Litigation Challenging the 2025 Budget Reconciliation Law’s Provision Blocking Federal Medicaid Payments to Planned Parenthood

Published: Dec 5, 2025

All ligation challenging Section 71113 has been voluntarily dismissed as of March 17, 2026:

  • The Family Planning Association of Maine voluntarily dismissed their case on 12/29/25
  • Planned Parenthood Federation of America voluntarily dismissed their case on 1/20/26
  • State of California voluntarily dismissed their case on 3/17/26

This brief was updated on January 22, 2026, to reflect recent court decisions and developments.

Introduction

One of the immediate impacts of the 2025 Federal Budget Reconciliation Law is a provision, Section 71113, that blocks certain reproductive health care providers (who also provide abortions) from receiving federal Medicaid reimbursement for one year. The law impacts three organizations: (1) Planned Parenthood; (2) Maine Family Planning, a network of clinics in Maine, (3) and Health Imperatives, a network of specialized reproductive health clinics based in Massachusetts. Shortly after President Trump signed the law, Planned Parenthood, Maine Family Planning (legally known as the Family Planning Association of Maine), and 22 states and the District of Columbia filed separate legal challenges to prevent the implementation of Section 71113. One of the key issues in the litigation is whether Congress acted rationally to reach its policy goal of reducing the number of abortions across the country or whether they unlawfully targeted Planned Parenthood. This brief provides an overview of these legal challenges and summarizes the key positions of the plaintiffs and the defendants, Health and Human Services (HHS) and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS). 

Background

The 2025 Federal Budget Reconciliation Law is not the first instance of federal policy targeting funding for abortion and abortion providers. Blocking coverage of abortion under Medicaid and limiting abortion access has been a priority for abortion opponents since soon afterRoe v. Wade granted individuals the right to an abortion. Since 1977, Congress has included the Hyde Amendment every year as a rider to the federal appropriations budget prohibiting federal funds for abortion except in situations where the pregnancy is the result of rape or incest, or the pregnant person’s life is at risk. Federal Medicaid dollars may only reimburse abortion providers in these very limited situations. Some states make their own funds available to pay for abortion in other circumstances for their Medicaid enrollees. Yet, despite this longstanding provision, abortion opponents at the state and federal level have advocated going further in restricting federal funding. They argue that by allowing providers that also offer abortion services to remain in the Medicaid program, federal funds that go to these providers for other services indirectly subsidize abortion services with federal Medicaid dollars. While federal policy blocks funding for abortions under most circumstances, federal law mandates the coverage of family planning services, including contraception. Unique among covered benefits, federal Medicaid law classifies family planning services and supplies as a “mandatory” benefit category that states must cover and established a 90% federal matching rate (FMAP) for the costs of services categorized as family planning, a higher proportion than for other services. States pay the remaining 10% of costs. Many abortion providers also offer family planning services to their patients. 

Over the years, anti-abortion policy makers and advocates have utilized many different strategies to block Planned Parenthood from participating in Medicaid. In 2017, Congress attempted to block Medicaid reimbursement to entities (including Planned Parenthood affiliates) that provide abortions outside of the Hyde Amendment exceptions as part of efforts to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act. That year, the House of Representatives passed a Reconciliation bill that would have blocked federal Medicaid funds to Planned Parenthood; however, the bill failed in the Senate and did not become law. In addition to federal attempts to block Planned Parenthood from Medicaid reimbursement, in the past decade at least 14 states (AL, AR, AZ, FL, IA, ID, IN, KS, LA, MO, MS, OK, SC, TN, TX) have used state-level policies or sought federal permission to block the provider from participating in their state Medicaid programs. Though most of these provisions were blocked by court action, the Supreme Court’s June 2025 decision in a case challenging South Carolina’s exclusion of Planned Parenthood from their Medicaid program changed this precedent. In Medina v. Planned Parenthood South Atlantic the Court allowed states to exclude providers from their Medicaid programs if they provide abortions or other services the state does not condone. Since Medina, a few states (Indiana, Nebraska, Oklahoma) have taken new actions to exclude Planned Parenthood from their state Medicaid programs.

Box 1: Key Facts – Section 71113 of the 2025 Budget Reconciliation Law

Section 71113 of the 2025 Federal Budget Reconciliation Law prevents federal reimbursement to certain entities for services provided to Medicaid patients for one year from the date of enactment (July 4, 2025).

Entities including its affiliates, subsidiaries, successors, and clinics who are restricted from receiving Medicaid payments are those that as of October 1, 2025:

  • Are 501(c)(3) non-profit organizations; 
  • Are considered essential community providers under the Affordable Care Act that are primarily engaged in family planning services or reproductive health services; 
  • Provide abortions outside of the Hyde Amendment exceptions (rape, incest, or life endangerment) and; 
  • Received more than $800,000 or more in Medicaid payments in 2023. 

Who is Challenging Section 71113 of the 2025 Federal Budget Reconciliation Law?

Planned Parenthood, Maine Family Planning, and 22 states and the District of Columbia (CA, NY, CT, CO, DE, HI, IL ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, NV, NJ, NM, NC, OR, the Governor of PA, RI, VT, WA, WI and the District of Columbia) have filed separate legal challenges claiming that Section 71113 violates the United States Constitution. Health Imperatives has not filed a lawsuit challenging this provision, but Massachusetts is one of the states challenging the law. 

The plaintiffs in these lawsuits say that restricting Medicaid funding to entities under Section 71113 would harm affected organizations and lead to increased costs to states. Further, they say this provision would decrease access to millions of Medicaid enrollees who receive reproductive health care including contraception, sexually transmitted infection testing and treatment, pregnancy testing, cancer screening, and other preventive services from affected providers. Section 71113 blocks federal Medicaid funding from certain entities for one year starting the date the law was signed, July 4, 2025; however, the provision states that entities are only designated as a “prohibited entity” if they meet certain criteria on October 1, 2025. 

Status of Cases Challenging Section 71113

Section 71113 is currently in effect for all three entities, and they are blocked from receiving federal Medicaid reimbursement for services provided to patients; however, throughout the course of the ongoing litigation the enforceability of Section 71113 has varied. A district court initially granted a preliminary injunction for ten Planned Parenthood affiliates that do not individually meet the criteria of Section 71113 on July 21, 2025. On July 28, 2025, the district court extended the preliminary injunction to all Planned Parenthood affiliates. On September 11, 2025, the First Circuit Court of Appeals reversed the district court ruling by pausing the preliminary injunction, therefore blocking Planned Parenthood sites across the country from receiving federal Medicaid funds for any service they provide to Medicaid enrollees while the case is ongoing. On December 12, 2025, the First Circuit permanently blocked the district court’s preliminary injunction. The First Circuit held that Section 71113 does not impose punishment on Planned Parenthood and instead is a lawful exercise of Congress’ taxing and spending power. The district court is continuing to consider this case in accordance with the First Circuit’s ruling.

Maine Family Planning also requested a preliminary injunction to block the enforcement of Section 71113, but the district court denied their request, and Maine Family Planning appealed. However, on December 29, 2025, Maine Family Planning filed a motion to voluntarily dismiss their case.

On December 2, 2025, a district court granted a motion for a preliminary injunction blocking enforcement of Section 71113 for the 22 states and DC. However, the judge stayed her order for seven days, and HHS has appealed. The court held that text of Section 71113 does not provide clear notice to states of how a Medicaid provider is determined to be a “prohibited entity.” The court reasoned that Section 71113 does not sufficiently give states: (1) the criteria to determine whether an entity is “primarily engaged in family planning”; (2) guidance on calculating Medicaid expenditures (for the purpose of Section 71113’s $800,000 threshold) of entities in their state that are members of multistate organizations; and (3) how to identify “affiliates” when those organizations operate outside the state’s boarders. Further, the court asserted that the plaintiff states would be harmed by enforcement of Section 71113 including retroactive enforcement because the retroactive nature of the provision conflicts with states obligation to make payments on providers claim within 30 days of receipt.

 After initially blocking the law from being implemented, the First Circuit subsequently granted the Government’s request on December 30, 2025, allowing the provision to be enforced in the 22 Plaintiff States and DC. The First Circuit held that the asserted ambiguities in Section 71113, including the definition of “affiliate” are unlikely to support the granting of a preliminary injunction. Currently states may reimburse Planned Parenthood and other affected providers with non-federal dollars, but only a handful of states have indicated their willingness to provide this support.

Box 2: Plaintiffs Claims Regarding the Impact of the Loss of Medicaid Funds from Section 71113

Planned Parenthood

  • Planned Parenthood operates over 600 health centers nationwide, serving over 2 million patients per year, with more than half of those patients using Medicaid health coverage.
  • In 2023, more than one-third of Planned Parenthood affiliates aggregate revenue was from federal reimbursement for services provided to Medicaid patients. 
  • 74% of Planned Parenthood Member health centers are in rural areas, Health Professional Shortage Area (HPSA), or Medically Underserved Areas. Without federal Medicaid funds, many Planned Parenthood health centers may be forced to close or face service reductions.

Maine Family Planning

  • Maine Family Planning operates 18 clinics and a mobile health center that serves residents in 12 out of Maine’s 16 counties, providing primary care, family planning services, and abortion. In nearly all the counties where Maine Family Planning operates clinics, more than half of the population lives in a rural area, which can make health care difficult to access. 
  • Almost half of Maine Family Planning’s patients rely on Medicaid for their health insurance. Without the ability to bill for Medicaid services, a substantial portion of these patients will no longer be able to receive covered health care including primary care and sexual and reproductive health care. 
  • Clinics run by Maine Family Planning already face significant financial hardships, including two clinics only being able to operate one or two days per week. Without Medicaid funding, clinics will be forced to limit or eliminate certain services. 

22 States and the District of Columbia

  • The states argue that they will be the ones to enforce Section 71113, and the enforcement of this provision will cause states to financially harm themselves. The states argue that Section 71113 will lead to increased Medicaid expenses due to delays in care that will result from the closures of Planned Parenthood clinics, or force states to divert millions of dollars in state funds from other programs to keep Planned Parenthood as a Medicaid provider. 
  • Section 71113 will harm state health care infrastructure as Planned Parenthood clinics close or reduce hours with no alternatives available for patients, thus threatening state’s health care ecosystems.

On What Grounds are the Plaintiffs Suing the Federal Government?

The heart of the litigation is the constitutionality of Congress’ action of prohibiting payments to certain entities that provide services to Medicaid patients. 

While all plaintiffs concede that Congress has the power to dictate spending guidelines for Medicaid funds, the constitutionality of Congress’ actions in enacting Section 71113, and the resulting burden on states is at the heart of this litigation. The Spending Clause in the United States Constitution grants Congress the power to, “lay and collect taxes…and provide for the common defense and general welfare of the United States,”— but this power is not unlimited. All exercises of Congress’ Spending Clause authority are subject to constitutional limitations. These limitations include the requirement that Congress must give clear notice of what actions are required in exchange for federal funds. Further, Congress cannot attach discriminatory conditions to federal funds that would violate other constitutional rights. At issue in this litigation is whether Section 71113 provides clear notice of state’s enforcement obligations, and whether the provision violates Maine Family Planning and Planned Parenthood’s constitutional rights.

First Amendment Claims 

The First Amendment of the United States Constitution states that, “Congress shall make no law… abridging the freedom of speech…or the right of the people to assemble.” The First Amendment has been interpreted not only to guarantee freedom of speech, but also the right to associate with others. Planned Parenthood and the states contend that Section 71113 unconstitutionally burdens Planned Parenthood’s First Amendment right to freedom of association. The text of Section 71113 includes affiliates of an entity that meet the criteria of a prohibited entity. They argue that penalizing Planned Parenthood affiliates that do not independently meet the criteria of Section 71113 because they are associated with other Planned Parenthood affiliates that are prohibited entities, hinders the affiliates’ ability to freely associate.

Plaintiffs further allege that Section 71113 violates Planned Parenthood’s First Amendment rights because Section 71113 could be considered unconstitutional retaliation. The First Amendment prevents the government from restricting speech or retaliating against protected speech. Retaliation is an adverse action a plaintiff experiences where the motivating factor behind the action was the plaintiff’s protected speech. In their complaints, Plaintiffs, Planned Parenthood, and the states allege that the motivation for enacting Section 71113 is to stop Planned Parenthood’s advocacy for sexual and reproductive health care. The states and Planned Parenthood claim that due to the narrow criteria of abortion providers affected by Section 71113, the provision was specifically written to target Planned Parenthood and its affiliates.                                                                                                

Bill of Attainder Claims 

In addition to the First Amendment claims, Planned Parenthood Federation of America and the states contend that Section 71113 is a violation of the US Constitution because it is an unlawful “bill of attainder.” A bill of attainder is a law that imposes a penalty without trial and circumvents due process of law. In their complaint, plaintiffs draw on the legislative history of Section 71113, and statements made by lawmakers to support their claim that Section 71113 was enacted specifically to exclude Planned Parenthood from receiving federal Medicaid funds. Planned Parenthood and the states also cite a 2017 attempt by Congress to block Medicaid payments from entities that provide abortions outside of the Hyde Amendment exceptions. During the 2017 attempt, the enacted provision would have solely excluded Planned Parenthood. Planned Parenthood argues that the text of the 2017 and 2025 provisions that block payments to prohibited entities are similar, demonstrating Congress’ intent to specifically penalize Planned Parenthood.

Fifth Amendment Claims 

In all three cases, the plaintiffs allege some violation of the Fifth Amendment Equal Protection Principle. All Plaintiffs allege that Section 71113 violates the equal protection component of the Due Process Clause of the Fifth Amendment because it only applies to “prohibited entities.” The Fifth Amendment prevents arbitrary discrimination and generally requires that similarly situated entities are treated alike. If an entity believes they have been unfairly discriminated against by a government entity, they can file a claim alleging a violation of their Fifth Amendment rights. The courts will then analyze the government’s purpose for enacting the law, and whether the government has violated the entities’ guaranteed rights such as freedom of speech and equal protection under the law. Planned Parenthood maintains they are being treated differently than other abortion providers who provide abortions outside of the Hyde Amendment exceptions. They argue that there is not a legitimate government interest in drawing this distinction, and thus the provision violates the Fifth Amendment.

Planned Parenthood also asserts a separate Fifth Amendment claim, maintaining that Section 71113 is invalid because it is vague. The Fifth Amendment Due Process Clause states that a person cannot be deprived of their life, liberty, or property without due process of law. This has been interpreted to mean that statutes that lack specificity or definiteness can be invalidated because they do not give clear warning of a prohibited action (void for vagueness). Planned Parenthood alleges that Section 71113 does not define essential terms in the statutory text, thus making it void. Planned Parenthood maintains that the words “affiliates, subsidiaries, successors, and clinics,” in the statute are undefined leaving it unclear whether Section 71113 applies to Planned Parenthood affiliates who do not independently meet the provisions criteria. In a November 21, 2025, letter to State Medicaid Directors CMS provided guidance defining the statutory term “affiliate “as “a corporation that is related to another corporation by shareholdings or other means of control; a subsidiary, parent, or sibling corporation.” In the guidance CMS defines “control” as: “the direct or indirect power to govern the management and policies of a person or entity, whether through ownership of voting securities, by contract, or otherwise; the power or authority to manage, direct or oversee.” Planned Parenthood filed a response to this guidance in the district court contending that CMS’ definition of affiliate still leaves ambiguity on who is considered an “affiliate,” because of the overbroad terms used in the CMS guidance. Therefore, Planned Parenthood continues to allege that Section 71113 is “void for vagueness.”

The Trump Administration Contends Section 71113 is Constitutional 

The Trump administration maintains similar legal arguments in all the lawsuits challenging the constitutionality of Section 71113. The government contends that Section 71113 is a component of duly enacted legislation, and plaintiffs’ attempts to block implementation of this provision seek to override the intentions of Congress. The Trump administration also argues that Congress has broad discretion to tax and spend for the general welfare, which includes the ability to alter federal Medicaid expenditures. The government also states that the parameters for designating entities to be removed from Medicaid reimbursement are not arbitrary and serve a legitimate government purpose. Further, the government rejects plaintiffs’ argument that Section 71113 was enacted due to animus toward plaintiffs. Instead, the government offers the alternative explanation that Section 71113 was enacted to reduce the number of abortions performed in the United States, a legitimate government interest.

What are the Next Steps? 

Currently, Section 71113 in effect, and Planned Parenthood affiliates, Maine Family Planning, and Health Imperatives are blocked from receiving federal reimbursement for services provided to Medicaid patients. Litigation challenging Section 71113 has the potential to directly impact the over 2.1 million people who receive health care from these organizations. To continue to qualify for federal Medicaid funding it was reported that Planned Parenthood of Wisconsin responded by first stopping abortion care before the October 1, 2025, deadline and then when they resumed abortion care, they relinquished their Essential Community Provider status, to avoid meeting the criteria set forth in Section 71113. However, it is unclear whether this will be enough for them and other affiliates which do not meet the criteria of Section 71113 on their own to not land on HHS’s prohibited entity list based on CMS’ guidance released on November 21, 2025. If Section 71113 remains in effect, Planned Parenthood and Maine Family Planning may close clinics, reduce services, or be unable to serve Medicaid patients. While some states have announced plans to fill in gaps created by the loss of Medicaid funding, this is not likely enough to make up for lost federal funds. Planned Parenthood Mar MontePlanned Parenthood North Central, Planned Parenthood Northern New EnglandPlanned Parenthood of Greater New York, Planned Parenthood of Michigan, Planned Parenthood of Western Pennsylvaniaand Planned Parenthood Greater Northwest, have already experienced clinic closures or service interruptions in the face of financial uncertainty, and Maine Family Planning has announced that they will no longer offer primary care services to Medicaid enrollees at three of their 18 sites. 

Even if the Plaintiffs ultimately prevail on their challenges to Section 71113, the Supreme Court’s decision in Medina v. Planned Parenthood South Atlantic, opens the door for states to block providers from their Medicaid program. Without a federal law preventing Planned Parenthood from being blocked from Medicaid, more states may choose to exclude Planned Parenthood from their state’s Medicaid program. Ultimately, the constitutionality of Section 71113 may be decided by the Supreme Court; however, because Section 71113 only prohibits funding from July 4, 2025, to July 3, 2026, the year may be up before there is a final decision. Some states, such as Colorado and California, have provided temporary financial support to Planned Parenthood and other affected providers to fill the gap from the loss in federal funding. Yet, many anticipate that this provision could be inserted into a similar reconciliation bill in future years. It is not clear whether states will be able to continue to provide this support if there is a future reconciliation bill blocking federal Medicaid payments to these providers, especially in the face of future fiscal challenges and competing programmatic demands. 

Poll Finding

KFF Health Tracking Poll: Knowledge and Views of Medication Abortion

Published: Dec 5, 2025

Findings

Key Takeaways

  • In September, HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and FDA Commissioner Marty Makary announced in a letter to Republican lawmakers that the FDA would conduct a safety review of mifepristone, the abortion pill, twenty-five years after it was first approved for use. Public awareness of the pill and its longstanding safety record is limited. About half (53%) of the public have heard of mifepristone and few (24%) are aware that it accounts for the method of most abortions in the U.S. today.
  • While the public is much more likely to say abortion pills are safe (42%) when taken as directed than unsafe (18%), four in ten say they are not sure about mifepristone’s safety. Results are similar among women of reproductive age (18 to 49), with about four in ten (41%) viewing the pills as safe, one in five (21%) saying they are unsafe, and 37% saying they are not sure. Notably, public perception of the pills’ safety has dropped since 2023, when 55% of the public said abortion pills were safe when taken as directed, 9% viewed them as unsafe, and 35% were not sure.
  • Most of the public opposes policies that would restrict access to the abortion pill. At least two-thirds of adults, including majorities of Democrats and independents, say they oppose banning the use of mifepristone nationwide (68%) or making it a crime for health care providers to mail abortion pills to patients in states where abortion is banned (65%). Republicans are split, with about half saying they support each of these laws, while MAGA supporting Republicans are slightly more likely to say they support than oppose making it a crime for health care providers to mail abortion pills to states where abortion is banned.
  • The tax and spending bill passed by Congress and signed into law by President Trump in July ended Medicaid payments for services other than abortions to clinics that provide abortions, such as Planned Parenthood. These non-abortion related services include preventive care, STI treatment, and contraceptives. The latest KFF Health Tracking Poll shows that most (65%) of the public oppose banning these clinics from receiving Medicaid payments, while about one-third (35%) support it. Most Democrats (83%) and independents (65%) oppose a ban, while Republicans are split with 55% supporting it and 45% opposing it. MAGA-supporters are more likely to support (58%) than oppose (42%) this policy.

Fewer than Half of the Public Are Aware of Mifepristone Prevalence and Safety

 About half (53%) of the public say they have heard of mifepristone, one of the two medications used in most abortions in the U.S., including just over half (56%) of women of reproductive age (ages 18 to 49). Public awareness of mifepristone  has increased over the years as it has become the focal point for lawsuits following the overturning of Roe v. Wade. However, the public is still largely unaware that most abortions in the U.S. are done by taking abortion pills. About one in four (24%) adults correctly say that most abortions in the U.S. are medication abortions, while three in ten (29%) incorrectly believe that most abortions are done procedurally, and nearly half (47%) say they are not sure.

Larger shares of women of reproductive age, Democrats, and adults who identify as “pro-choice” are aware that most abortions in the U.S. are performed using abortion pills, but about one-third or fewer of each of these groups are aware of this. In fact, at least four in ten adults across key demographic groups say they are “not sure” how most abortions in the U.S. are conducted.

Stacked bar chart showing share of adults who believe most abortions in the United States are done using abortion pills, a medical procedure, or are unsure of the correct answer. Results shown by total, women of reproductive age, party, and view on abortion.

The public is also largely unaware of the medication’s long-established safety record. Twenty-five years of mifepristone’s availability in the U.S. has shown the medication is safe when taken as directed by a doctor or other health care provider. However, the latest polling from KFF shows that the public is not entirely aware of this. While more than twice as many adults say the medication is “safe” (42%) than say it is “unsafe” (18%), an additional four in ten adults are not sure. The results are similar among women of reproductive age, with about four in ten saying abortion pills are safe (41%), about one in five (21%) saying they are unsafe, and nearly four in ten (37%) saying they are not sure.

Perceptions of the safety of mifepristone safety diverge by partisanship. Nearly two-thirds (63%) of Democrats say medication abortion pills are at least “somewhat” safe compared to four in ten independents and just a quarter of Republicans (26%). Larger shares of Republicans (47%) and independents (44%) compared to Democrats (26%) say that they are “not sure” whether abortion pills are safe.

Stacked bar chart showing share of adults who believe abortion bills are very safe, somewhat safe, somewhat unsafe, very unsafe, or are unsure of the correct answer. Results shown by total, women of reproductive age, and party.

While a plurality of adults view abortion pills as very or somewhat safe when taken as directed by a health care provider, this share has declined since May 2023. About four in ten (42%) now say that abortion pills are safe when taken as directed, compared to a majority (55%) two years ago. At the same time, there have been slight increases in the shares saying abortion pills are “unsafe” (18% now, up from 9% in 2023) and that they are “not sure” (40% now, up from 35% in 2023).

Similarly, among women of reproductive age, the share viewing the pills as safe decreased from 59% to 41%, while larger shares now view the pills as unsafe (from 12% in 2023 to 21% now) or say they are not sure if abortion pills are safe (from 29% to 37% now).

Stacked bar chart comparing share of adults who believe abortion pills are very safe, somewhat safe, somewhat unsafe, very unsafe, or are unsure of the right answer between May 2023 and November 2025. Results shown by total and women of reproductive age.

Perceptions of safety are somewhat higher when the public is told that the FDA has determined the medication is safe when taken as directed by a health care provider. Just over half of the public (54%) – including a similar share of women of reproductive age – say they are confident in the FDA’s determination that mifepristone is safe, while about a quarter are “not too” or “not at all confident” (27%) and one in five are unsure (19%).

Confidence in the FDA’s determination of mifepristone’s safety is largely partisan. About three-quarters (74%) of Democrats and just over half (55%) of independents are at least somewhat confident in the FDA’s determination that mifepristone is safe when taken as directed by a health care provider, compared to about one-third (35%) of Republicans. Just under half (46%) of Republicans say they are “not too” or “not at all confident” in the FDA’s determination, and about one in five say they are not sure.

Stacked bar chart showing share of adults that are very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, not at all confident, or are not sure about the FDA's determination that mifepristone is safe. Results shown by total, women of reproductive age, and party.

Public Awareness of Recent FDA Review of Mifepristone Is Low

In late September, HHS Secretary Kennedy and FDA Commissioner Makary wrote a letter to Republican state attorneys general announcing a review of mifepristone’s safety by the FDA. They cited the need to examine alleged complications and policies related to dispensing mifepristone, a move prompted by a flawed report from an anti-abortion advocacy group questioning the pill’s safety.

Most of the public say they have heard “a little” (27%) or “nothing at all” (47%) about this move from Secretary Kennedy and the FDA. One in five adults have heard “some,” and few (6%) report hearing “a lot.” Democrats are more likely than independents or Republicans to say they have heard at least “some” about this decision, but at least two-thirds across partisans report hearing little or nothing about it.

Stacked bar chart showing share of adults who have heard a lot, some, a little, or nothing at all about the FDA's review of mifepristone. Results shown by total, women of reproductive age, and party.

Once they are made aware of Secretary Kennedy’s decision to have the FDA review the safety of mifepristone, the public is split in assessing its intention, with just over half saying it is mostly to make it more difficult to access abortion pills (53%), and slightly fewer saying it is mostly to protect the health and safety of women (46%). Just over half (54%) of women of reproductive age say that the review of the safety of mifepristone is mostly to make abortion pill access more difficult.

Partisans have very different assessments of the intention behind this review. Eight in ten Democrats (81%) say the move is mostly intended to make access to abortion pills more difficult, while about three in four Republicans (73%) say it is mostly to protect the safety of women. Independents are split with about half saying the move is to make access more difficult (53%), and half (46%) saying it is to protect the safety of women.

Split bar chart showing share of adults who believe RFK Jr.'s call for an FDA review of mifepristone is to protect the health and safety of women versus make it more difficult to access abortion pills. Results shown by total, women of reproductive age, and party.

A Majority of the Public Oppose Policy Proposals Aimed at Restricting Medication Abortion Access

Overall, at least two thirds of the public oppose policies aimed at restricting or banning medication abortion asked about in this survey. This includes two-thirds of adults who oppose banning the use of medication abortion, nationwide (68%) and a similar share who oppose making it a crime for health care providers to mail abortion pills to patients in states where abortion is banned (65%).

Support for these proposals varies by partisanship, with large shares of Democrats and independents opposed and Republicans more evenly split. A slim majority of Republicans support making it a crime for health care providers to mail abortion pills to patients in states where abortion is banned (55%), while about four in ten (44%) oppose this. Among Republicans, similar shares support (52%) or oppose (46%) banning mifepristone nationwide.

Republican and Republican-leaning supporters of the Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement are also split, with half saying they support banning mifepristone nationwide (50%) and half opposing this (48%). When it comes to mailing abortion pills to patients in states where abortion is banned, MAGA-supporting Republicans are more likely to say they support (58%) criminalizing health care providers than they are to oppose this (41%).

Split bar chart showing share of adults who support versus oppose laws that ban the use of mifepristone or medication abortion nationwide and laws that make it a crime for health care providers to mail abortion pills to patients in states where abortion is banned. Results shown by total and party.

Most of the Public Oppose the Medicaid Funding Ban on Clinics that also Provide Abortions

In July 2025, President Trump signed a spending law that ended federal Medicaid reimbursement to certain clinics for services they provide to patients if the clinics also offer abortions. Abortions, however, were and are not paid for using federal Medicaid funds other than the Hyde Amendment exceptions for pregnancies that are life threatening or result from rape or incest. The law blocks federal reimbursements for other services, including preventive care, contraceptives, and STI treatment. Some states have redirected their own funds to compensate for the loss of these federal reimbursements, and at least twenty Planned Parenthood clinics have closed since the law took effect in July 2025.

About two-thirds (65%) of the public oppose the current law banning clinics that provide abortions from receiving federal Medicaid payments for other services they provide, while about one-third (35%) support this.

Partisans are split on this, with majorities of Democrats (83%) and independents (65%) opposing banning clinics from receiving these funds, while Republicans are more divided. Just over half (55%) of Republicans say they support a law banning clinics that provide abortions from receiving Medicaid payments for other services, while 45% oppose this. MAGA-supporting Republicans and Republican-leaning independents are more likely to support this ban (58%) than oppose it (42%).

Split bar chart showing percent of adults who say they support specific laws. Results shown among Democrats, independents, and Republicans.

Methodology

This KFF Health Tracking Poll was designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at KFF. The survey was conducted October 27-November 2, 2025, online and by telephone among a nationally representative sample of 1,350 U.S. adults in English (n=1,274) and in Spanish (n=76). The sample includes 1,031 adults (n=63 in Spanish) reached through the SSRS Opinion Panel either online (n=1,007) or over the phone (n=24). The SSRS Opinion Panel is a nationally representative probability-based panel where panel members are recruited randomly in one of two ways: (a) Through invitations mailed to respondents randomly sampled from an Address-Based Sample (ABS) provided by Marketing Systems Groups (MSG) through the U.S. Postal Service’s Computerized Delivery Sequence (CDS); (b) from a dual-frame random digit dial (RDD) sample provided by MSG. For the online panel component, invitations were sent to panel members by email followed by up to three reminder emails.

Another 319 (n=13 in Spanish) adults were reached through random digit dial telephone sample of prepaid cell phone numbers obtained through MSG. Phone numbers used for the prepaid cell phone component were randomly generated from a cell phone sampling frame with disproportionate stratification aimed at reaching Hispanic and non-Hispanic Black respondents. Stratification was based on incidence of the race/ethnicity groups within each frame. Among this prepaid cell phone component, 143 were interviewed by phone and 176 were invited to the web survey via short message service (SMS).

Respondents in the prepaid cell phone sample who were interviewed by phone received a $15 incentive via a check received by mail. Respondents in the prepaid cell phone sample reached via SMS received a $10 electronic gift card incentive. SSRS Opinion Panel respondents received a $5 electronic gift card incentive (some harder-to-reach groups received a $10 electronic gift card). In order to ensure data quality, cases were removed if they failed two or more quality checks: (1) attention check questions in the online version of the questionnaire, (2) had over 30% item non-response, or (3) had a length less than one quarter of the mean length by mode. Based on this criterion, one case was removed.

The combined cell phone and panel samples were weighted to match the sample’s demographics to the national U.S. adult population using data from the Census Bureau’s 2024 Current Population Survey (CPS), September 2023 Volunteering and Civic Life Supplement data from the CPS, and the 2025 KFF Benchmarking Survey with ABS and prepaid cell phone samples. The demographic variables included in weighting for the general population sample are gender, age, education, race/ethnicity, region, civic engagement, frequency of internet use and political party identification. The weights account for differences in the probability of selection for each sample type (prepaid cell phone and panel). This includes adjustment for the sample design and geographic stratification of the cell phone sample, within household probability of selection, and the design of the panel-recruitment procedure.

The margin of sampling error including the design effect for the full sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Numbers of respondents and margins of sampling error for key subgroups are shown in the table below. For results based on other subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher. Sample sizes and margins of sampling error for other subgroups are available on request. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error and there may be other unmeasured error in this or any other public opinion poll. KFF public opinion and survey research is a charter member of the Transparency Initiative of the American Association for Public Opinion Research.

GroupN (unweighted)M.O.S.E.
Total1,350± 3 percentage points
   
Party ID  
Democrats424± 6 percentage points
Independents422± 6 percentage points
Republicans412± 6 percentage points
   
MAGA Republicans377± 6 percentage points
   
Women ages 18-49401± 6 percentage points

News Release

Poll: 1 in 3 ACA Marketplace Enrollees Say They Would “Very Likely” Shop for a Cheaper Plan If Their Premium Payments Doubled; 1 in 4 Say They “Very Likely” Would Go Without Insurance

As Enhanced Credits Expire, Nearly All Enrollees Expect to Make Coverage Decisions This Year

Published: Dec 4, 2025

If the amount they pay in premiums doubled, about one in three enrollees in Affordable Care Act Marketplace health plans say they would be “very likely” to look for a lower-premium Marketplace plan (with higher deductibles and co-pays) and one in four would “very likely” go without insurance next year, finds a new survey of Marketplace enrollees fielded shortly after open enrollment began in the first weeks of November.

The survey captures the views and experiences of Marketplace enrollees as they weigh their coverage options for 2026, without the enhanced ACA credits or other policy changes that the Senate could debate this month. About 22 million of the 24 million Marketplace enrollees have benefited from the expiring tax credits, and without them, their premium payments are expected to rise an average of 114%, from $888 to $1,904 annually.

Nearly six in 10 enrollees (58%) say they would not be able to afford an increase of just $300 per year in the amount they pay for insurance without significantly disrupting their household finances. An additional one in five (20%) say they would not be able to afford a $1,000 per year increase in the amount they pay for health insurance without disrupting their finances.

If their total health care costs, including premiums, deductibles and other cost-sharing, increased by $1,000 next year, most Marketplace enrollees (67%) say they would likely cut spending on daily household needs, about half (54%) say they would likely to try to find another job or work extra hours, and four in 10 (41%) say they would likely skip or delay paying other bills. A third (34%) say they would take out a loan or increase their credit card debt.

“The poll shows the range of problems Marketplace enrollees will face if the enhanced tax credits are not extended in some form, and those problems will be the poster child of the struggles Americans are having with health care costs in the midterms if Republicans and Democrats cannot resolve their differences,” KFF President and CEO Drew Altman said.

It asked Marketplace enrollees to say how likely it was that they would take each of four different potential responses if the monthly premiums they pay doubled (or increased $50 a month for those who currently don’t pay a premium).

Open enrollment for Marketplace coverage began Nov. 1 and runs through Jan. 15 in most states, though consumers must enroll in a plan by Dec. 15 if they want their coverage to begin on Jan. 1. The vast majority of enrollees (89%) expect to make a decision by the end of this year, with many saying they have already made their decision about coverage for next year.

More than half of Marketplace enrollees (54%) say they expect that the cost of their health insurance coverage for next year will “increase a lot more than usual.” An additional one in four (26%) expect it to increase a “little more than usual,” while smaller shares expect their insurance costs to “increase about the same as usual” (12%) or “not increase at all” (8%). 

If their overall health care expenses, including co-pays, deductibles, and premiums, increased by $1,000 next year, about half of Marketplace enrollees say it would have a “major impact” on their decision to vote in the 2026 midterm elections (54%) or on which party’s candidate they will support (52%).

People with Marketplace insurance are more likely to say that either President Trump (37%) or Congressional Republicans (33%) would deserve most of the blame if their health care costs increased by $1,000 next year than they are to say Congressional Democrats (29%).

Democrats would overwhelmingly blame Republicans in Congress (46%) or President Trump (49%). Most Republicans (65%) would blame Congressional Democrats, though about a third say they would blame either Republicans in Congress (20%) or President Trump (14%). Among independents, more than four in 10 (44%) would blame the President, a third (32%) would blame Congressional Republicans, and about one in four (23%) would blame Congressional Democrats.

Other findings include:

  • Overall, about four in 10 Marketplace enrollees (39%) are Republicans or Republican-leaning independents, including about one in four (24%) who identify with President Trump’s Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement. Just over four in 10 enrollees (45%) identify as Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents, while 17% don’t identify or lean toward either party.
  • Even with the current levels of financial assistance, many Marketplace enrollees say it is already difficult to afford their deductibles and other out-of-pocket costs for medical care (61%) and to afford the cost of health insurance each month (51%). More enrollees say their out-of-pocket medical costs are difficult to afford than say the same about other household expenses, such as their rent or mortgage, food and groceries, utilities, and gasoline or transportation costs.
  • Large majorities of Marketplace enrollees, regardless of partisanship, say that having health insurance is “very important” for their peace of mind (78%), their ability to get needed health care (77%), and their financial well-being (69%). Enrollees between the ages of 50 and 64 are more likely than younger enrollees to say health insurance is very important for each of these three reasons.
  • A large majority (84%) of enrollees say that Congress should extend the enhanced tax credits, while one in six (16%) think they should let the tax credits expire. Of them, nearly all Democrats (95%), about eight in 10 independents (84%), and about seven in 10 Republicans (72%) and MAGA supporters (72%) favor extending the expiring tax credits.

Designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at KFF, the 2025 Marketplace Enrollees Survey was conducted November 7-15, 2025, online and by telephone, in English and in Spanish, among a nationally representative sample of 1,350 U.S. adults ages 18-64 who purchase coverage on the ACA Marketplaces. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points for the full sample. For results based on other subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher.

Poll Finding

2025 KFF Marketplace Enrollees Survey

Published: Dec 4, 2025

About the Survey

In 2021, during the COVID-19 pandemic, Congress passed the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) which temporarily increased tax credits available for adults purchasing their own health insurance through the ACA Marketplace. These enhanced tax credits increased the financial assistance available to existing Marketplace enrollees who already qualified for financial help and extended financial assistance to some middle-income adults who were previously not eligible for premium tax credits. The tax credits were extended as part of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act and are set to expire at the end of 2025.

If Congress does not extend the tax credits beyond 2025, premium payments will increase 114% on average for the 22 million people who currently get a tax credit. To better understand how people are navigating these cost increases during the 2026 Open Enrollment period, which began on November 1st, KFF conducted a probability-based survey of 1,350 adults who purchase coverage on the ACA Marketplaces.

This report highlights their expectations for their health insurance coverage and costs for 2026, as well as how increased health care costs may affect their coverage decisions, finances, and their political preferences in the coming elections. 

Findings

Key Takeaways

  • Marketplace enrollees largely see health insurance as very important to their ability to access care, to their financial well-being, and to their peace of mind; however, if the enhanced premium tax credits are not extended, many of the twenty-four million adults in the U.S. who currently buy their own insurance through the ACA Marketplace may consider changes to their current coverage. When asked what they would do if the amount they pay for health insurance each month doubled, one in three enrollees (32%) say they are very likely to shop for a lower-premium plan (with higher deductibles and out-of-pocket costs) and one in four (25%) say they would be very likely to go uninsured.
  • Notably, with Congress potentially voting on extending the premium tax credits in December and recent discussions about a Republican health care proposal, the vast majority of enrollees (89%) expect to make a decision about the 2026 coverage by the end of the year, including many enrollees who say they have already made their decision.
  • Many Marketplace enrollees are already struggling with health care costs. Six in ten adults (61%) who buy their health coverage on the ACA Marketplace say it is very or somewhat difficult to afford their deductibles and out-of-pocket costs for medical care and half (51%) say it is difficult to afford the cost of health insurance premiums each month. In addition, nearly six in ten Marketplace enrollees say they would not be able to afford an annual increase of $300 in health care expenses without significantly disrupting their household finances.
  • The enhanced premium tax credits allow most Marketplace enrollees to pay less than the full price of their health insurance premiums, and the poll finds bipartisan support among Marketplace enrollees for Congress to extend these tax credits even as the political parties in Congress disagree about the way forward. More than eight in ten (84%) Marketplace enrollees – including nearly all Democrats and about seven in ten Republicans – say Congress should extend the tax credits. If the tax credits are allowed to expire, most enrollees who want to see the credits extended think either President Trump (41%) or Congressional Republicans (35%) deserve most of the blame.
  • Following the longest federal government shutdown in U.S. history, which ended without an extension of the enhanced premium tax credits, about two-thirds of Marketplace enrollees say they have either “not much” or “no confidence” in President Trump, nor in Congressional Republicans, to address health care costs for people like them. Congressional Democrats fare slightly better, but still more than half of enrollees say they lack confidence in Congressional Democrats to address this issue.
  • Regardless of whether Marketplace enrollees decide to continue with their current Marketplace plan, switch to a lower-premium but higher-deductible plan, or go uninsured in 2026, many will face higher health care expenses next year and many say this increased financial burden will impact how they approach the 2026 midterm election. A slight majority (54%) of enrollees who are registered to vote say if their health care expenses increase by $1,000 next year, it would have a major impact on whether they will vote in the 2026 elections and about half (52%) say it would have a major impact on which party’s candidate they will support.

Most Enrollees Are Wary About Expiring Enhanced Premium Tax Credits

Open enrollment for the ACA Marketplace began on November 1st amid a government shutdown as Congress debated extending the tax credits. The survey, conducted in the first weeks of open enrollment and as Congress passed a short-term spending bill, finds that the focus on the enhanced premium tax credits has resonated with most Marketplace enrollees. At the time the survey was fielded in mid-November, about six in ten Marketplace enrollees say they’ve heard “a lot” (27%) or “some” (32%) about the enhanced premium tax credits. However, four in ten enrollees say they have heard “a little” (22%) or “nothing at all” (19%) about the enhanced premium tax credits. In most states, open enrollment for ACA Marketplace plans ends on January 15th, 2026.

As of mid-November, a slight majority (56%) of enrollees say they have looked for, sought out, or received any information about what the cost of their health insurance will be in 2026. Enrollees in states that use the federal ACA Marketplace platform are more likely than those in states that have a state-run Marketplace to say they have looked for or received information about the cost of their health insurance for next year (62% vs. 49%).

Mirrored bar chart showing percent who say they have or have not looked for, sought out, or received information about the cost of their health insurance in 2026. Results shown by total Marketplace enrollees and by Marketplace status.

More than half of Marketplace enrollees (54%) expect that the cost of their health insurance coverage for next year will “increase a lot more than usual.” A further one in four (26%) expects it to increase a “little more than usual,” while fewer expect their health insurance costs to “increase about the same as usual” (12%) or to “not increase at all” (8%). Enrollees with higher incomes are somewhat more likely than those with lower household incomes to expect their costs to increase “a lot more than usual.” Notably, Marketplace enrollees with an income just above 400% of the federal poverty level (FPL), who currently pay no more than 8.5% of their income in monthly insurance premiums, would have to pay full price for their insurance coverage if the enhanced premium tax credits are allowed to expire.

Half or more across partisans and geographies expect the cost of their health insurance for next year to increase “a lot more than usual,” including 60% of Democrats, 52% of Republicans, 54% of independents, 53% of enrollees living in states that have expanded Medicaid, and 56% of enrollees living in states that have not expanded Medicaid.

Stacked bar chart showing percent who say they think the cost of their health insurance will increase a lot more than usual, increase a little more than usual, increase about the same as usual, or not increase at all. Results shown by total Marketplace enrollees and by household FPL income.

About nine in ten (89%) Marketplace enrollees say they will make a decision about their coverage for 2026 this year, including one in four (26%) who say they have already made a decision about their health insurance coverage for next year and 28% who planned to make a decision sometime in November. Enrollees must generally select a plan or be automatically reenrolled by December 15 for coverage to start on January 1, 2026. About a third (35%) of enrollees say they plan to make their health insurance decision in December, while one in ten (11%) say they plan to decide in early January.

Bar chart showing percent who say they will make a final decision about their health insurance for 2026. Responses are "I have already made my decision," "Sometime in November," "Sometime in December," or "Sometime between January 1st and 15th."

Most Enrollees See Health Insurance as Very Important – Particularly Those Ages 50 and Older

Even with the current financial help provided by the enhanced premium tax credits, many Marketplace enrollees are already struggling to afford health care costs. About six in ten (61%) Marketplace enrollees say it is very difficult or somewhat difficult for them to afford out-of-pocket costs for medical care, and about half (51%) say they already have difficulty affording their health insurance premiums. Out-of-pocket costs for medical care ranks as the top household budget item that Marketplace enrollees find difficult to afford – ranking ahead of rent or mortgage, food and groceries, utilities, and housing costs.

Stacked bar chart showing percent who say it is very easy, somewhat easy, somewhat difficult, or very difficult to afford specific necessities.

Yet, health insurance is a clear priority for Marketplace enrollees. More than three in four say having health insurance is “very important” for their ability to get the health care they need (77%) and for their peace of mind (78%). About seven in ten (69%) say it is “very important” for their financial well-being. Notably, enrollees between the ages of 50 and 64 – a group that does not yet qualify for Medicare but may have additional age-related health care needs – are more likely than younger enrollees to say that health insurance is very important to accessing needed health care, to their financial well-being, and to their peace of mind. A majority of Marketplace enrollees, regardless of partisanship, say that health insurance is “very important” to their financial wellbeing, their peace of mind, and their ability to access health care.

Stacked bar chart showing percent who say it is very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not at all important to have health insurance for their peace of mind, ability to get the health care they need, and their financial well being.

Expiring Premium Tax Credits May Make Coverage Unaffordable for Most Marketplace Enrollees

Nine in ten Marketplace enrollees (90%) expect that the expiration of the enhanced premium tax credits will have an impact on the amount they pay monthly for their health insurance, including seven in ten (69%) who say it will have a “major impact.” KFF analysis has found that if the enhanced premium tax credits for adults who purchase their own insurance through the ACA Marketplace are not extended, the annual amount that enrollees pay for their premiums for 2026 will more than double on average.

The KFF 2025 Marketplace Enrollees Survey finds that this type of increase could have a significant impact on the household finances of the millions of adults who purchase their own insurance through the ACA Marketplaces. Nearly six in ten enrollees (58%) say they would not be able to afford an increase of just $300 per year in the amount they pay for insurance without significantly disrupting their household finances. Those with lower incomes are likely to see smaller dollar increases in their premium payments, yet notably seven in ten (70%) enrollees with household incomes under 200% FPL say they wouldn’t be able to afford a $300 increase in the amount they pay each year, which is the approximate increase for a low income person to keep a “silver plan” if the enhanced premium tax credits expire.

If enrollees said they could afford an annual increase of $300, they were then asked about their ability to afford larger annual increases. A further 20% of enrollees say they would be unable to afford an increase of $1,000 per year, the average projected increase, without significant financial disruption. Only one in eight Marketplace enrollees (13%) say they could afford an increase of $2,000 or more (which some people would face).

Younger adults are less likely to be able to afford any increase, including two-thirds (67%) of adults ages 18 to 29 who say they would not be able to afford a $300 annual increase without disrupting their household finances. ACA Marketplace insurers have expressed concern that the expiring tax credits will lead to younger, healthier people disproportionately dropping their coverage, and are therefore raising premiums more than they otherwise would.

Split bar chart showing percent who say they would or would not be able to afford specific price increases to their health insurance. Results shown by total Marketplace enrollees and by age.

About half of Marketplace enrollees (53%) say it would be “very difficult” for them to find another source of health insurance they could afford if their current coverage became unaffordable, and a further 36% say it would be “somewhat difficult.” Majorities of enrollees, regardless of their household income or age, say it would be at least somewhat difficult to find another source of health insurance coverage.

Stacked bar chart showing percent who say it would be very easy, somewhat easy, somewhat difficult, or very difficult to find another source of coverage they could afford if the amount they pay monthly for health insurance became unaffordable. Results shown by total marketplace enrollees, household FPL income, age, and party identification.

Marketplace enrollees may respond to a projected increase in premiums in different ways. If the monthly amount enrollees pay for their health insurance doubled (or increased by $50 for those who currently do not pay a premium), about a third (32%) say they would be “very likely” to look for a different Marketplace plan with a cheaper premium, but higher deductibles and co-pays. A quarter of enrollees (25%) say they would be “very likely” to go without health insurance. About one in seven (15%) say they would be “very likely” to look for a different job that provides health insurance that meets their needs and only 10% say they are “very likely” to stay with their current insurance plan if their monthly premium payments doubled.

Stacked bar chart showing percent who say they are very or somewhat likely to take specific actions if the amount they pay monthly for health insurance doubled.

Notably, about three in ten (28%) Marketplace enrollees from states with current Republican governors say they are “very likely” to go uninsured if the monthly amount they pay for health insurance doubles, as expected on average, if the tax credits are not extended. Among Marketplace enrollees in states that have not expanded Medicaid coverage under the ACA, where more people with incomes just above the poverty level are eligible to enroll in Marketplace coverage with premium tax credits, three in ten (31%) say they are very likely to go uninsured if faced with a doubling of their monthly health insurance premiums.

Percent who say they would be very likely to go without health insurance if they amount they pay monthly for their health insurance doubled. Results shown by total Marketplace enrollees, the party of the 2025 governor, and state Medicaid expansion.

In Their Own Words: Why some current Marketplace enrollees aren’t planning on buying health insurance coverage for 2026

“Without the subsidies, my monthly premiums will increase by nearly $750 a month, or $9000 for the year. My budget is tight as it is, and there's no way I can afford that additional hit. The only way I will be able to continue with my health insurance is if Congress restores the subsidies.” — 63-year-old man, Democrat, California

“I was paying $0 then it went up to over $600 for 2026. My husband has to continue coverage in order to avoid going blind. I’m going to drop myself off the coverage and just have insurance for him so he can continue to work and pay for the insurance.” — 60-year-old woman, Republican, Missouri

“We cannot afford it. Our premium went from being $25 with subsidy to $300 for the same plan. With everything increasing in price like groceries, we simply cannot afford it” — 39-year-old woman, Democrat, Oklahoma

“Premiums are too high for my usage, will switch to cost sharing like medishare or Samaritans” — 42-year-old woman, Republican, North Carolina

“The cost of the same plan is going to be exponentially higher than the current plan and I would have to go with a "bronze" plan in order to be able to keep my premiums somewhat reasonable.” — 54-year-old woman, Democrat, Texas

“Way too expensive. There was a $231 increase in the premium!” — 46-year-old woman, independent, Indiana

“If subsidies are not extended, I can't afford it.” — 56-year-old man, independent, Nevada

“I cannot afford the premium increase for the incredibly bad insurance.” — 55-year-old man, Republican, Idaho

How a $1,000 Annual Increase Would Affect Marketplace Enrollees

Regardless of what they decide to do about their health insurance coverage for next year, the vast majority of current Marketplace enrollees are likely to face an increase in their overall health care expenses in 2026. Those who choose to stay with their current insurance plan may face substantial premium payment increases, those who switch to a lower-premium plan will likely face increased out-of-pocket costs through higher deductibles and co-pays, and those who go uninsured may face costly medical bills if they need care.

If faced with an annual increase of $1,000 in health care expenses, most Marketplace enrollees (67%) say they are very or somewhat likely to cut back spending on food, clothing, or basic household items in order to cover additional health care costs. More than half (54%) say they would be very or somewhat likely to try to find an extra job or work more hours to cover an increase in health care expenses. About four in ten (41%) say they would skip or delay paying other bills and about a third (34%) say they would take out a loan or increase their credit card debt for day-to-day expenses if faced with an increase of $1,000 in health care expenses.

Stacked bar chart showing percent who say they are very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not at all likely to take specific actions if their overall health care expenses increased by ,000 next year.

Assessing the Political Implications of Failing To Extend the Tax Credits

On October 1st, the federal government was shut down when Democratic senators attempted to negotiate a vote for continued government funding in exchange for the extension of the enhanced premium tax credits for adults who purchase their own insurance through the ACA Marketplace. As part of a deal to end the recent federal government shutdown, Republican Congressional leaders have promised Democrats a vote on the ACA Marketplace enhanced premium tax credits in December.

More than eight in ten (84%) Marketplace enrollees say that Congress should extend the enhanced tax credits, while one in six (16%) think they should let the tax credits expire. Majorities across partisanship want to extend the enhanced premium tax credits, including nearly all Democrats (95%), about eight in ten independents (84%), and about seven in ten Republicans (72%) enrolled in Marketplace plans. About seven in ten (72%) Republicans or Republican-leaning independents who support the MAGA movement and get insurance through the Marketplaces want to extend the credits, while about three in ten (28%) want to let them expire. Majorities of Marketplace enrollees, regardless of where they live, including those living in states that haven’t expanded their Medicaid programs or living in states with Republican governors, want to see Congress extend these tax credits.

Mirrored bar chart showing percent who say the think Congress should extend the enhanced tax credits or they should let them expire. Results shown by total marketplace enrollees, party identification, MAGA support, party of 2025 governor, and state Medicaid expansion.

If the enhanced premium tax credits are not extended, those who want to see them extended are most likely to blame Republican leaders, including President Trump. Four in ten of those who support extending the premium tax credits say that if they are not extended, President Trump deserves most of the blame (41%, or 34% of all Marketplace enrollees) and about a third (35%, or 29% of all enrollees) say Republicans in Congress deserve most of the blame. A smaller share (23%, 19% of all enrollees) says Democrats in Congress deserve most of the blame for not extending the credits.

Unsurprisingly, partisans are most likely to say the other party deserves the blame if Congress doesn’t extend the enhanced premium tax credits. However, four in ten Republican enrollees who want to see the tax credits extended say they will either place most of the blame on President Trump (21%) or Republicans in Congress (21%). Even among the most ardent supporters of President Trump, 14% of MAGA supporters say he will deserve most of the blame if the tax credits are not extended, and an additional one in five MAGA supporters (19%) say Republicans will deserve most of the blame.

Stacked bar chart showing percent who say either Democrats in Congress, Republicans in Congress, or President Trump, deserves most of the blame if Congress does not extend the enhanced premium tax credits. Results shown by total Marketplace enrollees, party identification, and MAGA support.

Marketplace Enrollees Are About Equally Divided Across Political Affiliation

Recent KFF analysis shows that since 2020, ACA Marketplace enrollment has seen a particularly high rate of growth in a number of southern states and enrollment has grown faster in states won by President Trump in 2024 than those won by Kamala Harris. KFF’s 2025 Marketplace Enrollees Survey finds that about four in ten Marketplace enrollees (39%) are Republicans or Republican-leaning independents, including 24% who say they are supporters of the Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement. Just over four in ten Marketplace enrollees (45%) identify as Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents, while 17% do not identify or lean toward either political party.

Overall confidence that Congress and President Trump can address the cost of health insurance is low. About two-thirds of Marketplace enrollees say they have “not too much” or no confidence in President Trump (66%) nor in Republicans in Congress (67%) to address health insurance costs for people like them. Congressional Democrats fare only slightly better. Just over half (53%) of enrollees say they have not much or no confidence in Democrats in Congress to address the cost of health insurance for people like them. About half (47%) of Marketplace enrollees express at least some confidence in Congressional Democrats to address insurance costs. About a third say the same about President Trump (34%) and Republicans in Congress (33%).

Stacked bar chart showing percent who say they have a lot of confidence, some confidence, not too much confidence, or no confidence in Democrats in Congress, President Trump, and Republicans in Congress to address the cost of health insurance.

Unsurprisingly, partisans are more likely to express at least some confidence in lawmakers from their own party. For example, about three in four (73%) Democrats with Marketplace insurance say they have at least some confidence in Democrats in Congress to address the cost of insurance for people like them. On the other hand, about three-quarters of Republicans with Marketplace coverage say they have at least some confidence in Congressional Republicans (73%) and in President Trump (75%) to address the cost of health insurance. Nearly eight in ten (78%) Democrats and nearly half (48%) of independents say they have “no confidence” in President Trump to address the cost of health insurance for people like them.

Large shares of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents with Marketplace coverage who support the MAGA movement express at least some confidence in President Trump (83%) and in Republicans in Congress (77%) to address health insurance costs; yet notably, about one in four MAGA supporters (23%) do say they have “a lot” or “some” confidence in Democrats in Congress to address this issue.

Split bar chart showing percent who say they have a lot or some confidence in Democrats in Congress, Republicans in Congress, and President Trump to address the cost of health insurance. Results shown by total Marketplace enrollees, party identification, and MAGA support.

Increases in Health Care Expenses May Impact How Enrollees Approach the 2026 Elections

If current Marketplace enrollees are faced with increased health care expenses next year, there may also be some notable political implications. More than a third of Marketplace enrollees (37%) say President Trump would deserve most of the blame if their personal health care expenses increased by $1,000 next year. A third (33%) say the Republicans in Congress would be most to blame, while about three in ten (29%) place most of the blame on Democrats in Congress.

Democrats with Marketplace insurance say they would largely blame Republicans in Congress (46%) or President Trump (49%) if their health care expenses increase by $1,000 next year. Among independents, more than four in ten (44%) would blame the President, while about a third (32%) would blame Congressional Republicans, and about one in four (23%) would put most of the blame on Democrats in Congress.

Though most Republicans (65%) would blame Congressional Democrats if their health care costs increased by $1,000 next year, about a third say they would blame either Republicans in Congress (20%) or President Trump (14%). Among MAGA supporters, 17% say they would blame Republicans in Congress and a further 9% would blame President Trump if their health care expenses increase by $1,000 next year.

Stacked bar chart showing percent who say that, if their overall health care expenses increased by 00 next year, either Democrats in Congress, Republicans in Congress, or President Trump would deserve most of the blame. Results shown by total Marketplace enrollees, party identification, and MAGA support.

Additionally, for some Marketplace enrollees, an increase in health care expenses may affect how they approach the 2026 midterm elections. If their overall health care expenses, including co-pays, deductibles, and premiums, increased by $1,000 next year, about half of Marketplace enrollees who are registered to vote say it would have a “major impact” on their decision to vote in the 2026 midterm elections (54%) or which party’s candidate they will vote for (52%). About one in five say an increase in their expenses would have a “minor impact” on their decision to vote (17%) or which party they vote for (17%).

Democratic voters with Marketplace coverage are much more likely to say that a $1,000 increase in their health expenses would have a major impact on the 2026 midterm elections, both in terms of turnout and candidate choice, compared with Republican and independent voters with Marketplace coverage. Seven in ten Democrats (70%) and just over half of independents (54%) say an increase in their health care expenses would have a “major impact” on their decision to vote, as do about four in ten (39%) of Republicans. In addition, about two-thirds of Democrats (65%) as well as a slight majority of independents (55%), say an increase of $1,000 in their health care expenses next year would have a “major impact” on which party’s candidate they would support, compared to about a third of Republicans (35%). Four in ten MAGA Republican enrollees who are registered to vote say that if their health care expenses increased by $1,000 next year, it would have “no impact at all” on which party’s candidate they support in the 2026 midterm elections (40%) or whether they vote (41%).

Stacked bar chart showing the shares of adults who say if their health care costs increased next year, it would impact their decision to vote and who to vote for in 2026 midterm elections. Results shown by total marketplace enrollees, party identification, and MAGA support.

Methodology

This KFF 2025 Marketplace Enrollees Survey was designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at KFF. The survey was conducted November 7-15, 2025, online and by telephone among a nationally representative sample of 1,350 U.S. adults ages 18-64 who are covered by a plan purchased through the Affordable Care Act Marketplace, in English (n=1,301) and in Spanish (n=49). To qualify for the survey respondents needed to indicate that they were 18-64 years old, covered by health insurance purchased directly from an insurance company, health insurance broker or a state or federal marketplace and not covered by COBRA extension of employer-based health insurance. The sample includes 972 adults (n=24 in Spanish) reached through the SSRS Opinion Panel either online (n=944) or over the phone (n=28). The SSRS Opinion Panel is a nationally representative probability-based panel where panel members are recruited randomly in one of two ways: (a) Through invitations mailed to respondents randomly sampled from an Address-Based Sample (ABS) provided by Marketing Systems Groups (MSG) through the U.S. Postal Service’s Computerized Delivery Sequence (CDS); (b) from a dual-frame random digit dial (RDD) sample provided by MSG. For the online panel component, invitations were sent to panel members by email followed by up to three reminder emails.

An additional 350 adults ages 18-64 who are currently covered by direct-purchase insurance were reached through the IPSOS Knowledge Panel online in English (n=325) and in Spanish (n=25). The IPSOS Knowledge Panel is a nationally representative probability-based panel where panel members are recruited randomly through invitations mailed to respondents randomly sampled from an Address-Based Sample (ABS) through the U.S. Postal Service’s Computerized Delivery Sequence (CDS). Another 28 adults ages 18-64 currently covered by direct-purchase insurance that were previously recruited to complete the KFF Health Tracking Polls in 2024-2025 were reached via their prepaid cell phone number. Among this prepaid cell phone component, 11 were interviewed by phone and 17 were invited to the web survey via short message service (SMS).

Respondents in the prepaid cell phone sample who were interviewed by phone received a $15 incentive via a check received by mail. Respondents in the prepaid cell phone sample reached via SMS received a $10 electronic gift card incentive. SSRS Opinion Panel respondents received a $5 electronic gift card incentive (some harder-to-reach groups received a $10 electronic gift card). Ipsos operates an incentive program that includes raffles and sweepstakes with both cash rewards and other prizes to be won. An additional incentive is usually provided for longer surveys. In order to ensure data quality, cases were removed if they failed two or more quality checks: (1) attention check questions in the online version of the questionnaire, (2) had over 30% item non-response, or (3) had a length less than one quarter of the mean length by mode. Based on this criterion, there were no cases removed.

The combined cell phone and panel samples were weighted to match the sample’s demographics to the national U.S. adult population 18-64 who are currently covered by direct-purchase insurance using data from the Census Bureau’s 2025 Current Population Survey (CPS). The demographic variables included in weighting are gender, age, education, census region, number of adults in household, and home tenure. The sample was also weighted to match the proportion of responses by individuals living in a Medicaid expansion state. Additionally, the weights account for differences in the probability of selection for each sample type (prepaid cell phone, IPSOS Knowledge Panel, and SSRS Opinion Panel). This includes adjustment for ownership of a prepaid cellphone and the design of the panel-recruitment procedure (IPSOS Knowledge Panel and SSRS Opinion Panel).

The margin of sampling error including the design effect for the full sample is plus or minus 3.3 percentage points. Numbers of respondents and margins of sampling error for key subgroups are shown in the table below. For results based on other subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher. Sample sizes and margins of sampling error for other subgroups are available on request. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error and there may be other unmeasured error in this or any other public opinion poll. KFF public opinion and survey research is a charter member of the Transparency Initiative of the American Association for Public Opinion Research.

GroupN (unweighted)M.O.S.E.
Total 2025 Marketplace enrollees1,350± 3 percentage points
Party ID
Democrats445± 6 percentage points
Independents460± 6 percentage points

Republicans

367± 6 percentage points
Age 
18-29178± 8 percentage points
30-49557± 5 percentage points
50-64615± 5 percentage points

Racial Disparities in Maternal and Infant Health: Current Status and Key Issues

Published: Dec 3, 2025

Summary

Stark racial disparities in maternal and infant health in the U.S. have persisted for decades despite continued advancements in medical care. Compared to other high-income countries, the U.S. remains the country with the highest rate of maternal deaths. The disproportionate impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on people of color brought increased attention to health disparities, including the longstanding inequities in maternal and infant health. Subsequently, the overturning of Roe v. Wade, growing barriers to abortion, cuts to staff and programs within the U.S Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), and the passage of the 2025 tax and budget law all have the potential to further widen existing disparities in maternal health.

This brief provides an overview of racial disparities for selected measures of maternal and infant health, discusses the factors that drive these disparities, and provides an overview of policy changes that may impact them. It is based on KFF analysis of publicly available data from CDC WONDER online database, the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) National Vital Statistics Reports, and the CDC Pregnancy Mortality Surveillance System.

While this brief focuses on racial and ethnic disparities in maternal and infant health, wide disparities also exist across other dimensions, including income, education, age, and other characteristics. For example, there is significant variation in some of these measures across states and disparities between rural and urban communities. Data and research often assume cisgender identities and may not systematically account for people who are transgender and non-binary. In some cases, the data cited in this brief use cisgender labels to align with how measures have been defined in underlying data sources. Key takeaways include:

Large racial disparities in maternal and infant health outcomes persist. Pregnancy-related mortality rates among Black women are over three times higher than the rate for White women (49.4 vs. 14.9 per 100,000). Black, American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN), and Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander (NHPI) women also have higher shares of preterm births, low birthweight births, or births for which they received late or no prenatal care compared to White women. Infants born to Black, AIAN, and NHPI people have markedly higher mortality rates than those born to White people.

Maternal and infant health disparities reflect broader underlying social and economic inequities that are rooted in racism and discrimination. Differences in health insurance coverage and access to care play a role in driving worse maternal and infant health outcomes for people of color. However, inequities in broader social and economic factors, including income, are primary drivers for maternal and infant health disparities. Moreover, the persistence of disparities in maternal health across income and education levels, points to the importance of addressing the roles of racism and discrimination as part of efforts to improve health and advance equity.

Recent actions by the Trump administration and Congress reflect a shift away from prioritizing maternal and infant health equity and may contribute to widening disparities. Several key programs that historically supported expanding access to care and services and efforts to address racial disparities, such as diversifying the health care workforce and enhancing data collection and reporting, now face funding cuts or elimination. Other recent federal program and budget cutbacks, including the reduction or elimination of diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) initiatives, may undermine efforts to improve disparities in maternal and infant health outcomes. Moreover, the 2025 tax and budget law is anticipated to lead to large coverage losses, particularly in Medicaid, which is a primary source of care for people of color. Coverage losses will likely contribute to access barriers, including for maternal care. Additionally, state variation in access to abortion in the wake of the overturning of Roe v. Wade may exacerbate existing racial disparities in maternal health.

Racial Disparities in Maternal and Infant Health

In 2023, approximately 676 women died in the U.S. from causes related to or worsened by pregnancy. This is a decrease from 793 maternal deaths in 2022. Pregnancy-related deaths are deaths that occur within one year of pregnancy. The pregnancy-related mortality rate decreased among White and Hispanic women, will there were no significant changes for Asian or Black women. Approximately one in five (20%) deaths occur during pregnancy, nearly one quarter (23%) occur during labor or within the first week postpartum, and more than half (57%) occur one week to one year postpartum, underscoring the importance of access to health care beyond the period of pregnancy. Recent data show that more than eight out of ten (87%) pregnancy-related deaths are preventable.

As of 2023, Black people are more than three times as likely as White people to experience a pregnancy-related death (49.4 vs. 14.9 per 100,000 live births) in 2023 (Figure 1). The rate for Hispanic and Asian people is lower compared to that of White people (12.3 and 10.7 vs. 14.9 deaths per 100,000 live births). Data from 2023 were insufficient to identify mortality among AIAN and NHPI women. However, earlier data from 2021 show that AIAN and NHPI people (118.7 and 111.7 per 100,000, respectively) had the highest rates of pregnancy-related mortality across racial and ethnic groups.

Pregnancy-Related Mortality per 100,000 Births by Race and Ethnicity, 2023

Research shows that this disparity for Black women increases by age and persists across education and income levels. Data show higher pregnancy-related mortality rates among Black women who completed college education than among White women with the same educational attainment and White women with less than a high school diploma. Other research also shows that Black women are at significantly higher risk for severe maternal morbidity, including conditions such as preeclampsia, which is significantly more common than maternal death. Further, AIAN, Black, NHPI, Asian, and Hispanic women have higher rates of admission to the intensive care unit during delivery compared to White women, which is considered a marker for severe maternal morbidity.

Birth Risks and Outcomes

Black, AIAN, and NHPI women are more likely than White women to have certain birth risk factors that contribute to infant mortality and can have long-term consequences for the physical and cognitive health of children. Preterm birth (birth before 37 weeks gestation) and low birthweight (defined as a baby born less than 5.5 pounds) are some of the leading causes for infant mortality. Receiving pregnancy-related care late in a pregnancy (defined as starting in the third trimester) or not receiving any pregnancy-related care at all can also increase the risk of pregnancy complications. Black, AIAN, and NHPI women have higher shares of preterm births, low birthweight births, or births for which they received late or no prenatal care compared to White women (Figure 2). Notably, NHPI women are four times more likely than White women to begin receiving prenatal care in the third trimester or to receive no prenatal care at all (22.4% vs. 4.7%). Black women also are nearly twice as likely compared to White women to have a birth with late or no prenatal care compared to White women (10.4% vs. 4.7%).

Birth Risks by Race and Ethnicity, 2023 (Split Bars)

While teen birth rates overall have declined over time, they are higher among Black, Hispanic, AIAN, and NHPI teens compared to their White counterparts (Figure 3). In contrast, the birth rate among Asian teens is lower than the rate for White teens. Many teen pregnancies are unplanned, and pregnant teens may be less likely to receive early and regular prenatal care. Teen pregnancy also is associated with increased risk of complications during pregnancy and delivery, including preterm birth. Teen pregnancy and childbirth can also have social and economic impacts on teen parents and their children, including disrupting educational completion for the parents and lower school achievement for the children. Research studies have found that increased use of contraception as well declines in teen sexual activity have helped lower the rate of teen births nationally.

Birth Rate per 1,000 for Teens Ages 15-19 by Race and Ethnicity, 2023 (Column Chart)

Reflecting these increased risk factors, infants born to AIAN, Hispanic, Black, and NHPI women are at higher risk for mortality compared to those born to White women. Infant mortality is defined as the death of an infant within the first year of life, but most cases occur within the first month after birth. The primary causes of infant mortality are birth defects, preterm birth and low birthweight, sudden infant death syndrome, injuries, and maternal pregnancy complications. Infant mortality rates have declined over time, although the 2023 rate is unchanged from the 2022 rate (5.6 per 1,000 births, respectively). However, disparities in infant mortality have persisted and sometimes widened for over a century, particularly between Black and White infants. As of 2023, infants born to Black women are over twice as likely to die relative to those born to White women (10.9 vs. 4.5 per 1,000), and the mortality rate for infants born to AIAN and NHPI women (9.2 and 8.2 per 1,000) is nearly twice as high (Figure 4). The mortality rate for infants born to Hispanic mothers is similar to the rate for those born to White women (5.0 vs. 4.5 per 1,000), while infants born to Asian women have a lower mortality rate (3.4 per 1,000).

Data also show that fetal death or stillbirths—that is, pregnancy loss after 20-week gestation—are more common among NHPI, Black and AIAN women compared to White and Hispanic women. Moreover, causes of stillbirth vary by race and ethnicity, with higher rates of stillbirth attributed to diabetes and maternal complications among Black women compared to White women. 

Infant Mortality per 1,000 Live Births by Race and Ethnicity, 2023 (Column Chart)

Based on the most recently available federally published estimates from 2018, about one in five AIAN, Asian or Pacific Islander, and Black women reported symptoms of pregnancy-related depression compared to about one in ten White women (Figure 5). Hispanic women (12%) had similar rates of depression during and after childbirth compared to their White counterparts (11%). A recent study among women in Southern California suggests that the prevalence of PPD) has grown over the past decade , driven by increases among Black and Asian and Pacific Islander women. Women of color experience increased barriers to mental health care and resources, along with racism, trauma and cultural barriers. Research suggests that perinatal mental health conditions are a leading underlying cause of pregnancy-related deaths and that individuals with perinatal depression are also at increased risk of chronic health complications such as hypertension and diabetes. Infants of mothers with depression are more likely to be hospitalized and die within the first year of life. 

Prevalence of Self-Reported Postpartum Depressive Symptoms Among Women With a Recent Live Birth by Race And Ethnicity, 2018 (Column Chart)

Factors Driving Disparities in Maternal and Infant Health

The factors driving disparities in maternal and infant health are complex and multifactorial. They include differences in health insurance coverage and access to care. However, broader social and economic factors and structural and systemic racism and discrimination also play a major role (Figure 7). In maternal and infant health specifically, the intersection of race, gender, poverty, and other social factors shapes individuals’ experiences and outcomes. Recently there has been broader recognition of the principles of reproductive justice, which emphasize the role that the social determinants of health and other factors play in reproductive health for communities of color. Notably, Hispanic women and infants fare similarly to their White counterparts on many measures of maternal and infant health despite experiencing increased access barriers and social and economic challenges typically associated with poorer health outcomes. Research suggests that this finding, sometimes referred to as the Hispanic or Latino health paradox, in part, stems from variation in outcomes among subgroups of Hispanic people by origin, nativity, and race, with better outcomes for some groups, particularly recent immigrants to the U.S. However, the findings still are not fully understood.



Disparities in maternal and infant health, in part, reflect increased barriers to care for people of color. Research shows that coverage before, during, and after pregnancy facilitates access to care that supports healthy pregnancies, as well as positive maternal and infant outcomes after childbirth. Overall, people of color are more likely to be uninsured and face other barriers to care. Medicaid helps to fill these coverage gaps during pregnancy and for children, covering more than two-thirds of births to women who are Black or AIAN. Given its significant role as a payor of maternity care for women of color, several health care professionals and state Medicaid programs have developed initiatives to improve maternal health and decrease maternal mortality and morbidity, such as broader inclusion of doulas as Medicaid providers. However, AIAN, Hispanic, and Black people are at increased risk of being uninsured prior to their pregnancy, which can affect access to care before pregnancy and timely entry to prenatal care. Beyond health coverage, people of color face other increased barriers to care, including limited access to providers and hospitals and lack of access to culturally and linguistically appropriate care.

Several areas of the country, particularly in the South, which is home to a large share of the Black population, have gaps in obstetrics providers. AIAN women also are more likely to live in communities with lower access to obstetric care. These challenges may be particularly pronounced in rural and medically underserved areas. For example, research suggests that the steep closures of hospitals and obstetric units over the past decade in rural areas has a disproportionate negative impact on Black infant health. Suggested approaches for stemming shortages include more training programs for perinatal nurses and midwives, raising Medicaid payment rates, and expansion of midwifery and birth centers services.

Research also highlights the role racism and discrimination play in driving racial disparities in maternal and infant health. Research has documented that social and economic factors, racism, and chronic stress contribute to poor maternal and infant health outcomes, including higher rates of pregnancy-related depression and preterm birth among Black women and higher rates of mortality among Black infants. In recent years, research and news reports have raised attention to the effects of provider discrimination during pregnancy and delivery. News reporting and maternal mortality case reviews have called attention to a number of maternal and infant deaths and near misses among women of color where providers did not or were slow to listen to patients. A recent report determined that discrimination, defined as treating someone differently based on the class, group, or category they belong to due to biases, stereotypes, and prejudices, contributed to 30% of pregnancy-related deaths in 2020. In one study, Black and Hispanic women reported the highest rates of mistreatment (such as shouting and scolding, ignoring or refusing requests for help during the course of their pregnancy). Even after controlling for insurance status, income, age, and severity of conditions, people of color are less likely to receive routine medical procedures and experience a lower quality of care. Another study found that Black women are more likely to receive a cesarian section compared to White women while controlling for health status, suggesting that differences in provider judgement and structural inequalities may be contributing to the disparity. A 2023 KFF survey found that about one in five (21%) Black women say they have been treated unfairly by a health care provider or staff because of their racial or ethnic background. A similar share (22%) of Black women who have been pregnant or gave birth in the past ten years say they were refused pain medication they thought they needed.

Current Policies Impacting Maternal and Infant Health Disparities

Since President Trump took office in January 2025, the Administration and Congress have made significant health policy changes. While in some cases pregnant and postpartum people have been specifically exempted or protected from changes, many changes may have significant impacts on maternal and infant health that could exacerbate existing disparities.

President Trump’s executive orders rolling back federal diversity efforts could exacerbate longstanding disparities in maternal health. As one of his first actions in office, President Trump signed executive orders revoking federal DEI related programs and actions in the federal government and among federal contractors and grantees. In implementing President Trump’s executive orders, the administration has taken significantly broader actions beyond eliminating DEI programs to include eliminating priorities, actions, information, data, and funding related to concepts of diversity or disparities among federal agencies as well as federal contractors and grantees. The broad nature of these actions risks reversing progress on health equity and may lead to widening disparities in maternal health.

Recent federal restructuring may reverse progress on maternal and infant health, particularly for communities already facing persistent disparities. On March 27, 2025, the Trump administration announced an Executive Order reorganizing HHS, which has disrupted key programs affecting maternal health. This impacts included laying off most staff in the CDC’s Division of Reproductive Health, halting community-based maternal health grants, erasing the prior White House Blueprint for Addressing the Maternal Health Crisis, and closing several federal offices that supported state and local efforts to address racial disparities in maternal care. The restructuring has also eliminated key initiatives, including the Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System (PRAMS), which for decades provided data to track maternal experiences and inform evidence-based policies, and the Safe to Sleep Campaign, a national effort to reduce sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS). These rollbacks come at a time when sleep-related infant deaths have risen nearly 12% between 2020 and 2022, with SIDS among Black infants increasing by 15% in 2020.

The 2025 tax and spending legislation makes large cutbacks in federal Medicaid spending that are expected to lead to large coverage losses, which will likely reduce access to care, including maternal care. According to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the law will reduce federal Medicaid spending over the next decade by an estimated $911 billion and increase the number of uninsured people by 10 million. Given the disproportionate role Medicaid plays in covering women of color, they are at increased risk for being affected by program cutbacks. In 2023, Medicaid covered 37% of AIAN 30% of Black and 26% of Hispanic reproductive age women, compared to 20% of reproductive age women overall. Moreover, among women of reproductive age enrolled in Medicaid, nearly four in ten are covered through the Medicaid expansion and could be at risk of losing coverage due to new work and eligibility requirements under the law. While the law provides exemptions from new work requirements for pregnant and postpartum women and for adults with children under age 14, many may still be at risk for losing coverage if they face challenges documenting information necessary to quality for the exemption. The requirements may also limit access to coverage before pregnancy, a particularly important time for addressing preventive care and managing chronic conditions, which are associated with healthier pregnancy outcomes.

The law also imposes a one-year ban on federal Medicaid payments to certain family planning providers, including all Planned Parenthood clinics, which could weaken resources and care that support maternal and infant health. This policy prohibits some family planning clinics that also offer abortion services from receiving any Medicaid payments for contraceptive and other preventive services. Because Medicaid covers 90% of the cost of family planning services, losing this funding would be a major financial blow. While Planned Parenthood clinics represent a small share of the reproductive health safety net overall, they serve many patients of color, provide a significant portion of contraceptive care and are often the only provider in rural or underserved areas. Excluding them from Medicaid could result in clinic closures, reduced services, and fewer reproductive care options for low-income women. 

In addition, President Trump’s policies and budget proposals are threatening to dismantle the Title X family planning program, disproportionately affecting communities already facing higher barriers to care. Title X, a federal program established in 1970, provides funding to clinics that offer contraceptive services, STI testing, and cancer screenings to low-income and uninsured patients. These clinics provide care to a diverse population, with nearly a quarter (23%) of the patient population identifying as Black, more than a third (36%) as Hispanic or Latino, and about a fifth (19%) reporting limited proficiency in English. In recent years, the program has faced mounting restrictions. During President Trump’s first term, his administration implemented rules that barred clinics from participating in Title X if they offered or referred for abortion services, resulting in roughly 1,000 clinics losing Title X funding. While the Biden administration later reversed these restrictions, the second Trump administration has resumed efforts to limit the program by withholding funds from some grantees and proposing to eliminate all funding for the program. If enacted, these policies would dismantle the program, leaving many rural and underserved communities with fewer resources for affordable reproductive health care.

State abortion bans and restrictions may exacerbate poor maternal and infant health outcomes and access to care. Since the Dobbs ruling in June 2022, about half of states have banned abortion or restricted it to early in pregnancy. People of color are disproportionately affected by these bans and restrictions as they are at higher risk for pregnancy-related mortality and morbidity, are more likely to obtain abortions, and more likely to face structural barriers that make it more difficult to travel out of state for an abortion. While the number of abortions has slightly increased nationally since the ruling, ongoing and impending legal challenges, state legislative efforts, and federal executive actions could further alter the reproductive care landscape and have impacts beyond abortion counts. A recent JAMA study, for instance, found that fertility rates have increased in states with complete or 6 week abortion bans, particularly among Black and Hispanic populations compared to White populations. A concurrent study showed infant mortality rates have also risen in these states and the increases were larger among Black infants. Abortion bans are exacerbating maternity workforce shortages, as some clinicians do not want to work in areas that criminalize their practice and restrict their ability to provide evidence-based care.

Recent Changes in Children’s Vaccination Rates by Race and Ethnicity

Published: Dec 3, 2025

Summary

As routine and seasonal vaccination rates continue to decline among children, racial disparities in vaccination rates persist. Declining vaccination rates leave children at increased risk for preventable illnesses, while disparities leave some children at greater risk relative to others. Research shows that many childhood diseases require a high level of vaccination within the population to achieve community-wide protection. As vaccination rates decline, risk for disease outbreaks increases. For example, as of November 2025, there have been 44 measles outbreaks (3 or more related cases) in the U.S. during 2025, and the number of measles cases reported for 2025 is the highest level reported in decades, a consequence of declining measles vaccination rates in many areas.

This analysis examines recent childhood vaccination rates by race and ethnicity for children’s recommended vaccines overall and for the measles, mumps, rubella (MMR) and seasonal flu vaccines specifically, based on KFF analysis of data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) and the CDC Flu Vaccination Coverage Report (see Methods). It also discusses potential factors contributing to the ongoing disparities in vaccination rates and recent declines in levels of vaccination coverage.

Overall, the data show that children’s vaccination rates, including receipt of recommended childhood vaccinations as well as for MMR and seasonal flu vaccine specifically, have declined in recent years largely due to decreases in vaccinations among White and Asian children. At the same time, and despite the declines among White and Asian children, Black and AIAN children remain least likely to have received recommended childhood vaccinations and the MMR vaccine specifically. In contrast, for the seasonal flu vaccine, White children along with Black and AIAN children are less likely to have received the vaccination compared to their Asian and Hispanic peers.

Ongoing racial disparities in vaccination rates likely reflect a combination of factors including differences in access to care as well as varying levels of trust in vaccines.For example, the 2025 KFF/Washington Post Survey of Parents shows lower levels of confidence in the safety of some vaccines among Black parents compared to White parents. The recent declines in vaccination rates may reflect spread of vaccine misinformation, growing public skepticism about the safety and effectiveness of vaccines, and increasingly partisan views on vaccination. The KFF/Washington Post Survey of Parents shows Republican parents are nearly three times as likely to report skipping vaccinations for their children compared to parents who are Democrats. Most recently, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) posted information to its website indicating that “studies have not ruled out the possibility that infant vaccines cause autism” despite longstanding scientific evidence disputing this connection. Going forward, these declines could be exacerbated by changes in federal vaccine policy.

Children’s Vaccination Rates by Race and Ethnicity

Largely driven by decreases among Asian and White children, rates of receipt of recommended childhood vaccinations for children ages 24 months or younger have declined. The U.S. Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) has established a recommended immunization schedule for children, which outlines the vaccines they should receive from birth through age two. Examination of vaccination rates by birth cohorts, which group children by the year they were born to allow for comparisons across groups and years, shows that vaccination coverage rates among Asian and White children up to age 24 months have declined, falling from 77% among Asian children in the 2017-2018 birth cohort to 70% in the 2020-2021 birth cohort and from 74% to 69% among White children across these cohorts (Figure 1). The rate for Hispanic children rose from 66% to 69% between the 2017-2018 and 2018-2019 cohorts but then declined again to 65% among the 2020–2021 birth cohort. Rates for Black children remained relatively stable over this period. Both Hispanic and Black children continue to have lower vaccination rates than Asian and White children, with only about two-thirds of each group receiving recommended childhood vaccinations. The rate for AIAN children has increased but is still lower than other groups at 59% among the 2020-2021 birth cohort. In addition to lower routine childhood vaccination rates among children ages 24 months and younger, the rate of school vaccine exemptions increased following the COVID-19 pandemic. Recent survey data suggest that parents who had a White child were less likely to agree that school and daycare vaccination requirements are important or necessary compared to parents of children of other racial and ethnic groups.

Childhood Vaccination Rates Have Been Declining, Driven by Decreases Among Asian and White Children (Line chart)

For the MMR vaccination specifically, Asian and White children have the highest rates of receiving at least one dose by age 24 months but their rates have been declining in recent years; rates for Black and AIAN children remain lower and below the Healthy People 2030 goal of 90.8% children receiving at least one MMR dose by their second birthday. Asian children have the highest MMR vaccination rate across racial and ethnic groups, although it fell from 95% among those born in 2017-2018 to 92% among those born in 2020-2021 (Figure 2). Similarly, the rate for White children fell from 93% to 90% across these birth cohorts. Rates for other groups remained largely stable across these cohorts, but rates for Black (89%) and AIAN (88%) children born in 2020-2021 remain lower and below the Healthy People 2030 vaccination goal.

While MMR Vaccination Rates Have Declined for Asian and White Children, They Remain Lowest for Black and AIAN Children (Line chart)

Flu vaccination rates among children ages 6 months to 17 years have fallen to their lowest level in over a decade, with a steady decline among White children since the pandemic. Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, flu vaccination rates had been increasing, with rates highest among Asian and Hispanic children and lower levels among White, Black, and AIAN children. Vaccination rates fell among all groups moving into the 2020-2021 season following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. The rate for AIAN children dropped by nearly 20 percentage points and there were larger declines in vaccination rates for Black, Asian, and Hispanic children compared to their White counterparts. Rates rebounded slightly after 2020-2021 season for most groups although they remain below pre-pandemic levels and continued to decline for White children. As of the 2023-2024 flu season, Asian children (70%) had the highest flu vaccination rate, followed by Hispanic children (61%). In contrast, just over half of AIAN (54%), Black (52%), and White (52%) children received the flu vaccine (Figure 3). Preliminary data for the 2024-2025 season that are available for selected groups also show that only about half of White (46%) Black (48%), and Hispanic (53%) children received the vaccine.

The Flu Vaccination Rate Among White Children Has Declined Since the COVID-19 Pandemic (Line chart)

Factors Affecting Vaccination Rates

Racial differences in vaccination rates may reflect a variety of factors including differences in social and economic factors that impact access to care as well as differing levels of trust in vaccines. For example, Black, Hispanic, and AIAN people fare worse compared to their White and Asian counterparts on some measures of access to care and across social and economic factors that may impact access to and use of care, including education and income. In a July 2025 KFF Health Tracking Poll, Black and Hispanic adults were among the most concerned about the availability and insurance coverage of the COVID-19 vaccine. The long legacy of the medical system’s abuse and mistreatment of people of color may also contribute to distrust of vaccines. For example, KFF/Washington Post survey data from October 2025 show that just over half (55%) of Black parents say they are confident the flu vaccines are safe for children compared to about two-thirds of White parents (64%), and Black parents are at least 10 percentage points less likely than White parents to express confidence in the safety of the Polio and MMR vaccines.

A growing partisan divide in attitudes toward childhood vaccinations may be contributing to declining vaccination rates among White children. KFF polling data show that the share of parents who say they keep their child up to date with recommended childhood vaccines like the MMR has been declining over time. For example, KFF Tracking Poll data show that the share of parents who report skipping or delaying some vaccines for their children increased between 2023 and 2025, driven largely by Republican-leaning parents. KFF/Washington Post survey data from October 2025 show that Republican parents are nearly three times as likely to report skipping vaccinations other than flu or COVID for their children compared to parents who are Democrats (22% vs. 8%). Other data show that White voters make up the nearly eight in ten of Republicans and Republican leaders.

Changing attitudes towards vaccines may reflect the spread of vaccine misinformation. Some public health leaders have noted that vaccine hesitancy related to COVID-19 may have had spillover effects on routine child immunizations. More recently, HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has amplified claims about vaccines that have been rejected by scientists and public health officials. Kennedy has suggested without evidence that the number of recommended childhood vaccines has led to a rise in chronic disease in the U.S. Kennedy has also repeated false claims that vaccines, including MMR, can cause autism and that the measles vaccine causes the illness it prevents. Most recently, the CDC posted information to its website indicating that “studies have not ruled out the possibility that infant vaccines cause autism” despite longstanding scientific evidence disputing this connection. KFF/Washington Post survey shows that many parents are uncertain whether false or misleading claims about vaccines and measles are true, and the share who say these false claims are true is higher among Republican parents, particularly those who identify as supporters of the Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement.

Shifts in federal policy on vaccines may contribute to continued declines in childhood vaccinations. Since his appointment as Secretary of Health and Human Services, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has made several changes to U.S. vaccine policy, including replacing ACIP, removing COVID-19 vaccine recommendations for healthy children and pregnant women, and cancelling funding for mRNA vaccine research. Secretary Kennedy pledged to examine and revise the recommended vaccine schedule to reduce the number of vaccines given to children and perhaps remove vaccines from the recommended schedule altogether. President Trump has echoed many of Secretary Kennedy’s criticisms of the vaccine schedule, saying that children in the U.S. receive too many vaccines and that parents should disregard current federal recommended childhood vaccine schedule and instead space out shots. In response to changes in federal policies and statements from Trump Administration officials, many states have taken steps to maintain access to vaccines and de-link state vaccine policies from federal recommendations. In contrast, other states have expanded exemptions from school vaccine requirements. This variation in state policies may result in uneven levels of vaccine protection across the country, which could leave some areas at increased risk for disease outbreaks and weaken the nation’s overall community-level protection.

Methods

Childhood Vaccination and MMR Data: This analysis uses CDC MMWR data from 2017-2020, 2018-2019, 2019-2020, and 2020-2021 to present childhood vaccination rates, including MMR. Coverage of recommended vaccinations among children under ages 24 months is measured using the combined 7-vaccine series, which includes ≥4 doses of DTaP, ≥3 doses of poliovirus vaccine, ≥1 dose of measles-containing vaccine, full series of Hib vaccine (≥3 or ≥4 doses, depending on product type), ≥3 doses of Hep B, ≥1 dose of varicella vaccine, and ≥4 doses of PCV.

Flu Vaccination Data: This analysis uses CDC Flu Vaccination Coverage Report data from 2017-2018, 2018-2019, 2019-2020, 2020-2021, 2021-2022, 2022-2023, and 2023-2024 to present CDC’s annual final flu vaccination coverage estimates. 

Potential “Chilling Effects” of Public Charge and Other Immigration Policies on Medicaid and CHIP Enrollment

Published: Dec 2, 2025

Editorial Note

This brief was updated on December 5, 2025, to specify that the estimates of how many people may be at risk for decreased enrollment in Medicaid and CHIP do not reflect anticipated enrollment reductions due to the 2025 reconciliation law.

Summary

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) released a proposed rule that would rescind 2022 Biden-era public charge determination regulations. In their place, DHS plans to provide interpretive and policy tools to guide public charge determinations and suggests it will “move away from a bright line primary dependence standard” and remove limitations on the types of public resources that are relevant for considering. As such, immigration officers would be given broad discretion to make determinations and could consider programs previously excluded from determinations, including Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), as well as potentially a much broader array of health and other support programs, other types of assistance, and family members’ use of programs. Under longstanding immigration policy, federal officials can deny entry to the U.S. or adjustment to lawful permanent resident (LPR) status (i.e., a “green card”) to someone they determine is likely at any time to become a public charge.

The proposed public charge changes along with other Trump administration policy changes will likely lead to decreased participation in public programs, including Medicaid and CHIP, among a broad group of immigrant families, including citizen children in those families. DHS indicates that the rule will deter immigration to the U.S. and reduce the number of immigrants relying on public programs. DHS further notes that the “elimination of certain definitions may lead to public confusion or misunderstanding of the proposed rule, which could result in decreased participation in public benefit programs by individuals who are not subject to the public charge ground of inadmissibility.” Research suggests that such “chilling effects” will likely lead to disenrollment and forgone enrollment among a broader group of individuals living in immigrant families than those subject to public charge determinations, including citizen children in these families. These fears may be further amplified by a recent notice from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) that it will begin sharing data it receives from states with Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Moreover, these changes come as immigrant families are already experiencing starkly increased fears due to President Trump’s immigration policies, leading them to limit their activities and participation in assistance programs and as recently passed legislation will make fewer lawfully present immigrants eligible for federally-funded health coverage programs.

If the proposed rule leads to disenrollment rates ranging from 10% to 30%, between 1.3 million to 4.0 million people could disenroll from Medicaid or CHIP, including nearly 600,000 to about 1.8 million citizen children. Additionally, assuming the same forgone enrollment rates, between about 200,000 to 500,000 uninsured people could forgo enrolling in Medicaid or CHIP despite being eligible, including over 50,000 to more than 150,000 citizen children. According to KFF analysis of American Community Survey (ACS) data, there are about 13.4 million Medicaid or CHIP enrollees living in a household with at least one noncitizen, including 5.9 million citizen children, who may be at risk for decreased enrollment. Additionally, nearly 1.8 million uninsured individuals are eligible for Medicaid and CHIP but are not enrolled and are living in a household with a noncitizen, including over 500,000 citizen children. These estimates differ from DHS estimates in the proposed rule (see Methods for more). Beyond Medicaid and CHIP, fear and confusion would likely have similar effects on participation in other programs, especially since DHS suggest it will give officers broad discretion to consider use of all sources of public resources in public charge determinations.

The proposed rule will likely lead to coverage losses and contribute to negative health outcomes, increases in uncompensated care, and broader negative spillover effects on communities and the workforce. Overall, the proposed rule would likely lead to reductions in health coverage, nutrition assistance, and other sources of support among immigrant families, including citizen children in those families. Nationally, one in four children live in a family with at least one immigrant parent. Reduced participation in health coverage and other assistance programs would negatively affect the health and financial stability of immigrant families and the growth and healthy development of their children. In addition, coverage losses would lead to lost revenues and increased uncompensated care for providers and have broader spillover effects within communities and on the workforce. DHS notes that the proposed rule may lead to worse health outcomes; increased use of emergency rooms; higher prevalence of communicable diseases; increases in uncompensated care; and increased poverty, housing instability, reduced productivity, and lower educational attainment. It also recognizes that it may result in reduced revenues for certain health, food, and housing providers. 

Background

Under longstanding immigration policy, federal officials can deny entry to the U.S. or adjustment to lawful permanent resident (LPR) status (i.e., a “green card”) to someone they determine is likely at any time to become a public charge. DHS regulations apply to public charge determinations for individuals seeking adjustment to LPR status within the U.S. Separately, media reports indicate new Department of State guidance directs visa officers to consider a wide range of health conditions when reviewing applications to enter the U.S. Under statute, officers must, at a minimum, consider age; health; family status; assets, resources, and financial status; and education and skills in making public charge determinations. Some groups, such as humanitarian immigrants, are exempt from public charge determinations under statute.

In 2022, the Biden administration published public charge regulations largely to address chilling effects of a 2019 Trump administration rule that led many immigrant families to avoid seeking health coverage and other services and assistance for which they were eligible. During his first term, President Trump implemented public charge rules that had newly considered the use of noncash assistance programs, including Medicaid, in public charge determinations. These changes led many immigrant families, including citizen children in these families, to forgo assistance and services for which they were eligible, including health coverage and care. In 2021, the Biden administration stopped applying the rule and reverted to prior 1999 field guidance. It subsequently published regulations in 2022 that largely codified the 1999 field guidance. The 2022 regulations defined a public charge as someone who is likely to become primarily dependent on the federal government as demonstrated by the use of cash assistance programs for income maintenance or government-funded institutionalized long-term care. The rule specifically excluded the consideration of noncash programs, including Medicaid (except for long-term institutionalization) and CHIP, from public charge determinations. It also prohibited the consideration of other family members’ use of programs. The 2022 regulations remain in effect until a new rule is finalized.

The proposed rule would rescind the 2022 public charge regulations (other than a provision related to bonds) and provide broad discretion to immigration officers in making public charge decisions, including considering factors and use of programs that had been excluded. DHS plans to provide interpretive and policy tools to guide public charge determinations if the proposed rule is finalized. In the preamble to the proposed rule, DHS notes that both the 2019 and 2022 rules were overly restrictive in providing narrow and finite lists of public benefits that could be considered as part of the public charge determinations and in not expressly providing officers with the authority to consider other factors beyond those specified in the rules. DHS suggests that eliminating the 2022 rule will allow for consideration of “receipt of any type of public benefits.” DHS proposes it will “move away from a bright line primary dependence standard” and remove limitations on the types of public resources that are relevant for consideration. As such, immigration officers would be given broad discretion to make determinations and could consider programs previously excluded from determinations, including Medicaid and CHIP, as well as potentially a much broader array of health and other support programs, other types of assistance, and family members’ use of programs.

Beyond the proposed changes to public charge, the Trump administration has implemented an array of immigration policy changes that have significantly increased fear among immigrant families, making them more reluctant to participate in activities or use services. The KFF/New York Times 2025 Survey of Immigrants shows that immigrant adults report rising fear and negative economic and health impacts amid this environment. More than one in five (22%) immigrant adults say they personally know someone arrested, detained, or deported for immigration-related reasons since January 2025, and 41% worry they or a family member could be detained or deported. Three in ten (30%) say they or a family member have limited their participation in activities outside the home since January due to concerns about drawing attention to someone’s immigration status, and 29% report skipping or postponing health care in the past 12 months, with 19% of this group (5% of all immigrant adults) citing immigration-related worries.

Past Evidence of “Chilling Effects”

Research indicates that the 2019 Trump administration public charge policy changes contributed to disenrollment from Medicaid and CHIP and other programs among immigrant families, including citizen children in these families. Analysis finds that between 2016 and 2019, the share of children receiving Medicaid, the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), and Temporary Assistance for Needy Families fell about twice as fast among U.S.-citizen children with noncitizen household members as it did among children with only citizens in their households. Specifically, the analysis found that participation in Medicaid and CHIP fell by 18% among low-income U.S. citizen children with a noncitizen in the household compared to 8% among their counterparts in citizen-only households. Other studies found larger drops in Medicaid coverage among children in mixed status or noncitizen families compared to those in citizen families between 2017 and 2019 as well as larger declines in SNAP enrollment among noncitizen children and citizen children living in mixed-status families compared to citizen children with U.S.-born parents. Survey data from 2019 found that more than one in seven adults (16%) in immigrant families reported avoiding a noncash government benefit program such as Medicaid or CHIP, SNAP, or housing subsidies for fear of risking future green card status, with the share rising to 26% among adults in low-income immigrant families.

Research also suggests that these fears persisted even after the Biden administration reversed the 2019 public charge policy changes in 2021. The KFF/LA Times Survey of Immigrants showed that, as of 2023, 8% of immigrant adults, rising to over a quarter (27%) of those who are likely undocumented, said they avoided applying for food, housing, or health care assistance in the past year because they didn’t want to draw attention to their or a family member’s immigration status. Other survey data found nearly one in four adults in mixed immigration status families and over one in seven adults in immigrant families with children avoided safety net programs because of concerns related to immigration status in 2023.

As of 2025, there was already an increase in the share of immigrants reporting disenrolling from or avoiding enrolling in assistance programs due to immigration-related fears under the Trump administration prior to the release of the proposed public charge rule. In the KFF/New York Times 2025 Survey of Immigrants, 11% of immigrant adults say they stopped participating in a government program that helps pay for food, housing, or health care since January 2025 because of immigration-related worries, ranging from 4% among those living in a citizen-only household to 18% of those living in a household with a noncitizen. Among those in a household with a noncitizen, the shares reporting stopping participation were 11% for those that do not have a likely undocumented immigrant in the household and 36% for those that include a likely undocumented immigrant (Figure 1). Further, about one in ten (12%) immigrant adults say they avoided applying for such a program in the past 12 months because they did not want to draw attention to their or a family member’s immigration status, ranging from 5% among those living in a citizen-only household to 19% among those living in a household with a noncitizen, including 11% for those that did not report having a likely undocumented immigrant in the household and 42% for those that include a likely undocumented immigrant.

About One in Ten Immigrant Adults Say They Stopped Participating in or Avoided Applying for an Assistance Program, Including One in Five Who Live in a Household with a Noncitizen (Split Bars)

Potential “Chilling Effects” on Medicaid and CHIP Enrollment

It is difficult to predict what actual disenrollment or forgone enrollment rates may be in response to the rule. Few lawfully present immigrants who are subject to public charge determinations are eligible for federally-funded programs, including Medicaid and CHIP. However, fear and confusion about the rule would likely lead to disenrollment and forgone enrollment among a much broader group of individuals living in immigrant families, including citizen children.

To estimate potential effects of the proposed changes to public charge determinations amid the current immigration policy environment on Medicaid and CHIP enrollment, this analysis applied disenrollment rates of 10%, 20%, and 30% to the total number of Medicaid and CHIP enrollees living in a household with at least one noncitizen. To estimate potential forgone enrollment, this analysis applies these same rates to the total number of uninsured individuals who are eligible for Medicaid and CHIP but not enrolled who are living in a household with a noncitizen. Given the uncertainty of disenrollment and forgone enrollment, the rates illustrate a range of potential impacts to account for potential underestimates and overestimates.

The midpoint disenrollment and foregone enrollment rate of 20% is based on experiences reported in the KFF/New York Times 2025 Survey of Immigrants. It reflects the share of immigrant adults living in a household with a noncitizen who say they stopped participating in a program that helps pay for food, health care, or housing in the past year due to fears of drawing attention to their or a family member’s immigration status. The share reporting avoiding applying for programs (i.e., forgone enrollment) was similar. The lower bound of 10% reflects the disenrollment and forgone enrollment rate DHS uses to estimate transfer payments in the proposed rule. The upper bound accounts for potential increased effects relative to the experiences reported in the survey due to subsequent policy changes, including the public charge proposal and CMS notice of plans to share Medicaid data with ICE, that were released after the survey was fielded, as well as continued public enforcement activity, which may deter participation.

According to KFF analysis of ACS data, there are about 13.4 million Medicaid or CHIP enrollees living in a household with at least one noncitizen, including 5.9 million citizen children, who may be at risk for decreased enrollment. If the proposed rule leads to disenrollment rates ranging from 10% to 30%, between 1.3 million to 4.0 million Medicaid and CHIP enrollees who are living in a household with at least one noncitizen would disenroll (Figure 2). This includes nearly 600,000 to about 1.8 million citizen children. Beyond potential disenrollment, the proposed rule may also deter new enrollment among the nearly 1.8 million uninsured individuals who are eligible for Medicaid and CHIP but not enrolled and are living in a household with a noncitizen, including over 500,000 citizen children. Assuming a forgone rate between 10% and 30%, between about 200,000 to over 500,000 uninsured individuals who are living in a household with at least one noncitizen could forgo enrollment in Medicaid despite being eligible. This includes over 50,000 to more than 150,000 citizen children.

Between 1.3 to 4.0 Million Medicaid and CHIP Enrollees Living in a Household with a Noncitizen Could Disenroll Due to Public Charge and Other Immigration-Related Fears (Stacked column chart)

These estimates differ from DHS estimates in the proposed rule. DHS estimated that 3.5 million Medicaid enrollees and approximately 600,000 CHIP enrollees lived in a household with at least one person who is not a citizen, for a combined total of 4.1 million Medicaid and CHIP enrollees. DHS expects about 400,000 Medicaid and about 60,000 CHIP enrollees to disenroll or forgo enrollment (see Methods for more information).

Methods

The findings presented in this brief are based on KFF’s analysis of the 2023 American Community Survey 1-year Public Use Microdata Sample. KFF classified individuals as not having citizenship, or noncitizens, by their self-reported status at the time of the survey interview. This excludes foreign-born individuals who obtained U.S. citizenship through naturalization.

The 2023 data show that approximately 13.4 million Medicaid/CHIP enrollees were noncitizens or living in a household with at least one noncitizen. Households were classified as having at least one noncitizen if any household member reported not having citizenship. In addition, KFF identified 1.8 million uninsured individuals who are eligible for Medicaid or CHIP but not enrolled and live in a household with a noncitizen. KFF applied its health care coverage eligibility model to identify individuals who are eligible for Medicaid/CHIP but are not enrolled. For more details on the model, see the following explanation. These numbers do not reflect anticipated reductions to Medicaid enrollment due to Medicaid spending reductions and eligibility changes, including increased restrictions for lawfully present immigrants, in the 2025 reconciliation law.

To estimate potential changes in coverage due to public charge policies, KFF considered disenrollment and forgone enrollment rates of 10%, 20%, and 30%. Results were disaggregated by age and citizenship, with children defined as individuals under age 18. The midpoint disenrollment and foregone enrollment rate of 20% is based on experiences reported in the KFF/New York Times 2025 Survey of Immigrants. It reflects the share of immigrant adults living in a household with a noncitizen who say they stopped participating in a program that helps pay for food, health care, or housing in the past year due to fears of drawing attention to their or a family member’s immigration status. The share reporting avoiding applying for programs (i.e., forgone enrollment) was similar. The lower bound of 10% reflects the primary disenrollment and forgone enrollment rate DHS uses to estimate transfer payments in the proposed rule. The upper bound accounts for potential increased effects relative to the experiences reported in the survey due to subsequent policy changes, including the public charge proposal and CMS notice of plans to share Medicaid data with ICE, that were released after the survey was fielded as well as ongoing public enforcement activity, which may further deter participation.

This method differs from the method applied by DHS in the proposed rule to estimate potential federal and state transfer costs due to disenrollment from Medicaid and CHIP and other programs. In the 2025 proposed public charge rule, DHS estimated that 3.5 million Medicaid enrollees and approximately 600,000 CHIP enrollees lived in a household with at least one person who is not a citizen, for a combined total of 4.1 million Medicaid and CHIP enrollees. DHS expects about 400,000 Medicaid and about 60,000 CHIP enrollees to disenroll or forgo enrollment. To reach this estimate:

  • DHS used a six-year average from FY 2019 to FY 2024 to find the average annual number of Medicaid and CHIP enrollees, limiting Medicaid enrollment to adults. Each annual total was calculated by averaging monthly Medicaid or CHIP enrollment over the year.
  • DHS then estimated the number of households with Medicaid or CHIP enrollees by dividing the average annual adult Medicaid (44 million) or CHIP (7 million) enrollment by the average U.S. household size (2.54) in 2023.
  • DHS multiplied the share of the total U.S. population that is foreign born (6.61%) times the number of households with Medicaid or CHIP enrollees to calculate their estimate of enrollee households with at least one noncitizen.
  • Lastly, DHS then multiplied these households by the average size of foreign-born households (3.12) to finally estimate the number of Medicaid or CHIP enrollees living in a household with at least one noncitizen. DHS applied a 10.3% disenrollment and forgone rate to the approximately 3.5 million Medicaid and 600,000 CHIP enrollees.

KFF Tracker: U.S. Pledges to Upcoming Multilateral Health Replenishments

Published: Dec 1, 2025

Note: Originally published on October 2, 2024, this resource is updated as needed, most recently on December 1, 2025, to reflect additional developments.

There have or will be several resource mobilization efforts for multilateral health organizations in 2024 and 2025. These include: the Pandemic Fund’s first pledging event; the World Health Organization’s (WHO) first investment round; Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance’s (Gavi) fourth replenishment; and the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria’s (Global Fund) eighth replenishment. The U.S. is the largest contributor to global health and has played an integral role in each of these four organizations, and while pledging events represent commitments rather than immediate transactions, as U.S. funding must be approved by Congress, these events will nevertheless signal future U.S. support to these entities and to global health more broadly. This KFF tracker provides up to date information on U.S. pledges thus far to these four multilateral health replenishments and U.S. government support to date for these entities.

Status of U.S. Pledges to Upcoming Replenishments of Select Multilateral Health Institutions (Table)

5 Key Facts About Medicaid and Provider Taxes

Published: Dec 1, 2025

Editorial Note:This brief was updated on February 12, 2026 to reflect the provisions of a final rule on uniformity waivers for provider taxes.

Key Facts

The 2025 reconciliation law imposes significant new restrictions on states’ ability to generate Medicaid provider tax revenue, including prohibiting all states from establishing new provider taxes or from increasing existing taxes as well as reducing existing provider taxes for states that have adopted the Affordable Care Act (ACA) Medicaid expansion. Medicaid is jointly financed by the federal government and the states, with the federal government guaranteeing states federal matching payments with no pre-set limit. In federal fiscal year (FFY) 2024, the federal government paid 65% and states paid 35% of total Medicaid costs. States are permitted to finance the non-federal share of Medicaid spending through multiple sources, including state general funds, health-care related taxes (referred to as “provider taxes” throughout this brief), and local government funds.

States are now facing a more tenuous fiscal climate due to slowing revenue growth, increasing spending demands, and growing fiscal uncertainty, due in part to the 2025 reconciliation law. The Medicaid provisions in the new law, including new provider taxes restrictions, are estimated to reduce federal Medicaid spending by $911 billion (or by 14%) over a decade, with wide variation in how the effects will be felt across the states. The cuts to Medicaid coupled with other changes in the 2025 reconciliation law and changes to the ACA marketplace coverage could increase the number of people by 14.2 million when everything is fully implemented. Those that support the new limits on provider taxes say that providers and states receive federal matching funds without expending their own money, which can “inflate a state’s Medicaid match.” However, provider taxes are a key source of Medicaid funding and limiting them could exacerbate existing state budget challenges and result in lower provider payment rates or reductions in Medicaid coverage, potentially compounding the effects associated with increases in the number of people without health insurance.

This issue brief uses data from KFF’s 2025-2026 survey of Medicaid directors to describe states’ current provider taxes, explore how the 2025 reconciliation law changed the federal rules governing provider taxes, and summarize potential impacts of the changes across states.

1. All states but Alaska use provider taxes to help finance the state share of Medicaid spending. 

States have considerable flexibility in determining how to finance the state (or non-federal) share of Medicaid payments, within certain limits. While most of the state share of Medicaid spending comes from state general funds, there is considerable variation in how much states rely on other non-federal share funding sources. KFF’s 2025 Medicaid budget survey found that general funds accounted for a median of 70% of the non-federal share in state fiscal year (FY) 2026 enacted budgets, while provider taxes accounted for 18% and funds from local governments or other sources accounted for 6% (this is relatively similar to 2018 data on non-federal share funding sources reported by the Government Accountability Office (GAO) and 2024 data on general fund spending from the National Association of State Budget Officers (NASBO)). 

All states but Alaska finance part of the state share of Medicaid funding through at least one provider tax and 41 states have three or more provider taxes in place (Figure 1). Medicaid provider taxes are defined as those for which at least 85% of the tax burden falls on health care items or services or entities that provide or pay for health care items or services (see Social Security Act, Section 1903(w)(3)(A)). Provider taxes may be imposed as a percentage of provider revenues or using an alternative formula such as a flat tax on the number of facility beds or inpatient days. States use provider tax revenues to fund Medicaid “base” rates and supplemental payments; to finance eligibility expansions, including the ACA Medicaid expansion; or to more generally support the Medicaid program. Over time, states have increased their reliance on provider taxes, with expansions often driven by economic downturns or a desire to fund eligibility expansions or provider reimbursement increases. Beyond helping finance the state share of Medicaid, permissible tax arrangements may have potential financial benefits for providers who are subject to the tax and serve a high volume of Medicaid patients.

All States but Alaska Use Provider Taxes To Help Finance the State Share of Medicaid Spending (Choropleth map)

2. Provider taxes are most common for institutional providers.

Provider taxes fall on a wide range of provider types but are most common for institutional providers including hospitals (47 states), nursing facilities (45 states), and intermediate care facilities for people with intellectual or developmental disabilities (33 states, Figure 2). Provider tax revenues often finance supplemental payments to institutional providers, which may be a major source of revenues for those providers. Payment policies vary considerably by state, and research has shown that Medicaid base payment rates are below those of Medicare and often below hospitals or nursing facilities’ costs of providing services to Medicaid enrollees, causing some states to rely more heavily on supplemental payments than others to help cover costs. Beyond institutional providers, states have taxes on managed care organizations (MCOs) (22 states), ambulance providers (21 states), and “other” provider types (9 states) such as ambulatory care facilities and home care providers.

Since the 1990s, federal rules have governed states’ use of provider taxes to fund Medicaid. Provider taxes were established in the 1980s, but particularly aggressive use of provider taxes following their establishment in the 1980s led to statutory and regulatory limitations beginning in the 1990s. Federal rules prior to passage of the 2025 reconciliation law specified that provider taxes must be:

  • Broad-based, which means the tax is imposed on all providers within a specified class of providers (e.g., the tax cannot be imposed only on providers that see primarily Medicaid patients);
  • Uniform, which means the tax must apply equally to all providers within the specified class (e.g., the tax rate cannot be higher on Medicaid revenue than non-Medicaid revenue); and
  • Not hold taxpayers (providers) “harmless,” which means states are prohibited from directly or indirectly guaranteeing that providers will receive their tax revenues back (i.e., be “held harmless”).

There are 19 classes of providers that the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) uses to ensure that the tax programs are broad-based and uniform (see 42 CFR Section 433.56). In assessing whether provider taxes comply with federal laws, regulations prior to the 2025 reconciliation law’s passage specify that the hold harmless requirement does not apply when the tax revenues comprise 6% or less of net patient revenues from treating patients (see 42 CFR Section 433.68), a level sometimes referred to as a “safe harbor” or “hold harmless” limit. Provider tax revenues are most likely to be near the 6% safe harbor limit for nursing facilities followed by hospitals and intermediate care facilities for people with intellectual or developmental disabilities (Figure 2). States may obtain “uniformity waivers” of the requirements that taxes be broad-based and uniform if the state could prove the net effect of the tax is “generally redistributive,” and the amount of tax was not directly related to Medicaid payments.

Provider Taxes Are Most Common for Institutional Providers (Stacked column chart)

3. Changes to federal rules for provider taxes are estimated to cut federal Medicaid spending by $226 billion over 10 years.

In addition to a number of other substantial Medicaid policy changes and federal funding cuts, the 2025 reconciliation law, signed by President Trump on July 4, 2025, imposes significant new restrictions on states’ ability to generate Medicaid provider tax revenue. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates these provider tax policy changes will reduce federal Medicaid spending by $226 billion over 10 years (Figure 3). Those savings stem from three new restrictions on states’ ability to raise revenues through Medicaid provider taxes including:

  • An effective prohibition on new provider taxes or increases to existing ones (accounting for $89 billion in federal savings over 10 years),
  • Reduced limits on provider taxes in states that adopted the Affordable Care Act (ACA) Medicaid expansion ($102 billion in federal savings), and
  • Revisions to the conditions under which states may receive uniformity waivers ($35 billion over 10 years).

The effective prohibition on new provider taxes or increases to existing ones and the reduced provider tax limits in ACA Medicaid expansion states collectively account for $191 billion of the federal savings and will have the most widespread effects. Both changes stem from restrictions on the hold harmless limit. The new law effectively prevents the enactment of any new provider taxes by establishing a hold harmless limit of 0% for any taxes that were not in effect as of July 4, 2025. It also prevents any increases to existing provider taxes, which are capped at their rates as of July 4, 2025. Beginning in FFY 2028, the 2025 reconciliation law also gradually reduces the hold harmless limit for states that have adopted the ACA expansion by 0.5% annually until the safe harbor limit reaches 3.5% in FFY 2032.

CMS recently published a letter clarifying that to be “in effect” as of July 4, 2025, state or local governments must have been “actively collecting revenues” at that time. In KFF’s budget survey, four states reported plans to add new taxes in FY 2026: MCO taxes in Indiana and Nebraska and ambulance taxes in Montana and Nevada. An additional 18 states reported plans to increase existing taxes in that year, most commonly for hospital taxes. The new guidance suggests that if states had started collecting revenues for the new or increased taxes before July 4, 2025, they would be able to implement the new taxes or planned increases. This would include states that collect taxes on a delayed schedule if the collection is applicable as of July 4. If states’ taxes required waivers of the uniformity or broad-based requirements, those also had to be approved by CMS before July 4 for the tax to be “in effect.” In cases where states had enacted new taxes but scheduled implementation to start after July 4 or if the tax required an additional waiver and CMS approval for that waiver was still pending as of July 4, the states would not be able to implement the new taxes or higher rates.

CBO estimates provider tax changes in the 2025 reconciliation law will increase the number of uninsured people by 1.2 million by 2034. CBO estimates that restrictions on provider taxes would reduce the number of people with Medicaid coverage because there would be reduced resources available for states to fund Medicaid. With fewer resources available, states would need to either raise general taxes or reduce spending on other programs to maintain existing Medicaid eligibility levels, benefits, and provider payments. Although states responses will vary, CBO estimates that on average, states would replace half of the lost revenues with other state resources (either tax increases or cuts to other programs). States would make up the other half of revenue losses by reducing Medicaid spending through lower payment rates to providers, fewer covered services, or more restrictive eligibility.

Changes to Federal Rules for Provider Taxes Are Estimated To Cut Federal Medicaid Spending by 6 Billion Over 10 Years (Donut Chart)

4. The effective prohibition on new or increased provider taxes could impact all states, with expected cuts to existing taxes in 31 states.

All states could potentially be affected by the prohibition on new provider taxes or increases to existing ones, which will limit states' ability to respond to the health care cuts in the 2025 reconciliation law. In KFF’s 2025 Medicaid budget survey, states noted the potential for significant state budget impacts as a result of the new provider tax changes as well as reductions in provider payment rates and state directed payments. Historically, states have used provider tax revenues as a mechanism to sustain Medicaid spending during budget shortfalls or to bolster Medicaid provider rates. The new law makes the largest reductions in federal support for health care in U.S. history and, combined with the expiration of enhanced subsidies for coverage in the ACA marketplaces, could increase the number of people without health insurance by 14.2 million people in 2034. The Medicaid cuts have particularly large effects in ACA expansion states, but the non-expansion states are expected to incur larger increases in the uninsured resulting from the loss of coverage through the ACA marketplaces. Increases in the uninsured could result in higher uncompensated care costs for providers (and have implications for the health of individuals who lose coverage or have access to fewer benefits). The effects of increased uncompensated care on hospitals and other safety net providers could be more profound because of states’ inability to bolster provider rates through new or increased provider taxes.  More broadly, the inability to add or increase provider taxes could exacerbate states’ budget challenges, especially during economic downturns.

While the prohibition on new provider taxes or increases to existing taxes cut a key source of future state Medicaid funding for all states, the revenue impacts will be even larger in the ACA expansion states that are also forced to reduce existing provider taxes. KFF data show that an estimated 31 states will have to reduce one or more provider taxes because of the lower hold harmless limits in ACA expansion states (Figure 4). As of July 1, 2025, 31 Medicaid expansion states reported having a non-exempt provider tax exceeding 3.5% (Figure 4), meaning at least 31 states will be required to reduce affected provider taxes on hospitals, MCOs, ambulances, or other affected providers (nursing facilities and intermediate care facilities are exempt). Hospital taxes are the most affected, with 28 of the 31 affected states having a hospital tax over 3.5% of net patient revenues as of July 1, 2025. Over half of the Medicaid provisions in the 2025 reconciliation law apply only to ACA expansion states, including the lower hold harmless limits. Those changes—coupled with lower provider tax revenues—may make it particularly difficult for ACA expansion states to navigate a challenging fiscal climate and increasing numbers of uninsured residents.

The Effective Prohibition on New or Increased Provider Taxes Could Impact All States, With Expected Cuts to Existing Taxes in 31 States (Choropleth map)

5. New requirements for “uniformity waivers” will force changes to provider taxes in at least seven states.

Uniformity waivers have allowed states to waive the requirement that provider taxes be broad-based and uniform if CMS determines that the tax is “generally redistributive.”  Provider taxes established through such waivers have generally taxed some types of providers within a class more heavily than others. States may use uniformity waivers to achieve policy goals such as limiting tax burdens for sole community hospitals, rural hospitals, or other vulnerable providers; but states have also used the waivers to impose taxes primarily on Medicaid providers. The disproportionate taxation of Medicaid providers has raised CMS concerns, including during the Biden Administration, and in May 2025, the Trump Administration released a proposed rule that aimed to address those concerns. The final rule was published on February 2, 2026 (Box 1).

The 2025 reconciliation law prohibits states from using uniformity waivers if the tax charges higher or lower rates based on the volume of Medicaid revenues or patients. The law specifies that taxes may not be considered generally redistributive if the state effectively varies tax rates based on the providers’ Medicaid revenues or patients, even if the tax does not explicitly name “Medicaid” when establishing the tax rates. The requirement is largely targeted at MCO taxes but may also apply to other provider tax types. It is effective as of July 5, 2025, but the Secretary may give states up to three fiscal years to come into compliance. The final rule on uniformity waivers provides states with transition periods that depend on what type of tax the waiver applies to and the most recent date of CMS approval for the waiver. Specifically:

  • For taxes on MCOs with a waiver approval within 2 years of April 3, 2026, states have until the end of the current calendar to transition their taxes (this is expected to be the case in California and at least three other states).
  • For all other taxes on MCOs, states have until the end of FY 2027 (which in most states, means they would need to be complying by July 1, 2027).
  • For taxes on entities other than MCOs, states have through the end of FY 2028 to come into compliance.

States may come into compliance by either submitting a new waiver proposal that meets the new requirements from the final rule (Box 1) or they may otherwise modify their tax such that no waiver is necessary.

The final rule states that new limits on uniformity waivers will affect at least nine taxes in at least seven states, with effects starting as early as January 1, 2027 (Figure 5). CMS did not identify the specific states in the final rule, but in the proposed rule, CMS specifically named California, Massachusetts, Michigan, and New York as being affected.  KFF and other researchers expect that the other three states are Illinois, Ohio, and West Virginia. The final rule states that existing MCO taxes would now be prohibited in seven states unless the taxes were modified, and that within those seven states, there were at least two additional taxes affected, including one on hospitals and one on nursing homes. However, elsewhere, in the preamble to the final rule, CMS indicated that there were two nursing facility taxes that would now be prohibited. (It’s unclear whether the second nursing facility tax is within the seven states or in an eighth state.) CMS indicates that additional taxes may need to be modified or eliminated, but it is unknown which states have such taxes or what types of providers the taxes pertain to. Beyond uncertainty surrounding the scope of affected taxes, much remains unknown about how states may respond to the new rule. For example:  

  • How much flexibility will states have when using differential tax rates for policy purposes such as protecting sole community hospitals, rural hospitals, or other vulnerable providers?
  • How will states adjust impermissible taxes to eliminate differential rates and how much will those adjustments affect states’ revenue collections?
  • How will states that experience declining revenues to finance the state share of Medicaid respond to the loss of revenues?

Box 1: CMS’ Final Rule on Uniformity Waivers

Since 1993, CMS has assessed whether proposed taxes are “generally redistributive” using a statistical formula that assesses whether a state’s tax has a tendency to “derive revenues from taxes imposed on non-Medicaid services in a class and to use these revenues as the State’s share of Medicaid payments” (58 Fed. Reg. 43164, August 13, 1993). Consistent with  Section 71117 of the 2025 reconciliation law, the final rule prohibits all taxes that have differential tax rates based on Medicaid revenues or patients, even if they meet the statistical test. The final rule focuses primarily on MCO taxes and cited examples where nearly all tax revenues were paid by Medicaid MCOs, with private health plans paying nearly none, but notes other types of taxes would also be affected.

New Requirements for “Uniformity Waivers” Will Force Changes to Provider Taxes in at Least Seven States (Choropleth map)

This work was supported in part by Arnold Ventures. KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities.

Appendix

Provider Taxes Not Exempt From the Reconciliation Law’s Reduction in the Safe Harbor Limit for ACA Expansion States (Table)

Family Planning Services for Low-Income Women: The Role of Public Programs

Published: Dec 1, 2025

For more than 50 years, a network of public programs and providers have assisted millions of reproductive age (18 to 49) women with low incomes in the U.S. to obtain sexual and reproductive health services. Over the past decade, the landscape of reproductive health care has changed dramatically as a result of shifts in federal and state policy as well as legal challenges and court rulings that have reshaped the state and federal laws that govern these programs. Recently, the 2025 Budget Reconciliation Law prohibits federal Medicaid payments for one year to some family planning providers that also offer abortion services, and the President’s most recent budget request proposes to eliminate funding for the federal Title X family planning program. This brief explains the major sources of public financing for family planning care, related policies, and their role financing services for low-income women.

Family Planning Services

Family planning encompasses a wide range of counseling, prevention, and treatment services that nearly all women use during their lifetimes. Contraceptives are the primary service, which most women use over the course of their lifetimes. Many options are available from clinicians including permanent methods, long-acting methods such as IUDs and Implants, as well as pills, injectables, patches, and rings. Overthe-counter methods include condoms and emergency contraception pills and more recently, Opill, a daily oral contraceptive pill. In addition to contraceptives, family planning includes sexual health services such as STI testing and treatment, gynecologic exams, and pregnancy testing (Figure 1).



Financing Family Planning Services for Low-Income People in the U.S.

Financing reproductive health care for people with low incomes comes primarily from a variety of public programs, including Medicaid, the federal Title X Family Planning Program, Section 330 of the Public Health Service Act (PHSA), and the Indian Health Service. Clinics and other providers may receive funds from a combination of these programs, which are described below.

Medicaid

Medicaid is a health coverage program for individuals with low incomes that covers more than 15 million reproductive age women nationally. Like private insurance, Medicaid pays clinicians and clinics for health services they provide to their patients. Jointly operated and funded by the federal and state governments, Medicaid provides health coverage to one in five women of reproductive age and more than four in ten (44%) who have low-incomes (Figure 2). The share of low-income reproductive-age women enrolled in Medicaid varies considerably by state, ranging from a high of 34% in Louisiana to a low of 10% in Utah. These differences are the result of a variety of factors, including demographic differences between states such as the share of women with low incomes, availability of employer-sponsored insurance, state choices about Medicaid eligibility, particularly whether the state has expanded Medicaid to all adults up to 138% FPL as permitted by the Affordable Care Act (ACA) and state-established income eligibility thresholds for parents in the non-expansion states. For these women, Medicaid provides comprehensive affordable coverage to help meet the full range of their health care needs, including family planning services.

Medicaid Covers One in Five Women of Reproductive Age and More Than Four in Ten with Lower Incomes (Small multiple pie chart)

Because it covers so many people, Medicaid is the largest source of public funds for family planning services. Federal law stipulates that family planning is a “mandatory” benefit that states must cover under Medicaid, but states have considerable discretion in specifying the services and supplies that are included in the program. Additionally, the ACA requires most private insurance plans and Medicaid expansion programs to cover the full cost of prescribed contraceptive methods for women. Most state Medicaid programs cover the full range of FDA approved contraceptives available to women, counseling and treatment for STIs and HIV, and screening for cervical cancer. Medicaid reimburses clinicians for delivering family planning care, just as it pays for other medical services. 

Abortion services are not considered to be family planning, and the Hyde Amendment prohibits any federal dollars, including Medicaid reimbursements, from being used to pay for abortion care except in cases of rape, incest or life endangerment of the woman. Other federal requirements that shape family planning policy under Medicaid include:

  •  Federal Matching rate – The federal government pays 90% of all family planning services and supplies, which isconsiderably higher than the federal match that states receive for most other services for the traditional Medicaid population, which ranges from 50% to 78%, depending on the state. The federal government also picks up 90% of the costs for all services among the expansion population. 
  • Ban on cost sharing – Federal law prohibits cost sharing for any family planning (and pregnancy-related) services.
  • Freedom of choice – The federal Medicaid Act states that beneficiaries have “freedom of choice” to obtain family planning services from any qualified provider participating in the program, but recent policy decisions (discussed below) are changing this.
  • Managed care –Nationally, nearly three in four (74%) reproductive age women with Medicaid are enrolled in managed care plans. While access to most services may be limited by managed care networks, federal law states that for family planning services, enrollees may seek care from any Medicaid provider even if the provider is outside of the plan’s network.
  • Family planning specific programs – States may establish limited scope programs through Medicaid Section 1115 Research and Demonstration Waivers or through State Plan Amendments (SPAs) to provide coverage for family planning services only to individuals who do not qualify for full-scope Medicaid. Today, more than half of states have established such programs (Figure 3). 
30 States Have Medicaid Family Planning Programs for Uninsured People (Choropleth map)

Free Choice of Provider and Medicaid

Historically, the federal Medicaid statute has required states to allow all willing and qualified providers to participate in their Medicaid programs. States were not permitted to exclude or disqualify providers just because they offer abortion services in addition to preventive family planning services. However, a Supreme Court ruling and a new federal law in 2025 have upended this requirement. 

  • In Medina v Planned Parenthood of South Atlantic, a 2025 decision issued by the Supreme Court ruled that Medicaid enrollees cannot seek relief in federal court to enforce Medicaid’s “free-choice of provider” provision and that the law does not confer rights to individual enrollees. This limits the ability of Medicaid enrollees to challenge state decisions on disqualifying clinics from the Medicaid program. It effectively allows states to disqualify providers because they offer abortion services in addition to family planning care, upending a longstanding federal protection. This has had an immediate impact on Planned Parenthood clinics in South Carolina but also is expected to be used by other states to block Planned Parenthood from participating as a Medicaid provider. 
  • Another major national change in Medicaid stems from a provision of the federal budget law, enacted in July 2025. The law blocks federal Medicaid payments to certain clinics that offer both abortion and family planning services for one year starting July 4, 2025. It specifically affects Planned Parenthood clinics across the country as well as clinic networks in Massachusetts and Maine. The provision has been challenged by multiple lawsuits, yet it is in effect and clinics are not being paid with federal funds for family planning services they provide to Medicaid beneficiaries for one year, losing a major source of revenue. Some clinics state they will have to close, make major reductions in services, or stop seeing Medicaid enrollees as a result.

Title X Program

The Title X National Family Planning Program, a federal block grant administered by the HHS Office of Population Affairs (OPA), is the only federal program specifically dedicated to supporting the delivery of family planning care. The program funds organizations in each state to distribute federal dollars to safety-net clinics to provide family planning services to low-income, uninsured, and underserved people. In 2023, approximately 4,000 clinics nationwide received Title X funding, including specialized family planning clinics such as Planned Parenthood centers, primary care providers such as federally qualified health centers (FQHCs), and health departments, school-based, faith-based, and other private nonprofits. In 2023, 60% of clients seen at Title X clinics had family incomes at or below the poverty level, almost half (46%) were covered by Medicaid or another public program, and more than a quarter (27%) were uninsured (Figure 4).

Six in Ten Family Planning Patients at Title X-Funded Clinics Have Incomes Below the Poverty Line (Grouped Bars)

Signed into law by President Nixon in 1970, the Title X program’s funding has remained flat at $286.5 million for the past ten years. In addition to providing clinics with funds to cover the direct costs of family planning services and supplies such as contraceptives, Title X funds enable clinics to pay for patient and community education services about family planning and sexual health issues, as well as infrastructure expenses such as rent, utilities, information technology, and staff salaries. Clinics that receive Title X funds are also eligible to obtain discounted prescription contraceptives and devices through the federal 340B program. No other federal program makes funds available to support clinic infrastructure needs specifically for family planning. Clinics that receive Title X funds also receive Medicaid and private insurance reimbursements for specific clinical services they provide to enrollees with coverage. Title X grantees cannot charge patients with low incomes out of pocket for services they receive, and for people with annual family income above 250% FPL, charges should be on a sliding fee schedule based on ability to pay.

Title X regulations have historically stipulated that participating clinics must provide clients with a broad range of contraceptive methods as recommended by the national Quality Family Planning Guidelines (QFP), and ensure that the services are voluntary and confidential. This has been interpreted to mean that minors do not require parental involvement to obtain family planning services as a Title X funded site. The current QFP guidelines serve as standards for delivery of clinical sexual and reproductive health services and address a range of issues, including STIs, fertility, and gender-affirming care. Federal rules also require that participating clinics offer their patients non-directive pregnancy options counseling that includes abortion, adoption, and prenatal referral for those who seek those services. These requirements, however have changed with different presidential administrations shaping who can participate and what services can be offered.

Site of Care for Sexual and Reproductive Health for People with Lower Incomes

Most reproductive age women obtain reproductive care from a private doctors’ office; however many women with lower incomes get family planning services through the publicly funded health care safety-net, which is comprised of a variety of providers such as federally qualified health centers (FQHCs) and look-alike clinics, state and local health departments, the Indian Health Service, and specialized family planning clinics. Nationally, more than four in ten (43%) reproductive age women with Medicaid coverage had their last contraceptive visit at a safety-net clinic. This varies widely though, and in some states safety-net clinics play a larger role (Figure 5).

Safety-Net Clinics Are A Major Provider of Contraception Services for Medicaid Enrollees (Choropleth map)

Federally Qualified Health Centers

Under Section 330 of the PHSA, the Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA) administers federal grants to Federally Qualified Health Centers (FQHCs) whose main focus is providing primary and preventive care to populations that are underserved and predominantly low-income. FQHCs are required to provide “voluntary family planning” services along with a wide range of health care services, but they do not necessarily specialize in providing sexual and reproductive health care. Although it is not specifically defined in FQHC guidelines, voluntary family planning services can include contraceptives, screening and treatment of STIs, pre-pregnancy care and fertility counseling but the range of services that health centers offer can vary. FQHCs must have a sliding fee scale for patients with incomes below 200% FPL and offer services to all patients regardless of their ability to pay.

Specialized Family Planning Clinics

Specialized clinics such as Planned Parenthood centers focus on family planning and reproductive health care, typically offering the full range of contraceptives and other sexual and reproductive health services such as STI testing and treatment, cervical cancer screenings, and pregnancy testing. These clinics also employ clinicians and staff with expertise in family planning care. Planned Parenthood clinics comprise a relatively small portion of clinics that receive public financing for family planning services but have historically served a disproportionate share of safety-net patients (Figure 6).

Health Departments

State and local health departments offer public health services such as vaccines and chronic disease screenings to people who are low-income or uninsured. In many communities, they also offer family planning services, such as HPV vaccines and a limited range of contraceptive services. State and local health agencies may incorporate family planning counseling and services as part of other core public health functions, particularly maternal and child health programs.

Indian Health Services (IHS) Clinics

The Indian Health Service (IHS), an agency under the Department of Health and Human Services, provides a wide range of health services to approximately 2.8 million American Indian and Alaska Native (AIAN) individuals via a network of hospitals, clinics and health stations. Federal regulations require IHS to cover health promotion and disease prevention services, which include family planning services and STI services. However, the availability of contraceptive methods varies by clinic. Services at IHS and tribal clinics are provided with no cost-sharing and are generally only available to members or descendants of federally recognized Tribes who live on or near federal reservations.

Among Publicly-Funded Family Planning Providers, Planned Parenthood Clinics Have Highest Volume of Patients Receiving Contraception Care (Stacked Bars)

Future of Public Financing for Sexual and Reproductive Health

Over the next few years, a confluence of policy changes at the federal level will challenge the network of publicly supported programs and clinics that provide access to free and low cost family planning services. The 2025 Budget Reconciliation law blocks Planned Parenthood clinics from receiving federal Medicaid payments for one year, cutting off a primary source of revenue from a major provider of sexual and reproductive health care for people with low incomes. Additionally, the President and other Republican leaders have proposed eliminating funding for the Title X program. Yet, the Congressional Budget Office estimates an increase of 10 million uninsured individuals over the next decade from the Budget Reconciliation law and the sunsetting of supplemental ACA premium tax credits at the end of 2025 could raise this number even further. With a steep rise in the number of uninsured people, clinics will likely face higher demand in the aftermath of sharp decreases in financing, greatly challenging an already fragile reproductive health safety net.