Disease Models Should Better Allow For Uncertainty, Study Says
SciDev.Net: Disease models need room for randomness, paper urges
“Models used to manage disease outbreaks such as the ongoing Ebola epidemic must make greater allowances for uncertainty, according to a paper published today by the Royal Society in the United Kingdom. … ‘Attention to uncertainty helps one prepare rationally for a range of likely scenarios,’ says author Aaron A. King, who researches evolutionary biology and mathematics at the University of Michigan…” (Park, 4/1).