How Might Lowering the Medicare Age Affect Medicaid Enrollees?

Authors: MaryBeth Musumeci, Robin Rudowitz, and Tricia Neuman
Published: Jun 10, 2021

President Biden’s FY 2022 budget proposes lowering the Medicare enrollment age from 65 to 60, and a group of over 150 House Democrats recently called for a provision lowering the Medicare age to 60 or 55 to be included in the President’s American Families Plan. President Biden’s budget proposes “giving people age 60 and older the option to enroll in the Medicare program with the same premiums and benefits as current beneficiaries, but with financing separate from the Medicare Trust Fund.” The President’s budget proposal does not detail how lowering the Medicare age would work or be financed, or how it would affect current Medicaid spending and enrollees. While lowering the Medicare eligibility age based solely on work history to 60 could provide coverage to older adults who are currently uninsured or provide a more affordable option for people with private health insurance coverage, it also could affect Medicaid enrollees in this age range. Some Medicaid enrollees might lose Medicaid coverage when they gain Medicare, and others might become dually eligible for both programs, depending on the details of how it would work.

There are 3 million adults ages 60-64 enrolled in Medicaid as of 2019, just under 1 million of whom are already dually eligible for both Medicare and Medicaid (because they receive Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI)). Medicare covers over 60 million seniors and nonelderly adults with significant long-term disabilities. Under current law, people with a sufficient work history are entitled to enroll in Medicare at age 65, and enrollment for non-elderly adults is limited to people who receive SSDI, generally after a 24 month waiting period. This issue brief highlights key differences between Medicare and Medicaid and raises questions about how a policy to lower the age of Medicare eligibility could affect individuals who are currently enrolled in Medicaid.

How could lowering the Medicare age affect people eligible for full Medicaid benefits?

What is current policy? Today, some people are eligible for both Medicare and full Medicaid benefits, while others may lose Medicaid eligibility once they become eligible for Medicare. A person’s status as a Medicare beneficiary does not qualify them for full Medicaid benefits. Instead, a person must independently qualify for Medicaid through an eligibility pathway based on low income or disability. Individuals in the 60-64 age range may qualify for Medicaid through various pathways that may have different eligibility criteria and benefit packages. For example:

  • Poverty-related Medicaid pathways, such as the ACA expansion (which 38 states plus DC have opted for), consider a person’s income but do not have an asset test. Notably, receiving Medicare and/or turning 65 makes someone ineligible for Medicaid as an ACA expansion adult.
  • Disability-related Medicaid pathways have relatively higher income limits compared to the poverty-related pathways described above and may have an asset limit, though some states have expanded or eliminated asset limits. State Medicaid programs must cover SSI enrollees, while other disability-related pathways are optional. States can choose to cover seniors and people with disabilities up the federal poverty level, people with high medical expenses considered medically needy, working people with disabilities, and those with incomes up to 300% of the federal SSI benefit amount ($2,382 per month for an individual in 2021) who need long-term home and community-based services, though eligibility pathways vary substantially by state. Unlike the ACA expansion pathway, individuals who qualify under these pathways may be dually eligible for Medicare. For those dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid, Medicare is the primary payer, and Medicaid provides wrap-around benefits, filling in gaps in Medicare coverage, and also helps with Medicare’s out-of-pocket costs (discussed below).

What are the key policy choices and implications?  Lowering the age for Medicare would require policy choices about whether to allow individuals in the new age range to continue to receive full Medicaid benefits, if eligible under the ACA expansion or other poverty- or disability-related pathways, or whether these individuals would move from Medicaid to Medicare as their sole or primary source of coverage. How these eligibility issues are resolved has important implications for enrollee benefits and cost-sharing as well as state and federal costs (discussed below). Additionally, Medicare enrollment is limited to specific periods, while Medicaid enrollment is open year-round. However, Medicaid eligibility must be periodically renewed, while Medicare eligibility currently continues without the need to renew eligibility once a person turns 65.

How could lowering the Medicare age affect benefits for current Medicaid enrollees?

What is current policy?  Medicare and Medicaid’s benefit packages differ. Both cover inpatient and outpatient care and prescription drugs. Medicare generally includes wider participation of providers, though Medicaid drug coverage is broader. Medicaid also covers long-term care services in nursing homes and the community and specialty behavioral health services, which Medicare generally does not. Medicaid covers dental, vision, and hearing benefits for adults at state option. Traditional Medicare currently does not generally cover these benefits, although most Medicare Advantage plans do offer some dental, vision and hearing benefits. President Biden’s budget calls for adding these benefits to Medicare. Medicaid rules also require states to recover the cost of long-term care benefits provided to people age 55 and older from the estates of deceased enrollees, and other costs may be subject to estate recovery at state option. Medicare does not require estate recovery, though it also does not cover long-term care services. The appeals process also differs between the two programs, with Medicaid allowing services to continue while an appeal is pending.

What are the key policy choices and implications?  Policy choices about whether individuals in the new age range could retain Medicaid if eligible or instead would move from Medicaid to Medicare are important because individuals currently eligible for Medicaid could lose access to benefits not covered by Medicare if they are required to move to Medicare as their sole source of coverage. Additionally, those appealing benefit reductions or terminations would not have continued access to services while appeals are resolved in Medicare as is the case in Medicaid.

How could lowering the Medicare age affect provider networks for current Medicaid enrollees?

What is current policy? People may have access to different provider networks in Medicare vs. Medicaid, due to different managed care and network adequacy rules. Once eligible for coverage, Medicare allows enrollees to choose whether to receive benefits under the traditional Medicare program, or enroll in a Medicare Advantage managed care plan. Traditional Medicare offers access to a broad provider network, while Medicare Advantage plans have restricted provider networks. States may require Medicaid enrollees to enroll in managed care, which can further restrict provider networks beyond those that participate in the state’s fee-for-service Medicaid program.

What are the key policy choices and implications? People could gain access to a broader provider network through traditional Medicare compared to their state’s Medicaid program. If moving from Medicaid to Medicare, individuals could experience  changes in delivery systems and provider networks, depending on whether they opt for Medicare Advantage or traditional Medicare, which could mean disruptions in care.

How could lowering the Medicare age affect out-of-pocket costs for current Medicaid enrollees?

What is current policy? The Medicare Savings Program (MSP) is a Medicaid pathway that helps to cover Medicare’s premiums and/or cost-sharing requirements for current Medicare enrollees with low income and limited assets. This is an important consideration because Medicare’s premiums and cost-sharing are higher than those under Medicaid, which limits the populations who can be subject to premiums and has nominal cost-sharing. Box 1 summarizes current Medicare out-of-pocket costs and the assistance available through MSP.

Box 1:  Medicare Out-of-Pocket Costs and the Medicare Savings Program

Medicare Part A, which covers inpatient hospital services, has an annual deductible of $1,484 in 2021. Medicare Part A also requires co-insurance for hospital stays over 60 days. Most Medicare beneficiaries qualify for Part A without a premium, based on their work history. Medicare Part B, which covers outpatient services, requires a monthly premium of $148.50 for most beneficiaries in 2021. Part B also requires an annual deductible of $203 in 2021 and co-insurance of 20% of the Medicare-approved cost of services after the deductible is met.

To help low-income enrollees afford Medicare’s out-of-pocket costs, state Medicaid programs must offer three MSP pathways:

Qualified Medicare Beneficiaries (QMBs) generally have incomes up to 100% FPL ($1,073 per month for an individual and $1,452 for a couple in 2021). Four states set their MSP income limits above the federal minimum as of 2018. Most states adopt the federal asset limit of $7,970 for an individual and $11,960 for a couple, though a few states have higher asset limits, and nine states have no asset limits as of 2018. Medicaid pays Medicare Parts A and B premiums and cost-sharing for QMBs.

Specified Low-Income Medicare Beneficiaries (SLMBs) have slightly higher incomes (100-120% FPL) and receive help with Medicare Part B premiums only. Most states set their SLMB income limits at 120% FPL ($1,288 per month for an individual and $1,742 for a couple in 2021). The asset limits described above also apply to the SLMB group.

Qualified Individuals (QIs) are eligible for Medicaid assistance with Medicare Part B premiums through an expansion of the SLMB program. The QI program covers Medicare beneficiaries with incomes up to 135% FPL ($1,449 per month for an individual and $1,960 for a couple in 2021). The asset limits described above also apply to the QI group. Unlike other Medicaid pathways, because Congress only appropriates a limited amount of funds to each state to pay for the QI program, once a state’s QI appropriation is spent, additional individuals who meet the eligibility criteria cannot receive help.

What are the key policy choices and implications?  Proposals to lower the Medicare age likely will have to account for what type of assistance would be available to make the new coverage affordable for lower income enrollees, such as individuals who may lose Medicaid and transfer to Medicare. Without addressing this issue, some people could face higher out-of-pocket costs in Medicare compared to Medicaid. For example, people ages 60-64 who currently receive Medicaid in the ACA expansion group are eligible for that coverage based on their low incomes and without an asset test. When these individuals become eligible for Medicare under current law, they must meet both income and asset limits (Box 1) to qualify for MSP help with Medicare out-of-pocket costs. Though a few states have expanded or eliminated MSP asset limits, this generally means that individuals with savings above $7,970 would be ineligible for MSP, even though they might have been eligible for full Medicaid benefits in expansion states.

How might lowering the Medicare age affect state and federal costs and provider payments?

What is current policy? Medicare is a federal program primarily financed by a combination of payroll taxes, general revenue, and premiums. In traditional Medicare, the federal government establishes the methodology for making payments to hospitals, physicians and other health care providers under the traditional Medicare program and uses a formula to establish capitated payments to Medicare Advantage plans. In contrast, Medicaid is financed jointly by states and the federal government, and states determine provider payment rates within broad federal standards.

What are the key policy choices and implications? The precise impact of lowering the Medicare age on federal and state costs depends on how the policy is structured. Transitioning current Medicaid enrollees to Medicare would be likely to increase federal spending and reduce state costs as states would no longer share in the costs of covering these individuals. If individuals 60-64 are permitted to retain their current Medicaid eligibility, states would continue to fund a share of these individuals’ Medicaid costs, though Medicare would be the primary payer for the benefits it covers. If enrollees move to Medicare and do not retain full Medicaid eligibility, the federal government would no longer pay for a share of benefits that are only available through Medicaid (like long-term care).

Whether and how lowering the Medicare age would affect provider payment rates is likely to vary depending on the type of provider. Medicaid payment rates for hospitals vary across states, but after accounting for supplemental payments, overall rates for hospitals are comparable to or higher than Medicare. Lowering the Medicare age might lead to lower revenues for physicians, as Medicaid payment rates for physicians tend to be lower than Medicare. Gross margins for Medicare Advantage plans are higher than for Medicaid managed care plans, though Medicare Advantage plans now cover an older population with higher health spending. While rates in Medicaid plans must be actuarily sound, they tend to be lower than other markets.

Looking Ahead

Lowering the Medicare enrollment age could have considerable impacts on the scope of covered benefits, out-of-pocket costs, and provider access for low-income people as well as implications for state and federal health care costs. Depending on individual circumstances and key policy decisions, people who move from Medicaid to Medicare might experience higher out-of-pocket costs and/or fewer covered benefits. On the other hand, they might have access to a broader provider network in traditional Medicare, compared to their state’s Medicaid program. On the whole, current Medicaid enrollees are likely to face different issues than those who move from private insurance or uninsured status to Medicare.

FDA’s Approval of Biogen’s New Alzheimer’s Drug Has Huge Cost Implications for Medicare and Beneficiaries

Published: Jun 10, 2021

The question of what would happen when a new, expensive prescription drug comes to market for a disease like Alzheimer’s that afflicts millions of people has loomed large in discussions over drug prices in the U.S.—and now we’re about to find out. After a nearly 20-year dry spell in new treatments for Alzheimer’s disease, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) just approved a new Alzheimer’s medication, Aduhelm (aducanumab), developed by Biogen, with an expected annual price tag of $56,000. While the scientific community debates the evidence of the effectiveness of this new drug, the FDA’s decision raises hope for Alzheimer’s patients and their families, along with serious cost concerns for patients and payers, particularly Medicare.

Alzheimer’s disease is estimated to affect about 6 million Americans, the vast majority of whom are age 65 and older and therefore eligible for Medicare. As an intravenous infused medication administered by physicians, Aduhelm will be covered under Medicare Part B, which generally covers FDA-approved physician-administered medications that are reasonable and necessary for the individual patient. (In contrast, Medicare Part D covers retail prescription drugs.) With FDA approval in hand, attention now turns to decision-makers at the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) who may opt to undertake a National Coverage Determination process that could set some limits on the conditions of Medicare coverage for Aduhelm based on the drug’s clinical effectiveness.

Medicare’s long-standing practice is to make coverage determinations without taking cost into consideration. While Medicare sets rates for hospitals and other providers, it does not set its own rates for drugs covered under Part B. Instead, Medicare reimburses providers 106% of the Average Sales Price (ASP), which is the average price to all non-federal purchasers in the U.S, inclusive of rebates. For drugs where no ASP is available, such as a new drug like Aduhelm, Medicare pays 103% of the wholesale acquisition cost (WAC) until ASP data are available. The WAC is equivalent to a list price and typically higher than ASP. Biogen has set the list price for Aduhelm at $56,000 for a year of treatment.

It is hard to know exactly how many Medicare beneficiaries will take Aduhelm, but even a conservative estimate would lead to a substantial increase in Medicare spending. In 2017, nearly 2 million Medicare beneficiaries used one or more of the currently-available Alzheimer’s treatments covered under Part D, based on our analysis of Medicare Part D claims data. If just one-quarter of these beneficiaries are prescribed Aduhelm, or 500,000 beneficiaries, and Medicare pays 103% of $56,000 in the near term, total spending for Aduhelm in one year alone would be nearly $29 billion, paid by Medicare and the patients who use this drug – an amount that far exceeds spending on any other drug covered under Medicare Part B or Part D, based on 2019 spending. To put this $29 billion amount in context, total Medicare spending for all Part B drugs was $37 billion in 2019.

If 1 million Medicare beneficiaries receive Aduhelm, which may even be on the low end of Biogen’s expectations, spending on Aduhelm alone would exceed $57 billion dollars in a single year – far surpassing spending on all other Part B-covered drugs combined. In fact, this amount is roughly the same that Medicare paid for all hospital outpatient services in 2019.

Alzheimer’s patients covered under Medicare Part B could also face high out-of-pocket costs for treatment with Aduhelm, both for the drug itself and for the cost of related medical services. For most Part B covered drugs and services, Medicare pays 80% of the cost and beneficiaries are responsible for the remaining 20%. This means beneficiaries would face about $11,500 in coinsurance for one year of Aduhelm treatment, which represents nearly 40% of the $29,650 in median annual income per Medicare beneficiary in 2019. Because Aduhelm is not a cure for Alzheimer’s disease, patients could incur these annual out-of-pocket costs over multiple years.

The majority of beneficiaries in traditional Medicare have supplemental insurance, such as Medigap, employer-sponsored retiree coverage, or Medicaid, that would cover some or all of the coinsurance. However, beneficiaries with Medigap or retiree health could see their premiums rise to account for higher plan liability associated with costs for Aduhelm. And close to 6 million Medicare beneficiaries, or 10% of all beneficiaries, are in traditional Medicare with no supplemental coverage, which means they are fully exposed to Medicare’s cost-sharing requirements and lack the financial protection of an out-of-pocket cap, unlike enrollees in Medicare Advantage plans.

The 24 million beneficiaries enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans are also responsible for cost sharing for Part B drugs, like Abuhelm, though they typically do not have supplemental insurance to help with these expenses. According to our estimates, in 2021, nearly 90% of Medicare Advantage enrollees are in plans that charge 20% coinsurance for Part B drugs provided in-network, the same as under traditional Medicare, though some plans impose coinsurance as high as 45% or 50% for Part B drugs administered by out-of-network providers. Medicare Advantage enrollees who use Aduhelm would be responsible for their share of costs until they reach the annual out-of-pocket maximum ($7,550 for in-network care and $11,300 for combined in-network and out-of-network care in 2021).

The billions of dollars in new Medicare Part B spending will likely lead to higher Part B premiums for all 56 million Part B enrollees in traditional Medicare and Medicare Advantage. Since Part B premiums are set to equal 25% of projected annual Part B expenditures, an increase in spending would lead to an increase in premiums. State and federal Medicaid spending will also rise, since Medicaid pays the Part B premium for about 12 million low-income Medicare beneficiaries with Medicaid, and covers coinsurance for 9 million of these beneficiaries who have both Medicare and full Medicaid coverage.

The introduction of a new high-priced drug could energize efforts in Congress to enact drug price legislation. Under H.R. 3, which passed the House of Representatives in the last Congress and was recently reintroduced, the HHS Secretary would have authority to negotiate prices for up to 250 drugs, drawing from the 125 drugs with the highest net spending in Medicare Part D and the 125 drugs with the highest net spending in the U.S. overall, which could include drugs covered under Part B, such as Aduhelm. Negotiated prices would be made available to enrollees in Part D plans and private insurance coverage, and to providers that administer physician-administered drugs. Other proposals under active consideration would limit annual price increases for Part B and Part D drugs and limit the financial incentives under Medicare’s existing Part B reimbursement system for physicians to administer higher-priced drugs. The Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation could also test models to modify Medicare payments for high-priced drugs.

At a time when federal and state policymakers are weighing several policy options to lower prescription drug prices, the approval of Aduhelm provides the latest high-profile example of the potential budgetary consequences of Medicare’s role as a price-taker in the pharmaceutical marketplace. Concerns about the impact on Medicare spending associated with Aduhelm are reminiscent of discussions that took place after the introduction of high-cost treatments for hepatitis C, though in that case, the new drugs cured the disease and were approved for a much smaller patient population. Aduhelm may represent hope for Alzheimer’s patients and their families who have waited years for new treatments to come along, but that hope is likely to come at a high cost to Medicare, beneficiaries, and taxpayers.

This work was supported in part by Arnold Ventures. We value our funders. KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities.

Utilization and Spending Trends in Medicaid Outpatient Prescription Drugs, 2015-2019

Authors: Elizabeth Williams and Rachel Dolan
Published: Jun 9, 2021

Issue Brief

Key Takeaways

Prescription drug spending in Medicaid and other health programs has returned to the national policy debate. This analysis examines Medicaid outpatient prescription drug utilization and spending before rebates over the 2015 to 2019 period, which is helpful for understanding recent cost drivers and areas for targeted policy action. Key takeaways include:

  • Utilization, measured in terms of the number of prescriptions, increased by 5% from 2015 to 2019. Utilization increased from 2015 to 2017 and then declined in the years following.
    • The ten most frequently prescribed drug groups, which included Analgesics/Antipyretics, psychotherapeutic agents, cardiac drugs, antibiotics, and anticonvulsants, were relatively stable throughout the period, with the same groups making up the top five drug groups by utilization every year. These drug groups treat common illnesses and health conditions and reflect the health needs of Medicaid beneficiaries.
    • Notably, psychotherapeutic agents, including antidepressants, were the second most prescribed drug group throughout the period of study, highlighting the key role Medicaid plays in covering and financing behavioral health care.
    • Opioid prescriptions used to treat pain declined 41% over the period of study, while prescriptions to treat opioid addiction and overdose increased.
  • While Medicaid net spending on prescription drugs remained almost unchanged, spending before rebates increased by 23% from 2015 to 2019. Spending before rebates followed a similar pattern to utilization, increasing from 2015 to 2017 and decreasing in 2018; however, as utilization continued to decrease in 2019, spending increased again by 9%. Trends in gross spending and utilization provide important context for pharmacy benefit policy by highlighting underlying cost factors.
    • The ten most costly drug groups were relatively stable throughout the period, with the exception of molecular targeted therapy drugs, which grew from the 12th most costly drug group in 2015 to the 5th most costly drug group in 2019 before rebates.
    • Antivirals were the most costly drug group before rebates every year from 2015 to 2019. Spending on antivirals, and especially hepatitis C drugs, is disproportionate to their utilization.
    • Antidiabetics spending before rebates grew by 53% over the period of study, driven by spending on newer, non-insulin antidiabetic drugs.
  • Generic drugs accounted for the vast majority of prescriptions over the 2015 to 2019 period, while brand drugs accounted for the vast majority of spending. Throughout the period, brand drugs accounted for a growing share of spending.
  • Spending on biological products is disproportionate to their utilization, accounting for little over 1% of prescriptions every year but between 15% and 21% of Medicaid spending before rebates over the period.

States remain concerned about the entry of new high-cost drugs to the market and report that developing strategies and policies to address these drugs is a top priority. There has also been recent policy discussion about federal action to address the cost of new therapies through the FDA accelerated approval pathway as well as gene and cell therapies. Data on utilization and spending can help highlight potential implications of policy proposals.

Introduction

Prescription drugs have returned to the national policy debate, with both Congress and the administration developing proposals to address drug prices. Though attention in current federal actions is largely focused on Medicare and private insurance drug prices, federal legislation also has been recently introduced or enacted that would affect Medicaid prescription drug policy. States also remain concerned about the budgetary impact of new, high cost drugs and Medicaid drug spending, given fiscal pressures. Understanding utilization and spending patterns in Medicaid can help illustrate the potential effects of proposed policy changes or targeted policy actions.

This brief analyzes data on Medicaid drug spending and utilization from 2015 to 2019, the period after the major expansion of Medicaid under the ACA and through most recent complete data available. It examines trends across drug groups, brand or generic status, and biologic status and takes a closer look at some of the drug groups that are experiencing changes in utilization and spending or have been the subject of recent policy debates. As described in more detail in Appendix B, it is based on Medicaid State Drug Utilization Data merged with IBM Micromedex RED BOOK data to analyze trends by drug group and brand or generic status. It also incorporates data from the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to analyze trends among biological products. Because of data restrictions, spending does not reflect rebates. This analysis updates previous analysis of Medicaid outpatient prescription drug trends.

Background: Structure of the Medicaid Prescription Drug Benefit

The Medicaid prescription drug benefit is an optional benefit that all states provide. The state may provide the benefit in a fee-for-service environment or through managed care. Most states provide the benefit through managed care, although some states have moved to carve out specific classes or the pharmacy benefit altogether. State Medicaid programs reimburse pharmacies for prescription drugs based on the ingredient costs for the drug and a dispensing fee for filling the prescription; they do not buy drugs directly from manufacturers.

Under the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program (MDRP), manufacturers that want their drugs covered by Medicaid must sign an agreement with the Secretary of Health and Human Services stating that they will rebate a specified portion of the Medicaid payment for the drug to the states, who in turn share the rebates with the federal government. In return, Medicaid must cover almost all FDA-approved drugs that those manufacturers produce.1  However, state Medicaid programs can and do implement drug utilization management techniques, such as preferred drug lists and prior authorizations, to manage utilization and spending.

In addition to federal statutory rebates, most states negotiate supplemental rebates. Both statutory and supplemental rebates account for a sizeable share of prescription drug spending, lowering aggregate drug spending by about 55% in 2019. Rebates also increased during the period of this analysis, leaving Medicaid net spending in 2019 almost the same as net spending in 2015. Rebates vary across brand and generic drugs and specialty and non-specialty drugs due to the rebate formulas and rules that require Medicaid to receive the “best price” available to other purchasers (excluding certain government programs).2  A CBO analysis recently found that on average, Medicaid obtained rebates of approximately 77% of the Medicaid retail price for certain brand-name drugs.3   Medicaid rebates also include an inflation-based component to account for rising prices over time, which insulates the program from large price hikes. The specific rebate on a given drug is proprietary for both statutory and supplemental rebates. Because of this, it is not possible to include them in this analysis of trends by drug or drug group. While rebates have implications for net Medicaid spending, understanding trends in gross spending and utilization provides important context for pharmacy benefit policy by highlighting underlying cost factors.

Medicaid drug utilization and spending before rebates followed similar trends from 2015-2018 but diverged in 2019. Medicaid outpatient drug utilization increased from 695.7 million prescriptions in 2015 to 763.7 million in 2017, an average annual growth of 5% (Figure 1). Following a similar pattern, Medicaid spending before rebates also increased from $55.8 billion in 2015 to $64.6 billion in 2017, representing average annual growth of 8%. From 2017 to 2018, utilization and spending both declined by 3%, decreasing from 763.7 million prescriptions and $64.6 billion down to 742.3 million prescriptions and $62.9 billion, respectively. This decline likely reflects declines in Medicaid enrollment, which declined by 1.6 million in 2018. From 2018 to 2019, utilization decreased by 1%, down to 731.3 million prescriptions, while spending diverged and grew by 9%, up to $68.5 billion. The increase in spending before rebates in 2019 may reflect the launch of expensive new brand drugs and increasing list prices.

Figure 1: Trend in Number and Spending for Medicaid Outpatient Prescriptions, 2015-2019

The top ten most frequent drug groups by number of prescriptions accounted for over half of all prescriptions each year from 2015 through 2019 and were relatively stable during the period. The exception is antihyperlipidemic drugs, which replaced anxiolytics (a type of psychotherapeutic) as the 10th most prescribed drug group starting in 2017 (Table 1 and Appendix Table A1). Further, the same groups made up the top five drug groups by utilization every year. Throughout all years, analgesics/antipyretics accounted for the largest number of prescriptions, and psychotherapeutic agents accounted for the second largest number of prescriptions. In 2019, both groups together accounted for 20% of all Medicaid prescriptions (Figure 2). Within the drug group psychotherapeutic agents, antidepressants made up more than 70% of all psychotherapeutic prescriptions each year.

Figure 2: Number of Medicaid Outpatient Prescriptions by Drug Group, 2019
Table 1: Rankings of Top Drug Groups by Number of Medicaid Prescriptions
Drug GroupTypical UseRanking by Year
20152016201720182019
Analgesics/AntipyreticsReduce pain, fever, inflammation11111
Psychotherapeutic AgentsTreat psychosis and depression22222
Cardiac DrugsTreat medical conditions associated with the heart or circulatory system43333
AntibioticsTreat bacterial infections34444
AnticonvulsantsTreat epileptic seizures55555
Antidiabetic AgentsTreat diabetes87666
Allergy Immunotherapy & AntihistaminesAllergy treatment66777
Sympathomimetic AgentsStimulate adrenergic receptors78888
Adrenals & CombinationsReduce inflammation99999
Antihyperlipidemic DrugsReduce lipid levels1212101010
SOURCES: KFF analysis of 2015-2019 State Drug Utilization Data; IBM Micromedex RED BOOK, December 2020.

Similarly, the ten most costly drug groups accounted for almost two thirds of Medicaid spending before rebates each year, and the composition of the top ten most costly drug groups before rebates remained relatively stable throughout the period (Table 2 and Appendix Table A2). Throughout all years, antivirals accounted for the largest share of gross drug spending. Although they switched places in 2017, antidiabetic agents and psychotherapeutic agents consistently ranked second and third in spending by year. In 2019, antivirals, antidiabetic agents, and psychotherapeutic agents together made up 30% of gross spending on Medicaid outpatient prescriptions (Figure 3). Additionally, five of the most prescribed drug groups were also five of the most costly drug groups each year: antidiabetic agents, psychotherapeutic agents, adrenals & combinations, analgesics/antipyretics, and anticonvulsants. Psychotherapeutic agents were consistently the second most prescribed drug group and second or third most costly drug group before rebates each year, highlighting the key role Medicaid plays in covering and financing behavioral health care. However, these trends in gross spending may not reflect net payment, given differences in rebates to Medicaid across brand and generic drugs, among other factors.4 

Figure 3: Gross Spending on Medicaid Outpatient Prescriptions by Drug Group, 2019
Table 2: Rankings of Top Drug Groups by Medicaid Spending
Drug GroupTypical UseRanking by Year
20152016201720182019
AntiviralsTreat viral infections11111
Antidiabetic AgentsTreat diabetes33222
Psychotherapeutic AgentsTreat psychosis and depression22333
ImmunosuppressantsTreat autoimmune diseases and used for organ transplant75444
Molecular Targeted TherapyCancer treatment129765
Adrenals & CombinationsReduce inflammation56676
StimulantSpeed up the central nervous system44557
Coagulants & AnticoagulantsPromote blood clotting or thinning9101098
Analgesics/AntipyreticsReduce pain, fever, inflammation678109
AnticonvulsantsTreat epileptic seizures889810
NOTE: Spending amounts do not include rebates.SOURCES: KFF analysis of 2015-2019 State Drug Utilization Data; IBM Micromedex RED BOOK, December 2020.

Antivirals

While utilization of antivirals overall increased over the period, the number of prescriptions for antiretrovirals (drugs largely used to treat or prevent HIV) and other drugs used for hepatitis C treatment have declined slightly in recent years. Medicaid plays a substantial role in covering people with HIV or Hepatitis C, providing insurance to 42% of the 1.2 million people with HIV and a disproportionate share of the 2.4 million people with hepatitis C in the US. Prescription drugs are a core component of treatment for these health conditions. Utilization of antiviral drugs increased over the period by 21% driven by increased use of other antiviral drugs, such as those that treat the flu. Utilization of antiretrovirals and other hepatitis C drugs decreased slightly over the period, making up 30% of antiviral prescriptions by 2019 (Figure 4). Declines in antiretrovirals may in part reflect substitution toward single-dose regimens, which increased by approximately 0.4 million prescriptions over this period. It could also represent greater stability in prescription regimens within a calendar year or be indicative of churn in the Medicaid program including with private insurance and the Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program. Declines in hepatitis C drugs could reflect utilization controls state Medicaid programs placed on hepatitis C drugs over the period or declining demand as a growing number of people receive the curative treatment. Over the period, antiretrovirals are more commonly prescribed than hepatitis C drugs due to the relatively larger number of people with HIV covered by Medicaid, expanded reach of these drugs through introduction of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) drugs to prevent HIV, and the fact that antiretrovirals are a maintenance drug taken over a lifetime (versus curative hepatitis C drugs taken over one course).

Figure 4: Number of Medicaid Outpatient Prescriptions for Antiviral Drugs, by Type 2015-2019

Over the entire period, antivirals were consistently the most costly drug group in Medicaid before rebates, driven by spending for drugs used to treat HIV and hepatitis C drugs. Antivirals accounted for 11% of gross Medicaid outpatient drug spending in 2019 (Figure 3). Antiretrovirals and hepatitis C drugs accounted for, on average, 91% of Medicaid antiviral spending each year before rebates (Figure 5). Gross spending on antivirals is disproportionate to their utilization (they were not among the top ten most frequently prescribed drug groups) and reflects the high cost of these drugs. While gross spending on hepatitis C drugs has decreased since 2016 due to competition, these drugs, like Harvoni and Sovaldi, account for a relatively large share of spending due to their high per-treatment cost.

Figure 5: Gross Spending on Medicaid Outpatient Antiviral Drugs, by Type, 2015-2019

Opioids

Patterns of prescriptions for opioids have shifted in recent years, with an increase in the number of prescriptions to treat opioid addiction and overdose and a decline in the number of prescriptions to treat pain. Opioids were widely prescribed during the period of study, with opiate agonists, partial agonists, and antagonists together accounting for 5.4% of all Medicaid outpatient prescriptions in 2015. However, opioid prescriptions declined over time, decreasing from 37.3 million prescriptions in 2015 to 28.9 million prescriptions in 2019 (Figure 6). While most opioids are used to treat pain, the opiate partial agonist, buprenorphine, and the opiate antagonists, naloxone and naltrexone, are used to treat addiction and overdose.5  Buprenorphine and opiate antagonists made up an increasing share of opioid prescriptions during the period, growing from 9% in 2015 to 30% in 2019. If opioids are examined aside from buprenorphine and opiate antagonists, the number of opioid prescriptions fell from 34.1 million in 2015 to 20.3 million in 2019, a 41% decline.

Figure 6: Number Medicaid Outpatient Prescriptions for Opioids, by Type, 2015-2019

While overall gross spending on opioids remained relatively stable during the period, buprenorphine and opiate antagonists made up an increasing share of opioid spending before rebates. The share of gross opioid spending on buprenorphine and opiate antagonists grew from 36% in 2015 to 71% in 2019 (Figure 7). At the same time, gross spending on other opiate agonist and partial agonist prescriptions, the vast majority of which are generic, decreased by 49% over the period, reflecting the decline in the number of prescriptions to treat pain.

Figure 7: Gross Spending on Medicaid Outpatient Prescriptions for Opioids, by Type, 2015-2019

Antidiabetics

Antidiabetics were consistently in the top 10 most prescribed and most costly drug groups throughout the period of study. Their use grew 17% from 2015 to 2019, and Medicaid gross spending grew 53% from 2015 to 2019 (Appendix Table A1 and Figure 8). While insulins remained the largest source of gross spending on antidiabetics, non-insulin antidiabetic treatments, such as glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists and sodium glucose co-transporter (SGLT) inhibitors accounted for a growing share of spending (Figure 8).

Figure 8: Gross Spending on Medicaid Outpatient Prescriptions for Antidiabetics, 2015-2019

Medicaid spending on insulins before rebates remained relatively stable throughout the period. While the price of an insulin prescription nearly doubled between 2012 and 2016, Medicaid gross spending on insulin has remained around $4 billion since 2016, apart from 2017 when spending on insulins rose to $4.2 billion (Figure 8). Further, Medicaid gross spending per unit of insulin leveled off in 2016, then began to fall from a high of $0.33 in 2017 to $0.30 in 2019 (Figure 9). It is not clear from this data what has been driving this trend. Across payers, there has been a national pattern of declining insulin prices in recent years due to recent approvals of biosimilars and generics. However, because brand drugs are lower cost on net for the Medicaid program, likely due to high rebate amounts, Medicaid insulin utilization remains concentrated in brand drugs, and generic drugs are not similarly driving down insulin spending for Medicaid.

Figure 9: Trend in Medicaid Gross Spending Per Unit of Insulin, 2015-2019

Molecular Targeted Therapy

Gross Medicaid spending on molecular targeted therapy (a type of targeted cancer treatment) more than doubled during the period of study. Spending on these drugs grew from the 12th most costly drug group in 2015 to the 5th most costly drug group in 2019 (Table 2 and Figure 10). Spending on these drugs is disproportionate to their utilization, with these drugs making up only 0.1% of prescriptions but 5% of overall Medicaid spending by 2019 (Figure 3). This growth reflects the rising cost of cancer treatment and signifies a shift toward more tailored cancer treatment, using therapies to target specific molecular features of tumors alongside other cancer treatments.

Figure 10: Gross Spending on Medicaid Outpatient Molecular Targeted Therapy, 2015-2019

State preference for brand or generic drugs is complex due to the incentives created by the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program. Because generic drugs have lower list prices than brand-name drugs but are still therapeutically equivalent to their corresponding brand drugs, state Medicaid programs may implement required generic substitution policies to steer utilization to generic drugs where possible.6 ,7  However, because Medicaid rebates are higher on brand-name drugs than generics, net costs may actually be lower for brand-name drugs in Medicaid, leading some states to implement “brand over generic” programs. This is especially the case at the initial entrance of a generic equivalent into the market, when a state may still have supplemental rebate agreements and other large rebates that offset the price of the brand drug. Estimates suggest these programs can lead to substantial savings.

Figure 11: Number of Medicaid Outpatient Prescriptions for Brand and Generic Drugs, 2015-2019

Generic drugs accounted for the vast majority of Medicaid outpatient prescriptions while brand drugs accounted for the vast majority of Medicaid spending before rebates during the period. The increase in number of Medicaid prescriptions from 2015 to 2017 was driven by the growing number of generic drugs, while the number of brand drug prescriptions over this period changed very little. The number of both brand and generic prescriptions fell from 2017 to 2019, but brand prescriptions decreased more quickly (14% drop) compared generic prescriptions (3% drop) (Figure 11). However, brand drugs consistently accounted for a relatively large share of Medicaid spending before rebates from 2015 through 2019, and this share increased slightly over time (from 74% to 79%) (Figure 12). The growth in brand spending despite decreases in both brand and generic prescriptions reflects national trends caused by increasing list prices for brand drugs and the launch of expensive new drugs during the period. Gross brand spending increased 8% from 2018 to 2019, likely driven by the launch of high cost, new specialty brand drugs like Biktarvy, Hemlibra, and Epidiolex. Other analysis shows that while other drugs have lost exclusivity over this period, the savings due to introduction of competition for those drugs are not keeping pace with the increased spending from the new drugs launching. There have also been price increases for existing brand drugs, like Humira, but Medicaid may be protected from some of these price hikes over time due to the inflationary component of the MDRP.

Figure 12: Gross Spending on Medicaid Outpatient Prescriptions for Brand and Generic Drugs, 2015-2019

Biologics account for a very small share of prescriptions but a disproportionate share of gross Medicaid drug spending. Biologics are products, such as drugs or vaccines, derived from living organisms with chemical structures more complicated than traditional small molecule drugs. Biosimilars are products that are deemed “highly similar” or “interchangeable” with a referenced biologic. Biologics tend to be priced expensively and face less competition from biosimilars than small molecule brand drugs face from generics. Additionally, while there has been an increase in both biologics and biosimilars approved by the FDA from 2015 to 2019, some FDA approved biosimilars are not due to enter the US market for a few years or have delayed market entry to avoid patent litigation. Across the entire period from 2015-2019, relatively few prescriptions in Medicaid were biologics, but the amount Medicaid spends before rebates on biological products is outsized. While biological products consistently accounted for a little over 1% of Medicaid outpatient prescriptions every year, they accounted for between 15% and 21% of Medicaid spending on prescriptions before rebates over the period (Figure 13).

Figure 13: Biologics as a Share of Number of Medicaid Prescriptions and Outpatient Drug Gross Spending, 2015-2019

Looking Ahead

Medicaid prescription drug policy is likely to remain an issue at both the federal and state levels due to budgetary constraints and the entry of new, high-cost drugs. States remain concerned about the entry of new high-cost drugs to the market and report that developing strategies and policies to address these drugs is a top priority. There has also been recent policy discussion about strategies at the federal level to address the cost of new therapies through the FDA accelerated approval pathway as well as gene and cell therapies.

Congress may take action to address drug prices in both Medicaid and in the health system more broadly. Recent COVID-19 relief legislation includes a provision that lifts the Medicaid rebate cap (currently set at 100% AMP) beginning in 2024 and is estimated to reduce direct Medicaid spending by $14.5 billion. For drugs with large price increases over time, the Medicaid program may receive rebates from manufacturers that exceed the price of the drug. Reducing drug prices remains a focus of policymakers, particularly for individuals in Medicare and with private insurance, but any policies that change underlying drug prices will also have implications for Medicaid drug spending.

This work was supported in part by Arnold Ventures. We value our funders. KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities.

Appendices

Appendix A: Tables

Table A1: Top 10 Drug Groups by Prescriptions
Rank20152016201720182019
1Analgesics/ Antipyretics (86,082,409)Analgesics/ Antipyretics (90,170,824)Analgesics/ Antipyretics (87,603,296)Analgesics/ Antipyretics (79,869,640)Analgesics/ Antipyretics (76,321,204)
2Psychotherapeutic Agents (63,323,593)Psychotherapeutic Agents (68,986,100)Psychotherapeutic Agents (73,151,398)Psychotherapeutic Agents (73,344,877)Psychotherapeutic Agents (74,095,484)
3Antibiotics(48,116,460)Cardiac Drugs (52,973,438)Cardiac Drugs (54,803,664)Cardiac Drugs (53,439,953)Cardiac Drugs (51,222,781)
4Cardiac Drugs (47,945,551)Antibiotics (49,851,747)Antibiotics (49,680,272)Antibiotics (46,379,522)Antibiotics (45,651,425)
5Anticonvulsants (32,063,688)Anticonvulsants (35,343,240)Anticonvulsants (37,403,568)Anticonvulsants (36,626,167)Anticonvulsants (35,988,061)
6Allergy Immunotherapy & Antihistamines (28,486,952)Allergy Immunotherapy & Antihistamines (30,544,135)Antidiabetic Agents (31,258,870)Antidiabetic Agents (30,908,637)Antidiabetic Agents (30,704,265)
7Sympathomimetic Agents (26,357,905)Antidiabetic Agents (29,755,936)Allergy Immunotherapy & Antihistamines (30,975,968)Allergy Immunotherapy & Antihistamines (29,799,083)Allergy Immunotherapy & Antihistamines (30,083,207)
8Antidiabetic Agents (26,186,260)Sympathomimetic Agents (27,487,892)Sympathomimetic Agents (27,965,076)Sympathomimetic Agents (27,234,648)Sympathomimetic Agents (26,686,231)
9Adrenals & Comb. (24,081,529)Adrenals & Comb. (25,998,790)Adrenals & Comb. (26,753,411)Adrenals & Comb. (25,734,924)Adrenals & Comb. (25,814,435)
10Anxiolytic (23,216,218)Anxiolytic (24,351,405)Antihyperlipidemic Drugs (24,292,645)Antihyperlipidemic Drugs (24,004,351)Antihyperlipidemic Drugs (23,483,226)
SOURCES: KFF analysis of 2015-2019 State Drug Utilization Data; IBM Micromedex RED BOOK, December 2020.
Table A2: Top 10 Drug Groups by Medicaid Paid Amount
Rank20152016201720182019
1Antivirals ($7,848,368,982)Antivirals ($9,206,505,141)Antivirals ($8,917,155,503)Antivirals ($7,457,676,103)Antivirals ($7,853,471,067)
2Psychotherapeutic Agents ($6,912,012,885)Psychotherapeutic Agents ($6,283,181,304)Antidiabetic Agents ($6,239,455,084)Antidiabetic Agents ($6,308,551,082)Antidiabetic Agents ($6,908,757,194)
3Antidiabetic Agents ($4,528,901,818)Antidiabetic Agents ($5,668,623,740)Psychotherapeutic Agents ($5,689,022,416)Psychotherapeutic Agents ($5,625,902,994)Psychotherapeutic Agents ($5,873,827,270)
4Stimulant ($2,987,804,886)Stimulant ($3,170,230,462)Immunosuppressants ($3,918,023,261)Immunosuppressants ($4,601,953,316)Immunosuppressants ($5,866,587,687)
5Adrenals & Comb. ($2,700,067,098)Immunosuppressants ($3,157,553,958)Stimulant ($3,189,477,837)Stimulant ($3,049,867,394)Molecular Targeted Therapy ($3,537,105,418)
6Analgesics/ Antipyretics ($2,453,327,623)Adrenals & Comb. ($2,979,009,890)Adrenals & Comb. ($3,039,048,140)Molecular Targeted Therapy ($2,892,308,999)Adrenals & Comb. ($2,976,007,562)
7Immunosuppressants ($2,166,612,165)Analgesics/ Antipyretics ($2,502,808,801)Molecular Targeted Therapy ($2,539,071,962)Adrenals & Comb. ($2,890,468,521)Stimulant ($2,934,419,541)
8Anticonvulsants ($1,947,754,343)Anticonvulsants ($2,175,883,747)Analgesics/ Antipyretics ($2,404,774,675)Anticonvulsants ($2,433,696,422)Coagulants & Anticoagulants ($2,590,002,985)
9Coagulants & Anticoagulants ($1,798,452,692)Molecular Targeted Therapy($2,077,065,490)Anticonvulsants ($2,330,799,364)Coagulants & Anticoagulants ($2,241,068,696)Analgesics/ Antipyretics ($2,444,551,383)
10Sympathomimetic Agents ($1,635,996,791)Coagulants & Anticoagulants ($2,013,718,601)Coagulants & Anticoagulants ($2,124,605,146)Analgesics/ Antipyretics ($2,193,543,762)Anticonvulsants ($2,432,123,911)
NOTE: Spending amounts do not include rebates.SOURCES: KFF analysis of 2015-2019 State Drug Utilization Data; IBM Micromedex RED BOOK, December 2020.

Appendix B: Methodology

This analysis of Medicaid prescription drug utilization and spending trends used 2015 through 2019 State Drug Utilization Data (SDUD), downloaded in early January 2021, merged with data from IBM Micromedex RED BOOK. The SDUD is publicly available data provided as part of the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program. It provides data on the number of prescriptions, Medicaid spending before rebates, and cost-sharing for rebate-eligible Medicaid outpatient drugs. At the time of download, 2019 data were the most recent full year of data available. The RED BOOK data is from December 2020. The use of RED BOOK data does not represent and should not be characterized as a RED BOOK endorsement of any data, findings, or other content presented in this report.

The SDUD and the RED BOOK data were merged at the NDC-level to consistently identify the drug name, as well as to incorporate brand versus generic status and the therapeutic/pharmacologic category of the product. Branded-generic drugs were classified as generic drugs. Using the FDA’s Purple Book, a list of all FDA-licensed biological products regulated by the Center for Drug Evaluation and Research (CDER) and the Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research (CBER) as of December 2020, biological products in the SDUD were identified based on drug name.

Limitations

The SDUD provides spending and utilization data by NDC, quarter, managed care or fee-for-service, and state. It also provides this data summarized for the whole country. CMS has suppressed data cells with fewer than 11 prescriptions, citing the Federal Privacy Act and the HIPAA Privacy Rule. This analysis used the national data because less data is suppressed at the national versus state level.

This analysis does not include rebates because rebate data is unavailable to the public at the NDC level. Rebates have a considerable effect on Medicaid drug spending overall, lowering net spending, but this effect varies at the drug level as different drugs receive different rebates. Additionally, although Medicaid beneficiaries largely self-administer drugs that are prescribed in an outpatient setting, medical practitioners must administer some drugs. Although states are instructed to collect drug rebates on physician-administered outpatient drugs that are not billed as a bundled service, physician-administered drugs subject to a rebate can vary from state to state. Because biologics and other specialty drugs are often physician-administered, it is possible that the data reflects lower Medicaid spending and utilization of certain drugs of this kind.

Endnotes

  1. 42 USC § 1396r-8(a)(1). ↩︎
  2. For brand name drugs, the rebate is 23.1% of Average Manufacturer Price (AMP) or the difference between AMP and “best price,” whichever is greater. Best price is defined as the lowest available price to any wholesaler, retailer, or provider, excluding certain government programs, such as the health program for veterans. For generic drugs, the rebate amount is 13% of AMP, and there is no best price provision. Rachel Dolan, Understanding the Medicaid Prescription Drug Rebate Program (Washington, DC: KFF, November 2019) https://modern.kff.org/medicaid/issue-brief/understanding-the-medicaid-prescription-drug-rebate-program/ ↩︎
  3. CBO analysis of 176 top-selling brand-name drugs in Medicare Part D. CBO computed the average price of those drugs per standardized prescription—a measure that roughly corresponds to a 30-day supply of medication. Congressional Budget Office, A Comparison of Brand-Name Drug Prices Among Selected Federal Programs (CBO, February 2021), https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2021-02/56978-Drug-Prices.pdf ↩︎
  4. On average, Medicaid obtains rebates on brand drugs that are 77 percent of the average Medicaid retail price but only 60% for specialty drugs. The inflation-based component of the rebate averaged 31 percent of the retail price in Medicaid for specialty drugs and 43 percent for nonspecialty drugs. Congressional Budget Office, A Comparison of Brand-Name Drug Prices Among Selected Federal Programs (CBO, February 2021), https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2021-02/56978-Drug-Prices.pdf ↩︎
  5. Buprenorphine, Naltrexone, and Methadone are FDA approved drugs used in Medication Assisted Treatment for opioid addiction. Buprenorphine and Methadone reduce withdrawal symptoms, and Naltrexone is an antagonist and blocks the effects of both opioids and alcohol. Naloxone is an antagonist that can reverse an opioid overdose. Methadone is administered when used to treat OUD, which is not reported in the Medicaid SDUD data. See Lisa Clemans-Cope, Emma Winiski, Victoria Lynch, and Marni Epstein, Rapid Growth in Medicaid Prescriptions and Spending to Treat Opioid Use Disorder and Opioid Overdose from 2010 to 2018 (Washington, DC, Urban Institute, July 2020), https://www.urban.org/research/publication/rapid-growth-medicaid-prescriptions-and-spending-treat-opioid-use-disorder-and-opioid-overdose-2010-2018/view/full_report. ↩︎
  6. Medicaid Drug Utilization Review State Comparison/Summary Report FFY 2015 Annual Report, Prescription Drug Fee-For-Service Programs, CMS, December 2016, https://www.medicaid.gov/medicaid-chip-program-information/by-topics/prescription-drugs/downloads/2015-dur-summary-report.pdf; Medicaid Drug Utilization Review State Comparison/Summary Report FFY 2016 Annual Report, Prescription Drug Fee-For-Service Programs, CMS, October 2017, https://www.medicaid.gov/medicaid-chip-program-information/by-topics/prescription-drugs/downloads/2016-dur-summary-report.pdf; Medicaid Drug Utilization Review State Comparison/Summary Report FFY 2017 Annual Report, Prescription Drug Fee-For-Service Programs, CMS, October 2018, https://www.medicaid.gov/medicaid/prescription-drugs/downloads/drug-utilization-review/2017-dur-summary-report.pdf; Medicaid Drug Utilization Review State Comparison/Summary Report FFY 2018 Annual Report, Prescription Drug Fee-For-Service Programs, CMS, https://www.medicaid.gov/medicaid/prescription-drugs/downloads/drug-utilization-review/2018-dur-ffs-summary-report.pdf; Medicaid Drug Utilization Review State Comparison/Summary Report FFY 2019 Annual Report, Prescription Drug Fee-For-Service Programs, CMS, https://www.medicaid.gov/medicaid/prescription-drugs/downloads/2019-dur-ffs-summary-report.pdf; See also “Section VI – Generic Policy and Utilization Data” in state DUR Reports, https://www.medicaid.gov/medicaid/prescription-drugs/drug-utilization-review/annual-reports/index.html. ↩︎
  7. Of the states that required more the restrictive requirements, a majority required preauthorization to enable a pharmacist to provide a brand drug when a generic was available. States included other requirements, such as requiring the submission of a MedWatch Form and requiring a medical reason to override the use of a generic, and some implement more than one restrictive requirement. Ibid. ↩︎

Recent and Anticipated Actions to Reverse Trump Administration Section 1557 Non-Discrimination Rules

Authors: MaryBeth Musumeci, Lindsey Dawson, Laurie Sobel, and Jennifer Kates
Published: Jun 9, 2021

The Biden Administration has started taking steps to reverse Trump Administration policy and regulations that significantly narrowed the implementation and administrative enforcement of Section 1557, the Affordable Care Act’s nondiscrimination provision, particularly as the regulations apply to gender identity and sexual orientation. In addition, several lawsuits challenging the regulations, which were initially issued by the Obama Administration and later substantially revised by the Trump Administration, are pending. Section 1557 prohibits discrimination based on race, color, national origin, sex, age, and disability in health programs and activities receiving federal financial assistance. The two versions of the regulations, those from the Obama Administration followed by those from the Trump Administration, adopted conflicting interpretations about the content and scope of prohibited discrimination. This issue brief provides an update on current developments and identifies issues to watch in the coming weeks and months.

Administrative Actions

On May 10, 2021, the Biden Administration announced that the HHS Office for Civil Rights (OCR) will include gender identity and sexual orientation as it interprets and enforces Section 1557’s prohibition against sex discrimination (Figure 1). This announcement followed a federal agency review of existing regulations and policy directed by President Biden’s executive order on preventing and combatting discrimination based on gender identity and sexual orientation, which he issued on his first day in office. The May 2021 announcement marks both a reversal of Trump Administration policy and an expansion of Obama Administration policy. While the Obama Administration regulations included gender identity and sex stereotyping in the definition of sex discrimination, they omitted sexual orientation, noting that federal law in this area was still evolving at that time. Subsequently, the Trump Administration eliminated gender identity and sex stereotyping from the regulations. However, just after the Trump Administration regulations were published, the Supreme Court, in Bostock v. Clayton County, Georgia, ruled that sex discrimination in the employment context does include discrimination based on gender identity or sexual orientation. Following the Bostock ruling, two federal district courts issued nationwide preliminary injunctions (Figure 1 and described further below), blocking implementation of several provisions of the Trump Administration’s regulations related to Section 1557.

Figure 1: Key Dates in Section 1557 Implementation

HHS recently indicated that it will issue a new notice of proposed rule-making (NPRM) to revise the Section 1557 regulations. The Biden Administration states that its “anticipated rulemaking proceeding will provide for the reconsideration of many or all of the changes to existing Section 1557 regulations” that are being challenged in current litigation (described below). The timeframe for the new NPRM is uncertain, with HHS stating that it intends to do so “as expeditiously as reasonably possible” while “account[ing] for HHS’s limited resources. . . .” In light of the Biden Administration’s May 10 announcement, it is likely that the new NPRM will propose not only restoring gender identity but also adding sexual orientation to the regulatory definition of sex discrimination, thereby expanding on the Obama Administration interpretation. The extent to which the new NPRM proposes restoring or expanding other Section 1557 provisions that were changed by the Trump Administration unrelated to the definition of sex discrimination, such as those related to discrimination in health insurance benefit design; language access; notices, grievance procedures, and enforcement; and covered entities, remains to be seen. The new NPRM also could propose restoring provisions prohibiting discrimination based on gender identity and sexual orientation that were eliminated by the Trump Administration in other federal health care regulations outside of Section 1557 that apply to Medicaid, the ACA Marketplaces, and private insurance issuers.

Court Actions

Three of the five cases challenging the Trump Administration regulations have been put on hold to provide the Biden Administration with additional time to complete its review of existing regulations and policy (Table 1). Courts in two of the cases on hold issued the nationwide preliminary injunction orders that continue to block implementation of some provisions of the Trump Administration regulations. These orders remain in place, although the federal government appealed both of them. A third case challenging the Trump Administration regulations also has been put on hold, though the parties disagree about how long the delay in that case should last. The cases currently on hold include:

Two other cases challenging the Trump Administration regulations are currently active (Table 1). Decisions in these cases could influence the contents of the Biden Administration’s expected NPRM as well as the status of the Trump regulations that remain in effect. The active cases include:

Another two cases, which were filed to challenge the Obama Administration regulations and are still pending, raise issues about the interaction between Section 1557’s nondiscrimination provisions and federal laws that protect religious beliefs. The Supreme Court did not reach this issue in Bostock, noting that this is a question for future cases to decide. These cases include:

  • Religious Sisters of Mercy v. Becerra, in which the Biden Administration is appealing a North Dakota federal court ruling that blocks it from requiring Catholic health care entities to perform or provide health insurance coverage for gender transition services under the Obama Administration’s Section 1557 regulations.
  • Franciscan Alliance v. Becerra, in which religiously affiliated health care providers claim that the Obama Administration regulations’ inclusion of gender identity and termination of pregnancy in the definition of sex discrimination would require them to serve people seeking transgender care and people who have terminated a pregnancy in violation of the providers’ religious rights. The 5th Circuit Court of Appeals sent the case back to the trial court to determine whether the providers’ claims are moot in light of the subsequent Trump Administration regulations as well as the recent Biden Administration actions. Briefing on these issues closes on June 18, 2021.

Looking Ahead

The interpretation and enforcement of Section 1557’s prohibition against discrimination in federally funded health programs and activities will continue to develop in the coming months. Outside of the Section 1557 regulations and surrounding litigation, federal courts in other cases have granted relief to individuals alleging discrimination under Section 1557, relying on the text of the statute itself. For example, a Wisconsin federal court permanently blocked the state Medicaid program’s categorical exclusion of gender affirming services from coverage as a violation of the statutory prohibition against sex discrimination. Future court rulings, the forthcoming NPRM, and administrative enforcement by OCR under the new Biden Administration policy together will influence Section 1557 law and policy and could affect the ability to access health coverage and care without discrimination.

Table 1: Lawsuits Challenging the Trump Administration’s Section 1557 Regulations, as of 5/24/21
Case Name/CourtPlaintiffsStatus
Whitman-Walker Clinic v. HHS

(DC district court and DC Circuit Court of Appeals.)

Health care and social service providers who serve LGBTQ people and people with LEPCase is on hold, with next status report due 8/12/21, to provide Biden Administration time to assess next steps. Nationwide preliminary injunction blocking parts of Trump Administration rule remains in place.
  • On 9/2/20, the district court issued a nationwide preliminary injunction preventing the federal government from implementing provisions of the Trump Administration regulations that (1) exclude sex stereotyping from the definition of sex discrimination and (2) incorporate a blanket religious freedom exemption from claims of sex discrimination.
  • The district court denied plaintiffs’ motion for a preliminary injunction to block the final rule’s (1) elimination of the provision prohibiting categorical coverage exclusions for gender-affirming care, (2) elimination of notice and tagline requirements, (3) restriction of the rule’s scope to apply only to HHS-administered programs and activities under ACA Title I, and not all HHS programs and activities, (4) exclusion from the rule of certain activities of health insurance issuers not principally engaged in the business of providing health care, and (5) provisions amending the appropriate legal standard to be applied to Section 1557 claims.
  • The Trump Administration appealed the district court’s preliminary injunction order, seeking to have it overturned. After the Biden Administration took office, the appeals court agreed to the parties’ joint request to put the appeal on hold, in light of the Biden Administration’s executive order directing federal agencies to review existing regulations and policy to prevent and combat discrimination based on gender identity and sexual orientation and to allow the Biden Administration time to review the issues in the lawsuit.
  • The Trump Administration also filed a motion to dismiss the district court case. Like the appeals court case, the district court case has been put on hold to give the Biden Administration time to complete its review of agency regulations and policy.
  • On 5/14/21, the parties filed a joint status report in which the Biden Administration said that its assessment pursuant to the executive order is ongoing. The Biden Administration also said that it intends to issue a new notice of proposed rule-making “as expeditiously as reasonably possible” to revise the regulations, which it says will provide the opportunity to reconsider many or all of the issues raised in this case. The Biden Administration also referred to its 5/10/21 notice that it will consider gender identity and sexual orientation within the definition of sex discrimination under Section 1557, consistent with the Supreme Court’s Bostock decision.
  • The next status report is due on 8/12/21, and every 90 days thereafter. The parties are to file motions to govern future court proceedings within 30 days after the Biden Administration completes its review of existing regulations and policy.
Asapansa-Johnson Walker v. Azar

(NY district court (eastern district) and 2nd Circuit Court of Appeals)

2 transgender women of colorCase is on hold, with next status report duel 8/12/21, to provide Biden Administration time to assess next steps. Nationwide preliminary injunction blocking certain provisions of Trump Administration rule remains in place.
  • On 8/17/20, the district court issued a nationwide preliminary injunction preventing the federal government from implementing provisions of the Trump Administration regulations that exclude gender identity and sex stereotyping from definition of sex discrimination.
  • On 10/29/20, the district court entered an order expanding the preliminary injunction to also prevent the federal government from implementing provisions of the Trump Administration regulations that eliminated the requirement for healthcare providers to treat individuals consistent with their gender identity and eliminated the prohibition on providers from denying or limiting services based on gender identity. The court denied the plaintiffs’ other requests to expand the scope of the preliminary injunction but said that those requests can be renewed if plaintiffs can establish that they have standing to challenge other provisions.
  • The Trump Administration appealed both of the district court’s preliminary injunction orders, seeking to have them overturned. The district court case is on hold while the appeals are pending.
  • After the Biden Administration took office, the appeals court agreed to the parties’ joint request to put the appeal on hold, in light of the Biden Administration’s executive order directing federal agencies to review existing regulations and policy to prevent and combat discrimination based on gender identity and sexual orientation and to allow the Biden Administration time to review the issues in the lawsuit.
  • On 5/14/21, the parties filed a joint status report in which the Biden Administration said that its assessment pursuant to the executive order is ongoing. The Biden Administration also said that it intends to issue a new notice of proposed rule-making “as expeditiously as reasonably possible” to revise the regulations, which it says will provide the opportunity to reconsider many or all of the issues raised in this case. The Biden Administration also referred to its 5/10/21 notice that it will consider gender identity and sexual orientation within the definition of sex discrimination under Section 1557, consistent with the Supreme Court’s Bostock decision.
  • The next joint status report is due on 8/12/21. The parties disagree about how to resolve the case. The plaintiffs argue that the federal government should withdraw its appeal of the preliminary injunction orders, while the federal government argues that the plaintiffs should dismiss their lawsuit.
NY v. HHS

(NY district court (southern district))

23 states (NY, CA, MA, CO, CT, DE, DC, HI, IL, ME, MD, MI, MN, NV, NJ, NM, NC, OR, PA, RI, VT, VA, WI)Case is on hold, although the parties disagree about when the next status report should be due. The states propose 6/13/21, while the federal government proposes 8/12/21.
  • The states’ motion for summary judgment and the federal government’s motion to dismiss the case are waiting for the court’s decision.
  • However, the court granted the federal government’s motion to put the case on hold (which the states did not oppose) in light of the Biden Administration’s executive order directing federal agencies to review existing regulations and policy to prevent and combat discrimination based on gender identity and sexual orientation and to allow the Biden Administration time to review the issues in the lawsuit.
  • On 5/14/21, the parties filed a joint status report in which the Biden Administration said that its assessment pursuant to the executive order is ongoing. The Biden Administration also said that it intends to issue a new notice of proposed rule-making “as expeditiously as reasonably possible” to revise the regulations, which it says will provide the opportunity to reconsider many or all of the issues raised in this case. The Biden Administration also referred to its 5/10/21 notice that it will consider gender identity and sexual orientation within the definition of sex discrimination under Section 1557, consistent with the Supreme Court’s Bostock decision.
Boston Alliance of Gay, Lesbian, Bisexual & Transgender Youth v. HHS

(Massachusetts district court)

A transgender man and health care and social service providers who serve LGBTQ people and people with LEPCase is active. Hearing scheduled for 6/3/21 on federal government’s motion to dismiss the lawsuit.

The court denied federal government’s motion to stay the case. The federal government had asked for the case to be put on hold to give HHS time to complete its review of regulations and policy in light of the Biden Administration’s executive order directing federal agencies to review existing regulations and policy to prevent and combat discrimination based on gender identity and sexual orientation and to allow the Biden Administration time to review the issues in the lawsuit. The plaintiffs opposed the request.

Chinatown Service Center v. HHS

(DC district court)

Community-based organizations serving older adults with LEPCase is active. Awaiting federal government’s response to complaint.
SOURCE:  KFF analysis of case documents, available at https://affordablecareactlitigation.com/aca-enforcement-directly-and-1557/.

Key Facts About Medicare Part D Enrollment, Premiums, and Cost Sharing in 2021

Authors: Juliette Cubanski and Anthony Damico
Published: Jun 8, 2021

The Medicare Part D program provides an outpatient prescription drug benefit to older adults and people with long-term disabilities in Medicare who enroll in private plans, including stand-alone prescription drug plans (PDPs) to supplement traditional Medicare and Medicare Advantage prescription drug plans (MA-PDs) that include drug coverage and other Medicare-covered benefits. This analysis provides the latest data about Medicare Part D enrollment, premiums, and cost sharing in 2021 and trends over time, based on data from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid services (CMS) Part D Enrollment, Benefit, Landscape, and Low Income Subsidy files.

Part D enrollment in Medicare Advantage drug plans has increased over time, while enrollment in stand-alone prescription drug plans has decreased in recent years

A total of 48 million people with Medicare are currently enrolled in plans that provide the Medicare Part D drug benefit, representing more than three-quarters (77%) of all Medicare beneficiaries. This total includes plans open to everyone with Medicare, including stand-alone PDPs and MA-PDs, and plans for specific populations, including retirees of a former employer or union and Medicare Advantage Special Needs Plans (SNPs). Over time, Part D enrollment in MA-PDs has increased, reflecting enrollment growth in Medicare Advantage plans overall, while enrollment in PDPs has decreased each year since 2019.

In 2021, half of all Part D enrollees are enrolled in stand-alone PDPs (50%), and the other half are in MA-PDs (50%), but a slightly larger number of enrollees are in MA-PDs (24.1 million) than in PDPs (23.9 million) (Figure 1, Table 1). (MA-PD enrollment includes Medicare Advantage HMOs, PPOs, private fee-for-service, and Medicare Savings Account plans, and other Medicare private plans, including Medicare-Medicaid plans, Cost plans, and PACE plans). Between 2020 and 2021, the number of MA-PD enrollees increased by 11%, while enrollment in PDPs decreased by 4%.

Part D Enrollment in Medicare Advantage Drug Plans Has Increased Over Time, While Enrollment in Stand-Alone Prescription Drug Plans that Supplement Traditional Medicare Has Decreased in Recent Years

Part D enrollment is concentrated in 3 national firms – UnitedHealth, Humana, and CVS – which have a combined 56% of total enrollment

The top three firms – UnitedHealth, Humana, and CVS Health – cover close to 6 in 10 of all beneficiaries enrolled in Part D in 2021 (56%), while the top five firms – including Centene and Cigna – account for three-quarters (74%) of Part D enrollment (Figure 2). With the exception of Kaiser Permanente, which exclusively offers MA plans, the top Part D plan sponsors offer both stand-alone PDPs and MA-PDs. For most firms, Part D enrollment is more concentrated in one market than the other; for example, CVS Health, Centene, and Cigna have greater enrollment in PDPs than MA-PDs (Table 2).

Medicare Part D Enrollment is Concentrated in 3 National Firms – UnitedHealth, Humana, and CVS Health – Which Combined Account for 56% of Total Enrollment

An increasing share of beneficiaries receiving low-income subsidies are enrolled in Medicare Advantage drug plans, with just over half now enrolled in MA-PDs

In 2021, nearly 13 million Part D enrollees, or just over 1 in 4, receive premium and cost-sharing assistance through the Part D Low-Income Subsidy (LIS) program. These additional financial subsidies, also called “Extra Help,” pay Part D premiums for eligible beneficiaries, as long as they enroll in stand-alone PDPs designated as premium-free “benchmark” plans, and reduce cost sharing. For the first time since Part D started in 2006, more LIS enrollees are in MA-PDs (6.8 million) than in PDPs (6.0 million) (Figure 3). Reflecting overall trends in Part D enrollment, the share of LIS enrollees in stand-alone PDPs has declined over time, from 87% in 2006 to 47% in 2021, while the share in MA-PDs has increased, from 13% in 2006 to 53% in 2021 (Table 1).

As part of increased enrollment in MA-PDs, more than one quarter of all LIS enrollees (26%) are now enrolled in Medicare Advantage Special Needs Plans (SNPs), up from only 4% in 2006. SNPs limit enrollment to beneficiaries with certain characteristics, including those with certain chronic conditions (C-SNPs), those who require an institutional level of care (I-SNPs), and those who are dually enrolled in Medicare and Medicaid (D-SNPs), which account for the majority of SNP enrollees.

For the First Time Since Part D Started in 2006, More Medicare Beneficiaries Receiving Part D Low-Income Subsidies are Enrolled in MA-PDs Than in PDPs

Monthly Part D premiums have decreased somewhat in recent years; the 2021 weighted average premium for drug coverage is 3 times larger for PDPs than for MA-PDs

In 2021, the weighted average monthly premium for PDPs is $38, a 7% reduction (-$3) from a high of $41 in 2018 (Figure 4). The average monthly PDP premium amount has decreased somewhat in recent years, and has remained within a few dollars of the 2021 average since 2010. For MA-PDs, the monthly premium for the Part D portion of covered benefits averages $12 in 2021 (and $21 for Part C and Part D benefits combined). The average premium for drug coverage in MA-PDs is lower than the average premium for PDPs due in part to the ability of MA-PD sponsors to use rebate dollars (which may include bonuses) from Medicare payments for benefits covered under Parts A and B to lower their Part D premiums. The combined weighted average Part D premium across both types of plans is $26 in 2021, a reduction of roughly 20% (-$6) from 2018, driven largely by a decrease in the Part D portion of the monthly MA-PD premium.

The moderation of growth in the average Part D premium in recent years is likely related to changes in the Part D benefit that have reduced plan liability, in particular, an increase in the manufacturer coverage gap price discount on brand-name drugs from 50% to 70% in 2019, which has led to a reduction in plan liability for brand-name drugs during the coverage gap phase. Lower plan liability helps constrain total costs, enabling plans to lower their bids and, therefore, premiums. The average premium reduction among MA-PDs specifically is related to both an increase in the availability of zero premium plans and the reduction in plan liability for brand-name drug costs during the coverage gap phase.

Most Part D enrollees in 2021 (51% of PDP enrollees and 87% of MA-PD enrollees) are in plans offering enhanced benefits, which can include a lower (or no) deductible, reduced cost sharing, or a higher initial coverage limit than under the standard benefit design. The weighted average premium in 2021 for enhanced benefit PDPs is $44, which is roughly 40% higher than the monthly premium for PDPs offering the basic benefit ($32).

Monthly Premiums for Part D Plans Have Decreased Somewhat in Recent Years; the 2021 Weighted Average Premium is 3 Times Larger for PDPs ($38) than MA-PDs ($12)

The average Part D deductible has increased for PDPs, while decreasing for MA-PDs; the 2021 weighted average annual drug deductible is 3.5 times larger in PDPs than in MA-PDs

In 2021, a large majority of PDP enrollees (86%) are in plans that charge a deductible, with nearly two-thirds (64%) in PDPs that charge the standard amount of $445 in 2021. Conversely, less than 1 in 5 MA-PD enrollees (18%) are in plans that charge the standard Part D deductible, and nearly half (47%) are in plans that charge no drug deductible. These enrollment patterns explain the wide divergence between PDPs and MA-PDs in the enrollment-weighted average Part D deductible amount. For PDPs, the average Part D deductible in 2021 is $350, 3.5 times larger than the average drug deductible in MA-PDs ($102) (Figure 5).

The increase in the weighted average Part D deductible for PDPs was particularly steep between 2019 and 2020, when two national PDPs modified their plan design from charging no deductible to charging a partial or full deductible in all or nearly all regions. Charging a full or partial deductible provides plans with an additional lever to reduce their liability, particularly for those enrollees who have relatively low total drug costs, and keep premium growth in check. Conversely, MA-PDs have more leverage to reduce Part D premiums because of rebate dollars from Medicare, and with the majority of MA-PDs offering enhanced benefits, they are more likely to have lower or no deductibles than PDPs.

Average Annual Part D Deductibles Have Increased for PDPs in Recent Years, While Decreasing for MA-PDs; the 2021 Weighted Average Deductible is 3.5 Times Larger in PDPs ($350) than in MA-PDs ($102)

Most Part D enrollees pay less than $10 for generic drugs, but many pay $40-$100 (or coinsurance of 40%-50%) for brand-name drugs; a larger share of MA-PD enrollees than PDP enrollees pay the maximum 33% coinsurance for specialty tier drugs

Most Part D enrollees face relatively low cost sharing for preferred generic drugs, but higher amounts for generics not on the preferred tier. One-half of Part D enrollees (both PDP and MA-PD enrollees) pay $0 for preferred generics in 2021, but many pay $10 or more per prescription for generics that are not on the preferred tier (Figure 6). For preferred generics, 56% of PDP enrollees and 45% of MA-PD enrollees have a $0 copayment, while 44% of PDP enrollees and 51% of MA-PD enrollees face prescription copayments greater than $0 but less than $6. For generic drugs that are not on the preferred generic tier, most PDP enrollees (86%) pay less than $10, while more than half of MA-PD enrollees (60%) pay between $10 and $20. (We did not compare which specific drugs are covered on each tier in PDPs and MA-PDs, which would also influence enrollees’ out-of-pocket costs.)

For non-preferred drugs, most MA-PD enrollees face copayments while most PDP enrollees face coinsurance; for preferred brands, copayments are more common than coinsurance for enrollees in both types of plans. For preferred brands, 57% of PDP enrollees pay monthly copayments less than $45, while 69% of MA-PD enrollees pay $45 to $47. For drugs on the non-preferred tier (which can be all brands or a mix of brands and generics), virtually all PDP enrollees pay coinsurance between 25% and 50% in 2021, while most MA-PD enrollees (83%) pay copayments between $90 and $100. The maximum cost-sharing amount permitted by CMS is $47 or 25% for preferred brands and $100 or 50% for non-preferred drugs in 2021.

A larger share of MA-PD enrollees than PDP enrollees face the maximum 33% coinsurance rate for specialty tier drugs. For specialty tier drugs, defined by CMS as those that cost at least $670 per month, a much larger share of MA-PD enrollees than PDP enrollees are in a plan that charges the maximum 33% coinsurance (54% vs. 14%), while a much larger share of PDP enrollees than MA-PD enrollees are in a plan that charges the minimum 25% coinsurance (66% vs. 7%). Only those plans that waive some or all of the standard deductible are permitted to set the specialty tier coinsurance rate above 25%. Most PDP enrollees are in plans that charge the standard $445 deductible in 2021, while most MA-PD enrollees are in plans that charge either no or a lower deductible.

Most Part D Enrollees Pay Less than $10 for Generic Drugs, But Many Pay Between $40 and $100 (or Coinsurance Between 40% and 50%) for Brand-name Drugs

Juliette Cubanski is with KFF. Anthony Damico is an independent consultant.

Table 1: Distribution of Total and Low-Income Subsidy Part D Enrollment, by Plan Type, 2006-2021
Table 2: Distribution of Medicare Part D Enrollment, by Firm and Plan Type, 2021
News Release

Two-Thirds of the Public Say the U.S. Should Play a Major Role in Distributing COVID-19 Vaccines Globally, But Not Most Republicans

Most of the Public See Many Health Policy Issues As Important Priorities for Congress, Though Drug Prices Emerge As a Top Bipartisan Priority

Published: Jun 3, 2021

With increased attention to the global need for COVID-19 vaccines and the Biden administration’s announcement today about how it plans to distribute the first portion of the 80 million doses it will share by the end of this month, the latest KFF Health Tracking Poll finds that two-thirds of the public (66%) say that the U.S. should play at least a “major role” in distributing COVID-19 vaccines to other countries, including about a quarter (27%) who say it should play a “leading role.”

Nearly 9 in 10 Democrats support the U.S. taking at least a “major role” (87%), while most Republicans (57%) say the U.S. should play a “minor role” or “no role at all,” a larger share than the 41% who want the U.S. to play a “leading” or “major role.”

The shares who say the U.S. should take at least a major role increase when people are told that the U.S. has enough COVID-19 vaccine to help other countries without hurting its own supply (78%), that the pandemic is much worse in other countries and they need access to the vaccines to stop its spread (77%), or that providing vaccines to other countries could help the U.S. achieve the immunity necessary to curb the pandemic (76%). After hearing each of these messages, at least half of Republicans say the U.S. should take a leading or major role in vaccine distribution overseas.

The poll also gauges the public’s health policy priorities, and finds large shares of the public consider each of nine proposals tested as “top” or “important” priorities for Congress.

This includes at least 8 in 10 who say so about allowing the federal government to negotiate lower prices directly with drug makers (92%), expanding Medicare coverage to include hearing aids, dental and vision coverage (90%), placing a limit on out-of-pocket costs that seniors have to pay each year for things like prescription drugs (88%), and continuing efforts to make sure U.S. residents are able to receive a COVID-19 vaccine (81%).

Other priorities for Congress include expanding public health coverage for low-income people in states that have not expanded their Medicaid program (78%), creating a public option to compete with private insurance (71%), or lowering the age of Medicare eligibility (66%).

Democrats are generally more likely than Republicans to prioritize each of these health issues as priorities for Congress. The policies aimed at addressing drug costs are the only ones that majorities of Democrats, independents, and Republicans identify as “top” priorities.

When asked directly whether they support or oppose allowing the federal government to negotiate with drug makers to reduce prices for both Medicare and private insurance, the vast majority of the public (88%) is in favor. The poll suggests those views could change in a national debate with arguments being made for and against the approach.

Support inches higher (to 90%) when the public hears that people could save money on their prescription drugs if this policy were implemented. On the flip side, nearly two thirds (65%) say they oppose such a policy after being told that “it could lead to less research and development of new drugs” or that “it could limit people’s access to newer prescription drugs.” These arguments are similarly effective with Democrats and Republicans.

Other findings include:

  • The COVID relief law enacted in March provides additional financial assistance to people who buy their own health insurance through the Affordable Care Act’s marketplace. Few (7%) of those who could be eligible for this assistance are aware of this fact.
  • Far more continue to view the Affordable Care Act favorably (53%) than unfavorably (35%). This reflects a huge partisan divide, with most Democrats (85%) and a narrow majority of independents (54%) viewing it favorably, and most Republicans (77%) viewing it unfavorably.
  • Larger majorities, including most Republicans, view both Medicare (78%) and Medicaid (74%) favorably.

Designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at KFF, the KFF Health Tracking Poll was conducted from May 18-25 among a nationally representative random digit dial telephone sample of 1,526 adults. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish by landline (248) and cell phone (1,278). The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points for the full sample. For results based on subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher.

Poll Finding

KFF Health Tracking Poll – May 2021: Prescription Drug Prices Top Public’s Health Care Priorities

Authors: Ashley Kirzinger, Audrey Kearney, Mellisha Stokes, and Mollyann Brodie
Published: Jun 3, 2021

Findings

Key Findings

  • The latest KFF Health Tracking Poll finds majorities of the public saying many current health care proposals being discussed by lawmakers are important priorities for Congress to focus on in the coming months, and few (less than one five) saying each of the health priorities “should not be done.” While majorities of the public say each of the health care priorities asked about is important for Congress to work on, proposals aimed at lowering prescription drug prices are a top priority for Democrats, independents, and Republicans.
  • Overall, nearly nine in ten (88%) favor allowing the federal government to negotiate for lower prices on medications, including three-fourths (77%) of Republicans, nine in ten independents (89%) and 96% of Democrats. And while majorities of the public continue favoring this proposal after hearing that people and the federal government could save money on their prescription drugs if this policy were implemented, majorities oppose this policy proposal when the public hears argument made by pharmaceutical companies that it could lead to less research and development for new drugs, or that access to newer prescriptions could be limited.
  • The COVID relief bill passed in early March 2021 provided additional financial assistance to people who buy their own health insurance. The vast majority of those who are eligible for this financial assistance are either unsure whether the COVID-19 relief package included this financial assistance (82%) or say it did not happen (9%), while about one in ten (9%) are aware of this increased financial assistance. Additionally, only a small minority of those potentially eligible for additional financial help or coverage report going online to see if they qualify for a different or cheaper health insurance plan.
  • With COVID-19 vaccine distribution still a domestic priority (especially among Democrats), majorities of the public also say the U.S. should take at least a “major role” when it comes to distributing COVID-19 vaccines internationally. Views of the U.S.’s role in distributing vaccines differs by party, with nearly nine in ten Democrats in support of the U.S. taking at least a major role while more than half of Republicans say the U.S. should take a “minor role” or “no role at all.” Attitudes shift in favor of U.S. involvement when the public is told that distributing COVID-19 vaccines can help other countries without hurting the U.S.’s own supply, that the coronavirus outbreak is worse in other countries and they need access to the vaccines in order to stop the spread of the virus, or that providing vaccines to other countries could help the U.S. achieve immunity necessary to curb the pandemic.

Health Care Priorities For Congress

On May 28th President Biden unveiled his $6 trillion budget for the following fiscal year, with broad calls on Congress to create a public option, lower the Medicare eligibility age to 60, lower prescription drug costs for people with Medicare and job-based coverage, and lower ACA deductibles. The plan also includes making permanent the 2-year financial assistance offered to people who buy their plans on the marketplace that was part of the COVID relief bill. The latest KFF Health Tracking Poll asks the public how much of a priority these, along with other health care priorities, are for Congress to focus on in the coming months and finds majorities saying each is at least an important priority and few (less than one five) saying each of the health priorities “should not be done.”

About nine in ten U.S. adults say allowing federal government negotiations with drug companies to get a lower price on prescription drugs (92%), allowing state governments to negotiate lower drug prices (89%), expanding Medicare coverage to include hearing aids, dental and vision coverage (90%), and placing a limit on out-of-pocket costs that seniors have to pay each year for things like prescription drugs (88%) are “top priorities” or an “important, but not top priorities.” At least seven in ten say continuing efforts to make sure U.S. residents are able to receive a COVID-19 vaccine (81%), expanding government health insurance coverage for lower-income people in non-expansion states (78%), and creating a government-administered public option that would be available to all Americans (71%) are at least important for Congress to work on. A slightly smaller share, but still a majority, say lowering the age of Medicare eligibility from 65 to 60 (66%) and making permanent the two-year expansion of additional financial help for people who buy their own insurance from the COVID relief bill (64%) are important priorities.

Price Negotiations, COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution Top Public's Priorities For Congress

While majorities of the public say each of the health care priorities asked about are at least an important one for Congress to work on, proposals aimed at lowering prescription drug prices are a top priority for Democrats, independents, and Republicans. Majorities, across partisans, say both allowing the federal government and private insurance to negotiate for lower prices on prescription drugs and allowing states to negotiate with drug companies should be a “top priority for Congress.” Majorities of Democrats (66%), independents (56%), and Republicans (58%) also say placing a limiting on out-of-pocket costs like prescription drug costs for seniors is a “top priority.”

Other health proposals asked about in the survey, including continuing efforts to make sure U.S. residents are able to receive a COVID-19 vaccine, expanding government health insurance coverage for lower-income people in non-expansion states, and expanding Medicare coverage to include hearing aids, dental and vision coverage, are viewed as top priorities by majorities of Democrats, but by smaller shares of Republicans.

Democrats And Republicans Have Different Top Priorities For Congress, But Majorities Across Partisanship Prioritize Efforts To Limit The Price Of Prescription Drugs

Expanding Government’s Role In Providing Health Insurance

While President Biden campaigned on creating a government public option that would compete with private insurance and be available to all Americans, more recently he has expressed support for expanding government insurance by lowering the age of eligibility for Medicare. Both of these proposals are more incremental efforts to expand the government’s role in health coverage than the hotly contested Medicare-for-all proposal that dominated much of the 2020 Democratic presidential primary. Previous KFF polling has found that while Medicare-for-all is favored by a majority of Democrats and independents, a public option garners support among four in ten Republicans (in addition to large majorities of Democrats and independents) and lowering the age of eligibility for Medicare garners bipartisan support (85% of Democrats, 75% of independents, and 69% of Republicans).

The latest KFF polling finds that while older adults, especially Republicans, are less likely to prioritize these policy proposals, both of these proposals aimed at expanding the government’s role in health insurance are important priorities among younger populations. About seven in ten Democrats 18-49 years old saying creating a public option is a top priority, compared to 58% of Democrats 50 and older. Lowering the age for Medicare eligibility is also an important priority for Democrats but with lower shares saying it is a top priority (eight in ten 18-49 year olds say it is at least an important priority as do about three-fourths of Democrats 50 and older). Both of these proposals also have support among younger Republicans (18-49 years old) with at least half saying each is at least an important priority.

Public Option And Lowering Medicare Eligibility Age Are Supported By Larger Shares Of 18-49 Year Olds, Including Slight Majorities Of Younger Republicans

Views of The Aca Remain Partisan

More than 11 years after the ACA was signed into effect, views of the 2010 health care law remain politically partisan. The latest KFF Health Tracking poll finds a larger share of the public hold favorable views of the law than unfavorable ones (53% vs. 35%), but still only a slight majority of the public view the law favorably.

Larger Share Of The Public Continue To Hold More Positive Than Negative View Of The ACA

Views of the ACA are still largely driven by party identification with vast majorities of Democrats (85%) expressing support for the legislation while 77% of Republicans view the law unfavorably. A larger share of independents view the law favorably (54%) than unfavorably (32%). This has remained largely unchanged over the past 5 years with more than seven in ten Republicans expressing unfavorable views of the ACA since the 2015 King v. Burwell challenge to the law. In comparison, majorities of Democrats, independents, and Republicans view both Medicare and Medicaid favorably.

Partisans Hold Very Different Views Of ACA, While Both Medicare And Medicaid Are Viewed Favorably By Majorities Across Political Parties

Financial Assistance for People Who Purchase Their own health Insurance

The COVID relief bill passed in early March 2021 provided additional financial help for people who buy their own health insurance coverage. The vast majority of those likely eligible for this financial assistance are either unsure whether the COVID-19 relief package included this financial assistance (81%) or say that it did not happen (11%). Less than one in ten (7%) are aware of this increased financial assistance. Additionally, only a small minority of those potentially eligible for additional financial help or coverage have reported going online to see if they qualify for a different or cheaper health insurance plan. Among those under 65 years old, nine percent of those who are either uninsured or buy their own coverage report going online in the past two months to see if they qualify for a different or cheaper health insurance plan or Medicaid as part of the COVID relief package.

Among Those Who Are Uninsured Or Buy Their Health Insurance On Marketplace, Eight In Ten Unaware Of Relief Plan Financial Assistance, Only One In Ten Went Online To See If They Qualify

Prescription Drug Costs and Regulation

Throughout this spring, Democratic lawmakers have discussed allowing the Department of Health and Human Services to negotiate the prices of brand-name drugs. While this proposal is opposed by most Republican lawmakers, the latest KFF Health Tracking Poll finds it supported by a majority of the public, regardless of party identification.

Overall, nearly nine in ten (88%) favor allowing the federal government to negotiate for lower prices on medications, including three-fourths (77%) of Republicans, nine in ten Independents (89%) and 96% of Democrats. Nearly nine in ten across age groups favor the proposal. This pattern is consistent with previous KFF polling conducted prior to the pandemic in which 90% of Democrats, 87% of independents, and 80% of Republicans favored this proposal.

Large Majorities Across Party, Age Favor Allowing The Federal Government To Negotiate Drug Prices

Despite widespread support for allowing the federal government to negotiate drug prices, public opinion can change in the course of a national debate and certain messages can dampen support for this proposal. Support starts high and remains high (90%) when people hear that people could save money on their prescription drugs if this policy were implemented. Eight in ten (81%) say that they favor this proposal after hearing that the federal government could save money if they were allowed to negotiate for lower drug prices for people on Medicare. However, opposition to this policy proposal rises to about two-thirds when the public hears assertions that this proposal could lead to less research and development for new drugs, or that access to newer prescriptions could be limited.

Support For Federal Government Negotiations With Drug Companies Can Shift With Arguments

Both of the arguments against allowing the federal government to negotiate with drug companies are effective across partisanship, with support for the proposal dropping among Democrats to as low as 39% and among Republicans to 24% (both down more than fifty percentage points) after these arguments are read.

Arguments Against Allowing Negotiations For Drug Pricing Effective Across Partisanship

What Does The Public Think Drives Prescription Drug Costs?

The public sees profits made by pharmaceutical companies as the largest factor contributing to the price of prescription drugs. About eight in ten across partisans say profits made by pharmaceutical companies are a “major factor” in the price of prescription drugs. This is followed by about seven in ten (68%) who say the cost of research and development is a “major factor” contributing to the price, and about half (52%) saying that the cost of marketing and advertising is a major contributing factor to the cost of prescription drugs.

Similar Shares Across Parties Say Pharma Profits And The Cost of R&D Are Major Contributing Factors To Prescription Drug Costs

Despite the introduction of the three FDA authorized vaccinations for emergency use for COVID-19 and increased attention on the research and development component of pharmaceutical companies, the share of the public who say the cost of research and development is a “major factor” contributing to the price of prescription drugs has remained relatively unchanged since 2019, when eight in ten said “profits made by pharmaceutical companies”, seven in ten (69%) said “the cost of research and development” and half (52%) said the “cost of marketing and advertising” were major factor in the price of prescription drugs. The latest KFF Health Tracking Poll finds that patterns across partisans have remained stable from 2019.

The latest KFF Health Tracking Poll finds about two-thirds (63%) say there is “not as much regulation as there should be” for limiting the price of prescription drugs, while about half (48%) say there is “about the right amount” of regulation of pharmaceutical companies for making sure prescription drugs are safe for people to use. Few say there is “too much regulation” on either limiting the price (10%) or making sure they are safe for people to use (8%).

Interactive DataWrapper Embed

Majorities across partisans, including seven in ten Democrats, 65% of independents and nearly six in ten Republicans (57%), say there is “not as much regulation as there should be” when it comes to limiting the price of prescription drugs. Partisans are also similar in their views on regulation to make sure prescription drugs are safe for people to use. A slight majority Democrats (56%) say there is “about the right amount of regulation” on safety of prescription drugs as do nearly half (47%) of Republicans who say the same. Few across partisans say there is “too much” of either type of regulation.

Majorities Across Parties Say There Is Not Enough Regulation On Price Of Prescription Drugs

This is only a slight shift from previous KFF polling before the coronavirus pandemic, when the share of the public who say there is “not as much regulation as there should be” on safety was 44% (down to 39% in the most recent poll). The main shift has occurred among Democrats with a majority now saying there is “about the right amount of regulation” while back in 2019, about half had said there is “not as much as there should be.”

U.S. Role In Distributing COVID-19 Vaccines To Foreign Countries

The Biden administration recently announced that by the end of June it would share 80 million COVID-19 vaccine doses with other countries, making it the largest single government donor of vaccines globally so far. The U.S. is also the largest donor to COVAX, the internationally coordinated effort to purchase and distribute vaccines worldwide. A majority of the public (66%) says that when it comes to distributing COVID-19 vaccines to other countries, the U.S. should take a “leading role” (27%) or a “major role” (39%). Views of the U.S.’s role in distributing vaccines differs by party, with nearly nine in ten Democrats in support of the U.S. taking a at least a major role (87%), while Republicans are more split, with more than half saying the U.S. should take a “minor role” (34%), or take “no role at all” (24%).

Nearly Nine In Ten Democrats Say The U.S. Should Take Leading Or Major Role In COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution In Other Countries; Less Than Half Of Republicans Agree

After hearing more information about the U.S. distribution of COVID-19 vaccines to other countries, larger shares of the public say that the U.S. should take at least a major role. At least three in four U.S. adults say they think the U.S. should play at least a major role after hearing that the U.S. has enough supply of the COVID-19 vaccines to help other countries without hurting its own supply (78%), the coronavirus outbreak is worse in other countries and they need access to the vaccines in order to stop the spread of the virus (77%), or that providing vaccines to other countries could help the U.S. achieve immunity necessary to curb the pandemic (76%).

About Eight In Ten Say The U.S. Should Take A Leading Or Major Role in Distributing COVID-19 Vaccines To Countries That Need Them After Hearing Arguments

Each of these messages shift attitudes across partisans, including among Republicans. After hearing each of these messages, at least half of Republicans say the U.S. should take a leading or major role in vaccine distribution. Most notably, six in ten Republicans say the U.S. should take a leading or major role after hearing that the U.S. has enough supply to help other countries without hurting itself.

Methodology

This KFF Health Tracking Poll was designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF). The survey was conducted May 18-May 25, 2021, among a nationally representative random digit dial telephone sample of 1,526 adults ages 18 and older (including interviews from 327 Hispanic adults and 307 non-Hispanic Black adults), living in the United States, including Alaska and Hawaii (note: persons without a telephone could not be included in the random selection process). Phone numbers used for this study were randomly generated from cell phone and landline sampling frames, with an overlapping frame design, and disproportionate stratification aimed at reaching Hispanic and non-Hispanic Black respondents. Stratification was based on incidence of the race/ethnicity subgroups within each frame. Specifically, the cell phone frame was stratified as: (1) High Hispanic: Cell phone numbers associated with rate centers from counties where at least 35% of the population is Hispanic; (2) High Black: Cell phone numbers associated with remaining rate centers from counties where at least 35% of the population is non-Hispanic Black; (3) Else: numbers from all remaining rate centers. The landline frame was stratified as: (1) High Black: landline exchanges associated with Census block groups where at least 35% of the population is Black; (2) Else: all remaining landline exchanges. The sample also included 162 respondents reached by calling back respondents that had previously completed an interview on the KFF Tracking poll at least nine months ago. Another 134 interviews were completed with respondents who had previously completed an interview on the SSRS Omnibus poll (and other RDD polls) and identified as Hispanic (n = 46; including 19 in Spanish) or non-Hispanic Black (n=88). Computer-assisted telephone interviews conducted by landline (248) and cell phone (1,278, including 963 who had no landline telephone) were carried out in English and Spanish by SSRS of Glen Mills, PA. To efficiently obtain a sample of lower-income and non-White respondents, the sample also included an oversample of prepaid (pay-as-you-go) telephone numbers (25% of the cell phone sample consisted of prepaid numbers) Both the random digit dial landline and cell phone samples were provided by Marketing Systems Group (MSG). For the landline sample, respondents were selected by asking for the youngest adult male or female currently at home based on a random rotation. If no one of that gender was available, interviewers asked to speak with the youngest adult of the opposite gender. For the cell phone sample, interviews were conducted with the adult who answered the phone. KFF paid for all costs associated with the survey.

The combined landline and cell phone sample was weighted to balance the sample demographics to match estimates for the national population using data from the Census Bureau’s 2019 U.S. American Community Survey (ACS), on sex, age, education, race, Hispanic origin, and region, within race-groups, along with data from the 2010 Census on population density. The sample was also weighted to match current patterns of telephone use using data from the January- June 2020 National Health Interview Survey The weight takes into account the fact that respondents with both a landline and cell phone have a higher probability of selection in the combined sample and also adjusts for the household size for the landline sample, and design modifications, namely, the oversampling of potentially undocumented respondents and of prepaid cell phone numbers, as well as the likelihood of non-response for the re-contacted sample. All statistical tests of significance account for the effect of weighting.

The margin of sampling error including the design effect for the full sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Numbers of respondents and margins of sampling error for key subgroups are shown in the table below. For results based on other subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher. Sample sizes and margins of sampling error for other subgroups are available by request. Note that sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Kaiser Family Foundation public opinion and survey research is a charter member of the Transparency Initiative of the American Association for Public Opinion Research.

GroupN (unweighted)M.O.S.E.
Total1,526± 3 percentage points
Party Identification
Democrats549± 5 percentage points
Republicans288± 7 percentage points
Independents473± 5 percentage points

Are Health Centers Facilitating Equitable Access to COVID-19 Vaccinations? A June 2021 Update.

Authors: Bradley Corallo, Samantha Artiga, and Jennifer Tolbert
Published: Jun 2, 2021

Key Takeaways

Community health centers are a national network of safety net primary care providers and are a primary source of care for many low-income populations and communities of color. This updated analysis examines the extent to which COVID-19 vaccination efforts through community health centers are reaching people of color using data from the federal government’s weekly Health Center COVID-19 Survey for the weeks of January 8 through May 21, 2021 (the latest data available). Key findings include:

  • Over the period of January 8 through May 21, 2021, people of color made up nearly two-thirds (64%) of people receiving the first dose and 61% of people receiving the second/final dose of the vaccine at health centers.
  • Weekly data show that the share of first doses administered to people color at health centers has grown from 34% in early January to 77% in the week ending May 21. Growth was especially rapid among Hispanic people who made up 17% of first doses administered in the first week of January, growing to a high of 52% in the week of May 7.
  • People of color represent greater shares of vaccinations at health centers compared to their shares of vaccinations nationally based on data reported by the CDC, especially for Hispanic people. To date, 34% of total first doses administered at health centers have gone to Hispanic people, over two times higher than their share of people who have received one or more doses nationally (14%).
  • Health centers appear to be vaccinating people of color at similar or higher rates than their shares of the U.S. population, but data suggest there remain opportunities for health centers to reach more Black patients. The shares of people vaccinated at health centers who were Black, Hispanic, and Asian matched or exceeded their shares of the U.S. population. However, Black peoples’ share of health center vaccinations was lower than their share of the health center patient population for both first and second/final doses administered.

Introduction

Current data suggest significant racial disparities in COVID-19 vaccinations, with higher vaccination rates among White people compared to Hispanic and Black people as of late May, based on available state-reported data. The Biden administration has identified equity as a key priority in its national COVID-19 response strategy. One action the administration is pursuing to advance equity in vaccinations is to increase distribution through community health centers. Health centers are a primary source of care for low-income populations and people of color and served nearly 30 million patients in 2019. Given health centers’ focus on underserved communities and their long-standing role in encouraging and providing immunizations, health centers are generally seen as trusted providers in their communities, especially among people of color.

The Health Center COVID-19 Vaccine Program began allocating vaccines directly to an initial group of 250 health centers in mid-February. The early participants in the program serve large volumes of specific high-need populations that may require more resource-intensive vaccination efforts, such as agricultural workers, people living in or near public housing, individuals with limited English proficiency, and people experiencing homelessness. By April 7, 2021, the program expanded to include all health centers nationwide (roughly 1,400 health center organizations), with participation phasing in over several weeks.  Although roughly 800 health centers were participating as of May 24, the majority of vaccinations administered by health centers so far have been supplied by states and local jurisdictions, which are also working with health centers to speed up equitable distribution of the vaccine. Between the doses supplied through the Health Center COVID-19 Vaccination Program and through state and local partnerships, health centers had administered more than 10 million doses of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 2021.

This analysis examines the extent to which vaccination efforts through community health centers are reaching people of color based on data from weekly surveys of health centers administered by the Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA). We use cumulative weekly data starting January 8, 2021 (when health centers began reporting vaccinations in the survey) and ending May 21 (the most recent data available). We also provide information on first doses administered and second/final doses administered. Notably, the Johnson & Johnson vaccine is only reported as the second/final dose administered in the weekly survey, as it is completed in a single dose. Additionally, this analysis compares community health center survey data to national vaccination data reported by the CDC, total population data, and total community health center patient population data. (See the methods section for more information about the data underlying this analysis.)

Key Findings

Among those with known race/ethnicity information, people of color made up the majority of people who received vaccinations at community health centers between January 8 and May 21, including 64% of people receiving the first dose and 61% of people receiving the second/final dose of the vaccine. Hispanic people made up 34% of first doses and 32% of second/final doses administered by health centers, followed by Black people (12% and 11% of first and second/final doses, respectively), and Asian people (11% for both first and second/final doses). People identifying with more than one race, as well as American Indian and Alaska Native (AIAN) and Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander (NHOPI) people each made up 5% or less of those receiving first and second/final doses (Figure 1). Race/ethnicity was unknown or not reported for about 16% of both first doses administered and second/final doses administered, resulting in gaps in the data. However, health center vaccination data are considerably more complete than national vaccinations reported by the CDC, which are missing race/ethnicity information for 43% of people receiving 1 or more vaccinations and 39% of people who are fully vaccinated as of May 25, 2021.

The majority of people who received the COVID-19 vaccine from health centers were people of color.

Weekly data show that the share of first doses administered to people of color at health centers has grown from 34% in early January to 77% in the week ending May 21 (Figure 2). Growth in the share of people receiving the first dose who were Hispanic was especially rapid, growing from 17% of vaccinations to as much as 52% in the week ending May 7 (then declining slightly to 48% in mid-May). Asian people have also accounted for a growing share of the first doses administered, growing from 3% in early January to 10% in the week of May 21. Black people have experienced a modest increase in their share of first doses, growing from 9% in early January to 11% in the week of May 21. Additionally, the number of vaccinations at health centers reported through the survey has increased since January, although vaccinations appear to have reached their peak in April and has since declined, similar to national trends. The number of vaccinations administered per health center responding to the survey has grown from 60 total doses per responding health center during the week of January 8 to peak at 980 during the week ending April 9. Data for most recent week ending May 21 shows 554 total doses per health center responding to the survey. While the rate of overall vaccinations at health centers has slowed since the peak in April, health centers appear to be focusing greater shares of vaccinations on communities color.

People of color made up increasing amounts of those receiving COVID-19 vaccinations at health centers.

The data suggest that people of color represent greater shares of vaccinations at health centers compared to their shares of vaccinations nationally based on data reported by the CDC (Figure 3). For example, Hispanic people accounted for 34% of those who have received their first dose through a health center as of May 21, while they made up 14% of people who received 1 or more doses administered nationally as of May 25. Similarly, 12% of people who received their first dose through health centers were Black, while Black people made up 9% of those who received 1 or more doses nationally. Asian people also appear to be receiving vaccinations in greater shares at health centers compared to their share nationally, making up 11% of first doses administered at health centers vs 6% nationally. Overall findings were similar for second/final doses administered at health centers. However, the ability to draw strong conclusions from these comparisons is limited by differences between the data as well as gaps in the CDC data, including the high share of vaccinations with unknown race/ethnicity and a relatively high share of people reporting multiple or other race.

Health centers appear to be vaccinating people of color at similar or higher rates than their shares of the total population, but data suggest there remain opportunities for health centers to reach more Black patients (Figure 3). Health centers reached particularly large shares of Hispanic and Asian people relative to their shares of the total population, while the share of vaccinations that went to Black people was comparable to their share of the population. These vaccination patterns largely mirror health centers’ larger role serving patients of color, who made up 63% of patients in 2019. Although Hispanic and Asian peoples’ shares of vaccinations were generally similar to or greater than their shares of the health center patient population, the shares of first and second doses administered to Black people through health centers (12% and 11%, respectively) were lower than their shares of the patient population (19%), suggesting remaining opportunities for them to reach greater shares of Black people.

The Share of Health Center COVID-19 Vaccinations by Race/Ethnicity as of May 21 and Selected National Benchmarks

Looking Ahead

Health centers’ role in vaccine distribution is a major part of ongoing efforts to address the racial disparities in COVID-19 vaccinations that have emerged, especially for Hispanic people. The KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor from April 2021 shows that 22% of vaccinated Hispanic adults and 10% of vaccinated Black adults reported getting their vaccine at a community health center. Reflecting their larger role serving and established trusted relationships with communities of color, evidence to date indicates that health centers are vaccinating larger shares of people of color compared to overall vaccination efforts. Health centers are also administering the vaccine to larger shares of people of color than their shares of the population, and there has been a substantial uptick in the share of people of color vaccinated at health centers over time. While people of color make up the majority of health center vaccinations, data suggest that there are further opportunities for health centers to reach more Black people, as the share of Black people vaccinated through health centers is still lower than their share of the health center patient population.

The growth in the share of people vaccinated in health centers who are people of color likely reflects several factors, including improvements in community outreach, logistics, and efforts to address access barriers faced by many people of color, as well as continued increases in people’s willingness to receive the vaccine over time. The Health Center COVID-19 Vaccine Program has increased the share of vaccinations distributed to people of color as well, although data are relatively limited on the program. According to federal officials, approximately 70% of the allocated doses have been administered to people of color.

Although health centers appear to be advancing equitable access to vaccinations, the number of vaccinations administered by health centers remains relatively small when scaled to the national total reported by the CDC. As of May 21, 2021, health centers had reported a cumulative 11.5 million doses (6.2 million first doses and 5.3 million second/final doses) administered in weekly surveys. However, this is likely an undercount, as between 56% and 81% of health centers have responded to weekly surveys, and those that do not respond are not included in the total vaccination counts for the week. Despite a likely undercount, health center vaccinations represent a fraction of the 288 million doses administered nationally as of May 21 and in comparison to the nearly 30 million health center patients in 2019. Still, health centers have focused the majority of their vaccinations within communities of color, especially in recent weeks, even as the number of vaccinations nationally have begun to slow since April 2021. Health centers’ continued involvement in vaccination and outreach efforts at the federal, state, and local levels will likely be a meaningful step in reaching people of color in greater numbers and advancing equity over the long term.

Methodology

This analysis primarily draws from the weekly Health Center COVID-19 Survey, administered by the Health Resources and Service Administration (HRSA). We rely on weekly data on the number of vaccinations per week by race/ethnicity starting with the January 8, 2021 survey through the May 21, 2021 survey. The National Association of Community Health Centers provided us with national totals of vaccinations by race/ethnicity for the week of January 22, which we were unable to access. We sum all weekly data over the period analyzed to represent cumulative totals.

Health center vaccinations are reported separately for first dose and second/final doses in this analysis. To report first doses administered, health centers are asked, “By race and ethnicity, how many patients have initiated (1st of 2 doses received) their COVID-19 immunization series in the last week?” For second/final doses administered, health centers are asked, “By race and ethnicity, how many patients have completed (2nd, or only, dose received) their COVID-19 immunization series in the last week?” In separate guidance, HRSA specified that health centers should report patients receiving doses administered as a one-dose vaccine series (i.e., the Johnson & Johnson vaccine) to be reported as the second/final dose. In the same guidance, HRSA also specified that health centers should include vaccinations at the health center, as well as among established patients receiving the vaccination elsewhere, if the health center has records of the immunization. When comparing changes in first and second/final doses over a period of weeks (e.g., Figure 2), the baseline week for second/final doses began later than that for first doses (the week of February 5 vs. the week of January 8) due to low numbers of second/final doses administered in January.

All findings reported are based on known race/ethnicity. For our calculations, both the “Unreported/Refused to Report Race and Ethnicity” as well as “Non-Hispanic/Latino Ethnicity Patients (Unreported/Refused to Report Race)” were defined as unknown race/ethnicity. “Hispanic/Latino Ethnicity Patients (Unreported/Refused to Report Race)” were categorized as ‘Hispanic’ individuals for our analysis.

The Health Center COVID-19 Survey reports race/ethnicity differently from most other data sources. White and Black categories only include non-Hispanic individuals, while Asian, AIAN, NHOPI, and more than one race include Hispanic and non-Hispanic individuals. When comparing to population estimates from the 2019 American Community Survey and the Uniform Data System, we adjusted race categories to match the Health Center COVID-19 Survey’s race/ethnicity categories. We did not adjust national vaccination tabulations by race/ethnicity from the CDC’s COVID Data Tracker.

Vaccination data by race/ethnicity from the CDC are based on administrative data reported to the CDC. However, the health center data are based on vaccinations from weekly surveys beginning in January 2021 with varying response rates. In addition to different data collection methods, it is possible that the health center survey data may also exclude some vaccinations in December 2020. Additionally, the CDC reports data for 1 or more vaccinations administered, while the health center data report first and second/final doses separately. Additionally, the health center first dose data do not include the Johnson & Johnson vaccine, which is reported as second/final dose.

White House Releases Full FY 2022 Budget Request

Published: Jun 2, 2021

President Biden released his full FY 2022 budget request to Congress on May 28, 2021 (an initial, topline discretionary FY 2022 budget proposal was released on April 9, 2021). The request includes an increase of almost $1 billion for global health programs, most of which (84%) is for global health security. Almost all other global health program areas were level-funded in the request, with the exception of small increases for maternal and child health (MCH) and family planning/reproductive health (FP/RH) compared to FY 2021 enacted levels. This marks a break from President Trump’s requests, which had proposed significant cuts to most global health programs throughout his term (Congress rejected those cuts). The FY 2022 budget request includes funding for U.S. global health programs at the State Department, the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), and the National Institutes of Health (NIH). Details on additional funding in these and other departments/agencies is not yet known but will be provided, when available. Key highlights for the known amounts are as follows (see table for additional detail). In addition, for an overview of historical trends in U.S. funding for global health, see our new analysis.

State Department & USAID:

Funding for global health programs through the Global Health Programs (GHP) account, which represents the bulk of global health assistance, totaled $10.05 billion, an increase of $855 million (9%) from the FY21 enacted level, almost all of which was for global health security.

  • Funding for global health security totals $905 million, an increase of $715 million (376%) above the FY21 enacted level ($190 million).
  • Bilateral HIV funding through the President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) is $4.7 billion, matching the FY21 enacted level. In FY21, Congress appropriated an additional $250 million in emergency supplemental funding to address the impact of COVID-19 on bilateral HIV programs; this funding is not included in this analysis.
  • The request includes $1.56 billion for the U.S. contribution to the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria (Global Fund), matching the FY21 enacted level. In FY21, Congress appropriated an additional $3.5 billion in emergency COVID-19 supplemental funding to the Global Fund; this funding is not included in this analysis.
  • Funding for tuberculosis (TB) totals $319 million, matching the FY21 enacted level.
  • Funding for malaria totals $770 million, matching the FY21 enacted level.
  • The request includes $880 million for maternal and child health (MCH), a slight increase of $24 million (3%) above the FY21 enacted level ($856 million), all for bilateral MCH programs. Other specific areas under MCH include multilateral contributions to:
    • Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance which totals $290 million, matching the FY21 enacted.
    • UNICEF which totals $139 million, matching the FY21 enacted level.
  • Funding for the nutrition program totals $150 million, matching the FY21 enacted level.
  • Bilateral family planning and reproductive health (FP/RH) funding totals $584 million ($550 million through the GHP account and $33.7 million through the ESF account)[i], a slight increase of $9 million (2%) above the FY21 enacted level ($575 million, of which $524 million was through the GHP account and $51.1 million was through the ESF account). Funding for multilateral contributions to the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) totals $56 million, $23.5 million (72%) above the FY21 enacted level ($32.5 million)
  • Funding for the vulnerable children program totals $25 million, matching the FY21 enacted level.
  • Funding for neglected tropical diseases (NTDs) totals $103 million, matching the FY21 enacted level.
  • Funding to replenish the Emergency Reserve Fund, which is used to “quickly and effectively respond to emerging infectious disease outbreaks,” totals $90 million; in FY21, no funding was appropriated for the Emergency Reserve Fund, but Congress provided the authority to transfer up to $50 million in funding from other areas to the Emergency Reserve Fund if needed.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC): Funding for global health provided to the CDC totals $698 million, an increase of $105 million (18%) above the FY21 enacted level ($593 million), almost all of which (95%) is to support global health security activities; all other areas remained flat except for parasitic diseases funding which increased slightly.

National Institutes of Health (NIH) [ii]: Funding for global HIV/AIDS at NIH totals $617 million, essentially flat compared to the FY21 enacted level ($616 million). Funding for the Fogarty International Center (FIC) at NIH totals $96 million, $12 million (15%) above the FY21 enacted level ($84 million).

Resources:

The table (.xls) below compares global health funding in the FY 2022 request to the FY 2021 enacted funding amounts as outlined in the  “Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021” (P.L. 116-260; KFF summary here). Note that total funding for global health is not currently available as some funding provided through USAID, Health and Human Services (HHS), and the Department of Defense (DoD) is not yet available.

See the KFF budget tracker for details on historical annual appropriations, including Senate and House amounts, for global health programs.

Table: KFF Analysis of FY22 Budget Request for Global Health
Department / Agency / AreaFY21 Enacted(millions)FY22 Request(millions)Difference:FY22 Request – FY21 Enacted
State, Foreign Operations, and Related Programs (SFOPs) – Global Health
HIV/AIDS$4,700.0$4,700.0$0 (0%)
State Department$4,370.0$4,370.0$0(0%)
USAID$330.0$330.0$0(0%)
of which Microbicides$45.0$45.0$0(0%)
Global Fund$1,560.0$1,560.0$0 (0%)
Tuberculosisi –
Global Health Programs (GHP) account$319.0$319.0$0(0%)
Economic Support Fund (ESF) accountNot specifiedNot specified –
Malaria$770.0$770.0$0 (0%)
Maternal & Child Health (MCH)ii –
GHP account$855.5$879.5$24.0(2.8%)
of which Gavi$290.0$290.0$0(0%)
of which Polio$65.0Not specified –
UNICEFiii$139.0$139.0$0(0%)
ESF accountNot specifiedNot specified –
of which PolioNot specifiedNot specified –
Nutritioniv –
GHP account$150.0$150.0$0(0%)
ESF accountNot specifiedNot specified –
Family Planning & Reproductive Health (FP/RH)v$607.5$639.7$32.2 (5.3%)
Bilateral FP/RHv$575.0$583.7$8.7(1.5%)
GHP accountv$524.0$550.0$26.0(5%)
ESF accountv$51.1$33.7$-17.4(-34%)
UNFPAvi$32.5$56.0$23.5(72.3%)
Vulnerable Children$25.0$25.0$0 (0%)
Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTDs)$102.5$102.5$0 (0%)
Global Health Security$190.0$905.0$715.0 (376.3%)
USAID GHP accountvii$190.0$655.0$465.0(244.7%)
State GHP accountviiiNot specified$250.0 –
Emergency Reserve Fundix$90.0 –
SFOPs Total (GHP account only)$9,196.0$10,051.0$855.0 (9.3%)
Labor Health & Human Services (Labor HHS)
Centers for Disease Control & Prevention (CDC) – Total Global Health$592.8$697.8$105.0 (17.7%)
Global HIV/AIDS$128.4$128.4$0(0%)
Global Tuberculosis$9.2$9.2$0(0%)
Global Immunization$226.0$226.0$0(0%)
Polio$176.0$176.0$0(0%)
Other Global Vaccines/Measles$50.0$50.0$0(0%)
Parasitic Diseases$26.0$31.0$5.0(19.2%)
Global Public Health Protection$203.2$303.2$100.0(49.2%)
Global Disease Detection and Emergency Response$193.4$293.4$100.0(51.7%)
of which Global Health Security (GHS)Not specifiedNot specified –
Global Public Health Capacity Development$9.8$9.8$0(0%)
National Institutes of Health (NIH) – Total Global Health$892.8Not specified –
HIV/AIDS$616.7$617.1$0.4(0.1%)
Malaria$192.0Not specified –
Fogarty International Center (FIC)$84.0$96.3$12.3(14.6%)
Notes:
i – Some tuberculosis funding is provided under the ESF account, which is not earmarked by Congress in the annual appropriations bills and determined at the agency level (e.g. in FY19, TB funding under the ESF account totaled $3.6 million).
ii – Some MCH funding is provided under the ESF account, which is not earmarked by Congress in the annual appropriations bills and determined at the agency level (e.g. in FY19, MCH funding under the ESF account totaled $14.42 million).
iii – UNICEF funding in the FY21 final bill includes an earmark of $5 million for programs addressing female genital mutilation.
iv – Some nutrition funding is provided under the ESF account, which is not earmarked by Congress in the annual appropriations bills and determined at the agency level. (e.g. in FY17, nutrition funding under the ESF account totaled $21 million).
v – The FY21 final bill states that “not less than $575,000,000 should be made available for family planning/reproductive health.” The FY22 request funding amounts are based on a bilateral total of $583.7 million as specified in the FY22 OMB Budget Appendices for the Department of State and Other International Programs.
vi – The FY21 final bill texts state that if this funding is not provided to UNFPA it “shall be transferred to the ‘Global Health Programs’ account and shall be made available for family planning, maternal, and reproductive health activities.”
vii – According to the Department of State, Foreign Operations, and Related Programs FY22 Congressional Budget Justification, $300 million of this funding is “for contributions to support multilateral initiatives leading the global COVID response through the Act-Accelerator platform.”
viii – According to the Department of State, Foreign Operations, and Related Programs FY22 Congressional Budget Justification, this funding is “to support a new health security financing mechanism, which would be developed alongside U.S. partners and allies, to ensure global readiness to respond to the next outbreak.”
ix – The FY21 final bill states that “up to $50,000,000 of the funds made available under the heading ‘Global Health Programs’ may be made available for the Emergency Reserve Fund.”

[i] The FY22 request funding amounts are based on a bilateral total of $583.7 million as specified in the FY22 OMB Budget Appendices for the Department of State and Other International Programs.

[ii] While funding for global research activities at NIH is not yet known, the agency overall got a significant increase ($9 billion or a 21% increase, from approximately $43 billion in FY21 to $52 billion in the FY22 request).

Potential Impact of Additional Federal Funds for Medicaid HCBS for Seniors and People with Disabilities

Authors: Priya Chidambaram and MaryBeth Musumeci
Published: May 28, 2021

Home and community-based services (HCBS) help seniors and people with disabilities and chronic illnesses live independently outside institutions by assisting with daily needs. HCBS include but are not limited to home health aide services, assistance with self-care tasks such as eating or bathing, supportive housing, and assistive technology. People who use HCBS include seniors with physical and/or cognitive limitations, people with intellectual disabilities such as Down’s syndrome or autism, people with physical disabilities such as spinal cord injuries or cerebral palsy, people with serious mental illness, and people with disabling chronic conditions.

The unmet need for HCBS for seniors and people with disabilities pre-dates the COVID-19 pandemic, with Medicaid serving as the primary source of coverage for HCBS. These services are unaffordable out-of-pocket for many people and unavailable through private insurance or Medicare. The pandemic’s disproportionate impact on seniors and people with disabilities, particularly those living in congregate settings such as nursing homes, has brought heightened focus on the need for additional HCBS, and the growing elderly population in the coming years will further intensify the need for these services. Over the last several decades, states have focused on shifting the Medicaid program’s historical bias toward institutional services by devoting an increasing share of their total long-term services and supports (LTSS) spending to HCBS. Spending on HCBS surpassed spending on institutional care for the first time in FY 2013 and comprised 56% of total Medicaid LTSS spending in FY 2018, with substantial variation among states.

The American Rescue Plan, the COVID relief package recently signed into law by President Biden, includes a provision to increase the federal matching rate (FMAP) for spending on Medicaid HCBS by 10 percentage points from April 1, 2021 through March 31, 2022 provided states maintain state spending levels as of April 1, 2021. To access the new funds, recent guidance requires states to submit for CMS approval an initial HCBS spending plan projection and narrative by June 12, 2021, though CMS recently announced that states could request a 30-day extension for their initial submission due date. This brief discusses the new provision and provides state by state estimates of the potential effects of the policy change.

What does the American Rescue Plan do for HCBS?

The HCBS provision in the American Rescue Plan increases the federal matching rate (FMAP) for Medicaid HCBS spending by 10 percentage points from April 1, 2021 through March 31, 2022. The law specifies that states must use the enhanced funds to “implement, or supplement the implementation of, one or more activities to enhance, expand, or strengthen” Medicaid HCBS. CMS guidance released on May 13, 2021 confirms that the enhanced funds must be used for activities “beyond what is available under the [state’s] Medicaid program as of April 1, 2021.” While the final version of the law did not detail specific activities, the CMS guidance provides a non-exhaustive list of initiatives that states might fund, including activities to meet HCBS needs created by COVID-19 and activities to build state HCBS capacity and advance LTSS rebalancing reforms. For example, in response to COVID-19, states might use the enhanced funds to expand covered services to reduce the risk of institutionalization, facilitate COVID-19 vaccine access for HCBS enrollees, or support the direct care workforce. To build HCBS capacity and advance LTSS rebalancing, states might streamline eligibility and enrollment processes, increase covered services, expand the direct care workforce, or serve additional HCBS enrollees. (Figure 1). States have until March 31, 2024 to spend the enhanced funds. The Appendix Table contains a detailed summary of the activities included in the CMS guidance.

Figure 1: Examples of Activities States Might Fund with American Rescue Plan Medicaid HCBS 10 Percentage Point Federal Match Increase

The law increases the total dollars available for Medicaid HCBS, as states are required to maintain their current HCBS spending to qualify for the enhanced federal funds. Specifically, states must maintain their level of HCBS spending as of April 1, 2021. CMS guidance confirms that states “cannot use state funds equivalent to the amount of federal funds made available by the increased FMAP to pay for HCBS that [are] available under the[ir] Medicaid program as of April 1, 2021.” The Appendix provides more detail about the conditions states must meet to satisfy this requirement according to CMS guidance. The proposed 10 percentage point increase for HCBS will be added to the state’s regular Medicaid matching rate (which ranges from 50% to 78% in FY 2022), as well as to other FMAP increases available to states, including the 6 percentage point increase for Community First Choice attendant care services, the 6.2 percentage point increase provided to address the COVID-19 public health emergency (PHE) under the Families First Coronavirus Response Act, any disaster recovery FMAP (available to states with a federally declared disaster and a certain amount of FMAP decline), and the 90% federal matching rate for Medicaid expansion adults under the ACA, as well as the new 5 percentage point increase in the regular matching rate for states newly adopting the ACA expansion provided in a separate section of the law. The cumulative enhanced matching rate for Medicaid HCBS under the law is capped at 95%.

What is the estimated effect of the American Rescue Plan HCBS funding for states?

We estimate that nationally, federal spending for HCBS could increase by about $11.4 billion (Table 1). This estimate is similar to that put out by the Congressional Budget Office, which estimated increased federal costs of approximately $12.7 billion. In the time period that the FMAP increase would be in effect (the final two quarters of FY 2021 and the first two quarters of FY 2022), we estimate that total federal and state Medicaid HCBS spending will be approximately $114 billion (Table 1). Estimated total Medicaid HCBS spending varies widely by state, ranging from $198 million dollars in Wyoming to nearly $22 billion in California. The additional $11.4 billion federal dollars from this FMAP increase would be distributed proportional to the size of state HCBS programs, with California receiving nearly $2.2 billion additional federal dollars and Wyoming receiving about $19.8 million additional federal dollars. This wide state variation reflects both state size and various state policy choices on HCBS programs, nearly all of which are offered at state option.

These estimates are made with a degree of uncertainly. Our estimates reflect HCBS spending in FY 2021 and FY 2022 based on inflation rates from CBO’s projected spending on Medicaid LTSS. However, these estimates do not account for states expanding underlying HCBS spending beyond current levels due to the additional federal incentive. Additionally, some spending in some states may not be eligible for the full increase, should the state hit the 95% federal match cap, after accounting for the 10 percentage point increase in the bill as well as other enhanced matching rates available to states, such as the enhanced match for the ACA Medicaid expansion group. These estimates assume that all states maintain their current spending levels, as required by the law.

Methods

This data note uses spending data from KFF’s FY 2018 HCBS program surveys and FY 2018 Medicaid expenditure data from CMS Financial Management Reports to estimate the amount of additional federal funds available to each state under the proposed FMAP increase. The estimates rely primarily on state-reported data from KFF’s FY 2018 HCBS program survey for expenditures on home health, personal care, Community First Choice, and Section 1915 (i) state plan services as well as HCBS expenditures provided through Section 1915 (c) and Section 1115 waivers. These categories make up the vast majority of Medicaid HCBS spending, and our estimates include capitated spending in these categories.

There are also several additional HCBS categories identified in the law that are eligible for the HCBS match but are not covered by our annual HCBS survey. These categories are PACE, Section 1915 (b) primary care case management, Section 1915 (j) personal care assistance, state plan case management services, and state plan rehabilitative services. FY 2018 spending for these additional categories are pulled from FY 2018 CMS-64 reports and reflect only fee-for-service spending. These totals reflect about $7.5 billion out of a total of $100 billion in estimated Medicaid HCBS spending in FY 2018. HCBS spending was then summed across all program authorities to identify Medicaid HCBS state totals for FY 2018. The estimates do not include state spending for private duty nursing services provided in a beneficiary’s home, which are eligible for the HCBS match according to CMS’s May 2021 guidance.

These totals were inflated using CBO’s projected Medicaid LTC spending baseline from FY 2019 to FY 2022. Since CBO’s current published estimates do not include baseline Medicaid LTC spending for FY 2018, the same amount of growth was used to estimate spending from FY 2018 to FY 2019 as FY 2019 to FY 2020. Annual growth rates using CBO’s Medicaid LTC baseline range from 3.0% to 4.2% from FY 2019 – FY 2022. Total Medicaid HCBS spending for the four quarters during which this additional federal match would be available reflects half of estimated Medicaid HCBS spending from FY 2021 and half of the estimated Medicaid HCBS spending from FY 2022, which amounts to approximately $114 billion (Table 1). Additional federal dollars available through the proposed FMAP bump are calculated by taking 10% of estimated state and national totals from this time period. We assume that this law is intended to provide fiscal relief with a stipulation that states use new funds from the FMAP increase to “supplement and not supplant” current state spending. ​

The estimates do not reflect the opportunity outlined in CMS’s May 2021 guidance for states to receive additional enhanced federal funding. According to the guidance, states receive the 10 percentage point enhanced federal matching funds when they submit claims for HCBS from April 1, 2021 through March 31, 2022. Once states receive the enhanced federal matching funds, that money is considered to be state funds. In the guidance, CMS explains that states can then use those state funds (equivalent to the amount of enhanced federal funds they have drawn down) to provide additional Medicaid-covered HCBS (beyond what was covered as of April 1, 2021). If states use funds in this way, they can receive the increased FMAP on that spending one additional time for claims paid between April 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022.

 

Table 1: Estimated Additional Federal Dollars for Medicaid HCBS Under American Rescue Act HCBS FMAP Bump
StateEstimated Medicaid HCBS Spending – April 1st, 2021 – March 31st, 2022 Estimated Additional Federal Dollars for Medicaid HCBS
US TOTAL $113,828,064,000  $11,382,811,000
Alabama$871,267,000 $87,127,000
Alaska $374,649,000 $37,465,000
Arizona $1,797,659,000 $179,766,000
Arkansas $1,178,098,000 $117,810,000
California $21,694,742,000 $2,169,474,000
Colorado $1,539,931,000 $153,993,000
Connecticut $1,944,728,000 $194,473,000
DC $892,504,000 $89,250,000
Delaware $372,613,000 $37,261,000
Florida $3,195,868,000 $319,587,000
Georgia $1,555,865,000 $155,587,000
Hawaii $275,132,000 $27,513,000
Idaho $534,865,000 $53,487,000
Illinois $1,770,892,000 $177,089,000
Indiana $1,395,860,000 $139,586,000
Iowa $931,020,000 $93,102,000
Kansas $1,400,775,000 $140,078,000
Kentucky $968,416,000 $96,842,000
Louisiana $906,192,000 $90,619,000
Maine $601,967,000 $60,196,000
Maryland $2,344,175,000 $234,418,000
Massachusetts $4,092,432,000 $409,243,000
Michigan $1,391,405,000 $139,141,000
Minnesota $4,886,088,000 $488,609,000
Mississippi $538,547,000 $53,855,000
Missouri $2,286,356,000 $228,636,000
Montana $323,827,000 $32,383,000
Nebraska $484,708,000 $48,471,000
Nevada $605,863,000 $60,586,000
New Hampshire $433,200,000 $43,320,000
New Jersey $1,726,932,000 $172,693,000
New Mexico $836,622,000 $83,662,000
New York $12,609,573,000 $1,260,957,000
North Carolina $1,823,280,000 $182,328,000
North Dakota $316,001,000 $31,600,000
Ohio $4,344,503,000 $434,450,000
Oklahoma $660,643,000 $66,064,000
Oregon $1,240,435,000 $124,044,000
Pennsylvania $7,291,355,000 $729,136,000
Rhode Island $338,718,000 $33,872,000
South Carolina $847,649,000 $84,765,000
South Dakota $202,815,000 $20,282,000
Tennessee $1,569,796,000 $156,980,000
Texas $8,621,124,000 $862,112,000
Utah $468,343,000 $46,834,000
Vermont $482,800,000 $48,280,000
Virginia $2,133,627,000 $213,363,000
Washington $2,530,236,000 $253,024,000
West Virginia $626,949,000 $62,695,000
Wisconsin $3,369,435,000 $336,944,000
Wyoming $197,584,000 $19,758,000
NOTES: Estimates are based on estimates of Medicaid HCBS spending in FY 2021 and FY 2022. See Methods for more details.SOURCES: KFF estimates based on KFF FY 2018 Medicaid HCBS Program Surveys, FY 2018 Expenditure Reports From MBES/CBES, and FY 2019 – FY 2022 CBO Medicaid Baseline Projections

Appendix

CMS’s May 2021 guidance adopts a three-pronged maintenance of effort requirement for states to demonstrate that they are using the new federal funds to supplement and not supplant existing state spending as required by the American Rescue Plan. Specifically, states must (1) not impose eligibility standards, methodologies or procedures for HCBS programs and services stricter than those in effect on April 1, 2021; (2) maintain coverage of HCBS and the amount, duration, and scope of those services as of April 1, 2021; and (3) not decrease provider payments below the rate in effect on April 1, 2021.

The guidance provides that states must maintain any temporary changes to HCBS eligibility, services, or provider payment adopted under Medicaid emergency authorities in response to the COVID-19 PHE “for as long as allowable under those authorities.” However, CMS clarifies that, to meet the requirements to receive the enhanced HCBS FMAP, states do not have to retain such changes past the approved end date of any emergency authorities. CMS also notes that states will not be penalized for fluctuations in HCBS enrollment, utilization, or spending that are unrelated to changes in state policies and procedures, especially during the COVID-19 PHE.

The state’s initial HCBS spending plan projection and narrative should estimate the total amount of enhanced funds that the state anticipates claiming from April 1, 2021 through March 31, 2022 and the anticipated expenditures for activities the state intends to implement. CMS will approve state submissions that meet the terms of the guidance within 30 days. Until all of the enhanced funds are expended, states must submit quarterly HCBS spending plans and narratives that estimate the amount of enhanced funds that the state has claimed or anticipates claiming and anticipated and/or actual expenditures and provide progress reports on state activities. The guidance indicates that CMS will publicly post summary information from the state reports.

Appendix Table: Examples of American Rescue Plan State Activities to Enhance, Expand, or Strengthen Medicaid Home and Community-Based Services (HCBS)
 Activities to Support State COVID-Related HCBS Needs
TopicActivityExamples
ServicesIncrease covered servicesProvide new HCBS or expand scope of existing HCBS to reduce risk of institutionalization during COVID-19 PHE

Specific services highlighted include:

  • Assistive technology (including necessary internet activation costs) and staffing to mitigate social isolation and ensure service plans continue to be fully implemented during PHE
  • One-time community transition costs and transition coordination services for those moving from institutions or provider-operated congregate community setting to private community residence
  • Mental health and substance use disorder treatment and recovery services (including via telehealth) to address HCBS enrollee needs during PHE
  • Rehabilitative services to regain skills lost during PHE
Facilitate COVID vaccine accessAssist with scheduling appointments

Provide direct support services during appointments

Provide transportation to appointments

Develop in-home vaccine options

Conduct vaccine education and outreach

Provide COVID education/outreachDevelop educational materials in accessible formats about COVID prevention, treatment, and recovery for HCBS enrollees, their families, and the general community

Pay for American Sign Language and other interpreters to assist in providing HCBS and provide information about COVID

WorkforceIncrease worker compensationIncrease payment rates for HCBS providers (e.g., home health agencies, PACE organizations, agencies or beneficiaries that employ DSPs), with the expectation that direct care worker pay will increase

Provide paid sick, family, medical leave and/or hazard, overtime, shift differential pay for home health workers and DSPs

Increase behavioral health provider payment rates to expand access to mental health and substance use disorder services for HCBS enrollees during PHE

Engage in worker recruitmentConduct activities and offer incentive payments to recruit and retain home health workers and DSPs

Conduct activities to recruit more behavioral health providers

Provide family caregiver supportsCover equipment and supplies need by family caregivers, including items not typically covered such as PPE and payment as a service provider
Support provider COVID responsePurchase PPE and routine COVID testing for direct services workers and people receiving HCBS

Provide home health worker/DSP training specific to COVID PHE

Fund adult day health centers to make physical, operational or other changes to safely deliver services during COVID PHE

Activities to Support State HCBS Capacity Building and LTSS Rebalancing Reform
TopicActivityExamples
Eligibility and EnrollmentStreamline eligibility and enrollment processesAdopt new policies such as expedited HCBS eligibility (subject to CMS approval)

Streamline application and enrollment processes

Reduce or eliminate HCBS waiting listsIncrease number of HCBS waiver slots to serve additional enrollees
Build no wrong door systemsEstablish toll free phone lines

Develop informational websites

Automate screening and assessment tools

Conduct marketing and outreach

ServicesIncrease covered servicesProvide new services or increase scope of existing services

Specific examples highlighted include:

  • Community transition (add new populations and/or services)
  • Equipment and devices to address functional needs and promote independence and support community integration (e.g., eyeglasses, wheelchair transfer boards, adaptive cooking equipment)
  • Assistive technology (e.g., individual tele-communication start-up costs such as equipment or internet connectivity activation, smartphones or computers to address functional needs and promote independence and support community integration)
Improve service planningAdopt standardized functional assessments

Enhance person-centered planning/provide training

WorkforceEngage in worker recruitment and retentionCreate financial incentives to expand the number, retention rate, and skills of direct care workforce

Expand opportunities for self-direction

Provide family caregiver supportsProvide respite services
Offer worker trainingProvide training for caregivers, enrollees, and providers (general or to support community integration)
Increase provider capacityFund nursing homes/institutional settings to convert to assisted living facilities or to provide adult day health, respite, or other HCBS
Oversight/Data/ SystemsStrengthen institutional diversion and community transition programsImprove use of data (MDS, claims, encounter) to support community transition programs

Strengthen and improve PASRR processes to prevent unnecessary institutionalization

Embed options counselors in hospital discharge programs

Address social determinants of healthAssess health disparities for seniors and people with disabilities

Test alternative payment models or delivery of new services to address social determinants of health, such as housing supports, employment supports, community integration

Build social determinant of health network partnerships

Invest in quality improvementUpgrade critical incident management reporting systems

Adopt new quality measures

Implement experience of care surveys such as HCBS CAHPS

Provide training and technical assistance to build provider performance measurement and predictive analytic capabilities

Improve cross-system data integrationEstablish data sharing agreements among state/county agencies, providers, community-based organizations

Integrate claims/encounter data with incident management system

Invest in infrastructure to incorporate HCBS into electronic health records

Integrate Medicare and Medicaid data

Improve care coordinationImplement information technology care coordination enhancements such as notification systems and capabilities (e.g., hospital admission/discharge/transfer) to share information across settings

Improve Medicaid managed care plan access to Medicare data to improve care coordination for dual eligible enrollees receiving HCBS

Implement integrated care models to more effectively address complex population needs

Provide more intensive care coordination for enrollees with significant socioeconomic needs based on risk stratification modeling

Develop cross-system partnershipsIncentives health plans and providers to partner with community-based organizations, social service agencies, counties, housing agencies, public health agencies

Require providers to participate in local/regional provider networks

Build Medicaid housing partnerships

NOTES: DSP = direct support professional. PPE = personal protective equipment. List of examples is not exhaustive.SOURCE: KFF analysis of CMS SMD #21-003, Implementation of American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 Section 9817:  Additional Support for Medicaid Home and Community-Based Services during the COVID-19 Emergency, Appendixes C and D (May 13, 2021).