State Health Coverage for Immigrants and Implications for Health Coverage and Care

Published: May 29, 2025

Editorial Note: This brief was updated on September 12, 2025 to update fully state-funded coverage programs for immigrants and include details about the new tax and budget law.

As of 2023, there were 22.4 million individuals who are noncitizen immigrants residing in the U.S., accounting for about 7% of the country’s total population. Among noncitizen immigrants, about six in ten are lawfully present immigrants while the remaining four in ten are undocumented immigrants. Noncitizen immigrants, particularly those who are undocumented, face significant barriers to accessing health coverage and care and are significantly more likely than citizens to be uninsured. These higher uninsured rates reflect more limited access to private coverage and eligibility restrictions for federally funded coverage options. Some states have taken up options in Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) to expand coverage for lawfully present immigrants and/or established fully state-funded programs to fill gaps in coverage for immigrants. This brief provides an overview of state take-up of these options and state health coverage programs for immigrants regardless of status. It also examines how health coverage and care for immigrants vary by state coverage policies using data from the 2023 KFF/LA Times Survey of Immigrants.

In recent years, there was increased state action to expand coverage to immigrants, including immigrant adults, but more recently some states have begun scaling back coverage due to budget pressures. As of September 2025, 14 states plus D.C. provide fully state-funded coverage for income-eligible children regardless of immigration status, seven states plus D.C. provide fully state-funded coverage to some income-eligible adults regardless of status, and most states have taken up options in Medicaid and CHIP to expand coverage to lawfully present immigrant children and pregnant women. Data and research suggest that coverage expansions for immigrants are associated with lower uninsured rates and improved access to care. Congressional Republicans and President Trump passed the tax and budget law in July 2025. The new law includes significant cuts to the Medicaid program as well as eligibility restrictions for many lawfully present immigrants, including refugees and asylees, to access Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), subsidized Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplaces, and Medicare coverage, which may increase demand for state-funded coverage programs. However, at the same time, states are facing increasing budget pressures which may make it more challenging to maintain these coverage programs. More limited access to federally funded coverage as well as reductions in state-funded coverage programs will likely lead to increases in uninsured rates for immigrant families, contributing to greater challenges accessing care and potentially worse health outcomes over the long-term.

Health Coverage for Immigrants

Noncitizen immigrants have high uninsured rates because they have more limited access to private coverage due to working in jobs that are less likely to offer coverage and face eligibility restrictions for federally funded coverage options. Lawfully present immigrants may qualify for Medicaid and CHIP but are subject to eligibility restrictions that result in some, particularly recent immigrants, being ineligible to enroll even if they meet other eligibility criteria. For example, many must meet a five-year waiting period before qualifying for Medicaid or CHIP. Lawfully present immigrants can purchase coverage through the ACA Marketplaces and may receive tax credits for this coverage without a waiting period. Lawfully present immigrants have been eligible for Medicare if they have the required work quarters and meet the disability or age requirements. Under the new tax and budget law, some groups of lawfully present immigrants will lose access to federally funded coverage, including refugees and asylees. Eligibility for Medicaid and CHIP, subsidized Marketplace, and Medicare coverage will be limited to lawful permanent residents (LPRs) or green card holders, certain Cuban or Haitian entrants, and Compact of Free Association migrants. States may also maintain Medicaid or CHIP coverage for lawfully present pregnant people and children under an option to cover these groups.

Undocumented immigrants are ineligible to enroll in federally funded coverage, including Medicaid or CHIP, the ACA Marketplaces, or Medicare. Medicaid payments for emergency services reimburse hospitals for emergency care they are obligated to provide to individuals who meet other Medicaid eligibility requirements (such as income) but who do not have an eligible immigration status, including undocumented immigrants. These payments help cover costs to hospitals for providing emergency care to immigrants who remain ineligible for Medicaid but are not coverage for individuals. The new tax and budget law reduces the federal Medicaid matching rate provided to states for Emergency Medicaid services provided to expansion adults who would otherwise be eligible for Medicaid except for their immigration status to the regular matching rate. Emergency spending accounted for less than one percent of total Medicaid spending between fiscal years 2017 and 2023.

Medicaid and CHIP Options for Lawfully Present Immigrants

In general, lawfully present immigrants must have a “qualified” immigration status to be eligible for Medicaid or CHIP, and many, including most lawful permanent residents or “green card” holders, must wait five years after obtaining qualified status before they may enroll even if they meet other eligibility requirements. Some immigrants, such as those with Temporary Protected Status, are lawfully present but do not have a qualified status and are not eligible to enroll in Medicaid or CHIP regardless of their length of time in the country. As noted, under the tax and budget law, eligibility will be limited to LPRs or green card holders, certain Cuban and Haitan entrants, and Compact of Free Association (COFA) migrants as of October 1, 2026. For children and pregnant people, states can cover lawfully residing immigrants without a five-year wait, otherwise known as the Immigrant Children’s Health Improvement Act (ICHIA) option. As of April 2025, 37 states plus D.C. have taken up this option for children and 31 states plus D.C. have elected the option for pregnant people (Figure 1). Indiana plans to implement the option for children and pregnant people in 2025. States may maintain coverage through this option under the tax and budget law.

Federally-Funded Coverage of Lawfully Residing Immigrant Children and Pregnant People Without a 5-Year Waiting Period as of March 2024

A total of 24 states plus D.C. have also extended coverage through the CHIP From-Conception-to-End-of-Pregnancy (FCEP) option, which provides prenatal care and pregnancy related benefits to targeted low-income children beginning from conception to end of pregnancy regardless of their parent’s citizenship or immigration status (Figure 2). While other pregnancy-related coverage in Medicaid and CHIP requires 60 days of postpartum coverage, the CHIP FCEP option does not include this coverage. However, some states that took up this option provide postpartum coverage through a CHIP health services initiative or using state-only funding. Twelve of the states that have implemented the FCEP option (California, Colorado, Connecticut, Illinois, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Texas, and Washington) plus D.C. have used state funding or CHIP health services initiatives to extend postpartum coverage to 12 months to align with the Medicaid extension established by the American Rescue Plan Act. Maryland extends coverage for four months postpartum, and Alabama and Virigina extend coverage for 60 days postpartum using CHIP health services initiatives.

State Take Up of CHIP From-Conception-to-End-of-Pregnancy Option to Cover Pregnant People Regardless of Immigration Status as of March 2024

Fully State-Funded Coverage

Beyond state take-up of options in Medicaid and CHIP, some states provide fully state-funded coverage to fill gaps in coverage for immigrants. States vary in the eligibility and scope of benefits offered through these coverage programs. These programs extend coverage to lawfully present immigrants who are in the five-year waiting period for Medicaid or CHIP or do not have “qualified status” and are ineligible for federally funded coverage as well as undocumented immigrants. These programs also extended coverage to Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) recipients who are not considered lawfully present for purposes of eligibility for federally funded health coverage programs. While the Biden administration had published regulations to extend Marketplace coverage to DACA recipients, in June 2025, new regulations by the Trump administration excluded them from coverage, as did the new tax and budget law.

As of September 2025, 14 states plus D.C. provide comprehensive state-funded coverage for children regardless of immigration status (Figure 3). These states include California, Colorado, Connecticut, Illinois, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Utah, Vermont, Washington, and D.C. Additionally, two of these states (New Jersey and Vermont) also provide state-funded coverage to income-eligible pregnant people regardless of immigration status, with Vermont extending this coverage for 12 months postpartum.

State-Funded Coverage for Children and Pregnant People Regardless of Immigration Status as of September 2025 (Choropleth map)

As of September 2025, seven states (California, Colorado, Illinois, Minnesota, New York, Oregon, Washington) plus D.C. have also expanded fully state-funded coverage to some income-eligible adults regardless of immigration status, but three states (California, Illinois, Minnesota) plus D.C. have begun or plan to scale back coverage due to budget pressures (Figure 4). Some additional states cover some income-eligible adults who are not otherwise eligible due to immigration status using state-only funds but limit coverage to specific groups, such as lawfully present immigrants who are in the five-year waiting period for Medicaid coverage, or provide more limited benefits.

  • California extended state-funded health coverage to income-eligible young adults ages 19-25 in January 2020, adults ages 50 and older in May 2022 and adults ages 26 to 49 regardless of immigration status in January 2024, making all low-income immigrants in the state eligible for state-funded health coverage regardless of immigration status. California plans to pause enrollment for undocumented adults 19 and older who are not pregnant starting January 2026, end dental benefits for all undocumented adults who are not pregnant or up to one year post-partum starting July 2026, and charge $30 monthly premiums for adults ages 19-59 who are not pregnant starting July 2027.
  • Colorado uses state funds to provide Marketplace coverage with premium subsidies to individuals with incomes at or below 300% of the federal poverty level (FPL) regardless of immigration status through OmniSalud using a section 1332 waiver. Colorado previously provided subsidized plans with $0 premiums through SilverEnhanced Savings, but the program is capped at 12,000 people and has paused enrollment for 2025 due to funding constraints.
  • D.C. provides health coverage to low-income adults 21 and older regardless of immigration status through its longstanding locally funded Healthcare Alliance program. However, D.C. plans to pause enrollment of adults ages 26 and older and reduce income limits for adults 21 and older starting October 2025, and end coverage for all adults ages 21 and older by October 2027.
  • Illinois extended state-funded coverage to low-income individuals ages 65 and older regardless of immigration status through its Health Benefits for Immigrant Seniors (HBIS) program in December 2020 but new enrollment has been paused since 2023. Illinois previously extended coverage to low-income immigrants ages 42 to 64 regardless of immigration status through the Health Benefits for Immigrant Adults (HBIA) program in 2022 but ended HBIA coverage on July 2025 due to funding constraints.
  • Minnesota extended state-funded health coverage to income-eligible adults regardless of immigration status in January 2025. However, Minnesota paused enrollment for undocumented adults ages 18 and older on June 2025 and plans to end coverage by January 2026. 
  • New York extended state-funded coverage to individuals ages 65 and older regardless of immigration status beginning in 2023.
  • Oregon extended state-funded health coverage to all income-eligible adults regardless of immigration status in July 2023.
  • Washington uses state funds to provide Marketplace coverage with premium subsidies to individuals with incomes up to 250% FPL regardless of immigration status through Cascade Care using a section 1332 waiver, but subsidies are no longer available for 2025 due to funding constraints. In July 2024, Washington extended state-funded health coverage to individuals with incomes up to 138% FPL regardless of immigration status, but the program is capped at 13,000 people and has paused enrollment for 2025 due to funding constraints.

In addition to these states, Maryland plans to allow income-eligible individuals to purchase Marketplace coverage without subsidies regardless of immigration status starting November 2025 through a section 1332 waiver.

State-Funded Coverage for Adults Regardless of Immigration Status as of September 2025 (Choropleth map)

Impact of State Coverage Expansions on Health Care Access and Use

Data suggest that state coverage options for immigrants make a difference in their health coverage and health care access and use. The 2023 KFF/LA Times Survey of Immigrants shows that immigrants residing in states with more expansive coverage policies for immigrants have higher rates of health coverage, are less likely to postpone or go without care, and are more likely to receive care and to have a trusted health care provider compared to their counterparts living in states with less expansive coverage policies, as described below. (See Box 1).

Box 1: Classifying States by Coverage Policies for Immigrants

The 2023 KFF/LA Times Survey of Immigrants is a nationally representative survey focused on understanding immigrants’ experiences that included questions related to health care access. The survey data were analyzed by expansiveness of health coverage for immigrants in the state in which they reside. States were classified as having less, moderate, and more expansive coverage policies based on whether states have taken up the ACA Medicaid expansion to low-income adults broadly, options in Medicaid and CHIP to cover immigrants, and/or provide state-funded coverage to at least some groups (such as children) regardless of immigration status as follows:

More expansive coverage. States were classified as having more expansive coverage if they have implemented the ACA Medicaid expansion to low-income adults, have taken up options in Medicaid and CHIP to cover immigrants, and provide state-funded coverage to at least some groups (such as children) regardless of immigration status. Even when state-funded coverage is limited to children, the availability of this coverage may reduce fears among immigrant adults about applying for coverage for themselves if they are eligible for other options.

Moderately expansive coverage. States were classified as having moderately expansive coverage if they implemented the ACA Medicaid expansion to low-income adults and have taken up at least two options available in Medicaid and CHIP to expand coverage for immigrants, including covering lawfully-residing immigrant children or pregnant people without a five year wait or adopting the CHIP From-Conception-to-End-of-Pregnancy option to cover income-eligible pregnant people regardless of immigration status.

Less expansive coverage. States were identified as having less expansive coverage if they have not implemented the ACA Medicaid expansion to low-income adults and/or have taken up fewer than two options in Medicaid or CHIP to expand coverage for immigrants and do not offer state-funded health coverage to immigrants.

Immigrant adults in states that provide more expansive coverage, including the ACA Medicaid expansion for low-income adults and at least some state-funded coverage for immigrants, are half as likely to be uninsured as those in states with less expansive coverage (11% vs. 22%). This difference is driven by higher rates of Medicaid and other public coverage (including state-funded coverage) in states with more expansive coverage compared to those with less expansive policies (23% vs. 9%) while rates of private and Medicare coverage are similar (Figure 5).

Health Coverage for Immigrant Adults by State Coverage Policies

Reflecting higher rates of health coverage, immigrant adults in states with more expansive policies are somewhat less likely to say they skipped or postponed care due to cost. Immigrants in states with more expansive policies are half as likely to report delaying or going without medical care (4% vs. 10%) or dental care (7% vs. 14%) due to cost than those in less expansive states (Figure 6).

Share of Immigrant Adults Reporting Postponing or Going Without Care Due to Cost by State Coverage Policies

Differences in use of care among immigrants by state coverage policies are smaller, which may reflect use of safety-net resources available to uninsured immigrants such as community health centers and emergency rooms. Most (77%) immigrant adults in the U.S. report seeking health care in the past year. The shares reporting seeking health care are slightly lower in states with less expansive coverage (74%) compared to those in states with more expansive coverage (79%), although the majority still report seeking care. This pattern may reflect use of safety-net resources available to uninsured immigrants such as community health centers or emergency rooms. Immigrant adults are more likely than U.S.-born adults to say they rely on community health centers (CHCs) as their usual source of care, reflecting CHCs’ in providing free or low-cost care to low-income and uninsured populations and their ability to provide culturally and linguistically appropriate care. Immigrants in states with less expansive policies are somewhat more likely to say they use a CHC (33% vs. 28%) and somewhat less likely to say they use a private doctor’s office (39% vs. 44%) (Figure 7). Immigrant adults in states with less expansive policies are also less likely to report having a medical provider they trust to answer questions about their health than those in more expansive states (68% vs. 78%).

Reported Usual Source of Care by State Coverage Policies for Immigrant Adults

Other research suggests that state coverage expansions for immigrants can reduce uninsured rates, increase health care use, lower costs, and improve health outcomes. Noncitizen children are more likely to be uninsured and experience more delays in health care due to cost than their citizen siblings. Citizen children with a noncitizen parent are also more likely to be uninsured than citizen children with U.S-born parents. California’s 2016 expansion to cover low-income children regardless of immigration status was associated with a 34% decline in uninsurance rates. Similarly, a study found that children who reside in states that have expanded coverage to all children regardless of immigration status were less likely to be uninsured, to forgo medical or dental care, and to go without a preventive health visit than children residing in states that have not expanded coverage. Other research has found that expanding Medicaid coverage to pregnant people regardless of immigration status was associated with higher rates of prenatal care and improved outcomes including increases in average gestation length and birth weight among newborns, while more restrictive state coverage policies were associated with reduced postpartum care utilization. The cost of providing insurance to immigrant adults through Medicaid expansion was also found to be less than half the per person cost of doing so for U.S-born adults. Recent estimates also suggest that the state-funded expansion to all immigrants regardless of status in California could reduce poverty among noncitizen immigrants and their families.

Looking ahead, states may face increased challenges maintaining state-funded coverage programs, while at the same time there may be growing need for coverage due to new restrictions in federally funded coverage. The new tax and budget law includes significant cuts to the Medicaid program as well as eligibility restrictions for many lawfully present immigrants for Medicaid, CHIP, subsidized ACA, and Medicare coverage. At the same time, states are facing increasing budget pressures that may make it more challenging to cover these immigrants with state-only funding. More limited access to federally funded coverage as well as reductions in state-funded coverage programs will likely lead to increases in uninsured rates for immigrant families, contributing to greater challenges accessing care and potentially worse health outcomes over the long-term.

An Update on PEPFAR Reauthorization

Published: May 29, 2025

PEPFAR’s latest reauthorization expired on March 25, 2025, heightening the stress the program is now experiencing as the Trump administration reviews and rolls back foreign aid. It has also raised several questions about whether PEPFAR can continue in the absence of reauthorization. This policy watch provides an update on what this means for PEPFAR. As it notes, because PEPFAR operates largely under permanent authorities of U.S. law, the program continues as long as funds are appropriated by Congress (although certain time-bound requirements lapsed as of March 25, 2025). At the same time, the changes and reforms being instituted by the Trump administration are posing larger challenges for PEPFAR going forward.

Box 1: PEPFAR Background

  • PEPFAR, the U.S. President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief, is the U.S. government’s signature global health effort in the fight against HIV. Created in 2003 by President George W. Bush, it has been reauthorized four times thus far.
  • Widely regarded as one of the most successful programs in global health history, the program reports having saved 26 million lives. KFF analyses have found that PEPFAR support is also associated with impacts beyond HIV, including reductions in overall mortality rates as well as maternal and child mortality and increases in childhood immunization rates, and increases in the GDP growth rate and retention of girls and boys in school.
  • In FY 2024, $7.1 billion was appropriated for PEPFAR, including $5.4 billion for bilateral HIV efforts, $1.65 billion for U.S. contributions to the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria (Global Fund), and $50 million for UNAIDS. The FY 2025 Continuing Resolution passed by Congress in March 2025 included level funding for the program. PEPFAR’s work spanned more than 50 countries prior to beginning of the Trump administration (additional countries were reached through U.S. contributions to the Global Fund).

What is “authorizing” legislation, and how does it differ from “appropriations” legislation?

There is an important distinction between “authorizing” and “appropriations” legislation. Authorizing (or reauthorizing) legislation, which is the purview of Congressional authorizing committees, establishes programs and policies, oversight and reporting requirements, and provides guidance to appropriators on funding amounts and conditions. It may include time-bound provisions or may provide no end date for programs to operate, which they can do as long as they are funded. Such legislation can be put forward as a standalone bill or attached to another legislative vehicle. Appropriations legislation, under the purview of Congressional appropriations committees, provides budget authority, allowing funding to be provided to an agency or program; absent an authorization (or reauthorization), an appropriations bill can have the effect of allowing the continued operation of an existing program by providing funding.

How was PEPFAR created?

PEPFAR was created in 2003 through authorizing legislation (The Leadership Act), which established the program, its structure – including creating a new position of U.S. Global AIDS Coordinator at the Department of State (with the rank of Ambassador) and participation in the Global Fund – and other program aspects without any end date or sunsetting of the program (with the exception of some provisions). This means that PEPFAR largely operates under permanent authorities of U.S. law that allow for the program to continue as long as Congress appropriates funding. The recent Continuing Resolution for FY 2025 included the same level of funding for PEPFAR as provided in FY 2024.

What is PEPFAR “reauthorization”?

Since PEPFAR was a new program when created in 2003 and because it included some time-limited provisions, Congress has passed reauthorizing legislation four times, some of which included modifications to adapt to new circumstances and others with only date changes (extensions) to allow expiring provisions to continue (see Table 1 and the KFF side-by-side of PEPFAR legislation over time.). Reauthorization has also served to demonstrate Congress’ support for the program. The first three reauthorizations of the program were each for five-year periods. The most recent was short-term, extending expiring provisions for only one year, largely due to partisan debate related to abortion. This is not the first time PEPFAR reauthorization has lapsed while Congress considered reauthorization. For example, in 2018, some provisions of the PEPFAR Stewardship Act lapsed at the end of FY 2018 (Sept. 30, 2018) until the PEPFAR Extension Act was enacted more than two months later on Dec. 11, 2018, and in 2023, some provisions of the PEPFAR Extension Act lapsed at the end of FY 2023 (Sept. 30, 2023) until the recent short-term extension was enacted nearly six months later on March 23, 2024.

Table 1

PEPFAR Legislation

Full TitleCommon TitlePublic Law #YearsFunding Authorization Level
United States Leadership Against HIV/AIDS, Tuberculosis, and Malaria Act of 2003“The Leadership Act”P.L. 108-25FY 2004 – FY 2008$15 billion
Tom Lantos and Henry J. Hyde United States Global Leadership Against HIV/AIDS, Tuberculosis, and Malaria Reauthorization Act of 2008“The Lantos-Hyde Act”P.L. 110-293FY 2009 – FY 2013$48 billion
PEPFAR Stewardship and Oversight Act of 2013“The PEPFAR Stewardship Act”P.L. 113-56FY 2014 – FY 2018No amount specified
PEPFAR Extension Act of 2018“The PEPFAR Extension Act”P.L. 115-305FY 2019 – FY 2023No amount specified
Department of State, Foreign Operations, and Related Programs Appropriations Act, 2024“Extension of Certain Requirements of PEPFAR”P.L. 118-47FY 2024 – March 25 of FY 2025 (March 25, 2025)No amount specified
Note: Current law is reflected in the consolidation of PEPFAR authorizing legislation in U.S. Code: 22 USC Chapter 83: United States Leadership Against HIV/AIDS, Tuberculosis, and Malaria.
Source: KFF analysis of PEPFAR legislation.

What happened when PEPFAR’s latest reauthorization “expired”?

Under the recent short-term reauthorization of PEPFAR, there were eight time-bound requirements that “sunset” on March 25, 2025, when they were not extended by Congress. These included requirements related to Global Fund support, a funding directive for orphans and vulnerable children (OVC), and others (see Table 2). This means that these provisions are not currently required, although the administration can choose to follow them.

Table 2

PEPFAR Reauthorization’s Time-Bound Provisions

Topic of ProvisionDescription
1. HIV Bilateral Funding Allocation: Treatment, Care, Nutrition and Food SupportRequires that more than half of funds appropriated or otherwise made available for bilateral HIV be expended for treatment, care, and nutrition and food support for people living with HIV (through March 25, 2025)
2. HIV Bilateral Funding Allocation: Orphans and Vulnerable Children (OVC)Requires that not less than 10% of funds appropriated or otherwise made available for bilateral HIV be expended for programs targeting orphans and other children affected by, of vulnerable to, HIV (through March 25, 2025)
3. Global Fund Contribution: 1/3 CapLimits U.S. contributions to the Global Fund to not exceed 33% of all funds donated to the Global Fund during a specified period (“1/3 cap”) (through March 25, 2025, calculated from FY 2004)
4. Global Fund Contribution: Use of Funds Withheld Due to 1/3 CapAuthorizes that any of the U.S. contribution to the Global Fund withheld due to the 1/3 cap may be used for bilateral HIV, TB, and malaria programs (through March 25, 2025)
5. Global Fund Contribution: Withholding Obligation of 20% Pending CertificationRequires withholding 20% of annual U.S. contribution to the Global Fund pending certification of certain accountability and transparency benchmarks by the Secretary of State* (through March 25, 2025)
6. Global Fund Contribution: Withholding Portion if Funds Expended to Certain GovernmentsRequires withholding a portion of the U.S. contribution to the Global Fund, the next fiscal year, equal to the amount expended by the Global Fund to country governments determined by the Secretary of State to have “repeatedly provided support for acts of international terrorism” (through March 25, 2025)
7.  Annual Treatment Providers StudyDirects the Global AIDS Coordinator to annually complete a study of treatment providers for HIV programs, including spending by the Global Fund and partner countries (through March 25, 2025)
8. Oversight Plans of Inspectors GeneralDirects various agencies’ inspectors general to jointly develop coordinated annual plans for overseeing HIV, malaria, and TB programs (through March 25, 2025)
Note: Status as of April 14, 2025. * In certain years, Congress directed the withholding to be 10%, rather than 20%.
Source: KFF analysis of Further Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2024 (P.L. 118-47) and KFF, PEPFAR Reauthorization: Side-by-Side of Legislation Over Time.

Does this mean that the PEPFAR program is not authorized anymore?

No. PEPFAR is a permanent part of U.S. law and will continue, provided funds are appropriated, which Congress has once again done for FY 2025, the current fiscal year.

Are there any other impacts of having a lapsed reauthorization?

If PEPFAR is not reauthorized this year or in the near future, as mentioned above, the program won’t end, but there are practical and symbolic implications for the program and the people it serves, including:

  • The lack of reauthorization marks a significant departure from PEPFAR’s long-time bipartisan support, following its short-term reauthorization last year. PEPFAR had long enjoyed strong bipartisan support across multiple Congresses and administrations. Despite the fact that funding for PEPFAR could continue absent reauthorization, the program may be more vulnerable in future funding debates.
  • Failure to reauthorize the program, alongside recent foreign aid developments, may further concern partner countries and the people served by PEPFAR. In light of uncertainty surrounding the future of the program under the Trump administration, the lack of reauthorization by Congress creates further uncertainty in the field. It could also weaken PEPFAR’s partnerships and diplomatic efforts, particularly regarding longer-term planning, financial sustainability, and country leadership of efforts.

What is next for PEPFAR reauthorization?

While it is unknown what Congress will choose to do regarding PEPFAR reauthorization, options include:

  • Do nothing. This legally allows the program to continue, since Congress has appropriated funding for its operations in FY 2025.
  • Extend the dates of the eight lapsed time-bound provisions, in a reauthorization bill or another legislative vehicle.
  • Reauthorize the program with changes to address concerns raised by members of Congress and others related to abortion (which shaped congressional consideration over the past two years) and the need to better demonstrate sustainability and transition plans to scale-down the program over time (such as requiring progressive country co-financing or graduation requirements.

What is the outlook for PEPFAR more broadly?

More broadly, however, PEPFAR is, for the first time in its two-decade history, facing significant challenges that could impede its ability to fulfill its mission. Recent actions of the Trump administration, such as the foreign aid freeze, the proposed “realignment” of USAID’s functions into the State Department, and cancellation of many grant awards, have significantly affected PEPFAR services, operations, and health outcomes. This has included reduced spending on PEPFAR, below the funding levels appropriated by Congress, raising questions about whether the administration will spend all the funding that has been appropriated for this purpose. At the same time, a divided Congress is likely to mean heightened disagreements over funding levels more generally across the federal budget, particularly amid administration efforts to cut spending and dramatically reduce the U.S. government footprint in foreign aid, including for global health. The administration has already indicated that it may seek rescissions of prior year funding amounts, which could further affect PEPFAR activities and funding, should Congress agree to these. In addition, the President’s budget request for FY 2026 has included significant cuts to global health, although it specifies that PEPFAR funding “is preserved for any current beneficiaries.” Cuts to PEPFAR’s budget were proposed in the first Trump administration but were rejected by Congress. The current dynamic, however, is much less certain.

5 Key Facts About Medicaid and Family Planning

Published: May 29, 2025

Most women use contraception at some point in their lives and for low-income women in particular, Medicaid provides access to family planning services which include contraceptives as well as many preventive and primary care services related to sexual and reproductive health. Congress is considering changes to Medicaid that would reduce federal spending on the program and lead to an estimated 7.6 million people losing Medicaid coverage and becoming uninsured. As the largest public payer for family planning services in the US, changes to Medicaid, including reductions in enrollment, benefits, or the type of providers that can participate in the program could have a large impact on access to contraception and other family planning care for low-income individuals. Amid debates to limit federal Medicaid support, this brief presents five facts to know about Medicaid’s role for family planning.

1. Medicaid plays an outsize role providing coverage for low-income women of reproductive age.

Medicaid, the nation’s health coverage program for poor and low-income people, provides access to health and long-term care services for millions of low-income women across the nation. Nationally, Medicaid covers one in five adult women of reproductive age (18 to 49 years old), and more than four in ten (44%) with low incomes (Figure 1). Medicaid coverage of adult reproductive age women with low incomes ranges across the country, from roughly one in five in Texas (22%) to six in ten (61%) in New York and New Mexico.

The ACA’s Medicaid expansion plays a major role in the program’s coverage of reproductive age women. Nearly four in ten (38%) adult women of reproductive age who are enrolled in Medicaid are covered through the expansion pathway. Ten states have not expanded Medicaid under the ACA.

Medicaid Covers One in Five Reproductive Age Women Overall and More Than Four in Ten With Lower Incomes

2. All state Medicaid programs cover family planning benefits, which include contraception as well as a broad range of preventive health services.

The Medicaid program has a long history of covering family planning as part of a comprehensive set of preventive services, and the federal government pays a higher federal match rate of 90% for family planning services than it does for other health care services. Federal Medicaid law classifies family planning services and supplies as a “mandatory” benefit category that states must cover, but it does not formally define the specific services that must be included, giving states flexibility in how they design the coverage. States routinely cover prescription contraceptives and related services such as gynecologic exams and testing and treatment for sexually transmitted infections (Figure 2).

Research has found that the ACA’s Medicaid expansion is associated with an increased use of the most effective long-acting contraceptives as well as use of contraception after having a baby.

Figure 2 is titled: "Family Planning Encompasses a Wide Range of Counseling, Prevention, and Treatment Benefits" Services that states have reported covering include the following three categories: Contraceptive Services, STI Services, and Reproductive Health Services.

3. Medicaid coverage supports access to consistent contraceptive care which reduces unintended pregnancies and alleviates cost barriers for women with low incomes.

Federal law prohibits states from imposing out-of-pocket charges for family planning care in Medicaid, an important cost protection for women with low incomes. According to a national survey on contraceptive experiences, one in five (20%) reproductive age women who were uninsured reported that they had to stop using contraception in the past year because of the cost, compared to 5% of women covered by Medicaid.

Nationally, about half of reproductive age women with Medicaid coverage obtained family planning services in 2021, and in some states (Figure 3), it is higher (59% in Ohio and 60% in Louisiana). The family planning benefit most commonly accessed by women with Medicaid was oral contraceptives, which are also the most used reversible contraceptive among women in the general population. Medicaid also covers intrauterine devices, contraceptive implants, sterilization procedures, and injectable contraceptives along with follow up care.

Nationally, About Half of Reproductive Age Females with Medicaid Received Family Planning Services in 2021, With Variability Across States

4. Many Medicaid enrollees seek family planning services at specialized family planning clinics that also offer abortion services, such as Planned Parenthood.

Congress is considering a proposal to ban Planned Parenthood and other Medicaid essential community providers from participating in the Medicaid program. The federal Medicaid statute allows Medicaid enrollees to seek care from any provider that is qualified and willing to participate in the program, and for family planning services specifically, federal law allows enrollees to seek services outside of managed care provider networks if they desire. Some Medicaid providers, including many Planned Parenthood clinics, offer both family planning services and abortion care. Medicaid reimburses these clinics for the family planning services they provide but does not pay for abortion care because of the Hyde Amendment’s ban on the use of federal funds for abortions (except in the cases of rape, incest, or life endangerment). The current reconciliation bill under consideration in Congress (and passed by the House) would prohibit Planned Parenthood and some other family planning clinics that also provide abortion services from participating in the program and getting reimbursed for serving Medicaid patients. While the reconciliation bill seeks to reduce federal spending, the restriction on Medicaid payments to Planned Parenthood is a priority of Republican leaders and has been included in the reconciliation bill despite the fact that the Congressional Budget Office projects the provision would raise federal spending by $300 million.

Medicaid accounts for a major share of Planned Parenthood clinics’ financing. Excluding these clinics from Medicaid would likely result in many clinic closures and could lead to provider shortages in areas where they have a larger presence. Nationally, one in ten (11%) female Medicaid enrollees ages 15 to 49 who received family planning services went to a Planned Parenthood clinic in 2021, with larger shares in some states – as high as 29% in California (Figure 4). In some areas, there may not be other safety-net providers to absorb the patients Planned Parenthood currently serves. In other areas, existing clinics may not have the capacity to provide the same scope of care that family planning clinics, like Planned Parenthood, offer. KFF research has found that specialty reproductive health care clinics such as Planned Parenthood clinics offer a broader range of services to their patients compared to non-specialized clinics. In 2013, Texas replaced its Medicaid family planning program with a state-funded program that excluded Planned Parenthood as a participating provider. Following the change, there was a sizable drop in Medicaid claims for contraceptives and an increase in Medicaid-funded births.

Planned Parenthood Clinics Provide Family Planning Services to Medicaid Enrollees in Almost All States

5. More than half of states have established programs that use Medicaid coverage to pay for family planning services for people who are uninsured.

To help address gaps in coverage, several states extend Medicaid coverage for family planning services to people who do not qualify for full Medicaid benefits (usually because their incomes exceed the state income eligibility thresholds or they do not otherwise qualify for Medicaid). States can establish these family planning programs as a State Plan Amendment or through a Section 1115 waiver (Figure 5). States have the latitude to decide which services they cover in these limited scope family planning programs, though pharmacy coverage is restricted to family planning and related services. Nationally, 31 states provide family planning coverage to individuals who do not qualify for full Medicaid benefits. In 26 states, eligibility for the program is based solely on meeting certain income requirements, while eligibility in four states is limited to people who lose Medicaid for any reason (1 state) or lose Medicaid postpartum coverage (3 states). Most of the states (23) provide coverage to men as well as women.

31 States Have Medicaid Family Planning Programs for Uninsured People

5 Key Facts About Medicaid and Pregnancy

Published: May 29, 2025

Improving maternal and infant health is a national priority at the state and federal level. In the face of preventable maternal mortality, stark racial and ethnic disparities, and large gaps in the availability of maternity and reproductive health care in many communities, policymakers, clinicians, and other health care stakeholders have turned to the Medicaid program to improve the health of women and children.

As a primary payer for maternity care in the U.S., the Medicaid program is an integral component of maternal and infant health in the country. Many federal initiatives aiming to improve maternal and infant health include policies to strengthen the Medicaid program, and many state program leaders cite improving maternal and child health as a top priority. President Trump and other conservatives have called for increasing the birth rate. At the same time, Congress is considering changes to Medicaid that would reduce federal spending on the program and lead to an estimated 7.6 million people losing Medicaid coverage and becoming uninsured. This brief examines Medicaid’s pregnancy and postpartum coverage and its support for strengthening and improving maternal health outcomes.

1. Medicaid finances over four in ten births nationally and nearly half of births in rural communities.

Medicaid is the largest single payer of pregnancy-related services, financing 41% of births nationally in 2023 (Figure 1) and over half of births in four states (Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, Oklahoma). The program plays a particularly large role in rural areas, paying for nearly half (47%) of all births in rural communities and helping to shore up financing for hospitals in rural areas suffering from provider shortages. Rural counties in states with more expansive Medicaid eligibility criteria for pregnancy coverage are more likely to have hospitals that provide obstetric services than rural counties in states with more restrictive program eligibility thresholds. Recognizing the importance of assuring that pregnant people have access to care, federal Medicaid law also explicitly prohibits out-of-pocket charges for any pregnancy-related care, an important protection for pregnant people covered by the program, as out-of-pocket health expenses for maternity care can reach thousands of dollars.

Nationally Medicaid Covers Four in Ten Births, but in Four States it Covers Over Half of Births

2. All states have chosen to extend Medicaid eligibility to pregnant people beyond the federal minimum requirements.

By federal law, the minimum Medicaid eligibility level for pregnant women is 138% of the federal poverty level (FPL), which is $36,770 for a family of three. Many states also use the federal Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) program to extend eligibility to pregnant women at higher income levels. However, nearly all states, across partisan divides, have used their flexibility to set Medicaid income eligibility criteria for pregnancy above the minimum requirement so that more pregnant people can qualify for coverage. As a result, the median eligibility limit (Figure 2) for pregnancy coverage in Medicaid and CHIP is well above the minimum requirement in states that voted for President Trump (205% FPL) and states that voted for former Vice President Harris (217% FPL).

Many states chose to broaden eligibility for pregnant people during the 1980s, in part responding to high rates of infant mortality, particularly in southern states. Recognizing the importance of prenatal care for both maternal and infant health outcomes, states embraced the opportunity to cover pregnant people and get them into care as early as possible.

States Across the Political Spectrum Use the Medicaid Program to Prioritize Coverage for Pregnant People

3. States use Medicaid to strengthen and improve maternal health care quality and outcomes.

Amid a national crisis in maternal health, characterized by high rates of maternal mortality and morbidity, regional shortages in maternity clinicians, closures of maternity wards in rural and urban communities, and ongoing concerns about reproductive care access, several states are leveraging their Medicaid programs to improve the quality of maternity care and maternal health outcomes. These efforts include increased investment in outreach and education to enrollees and providers about maternal health issues; expanded coverage for benefits such as doula care, home visits, and substance use disorder and mental health treatment; and use of new payment, delivery, and performance measurement approaches. For example, South Dakota has created a pregnancy care management program that offers enhanced reimbursement to providers for care coordination and meeting prenatal and postpartum care program objectives.

KFF research has found that most states cover a broad range of maternity care services, including prenatal screenings, folic acid supplements, labor and delivery, and breastfeeding supports (Figure 3). In addition, a growing number of states have expanded benefits beyond traditional maternity services in recent years, such as for doula services and home visiting programs, to promote better maternal and infant health outcomes and reduce racial/ethnic health disparities. Some states are focusing on other support services. For example, Nebraska, Tennessee, and New Jersey are piloting programs that provide nutrition counseling and medically indicated meals for pregnant/postpartum individuals. In the face of federal funding cuts, these program enhancements may be difficult or impossible for states to continue to support.

Figure 3 is titled, "Medicaid Covers Many Services Throughout Perinatal Period" Services that states have reported covering include these categories: Prenatal Care and Delivery, Postpartum Care, and Counseling and Support Services.

4. Medicaid expansion broadens access to Medicaid coverage before pregnancy, providing an important pathway to primary and preventive care that has been demonstrated to improve pregnancy outcomes.

Decades of research has found that pre-pregnancy health is a key determinant of both maternal and infant outcomes. Coverage prior to pregnancy provides access to important primary and preventive care as well as the opportunity to assess and manage chronic diseases that affect pregnancy, including hypertension, obesity, and diabetes. KFF research finds that Medicaid expansion covers 38% of women ages 19-49 enrolled in the program. Women in Medicaid expansion states are more than twice as likely (Figure 4) to be enrolled in the program prior to becoming pregnant compared to women in non-expansion states (59% vs. 26%). Conversely, most women in non-expansion states obtained Medicaid coverage only after becoming pregnant, with about one-third (34%) enrolling after the first trimester. As a result, Medicaid expansion is associated with increased use of prenatal services as well as lower rates of adverse birth outcomes such as low birthweight newborns. Federal law stipulates that children born to women covered by Medicaid are automatically eligible and enrolled in the program for the first year of their life.

Medicaid Expansion Helps Women Obtain Health Coverage Before Pregnancy

5. Individuals who qualify for Medicaid during pregnancy face an income eligibility cliff one year after giving birth, but the cliff is not as steep in expansion states.

Until recently, Medicaid pregnancy coverage ended at 60 days postpartum. This changed with a provision in the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) of 2021 that gave states a new option to extend postpartum coverage to 12 months. Today, all but two states (Arkansas and Wisconsin) have adopted this optional eligibility extension, which means that birthing parents can stay covered for a year.

Medicaid eligibility levels for parents are much more restrictive than those related to pregnancy, which means that in all states some new parents no longer qualify for Medicaid after the postpartum period, but there is a divide in access to coverage between expansion and non-expansion states. In states that have adopted the Medicaid expansion, new parents with income below 138% FPL can retain Medicaid eligibility and those with income above that level are generally eligible for subsidized coverage in the Marketplace. In contrast, in states that have not adopted Medicaid expansion, more low-income parents are at risk of becoming uninsured just as their children enter the toddler years because adults with incomes below the poverty level do not qualify for subsidies in the Marketplace and because of the extremely low Medicaid eligibility levels for parents (Figure 5). For example, in Texas, parents in a family of three only qualify for continued Medicaid coverage after the postpartum period if they make less than $3,900 a year (15% FPL). Across all non-expansion states, median eligibility for parents is 33% FPL, which is approximately $8,800 annually for a family of three.

Medicaid expansion offers continuous coverage following the postpartum period for many parents and promotes access to care for many parents’ ongoing health needs, including conditions that may have been identified during pregnancy but require ongoing care and treatment. This includes many chronic diseases that are leading causes of adverse maternal health outcomes, such as hypertension and other cardiovascular conditions as well as depression and other mental health conditions. KFF research shows that women in Medicaid expansion states are able to retain coverage for longer periods after a delivery. The program’s coverage of contraception and family planning can help people prevent, plan, and space subsequent pregnancies for optimal outcomes.

In Most States that Have Not Expanded Medicaid, Eligibility for Parents is Below the Federal Poverty Line

The Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program: The Basics

Published: May 29, 2025

Key Facts

  • The Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program, first enacted in 1990, is the largest federal programdesigned specifically for people with HIV, serving over half of all those diagnosed. It is a discretionary grant program dependent on annual appropriations from Congress.
  • It is the nation’s safety net program for people with HIV, providing outpatient HIV care, treatment, and support services to those without health insurance and filling in gaps in coverage and assisting with costs for those with insurance limitations.
  • Most Ryan White clients are low-income, male, people of color, and half are gay and bisexual men and other men who have sex with men.
  • The program is the third largest sourceof federal funding for HIV care in the U.S., following Medicare and Medicaid and is the largest source of HIV discretionary funding. Funding is distributed to states/territories, cities, and HIV organizations in the form of grants. In FY 2024, the Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program was funded at $2.6 billion, which includes continued funding for the federal “Ending the HIV Epidemic” (EHE) initiative, created by President Trump during his first term.
  • While the Ryan White Program has a long history of bipartisanship, the Trump administration has indicated that it will seek to eliminate the EHE, including its funding, end one part of the Ryan White program, and move the remainder of Ryan White into a new HHS agency as part of a larger departmental reorganization.

Overview

The Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program (Ryan White), the largest federal program designed specifically for people with HIV in the United States, serves over half of people in the U.S. diagnosed with HIV. First enacted in 1990, Ryan White has played an increasingly significant role as the number of people living with HIV has grown over time and people with HIV are living longer. It provides outpatient care and support services to individuals and families affected by HIV, functioning as the “payer of last resort,” by filling in the gaps for those who have no other source of coverage or face coverage limits or cost barriers. Multiple “parts” of the program (described below) can purchase health insurance on behalf of clients, which is often less expensive than paying for drugs alone and offers broader health coverage (which is different from when the program pays directly for medical costs as those must relate specifically to HIV).

The program has been reauthorized by Congress four times since it was first created (1996, 2000, 2006, and 2009) and each reauthorization has made adjustments to the program. The current authorization lapsed in FY 2013, but the program has continued to be funded through the annual appropriations process as there is no “sunset” provision or end date attached to the legislation. The program is currently administered by the HIV/AIDS Bureau (HAB) at the Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA) of the Department for Health and Human Services (HHS), which provides funding to state, local, and community-based grantees to provide HIV services across the country.

The Ryan White Program has been a central component of the federal government’s Ending the HIV Epidemic (EHE) initiative, launched in 2019 under the first Trump Administration. New EHE funding has allowed the program to serve new people and brought others who had fallen out of care, back in. However, questions have been raised about whether the Trump administration will support the EHE going forward.

Clients

More than half a million Ryan White clients received at least one medical, health, or related support service through the program in 2022, with many receiving multiple types of services:

  • More than half (59%) had incomes at or below the federal poverty level (FPL) (which in 2022 was $13,590 for a single person or $27,750 for a family of four); 28% had incomes between 101% and 250% FPL.
  • Nearly one-fifth (18%) were uninsured, a decrease from 28% in 2013, prior to major coverage expansions under the Affordable Care Act (ACA). Most clients (82%) have some form of insurance coverage: Medicaid is the primary payer for Ryan White clients, covering 39%, including those dually eligible for Medicare. Other coverage includes: private insurance (20%), Medicare only (10%), and other or multiple sources of insurance (12%).
  • Clients are largely male (72%); 25% are female and 3% are transgender. Approximately half (46%) are between the ages 45 and 64, up from 22% in 2016. More than one-third (39%) are between 25-44. Smaller shares are under 25 (4%) or over 64 (12%). Differing from the U.S. population overall, most clients are people of color (72%), including 45% who are Black and 25% who are Hispanic. Just over one-quarter of clients (25%) are White. Half (52%) are gay and bisexual men, or men who have sex with men.
Ryan White Clients & U.S. Population, by Race/Ethnicity, 2022

Structure & Funding

The Ryan White Program is the third largest source of federal funding for HIV care in the U.S., after Medicare and Medicaid. In FY24 funding for the program totaled $2.6 billion in FY 2024. Federal funding for the program, which is appropriated by Congress annually, began in FY1991 and increased significantly in the mid-1990s, primarily after the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). For many years thereafter, funding continued to increase, first slowing down and then, eventually, flattening out. This trend began to shift modestly when new funding as part of the EHE Initiative marked the first significant increase to the program in many years. Since then, funding for EHE has risen substantially, increasing to $165 million in FY 2024. (See Figures 2 and 3)

Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program Funding Increases Were Driven by EHE Funding, FY 2014 - FY 2024

However, funding for the Ryan White Program overall has not kept pace with inflation and does not necessarily meet the needs of a rising number of clients. (See Figure 3).

The Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program is composed of “Parts,” each with a different purpose and funded as a separate line item through annual Congressional appropriations. Funding is provided to states and territories (Part B) cities (Part A), and to providers, community-based organizations (CBOs), and other institutions (Parts C, D, and F), in the form of grants (described in detail in Table 1). In recognition of the varying nature of the HIV epidemic, grantees are given broad discretion to design key aspects of their programs, such as specifying client eligibility levels and service priorities. However, there are requirements, including that, unless granted a waiver, grantees must spend 75% or more of funds on “core medical services” under Parts A through C and that all state AIDS Drug Assistance Programs (ADAPs) must have a minimum formulary for medications

Description of the Ryan White Program, by Part, FY24

Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program & Care Outcomes

While many clients have gained coverage under the ACA, Ryan White continues to play a critical role as a safety net provider for those who remain uninsured or underinsured, helping to fill the gaps for clients with insurance, including assisting with insurance affordability and access to support services. Notably, Ryan White clients are significantly more likely to have sustained viral suppression compared to those without program support (68% v. 58%) and this pattern was observed across all coverage types. Viral suppression affords optimal health outcomes at the individual level and, because when an individual is virally suppressed they cannot transmit HIV, a significant public health benefit.

Key Issues

First enacted as an emergency measure, the Ryan White Program has grown to become a central component of HIV care in the U.S., playing a critical role in the lives of many low and moderate-income people with HIV. Looking ahead, there are several key issues facing the program that will be important to monitor, including:

  • Future funding. As a federal grant program, funding is dependent on annual appropriations by Congress, and funding levels do not necessarily correspond to actual need (i.e. the number of people seeking services or the costs of services) and, as noted above, the program’s funding has not kept pace with inflation. As a result, not all states and communities have been able to meet the needs of people in their jurisdictions. Additionally, the Trump administration has proposed eliminating Part F of the program in its preliminary budget released in May 2025, and, in an earlier leaked budget document, proposed to eliminate the EHE. It has yet to be seen whether Congress will continue to appropriate funding to Part F or EHE and at what level.
  • Structural changes and commitment to HIV. The Trump administration has also been actively scaling back the nation’s HIV response through staffing and funding cuts which have impacted HHS significantly, including HRSA/HAB. These changes could make program management, grant delivery, and data collection/analysis more challenging. This administration also plans to move HRSA to a new agency, the Administration for a Healthy America, but it is unclear how this will work and what impact it will have on the program.
  • Major changes to the health policy landscape. The Trump administration and Congress are implementing or exploring significant, broader health policy changes that could impact the Ryan White Program. These include efforts to restrict access to gender affirming care, including in the Ryan White Program, as well as proposals to substantially change the Medicaid program which could lead to large coverage losses for individuals and/or cost-shifting to states and the Ryan White.

5 Key Facts About Nursing Facilities and Medicaid

Published: May 28, 2025

The substantial Medicaid savings in the reconciliation bill that has been passed by the House could have major implications for nearly 15,000 federally certified nursing facilities and the 1.2 million people living in them. Nursing facilities provide medical and personal care services for older adults and people with disabilities, and Medicaid covered 44% of long-term institutional care costs in 2023. In response to cuts in federal Medicaid spending, states could opt to lower Medicaid reimbursement rates for nursing facilities, which could result in reductions in staffing that are tied to lower nursing facility quality and poorer outcomes. A separate Medicaid provision would tighten eligibility by reducing the home equity limit overtime, making it more difficult for people to qualify for nursing facility, home care and other long-term care services.

The proposed legislation would also put a moratorium on implementing a Biden-era rule intended to help address long-standing concerns about staffing shortages and the quality of care in nursing homes. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that eliminating the rule would save $23.1 billion over 10 years. Even if the legislation does not pass, a recent court decision overturned the first-ever minimum staffing ratios for nursing facilities that were part of the rule. The Trump administration is considered unlikely to appeal the court’s decision. Amid debates to limit federal Medicaid support, this brief provides information on how Medicaid programs support nursing facilities and the people living in them.

1. Medicaid is the primary payer for over 6 in 10 residents in nursing facilities.

As of July 2024, there were 1.2 million people living in nursing facilities, over 60% of whom had Medicaid as a primary payer. The share of people living in nursing facilities with Medicaid as their primary payer has remained steady, but the total number of residents living in nursing facilities decreased by 10% over the last decade. The decline in the total number of nursing home residents over the past decade may in part reflect a preference for home-based care, including care in assisted and independent living facilities, rather than in nursing facilities.

Medicaid is the primary payer for nursing facility care, providing long-term care services not offered by Medicare. Medicare covers up to 100 days of skilled nursing facility care following a qualifying hospital stay and does not cover long-term nursing facility care, custodial nursing facility care, or nursing facility care that does not follow a qualifying hospital stay. Despite Medicaid’s primary role in funding nursing facility services, KFF polling shows that four in ten people identify Medicare as the main source of coverage for low-income people in nursing facilities.

Medicaid is the Primary Payer For Over 6 in 10 Residents in Nursing Facilities

2. Medicaid paid for 44% of the $147 billion that the US spent on institutional long-term care in 2023.

Medicaid is the primary payer for long-term care (LTC) in the US, paying for at least 44% of institutional LTC and 69% of home care. Unlike Figure 1, which reflects the number of people using any nursing facility care, including short-term skilled care paid for by Medicare and other post-acute care payers, Figure 2 reflects spending on long-term institutional care only and excludes short term skilled care paid for by Medicare and other payers. The institutional care services in Figure 2 include costs for long-term nursing facility stays, intermediate care facilities, and continuing care retirement communities. The costs attributable to each type of facility are unknown because the National Health Expenditures data do not break these costs out separately. There are fewer nursing facility residents and nursing facilities than there were a decade ago, and more people use home care now than nursing facility care, leading to the higher U.S. spending on home care.

Medicaid Paid for 44% of the $147 Billion That the US Spent on Institutional Long-Term Care in 2023

3. Medicaid enrollees who use institutional long-term care are more likely to be 65+, White, and enrolled in Medicare when compared to those using home care.

In 2021, there were 1.4 million people who used Medicaid institutional LTC throughout the year. This includes about 1.3 million people who used Medicaid nursing facility care and 0.1 million people who used care in an intermediate care facility. Figure 1 reports fewer people using nursing facility care since it captures the number of people in a nursing facility in a given month while Figure 3 reflects nursing facility use over the course of the year. Most Medicaid enrollees who use institutional LTC are ages 65 and older while most who use home care are under 65. Most Medicaid enrollees using institutional LTC are dually enrolled in Medicare, compared to just over half of those using home care. People who use institutional LTC are also more likely to be White than those using home care.

Medicaid Enrollees Who Use Institutional Long-Term Care Are More Likely to Be 65+, White, and Enrolled in Medicare When Compared to Those Using Home Care

4. Medicaid financing for nursing facilities is complex.

There are four main sources of Medicaid funding for nursing facilities including:

  • Payments from the state to nursing facilities that are tied to specific patient care (known as fee-for-service or FFS base payments),
  • Payments from a private health plan to nursing facilities that are tied to specific patient care in cases where the state is paying private health plans to provide Medicaid benefits (known as managed care payments),
  • Payments from nursing facility residents (which represent patient cost sharing), and
  • Supplemental payments from states to nursing facilities that are not tied to specific patients.

According to the Medicaid and CHIP Payment and Access Commission, fee-for-service payments are the largest source of Medicaid spending (57%) followed by managed care payments (29%). Residents paid 9% of the total, and the remaining 5% came from supplemental payments to providers.

Under current law, states are permitted to finance the non-federal share of Medicaid spending through multiple sources including healthcare-related taxes or “provider taxes”, though legislation that has been passed by the House would prohibit states from establishing any new provider taxes or increasing the rates of existing taxes. CBO estimates that the moratorium would save $89.3 billion over 10 years. Provider taxes are defined as state taxes where at least 85% of the tax burden falls on health care items or services or entities that provide or pay for health care. All but six states finance part of the state share of nursing facility spending with provider taxes on nursing facilities, and the moratorium or new or addition taxes could limit states’ options to fund their share of nursing facility costs in the future, potentially resulting in reduced Medicaid spending, coverage, and payment rates to nursing facilities. States may also finance the state share of payments with intergovernmental transfers or certified public expenditures for the 6% of nursing facilities that are publicly owned (although this varies across the states from less than 1% in the District of Columbia and Connecticut to 43% in Wyoming).

Most States Levy Provider Taxes on Nursing Facilities to Help Finance the State Share of Medicaid Spending

5. Substantial cuts to Medicaid could undermine efforts to increase nursing facility staffing levels.

Research finds that higher staffing levels in nursing facilities have been consistently tied to better outcomes for residents and are closely tied to overall quality of care. States are currently leveraging Medicaid to support nursing facility staffing efforts through higher payment rates, but those payment rates may be unsustainable if Medicaid spending is significantly cut. In a 2024 survey of state Medicaid programs, most states (45 of 49 reporting states) reported increasing nursing facility FFS base rates in both FY 2024 and FY 2025 in response to staffing shortages. Several states reported particularly significant nursing facility base rate increases, including Iowa with a 25.49% base rate increase and Ohio with a 17% increase.

Beyond increasing payment rates, states are making efforts to bolster nursing facility staffing by leveraging Medicaid to strengthen the nursing facility direct care workforce. These strategies include increases to minimum wage that would apply to workers in nursing facilities (eight states), strengthening direct care worker benefits (five states), and requiring nursing facilities to pass reimbursement increases through to the workforce (six states). Other strategies adopted by state Medicaid programs include efforts to promote and subsidize health care careers, increased payments to nursing facilities for maintaining higher levels of staffing, and incentive payments for demonstrating that a certain share of a nursing facility’s total revenue was spent on workforce compensation and benefits.

Substantial Cuts to Medicaid Could Undermine Efforts to Increase Nursing Facility Staffing Levels

This work was supported in part by The John A. Hartford Foundation. KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities.

Utilization of Health Care Services by Medicaid Expansion Status

Published: May 28, 2025

Legislation passed by the House of Representatives on May 22nd includes a number of Medicaid provisions that would cut federal Medicaid spending by more than $700 billion over the next ten years and notably increase the number of people without health insurance. Provisions that would only apply to states that have adopted the ACA expansion account for more than half of all of the savings estimated by CBO. Some critics of Medicaid expansion have argued that expansion diverts resources away from other groups of Medicaid enrollees, including people with disabilities and children, and that expansion enrollees are “able-bodied” implying they have minimal health care needs. However, data show that expansion states spend more per enrollee overall and on each eligibility group than non-expansion states and that nearly half of expansion enrollees have a chronic condition. This data note builds on a previous analysis about Medicaid expansion enrollees to understand more about their health care utilization patterns compared to other enrollees. Specifically, this data note analyzes 2021 Medicaid claims data to compare utilization of health care services among Medicaid expansion enrollees with other Medicaid enrollees in expansion states and to compare utilization of health care services among adult Medicaid enrollees living in expansion and non-expansion states.

In expansion states, adults covered through the ACA expansion use more services than other adults who are eligible on the basis of having low-income (Figure 1). While some groups claim that expansion adults are primarily “able-bodied” adults with minimal health needs, analysis of 2021 Medicaid claims data finds that expansion adults were more likely to use prescription drugs (62% vs. 55%) and behavioral health treatment (30% vs 23%) compared to other adults. High utilization of these services by expansion adults likely reflects that one-third have a chronic physical health condition and a quarter have a chronic behavioral health condition. However, their utilization rates were lower than rates among adults who qualified on the basis of having a disability.

In Expansion States, Health Care Utilization Among Medicaid Expansion Adults Is Higher Than Other Adults, but Lower Than Utilization Among Adults Eligible on the Basis of Disability

Medicaid enrollees in expansion states are more likely to use health care services than similar enrollees in non-expansion states (Figure 2). Though some groups suggest that Medicaid expansion takes resources away from traditional Medicaid enrollees, analysis of 2021 Medicaid claims finds that rates of health care utilization among adults in expansion states is higher than utilization among adults in non-expansion states. About 90% of adults eligible for Medicaid on the basis of disability in expansion states used any health care services, compared with just 77% of adults eligible on the basis of disability in non-expansion states. Similarly, excluding adults who qualified through the expansion pathway, 75% of other adults in expansion states (those who qualified for Medicaid on the basis of low-income) used health care services, while just 66% of their counterparts in non-expansion states had any utilization. Notably, expansion adults had similar utilization rates as adults eligible on the basis of disability in non-expansion states.

A state’s expansion status is not the sole reason for the variation in utilization rates. Rather, there are a variety of factors that may contribute to this variation, including substantial differences in state adoption of optional long-term care and behavioral health care programs; provider participation in such programs; and variation in the duration and scope of covered benefits as well as cost sharing requirements.

CMedicaid Enrollees in Expansion States Are More Likely to Use Services Than Similar Enrollees in Non-Expansion States

These differences in utilization persist for specific services for low-income adults and people with disabilities (Figure 3). Adults eligible on the basis of low-income (excluding those eligible through the ACA expansion) in expansion states had notably higher utilization of certain services than those in non-expansion states, including outpatient care (64% vs 58%) and prescription drugs (55% vs 47%).

Similarly, among adults eligible on the basis of disability, utilization of certain services needed to manage their conditions is higher in expansion states than in non-expansion states. In expansion states, 81% of adults with disabilities had any claims for prescription drugs compared to just 63% of those in non-expansion states. These enrollees in expansion states were also over twice as likely to use long-term care (25% vs 12%) and had higher utilization of behavioral health treatment services (62% vs 44%) as those in non-expansion states.

When controlling for health status, enrollees in expansion states still had higher rates of utilization than those in non-expansion states (Figure 3). Enrollees who qualified on the basis of disability and who had three or more diagnosed chronic conditions had the highest utilization rates of prescription drugs, long-term care, and behavioral health treatment in both expansion and non-expansion states, compared to all other adult enrollees. However, within this group of adults with particularly high health care needs, those in expansion states had higher utilization than those in non-expansion states for prescription drugs (98% vs. 93%), long-term care (33% vs. 23%), and behavioral health treatment (84% vs. 78%). (The measure of overall utilization for those with chronic conditions is not reported since enrollees have to have at least one health care claim to have a chronic condition diagnosis.)

Medicaid Enrollees in Expansion States Are More Likely to Use Services Than Similar Enrollees in Non-Expansion States

Methods

Medicaid Claims Data: This analysis uses the 2021 T-MSIS Research Identifiable Demographic-Eligibility and Claims Files (T-MSIS data) to identify Medicaid expansion enrollees, utilization, and chronic conditions.

State Inclusion Criteria:

  • Expansion states: Though Idaho and Virginia expanded Medicaid prior to 2021, adult expansion enrollees primarily show up in the traditional adult eligibility group. Therefore, those expansion states are excluded.
  • Non-expansion states: Mississippi was also excluded from this analysis due to data quality concerns flagged by the DQ Atlas.

Enrollee Inclusion Criteria: Enrollees were included if they were ages 19-64, had full Medicaid coverage for at least one month, and were not dually enrolled in Medicare. Dually enrolled individuals were excluded from these calculations since they may not have had sufficient claims in T-MSIS to identify utilization.

Identifying Utilization: This analysis defines health care utilization in T-MSIS using the following methods:

  • Any utilization: Where CLM_TYPE_CD equals 1, 3, 4, A, C, D, U, W, or X
  • Inpatient hospital: Where TOS_CD equals 001, 060, 061, 090-093, and 132
  • Outpatient care: Where TOS_CD equals 002-008, 012, 028, 042, 134, 135
  • Drugs: Where TOS_CD equals 033, 034, and 131; or where TOS_CD equals 145 and the claim is in the RX file
  • Long-term care: See our brief on long-term care users for methods
  • Behavioral health treatment: SUD and mental health treatment are identified using the Behavioral Health Service Algorithm (BHSA) reference codes provided by The Urban Institute.

Defining Chronic Conditions (Figure 3): This table identifies Medicaid enrollees with three or more chronic conditions. This analysis used the CCW algorithm for identifying chronic conditions (updated in 2020). This analysis also included in its definition of chronic conditions substance use disorder, mental health, obesity, HIV, hepatitis C, and intellectual and developmental disabilities. In total, 35 chronic conditions were included.

Proposed Medicaid Federal Match Penalty for States that Have Expanded Coverage for Immigrants: State-by-State Estimates

Published: May 22, 2025

Editorial Note: This piece was originally published on May 21, 2025 and was updated on May 22, 2025 to reflect revisions made in the version of the bill passed by the House. However, the key provision that it analyzes – penalizing states by lowering the enhanced ACA Medicaid expansion match rate if a state uses state-only funds to provide health coverage to undocumented immigrants – was not included in the final version of the BBB that passed in both chambers of Congress and was signed into law by President Trump.

Introduction

The House reconciliation bill will substantially reduce federal Medicaid spending and coverage and increase the number of uninsured according to estimates from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). The bill includes a provision that would penalize states that expand coverage for immigrants by reducing the federal Medicaid matching rate for the Affordable Care Act (ACA) Medicaid expansion population from 90% to 80% for states that either provide health coverage or financial assistance to purchase health coverage to certain groups of immigrants. However, the groups of immigrants receiving coverage that would subject states to the penalty was revised several times before the bill was passed by the House:

  • The initial version of the bill passed by the House Energy and Commerce committee would reduce federal Medicaid funding for states that provide coverage to immigrants who were not a qualified alien or otherwise lawfully residing in the United States—affecting 14 states and DC that have expanded coverage to undocumented immigrants with their own funds.
  • A revision made to the bill before it was considered by the House Rules Committee removed “otherwise lawfully residing” immigrants from coverage that could be provided without the penalty, effectively broadening the penalty to an additional 19 states that have taken up a federal option available in Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) to expand coverage for lawfully residing children and pregnant people.
  • Per amendments made to the final version of the bill passed by the House, the penalty was limited to states providing coverage to immigrants who are not a “qualified alien” or a “child or pregnant woman who is lawfully residing in the United States” covered under the Medicaid option for these groups. This change appears to largely apply the penalty to the 14 states and DC that cover undocumented immigrants with state funds. However, because the exception is more limited than the prior language, which excluded states covering “otherwise lawfully residing” immigrants from the penalty, additional states that cover lawfully residing groups through other pathways could be affected.

KFF data show that 14 states plus DC cover children regardless of immigration status, including 7 states plus DC who cover at least some adults regardless of status, that would be affected by the current version of the provision. In Utah and Illinois, the provision could result in federal funding and coverage losses for the entire ACA Medicaid expansion population, since the states have “trigger” laws that require them to terminate the expansion if federal funding decreases. As noted, additional states that have expanded coverage for lawfully residing immigrants could be affected by the penalty.

This analysis examines the potential impacts of this policy change on state Medicaid spending, including state-by-state estimates of potential losses in federal financing (and increases in state spending) if the 14 states and DC that cover immigrants regardless of immigration status maintain their programs. It also presents enrollment data for these programs to estimate the number of people who may be at risk for coverage losses if states eliminate these programs based on KFF analysis of publicly available state enrollment data, budget documents, and media reports. Losses in federal financing and coverage may be larger if additional states are affected by the provision.

If states maintained their coverage programs, they would need to find ways to offset the loss of federal funding. This could include increasing state tax revenues, decreasing spending on non-Medicaid services such as education, or making other Medicaid cuts. If states eliminated their programs, there would likely be increased uninsured rates and barriers to care for immigrant families and negative impacts for the U.S. economy and workforce due to the role immigrants play.

Potential Impacts on State Spending if States Maintain Coverage and are Subject to the FMAP Penalty

The analysis assumes that, starting in fiscal year (FY) 2027, expenditures for people eligible in the ACA Medicaid expansion would be matched at 80% instead of 90% in the 14 states and DC that offer coverage for people regardless of immigration status. This analysis does not make assumptions about specific state behavior and instead illustrates the potential impact on state Medicaid spending if all states maintained their existing coverage programs in response to this policy change. CBO projected that the provision to penalize states the 14 states and DC that offer state funded coverage to undocumented immigrants would result in federal savings of $11 billion between 2025 and 2034 and a coverage loss of 1.4 million people. This estimate accounts for assumptions about state behavioral responses and other secondary effects.

A reduction in the expansion match rate or “FMAP” for the 14 states and DC with state-funded coverage for people regardless of immigration status could shift $92 billion in costs from the federal government to the states over the next ten years if the states maintained their programs (Figure 1). State Medicaid spending increases across the states range from $30 billion in California to $300 million in Vermont or from 8% in Oregon and Washington to 3% in Massachusetts, Vermont, New York, and Minnesota. The cost shift would be larger if additional states that cover lawfully residing immigrants are affected by the penalty.

Reducing the ACA Medicaid Expansion FMAP in States that Cover Undocumented Immigrants with their Own Funds Could Shift $92 Billion in Costs to the States Over the Next Ten Years

In addition, there would be large Medicaid spending and enrollment declines in Utah and Illinois if their ACA expansion coverage was eliminated per their current state “trigger” laws. Utah and Illinois have laws in place that automatically end expansion if the federal match rate were to drop, meaning the provision could result in funding and coverage losses for the entire ACA Medicaid expansion population in these states. Prior KFF analysis found that if states drop their ACA Medicaid expansion coverage altogether, 78,000 (or 23%) of Medicaid enrollees could lose coverage in Utah and 840,000 (or 28%) of Medicaid enrollees could lose coverage in Illinois by FY 2034. This would result in a decrease of about $11 billion in federal Medicaid spending in Utah and $96 billion in Illinois over a ten-year period. It’s likely many of these expansion enrollees would become uninsured and gains in financial security, access to care, and health outcomes associated with Medicaid expansion would be reversed.

If states maintained their current coverage, they would need to find ways to offset the loss of federal funding. This could include increasing state tax revenues, decreasing spending on non-Medicaid services such as education, which is the largest source of expenditures from state funds, or making other Medicaid cuts. Given the size of the federal Medicaid funding cuts in the reconciliation bill, states would likely face substantial challenges in efforts to replace the loss of federal funds and significant pressure to drop their current coverage programs.

Potential Impacts on Coverage if States Eliminate Coverage to Avoid the FMAP Penalty

More than 1.9 million people could lose health coverage if states eliminate their state-funded coverage for immigrants regardless of immigration status to avoid the penalty. About 1.9 million people are enrolled in state-funded coverage programs for immigrants based on enrollment data from 7 of the 14 states providing coverage to children and DC and 6 of the 7 states and DC providing coverage to at least some adults (Table 1). This includes roughly 1.6 million adults and about 300,000 children, although data are not available from six states that cover children (Illinois, Maine, Massachusetts, New York, Rhode Island, and Washington) and Minnesota does not report separate data for adults and children. As such, these data undercount the number of people enrolled in these programs and at risk for coverage losses. Moreover, the dates of the enrollment data vary across states. If additional states that cover lawfully residing immigrants eliminate coverage to avoid the penalty, coverage losses would also be larger. As noted, CBO estimates that 1.4 million people would become uninsured by 2034 due to original version of the penalty which applied to states covering undocumented immigrants; this estimate represents a different time period than these enrollment data and makes assumptions about state behaviors in response to the provision.

States could avoid the FMAP penalty by eliminating their programs, but there would likely be increases in the uninsured rate and barriers to accessing care among immigrant families. Although most immigrants are working, they are often employed in jobs that do not offer employer-sponsored health coverage and undocumented immigrants are prohibited from enrolling in federally funded coverage options. As such, without these programs most will not have access to an affordable coverage option and become uninsured. People who are uninsured often delay or go without needed care, which can contribute to health conditions becoming worse and more costly. Reduced coverage and access to care may also negatively impact the U.S. economy and workforce due to lost productivity since immigrants play an outsized role in many occupations including health care, construction, and agriculture.

Nearly Two Million People Are Enrolled in State-Funded Coverage Programs for Immigrants Based on Partial Enrollment Data from 10 of 14 States and DC

Methods

State spending estimates under the proposed policy change follow the methods outlined in a prior KFF analysis, with a few exceptions:

  • The FMAP is reduced from 90% to 80% in the 14 states and DC with state-funded coverage regardless of immigration status (for Figure 1 estimates).
  • The policy change is implemented in FY 2027.

To determine the cost shift to states, the analysis calculates the difference in state Medicaid spending under the proposed policy change and KFF’s baseline projections of state Medicaid spending over the next ten years.

VOLUME 23

New Vaccine Requirements, Anti-mRNA Narratives, and Disputed Gender-Affirming Care Report


Summary

This volume highlights how new vaccine requirements and the spread of anti-mRNA sentiments are fueling confusion and distrust. It also examines reactions to a federal report on gender-affirming care for minors and investigates how TikTok is being used to promote false health claims through deepfake personas targeting young women.


Recent Developments

HHS’ New Placebo Requirements for Vaccine Approval Prompt Confusion About Existing Procedures

jiang suying / Getty Images

The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announced that it will require all new vaccines to undergo placebo-controlled trials before approval, framing this as a shift from existing practices. A placebo-controlled trial is a study that compares participants who receive an experimental vaccine to a control group that receives a placebo—an inert substance—to help isolate the effects of the vaccine from other factors. While many vaccines, including COVID-19 vaccines, were tested this way, the American Medical Association (AMA) and the World Health Organization (WHO) do not consider placebos ethical when withholding a known effective vaccine could expose participants to unnecessary risk. In such cases, researchers use other rigorous methods, such as comparing a new vaccine to an approved one to evaluate differences in safety, immune response, and effectiveness. The HHS announcement has led to questions about the safety of existing vaccines among those unfamiliar with how clinical trials are designed and why placebo use is not always appropriate.

Online discussion about placebo-controlled trials spiked on May 1 and May 4, following news reports of HHS’ new policy. Some posts with large engagement argued that placebo-controlled trials should not be used when a vaccine is known to be protective, aligning with the AMA and WHO. Others misleadingly presented the policy change as evidence that past vaccine trials lacked proper oversight or were “corrupt.” A widely shared post from a medical doctor and lawyer with over 900,000 followers called the update long overdue and said it would finally hold vaccine makers to higher safety standards. Others expressed genuine confusion about study designs by expressing a lack of knowledge about how often placebo groups are used in clinical trials.

Polling Insights:

As regulatory guidelines surrounding vaccines change, KFF’s latest Tracking Poll on Health Information and Trust finds that fewer than half the public say they currently have at least “some” confidence in federal government health agencies to ensure the safety and effectiveness of vaccines approved for use in the U.S. While half or fewer across partisans express confidence, Democrats are somewhat more likely than independents and Republicans to say they have “a lot” or “some” confidence in federal health agencies to ensure vaccines are safe and effective.

Stacked bar chart showing the level of confidence people have in federal health agencies like the CDC and FDA to perform several agency duties.

Changing COVID-19 Booster Testing Standards Add to Uncertainty Around Safety

Thanasis / Getty Images

Social media conversations have also reflected concern and skepticism about COVID-19 boosters after HHS officials stated that these boosters may be held to stricter evidence requirements that could treat them as entirely new products. This framing has led to confusion about what qualifies as a “new vaccine,” particularly in contrast to updated COVID-19 boosters. While a new vaccine may target either a novel or existing pathogen using new technology or formulations, COVID-19 boosters are updates to previously approved vaccines designed to target evolving strains of the same virus. Unlike brand-new vaccines, which undergo extensive clinical trials, updated COVID-19 boosters were previously approved using existing safety data from the original vaccine, along with lab and animal studies showing that the updated shot produces a strong immune response to new variants. Experts warn that the shift could delay access to boosters as new strains of viruses spread, while weakening trust in long-standing safety procedures.

Confusion about boosters began to grow after the FDA questioned data around boosters and delayed full approval of Novavax’s updated COVID-19 vaccine, calling it a new product and requesting additional trial data. Novavax, a protein-based alternative to mRNA vaccines, has been authorized for emergency use since 2022 after a large placebo-controlled trial showed high efficacy and few serious adverse effects. The updated version targets newer variants and functions as a booster for individuals who have previously been vaccinated. Prior to the FDA’s decision to apply new product standards for all COVID-19 boosters for people under 65, some high-profile social media accounts reacted to the Novavax delay with concern about boosters. One X account with approximately 3.7 million followers called for the COVID-19 vaccines to be banned, calling them “worthless” and “dangerous.” Another post, from a physician with one million followers, falsely claimed that new variants are invented to justify continued booster campaigns.

mRNA Vaccine Concerns Gain Political Traction Despite Scientific Consensus

Luis Alvarez / Getty Images

Misleading information about mRNA vaccines continues to circulate online, contributing to support for policy proposals that aim to ban the technology. Extensive research and real-world data show that mRNA vaccines have a strong safety profile and offer protection against severe illness, hospitalization, and death from infectious diseases, like COVID-19, and potentially cancer. But a group of legislators in Minnesota recently introduced a bill that would classify mRNA vaccines as “weapons of mass destruction,” with criminal penalties of up to 20 years in prison. Although unlikely to pass, the bill represents the growing reach of concern about mRNA technology. Similar measures have emerged in other states: Iowa, Montana and Idaho have considered proposals that would impose criminal penalties on providers. 

Social media conversations continue to reflect unsubstantiated concern about mRNA vaccines, sometimes showing support for legislation aiming to ban them. One Texas doctor with over 500,000 followers, previously suspended for sharing false information about vaccines, said that Minnesota legislators were “lead[ing] the way” with the proposal. Another widely shared post featured a video of a doctor with a revoked medical license recommending that viewers and their families “not get vaccinated, ever again, with an mRNA vaccine.” These conflict with the broad scientific consensus supporting mRNA vaccines and contribute to doubt about COVID-19 vaccines. According to the FDA, serious adverse effects from the COVID-19 vaccines—which are predominantly mRNA-based in the United States—occur in fewer than 1 in 200,000 vaccinated individuals, and research has shown that COVID-19 vaccines have saved tens of millions of lives globally.

Polling Insights:

New KFF polling shows that mRNA technology is obscure to much of the public. About twice as many adults think vaccines that use mRNA technology are “generally safe” (32%) as say they are “generally unsafe” (16%), but about half (52%) report not knowing enough about this technology to say. In addition, nearly half of the public (45%) report having heard the false claim that mRNA vaccines can alter a person’s DNA — a myth related to COVID-19 vaccines that began circulating early in the pandemic. While just 3% think this false claim is “definitely true” and one quarter say it is “definitely false” (24%), most fall in the malleable middle, saying it is either “probably true” (26%) or “probably false” (45%). However, there are important differences by party identification and ethnicity when it comes to believing or leaning toward believing the myth that mRNA vaccines alter DNA, with at least one-third of Republicans (37%), independents (33%), and Hispanic adults (38%) saying the claim is either “definitely true” or “probably true.”

Stacked bar chart showing the level of belief that U.S. adults, by partisanship and race/ethnicity, have in the false claim that mRNA vaccines can change DNA.

Reactions to HHS Report Amplifies Misleading Narratives About Health Care for Transgender Youth

Besiki Kavtaradze / Getty Images

Misleading narratives about gender-affirming care for transgender and nonbinary people are circulating following the May 1 release of a new HHS report about gender dysphoria. The 400-page report, commissioned by an executive order aimed at limiting youth access to gender-affirming care, states that it surveys existing literature on gender-affirming interventions for children and adolescents, concluding that “the evidence for benefit of pediatric medical transition is uncertain, while the evidence for harm is less uncertain.” Major medical groups, including the American Academy of Pediatrics and the American Psychological Association, criticized the report and continue to support access to transition-related care based on other reviews and studies that have found a positive impact of gender-affirming care on health. On the day the report was released, mentions of gender-affirming care spiked on social media. Some high-profile accounts, including a podcast host with almost five million followers, circulated quotes from the report’s foreword that highlighted potential risks associated with gender-affirming care while emphasizing uncertainty about the benefits.

The report spurred other incorrect claims, including the false notion that surgical interventions are common among minors, but such procedures are exceedingly rare. One study that looked at data from more than 22 million minors found that less than .01% of transgender and gender diverse minors ages 13 to 17 underwent gender-affirming surgery, and none under 12 received such care. The HHS report’s framing of “exploratory therapy,” a practice that can include gender identity conversion efforts, drew attention online, but a recent KFF brief explains that major health associations have condemned this therapy as harmful and unsupported by evidence. Social media posts also amplified claims that many youth regret care, but research shows regret is uncommon. While not all transgender people seek medical care, a 2021 meta-analysis found that among those who do, the prevalence of regret is 1%. The report further claimed that many transgender or nonbinary people seek to “detransition” (return to their sex assigned at birth). But studies show that most transgender and nonbinary people do not return to their sex assigned at birth, and the KFF/Washington Post Trans Survey found that about eight in ten trans adults (78%) report being more satisfied with their lives after transitioning.


AI & Emerging Technology

Deepfake Health Scams Target Young Women on TikTok

Stacked bar chart showing how much U.S. adult tik tok users trust health information they see on TikTok by age, gender, race/ethnicity, and frequency of tiktok use

A March investigation by Media Matters, also reported by Rolling Stone, uncovered a network of TikTok accounts using deepfake personas to push health and wellness products, often targeting women with fertility or cosmetic concerns. The accounts created backstories and personal testimonies to enhance credibility and drive sales through TikTok Shop links. One account, for example, featured videos of an influencer claiming various identities, such as a doctor and former model, to endorse hair growth supplements. A reverse image search, though, showed that the woman was likely generated by deepfake technology. Following publication of the investigation, the accounts identified in the article were removed from TikTok. This tactic reflects a broader trend identified in a 2024 study published in Journal of Medical Internet Research, which concluded that the alternative health community on TikTok is more likely to use emotional storytelling to build trust than conventional health videos, a strategy that these deepfake personas are designed to mimic.

A 2024 KFF poll found that most TikTok users report seeing health-related content on the app, and among these users women are more likely than men to say they’ve seen information or advice about mental health (71% v. 61%) or birth control (41% v. 25%) on the app. In addition, about half of women of reproductive age – those ages 18 to 49 – report seeing information or advice on TikTok about prescription birth control (54%) or abortion (48%). While fewer than half (40%) of TikTok users say they trust information about health issues that they see on the app at least “somewhat,” this rises to half among women ages 18-49. Notably, younger adults and women are more likely than older adults and men, respectively, to say they use TikTok every day.

About The Health Information and Trust Initiative: the Health Information and Trust Initiative is a KFF program aimed at tracking health misinformation in the U.S., analyzing its impact on the American people, and mobilizing media to address the problem. Our goal is to be of service to everyone working on health misinformation, strengthen efforts to counter misinformation, and build trust. 


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Support for the Health Information and Trust initiative is provided by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (RWJF). The views expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of RWJF and KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities. The Public Good Projects (PGP) provides media monitoring data KFF uses in producing the Monitor.

Mapping Hospital Employment By State

Published: May 21, 2025

Congress is considering substantial reductions in Medicaid spending as part of a budget reconciliation bill—the One Big Beautiful Bill Act—with the goal of offsetting part of the cost of tax cuts and other expenditures. While there are a number of Medicaid policy changes in the bill, three changes account for the vast majority of the savings according to estimates from the Congressional Budget Office: requiring states to implement work requirements for the expansion group, increasing barriers to enrolling in and renewing Medicaid coverage, and limiting states’ ability to raise the state share of Medicaid revenues through provider taxes. Any large cuts in Medicaid spending would likely have implications for hospitals, given that the program accounted for about one fifth (19%) of all spending on hospital care in 2023. Medicaid spending cuts, along with other policy changes under consideration, could lead to decreases in payments to hospitals and increases in the number of uninsured Americans, both of which would likely affect hospital finances, access to hospital services, and the quality of patient care. These changes could also impact local economies, given that hospitals are often major employers in their communities.

The interactive 50-state maps below show the number of hospital employees by state and how hospital employment ranks among industry subsectors based on 2023 data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), which includes more than 95% of U.S. jobs. Most hospitals are part of a broader health system, but system employees working in other settings (such as in separate physician practices) are not included. (See Methods for additional information about the data). Key takeaways include the following:

  • Hospitals employed 6.7 million individuals in 2023.
  • Hospitals employed about 131,000 individuals on average across the 50 states and DC, with hospital employment ranging from about 13,000 in Wyoming to about 610,000 in California.
  • Hospitals employed more than 100,000 individuals in 23 states and more than 400,000 individuals in four states: California, Florida, New York, and Texas.
  • Hospitals are the sixth largest employer in the country, and among the top five largest employers in 22 states, when comparing industry subsectors. Nationwide, the hospital subsector follows educational services; food services and drinking places; professional, scientific, and technical services; administrative and support services; and ambulatory health care services in employment rankings. Some physicians and other employees in the ambulatory health care services subsector may in fact be part of the same health system as hospitals but are not included in hospital employment if they work in other settings.
  • Hospitals ranked among the top eight employers in every state and were the ninth largest employer in DC.
  • Hospitals were the second largest employer in West Virginia and the third largest employer in North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming.
Hospitals Employed 6.7 Million People in 2023, and More Than 100,000 People in 23 States
Hospitals Are the Sixth Largest Employer in the Country Across Industry Subsectors and Rank Among the Top Five Employers in 22 States

This work was supported in part by Arnold Ventures. KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities.

Methods

This analysis uses data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), which is administered by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). As BLS notes, the QCEW data provide a “quarterly count of employment and wages reported by employers covering more than 95 percent of U.S. jobs.” The QCEW includes workers covered by state unemployment insurance laws as well as federal workers covered by the Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees (UCFE) program. Employment counts are referred to in this analysis as the number of individuals employed, though QCEW counts each job separately for individuals with multiple jobs.

Analyses of hospital and other employment relied on the 2023 average annual employment numbers reported by BLS. Industry subsector rankings were based on 3-digit NAICS codes. Employment for a given industry subsector and employer type were not included in totals or considered for purposes of ranking when not disclosed by BLS. In most states (46), this excluded 1% of employment reported in the QCEW or less. In the four remaining states (Delaware, Hawaii, Rhode Island, and Wyoming) and DC, this excluded 2% to 6% of employment. Among hospitals, BLS did not disclose state government hospital employment in DC, Iowa, Kentucky, Michigan, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Vermont, and Wyoming and local government hospital employment in Massachusetts and South Dakota.