Study Uses Mathematical Models To Predict Number Of HIV Cases By 2035, How Various Interventions Could Reduce Incidence
International Business Times: HIV vaccine and UNAIDS targets could cut new cases from 49 million to just 17.3 by 2035
“Over the next 20 years, there will be 49 million new cases of HIV, a mathematical model has indicated. This number, however, could be drastically reduced if current interventions are acted upon and a vaccine is introduced in the next four years. A team of scientists led by Jan Medlock of Oregon State University examined the ongoing pandemic in 127 countries to establish a model predicting how many cases will be diagnosed between 2015 and 2035. They then worked out how big an impact different approaches to prevention would have…” (Osborne, 3/21).