The Trump Administration’s Foreign Aid Review: Status of U.S. Support for CEPI

Published: Jul 23, 2025
Starting on the first day of his second term, President Trump issued several executive actions that have fundamentally changed foreign assistance. These included: an executive order which called for a 90-day review of foreign aid; a subsequent “stop-work order” that froze all payments and services for work already underway; the dissolution of USAID, including the reduction of most staff and contractors; and the cancellation of most foreign assistance awards. Although a waiver to allow life-saving humanitarian assistance was issued, it has been limited to certain services only and difficult for program implementers to obtain. In addition, while there have been several legal challenges to these actions, there has been limited legal remedy to date. As a result, U.S. global health programs have been disrupted and, in some cases, ended. Recent changes to the Department of Health and Human Services, including proposed cuts and reorganization, are also likely to affect these programs. This fact sheet is part of a series on the status of U.S. global health programs.

Background on the U.S. and CEPI

  • The Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI) aims to accelerate the development of vaccines and other technologies to prepare for and respond to epidemic and pandemic threats. Pooling and leveraging contributions from more than 30 governments, philanthropic foundations, and private sector partners, CEPI invests to drive research and development into vaccine and therapeutic candidates against high-threat pathogens. It also works to strengthen global laboratory and vaccine manufacturer networks and regulatory environments and to research and support vaccine safety. A core focus is its “100 Days Mission”, an effort to reduce the time it takes to develop vaccines and other countermeasures during outbreaks with pandemic potential.
  • Since its founding in 2017, CEPI contributed to the first licensed vaccine for Chikungunya; is supporting the development of vaccines for Lassa fever, MERS, Nipah virus and Rift Valley fever, all of them currently in clinical trials; and aided in the development of seven COVID-19 vaccines that were licensed for use.
  • The U.S. government made its first financial contribution to CEPI in 2020 and has thus far invested $217 million in the organization. In January of this year, CEPI and the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC) announced an MOU to collaborate on aligning vaccine investments, among other activities. In May, CEPI and the U.S. Department of Defense signed a new agreement to enable collaboration on projects to expand protection against disease outbreaks, including a project to advance a therapeutic product against Nipah virus that. CEPI has also collaborated with the U.S. Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Agency (BARDA) on emergency response and vaccine development for filoviruses, particularly Ebola Zaire, Ebola Sudan, and Marburg. The FDA is a member of CEPI’s Joint Coordination Group and the overall relationship between CEPI and the U.S. government had been managed by USAID, which has held the U.S. government seat on the CEPI Investors Council.
  • CEPI reports that it has contributed significantly to the U.S. economy through its funding of U.S.-based vaccine developers and that this funding far exceeds the amount of funding it has received from the U.S. government.
  • CEPI replenishes funding every five years. For the last replenishment round, held in 2022, the U.S. pledged $150 million over five years, which has been exceeded. The U.S. accounts for approximately 6% of total contributions received by CEPI to date.

Current Status of U.S. Support for CEPI

  • Funding: In FY 2024, Congress approved up to $100 million in funding to be allocated to CEPI. The FY 2025 Continuing Resolution that passed in March carried forward language from the prior year again stating that up to $100 million could be provided to the organization. CEPI has not yet received its FY24 funds, and it is not yet known if or how much funding will be provided for FY25.
  • Foreign aid review/freeze: The foreign aid review’s stop-work order initially froze all U.S. bilateral programming but was not applied to CEPI or other multilateral institutions. The administration subsequently announced that it canceled 86% of all USAID awards. KFF analysis finds that of 770 global health awards identified, 80% are listed as terminated, including the CEPI contract. CEPI reports that it has not received a termination notice.
  • International organizations review. A second executive order, calling for a 180-day review of U.S. participation in all international intergovernmental organizations, is currently underway. Per the order, the purpose of the review is to determine which are “contrary to the interests of the United States and whether such organizations, conventions, or treaties can be reformed.”
  • Reorganization: The administration notified Congress on March 28, 2025 of its intent to permanently dissolve USAID and that any remaining USAID operations would be absorbed by the State Department, including remaining global health activities which would be integrated into its Bureau of Global Health Security and Diplomacy (GHSD). On May 29, 2025, the State Department further notified Congress of its proposed reorganization plan.

What to Watch

  • Results of foreign aid and international organization reviews: The administration could soon release results of its 90-day foreign aid review (which has already been extended by 30 days), and the outcome of the review of international organizations is expected later this year. It is unknown whether there will be any recommendations related to U.S. support for or engagement with CEPI, and how or if Congress will respond to any such recommendations.
  • Reorganization. While the administration has notified Congress that it intends to retain and integrate certain USAID activities into the State Department’s GHSD, no additional information is available on what this would mean for the relationship with CEPI.
  • Funding/Budget Request: The administration’s FY 2026 budget request includes significant reductions in funding for global health, and does not include funding for CEPI. Final appropriation amounts for FY 2026 will be determined by Congress. The administration also submitted its first rescission package to Congress, including proposed rescissions of more than $1 billion in FY 2025 funding for global health. Congress voted to amend the package, reducing that amount to $500 million and exempting some program areas from the rescission though it is not yet known if CEPI will be exempted.

The Trump Administration’s Foreign Aid Review: Status of U.S. Support for Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance

Published: Jul 23, 2025
Starting on the first day of his second term, President Trump issued several executive actions that have fundamentally changed foreign assistance. These included: an executive order which called for a 90-day review of foreign aid; a subsequent “stop-work order” that froze all payments and services for work already underway; the dissolution of USAID, including the reduction of most staff and contractors; and the cancellation of most foreign assistance awards. Although a waiver to allow life-saving humanitarian assistance was issued, it has been limited to certain services only and difficult for program implementers to obtain. In addition, while there have been several legal challenges to these actions, there has been limited legal remedy to date. As a result, U.S. global health programs have been disrupted and, in some cases, ended. Recent changes to the Department of Health and Human Services, including proposed cuts and reorganization, are also likely to affect these programs. This fact sheet is part of a series on the status of U.S. global health programs.

Background on the U.S. and Gavi

  • Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance (Gavi), is an independent public-private, multilateral financing entity created in 2000. It raises and pools resources from multiple donors and in turn, disburses approximately $1.7 billion per year to support procurement and distribution of vaccines in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs).
  • Gavi supports vaccines against 20 infectious diseases, and hosts the global emergency vaccine stockpiles against Ebola, yellow fever, meningitis, and cholera. By playing a market shaping role through pooled procurement, demand forecasting, support for regional manufacturing capacity, and other strategies, Gavi helps to drive down prices for vaccines in LMICs.
  • Gavi reports that it has helped to immunize more than 1.1 billion children in 78 LMICs, preventing more than 18.8 million deaths, and generating economic benefits estimated at more than $250 billion, between 2000-2023.
  • The U.S. government was one of the original donors to Gavi, and currently accounts for 13% of its funding, making it Gavi’s third largest contributor. Gavi also has a donor liquidity partnership with the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC) allowing Gavi to quickly access up to $1 billion from a “Rapid Financing Facility” to support routine immunization and pandemic response, backed by forthcoming donor pledges.  Additionally, the U.S. was the largest donor to COVAX, the international effort housed at Gavi that supported the development, procurement, and delivery of COVID-19 vaccines to LMICs (COVAX ended in 2023).
  • Only LMICs whose most recent Gross National Income (GNI) per capita is below a certain threshold are eligible for Gavi assistance (54 countries in 2024). Countries are required to co-finance a portion of their vaccines on a sliding scale. To date, 19 countries have graduated from Gavi assistance.
  • Gavi has been the primary mechanism by which the U.S. government supports the procurement of vaccines for LMICs (in addition to U.S. support for polio vaccination through the Global Polio Eradication Initiative). USAID’s bilateral maternal and child health program has complemented Gavi by supporting in-country capacity building and immunization campaigns.
  • Every five years, Gavi replenishes funding through “pledging conferences”. The previous replenishment, for 2021-2025, generated $10.5 billion. For the 2026-2030 period, Gavi is seeking to raise $9 billion in new funding (towards a budget of $11.9 billion) which it estimates would save an additional 8-9 million lives by immunizing an additional 500 million children by 2030

Current Status of U.S. Support for Gavi:

  • Funding: The U.S. provides funding to Gavi as part of its maternal and child health program. In FY 2024, U.S. funding for Gavi was $300 million. The FY 2025 Continuing Resolution that passed in March included level funding of $300 million, which marks (and would fulfill) the first year of Gavi’s new pledge period. The administration’s FY 2026 budget request does not include funding for Gavi and, while final funding levels are determined by Congress, Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has said that the U.S. will not provide additional funding to Gavi (see “Replenishment” below).
  • U.S. Representation on the Gavi Board: The U.S. also plays a role in Gavi’s governance and oversight, sharing one of the donor government board seats on Gavi’s 28-member Board, and currently serving as the Board member for the seat.
  • Foreign aid review/freeze: The foreign aid review’s stop-work order initially froze all U.S. bilateral programming but was not applied to Gavi or other multilateral institutions. The administration subsequently announced that it canceled 86% of all USAID awards. KFF analysis finds that of 770 global health awards identified, 80% are listed as terminated, including the main Gavi contract as well as the COVAX contract. Gavi reports that it has not received a termination notice for its main contract, although it did receive one for COVAX (all U.S. funding was already disbursed to COVAX in 2021).
  • International organizations review: A second executive order, calling for a 180-day review of U.S. participation in all international intergovernmental organizations, is currently underway. Per the order, the purpose of the review is to determine which are “contrary to the interests of the United States and whether such organizations, conventions, or treaties can be reformed”.
  • Reorganization: The administration notified Congress on March 28, 2025 of its intent to permanently dissolve USAID and that any remaining USAID operations would be absorbed by the State Department, including remaining global health activities which would be integrated into its Bureau of Global Health Security and Diplomacy (GHSD). Delivery of lifesaving vaccines is listed among the USAID activities to be continued. On May 29, 2025, the State Department further notified Congress of its proposed reorganization plan.
  • Potential impact on health outcomes: The loss of U.S. support for Gavi would affect procurement of vaccines for LMICs, with particular impact on children. Gavi estimates that loss of funding could result in 75 million children not receiving routine vaccinations over the next five years, leading to more than 1.2 million children dying as a result. Reductions in vaccine stockpiles could also impact outbreak control.

What to Watch

  • Results of foreign aid and international organization reviews: The administration could soon release results of its 90-day foreign aid review (which has already been extended by 30 days), and the outcome of the review of international organizations is expected later this year. It is unknown whether there will be any recommendations related to U.S. support for or engagement with Gavi, and how or if Congress will respond to any such recommendations.
  • Reorganization: While the administration has notified Congress that it intends to retain and integrate USAID’s delivery of lifesaving vaccines activities into the State Department’s GHSD, no additional information is available on what this would mean for the relationship with Gavi.
  • Funding/Budget Request: The administration’s FY 2026 budget request includes significant reductions in funding for global health, and does not include funding for Gavi. Final appropriation amounts for FY 2026 will be determined by Congress. The administration also submitted its first rescission package to Congress, including proposed rescissions of more than $1 billion in FY 2025 funding for global health. Congress voted to amend the package, reducing that amount to $500 million and exempting some program areas, including Gavi as part of maternal and child health funding, from the rescission.
  • Replenishment: Gavi’s June 2025 pledging conference raised $9 billion in funding towards its $11.9 billion target. Last year, the Biden administration pledged at least $1.58 billion over five years to Gavi’s replenishment. However, Secretary Kennedy announced that the U.S. will not provide additional funding to Gavi unless it changes its evaluation of vaccine science and safety, among other issues. In response, Gavi has stated that it relies on WHO’s independent, science-based, global vaccine evaluation and recommendation process. In addition, individual country requests for vaccine support from Gavi are made in line with their own national immunization policies. While final U.S. funding amounts are determined by Congress, it remains to be seen how this will unfold over the next year.

The Trump Administration’s Foreign Aid Review: Status of U.S. Family Planning and Reproductive Health Efforts

Published: Jul 23, 2025
Starting on the first day of his second term, President Trump issued several executive actions that have fundamentally changed foreign assistance. These included: an executive order which called for a 90-day review of foreign aid; a subsequent “stop-work order” that froze all payments and services for work already underway; the dissolution of USAID, including the reduction of most staff and contractors; and the cancellation of most foreign assistance awards. Although a waiver to allow life-saving humanitarian assistance was issued, it has been limited to certain services only and difficult for program implementers to obtain. In addition, while there have been several legal challenges to these actions, there has been limited legal remedy to date. As a result, U.S. global health programs have been disrupted and, in some cases, ended. Recent changes to the Department of Health and Human Services, including proposed cuts and reorganization, are also likely to affect these programs. This fact sheet is part of a series on the status of U.S. global health programs.

Background on U.S. Global Family Planning & Reproductive Health (FP/RH) Efforts

  • The U.S. government has supported FP/RH efforts for 60 years and has been the largest donor to the sector. It has also been one of the largest purchasers and distributors of contraceptives internationally.
  • Still, each year, about 260,000 women die from complications during pregnancy and childbirth, almost all in low- and middle-income countries. Almost one-third of these deaths could be prevented with greater access to contraception. Worldwide, an estimated 257 million women have an unmet need for modern contraception.
  • Recent decades have seen major gains in access to family planning and reproductive health services. The U.S. government has contributed significantly to this progress, reporting that in the 41 countries it supports, modern contraceptive prevalence has increased from less than 10% in 1965 to 34% in 2023 and family size fell from more than 6 to 3.9. The program estimated that it would reach up to 24 million women and couples with contraceptive services and supplies, helping to prevent 14,000 maternal deaths and 8.1 million unintended pregnancies, in 2023.
  • USAID has served as the lead U.S. implementing agency for FP/RH activities, working in 41 countries, with focused effort in 29 high-need countries and the Francophone West African region. The CDC has also supported some global FP/RH activities primarily through research, surveillance and technical assistance. While Congress has funded them separately, USAID’s FP/RH and maternal and child health programs coordinated efforts, working in many of the same countries.
  • The U.S. role in global FP/RH has often been contested, influenced by differing views and political debates primarily related to abortion. As a result, U.S. funding for FP/RH is governed by several legislative and policy requirements, including the Mexico City Policy (which has been implemented and rescinded along Presidential party lines and was significantly expanded by the first Trump administration), the Helms Amendment, and the Kemp-Kasten Amendment.
  • The FY 2025 Continuing Resolution that passed in March included level funding for FP/RH activities at USAID of $607.5 million (and level funding for contributions to UNFPA, the primary international agency supporting FP/RH programs worldwide).  The administration’s FY 2026 budget request does not include any funding for bilateral family planning or UNFPA (final appropriation levels are determined by Congress).

Current Status of U.S. FP/RH Programs

The following administration actions have had a significant impact on FP/RH program operations:

  • Funding freeze/stop-work order: The stop-work order initially froze all FP/RH programming and services, halting USAID’s FP/RH programming including procurement and delivery of contraceptive commodities. Because the order halted payments, many implementers had to let go of staff and end some services.
  • Limited waiver: While the State Department issued a waiver of the stop-work order allowing certain “life-saving services” to continue, family planning services were specifically prohibited from continuation, including in the blanket humanitarian waiver issued on January 28 and the limited global health waiver issued on February 4.
  • Dissolution of USAID: As the main government implementer of FP/RH efforts, the dissolution of USAID and loss of most staff have significantly affected FP/RH implementation capacity and operations. In addition, recent announcements of reductions at CDC could further affect global FP/RH efforts.
  • Canceled awards: It was recently reported that the administration has canceled 86% of all USAID awards. KFF analysis finds that of the 770 global health awards identified, 233 included FP/RH activities, 85% of which were terminated.
  • Legal actions: In response to two lawsuits filed against the administration’s actions, a federal judge issued a preliminary injunction ordering the government to pay for work completed by February 13, 2025, although not all payments have been made and the court has not stopped the government from canceling awards.
  • Reorganization: The administration notified Congress on March 28, 2025, of its intent to permanently dissolve USAID and that any remaining USAID operations would be absorbed by the State Department with remaining global health activities to be integrated into its Bureau of Global Health Security and Diplomacy (GHSD) which oversees PEPFAR. However, FP/RH is not included in the list of activities to be maintained.
  • Policy restrictions: The Trump administration reinstated the expanded Mexico City Policy on January 24, and an implementation plan is expected soon. It also directed a program review under the Kemp-Kasten Amendment, which has been used in the past to prohibit funding for UNFPA, and recently announced its intention to do so going forward. UNFPA also reports that more than 40 humanitarian projects, totaling approximately $335 million, have already been canceled by the U.S.

Impact on FP/RH Services and Outcomes

  • A recent rapid assessment survey of 108 WHO country offices found that more than four in ten reported moderate or severe disruptions to FP and contraception services, with 38% reporting such disruptions for commodities specifically, due to the U.S. foreign aid freeze and other shortages.
  • A recent estimate found that cessation of U.S. FP/RH funding for 3 months would mean 11.7 million women and girls would be denied access to contraceptive services, resulting in 4.2 million unintended pregnancies and 8,340 deaths from complications during pregnancy and childbirth (i.e., maternal deaths), while ending support for a year could result in 17.1 million unintended pregnancies, including 5.2 million unsafe abortions and 34,000 maternal deaths.
  • A recent modeling study found that cessation of U.S. FP/RH funding for contraceptives alone could result in an additional 40-55 million unintended pregnancies and an additional 12-16 million unsafe abortions between 2025 and 2040.

What to Watch

  • Foreign aid review results: The administration could soon release results of its 90-day foreign aid review (which has already been extended by 30 days), but it has already signaled that it will seek to discontinue FP/RH programs. It is unknown how or if Congress will respond to this recommendation.
  • Funding/Budget Request: The administration’s FY 2026 budget request includes significant reductions in funding for global health, and does not include funding for family planning. Final appropriation amounts for FY 2026 will be determined by Congress. The administration also submitted its first rescission package to Congress, including proposed rescissions of more than $1 billion in FY 2025 funding for global health. Congress voted to amend the package, reducing that amount to $500 million, and while it exempted some program areas from the rescission, most or all of the funding to be rescinded will come from family planning.
  • Policy restrictions: The administration may seek to institute additional policy restrictions on other U.S.-funded global health and development programs regarding abortion and family planning services, such as a further expansion of the Mexico City Policy.

The Trump Administration’s Foreign Aid Review: Status of U.S. Support for the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria

Published: Jul 23, 2025
Starting on the first day of his second term, President Trump issued several executive actions that have fundamentally changed foreign assistance. These included: an executive order which called for a 90-day review of foreign aid; a subsequent “stop-work order” that froze all payments and services for work already underway; the dissolution of USAID, including the reduction of most staff and contractors; and the cancellation of most foreign assistance awards. Although a waiver to allow life-saving humanitarian assistance was issued, it has been limited to certain services only and difficult for program implementers to obtain. In addition, while there have been several legal challenges to these actions, there has been limited legal remedy to date. As a result, U.S. global health programs have been disrupted and, in some cases, ended. Recent changes to the Department of Health and Human Services, including proposed cuts and reorganization, are also likely to affect these programs. This fact sheet is part of a series on the status of U.S. global health programs.

 Background on the U.S. and the Global Fund

  • The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria (Global Fund) is an independent public-private, multilateral financing entity created in 2002. It raises and pools resources from multiple donors to address HIV, TB, and malaria and in turn, invests more than $5 billion per year in more than 100 low- and middle-income countries.
  • The Global Fund reports that it has helped to save 65 million lives and reduce the combined death rate of its three focus diseases by 61% since 2002. With its support, in 2023, 25 million people were on antiretroviral therapy, 7.1 million were treated for TB, and 227 million mosquito nets had been distributed.
  • The U.S. government was instrumental in the creation of the Global Fund and is its largest donor, accounting for 33% of its funding. It also plays a significant role in governance and oversight of the Global Fund.
  • Only LMICs whose most recent Gross National Income (GNI) per capita is below a certain threshold and meet disease burden criteria are eligible for Global Fund assistance. Countries are required to co-finance by investing in health systems and HIV, TB, and malaria national responses. To date, 11 countries have graduated from Global Fund support.
  • The Global Fund is considered the “multilateral component” of PEPFAR, as well as U.S. bilateral efforts focused on malaria and TB, complementing and extending the reach of U.S. programs to many more countries. It also works differently thanS. bilateral health programs; unlike the U.S., it has no in-country presence and does not implement programs, instead providing financial assistance based on technical evaluations of country-led proposals. It also plays an important market shaping role through pooled procurement, driving down prices of health products, accelerating innovation and adoption of new products, and promoting quality standards, among other strategies.
  • U.S. participation in the Global Fund is authorized in the legislation that created PEPFAR, as a permanent part of U.S. law. Other parts of the authorization are time-bound, including several related to the Global Fund such as a requirement that U.S. contributions to the Global Fund cannot exceed 33% of all contributions, used to limit U.S. funding and leverage support from other donors. Because PEPFAR’s current authorization expired on March 25, 2025, this requirement is not in place.
  • The Global Fund replenishes funding every three years, through “pledging conferences.” Its last replenishment, hosted by the U.S. in 2022, generated $15.7 billion in pledges for the 2023-2025 period, including a pledge of $6 billion from the U.S. The next replenishment, for the 2026-2028 period, is scheduled for later this year, for which the Global Fund is seeking $18 billion, which it estimates would save an additional 23 million lives by 2029, and reduce mortality by 64% compared to 2023.

Current Status of U.S. Support for the Global Fund

  • Funding: In FY 2024, U.S. funding for the Global Fund was $1.65 billion. The FY 2025 Continuing Resolution that passed in March included level funding for the Global Fund of $1.65 billion. The administration’s FY 2026 budget request does not specify an amount for the Global Fund but did include parameters for ongoing U.S. contributions (final appropriation levels are determined by Congress).
  • U.S. Representation at the Global Fund Board: The U.S. also plays a role in the Global Fund’s governance and oversight, holding one of twenty Board seats and currently sitting on two Board committees.
  • PEPFAR Reauthorization: While PEPFAR and U.S. participation in the Global Fund are permanently authorized in U.S. law, eight time-bound provisions expired on March 25, 2025, four of which pertain to the Global Fund. In addition to the 33% limit on U.S. contributions, the other provisions also served to direct or place limits on U.S. Global Fund contributions.
  • Foreign aid review/freeze: While the actions taken by the administration to implement the executive order calling for a 90-day foreign aid review (which has been extended for 30 days) have thus far not been applied to the Global Fund, or other multilateral institutions, the Global Fund relies on PEPFAR and other U.S. implementers, as well as U.S. government staff and expertise, to assist countries in delivering services. As such, the disruption of that work has affected some Global Fund efforts as well. For example, a partnership announced last year between the Global Fund and PEPFAR to provide long-acting injectable PrEP to more than two million people (once approved by the FDA and recommended by the WHO), is now in jeopardy, as the administration has prohibited the provision of PrEP (except in limited cases). The Global Fund also recently announced that, due to significant service disruptions and funding uncertainty, it may seek to reprioritize investments to preserve the continuity of essential health services and ensure access to lifesaving interventions.
  • International organizations review: A second executive order, calling for a 180-day review of U.S. participation in all international intergovernmental organizations, is currently underway. Per the order, the purpose of the review is to determine which are “contrary to the interests of the United States and whether such organizations, conventions, or treaties can be reformed”.

What to Watch

  • Results of foreign aid and international organization reviews: The administration could soon release results of its 90-day foreign aid review (which has already been extended by 30 days), and the outcome of the review of international organizations is expected later this year. It is unknown whether there will be any recommendations related to U.S. support for or engagement with the Global Fund, and how or if Congress will respond to any such recommendations.
  • PEPFAR reauthorization and lapsed legislative requirements: It is unknown if Congress will seek to reauthorize PEPFAR, which could afford it an opportunity to extend the time-bound provisions that apply to the Global Fund. It could also use another legislative vehicle to do so. Even without these requirements in place, the administration could still choose to follow them.
  • Funding/Budget Request: The administration’s FY 2026 budget request includes significant reductions in funding for global health. While the request does not specify a funding amount for the Global Fund, it states that “Should the Administration decide to provide contributions to the Global Fund in FY 2026, it would ensure the United States is only contributing its fair share by leveraging $1 from the United States for every $4 from other donors, instead of the current $1:$2 matching pledge, up to a total amount of $2.4 billion over three years.” Final appropriation amounts for FY 2026 will be determined by Congress.
  • Replenishment. The Global Fund’s upcoming pledging conference later this year will be an important moment for the organization in determining its budget for the next five years.

The Trump Administration’s Foreign Aid Review: Status of U.S. Global Maternal and Child Health Efforts

Published: Jul 23, 2025
Starting on the first day of his second term, President Trump issued several executive actions that have fundamentally changed foreign assistance. These included: an executive order which called for a 90-day review of foreign aid; a subsequent “stop-work order” that froze all payments and services for work already underway; the dissolution of USAID, including the reduction of most staff and contractors; and the cancellation of most foreign assistance awards. Although a waiver to allow life-saving humanitarian assistance was issued, it has been limited to certain services only and difficult for program implementers to obtain. In addition, while there have been several legal challenges to these actions, there has been limited legal remedy to date. As a result, U.S. global health programs have been disrupted and, in some cases, ended. Recent changes to the Department of Health and Human Services, including proposed cuts and reorganization, are also likely to affect these programs. This fact sheet is part of a series on the status of U.S. global health programs.

Background on U.S. Global Maternal and Child Health (MCH) Efforts

  • The U.S. government has been involved in supporting global maternal and child health (MCH) efforts for more than 50 years, helping to contribute to worldwide success in reducing maternal and child mortality.
  • Still, in 2023, 8 million children under the age of 5 (more than 13,000 every day) died, with the highest rates of under-5 mortality in sub-Saharan Africa. About 260,000 women (or nearly one every two minutes) died during and following pregnancy and childbirth in 2023 – 92% of them in low- and middle-income countries. The majority of these deaths are preventable with proper interventions and access to care.
  • Recent decades have seen major gains in preventing maternal and child mortality. Both the number and the rate of children dying before age 5 have fallen by more than half since 1990, and over 90 countries have cut under-five mortality rates by at least two-thirds. From 2000 to 2023, the annual number of maternal deaths worldwide fell by 40%. The U.S. government has contributed significantly to these gains, reporting that it helped to save the lives of more than 9.3 million children and 340,000 women over the past decade alone.
  • The FY 2025 Continuing Resolution that passed in March included level funding for bilateral MCH activities at USAID and CDC of $845 million (and level funding for multilateral contributions to Gavi and UNICEF). The U.S. has been the top donor government to MCH activities in the world. The administration’s FY 2026 budget request does not include any funding for bilateral maternal and child efforts (final appropriation levels are determined by Congress).
  • USAID has served as the lead U.S. implementing agency for MCH activities, reaching more than 40 countries, including 25 “high priority” countries, primarily in Africa and southern Asia. The CDC also supports global MCH activities, primarily through immunization and technical assistance to build in-country capacity.

Current Status of U.S. MCH Programs

The following administration actions have had a significant impact on MCH program operations:

  • Funding freeze/stop-work order: The stop-work order initially froze all MCH programming and services, halting USAID’s MCH programming, including pre- and post-natal health services and lifesaving maternal health care. Because the order halted payments, many implementers had to let go of thousands of staff and end some services.
  • Limited waiver: Maternal and child health activities were included in a limited waiver issued by the State Department on February 4 allowing “life-saving services” to continue, defined as essential services related to the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of severe illnesses and conditions which–if not addressed–lead to mortality in women, newborns, and children under five. Listed in the waiver were antenatal care and post-partum services, essential newborn care, essential immunizations and treatment of acute child illness. Even with the waiver, services remain disrupted and implementers have faced challenges in getting permission to resume programming and difficulties in getting paid.
  • Dissolution of USAID: As the main government implementer of MCH efforts, the dissolution of USAID and loss of most staff have significantly affected MCH implementation capacity and operations. In addition, recent announcements of reductions at CDC could further affect global MCH efforts.
  • Canceled awards: It was recently reported that the administration has canceled 86% of all USAID awards. KFF analysis finds that of the 770 global health awards identified, 266 included MCH activities, 86% of which were terminated.
  • Legal actions: In response to two lawsuits filed against the administration’s actions, a federal judge issued a preliminary injunction ordering the government to pay for work completed by February 13, 2025, although not all payments have been made and the court has not stopped the government from canceling awards.
  • Reorganization: The administration notified Congress on March 28, 2025 of its intent to permanently dissolve USAID and that any remaining USAID operations would be absorbed by the State Department with remaining global health activities to be integrated into its Bureau of Global Health Security and Diplomacy (GHSD) which oversees PEPFAR. On May 29, 2025, the State Department further notified Congress of its proposed reorganization plan.

Impact on MCH Services and Outcomes

  • An internal USAID memo reported that the cessation of USAID programming for MCH would affect services for 16.8 million pregnant women annually, eliminate postnatal care for 11.3 million newborns within the first two days of life, and prevent 14.8 million children under 5 from receiving treatment for pneumonia and diarrhea.
  • A recent rapid assessment survey of 108 WHO country offices found that almost half reported moderate or severe disruptions to MCH services, including for medicines and health products, due to the U.S. foreign aid freeze and other shortages. WHO has also said that funding cuts have “led to facility closures and loss of health workers, while also disrupting supply chains for lifesaving supplies and medicines such as treatments for haemorrhage, pre-eclampsia and malaria – all leading causes of maternal deaths.”
  • A recent modeling study found that cessation of U.S. MCH funding would reverse the long trend of decline in maternal and child deaths and stillbirths, with the maternal mortality ratio, under 5 mortality rate, and stillbirth rate increasing by 29%, 23%, and 13% respectively by 2040. This would result in an additional 7.9 million child deaths, 510,000 maternal deaths and 1.8 million additional stillbirths.

What to Watch

  • Foreign aid review results: The administration could soon release results of its 90-day foreign aid review (which has already been extended by 30 days), including for MCH. It is unknown whether it will recommend any further changes to MCH efforts, including further reductions, and how or if Congress will respond to its recommendations.
  • Reorganization. The proposed permanent dissolution of USAID and integration of any remaining USAID global health activities, including for MCH, into GHSD, raises several questions, including whether additional capacities will be provided to allow for the management and implementation of MCH and these other health programs at the State Department.
  • Funding/Budget Request:  The administration’s FY 2026 budget request includes significant reductions in funding for global health, and does not include funding for bilateral maternal and child health efforts. Final appropriation amounts for FY 2026 will be determined by Congress. The administration also submitted its first rescission package to Congress, including proposed rescissions of more than $1 billion in FY 2025 funding for global health. Congress voted to amend the package, reducing that amount to $500 million and exempting some program areas, including maternal and child health, from the rescission.

Physician Workforce Diversity by Race and Ethnicity

Published: Jul 22, 2025

Introduction

Racial and ethnic disparities in health outcomes remain persistent in the United States, driven by inequitable access to and utilization of health care services and broader social and economic factors that reflect historical and ongoing racism. One factor that can mitigate these disparities is racial concordance between physicians and patients, that is, when providers and patients share the same racial or ethnic background. Research suggests that patient and provider racial concordance may be linked to increased visits for preventative care, greater treatment adherence, and lower emergency department use. One study found that greater representation of Black primary care physicians was associated with increased life expectancy and lower mortality among Black people. KFF 2023 survey data show Black, Hispanic, and Asian adults who have more health care visits with providers who share their racial and ethnic background more frequently report having positive and respectful interactions. Despite these benefits, many people of color face challenges accessing racially concordant providers. KFF survey data show that most Hispanic, Black, Asian, and American Indian and Alaska Native (AIAN) adults say that fewer than half of their health care visits in the past three years were with a provider who shared their racial or ethnic background. While data show that adults of color are more likely than White adults to prefer a provider of the same race or ethnicity, they are significantly less likely to have one and are more likely to have difficulty finding one.

Recent policy changes may exacerbate challenges to obtaining racially concordant care for those who value it most. In 2023, the U.S. Supreme Court effectively ended race-conscious admissions in higher education, overturning decades of precedent supporting affirmative action. Additionally, as one of his initial actions in office, President Trump issued executive orders eliminating federal diversity, equity, inclusion, and accessibility (DEIA) related programs and actions in the federal government and among federal contractors and grantees. These actions may reduce matriculation rates for students of color and reverse progress in diversifying the health care workforce to reflect the population it serves. For instance, research indicates that the Supreme Court’s 2023 ruling has already led to a decline in the number of Black, Hispanic, and AIAN students entering medical school. Among Black, Hispanic, AIAN, and Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander (NHPI) medical school enrollees, there was a decline in matriculants between 2023 and 2024. Despite there being more Black and Hispanic applicants in 2024 compared to the previous year, the number of matriculants from historically underrepresented groups declined. It’s unclear how much impact the Supreme Court ruling has already had on medical school matriculation. However, the ruling has the potential to further decrease the diversity of the future physician workforce.

This brief provides an overview of the racial and ethnic composition of physicians compared to the total population at the national and state level based on KFF analysis of 2023 Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) Physician Workforce data and American Community Survey data. This analysis shows that Hispanic, Black, AIAN, and NHPI people were underrepresented among physicians relative to their share of the population, with the widest gap observed among Hispanic people who comprised 20% of the total population but only 7% of the total physician workforce. The pattern of underrepresentation held true across most states for Hispanic and Black people, with particularly large gaps for Hispanic people. Asian people accounted for a higher share of physicians than their share of the total population nationally and in all states; in most states, the share of White physicians was similar to or higher than their share of the total population. Data were not available for AIAN and NHPI populations in many states due to small numbers.

Racial and Ethnic Distribution of Physicians

Nationally, Hispanic, Black, AIAN, and NHPI people were underrepresented among physicians relative to their share of the population with the widest gap observed among Hispanic people. While one in five people in the U.S. population was Hispanic, they accounted for just 7% of the physician workforce (Figure 1). Similarly, 12% of the population was Black compared to 6% of the physician workforce. AIAN and NHPI individuals were also underrepresented among physicians compared to their share of the overall population. However, the absolute differences were small, as both groups make up less than one percent of the total population and the physician workforce. In contrast, White people accounted for similar shares of the total population and physician workforce, and Asian people accounted for a larger share of physicians (19%) than their share of the population (6%).

Distribution of People by Race and Ethnicity in the Total Population and Physician Workforce

Across most states, Hispanic and Black people made up a smaller share of physicians compared to their share of the total population, with particularly large gaps for Hispanic people. In 45 states and DC, Hispanic people accounted for a smaller share of providers than their share of the population, as measured by a more than one percentage point difference (Figure 2). In seven states, the difference between the share of the population and providers who are Hispanic was over 15 percentage points. These tended to be states with the highest shares of Hispanic people, including New Mexico, California, and Texas. In New Mexico, Hispanic people made up nearly half (48%) the population but accounted for 17% of providers (a difference of 31 percentage points). In California and Texas, about 40% of the population was Hispanic compared to 7% and 13% of physicians, respectively. In only five states (West Virginia, Vermont, Maine, Mississippi, and Ohio) did Hispanic people account for a similar share of the population and the physician workforce, with a difference of less than one percentage point.

The Hispanic Population Was Most Underrepresented Among Physicians in the West and Southwest

Similarly, in 35 of 50 states and DC, Black people made up a smaller share of physicians compared to their share of the population. In five states and DC, the difference between the share of the population and providers who are Black was 15 percentage points or higher, with the largest gap of 26 percentage points in DC and Mississippi (Figure 3). In DC, 17% of providers were Black compared with 43% of the population, and in Mississippi, Black people made up 11% of physicians compared with 37% of the population.

The Black Population Was Most Underrepresented Among Physicians in the Southeast

Data were insufficient for comparisons for AIAN and NHPI people in most states, but where data were available, AIAN and NHPI people were underrepresented among physicians relative to their share of the population. This pattern was most prominent in states where the majority of AIAN and NHPI people live. For example, In Alaska, AIAN people accounted for 14% of the population, seven times higher than their share of physicians (2%). Additionally, in New Mexico, AIAN people made up 9% of the population compared to 2% of providers, and in South Dakota they comprised 7% of the population compared with 1% of providers. Similarly, in Hawaii, NHPI people made up 10% of the population compared to 2% of physicians. In most remaining states, AIAN and NHPI people accounted for both a small share of the population and providers, so absolute differences in their shares were small.

Asian people accounted for a higher share of physicians than their share of the total population in all states. The largest differences were in Illinois, California, Delaware, and Texas. In Illinois, Asian people made up more than one in four physicians but accounted for only about 5% of the population (Figure 4). There were sizeable differences in the states with the highest shares of Asian people. In Hawaii, 37% of the population was Asian compared with 43% of providers, and in California, 15% of the population was Asian versus 32% of providers. The differences were smaller in other states, like Alaska, Montana, and Vermont, where Asian people accounted for a small share of both providers and the population.

The Asian Population Was Broadly Overrepresented Among Physicians in All States

In most states, the share of White physicians was similar to or higher than their share of the total population. States where White people were most underrepresented among physicians compared to their share of the population included West Virginia (67% vs. 90%), North Dakota (67% vs. 83%), and Michigan (58% vs. 73%) (Figure 5). The pattern in these states reflected higher representation of Asian people among physicians. States where White people were most overrepresented among physicians compared to their share of the population included New Mexico (56% vs. 37%), Alaska (77% vs. 58%), and Mississippi (70% vs. 55%).

The White Population Was Most Overrepresented Among Physicians in the Midwest

A similar pattern was observed across medical specialties, with Hispanic and Black individuals underrepresented in more specialties than other racial and ethnic groups. Specialties providing primary care—such as family medicine, pediatrics, and obstetrics/gynecology—tended to better reflect the racial and ethnic distribution of the population. Among all specialties, providers in nephrology and interventional cardiology had the least racial and ethnic representation compared to the national population. The Hispanic population was the most underrepresented group in more than half of the specialties analyzed (27 out of 51 specialties). The Black population was the most underrepresented group in 9 out of 51 specialties.

Methods

KFF collected U.S. Physician Workforce data from the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) from the dashboard for 2023, aggregated by specialty and location. Although race/ethnicity data were provided as “alone or in combination,” categories were treated as exclusive in the analysis since a “multiracial” option was provided. Respondents with unknown race/ethnicity were proportionally distributed within each state to all other categories. Due to values being masked due to small cell sizes, only the Asian, Black, Hispanic, and White categories were used in the provider specialty analysis, where only specialties with more than 5,000 active physicians were included. For comparison to the population at large, 5-year estimates from the 2023 American Community Survey were used to determine the racial and ethnic distribution of the total population for each state, using single-response values for not Hispanic or Latino, and any response for Hispanic or Latino. To determine how well the active physician population matches the national population for each specialty, an index of dissimilarity was used, proportional to the total percentage point difference in the race/ethnicity share of providers and the country overall. To assess the robustness of this method, Kullback–Leibler divergence was calculated for each specialty, a measure of statistical distance between the race/ethnicity distribution among physicians and that of the national population. Rank order among the specialties was similar for both methods.

News Release

Victoria DeFrancesco Soto Joins KFF Board of Trustees

Published: Jul 21, 2025

San Francisco – KFF announced today that Dr. Victoria DeFrancesco Soto has joined KFF’s Board of Trustees. DeFrancesco Soto is the Dean of the Clinton School of Public Service at the University of Arkansas and previously served as Assistant Dean at the LBJ School of Public Affairs at the University of Texas at Austin. She has served as a trusted voice of political analysis for NBC News and Telemundo.

“It is my honor to serve on the KFF board,” said DeFrancesco Soto. “As an educator I am passionate about making research tangible to our day-to-day lives. KFF is a national model for translating the power of data and research into action. I am excited to roll up my sleeves and deeply engage in the impactful work of KFF.”

“Victoria’s deep knowledge of politics, policy, and media is a perfect fit for KFF, and we will benefit tremendously from her expertise and experience as we continue to expand our role as health care’s independent source of policy analysis, polling, and journalism,” said Dr. Drew Altman, President and CEO.

Dr. DeFrancesco Soto is the first Latina Dean at a presidential institution and is a fellow of the National Academy of Public Administration. She previously taught at Northwestern University and Rutgers and received her Ph.D. in political science from Duke University.

Her areas of expertise include civic engagement, women, immigration, Latinos and political psychology. Underlying all of her research interests is the applicability of high-quality, rigorous research to on-the-ground policy realities. 

KFF’s Board of Trustees is chaired by former U.S. Senator Olympia Snowe and its members have deep backgrounds in public service, academia, nonprofit organizations, health care, and the media.

Board members serve up to two, five-year terms. Additional information about KFF’s board can be found at https://www.kff.org/board-of-trustees/.

New Policy Bars Many Lawfully Present and Undocumented Immigrants from a Broad Range of Federal Health and Social Supports

Published: Jul 21, 2025

Editorial Note

This content was updated on October 23, 2025 to include changes to the policy following court orders.

On July 14, 2025, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) issued a notice of a policy change to update the definition of “federal public benefits” as outlined in the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act of 1996 (PRWORA) to add an additional 13 programs to the 31 programs considered “federal public benefits” that are restricted to individuals with a “qualified” immigration status. The notice further indicates that the updated list of federal benefits is not exhaustive, and additional programs may be added in the future. This change bars many groups of lawfully present immigrants as well as undocumented immigrants from accessing many health care, educational, and other social services and will likely have negative impacts on the health and well-being of immigrant families due to more limited access to services as well as confusion and fear about using services. It also may create new challenges and complexities for service providers. Many implementation questions remain unclear and subject to future guidance, including how verification of immigration status may occur and how the policy will be reconciled with existing conflicting statutory and regulatory requirements, which supersede the guidance. This policy change was expected to take effect immediately upon publication of the notice in the federal register on July 14, 2025, although it provided for a 30-day comment period. However, the HHS has agreed to delay implementation until September 11, 2025, following court orders. Further, on September 10, 2025, a District Court issued an injunction on the administration’s new policy, blocking the implementation of the policy as it relates to the Health Center Program and Head Start in 20 states and D.C.

Prior Policy under PRWORA

When enacted in 1996, PRWORA established federal requirements that limited eligibility for “federal public benefits” to groups who are “qualified immigrants.” The groups defined as “qualified immigrants” are more limited than groups who are considered lawfully present in the U.S. and exclude undocumented immigrants. Notably, qualified immigrants do not include people with Temporary Protected Status and people with deferred action, including Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals recipients, among other lawfully present groups (Box 1).

Box 1: Lawfully Present Immigrants by Qualified Status

Qualified Immigrants

Other Lawfully Present Immigrants

  • Lawful permanent resident (LPR or green card holder)
  • Refugee
  • Asylee
  • Cuban/Haitian entrant
  • Paroled into the U.S. for at least one year
  • Conditional entrant granted before 1980
  • Granted withholding of deportation
  • Battered noncitizen, spouse, child, or parent
  • Victims of trafficking and their spouse, child, sibling, or parent or individuals with pending application for a victim of trafficking visa
  • Member of a federally recognized Indian tribe or American Indian born in Canada
  • Citizens of the Marshall Islands, Micronesia, and Palau who are living in one of the U.S. states or territories (referred to as Compact of Free Association or COFA migrants)
  • Granted Withholding of Deportation or Withholding of Removal, under the immigration laws or under the Convention against Torture (CAT)
  • Individual with Non-Immigrant Status, includes workers visas, student visas, U-visa, and other visas, and citizens of Micronesia, the Marshall Islands, and Palau
  • Temporary Protected Status (TPS)
  • Deferred Enforced Departure (DED)
  • Deferred Action Status
  • Lawful Temporary Resident
  • Administrative order staying removal issued by the Department of Homeland Security
  • Resident of American Samoa
  • Applicants for certain statuses
  • People with certain statuses who have employment authorization

The PROWRA legislation provided discretion to federal agencies to determine which benefits and programs are “federal public benefits,” while also identifying specific exemptions such as treatment for emergency medical conditions, certain disaster relief, immunizations, and testing and treatment for communicable diseases. It also clarified that non-profit organizations were not required to verify the immigration status of individuals receiving benefits or services. Under policy established in 1998, HHS identified 31 health and social programs considered to be “federal public benefits” restricted to “qualified immigrants,” including major health coverage programs such as Medicaid (excluding emergency Medicaid), Medicare, and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP).

Changes under the 2025 Policy

The 2025 policy expands the list of programs considered “federal public benefits” by adding 13 additional programs, including Head Start, the health center program, the Title X family planning program, among others (Box 2). The notice further indicates that the list is not exhaustive, and additional programs may be added to in the future. However, policy implementation related to the Health Center Program and Head Start is blocked in 20 states and D.C. following an injunction issued by a District Court in September 2025.

Box 2: New Programs Considered “Federal Public Benefits” Under the 2025 Policy Change

  • Certified Community Behavioral Health Clinics
  • Community Mental Health Services Block Grant
  • Community Services Block Grant (CSBG)
  • Head Start
  • Health Center Program
  • Health Workforce Programs not otherwise previously covered (including grants, loans, scholarships, payments, and loan repayments)
  • Mental Health and Substance Use Disorder Treatment, Prevention, and Recovery Support Services Programs administered by the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration
  • Projects for Assistance in Transition from Homelessness Grant Program
  • Substance Use Prevention, Treatment, and Recovery Services Block Grant
  • Title IV-E Educational and Training Voucher Program
  • Title IV-E Kinship Guardianship Assistance Program
  • Title IV-E Prevention Services Program
  • Title X Family Planning Program
  • List is not exhaustive and may be added to in the future

Source: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (July 2025), “HHS Bans Illegal Aliens from Accessing its Taxpayer-Funded Programs

Implications of the Policy Change

The policy change bars many lawfully present and undocumented immigrants from services that are important for their health and well-being. These programs include certain programs that are particularly important for immigrant families, such as the federal Health Center program, which funds a network of Community Health Centers (CHCs). Community health centers are a national network of over 1,300 safety-net primary care providers located in medically underserved communities and serve all patients regardless of their ability to pay, providing a range of medical, behavioral, and supportive services. Data from the 2023 KFF/LA Times Survey of Immigrants show that three in ten immigrant adults say a CHC is their usual source of care, with this share rising to about four in ten among likely undocumented immigrant adults (42%) and those with limited English proficiency (39%) (Figure 1). The policy also bars immigrants without a “qualified” immigration status from accessing federally funded mental and behavioral health services at a time when many immigrant families are experiencing heightened stress and anxiety due to immigration-related fears and financial uncertainty, as well as from Title X services, which provide comprehensive family planning services to low-income and uninsured individuals.

Three in Ten Immigrant Adults Say That  Community Health Centers are Their Usual Source of Care

Beyond health care, the policy also limits access to services that support education, including the Head Start Program. Research shows that adults with higher educational attainment tend to have longer lifespans and be healthier than their counterparts with lower educational attainment. High educational attainment also is associated with better jobs that are more likely to provide employer-sponsored health coverage and higher incomes which, in turn, improve access to health care and resources to support health.

The new policy also will affect service providers who may need to update their policies and procedures to comply with the changes. Under PRWORA, program benefit providers are prohibited from providing “federal public benefits” to people who are not citizens or qualified immigrants and are required to verify that an applicant is a qualified immigrant eligible for services. The notice confirms an existing exemption in the law that non-profit charitable organizations are not required to verify immigration status. However, many implementation questions currently remain unclear and subject to future guidance, including how verification of immigration status may occur. Moreover, the policy does not supersede existing statutory and regulatory requirements. For example, although the notice limits the health center program to “qualified immigrants,” it does not change the underlying statutory requirements for CHCs to serve patients regardless of immigration status. While federal law supersedes guidance, this conflict creates challenges for CHCs in how they will apply this guidance, and it remains to be seen how enforcement of the guidance will affect CHCs’ ability to provide care. Additionally, as noted, the notice indicates that the list of programs affected by the change is not exhaustive, so additional programs may be added in the future.

The notice estimates that the policy change will result in savings from reduced use of programs by certain immigrants as well as new administrative costs. Savings are estimated to derive from excluding certain immigrants from HHS programs with a corresponding increase in benefits for U.S. citizens and qualified immigrants. There also are estimated to be new administrative costs associated with individuals being required to document their eligibility, for immigration status to be verified, and for changes in program eligibility and operating policies and procedures.

The policy change occurs against a backdrop of other policy changes restricting immigrant access to health and other programs and increased immigration enforcement activity. These changes include new restrictions established under budget reconciliation that limit Medicaid, Medicare, and subsidized Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplace coverage to lawful permanent residents, certain Cuban and Haitian entrants, and citizens of the Freely Associated States (COFA migrants). Together, these changes will likely have broad chilling effects on immigrant families, resulting in increased reluctance to access services and programs due to fear and confusion. More limited access to programs and services may lead to negative impacts on their health and well-being. These effects may extend across immigrant families, who often include citizen children—with one in four children in the U.S. living with at least one immigrant parent—and have broader impacts on communities, given immigrants’ role in the workforce.

News Release

Insurers’ Preliminary Rate Filings Anticipate Biggest Increases in ACA Marketplace Plan Premiums Since 2018

Scheduled Expiration of Enhanced Tax Credits and Impact of Tariffs Among Factors Pushing Premiums Higher

Published: Jul 18, 2025

Note: For updated data on proposed ACA Marketplace premiums from more than 300 insurers in all 50 states and DC, read our updated analysis.

ACA Marketplace insurers are proposing a median premium increase of 15% for 2026, according to a new analysis of preliminary rate filings. Based on the early indications, individual market insurers will introduce the largest hike in premiums since 2018, the last time policy uncertainty contributed to sharp premium growth.

Across the 105 ACA Marketplace insurers in 19 states and DC that have submitted rate filings so far, most are requesting premium increases of 10% to 20% for 2026, and more than a quarter are proposing premium increases of 20% or more.

In addition to the anticipated growth in the cost of health care services, insurers have cited several policy changes that they expect to drive up rates next year, including the following:

  • The expiration of the enhanced premium tax credits at the end of this year, which have made coverage more affordable and contributed to record-high enrollment in the ACA Marketplaces, is expected to drive up out-of-pocket premium payments by more than 75% on average and cause many healthier enrollees to drop their coverage.
  • The impact of tariffs on some drugs, medical equipment, and supplies. Some insurers estimate that they could increase premiums by an average of 3% more than they otherwise would have.

Other factors could also affect premium changes, including the budget reconciliation legislation and Marketplace Integrity and Affordability rule, both of which were enacted and finalized after many of these insurers submitted their preliminary rate filings. Finalized 2026 rate changes are expected to be published in late summer.Subsidized enrollees are generally shielded from annual rate increases as their tax credits keep premium payments capped at a portion of their income.

However, with enhanced tax credits set to expire later this year if Congress takes no action to extend them, subsidized enrollees will pay more because they have less financial assistance. Middle income people with incomes above four times the poverty level would no longer be eligible for assistance and would have to shoulder the full premium.

The full analysis and other data on health costs are available on the Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker, an online information hub dedicated to monitoring and assessing the performance of the U.S. health system.

Individual Market Insurers Requesting Largest Premium Increases in More Than 5 Years

Published: Jul 18, 2025

Note: For updated data on ACA Marketplace premiums from more than 300 insurers in all 50 states and DC, read our updated analysis.

This analysis of preliminary rate filings submitted by 105 ACA Marketplace insurers in 19 states and DC finds that ACA Marketplace insurers are requesting a median premium increase of 15% for 2026, which would represent the largest hike in premiums since 2018, the last time policy uncertainty contributed to sharp premium growth.

In addition to the anticipated growth in the cost of health care services, insurers have cited several policy changes that they expect to drive up rates next year, including the expiration of the enhanced premium tax credits at the end of this year and the impact of tariffs on some drugs, medical equipment, and supplies.

The full analysis and other data on health costs are available on the Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker, an online information hub dedicated to monitoring and assessing the performance of the U.S. health system.