Share Is At Least 50%

Methods

This analysis uses data from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) Medicare Advantage Enrollment, Benefit and Landscape files for 2010 to 2024. Enrollment data is only provided for plan-county combinations that have at least 11 beneficiaries. Connecticut is excluded from the at the county level due to a change in FIPS codes that are in the Medicare Enrollment Dashboard data but are not yet reflected in the Medicare Advantage plan information and enrollment data. KFF calculates the share of eligible Medicare beneficiaries enrolled in Medicare Advantage, meaning they must have both Part A and B coverage.

This analysis categorizes counties by market concentration by calculating each county’s Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) for Medicare Advantage enrollment, combining all enrollment for plans offered by an insurer in a county. HHI, which ranges from 0 to 10,000, is calculated by summing the squares of the market share of each firm in a market. An HHI closer to 10,000 indicates a more concentrated and less competitive market – an HHI of 10,000 defines a pure monopoly. For example, a market where two firms each have a market share of 50% would result in an HHI of (50^2) + (50^2) = 5,000, while a market where one firm has a market share of 75% and another firm has a market share of 25% would result in an HHI of (75^2) + (25^2) = 6,250.

Counties are classified by geography type using the 2024 Urban Influence Codes published by the USDA, Economic Research Service as follows: Urban (UIC codes 1 and 4), Rural adjacent to urban areas (UIC codes 2, 3, 5, and 6), and Rural non-adjacent to urban areas (UIC codes 7, 8, and 9). Rural counties that are non-adjacent to urban areas are considered the most rural counties.

This work was supported in part by Arnold Ventures and AARP. KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities.

Medicare at 60: A Popular Program Facing Challenges

Published: Jul 10, 2025

In this article in the Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law, KFF’s Tricia Neuman, Jeannie Fuglesten Biniek and Juliette Cubanski examine three isssues facing Medicare’s future: privatization, affordability and spending/financing.

They write that as Medicare approaches its 60th anniversary, it almost goes without saying that the program is both popular and successful. Medicare provides health insurance coverage to 67 million older adults and people with disabilities. Medicare is viewed favorably by Democrats, Republicans, and independents. Medicare has also helped to extend life expectancy and, in conjunction with the Civil Rights Act of 1964, narrow disparities in care. It is a vital source of revenue for hospitals, physicians and other health care providers, and health insurers, and it is an essential component of health and retirement security in the United States. These are among the reasons why Medicare is often considered a third rail in politics.

The authors also note that Medicare also faces challenges stemming from the growing role of private plans, demographic shifts, and rising health care costs. They examine these challenges by focusing on three fundamental questions: What are the implications of the transformation taking place such that private insurers are playing a more dominant role in providing Medicare benefits? What changes may be important for addressing the gaps in covered benefits and related affordability challenges? And how can Medicare be sustained to finance care for current and future generations?

Access to OB-GYNs: Evaluating Workforce Supply and ACA Marketplace Networks

Published: Jul 10, 2025

OB-GYNs provide a range of care for women throughout their lifespan, including diagnosis and treatment of gynecological conditions such as endometriosis, polycystic ovary syndrome, and cervical cancer; contraceptive care; prenatal and postpartum care; and menopause management. Access to care depends on several factors, including the availability of providers and, for people with insurance, whether the provider is in their plan’s network. When there are few providers in an area, local providers are not taking new patients, or a patient needs to see a provider who is not in their plan’s network, their ability to get care, how long they have to wait for an appointment, and potentially how much they have to pay out-of-pocket can all be impacted.

This brief examines the supply of OB-GYNs in the U.S. and the share of OB-GYNs participating in the provider networks of Qualified Health Plans (QHPs) offered in the individual market in the federal and state Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplaces in 2021. This analysis uses multiple data sources; see the Methods section for details. While many more women are covered by employer-sponsored health plans than ACA Marketplace plans, there is no publicly available data to analyze the networks for employer plans.

Key Takeaways

  • There were 38 practicing OB-GYNs per 100,000 women in the United States, with higher ratios in metro counties (41) than in rural counties (13) in 2021-2022. 38 practicing OB-GYNs per 100,000 women is equivalent to one OB-GYN per about 2,600 women.
  • Nearly half (48%) of counties did not have any practicing OB-GYNs and 7% of women lived in a county with no OB-GYN. The share of women with no OB-GYN in their county was substantially higher in rural counties than in metro counties (58% vs. 3%).
  • In 2021, enrollees in ACA Marketplace plans had in-network access to 55% of practicing OB-GYNs in their area on average. By comparison, Marketplace enrollees had in-network access to 43% of primary care physicians.
  • Marketplace enrollees in metro counties, on average, had in-network access to 53% of the OB-GYNs near their home compared to 70% in rural counties. However, as noted above, there are relatively few OB-GYNs practicing in rural counties.
  • On average, Marketplace enrollees in counties with the highest shares of people of color had in-network access to 43% of area OB-GYNs while those in counties with the lowest shares of people of color had in-network access to 69%.

OB-GYN Workforce

OB-GYNs play an important role in ensuring women have access to comprehensive health care. There are many factors that can create barriers to accessing obstetric and gynecological care, including the size of the OB-GYN workforce and the ratio of OB-GYNs to patients. Although there is no established “adequacy” ratio of OB-GYNs to patients, OB-GYN shortages could be considered in the context of longer appointment wait times and increased travel distances, among others. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services projects a shortage of 7,980 OB-GYNs by 2037 based on the supply of OB-GYNs in the workforce and the demand for OB-GYNs (based on the population of adolescent girls and women).

According to KFF analysis of the HRSA Area Health Resource Files for 2021-2022, there were 38 OB-GYNs per 100,000 women ages 15-64 (hereafter collectively referred to as “women”) in the United States, with wide variation by county (Figure 1). The workforce data analyzed here is from the year that Roe v. Wade was overturned (and the year before), so that decision’s specific impacts on the OB-GYN workforce are largely not reflected in this data.

Number of Practicing OB-GYNs per 100,000 Women Ages 15-64, by County, 2021-2022

In 2021-2022, nearly half (48%) of U.S. counties did not have any OB-GYNs, and 7% of women lived in a county with no OB-GYN. Three-quarters (74%) of all counties had fewer than five OB-GYNs, and 17% of women lived in a county with fewer than five OB-GYNs.

The number of OB-GYNs per 100,000 women was higher than the national average in 28 of the top 30 Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with the largest number of women (Figure 2). Among these 30 CBSAs, the CBSAs with the highest ratios were San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA; Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD; and Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, with 61, 53, and 53 OB-GYNs per 100,000 women, respectively. The CBSAs with the lowest ratios were Columbus, OH; Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA; and Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC, with 39, 38, and 33 OB-GYNs per 100,000 women, respectively.

CBSA is the umbrella term for Metropolitan and Micropolitan Statistical Areas as defined by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB). CBSAs consist of the county or counties or equivalent entities associated with at least one urban core (urbanized area or urban cluster) of at least 10,000 population, plus adjacent counties having a high degree of social and economic integration with the core as measured through commuting ties with the counties containing the core.

Number of OB-GYNs per 100,000 Women in the Top 30 Core-Based Statistical Areas With the Largest Number of Women, 2021-2022

County Classification Differences in Provider Availability

In 2021-2022, eight in ten (79%) rural counties had no OB-GYNs and nearly six in ten (58%) women in rural counties lived in a county without an OB-GYN (Table 1). There were approximately three times more OB-GYNs per 100,000 women in metro counties (42) than in rural counties (13).

County classifications are based on USDA’s 2013 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes and KFF categorized these classifications into metro counties, small urban counties, and rural counties. See the Methods section for more details. Using this taxonomy, 85% of women lived in metro counties, 11% lived in small urban counties, and 4% lived in rural counties.

Race/Ethnicity Differences in Provider Availability

Counties with an above-average share of White non-Hispanic people had almost half the number of OB-GYNs per 100,000 women as counties with an above-average share of Black non-Hispanic people (24 vs. 46). There were 41 OB-GYNs per 100,000 women in counties with an above-average share of Hispanic people of any race. On average, about 58% of the U.S. population was White non-Hispanic, 12% was Black non-Hispanic, and 19% was Hispanic (any race) during that timeframe.

Share of Counties With No OB-GYNs and Share of Women Living in Them, by County Demographics, 2021-2022

Other Implications

Provider shortages can also play a role in hospital and clinic staffing. For example, one study found that more than 35% of counties are considered “maternity care deserts,” meaning that there is no access to birthing hospitals, birth centers offering obstetric care, or obstetric providers. Maternity care deserts affected maternity care for more than 2.3 million women of reproductive age in 2022, resulting in poorer health outcomes, less prenatal care, and higher rates of pre-term births. Additionally, another study found that the share of hospitals in the U.S. without obstetric services increased from approximately 35% in 2010 to 42% in 2022, with even higher percentages for rural hospitals. Studies have identified that workforce challenges are one of the primary reasons for labor and delivery units closing in rural hospitals.

Although it is not clear how, precisely, OB-GYN workforce shortages impact the use of obstetric and gynecological care, the overall disparities in maternal and infant health for women of color are well-documented. While increased attention to these disparities has contributed to a range of federal and state efforts to reduce disparities in maternal and infant health, it is unclear how, or if, these efforts will continue in a political landscape characterized by rolling back efforts aimed at identifying and addressing disparities in historically marginalized groups and eliminating agencies and committees that lead these efforts. Additionally, state abortion bans and restrictions may exacerbate poor maternal and infant health outcomes, especially for people of color.

Additionally, it is reported that 1.2 million reproductive-age women live in a county without a single health center offering the full range of contraceptive methods, referred to as a “contraceptive desert.” A 2023 KFF survey of OB-GYNs following the overturning of Roe v. Wade found that just three in ten (29%) OB-GYNs provide all contraceptive methods, and that share is substantially lower in states that had banned abortion (13%). Although most OB-GYNs do not provide abortion services, abortion bans could also exacerbate provider shortages in some areas and impact access to other types of care that OB-GYNs provide.

OB-GYN Provider Networks in Marketplace Plans

The breadth of provider networks in the Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplaces has been the subject of significant policy interest. As insurers seek to offer lower-premium plans, one mechanism for controlling costs is to limit their physician networks to providers with lower payment rates. While the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) establishes minimum standards for the adequacy of physicians, including OB-GYNs, in Marketplace plan networks, insurers retain considerable flexibility in how they design networks.

While many more women are covered by employer-sponsored health plans than ACA Marketplace plans, there is no publicly-available data to analyze the networks for employer plans.

The 2023 KFF Survey of Consumer Experiences with Health Insurance found that 24% of adult women with Marketplace coverage said that in the past year, a particular doctor (not specific to obstetric or gynecological care) or hospital they needed was not covered by their insurance. Among women Marketplace enrollees who experienced this problem, 32% said that needed care was delayed, and 42% said they ended up paying more out of pocket for care than expected as a result of problems they had with their health insurance.

This section analyzes OB-GYN provider networks of Qualified Health Plans (QHPs) offered in the individual health insurance Marketplaces in 2021. (At the time of analysis, 2021 was the most recent data available for calculating the total number of active OB-GYNs. See the Methods section for more details.) In total, 12 million consumers selected a plan for the 2021 plan year, roughly 55% of whom were women. Due to missing or incomplete demographic data for some states, this analysis presents data for Marketplace enrollees of all genders.

On average, Marketplace enrollees had in-network access to more than half (55%) of the practicing OB-GYNs near their homes in 2021 (Figure 3). By comparison, Marketplace enrollees had in-network access to 43% of primary care physicians and 37% of psychiatrists near their homes. One-quarter of enrollees were enrolled in plans with fewer than 34% of the local OB-GYNs in-network, while another quarter were in plans with at least 78% of local OB-GYNs in-network.

Share of Local OB-GYNs Included in Marketplace Enrollees’ Provider Networks, 2021

Geographic Differences in Marketplace Provider Networks

While metro counties had more practicing OB-GYNs overall, smaller shares of them participated in Marketplace plan networks compared to OB-GYNs in small urban and rural counties (Figure 4). Eighty-eight percent of Marketplace enrollees lived in a metro county. Marketplace enrollees in metro counties, on average, had access to 53% of the OB-GYNs within five to ten miles of their county through their plan networks, with one-quarter enrolled in a plan whose network included no more than 33% of local OB-GYNs.

Marketplace enrollees in rural counties (e.g., Knox County, ME; Anderson County, TX; Macon County, NC), on average, had access to 70% of OB-GYNs in their local area (within 30 miles) through their plan networks. The higher OB-GYN participation rates in these counties, however, should be considered in the context of the small number of OB-GYNs practicing in these areas. For example, 98% of rural counties had fewer than five practicing OB-GYNs. It is possible that not all of these providers are accepting new patients, and an enrollee’s choice may be even more limited than the number of OB-GYNs who participate in the plan network. (See the OB-GYN Workforce section for county classification definitions.)

Share of OB-GYNs in Marketplace Enrollees' Provider Networks, by County Classification, 2021

The 30 counties with the highest enrollment in the Marketplaces in 2021 collectively represented 34% of all Marketplace enrollees and 21% of the U.S. population. Most of them are urban and some are home to large cities (e.g., Seattle in King County, WA). On average, Marketplace enrollees in almost all of these counties were in plans that included fewer than half of local OB-GYNs, though there was significant variation across these 30 counties (Figure 5). For example, Marketplace enrollees in Cook County, IL (Chicago) had access to fewer than two in ten (20%) OB-GYNs in their area on average. In contrast, enrollees in Gwinette County, GA (outside Atlanta) had in-network access to seven in ten (71%) practicing OB-GYNs on average.

Average Share of OB-GYNs Participating in Marketplace Networks in the 30 Counties With the Most Marketplace Enrollment, by County, 2021

Race/Ethnicity Differences in Marketplace Provider Networks

On average, Marketplace enrollees living in counties with a higher share of people of color were in networks that included a smaller share of OB-GYNs than counties with a smaller share of people of color (Figure 6). The quarter of Marketplace enrollees living in the counties with the highest share of people of color had access to 43% of OB-GYNs in-network, on average, compared to 69% in counties with the smallest share of people of color. These differences may reflect the higher concentrations of these people of color in large metro counties, where plans typically had narrower provider networks. ‘People of color’ include those who identify as Hispanic (of any race), multi-racial (Hispanic or non-Hispanic), or a race other than White (Hispanic or non-Hispanic).

Average Share of OB-GYNs Included in Marketplace Plan Networks, by Share of People of Color in County, 2021

Numbers of Practicing and In-Network OB-GYNs

The share of providers participating in a network is just one component of access and may not always gauge how well enrollees are served. High network participation rates matter little if there are few local providers to begin with. For example, in 2021, about one-quarter (23%) of Marketplace enrollees lived in a county with fewer than 25 practicing OB-GYNs in the local area (Figure 7). One in ten (10%) Marketplace enrollees had fewer than 10 practicing OB-GYNs in the local area, and 4% lived in a county with fewer than five OB-GYNs in the area (0% of Marketplace enrollees lived in a county with no local OB-GYNs). Sixty-three percent of Marketplace enrollees live in a county with 25 or more practicing OB-GYNs.

When it comes to network breadth, more than one-third (36%) of Marketplace enrollees were in a plan that included fewer than 25 local OB-GYNs, either because there weren’t 25 OB-GYNs in the market, or because available OB-GYNs were not included in the network. Nearly two in ten (18%) were in a plan that included fewer than ten OB-GYNs and one in ten (10%) were in a plan that had fewer than five local OB-GYNs (including 1% who were in a plan with no OB-GYNs). Thirty-five percent of Marketplace enrollees were in a plan with 25 or more OB-GYNs.

Among Marketplace Enrollees, Supply of Practicing OB-GYNs and OB-GYNs Participating in Marketplace Plan Networks, 2021

Although this OB-GYN network analysis is just among ACA Marketplace plans, employer-sponsored plans, which cover more people than Marketplace plans, also have provider networks. While many employers describe their plan’s provider networks as “very broad” or “somewhat broad,” nearly 1-in-5 (18%) firms with 5,000 or more workers characterize their plan as “somewhat narrow” or “very narrow.” The extent to which provider networks reduce the availability of OB-GYN services for those with employer coverage, and for which enrollees, remains unclear.

This work was supported in part by a grant from the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. The views and analysis contained here do not necessarily reflect the views of the Foundation. KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism.


Methods

OB-GYN Workforce Analysis:

Information on the OB-GYN workforce is available in HRSA Area Health Resource File (AHRF) for 2021-2022. Data on the OB-GYN workforce is derived from the American Medical Association Physician Masterfiles. Data on the share of the population that is Black non-Hispanic, White non-Hispanic, or Hispanic is based on the 2010 Census Redistricting Data. Data on the share of the population that is foreign-born or that has limited English proficiency is based on the American Community Survey 2016-2020.

County classifications are based on USDA’s 2013 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes, which was the version in use for the 2021-2022 AHRF. This analysis defines metro counties as those in metro areas with any size population; small urban counties as those with a population of 20,000 or more, adjacent or not adjacent to a metro area or that have a population of 2,500-19,999 adjacent to a metro area; and rural counties as those with populations of 2,500-19,999 not adjacent to a metro area or that have a population of less than 2,500, adjacent or not adjacent to a metro area.

It should be noted that clinicians other than OB-GYNs, such as nurse practitioners, physician assistants, and midwives, also provide obstetric and gynecological care and are included in this dataset. However, the dataset does not indicate the specific field in which they practice, so we are unable to include them in this analysis. Doulas, who provide non-clinical support to pregnant and postpartum people, are not generally included in the dataset and so are also not represented in this analysis.

Provider Network Analysis:

This analysis of ACA Marketplace plan networks uses similar methodology as a 2024 KFF analysis. In total, 12 million enrollees selected or were automatically re-enrolled in a plan on either HealthCare.gov (8.3 million) or a state-based Marketplace (3.8 million) during open enrollment for the 2021 plan year. Approximately 55% of enrollees were female and 45% were male. Gender counts for some state-based Marketplaces are incomplete due to unknown or missing gender data; therefore, the data presented in this analysis is representative of Marketplace enrollees of all genders. This analysis estimates the share of OB-GYNs included in individual Marketplace plans in 2021. The data include only physicians (which includes OB-GYNs) and not other providers of obstetric and gynecological care.

Information on plan provider directories was compiled by Ideon through an API with insurers as well as other data including the National Plan and Provider Enumeration System (NPPES). Data for carriers not participating in the Ideon API were supplemented with carriers’ public filings.

Local OB-GYNs are defined as those who practice within the same county as an enrollee or are within the distance thresholds specified as part of CMS’s network adequacy standards for HealthCare.gov plans. See mileage thresholds in Table 1 here for defining “local” areas.  While the mileage standards in network adequacy regulations are based on the proximity to plan enrollees, this analysis measures the distance from the population-weighted center of the county. County classifications (e.g., rural, small urban, metro) were derived from the data source and approach listed in the OB-GYN Workforce Analysis methods section above.

To estimate the total number of OB-GYNs who are in active practice, we relied on Medicare Data on Provider Practice and Specialty (MD-PPAS), a federal database of physicians who submitted at least one Medicare Part B claim in 2021 and therefore saw at least one Medicare patient in the year. Virtually all OB-GYNs participate in Medicare, with only about 1% formally opting out altogether. In total, 34,945 OB-GYNs were included in MD-PPAS in 2021.

Although MD-PPAS provides a list of physicians known to be working, one concern is that a disproportionate share of OB-GYNs may not have treated a Medicare patient in 2021. To assess the representativeness of OB-GYNs in MD-PPAS compared to other physician types, we examined the share of individual providers by specialty in the National Plan and Provider Enumeration System, a federal registry that assigns health care providers unique National Provider Identifiers (but that is not intended to serve as a census of the active health care workforce), who also filed a Medicare Part B claim in MD-PPAS. On average, 61% of OB-GYNs filed a Part B claim—a rate comparable to adult primary care physicians (57%) and all designated physician specialties (58%).

A central challenge in analyzing provider networks is determining the size of the physician workforce. While the vast majority of physicians engaged in active practice accept Medicare, some physicians may be inadvertently missed, including those in closed-network HMOs serving exclusively commercial populations or those specializing in services not typically used by Medicare enrollees. Telehealth providers whose addresses are not within the local market are also excluded. Further, this analysis only considers individual-level physicians enumerated in the plan directory. In some cases, plans may include group health practices in their networks and not individually list providers.

Conversely, this analysis may exaggerate the breadth of provider networks. “Phantom providers,” or physicians who are listed in the plan directory but no longer accept the plan, may artificially increase the breadth of some plans.

Click here to read the full methodology, scope, and limitations of this analysis.

VOLUME 26

States Expand Access to Ivermectin as Cancer Myths Continue, and Abortion Pill Faces False Water Supply Claim


Summary

This volume examines how unsupported claims about ivermectin as a cancer treatment have coincided with legislative efforts to expand access to the drug. It also explores the promotion of unproven “detox” supplements in response to falsehoods about the spike protein from the COVID-19 virus and vaccine, along with the unsubstantiated claim that byproducts from medication abortion pills contaminate the water supply. Lastly, it analyzes the renewed debate over ADHD diagnoses and treatments, including how stigma and shifting policy may affect treatment access.


Recent Developments

State Policy Changes Follow Ongoing Promotion of Ivermectin as Cancer Treatment

Callista Images / Getty Images

Persistent unsupported claims about ivermectin’s effectiveness in treating a range of diseases, including cancer and COVID-19, have coincided with state-level policy efforts to make the drug more accessible. While some studies have suggested ivermectin may enhance the efficacy of chemotherapy and immunotherapy drugs, its use for cancer treatment has not been extensively studied in humans and it is not approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for this purpose. Oral ivermectin is currently FDA-approved to treat certain parasitic infections in humans, like strongyloidiasis and onchocerciasis, and topical forms are approved to treat head lice and rosacea. Some social media users, though, continue to promote it as a cancer treatment, often sharing personal testimonials that frame the drug as a “miracle cure.” KFF’s monitoring of social media found that the share of cancer-related posts mentioning ivermectin doubled, albeit from a small share to start, in the first half of 2025 compared to all of 2024, with such posts accounting for more than 4% of all cancer-related content identified in our search this year. Between May 28 and June 26, some of the most-engaged-with posts relating to ivermectin as a cancer treatment came from a medical influencer with more than 565,000 followers on X. Their posts called ivermectin a “cutting-edge” cancer treatment and cited anecdotal stories of alleged success treating cancer with ivermectin and other anti-parasitic drugs.

Sixteen states have introduced or passed bills that would make ivermectin available over-the-counter, although pharmacists have expressed reluctance to dispense it without FDA approval for non-prescription or off-label use. Although some share personal stories of themselves or people they know treating their cancer with ivermectin, no major health organizations or regulatory bodies have approved it for cancer treatment, and the use of ivermectin could pose health risks. According to the FDA, ivermectin can interact with other medications, including blood thinners, and overdoses may lead to seizures, coma, or death. Claims that ivermectin can treat cancer may also lead some patients to pursue alternative treatments or delay effective therapies, both of which may result in higher mortality rates.

Polling Insights: KFF polling from 2023 found that about half (48%) of the public has heard the false claim that ivermectin is an effective treatment for COVID-19. While few adults overall say they think this myth is definitely true (6%), seven in ten express uncertainty, saying it is either “probably true” (26%) or “probably false” (44%).

There are notable partisan differences when it comes to believing or leaning toward believing this false claim. About half (48%) of Republicans say it is either “definitely true” or “probably true” that ivermectin is an effective treatment for COVID-19, compared to about three in ten independents (28%) and one in five Democrats (18%).

Few Adults Think the Myth That Ivermectin Can Effectively Treat COVID-19 is Definitely True, But Seven in Ten Express Uncertainty

Unproven “Detoxes” for Spike Protein from COVID-19 Virus and Vaccine Gain Renewed Attention Online

CHRISTOPH BURGSTEDT/SCIENCE PHOTO LIBRARY / Getty Images

Mentions of alleged spike protein “detoxes” have increased on social media, fueled by continued falsehoods that the spike protein produced during COVID-19 exposure or vaccination lingers in the body and causes long-term harm. There is no evidence that the spike protein from vaccines is toxic or remains in the body for an extended period, yet “detox” products continue to be marketed online. The largest volume of social media mentions in 2025, as identified in our search of terms related to spike protein “detoxes,” occurred on May 26, following reports of alleged vaccine-related injuries. Mentions rose again in June when a podcast host posted on X promoting a $90 supplement that claims to “break down spike protein and disrupt its function.” In reality, the spike protein produced by an mRNA vaccine only attaches to the outer layer of cells to trigger an immune response against future illness and typically clears from the body after a few days.

A popular “detox” formula, which is marketed by a medical doctor whose credentials were revoked for promoting false claims about COVID-19 vaccines, contains nattokinase, bromelain, and curcumin. These supplements are generally considered safe, but their use as spike protein detoxes lacks scientific support and may carry risks. Nattokinase and bromelain have blood-thinning properties that can interact with anticoagulant or antiplatelet medications, potentially increasing the risk of excessive bleeding. Curcumin may pose similar risks and has been associated with liver injury in some cases. Infectious disease doctors warn that promoting unnecessary and potentially harmful “detox” products may further erode public trust in the safety of COVID-19 vaccines.

Abortion Opponents Fabricate Concerns About Water Contamination in Effort to Restrict Access to Abortion Pills

KFF / Getty Images

The baseless narrative that medication abortion pills, particularly mifepristone, contaminate the water supply through urine and menstrual blood is circulating online alongside unfounded claims that abortion pill byproduct in water systems can lead to negative impacts on fertility, public health, and the environment. Federal agencies and independent researchers have found no evidence that mifepristone contaminates the water supply at levels that cause harm, but unsupported claims have appeared sporadically over the past few years, recently gaining traction in late June.

On June 17, a report from an advocacy group that opposes abortion access alleged that over 40 tons of fetal remains and abortion pill byproducts have entered the water system, potentially causing infertility and other reproductive health problems. The report did not include any evidence to substantiate the allegation. While the report was not covered by major news outlets, it circulated widely through non-mainstream news, anti-abortion advocacy groups, and policymakers who called for federal agencies to test the water supply for abortion pill byproducts. The following day, twenty-five House and Senate Republicans signed a letter to the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) calling for an investigation into the matter. Later, a video clip circulated widely online of a U.S. congresswoman who opposes abortion stating, without evidence, that the water supply is “severely contaminated” by abortion drugs. Social media users who shared the clip amplified the claim, including one X user with more than 259,000 followers. Others questioned the legitimacy of the claim by noting that the FDA and environmental scientists have found no basis for this claim.

An environmental assessment conducted as a part of the FDA’s approval process for the drug estimated its environmental concentration to be less than one part per billion – an amount considered too low to affect standard test organisms. The FDA has described that estimate as conservative because it does not account for metabolism of the drug by the human body or the ability of wastewater treatment plants to remove pharmaceuticals from water. Despite a lack of evidence of harm, state lawmakers in Wyoming and Texas introduced bills earlier this year aiming to mandate testing of water supplies for excreted fetal tissue and abortion medication byproduct. As access to mifepristone remains at risk, these narratives and legislative efforts may contribute to further restrictions on abortion access through arguments not grounded in science and unrelated to medical safety or reproductive rights. Additionally, elevating these unproven claims to call for a federal investigation, despite the lack of scientific basis, could further erode trust in public health institutions and regulatory bodies.

Debate Over ADHD Medication Resurfaces on Social Media

AndreyPopov / Getty Images

Concerns about the overmedicalization of attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) have existed for decades, with the scientific community divided over how often the condition is overdiagnosed or overtreated. The ongoing debate coincides with rising diagnoses, although nearly one-third of those diagnosed receive no treatment. A 2021 scoping review found evidence of overdiagnosis and overtreatment, particularly among youth with mild symptoms, but other literature attributes rising diagnoses to shifting diagnostic criteria, greater public awareness, and historic disparities in underrepresented populations.

The long-running public debate was renewed by the resurfacing of a 2005 interview with actor Tom Cruise, who criticized the legitimacy of psychiatric diagnoses and pharmaceutical treatments. The video, reposted in late May, became the most shared post on X identified through our search of terms related to ADHD medications between May 27 and June 25. Some users praised Cruise’s skepticism and repeated claims that pharmaceutical companies have over-influenced mental health care. Others repeated stigmatizing claims about ADHD medication, including linking it to violence, despite multiple studies showing that ADHD medications reduce the risk of criminality, self-harm, and other adverse outcomes. These narratives may contribute to stigma around ADHD and its treatment, potentially dissuading individuals or parents from seeking or continuing treatment. Claims of overmedicalization have also influenced recent policy discussions. A May report from the White House’s Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) Commission identified overmedicalization as a key factor in childhood chronic disease. The report further claimed that there is evidence that ADHD medications do not improve long-term outcomes, but ADHD specialists and advocacy groups have argued that the research cited is flawed and does not account for changes in medication practices. Proposed changes by the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) to its telemedicine rules have also raised concern about access to ADHD medication. The agency said it received 38,000 comments on its proposed rules, many of which expressed concern that the changes might limit availability. Nearly half of adults with ADHD reported having used telehealth to receive treatment.


AI & Emerging Technology

Study Finds Small Language Changes Can Alter AI Medical Advice

Abdullah Durmaz / Getty Images

As medical providers seek to incorporate artificial intelligence (AI) tools in clinical environments, new research from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) finds that large language models (LLMs) may generate inconsistent medical advice to users based on small changes to patient messages, like including typos, extra white spaces, or colloquial language. Researchers tested four commonly used LLMs by introducing minor, non-clinical language changes designed to simulate messages that might be written by different patient populations seeking advice from these models. This included people with limited English proficiency or health anxiety.

Across all of the altered messages, LLMs were 7-9% more likely to recommend self-management solutions rather than seeking medical care. The study compared these recommendations to those of clinicians and found that in many cases, the AI suggested self-management when providers would recommend escalating medical care. The effect was amplified for women, with researchers noting that the models made about 7% more errors for female patients and were more likely to recommend self-management. Researchers cautioned that the models’ sensitivity to irrelevant linguistic cues, particularly those designed to mimic vulnerable populations, could lead to uneven care recommendations and reinforce health disparities.

About The Health Information and Trust Initiative: the Health Information and Trust Initiative is a KFF program aimed at tracking health misinformation in the U.S., analyzing its impact on the American people, and mobilizing media to address the problem. Our goal is to be of service to everyone working on health misinformation, strengthen efforts to counter misinformation, and build trust. 


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The Monitor is a report from KFF’s Health Information and Trust initiative that focuses on recent developments in health information. It’s free and published twice a month.

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Support for the Health Information and Trust initiative is provided by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (RWJF). The views expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of RWJF and KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities. The data shared in the Monitor is sourced through media monitoring research conducted by KFF.

Donor Government Funding for HIV in Low- and Middle-Income Countries in 2024

Authors: Adam Wexler, Jennifer Kates, Eric Lief, and Joint United Nations Programme on HIV and AIDS (UNAIDS)
Published: Jul 10, 2025

Overview

This report, Donor Government Funding for HIV in Low- and Middle-Income Countries in 2024, tracks funding levels of the donor governments that collectively provide the bulk of international assistance for AIDS through bilateral programs and contributions to multilateral organizations. The new report, produced as a partnership between KFF and UNAIDS, provides the latest data available on donor funding disbursements based on data provided by governments. It includes their bilateral assistance to low- and middle-income countries and contributions to the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria as well as UNITAID.

Key Findings

In 2025, the donor government funding landscape fundamentally changed. Under the new administration, the United States, the largest donor to HIV in the world, has instituted significant changes to global health programs including freezing, and then cancelling, most global HIV projects, restricting allowable activities, and seeking to cut HIV funding by at least 40%, actions which have collectively driven down disbursements. In addition, several other large donors to HIV – the United Kingdom, Germany and France – have also signaled reductions in their development assistance budgets. As such, this report, which focuses on both bilateral and multilateral funding for HIV provided by donor governments in 2024 and shows an increase over 2023, is likely the high watermark as funding will likely decline moving forward. While the U.S. has shouldered much of the burden of funding the HIV response, its abrupt reductions leave large gaps and could set back the HIV response, as some studies have already found. Key findings are as follows:

  • Donor government funding for HIV increased in 2024 compared to the prior year. Disbursements for combined bilateral and multilateral support were US$8.37 billion in 2024, an increase of US$460 million compared to 2023 (US$7.91 billion), in current U.S. dollars (not adjusted for inflation).1  Funding increased even after accounting for exchange rate fluctuations. Looking more broadly, donor government funding for HIV in 2024 was at its highest level since 2014 (US$8.60 billion), but still below that peak.
  • The increase in 2024 was almost entirely due to the timing of disbursements by the U.S., not actual changes in funding commitments. The timing of disbursements, or payouts, by donor governments fluctuates each year and those fluctuations can affect overall levels of funding availability, independent of donor funding commitments. In 2024, the U.S. government’s disbursements for HIV increased significantly, while the U.K.’s payout declined, but both were due to the timing of payouts. Other donors had similar fluctuations. Because the U.S. is the largest donor, its fluctuations drove up overall funding levels in 2024.
  • Bilateral funding increased in 2024, driven by payout timing. Bilateral funding totaled US$5.87 billion in 2024, an increase of US$241 million compared to 2023 (US$5.63 billion), with five donors providing increased disbursements. The increase was primarily the result of higher funding from the U.S., due to the timing of payouts, and the U.K., as well as slight increases from Australia, Japan, and Norway. Funding from eight donor governments decreased and two remained flat.
  • Multilateral funding, which is the main channel of support for HIV used by most donor governments, also increased in 2024, similarly due to the timing of contributions. Multilateral funding totaled US$2.50 billion in 2024, an increase of US$218 million compared to 2023 (US$2.28 billion). Six donor governments increased multilateral support, while four remained flat, and five declined. Most multilateral funding for HIV was provided to the Global Fund (US$2.27 billion or 91%) with smaller amounts provided to UNAIDS (US$169 million or 7%) and UNITAID (US$59 million or 2%). The timing of payments to the Global Fund drove the multilateral increase in 2024.
  • The U.S. has consistently been the largest donor to HIV. In 2024, the U.S. provided US$6.69 billion for HIV (bilateral and multilateral combined), accounting for 80% of total donor government support.2  France was the second largest donor (US$314 million, 4%), followed by Germany (US$226 million, 3%), the U.K. (US$218 million, 3%), and the Netherlands (US$192 million, 2%).3 ,4  Even when standardized by the size of its economy (per million GDP), the U.S. ranked first. The next largest donor, per million GDP, was the Netherlands, followed by Denmark, France, and Norway.

Looking ahead, donor government funding for HIV is expected to decline in 2025 and beyond. Due to the new administration’s actions targeting U.S. foreign assistance programs, including for global health and HIV, U.S. disbursements for HIV this year are well below prior year levels.5  In addition, the administration has asked Congress to rescind (formerly cancel) approximately US$400 million in bilateral HIV funding for 2025 and has proposed reducing the HIV budget by at least 40% in 2026. If these cuts were to materialize, other donor governments would have to more than double their HIV funding to maintain current levels. Given that the U.S. has already reduced HIV spending in 2025 and several other large donors have announced plans to reduce foreign assistance, funding for HIV in low- and middle-income countries is highly likely to decline.

Report

Introduction

This report provides the latest available data on donor government resources provided to address HIV in low- and middle-income countries, reporting on disbursements made in 2024. It is part of a collaborative tracking effort between UNAIDS and KFF that began almost 20 years ago, just as new global initiatives were being launched to address the epidemic. The analysis includes data from all 33 members of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)’s Development Assistance Committee (DAC), as well as non-DAC members who report data to the DAC. Data are collected directly from donor governments, UNAIDS, the Global Fund, and UNITAID, and supplemented with data from the DAC. Of the 33 DAC members, fifteen provide 98% of total disbursements for HIV; data for these donors are presented individually. For the remaining 18 DAC members, data are provided in aggregate. All totals are presented in current U.S. dollars (amounts are not adjusted for inflation). While totals include both bilateral and multilateral assistance for the entire period (2002-2024), detailed disaggregated bilateral and multilateral amounts for all donors are only available starting in 2011 (see Methodology for more detail).

Importantly, given that the donor government funding landscape fundamentally changed in 2025, the data provided here likely represent a high watermark for HIV funding. Under the new administration, the United States, the largest donor to HIV in the world, began instituting significant changes to global health programs in January 2025, including freezing, and then cancelling, most global HIV projects, restricting allowable activities, and seeking to cut HIV funding by at least 40%, actions which have collectively driven down disbursements. If U.S. reductions continue and future cuts were to be enacted, other donor governments would have to more than double their funding to maintain current levels. Yet several other large donors to HIV – the United Kingdom, Germany and France – have also signaled reductions in their development assistance budgets, making it highly likely that future funding will be reduced.

Findings

Total Funding

In 2024, donor government funding for HIV through bilateral and multilateral channels totaled US$8.37 billion in current USD (not adjusted for inflation) and accounted for approximately 44% of the US$18.7 billion estimated by UNAIDS to be available to address HIV.6 ,7 ,8 ,9  As per UNAIDS estimates, domestic resources accounted for 52%, and the remainder (4%) was from foundations, other multilateral organizations, and UN agencies.

Donor government funding for HIV in 2024 increased by US$460 million compared to 2023 (US$8.37 in 2024 compared to US$7.91 billion in 2023) and reached the highest level since 2014 (US$8.60 billion), though it is still below that highpoint (See Figure 1 and Table 1).10 

HIV Funding from Donor Governments, 2002-2024

Donor Government Funding for HIV (bilateral &amp; multilateral), 2011-2024 (current USD in millions)

The increase in 2024 was almost entirely due to the timing of disbursements, or payouts, by donor governments, which can fluctuate from year-to-year, not actual changes in funding commitments. For instance, U.S. disbursements increased significantly in 2024 while funding from the U.K. declined, but both were due to the timing of payouts. As two of the world’s largest donors, these fluctuations can have an outsized impact on the overall amount of available funding in a given year.

The U.S. continued to be the largest donor to HIV efforts, providing US$6.69 billion and accounting for 80% of total donor government funding in 2024.11  The second largest donor was France (US$314 million, 4%), followed by Germany (US$226 million, 3%), the U.K. (US$218 million, 3%), and the Netherlands (US$192 million, 2%).12 ,13  In 2024, 91% of total donor government funding for HIV was provided by these five donors.

Bilateral Disbursements

Bilateral disbursements for HIV from donor governments – that is, funding disbursed by a donor on behalf of a recipient country or region – totaled US$5.87 billion in 2024, an increase of US$241 million compared to 2023 (US$5.63 billion). Despite the increase, bilateral funding from most donor governments decreased or remained flat and most of the overall increase was attributable to the U.S. and the U.K. When the increases from the U.S. and U.K. are removed, bilateral funding from all other donor governments declined by US$49 million in 2024 (US$237 million) compared to 2023 (US$286 million). These trends were the same after accounting for exchange rate fluctuations.

Bilateral disbursements from the U.S. increased by almost US$200 million in 2024 (US$5.43 billion) compared to 2023 (US$5.23 billion), due to the timing of payouts, but not actual increases in funding commitments. In fact, bilateral HIV funding as specified by the U.S. Congress in annual appropriations bills has been flat for several years (see Figure 2).14 ,15 

Bilateral HIV Funding from the United States, Appropriations vs. Disbursements, 2011-2024

Multilateral Contributions

Multilateral contributions from donor governments to the Global Fund, UNITAID, and UNAIDS for HIV – funding disbursed by donor governments to these organizations which in turn use some (Global Fund and UNITAID) or all (UNAIDS) of that funding for HIV – totaled US$2.50 billion in 2024 (after adjusting for an HIV share to account for the fact that the Global Fund and UNITAID address other diseases). This represents an increase of US$218 million compared to 2023 (US$2.28 billion).16 ,17  The Global Fund accounted for most of the multilateral funding for HIV in 2024 (US$2.27 billion or 91%), followed by UNAIDS (US$169 million or 7%) and UNITAID (US$59 million or 2%).

The increase in 2024 disbursements was due to the timing of payments to the Global Fund, particularly from the U.S., which is required by law not to exceed 33% of total contributions to the Global Fund from all donors and results in significant year-to-year differences depending on the amounts other donors have provided.18  In addition, funding from donor governments to the Global Fund often fluctuates reflecting different Global Fund pledge periods. For instance, some donors choose to “front-load” contributions (e.g., the U.K. fulfilled almost its entire pledge for 2023-2025 in 2023 resulting in a significant decrease in 2024), while others choose to fulfill pledges towards the end of the pledge period (e.g., Australia and Denmark did not provide any contribution in 2023, but both fulfilled more than half their pledges in 2024).

Most donor governments provide the majority of their HIV funding through multilateral organizations. In 2024, eleven provided more than 80% of their HIV funding multilaterally; only Denmark, the Netherlands, the U.K., and the U.S. provided a larger share bilaterally (Figure 3). While the U.K. provided most of its HIV funding bilaterally in 2024, this was entirely due to the timing of payments to the Global Fund. The U.K. fulfilled almost its entire pledge to the Global Fund for 2023-205 in 2023 resulting in significantly lower levels of multilateral funding in 2024. In fact, between 2019-2023, most HIV funding from the U.K. was provided through multilateral channels.

HIV Funding from Donor Governments by Funding Channel, 2024

Fair Share

There are different ways to measure donor government contributions to HIV, relative to one another. While the U.S. government provides the largest amount of funding for HIV, for example, it also has the largest economy in the world. To assess relative contributions, or “fair share”, two measures were used: ranking by overall funding amount and ranking by funding for HIV per US$1 million GDP, to adjust for the size of donor economies (See Table 2):

  • Rank by share of total donor government funding for HIV: By this measure, the U.S. ranked first in 2024, followed France, Germany, the U.K., and the Netherlands. The U.S. has ranked #1 in absolute funding amounts since tracking efforts began.
  • Rank by funding for HIV per US$1 million GDP: By this measure, the U.S. ranks first, followed by the Netherlands, Denmark, France, and Norway (See Figure 4).19 

Assessing Fair Share Across Donor Governments, 2024

Donor Government Ranking by Funding for HIV per US$1 Million GDP, 2024

Looking Forward

Donor government funding for HIV in low and middle-income countries is likely to decline in 2025. While the anticipated decline is largely due to actions by the new administration, which have already resulted in lower disbursements in 2025, other donor governments have also indicated plans to reduce foreign assistance. Looking beyond 2025, the new administration has proposed to reduce HIV funding by at least 40% in 2026. Since the U.S. is the world’s largest donor to the global HIV response, a cut in funding of this size would require other donor governments to more than double their funding to fill the gap, an increase that seems unlikely. While final funding amounts are determined by the U.S. Congress, the administration’s actions may continue to have the effect of reducing HIV funding from the U.S.

This work was supported in part by the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV and AIDS (UNAIDS) and the Gates Foundation. KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities.

Adam Wexler and Jen Kates are with KFF. Eric Lief is an independent consultant. Joint United Nations Programme on HIV and AIDS (UNAIDS).

Methodology

This project represents a collaboration between the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) and KFF. Data provided in this report were collected and analyzed by UNAIDS and KFF.

Totals presented in this analysis include both bilateral funding for HIV in low- and middle-income countries, core contributions to UNAIDS, and the estimated share of donor government contributions to the Global Fund and UNITAID that are used for HIV. Amounts are based on analysis of data from the 32 donor government members of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Development Assistance Committee (DAC) in 2024 who had reported Official Development Assistance (ODA). Bilateral and multilateral data were collected from multiple sources. Disaggregated bilateral and multilateral data are only available starting from 2011.

Data on gross domestic product (GDP) were obtained from the International Monetary Fund’s World Economic Outlook Database and represent current price data for 2024 (see: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2025/April).

Bilateral Funding:Bilateral funding is defined as any earmarked (HIV-designated) amount, including earmarked non-core (“multi-bi”) contributions to multilateral organizations, such as UNAIDS. Data included in this report represent funding assistance for HIV prevention, care, treatment and support activities, but do not include funding for international HIV research conducted in donor countries (which is not considered in estimates of resource needs for service delivery of HIV-related activities).

The research team collected the latest bilateral funding data directly from twelve governments: Australia, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Ireland, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and the United States during the first half of 2025, representing the fiscal year 2024 period. Direct data collection from these donors was desirable because they represent the preponderance of donor government assistance for HIV and the latest official statistics – from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Creditor Reporting System (CRS) (see: http://www.oecd.org/dac/stats/data) – are from 2023 and do not include all forms of international assistance (e.g., certain funding streams provided by donors, such as HIV components of mixed-purpose grants to non-governmental organizations). Data for all other member governments of the OECD DAC – Austria, Belgium, the Czech Republic, the European Commission, Estonia, Finland, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Korea, Lithuania, Luxembourg, New Zealand, Poland, Portugal, the Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain, and Switzerland – which collectively accounted for less than 5 percent of bilateral disbursements in each of the past several years, were obtained from the OECD CRS database and are from calendar year 2023.

In 2025, France provided data revising prior year amounts to account for “set-aside” funding (adjusted for an HIV-share) that supports Global Fund related activities. While this funding is considered part of France’s pledge to the Global Fund, it is not counted by the Global Fund as a direct contribution and is instead included under bilateral totals in this analysis. Due to this update, amounts presented in this report will differ from prior reports.

Where donor governments were members of the European Union (EU), the research team ensured that no double-counting of funds occurred between EU Member State reported amounts and European Commission (EC) reported amounts for international HIV assistance. Figures obtained directly using this approach should be considered as the upper bound estimation of financial flows in support of HIV-related activities.

Reflecting deliberate strategies of integrating HIV activities into other activity sectors, some donors use policy markers to attribute portions of mixed-purpose projects to HIV. This is done, for example, by the Netherlands and the U.K. The bilateral figures submitted by the UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO) for the financial year 2024/25 are based on an existing FCDO ‘HIV policy marker’. Ireland and Denmark also attribute percentages of multipurpose projects to HIV. Canada breaks its mixed-purpose projects into components by percentage. Germany, Norway, and Sweden provided data much more conservatively, consistent with DAC constructs and purpose codes. Apart from targeted HIV/AIDS programs, bilateral health programs mainly focusing on health systems strengthening are also designed to contribute to the HIV response in partner countries.

Bilateral assistance data represent disbursements. A disbursement is the actual release of funds to, or the purchase of goods or services for, a recipient. Disbursements in any given year may include disbursements of funds committed in prior years and in some cases, not all funds committed during a government fiscal year are disbursed in that year. In addition, a disbursement by a government does not necessarily mean that the funds were provided to a country or other intended end-user.

Amounts presented are for the fiscal year period, which varies by country. The U.S. fiscal year runs from October 1-September 30. The fiscal years for Canada, Japan, and the U.K. are April 1-March 31. The Australian fiscal year runs from July 1-June 30. The European Commission, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Ireland, the Netherlands, Norway, and Sweden use the calendar year. The OECD uses the calendar year, so data collected from the CRS for other donor governments reflect January 1-December 31. Most UN agencies use the calendar year, and their budgets are biennial.

All data are expressed in current US dollars (USD), unless otherwise noted. Where data were provided by governments in their currencies, they were adjusted by average daily exchange rates to obtain a USD equivalent, based on foreign exchange rate historical data available from the U.S. Federal Reserve (see: http://www.federalreserve.gov/) or the OECD.

Funding totals presented in this analysis should be considered preliminary estimates based on data provided and validated by representatives of the donor governments who were contacted directly.

Multilateral Funding:Multilateral funding includes core contributions to UNAIDS, as well as contributions to the Global Fund (see: http://www.theglobalfund.org/en/) and UNITAID (see: http://www.unitaid.org/#end). All Global Fund contributions were adjusted to represent 52% of the donor’s core contribution, reflecting the Fund’s reported grant approvals for HIV-related projects to date and includes funding for HIV/TB activities. UNITAID contributions were adjusted to represent 46% of the donor’s core contribution, reflecting UNITAID’s reported attribution for HIV-related projects.

Data obtained from UNAIDS, the Global Fund, and UNITAID were already adjusted to represent a USD equivalent based on date of receipts.

UNAIDS core contributions reflect amounts received in 2024. In 2024, the Netherlands provided two core contributions to UNAIDS; the first payment was provided for the 2024 contribution, while the second was a prepayment of the 2025 contribution. Global Fund and UNITAID contributions from all governments correspond to amounts received during the 2024 calendar year, regardless of which contributor’s fiscal year such disbursements pertain to.

In addition to contributions supporting the Global Fund’s and UNITAID’s core activities, some donor governments provided significant funding to these multilateral organizations for COVID-related efforts between 2020-2023. These COVID-specific contributions were not included in totals in this analysis. The U.S., for example, provided almost US$1.9 billion in such funding to the Global Fund during 2022.

Other than contributions provided by governments to the Global Fund and UNITAID, un-earmarked general contributions to United Nations entities, most of which are membership contributions set by treaty or other formal agreement (e.g., the World Bank’s International Development Association or United Nations country membership assessments), are not identified as part of a donor government’s HIV assistance even if the multilateral organization in turn directs some of these funds to HIV. Rather, these would be considered as HIV funding provided by the multilateral organization, as in the case of the World Bank’s efforts, and are not considered for purposes of this report.

Appendix

Donor Government Funding for HIV (current USD in millions), 2023 &amp; 2024

Endnotes

  1. Between 2020-2023, some donor governments provided COVID-specific emergency contributions to the Global Fund and UNITAID in addition to their contributions for core activities. For the purposes of this report, these COVID-specific amounts have been excluded as they cannot be attributed to a specific area, such as HIV. ↩︎
  2. U.S. totals represent funding amounts provided through regular appropriations only. In 2021, the U.S. Congress appropriated additional emergency supplemental funding for bilateral HIV activities and for the Global Fund to address the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. These emergency supplemental funding amounts are not included in overall U.S. totals. ↩︎
  3. In 2025, France provided data revising prior year amounts to account for “set-aside” funding (adjusted for an HIV-share) that supports Global Fund related activities. While this funding is considered part of France’s pledge to the Global Fund, it is not counted by the Global Fund as a direct contribution and is instead included under bilateral totals in this analysis. Due to this update, amounts presented in this report will differ from prior reports. ↩︎
  4. Total HIV funding from the Netherlands in 2024 includes two core contributions to UNAIDS; the first payment was provided for the 2024 contribution, while the second was a prepayment of the 2025 contribution. ↩︎
  5. KFF analysis of data from USAspending.gov and Treasury.gov. ↩︎
  6. Donor government disbursements are a subset of overall international assistance for HIV in low-and-middle-income countries, which also includes funding provided by other multilateral institutions, UN agencies, and foundations. ↩︎
  7. UNAIDS, “UNAIDS Global AIDS Update 2025: AIDS, Crisis and the Power to Transform”, July 2025. ↩︎
  8. UNAIDS estimates that US$18.7 billion was available for HIV from all sources (domestic resources, donor governments, multilaterals, and philanthropic organizations) in 2024. In addition, while the amounts presented in this analysis include donor contributions to multilateral organizations, the UNAIDS estimate of total available resources for HIV includes the actual disbursements made by multilateral organizations in 2024 rather than the donor government contributions to these entities. ↩︎
  9. The donor share of total available resources includes bilateral disbursements as well as an adjusted share of Global Fund and UNITAID disbursements (the donor government share of contributions to each of the multilaterals in 2024 is applied to the disbursements from these multilaterals for the same year). ↩︎
  10. KFF & UNAIDS, “Donor Government Funding for HIV in Low- and Middle-Income Countries in 2023”, July 2024. ↩︎
  11. U.S. totals represent funding amounts provided through regular appropriations only. In 2021, the U.S. Congress appropriated additional emergency supplemental funding for bilateral HIV activities and for the Global Fund to address the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. These emergency supplemental funding amounts are not included in overall U.S. totals. ↩︎
  12. In 2025, France provided data revising prior year amounts to account for “set-aside” funding (adjusted for an HIV-share) that supports Global Fund related activities. While this funding is considered part of France’s pledge to the Global Fund, it is not counted by the Global Fund as a direct contribution and is instead included under bilateral totals in this analysis. Due to this update, amounts presented in this report will differ from prior reports. ↩︎
  13. Total HIV funding from the Netherlands in 2024 includes two core contributions to UNAIDS; the first payment was provided for the 2024 contribution, while the second was a prepayment of the 2025 contribution. ↩︎
  14. KFF, “The U.S. President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR)”, May 2025. ↩︎
  15. U.S. totals represent funding amounts provided through regular appropriations only. In 2021, the U.S. Congress appropriated additional emergency supplemental funding for bilateral HIV activities and for the Global Fund to address the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. These emergency supplemental funding amounts are not included in overall U.S. totals. ↩︎
  16. Between 2020-2023, some donor governments provided COVID-specific emergency contributions to the Global Fund and UNITAID in addition to their contributions for core activities. For the purposes of this report, these COVID-specific amounts have been excluded as they cannot be attributed to a specific area, such as HIV. ↩︎
  17. In 2024, 52% of the Global Fund’s disbursements and 48% of UNITAID’s disbursements were directed to HIV activities. These percentages were applied to the full donor government contributions to these multilateral organizations to calculate the “HIV-share” (see Methodology for additional details). ↩︎
  18. The U.S. has had a long-standing legislative requirement that total U.S. contributions to the Global Fund could not exceed 33% of all contributions (see “KFF – The U.S. & The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria”), which results in year-to-year fluctuations in U.S. payouts to the Global Fund depending on when other donors provide funds. However, this requirement technically expired in March when the authorization legislation ended (see “KFF – PEPFAR Reauthorization: Side-by-Side of Legislation Over Time”). ↩︎
  19. GDP estimates are from the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) World Economic Outlook (WEO) Database (accessed July 2025). ↩︎

Health Provisions in the 2025 Federal Budget Reconciliation Bill

Updated: July 8, 2025


Note: KFF now has a clean summary of the health care provisions in the 2025 federal budget reconciliation law as well as a separate implementation timeline highlighting key dates in the law.

This side-by-side comparison tool compares the health care provisions in the House-passed and Senate-passed 2025 budget reconciliation law to each other and prior law. The Senate-passed bill ultimately passed the House on July 3 and was signed into law by President Trump on July 4. The comparison is divided into four categories: Medicaid, the Affordable Care Act, Medicare and Health Savings Accounts (HSAs). It also compares the provisions to a earlier draft of the bill passed by the House on May 22.

Summary of HSA-Related Provisions in 2025 Reconciliation Bill