Top 5 Things to Know about Women and Medicaid Ahead of the Election

Published: Oct 2, 2024

While the implications of the election on the future of abortion access have received extensive attention, the stakes are also high for the future directions of Medicaid, a program that seven in ten women have a connection to. Vice President Harris and former President Trump hold vastly different views on abortion and Medicaid, key issues affecting women’s health, particularly for women in their reproductive years and with lower incomes. With regard to Medicaid, the Biden-Harris Administration policy proposals have generally focused on efforts to “protect and strengthen Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act (ACA)”, as well as repealing the Hyde Amendment, which limits federal spending on abortion; in contrast, Former President Trump supported plans to repeal or weaken the ACA, cap and reduce Medicaid financing, and restrict Medicaid eligibility while he was president. In a recent column, KFF President and CEO Drew Altman pointed out that Medicaid is the program most likely to be in the crosshairs if Republicans take control this November is Medicaid.

Changes related to Medicaid could have major consequences for health coverage of women with low incomes as well as pregnancy, postpartum and other reproductive health care for women. Here are the top five things to know about women and Medicaid ahead of the election.

  1. Medicaid is a major source of coverage for women with low incomes (and their children). Medicaid provides coverage to one in five non-elderly adult women, the largest source of coverage after employer coverage (Figure 1).  Medicaid covers 43 percent of non-elderly women with low incomes (income below 200% FPL) and over half (52%) of poor women (income below 100% FPL). Medicaid also covers four in ten children and eight in ten poor children..
    Medicaid Covers One in Five Non-Elderly Adult Women and More Than Four in Ten Who Have Low Incomes
  2. Medicaid provides coverage to women across the lifespan, including women who are older and those with chronic disabilities. Medicaid provides coverage to women with low incomes who qualify because they meet one of the eligibility categories (pregnancy, parent, disability, or age 65+), or have income less than 138% of poverty through the ACA expansion pathway. Nearly two-thirds (64%) of adult women who are covered by Medicaid are of child-bearing age. Medicaid also covers over four in ten (44%) nonelderly women with a broad range of physical and mental disabilities, including physical impairments and severe mental illnesses. Medicaid finances over half (54%) of all long-term care spending, which is critical for many frail elderly women and women who qualify on the basis of disability. In 2021, 20% of women with Medicare were also enrolled in Medicaid. For these women, Medicaid helps to pay Medicare premiums, deductibles and cost-sharing as well as pay for services not typically covered by Medicare such as long-term care..Figure 2 is titled "More Than One-Third of Medicaid Enrollees Are Women." It shows a pie and bar chart demographic of sex and age demographic breakdowns.
  3. Medicaid is a key source of coverage for pregnant and postpartum women and births as well as access to family planning and preventive services. Medicaid covers over 4 in 10 births nationally and the majority of births in many states. Medicaid has also been used as a lever to help address disparities in access and outcomes in maternal and infant health. KFF research has found that the ACA’s Medicaid expansion promotes continuity of coverage in both the prenatal and postpartum periods. Furthermore, as a result of a provision in the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021, nearly all states now allow pregnancy-related coverage to continue through one year postpartum. Over half of the states have established programs that use Medicaid funds to cover the costs of family planning services for low-income women who remain uninsured and Medicaid accounts for 75% of all publicly funded family planning. Most states have limited scope Medicaid programs to pay for breast and cervical cancer treatment for certain low-income uninsured women..
    Medicaid Covers 4 in 10 Births Nationally
  4. Medicaid provides very limited access to abortion services. The federal Hyde Amendment prohibits federal spending on abortions, except when the pregnancy is a result of rape or incest, or when it jeopardizes the life of the pregnant person. However, states may use their own unmatched funds to pay for abortions for Medicaid enrollees in other circumstances and 19 states currently do so..
    In 17 States and DC Where Abortion Is Not Banned, the Hyde Amendment Blocks Abortion Coverage in Most Circumstances for Medicaid Enrollees
  5. Medicaid has broad support and the majority of enrollees prefer to keep it as it is today. The public’s views of Medicaid are also largely positive. KFF public opinion polling shows Medicaid has broad support across political parties, with majorities of Democrats, independents, and Republicans expressing a favorable view of the program. In addition, the majority of the public and Medicaid enrollees prefer to keep Medicaid as it is today, with the federal government guaranteeing coverage for low-income people, setting standards for who states cover and what benefits people get, and matching state Medicaid spending as the number of people on the program goes up or down. Seven in ten women have a personal connection to Medicaid (including health insurance, pregnancy-related care, home health care, or nursing home care, coverage for a child, or to help pay for Medicare premiums for themselves, a family member or close friend). Eight in ten adult women (79%) have a favorable opinion of the program (Figure 5)..
  6. Majority of Women Have A Connection to Medicaid and Hold Positive Views About the Program

The Current International Mpox Emergency and the U.S. Role: An Explainer

Published: Oct 2, 2024

Key Points

  • Major outbreaks of mpox – the infectious disease previously called monkeypox – are ongoing in a number of African countries, in particular the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). In addition, several mpox cases linked to the DRC outbreak have now been identified in some non-African countries, including Sweden and Thailand. Due to these circumstances, in mid-August 2024, the World Health Organization (WHO) and the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC) each declared mpox to be a public health emergency requiring a globally coordinated response.
  • This is the second time mpox has been declared an international emergency, with the first spanning 2022-2023. The current mpox outbreak centered in the DRC is being driven by the “clade I” strain of the virus, with a clade Ia variant that is primarily affecting children and a more recently identified clade Ib variant that is spreading primarily via sexual contact among adults. The previous international emergency was driven by a “clade II” strain, and primarily affected adult gay and bisexual men. Currently, there is ongoing transmission of both clades affecting mostly different geographic areas.
  • The U.S. government has provided technical and financial assistance for mpox response in DRC and elsewhere for years. Following the emergency declarations it has increased this support, including by delivering 50,000 doses of mpox vaccine to the DRC and 10,000 doses to Nigeria, as well as providing $10 million in mpox response-specific funding. On September 24, President Biden also pledged to donate up to 1 million more vaccine doses and an additional $500 million in funding to support mpox response across Africa.
  • Since the emergency declarations, the Africa CDC, WHO, and governments of affected countries have accelerated efforts to respond to the situation by developing updated response plans, mobilizing more funds and attention from policymakers, and working to obtain more mpox vaccine doses. Still, the response faces a number of challenges including an uncertain path to delivering mpox vaccines at scale, lack of access to prevention tools, poor health infrastructure in many affected areas along with ongoing conflicts and instability, and high levels of distrust and misinformation in affected communities.
  • No cases of clade I mpox have been identified in the U.S. as of September 26, 2024, and the CDC estimates the risk to the general public in the U.S. from the current outbreak in African countries is very low. However, clade II mpox infections continue to occur in the U.S. primarily among adult gay and bisexual men, though case numbers have declined since the previous mpox emergency in 2022-2023.

Introduction

Major outbreaks of mpox are again raising significant international concern. The DRC in particular has reported a large increase in cases driven by the “clade I” strain of the mpox virus, including a “clade Ia” variant that is primarily affecting children and a more recently identified “clade Ib variant” that is spreading primarily via sexual contact among adults. Clade I cases are also being reported in some other African nations, and several cases of the clade Ib variant have now been identified in non-African countries. At the same time, there continue to be mpox cases caused by “clade II” mpox, which was the variant that led to an earlier public health emergency in 2022-2023 in many different regions and countries around the world, including in the U.S. The recent circumstances led to two public health emergency declarations: the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC) declared mpox to be a “public health emergency of continental security” (PHECS) for Africa on August 13, 2024, and the WHO Director-General declared the mpox outbreaks a “public health emergency of international concern” (PHEIC) on August 14, 2024.

This explainer answers key questions about the international response to date, including the U.S. government’s role globally, and identifies issues and challenges that may affect the response going forward. It also discusses how the global emergency might affect the U.S. and the current status of mpox circulation within the U.S. It will be updated as needed.

Key Questions

What is mpox?

Mpox is a disease caused through infection with the mpox virus (MPXV). The first human case of mpox was identified in 1970, and since then, the virus has caused intermittent outbreaks. It is considered endemic in several Central, East, and West African countries, where infections have traditionally occurred through exposure to rodents or other animals carrying the virus. Human-to-human spread is also possible, primarily through close contact such as skin-to-skin contact and sexual or other contact with infected body fluids. Mpox can also pass from mother to fetus during pregnancy and during or after birth. Mpox infections can lead to symptoms such as fever, headaches, and body aches, and the development of a rash with lesions. Some infections can cause severe illness and even death, and there is a higher risk for severe outcomes in those with weaker immune systems such as people with HIV who are not virally suppressed and children. In areas with poor health care infrastructure and a lack of access to prevention tools, testing, treatment, and supportive care, mpox can be more difficult to identify, treat, and contain.

In recent years, more sustained human-to-human transmission and larger mpox outbreaks have been recorded from two genetic families of mpox virus (known as clade I and clade II mpox viruses; see Box 1). Most notably, in 2022, an outbreak of clade II mpox virus emerged from West Africa and spread globally, eventually affecting more than 100 countries and causing over 100,000 reported cases, including over 30,000 cases in the U.S. alone. That global outbreak was declared a PHEIC by WHO between July 2022 and May 2023 , and also declared a public health emergency in the U.S. in August 2022, marking the first time mpox had become a significant public health threat in non-endemic countries. Adult gay and bisexual men, especially men of color, made up the vast majority of cases during that outbreak in the U.S.

Strains of mpox virus (MPXV) from both clades have continued to circulate in largely geographically separate sets of endemic African countries, with clade II mpox infections primarily found in West African and Southern African countries and clade I infections found in Central African countries, the DRC in particular. In addition, clade II infections continue to be identified in many countries outside endemic regions, including in the U.S., primarily in gay and bisexual men, though the number of reported cases has declined significantly since the 2022 global outbreak.

Box 1: Epidemiology of Mpox Virus (MPXV) Clades I and II

There are two main genetic families of MPXV, known as clade I and clade II, and each clade is divided into sub-clades (clade Ia, clade Ib, clade IIa, and clade IIb) based on genetic similarities and differences.

Historically, clade I MPXV infections have been identified primarily in Central African countries, the DRC in particular, while clade II MPXV infections have been identified primarily in West African countries. In 2022, clade II MPXV emerged from West Africa to cause a global outbreak, primarily spread via sexual contact among adult gay and bisexual men. While that outbreak subsided following its 2022 peak, new cases of clade II MPXV infection continue to be reported in a number of countries worldwide, including African countries and the U.S.

In recent years, clade Ia and clade Ib MPXV have been circulating concurrently in the DRC and in Africa, and some clade Ib infections have also been identified outside of Africa:

  • Clade Ia MPXV: Infections continue to occur mostly in central DRC, affecting children exposed to infected animals with some additional ongoing human-to-human transmission due to close contact among family members or caregivers.
  • Clade Ib MPXV: First described in 2023; infections have been found primarily in eastern DRC and neighboring African countries. This includes several countries reporting mpox cases for the first time ever, such as Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, and Uganda. In areas affected by clade Ib, the majority of cases have occurred in adults and transmission appears to be sustained “largely, but not exclusively, through transmission linked to sexual contact and amplified in networks associated with commercial sex and sex workers.”

Available data suggest clade Ia MPXV infections are more likely to be severe cases and cause deaths than infections from clade IIa or clade IIb MPXV. While there is limited data on the severity of clade Ib, early indications are that it may not be as severe as clade Ia. Still, more data and studies are needed to fully understand the extent of biological and epidemiological differences across mpox sub-clades.

Why has mpox again been declared a public health emergency this year?

WHO and Africa CDC issued the emergency declarations due to the recent rapid rise in case numbers and expanded geographic reach of mpox. Of primary concern has been mpox in the DRC. In 2023, the DRC reported more than 14,000 suspected cases (three times as many as in 2022) and over 500 deaths from mpox. In 2024, these trends have accelerated, and in only the first half of this year, the country has reported over 14,000 suspected cases across 23 different provinces, with over 450 deaths. Children have been heavily affected in the DRC outbreaks, with an estimated 70% of mpox cases and 85% of mpox deaths in the country since 2022 occurring in children under 15.

Moreover, the emergence and rapid spread of a new strain of the mpox virus (known as clade Ib; see Box 1) that “appears to be spreading mainly through sexual networks” was first identified in eastern DRC in 2023 has not only caused a growing number of cases in the DRC, it has been found in a number of other countries in the region and outside Africa with one case detected in Sweden and one in Thailand. There are concerns that clade Ib virus may be more readily transmissible (including via sexual contact) compared to clade Ia, which could be contributing to the increased numbers of cases and the cross-border spread of the disease.

What has been the global response to the current mpox emergency?

Alongside its PHEIC declaration on August 14, WHO released $1.45 million from its Contingency Fund for Emergencies to help scale up the response in affected countries. On August 26, WHO issued a Global Mpox Strategic Preparedness and Response Plan (SPRP) that outlined a set of global, regional, and country level response steps and needs to address the spread of clade Ib in eastern DRC and to control outbreaks of clades I and II in the DRC and other African countries. The plan emphasized the need for better mpox surveillance, strengthening clinical care for the disease, more global cooperation to increase vaccine access, implementation of strategic vaccination efforts in populations at highest risk, and public health communication efforts and community empowerment.

Along with its declaration on August 13, Africa CDC requested $20 million for immediate mpox response needs (and reported it had been granted $10.4 million) from the African Union, and initially requested an additional $16 million from WHO and other international partners for a continent-wide response. The Africa CDC and WHO also launched a joint plan, the Mpox Continental Preparedness and Response Plan for Africa, covering the September 2024 through February 2025 period identifying the following:

  • 10 “pillars” for the continental response including coordination and leadership, case management, vaccination, and logistics and financing;
  • roles and responsibilities for the primary international organizations involved in the response, including Africa CDC, WHO, Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, and UNICEF;
  • the need for approximately $600 million to address the outbreak on the continent during the plan period (with 55% to be allocated to the mpox response in 14 affected countries and to boost readiness in 15 other countries at risk and 45% to be allocated to operational and technical support through partners), calling on donor governments, philanthropic organizations, and the private sector to provide this funding. Recent pledges from the U.S. and other donors totalled

In addition, Africa CDC activated its Public Health Emergency Operations Centre (PHEOC), initiated negotiations with pharmaceutical manufacturers and others to obtain mpox vaccines for use in outbreak response on the continent (see Box 2 for more on mpox vaccines), began supporting laboratory testing capacity building for mpox, and deployed epidemiologists to affected areas, among other activities.

Are mpox vaccines available, and are they getting to affected countries quickly?

There are several vaccines that can be used to prevent mpox (see Box 2). Africa CDC and WHO consider vaccines to be a key prevention tool for the response, and the joint Africa CDC and WHO continental response plan calls for enough vaccine doses to vaccinate 10 million people in African countries from September 2024 through February 2025. However, there are a limited number of vaccine doses available other than those already stockpiled by high-income countries.

Some high-income countries have agreed to donate vaccine doses from their existing stockpiles in support of the global response. For example, the European Commission announced a donation of 175,000 doses to Africa CDC, and Japan agreed to donate up to 3.5 million doses for response in the DRC. The U.S. has pledged to provide 1 million doses for the response, and has already delivered 50,000 doses to the DRC and 10,000 doses to Nigeria (see more on the U.S. role in mpox response below). In addition, Bavarian Nordic, the company that manufactures one of the mpox vaccines, pledged to donate 40,000 of the doses it has on hand to the DRC and to ramp up production of more doses for use in African countries in the coming months. Taken together, donors have pledged to provide a total of over 5.4 million doses of mpox vaccine for this response, according to WHO.

UNICEF and Gavi are also assisting in the process of acquiring vaccine doses and implementing vaccination in affected areas. Gavi announced it would redirect $2.9 million in funding to support mpox vaccinations in the DRC, and also is talking with vaccine manufacturers to help purchase doses directly, using funds drawn from its First Response Fund. Gavi is also helping coordinate the delivery of donated vaccines to countries in need. UNICEF reports that it is providing vaccination supplies and logistics support, health worker trainings, transportation, storage, and vaccine administration in the country.

As of September 24, 2024, 250,000 doses – 200,000 doses from the European Commission and Bavarian Nordic, along with the 50,000 doses from the U.S. – have arrived in the DRC. However, this is just a small fraction of the over 3 million doses that health authorities say are needed in the country in the near term. The DRC government announced it expects mpox vaccinations to begin in the country in the first week of October.

In other nearby countries reporting recent clade I mpox cases (such as Burundi, Rwanda, and Uganda), there is little information so far about if mpox vaccines will be provided in-country and when vaccinations may begin.

Box 2: Mpox vaccines and the international response

There are three vaccines, initially developed for smallpox prevention, that are considered effective in preventing mpox infection:

  • MVA-BN: Also known under the brand names Jynneos, Imvamune, and Imvanex, it is manufactured by Bavarian Nordic in Denmark and licensed by a number of countries for use in adults for the prevention of mpox.1 The MVA-BN vaccine is administered in a two-dose series.
  • ACAM2000: Manufactured by Emergent in the U.S., it has been made available for mpox prevention in adults under expanded access by the FDA in the U.S. The ACAM2000 vaccine is administered as a single dose.
  • LC16m8: Manufactured by KM Biologics in Japan, it has been licensed by Japan for smallpox prevention in children and adults and authorized by Japan for use against mpox since 2022. The LC16m8 vaccine is administered as a single dose.

Africa CDC has primarily focused on acquiring MVA-BN and LC16m8 doses for African countries, and estimates that enough doses to vaccinate 10 million people on the continent are needed.1 In the U.S., a 2022 emergency use authorization issued by the FDA allows for the use of MVA-BN (JYNNEOS) vaccine in children and adolescents under some circumstances. WHO representatives have stated that the same vaccine could be used “off label” to vaccinate children and adolescents on the African continent during the current emergency response.

What assistance has the U.S. provided to the DRC for mpox response?

The U.S. government has long provided support to help DRC address mpox. For example, CDC has supported mpox research and response efforts in country for decades. Over the last few years, U.S. support for mpox response has included efforts to build laboratory testing capacity in-country, conduct mpox vaccine research, and training health care workers.

With the growth in mpox cases in the DRC and the emergency declarations from Africa CDC and WHO, the U.S. government has announced a number of additional actions. This includes a U.S. commitment to provide over $55 million in emergency health assistance through USAID and the U.S. CDC for mpox response in DRC and other affected countries in Africa, including $10 million in additional funding announced in August specifically for clade I mpox response efforts. Also, the U.S. donated 10,000 doses of mpox vaccine to Nigeria in August and delivered 50,000 doses of mpox vaccine to the DRC in September, along with additional support for vaccine delivery.

On September 24, President Biden stated the U.S. would increase its support over the coming months, and expects to provide over $500 million in additional assistance for the mpox response in African countries as well as donate as many as 1 million mpox vaccines in support of the response.

Besides its mpox-specific support, the U.S. government has also long provided significant amounts of global health and humanitarian assistance to the country, and recently stated it would be expanding assistance for broad humanitarian efforts in the DRC.

What are key challenges in responding to the current mpox emergency?

Addressing the current mpox emergency in the DRC and other affected countries in Africa poses a number of challenges, including:

  • Limited testing, surveillance, and epidemiological capacity. There is a lack of point of care testing and laboratory capacity in many affected areas, which means many suspected cases of mpox may be undiagnosed and suspected cases unconfirmed. This is particularly true in regard to genomic sequencing. This hampers epidemiological investigations and leaves many questions unanswered about the current state of mpox in the DRC and elsewhere. More testing and epidemiological information on modes of disease transmission, risk factors, and disease severity associated with the different MPXV clades, as well as outcomes of pregnancy in women infected with different MPXV clades, would help authorities target response efforts.
  • Difficulties with obtaining and distributing mpox vaccines at scale. There is currently a limited global supply of mpox vaccines, with many of the existing doses found only in national stockpiles of high-income countries so the response relies in large part on donations. Also, there is a lack of formal authorization to use these vaccines in a number of the affected countries in Africa and little data on the effectiveness of these vaccines against clade I mpox or their effectiveness in children. A new, large-scale vaccination campaign to reach the populations at greatest risk for mpox is also a challenge.
  • Stigma and overlapping risks of mpox and HIV infection. There are relatively high rates of HIV infection in some mpox-affected countries in Africa, which raises concerns about the potential overlap in risks between these infectious diseases. Unsuppressed HIV infection could raise the risk for mpox transmission, especially in the context of sexual contact, and for development of more severe outcomes from mpox infection. In addition, both infections can lead to stigma for those affected, making the response more challenging. Therefore, ensuring public health authorities plan to address HIV and mpox in a coordinated fashion will be important.
  • Health systems and health care workforce. Lack of access to health care and a limited health care workforce increase risks from mpox for individuals and communities. Linking mpox cases to health care services as early as possible and ensuring the health care workforce is adequately trained and supplied to address mpox improves outcomes.
  • Travel restrictions. To date, countries have not put into place harsh restrictions on travel to and from areas affected by this mpox emergency. However, if the outbreak worsens and spreads to more countries, there is the potential for countries to impose travel bans or other restrictions, as has occurred during past outbreaks. There is little evidence to support the effectiveness of such restrictions in interrupting international transmission of mpox.
  • Competing priorities amid instability, conflict, and community distrust. Many of the affected countries – the DRC in particular – face multiple simultaneous humanitarian crises, health emergencies, and other urgent issues in addition to mpox. This makes focusing attention on and implementing a response to mpox more challenging, especially in the context of limited resources. For example, in some affected areas in the DRC, there is a history of instability and conflict and an ongoing lack of trust in authorities in many communities, which complicates response and risk communication efforts particularly those focused on reaching the most at-risk populations.

How might this latest outbreak affect people in the U.S.?

Although cases of mpox due to clade II infections continue to occur in the U.S. (see below), so far no cases of mpox due to clade I infections – the genetic family linked to the current DRC outbreak – have been identified in the U.S. The U.S. CDC estimates that the risk to the general public from the current mpox outbreak in African countries remains very low. The CDC also estimates there is a low to moderate risk from the current DRC-based clade I outbreak for U.S. gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (MSM) who have more than one sexual partner as well as for people who have sex with MSM, regardless of gender, particularly if there is a history of travel to any of the African countries affected in the current mpox emergency.

In light of the evolving mpox situation in parts of Africa and the potential risk of imported cases, CDC has issued a travel warning for the DRC and has issued several health alerts for U.S. clinicians, which provide guidance on prevention strategies and also suggest a “heightened index of suspicion” for mpox in patients recently arriving from affected areas in Africa who demonstrate signs and symptoms consistent with the disease.

Given the rise in anti-immigrant rhetoric and a history of charged debates about travelers entering the U.S. during health emergencies, there is the potential for mpox to become politicized this election year, especially if cases linked to the ongoing outbreaks in Africa are eventually identified in the U.S.

What is the status of ongoing mpox circulation in the U.S.?

As mentioned above, in 2022-2023, the U.S. had over 30,000 mpox cases during the global outbreak of clade II mpox, which had initially emerged from West African countries. While case numbers have declined in the U.S. since 2022, some clade II mpox cases continue to be identified, with CDC reporting 1,968 mpox (clade II) cases so far this year nationwide as of September 1, 2024. These cases have primarily occurred among adult gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (MSM) who have multiple sexual partners, especially men of color and with people with HIV being disproportionately impacted. According to CDC, during the peak of the epidemic in 2022 over 99% of mpox clade II cases in the U.S. occurred among men, and of those, 94% were among men who had sexual contact with other men.

Harris v. Trump: Records and Positions on Reproductive Health

Published: Oct 1, 2024

The 2024 election is the first Presidential election since the Supreme Court’s ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, and abortion access and reproductive health more broadly, are front and center in this election (Figure 1). The two candidates, Vice President Kamala Harris (D) and former President Donald Trump (R) have widely different positions on reproductive health. Vice President Harris has been and is an outspoken leader and advocate for reproductive freedom, while former President Trump celebrates the overturning of Roe v Wade, which ended the constitutional right to abortion and allowed states to completely ban or severely restrict abortion access. The candidates’ Vice-Presidential running mates, Governor Tim Walz (D) and Senator JD Vance (R) also have divergent records on reproductive health issues. Governor Walz points to his support for Minnesota’s Protect Reproductive Freedom Act, which codified abortion rights in the state, as well as his family’s own experience with fertility care. Senator Vance has expressed support for a national abortion ban via the Comstock Act and voted against a Senate bill that would have established a national right to IVF, a position that his running mate, Donald Trump, has said he supports.

While abortion is the most prominent health care campaign issue, the election could also have large implications for contraceptive care and maternal health. This brief summarizes the positions, records, and potential priorities of the two major party candidates for the 2024 Presidential election on three major issues in women’s health policy – abortion, contraception, and maternal health. The information presented is derived from the candidates’ records from their time as elected officials, their proposals or statements, and the Democratic and Republican party platforms. We have also included discussion of proposals from the Heritage Foundation’s Project 2025. While former President Trump has distanced himself from this proposal, its authors are influential in Republican circles and include several individuals who served in the Trump Administration. A separate side-by-side from KFF compares the candidates’ positions across a broad range of health care issues.

Women Voters, Especially Democratic Voters, Want to Hear Candidates Discuss Reproductive Health Issues

Abortion

Abortion access is one of the most prominent issues in the 2024 election, and the candidates have widely divergent records and positions. Vice President Harris has been an outspoken advocate for reproductive freedom and has endorsed the restoration of the prior federal standard under Roe v. Wade, which would guarantee a right to abortion until the point of fetal viability. In contrast, Trump expresses his support for letting states set their own abortion policy, including banning abortion, as allowed under the Dobbs Supreme Court ruling.

Vice President Harris has been vocal in her disagreement with the Supreme Court’s 2022 decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, which overturned Roe v. Wade and allowed states to set their own policy on abortion legality. In stark contrast, Trump has repeatedly taken credit for the overturning of Roe and giving states decision-making authority on abortion because he appointed three conservative justices to the Supreme Court with the explicit goal of overturning Roe. Since the Dobbs ruling, 14 states have banned abortion with very few exceptions and several other states have limited abortion availability to very early in pregnancy.

Abortion Access

Vice President Harris has been the leading voice for the Biden/Harris Administration on reproductive health and has said she supports restoring the protections of Roe v. Wade and eliminating the filibuster to do so. In the wake of the Dobbs ruling, the Biden-Harris administration has tried to limit the impact of the bans through executive actions as well as in the courts. This includes reiterating federal protections for abortion care under EMTALA in cases of pregnancy-related emergencies, reinforcing requirements for pharmacies to fulfill their obligation to provide access to reproductive health pharmaceuticals, enforcement of non-discrimination policies for health care providers, promulgating policies to strengthen data privacy to protect those seeking reproductive health care, and defending the FDA decision to approve mifepristone (one of the drugs used in the medication abortion regimen) and changes in how the drug can be dispensed. Vice President Harris opposes the Hyde Amendment, which limits federal spending on abortions to cases of rape, incest, or life of the pregnant person.

In 2016, Trump ran on the promise that he would appoint Supreme Court judges that would overturn Roe v. Wade, a promise he kept. Most recently, he has stated that he believes that abortion regulation should be left up to states and tweeted that he would veto a federal ban. At times earlier in the campaign he has suggested that he would support some type of federal standard, such as 15 or 16 weeks gestation, that would apply in all states. He has said that he believes in exceptions for cases of rape, incest, and life of the mother. Despite stating that he believes that abortion bans or limits at 6 weeks are “too early,” he also said he will vote against the ballot initiative that would expand abortion legality in Florida, where he resides (currently limited to six weeks of pregnancy). In terms of penalties for violation of bans or gestational limits, he has said that they should be also decided by states, even leaving open the possibility of allowing states to prosecute people in states with bans if they obtain abortions.

Trump has repeatedly stated that Democrats support abortion up to and after birth, which is false. There are no abortions at birth or after. During the 2016 campaign, he pledged to make the Hyde Amendment abortion funding ban a permanent law.

Medication Abortion

Medication abortion pills account for the majority of abortions in the U.S. The Biden-Harris Administration has implemented policies that expand access to medication abortion, particularly via telehealth, and has been fighting lawsuits brought by anti-choice clinicians and policymakers to further restrict abortion access. Former President Trump’s statements about medication abortion have been inconsistent, at times suggesting he would not block their availability and at other times suggesting the opposite. His support for leaving abortion policy to the states allows states to prohibit access to all abortions, including medication abortion. Project 2025—the detailed conservative policy treatise that was spearheaded by many former Trump Administration leaders—is clear in its opposition to the FDA’s approval of mifepristone and endorses the Comstock Act, which would effectively prohibit the mailing and distribution of abortion pills.

The Comstock Act is an existing 1873 anti-vice law banning the mailing of obscene matter and articles used to produce abortion. The Biden-Harris Administration’s Department of Justice maintains that the Comstock Act should not be interpreted literally and therefore has not enforced it. Based on over a century of Federal Court rulings, they determined the Comstock Act only applies when the sender intends for the material or drug to be used for an illegal abortion, and there are legal uses of abortion drugs in every state and no way to determine the intent of the sender. However, that would not preclude an Administration that is hostile to abortion from doing so. Former President Trump has not articulated his stance on enforcement of the Comstock Act, but some Republican leaders, including his running mate Senator Vance, have called for enforcement of the law and a halt on the mailing of all abortion medications and supplies within the country (which would be a de facto national ban) and even limiting access in states that currently allow abortion without restrictions.

Health exceptions to abortion bans is an issue that Vice President Harris has spoken about extensively. In addition to reiterating the federal EMTALA requirements for hospitals to provide health-stabilizing emergency care that includes abortion in cases of pregnancy-related emergencies, the Biden-Harris administration defended their policy in a case that reached the Supreme Court. This challenge was spearheaded by Republican-led states that ban emergency abortion care, even when it is the standard of care to preserve or stabilize health. President Trump says he believes in exceptions for “life of the mother.” Project 2025 authors say that emergency abortion denials are not a problem and call for the reversal of the Biden-Harris Administration’s EMTALA guidance and withdrawal of lawsuits challenging state abortion bans without health exceptions.

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Contraception

Access to contraception has emerged as another health care issue in this year’s election where Vice President Harris and former President Trump have different records. Vice President Harris’ call for reproductive freedom includes access to contraception, and her support on this issue extends back to her time before she became Vice President. Since the Dobbs decision, the Biden-Harris Administration issued executive orders reiterating support for contraception and directing various federal agencies and regulators to assure that access to the full range of contraceptive services and supplies is safeguarded. Trump’s Administration issued multiple regulations that placed restrictions on the availability of funding for contraception. During his campaign, he initially expressed that states could restrict access to contraceptives, but shortly afterwards, also said that he would not support this.

Right to Contraceptives

Vice President Harris is a strong supporter of contraceptive care, including coverage of over-the-counter methods, encouraging broader access under Medicare and at colleges and universities, and for the proposed federal Right to Contraception Act, which is pending in Congress. Although Trump has not spoken extensively about contraception during this campaign, the Republican party platform states support for “access to birth control;” however, there is no detail on the policies that they would implement to promote access. The majority of the Republican members of Congress (including Senator Vance) either opposed or abstained from voting on the Right to Contraception Act. Project 2025 characterizes some emergency contraception pills—a contraceptive that prevents pregnancy after sex by preventing or delaying ovulation, as a “potential abortifacient.”

Title X Federal Family Planning Program

While in office, Trump’s Administration rewrote the rules governing the federal Title X program, the federal family planning program that supports contraceptive access for people with lower incomes. Title X funds have never been used to pay for abortion services, but Trump’s Administration rewrote the regulations to disqualify family planning clinics from participating in the program if they also offered abortion services (with separate funding); additionally, they prohibited participating clinics from offering referrals to abortion services at other clinics to pregnant patients seeking abortion information. These changes resulted in a reduction of about 1,300 of the 4,000 sites participating in the network of clinics receiving federal support from the Title X program. His Administration also provided federal family planning funding through Title X funds to clinics that did not provide contraceptive methods, which had been a requirement of the program until that time. The Biden-Harris Administration reversed the Trump Administration changes to the program. Project 2025 calls for the restoration of the Trump-era rules and focusing the program on fertility-awareness based methods (FABM).

Medicaid and Family Planning

For decades, the Medicaid program has required coverage for family planning services, including contraceptives. The Biden–Harris Administration has reiterated support for this policy as well as the program’s “free choice of provider” policy which commits to inclusion of all qualified providers (including Planned Parenthood) that offer both contraception and abortion services, although federal Medicaid funds are not used for abortion care. Former President Trump allowed federal Medicaid funds to be used in a Texas Medicaid program that excluded Planned Parenthood and did not cover the full range of contraceptives, excluding emergency contraception. Eliminating Planned Parenthood from Medicaid provider networks has long been a priority of some Republican lawmakers and conservative organizations and is reiterated by Project 2025.

Contraceptive Coverage and the ACA

Private insurance coverage for contraceptives and other evidence-based preventive services such as cancer screenings and prenatal care is required under the ACA and has been championed and expanded by the Biden-Harris Administration. While President, Trump issued regulations that expanded facilitated employer claims to an exemption from the contraceptive coverage requirement, allowing employers with religious or moral objections to completely exclude contraceptives from their employee health plans.

The outcome of a pending federal lawsuit, Braidwood Management Inc v Becerra, which specifically challenges the ACA preventive services requirements, could put contraceptive coverage at risk. The Biden-Harris Administration is defending the ACA requirement and fighting the case. Former President Trump has not publicly voiced an opinion on the case, but Project 2025 calls for the federal government to issue new requirements for contraceptives and other women’s preventive services because of the pending case.

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Maternal Health

In recent years, there has been increased awareness and attention to the poor state of maternal health in the U.S., particularly stark racial and ethnic disparities in mortality and morbidity, as well as limited access and coverage for fertility assistance, particularly in vitro fertilization (IVF), under private insurance and Medicaid. While in the Senate and as Vice President, Harris has been a champion on improving maternal health, with a particular focus on eliminating persistent racial and ethnic disparities. Recently, has called for insurance coverage of IVF.

Equity, Quality, and Access to Care

Vice President Harris has a history of advocating for improvements in maternal health and care. As Senator, she sponsored the MOMNIBUS, a package of bills aimed at improving quality of and access to maternity care. After becoming Vice President, the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) of 2021, which the Administration supported, allowed states to extend postpartum coverage under Medicaid from 60 days to 12 months. Since it took effect, nearly all states have adopted the extension.

The Biden-Harris Administration has also taken other actions, including the launch of a maternal mental health hotline and a new Medicaid payment model for better coordinated maternity homes. Their Maternal Health Blueprint presents future priorities, such as coverage for a broader range of services, improving data collection, diversifying the maternity workforce (including with midwives and doulas), and improving treatment of pregnant people, particularly communities of color.

Trump also issued a maternal health plan near the end of his term that called for action on many of the same issues, including more research and technological investments in maternal health. The former President signed federal legislation that provided funding for maternal mortality review committees. The Project 2025 document supports broader access to doulas, as long as no federal funds support training related to abortion care.

Fertility Assistance and IVF

In February 2024, the Alabama Supreme Court ruled that embryos created through in vitro fertilization (IVF) are “unborn children” under the state’s law. Since the state court’s ruling, both Vice President Harris and former President Trump have expressed their support for IVF care. Trump has also said that if elected, his administration would provide access to full coverage of IVF services by requiring insurance companies or the government to pay, but he has not provided any details on how this would be funded or operationalized.

Both party platforms express support for IVF, however the Republican platform also invokes the 14th Amendment, which can be used to promote fetal personhood policies that could threaten and criminalize IVF care. Additionally, the Project 2025 authors refer to embryos as “aborted children” and oppose research using embryonic stem cells (which can be derived from the IVF process). Senators in both parties introduced federal legislation related to IVF. The Democratic-sponsored proposal would have established a federal right to IVF as well as other fertility assistance services, while the Republican-backed bill would have prohibited states from banning IVF care. Both bills failed to pass.

Despite strong public support, the U.S. is one of the few industrialized nations that does not have national requirements for paid family leave for most workers. Vice President Harris supports guaranteeing 12 weeks of paid leave for new parents, caregivers, cases of domestic violence, or military deployment. The Republican Party platform does not address paid leave. During former President Trump’s time in office, he signed the 2020 National Defense Authorization Act, which provided 12 weeks paid parental leave to federal employees for the birth or arrival of a child.

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Summary of Candidates' Positions and Policies on Major Topics in Reproductive Health
News Release

Nearly Half of Metro Areas Have Only One or Two Hospitals or Health Systems Providing Inpatient Care

Published: Oct 1, 2024

Nearly half (47%) of metropolitan areas across the country had only one or two hospitals or health systems providing general inpatient hospital care in 2022, a new KFF analysis finds.The analysis examines the extent of competition among hospitals amid a wave of hospital consolidation that has drawn the attention of state and federal regulators. About one in five (19%) metropolitan statistical areas have only one hospital or health system providing hospital care, and more than a quarter (27%) are controlled by two hospitals or systems.  In a large majority of metro areas (82%), one or two hospitals or health systems were responsible for at least three quarters of all inpatient hospital discharges in their area, thereby meeting the definition for highly concentrated markets based on current federal antitrust guidelines.

The number of hospitals or health systems in a metro area tends to increase with the population of the region, with a large majority of smallest metro areas (less than 200,000 residents) having only one or two hospitals or health systems providing inpatient hospital care, while nearly all of the largest areas (at least one million people) having at least four hospitals or health systems.Other findings include:

  • Nearly all (97%) metropolitan areas had highly concentrated markets for inpatient hospital care in 2022 based on the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index, which takes into account the market shares of the participants in a given market. The Federal Trade Commission and Department of Justice include this measure of competitiveness in their current guidelines for evaluating mergers between hospitals or health systems
  • Two thirds (67%) of hospitals nationwide were affiliated with health systems in 2022, up from 56% in 2010. The rise in affiliated hospitals affected both rural and nonrural areas, though nearly half (48%) of hospitals in rural areas remain unaffiliated with larger health systems.

Nearly 7 in 10 Medicare Beneficiaries Did Not Compare Plans During Medicare’s Open Enrollment Period

Published: Sep 26, 2024

Issue Brief

Each year, people with Medicare can review their coverage options and change plans during the annual Open Enrollment Period (October 15 to December 7). Medicare beneficiaries with traditional Medicare can compare and switch Medicare Part D stand-alone drug plans or join a Medicare Advantage plan, while enrollees in Medicare Advantage can compare and switch Medicare Advantage plans or elect coverage under traditional Medicare with or without a stand-alone drug plan. Beneficiaries have no shortage of plans to choose from: in 2024, the average Medicare beneficiary can choose among 43 Medicare Advantage plans and 21 Part D stand-alone prescription drug plans (PDPs).

The marketplace of Medicare private plans operates on the premise that people with Medicare will compare plans during the open enrollment period to select the best source of coverage, given their individual needs and circumstances. Coverage and costs vary widely among both Medicare Advantage plans and Part D prescription drug plans and can change from one year to the next, which could lead to unexpected and avoidable costs and disruptions in care for beneficiaries who do not review their options annually. For example, changes in Medicare Advantage provider networks could mean beneficiaries lose access to their preferred doctors, while changes in the list of covered drugs and cost-sharing requirements could result in higher out-of-pocket drug costs. Further, beneficiaries’ health care needs can change from one year to the next. Even without a change made by their plan or a change in health status, beneficiaries may be able to find a plan that better meets their individual needs or lowers their out-of-pocket costs.

In focus groups conducted by KFF, Medicare beneficiaries highlighted many of these factors, including out-of-pocket costs, access to specific doctors, and coverage of prescription drugs, as important in choosing their Medicare coverage. Yet, Medicare beneficiaries also expressed difficulty understanding and comparing the various plan options and being overwhelmed by a barrage of television ads – mostly for Medicare Advantage plans.

In this analysis, KFF examines the share of Medicare beneficiaries who reviewed their coverage and compared plans during the 2021 open enrollment period for coverage in 2022, and who made use of Medicare’s official information resources, as well as variations by demographic groups, based on an analysis of the 2022 Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (the most recent year available).

Key Takeaways

  • Overall, nearly 7 in 10 (69%) Medicare beneficiaries did not compare their own source of Medicare coverage with other Medicare options offered in their area during the 2021 open enrollment period, while 31% did so. A larger share of beneficiaries in traditional Medicare than in Medicare Advantage did not compare their own source of coverage with other plans (73% vs 65%).
  • Among Medicare Advantage enrollees, more than 4 in 10 (43%) did not review their current plan’s coverage to check for potential changes in their plan’s premiums or other out-of-pocket costs, while the remainder (57%) did so. A similar share (44%) did not review their current plan for potential changes in the kinds of treatments, drugs, and services that would be covered in the following year.
  • Most enrollees in Medicare Advantage prescription drug plans (82%) and stand-alone prescription drug plan (PDPs) (69%) did not compare their plan’s drug coverage with drug coverage offered by other plans in their area.
  • Medicare’s official information resources are used by half or fewer of Medicare beneficiaries, with just a quarter (26%) reporting calling the toll-free number, 4 in 10 (42%) reporting visiting the Medicare website, and slightly more than half (54%) reporting reading some or parts of the Medicare & You handbook

Nearly 7 in 10 Medicare Beneficiaries Did Not Compare Medicare Coverage Options During the Open Enrollment Period for 2022

Overall, most (69%) Medicare beneficiaries reported that they did not compare their current Medicare plan to other Medicare coverage options that were available during the 2021 open enrollment period for coverage in 2022 (Figure 1, Table 1). Among Medicare Advantage enrollees, nearly two-thirds of enrollees (65%) did not compare coverage options for 2022, even though year-to-year changes in Medicare Advantage plans, such as changes in provider networks or prior authorization requirements can affect enrollees’ access to care.

Nearly 7 in 10 Medicare Beneficiaries Did Not Compare Medicare Coverage Options During Open Enrollment Period for Coverage in 2022E

The share of Medicare beneficiaries who did not compare Medicare coverage arrangements was higher among certain subgroups, including beneficiaries with lower incomes and education levels, Hispanic beneficiaries, those dually-enrolled in Medicare and Medicaid, under age 65 with disabilities or ages 85 and older, and beneficiaries with a cognitive impairment (Figure 2, Appendix Table 1).

The Share of Medicare Beneficiaries Who Did Not Compare Medicare Coverage Options During Open Enrollment Was Higher Among Certain Subgroups

More Than 4 in 10 Medicare Advantage Enrollees Did Not Review Their Own Plan for Potential Changes in Covered Costs or Services for the Coming Year

For Medicare Advantage enrollees, premiums, cost sharing, and out-of-pocket limits can vary from year to year and across plans, with Medicare Advantage plans having the flexibility to modify cost sharing for most services, subject to limitations. Medicare Advantage plans may provide extra (“supplemental”) benefits that are not covered in traditional Medicare, but the type and scope of specific services often varies from one year to the next. Additionally, virtually all Medicare Advantage enrollees are in plans that impose prior authorization requirements for certain services, and these plans can alter the list of covered drugs, and broaden or narrow their network of physicians and other providers from one year to the next, subject to federal standards.

More than 4 in 10 (43%) Medicare Advantage enrollees did not review their current plan during the open enrollment period to see whether there would be changes for 2022 to their monthly premiums, deductibles, co-payments, or other out-of-pocket expenses, but the remaining 57% reported doing so (Figure 3, Appendix Table 2). Similarly, 44% of Medicare Advantage enrollees did not review their current plan for changes to the kinds of treatments, drugs, and services offered for their coverage in 2022.

The share of Medicare Advantage enrollees who did not review their own plan for changes in costs or services was higher among certain enrollees, including those with lower incomes and education levels, Black and Hispanic enrollees, individuals self-reporting fair or poor health, enrollees ages 85 and older, and those dually-eligible for Medicare and Medicaid coverage (Figure 3, Appendix Table 2).

For example, half of all Medicare Advantage enrollees reporting fair or poor health did not check to see if there was going to be a change in monthly premiums, deductibles or co-payments in their coverage, or any change in the kinds of treatments, drugs and services that would be covered. Nearly two-thirds of Hispanic (65%) and half of Black (50%) Medicare Advantage enrollees did not review their plan for changes in costs, with a similar pattern for changes in services (64% vs 48%, respectively). Additionally, nearly 60% of adults ages 85 and older did not review their plan for changes in costs (57%) or services (58%).

More Than Four in 10 Medicare Advantage Enrollees Did Not Review Their Current Medicare Plan For Changes in Costs or Services Covered in 2022; the Share Was Higher Among Certain Enrollees

Most Medicare Beneficiaries with Part D Prescription Drug Coverage Did Not Compare Their Plan’s Drug Coverage to Other Drug Coverage Options

Part D plan costs, including premiums, deductibles, and cost-sharing requirements can change from year to year and vary by plan. Additionally, Part D plans can also modify their formularies, including adding or dropping drugs from coverage, and adding or modifying utilization management requirements that apply to specific drugs, such as prior authorization and step therapy.

The prescription drug provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act include changes that will lower out-of-pocket costs for all Part D enrollees, including a new $2,000 cap on out-of-pocket spending starting in 2025. In response to these changes, it is possible that Part D plan sponsors may make changes to plan premiums, formularies and cost sharing, making it particularly important for beneficiaries to compare their prescription drug options during open enrollment.

About 8 in 10 (82%) enrollees in Medicare Advantage plans with prescription drug coverage (MA-PDs) did not compare the drug coverage offered by their own MA-PD to other MA-PDs in their area during the 2021 open enrollment period (Figure 4; Appendix Table 3). Among stand-alone prescription drug plan (PDP) enrollees, a lower share, 69% of enrollees, said they did not compare drug coverage offered by their current PDP to other PDPs.

Most Medicare Beneficiaries Did Not Compare the Drug Coverage Under Their Current Plan to Drug Coverage Offered by Other Medicare Plans

The share of beneficiaries with coverage under MA-PDs or PDPs who did not compare drug coverage offered for coverage in 2022 was higher among women, beneficiaries with lower incomes and education levels, Hispanic beneficiaries, beneficiaries ages 85 and older, and dual-eligible individuals (Appendix Table 3).

Medicare’s Information Resources Are Used by Half or Even Fewer Beneficiaries

Medicare provides information resources to help beneficiaries understand their Medicare benefits, coverage options, and costs, including the 1-800 Medicare toll free number, the Medicare.gov website, and the Medicare & You handbook that is provided each year to all Medicare beneficiaries. But these resources are not widely used, particularly the toll-free number (Figure 5, Appendix Table 4).

Medicare’s Information Resources Are Used by Half or Even Fewer Beneficiaries
  • About a quarter (26%) of Medicare beneficiaries reported calling the 1-800-MEDICARE helpline for information, but the remaining three-quarters (74%) of Medicare beneficiaries reported either never calling the helpline for information (51%) or being unaware that this helpline existed (23%).
  • Four in 10 (42%) Medicare beneficiaries said they (or someone on their behalf) visited the official Medicare website for information, but more than half (58%) said they either never visited the website (36%) or they did not have access to the internet or had no one to access it for them (22%).
  • More than half (54%) of Medicare beneficiaries reported that they had read the Medicare & You handbook (thoroughly or some parts of the handbook), but 46% reported that either they did not read the handbook (31%) or they did not receive it or did not know if they had received it (15%).

The share of Medicare beneficiaries who used Medicare information sources was lower among certain subgroups, including Black beneficiaries, individuals ages 75 to 84, and dual-eligible individuals (Appendix Table 4).

Methods

This analysis uses survey data for community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS) 2022 Survey File.

The analysis of 1) the share of beneficiaries who compared Medicare plans during the open enrollment period for 2022 coverage, 2) the share of Medicare Advantage enrollees who reviewed their current coverage for changes in costs or services, and 3) the share of beneficiaries who used Medicare’s official information sources used questions from the Medicare Plan Beneficiary Knowledge topical segment. This analysis was weighted to represent the ever-enrolled Medicare population in 2022 using the topical survey weight KNSEWT and relevant replicate weights. The analysis of the share of beneficiaries who compared Medicare plans and the share of Medicare Advantage enrollees who reviewed their current coverage for changes in costs or services excluded beneficiaries who reported just enrolling in Medicare.

The analysis of MA-PD/PDP drug plan comparison used questions from the Rx Medication topical segment; similar as above, the analysis was weighted to represent the ever-enrolled Medicare population in 2022 using the topical survey weight RXSEWT and relevant replicate weights.

Both analyses excluded beneficiaries with Part A or Part B only, those with Medicare as secondary payer, and those living in long-term care facilities. All reported differences in the text are statistically significant at p<0.05.

 

Appendix

Percent of Medicare Beneficiaries Who Compared Their Current Plans With Other Plans During the Open Enrollment Period For 2022 Coverage, By Demographic Characteristics
Percent of Medicare Advantage Enrollees Who Reviewed Their Current Medicare Plan for Changes in Costs or Services During the Open Enrollment Period for 2022 Coverage
Percent of Medicare Beneficiaries Reporting Prescription Drug Plan Comparison During the Open Enrollment Period for 2022 Coverage
Percent of Medicare Beneficiaries Reporting Use of Medicare Official Resources During the Open Enrollment Period for 2022 Coverage
News Release

Nearly 7 in 10 Medicare Beneficiaries Do Not Compare Coverage Options During Open Enrollment  

Published: Sep 26, 2024

With open enrollment less than a month away, a new KFF analysis suggests that the vast majority of the nation’s 67 million Medicare beneficiaries will not shop around among the coverage options for 2025 or switch plans. It’s a decision that could have a significant impact on enrollees’ coverage and costs.

The analysis of federal data shows that nearly 7 in 10 Medicare beneficiaries (69%) did not  compare their Medicare coverage with other Medicare options during the program’s annual open enrollment period for coverage in 2022. Enrollees in traditional Medicare were slightly more likely to skip shopping around than those in Medicare Advantage plans (73% vs. 65%). 

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services recommends that beneficiaries compare their options because coverage and costs can vary widely, especially among Medicare Advantage plans that now enroll more than half of all eligible Medicare beneficiaries. From one year to the next, Medicare Advantage plans can change their premiums, cost-sharing requirements, provider networks, or prior authorization requirements. For beneficiaries who simply stay put in their existing plan, such changes could lead to unexpected, avoidable costs and disruptions in care.The new analysis examined the subset of Medicare beneficiaries enrolled in a Medicare Advantage plan, finding that 43% of enrollees did not review their own plan’s coverage during the open enrollment period to see whether there would be changes for 2022 to their monthly premiums, deductibles, co-payments, or other out-of-pocket expenses. The share not reviewing their own plan for changes in costs was even higher among enrollees in fair or poor self-assessed health (50%), enrollees who are Black (50%) or Hispanic (65%), and enrollees ages 85 and older (57%).Similarly, 44% of Medicare Advantage enrollees did not review their current plan for changes to the kinds of treatments, drugs, and services offered for 2022.New changes for 2025 include prescription drug provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 that will lower out-of-pocket costs for all Part D enrollees, including a new $2,000 cap on out-of-pocket spending starting in January. In response, Part D plan sponsors may make changes to plan premiums, formularies, and cost sharing — making it especially important for beneficiaries to compare their prescription drug options during open enrollment.

In the past, many have not. The analysis shows that 82% of enrollees in Medicare Advantage prescription drug plans and 69% of enrollees in stand-alone Part D prescription drug plan did not compare their plan’s drug coverage with drug coverage offered by other plans in their area for 2022.

More broadly, relatively few beneficiaries use Medicare’s official information resources. The analysis finds that just a quarter (26%) reported calling the toll-free 1-800-Medicare helpline, four in 10 (42%) reported visiting the Medicare website, and slightly more than half (54%) reported reading some or parts of the Medicare & You handbook.

Also released today is KFF’s What to Know about the Medicare Open Enrollment Period and Medicare Coverage Options. It provides information about the kinds of changes Medicare beneficiaries can make to their coverage, how supplemental coverage can factor into decisions, how Medicare supports for low-income people relates to coverage decisions, how the features of traditional Medicare compare to Medicare Advantage, and how prescription drug coverage plans vary.

The Medicare open enrollment period runs from October 15 through December 7.

VOLUME 7

Political Rhetoric Spreads Misinformation About Fentanyl

This is Irving Washington and Hagere Yilma. We direct KFF’s Health Misinformation and Trust Initiative and on behalf of all of our colleagues across KFF who work on misinformation and trust we are pleased to bring you this edition of our bi-weekly Monitor.


Summary

In this edition, we look at how political rhetoric is driving misinformation about fentanyl and immigration. We also highlight the legal implications of fentanyl-laced counterfeit pills sold on social media, address myths about opioid exposure, and discuss how AI may help counter these narratives.


Quote card of white text on a green background reads: "Most adults (80%) have heard the claim that immigrants cause violence. It's the ultimate example of amplification of misinformation by political figures based on the intentional use of anecdotes." from Drew Altman, KFF President and CEO

In his latest Beyond the Data column, KFF CEO Drew Altman examines how media coverage can inadvertently amplify politicians’ misinformation about immigrants. He cites a recent incident in Springfield, Ohio, where false claims about Haitian immigrants, initially made by political candidates, gained traction through media coverage. Altman observes that some politicians are exploiting feelings of alienation among certain Americans by scapegoating immigrants. This misinformation can have serious consequences, especially for Black immigrants who face both racism and anti-immigrant sentiment. He emphasizes that the media must be careful when reporting on such political falsehoods, as repeated coverage showing clips of false statements, even if followed by fact checking, can unintentionally reinforce misinformation.


Recent Developments

Latest KFF Poll Explores Exposure, Belief, and Impact of Misinformation About Immigrants

The latest KFF Health Misinformation Tracking Poll (conducted before the September 10 presidential debate) highlights how misinformation about immigrants is being shared by politicians leading up to the election, with many adults exposed to both false and true claims but remaining unsure of their truthfulness. The September Health Misinformation Tracking Poll found that large majorities of adults have heard elected officials or candidates make the false claims that immigrants are causing an increase in violent crime (80%) or taking jobs and increasing unemployment for U.S.-born adults (74%; Figure 1). While a majority have heard the true statement that immigrants help to fill labor shortages in some industries (69%), far fewer have heard candidates or elected officials make the true claim that immigrants pay billions in taxes annually (31%). 

A Majority of Adults, Including Similar Shares Across Partisans, Say They Have Heard False Claims About Immigrants From Elected Officials or Candidates

Despite this exposure, most people say these statements are either “probably true” or “probably false,” reflecting widespread uncertainty (Figure 2). However, Republicans are far more likely than Democrats or independents to say false claims about immigrants are “definitely true.” Additionally, about half of U.S. adults, including a similar share of immigrants, either incorrectly believe undocumented immigrants are eligible for federally funded health insurance programs or say they are unsure. This misinformation has implications for immigrant health and well-being. The poll also found that nearly four in ten immigrants (36%), including nearly half of Asian immigrants (45%), say former President Trump’s rhetoric has negatively impacted the way they are treated in the U.S. On the other hand, most immigrants (72%) say Vice President Harris’s statements have not affected their treatment, while about one in five say her rhetoric has had a positive effect.

Politicians Incorrectly Link Fentanyl to Migration to Garner Support for Immigration Policy

CorbalanStudio / Getty Images

During this election season, politicians are sharing misinformation about fentanyl and migration to instill fear and promote stricter border policies. Former President Donald Trump and Vice Presidential Candidate JD Vance have repeatedly claimed that undocumented immigrants are responsible for the influx of fentanyl into the U.S., criticizing President Biden and Vice President Harris’ immigration policy and suggesting that building border walls could reduce drug flow. These claims are misleading and not new. An NPR-Ipsos poll from 2022 found that nearly 4 in 10 Americans believe that “most of the fentanyl entering the U.S. is smuggled in by unauthorized migrants crossing the border illegally”. In reality, federal data analyzed by KFF indicates that most fentanyl enters the U.S. through legal ports of entry and is trafficked primarily by U.S. citizens, not migrants.

As fentanyl continues to drive overdose deaths in the U.S., these misleading claims are resonating with some grieving parents who have lost children to fentanyl overdoses and are looking for decisive action against the opioid crisis. A new KFF analysis shows that fentanyl has driven a 23-fold increase in opioid deaths over the past decade, making it the primary cause of overdose fatalities, despite a decline in overall opioid deaths in late 2023. But experts argue that stricter immigration policies will not effectively combat the opioid epidemic. This type of rhetoric misplaces blame, contributing to stigmatization and harmful policies that adversely affect immigrant health. Focusing on this false link neglects the real factors driving fentanyl and opioid overdoses in the U.S., such as misconceptions about treatments for opioids.

Fentanyl-Laced Fake Drugs on Social Media Raises Questions About Accountability

Vladimir Vladimirov / Getty Images

Social media platforms have increasingly contributed to the rise of fentanyl use among youth. Platforms like Instagram, Snapchat, and Telegram have become key venues for drug distribution, allowing young users to order illicit substances, often without knowing they’re laced with fentanyl. Even though social media companies are trying to crack down on drug sales, experts say it’s not enough to keep users safe. Some grieving parents, who’ve lost children to fentanyl-laced pills, are suing companies like Snap for negligence in these tragic fatalities. This legal battle has broader implications for Section 230, which currently provides immunity to online platforms for content posted by users. If these cases succeed, it could lead to stricter rules and more accountability for social media companies.

One way to determine if prescription drugs contain fentanyl is by using fentanyl test strips. Although there is uncertainty about how consistently fentanyl test strips detect fentanyl across brands, lots, and drug combinations, they can still serve as effective harm reduction measures by identifying fentanyl and its analogs in drug samples at low concentrations. Unfortunately, a widespread myth persists that fentanyl contamination is impossible to detect, which keeps many from using these strips. Critics also argue that making fentanyl test strips available might encourage drug use, causing some states to classify them as drug paraphernalia. But harm-reduction evidence shows they prevent overdoses without increasing consumption and a KFF Issue Brief explains that some states are changing their policies to allow access to fentanyl test strips because of the rise of illicit fentanyl in drug supplies. By spreading the myth that fentanyl contamination is undetectable or leads to more drug use, individuals overlook practical solutions that could mitigate the risk and protect vulnerable populations.


Emerging Misinformation Narratives

Myths About Fentanyl Exposure

sturti / Getty Images

A common myth surrounding fentanyl is that simply touching it can be fatal. This fear has been spread by some media reports and misinformed statements. Fentanyl is a powerful opioid, but it isn’t absorbed through the skin or through casual contact.

There have been several high-profile cases where police officers or first responders claimed to have collapsed or overdosed just by touching fentanyl, but medical experts have consistently debunked these reports. In July 2023, multiple local news outlets reported on incidents involving police officers who claimed to have been exposed to fentanyl during their duties. One officer in Indiana stated they had passed out after accidentally inhaling the drug, while another in Colorado reported collapsing after touching it. Similar claims have surfaced in recent years, often sparking discussions on social media. While some users express concern, others question the validity of these reports. For example, in response to the recent incidents, a doctor shared a popular post on X stating, that fentanyl cannot be accidentally inhaled, as it must be snorted or vaporized.

The misconception that simply touching or inhaling fentanyl can lead to overdose can be traced back to an advisory statement issued by the DEA in 2016. Even though experts have repeatedly debunked these myths, public fear of fentanyl remains high. Widespread concerns about the drug are understandable, as fentanyl is involved in more than 70 percent of U.S. overdose deaths, but false narratives about the drug may be drowning out factual information intended to prevent fentanyl-related deaths.


Research Updates

fotosipsak / Getty Images

A study in Journalism Studies that examined media coverage of misinformation during the 2016 and 2020 U.S. presidential elections offers insight into how media outlets addressed election-related false claims. The study identified three core strategies for correcting election-related misinformation: emphasizing correct information without repeating the false claims, adopting a more assertive tone to debunk inaccuracies, and using credible sources to appeal to diverse audiences, including skeptics. As health misinformation continues to underlie political rhetoric leading up to the election, these media approaches could help shape public understanding and counteract harmful narratives.

Source: Juarez Miro, C., & Anderson, J. (2024). Correcting False Information: Journalistic Coverage During the 2016 and 2020 US Elections. Journalism Studies25(2), 218-236.

simplehappyart / Getty Images

Debunking Misinformation May Be More Effective Than Prebunking

A study published in Nature found that debunking misinformation is slightly more effective than prebunking when it comes to correcting false claims. Researchers tested both strategies on over 5,000 participants across multiple European countries, examining how these interventions impacted belief in misinformation. While both methods worked, debunking — delivered after people were exposed to false claims — had a small advantage. However, the study also highlighted the role of trust: debunking was less effective when participants had low trust in the source delivering the correction, emphasizing that trust in institutions remains a factor in countering misinformation effectively.

Source: Bruns, H., Dessart, F. J., Krawczyk, M., Lewandowsky, S., Pantazi, M., Pennycook, G., ... & Smillie, L. (2024). Investigating the role of source and source trust in prebunks and debunks of misinformation in online experiments across four EU countries. Scientific Reports, 14(1), 20723.


AI and Emerging Technologies

Personalized AI Debunking: A New Approach to Countering Conspiracy Theories

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Personalizing debunking efforts can effectively counter conspiracy theories by tailoring arguments to address the specific evidence individuals believe supports their views. A recent study published in Science found that when participants engaged in a personalized, in-depth dialogue with an AI tool designed to refute conspiracy theories, their belief in those conspiracies decreased significantly, with effects lasting for months. This approach challenges the notion that conspiracy beliefs are impervious to change and suggests that AI tools, which can sustain individualized, evidence-based conversations, may be powerful resources for mitigating harmful beliefs.

About The Health Information and Trust Initiative: the Health Information and Trust Initiative is a KFF program aimed at tracking health misinformation in the U.S., analyzing its impact on the American people, and mobilizing media to address the problem. Our goal is to be of service to everyone working on health misinformation, strengthen efforts to counter misinformation, and build trust. 


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Support for the Health Information and Trust initiative is provided by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (RWJF). The views expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of RWJF and KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities. The Public Good Projects (PGP) provides media monitoring data KFF uses in producing the Monitor.


Poll Finding

Misinformation About Immigrants in the 2024 Presidential Election

Published: Sep 24, 2024

 

Findings

As part of KFF’s ongoing effort to identify and track misinformation in the U.S., the latest KFF Health Misinformation Tracking Poll examines claims about immigrants that have circulated during the 2024 presidential election cycle. While immigration has been a frequent topic of the campaign, the political discourse surrounding immigrants often overlooks the perspectives and experiences of immigrants themselves. To address this gap, this report includes new insights from a survey of immigrants in addition to views among the general public. This research builds on the 2023 KFF/LA Times Survey of Immigrants, which found that large shares of immigrants are confused and fearful about using government benefit programs. A companion issue brief provides key facts about immigrants’ health care use and costs.

Key takeaways from this report include:

  • Most of the public has heard or read claims – including false claims – about immigrants from elected officials or candidates as part of the campaign. Conducted before the September 10 presidential debate, the survey found that large majorities of adults across partisans say they have heard false statements from candidates and elected officials that immigrants are “causing an increase in violent crime in the U.S.” (80%) and that “immigrants are taking jobs and causing an increase in unemployment for people born in the U.S.” (74%). A majority of adults (69%) also report hearing the true claim from candidates and elected officials that “immigrants help fill labor shortages in certain industries like agriculture, construction, or health care,” though far fewer (31%) report hearing the true claim that “undocumented immigrants pay billions of dollars in U.S. taxes each year.”
  • When it comes to the truthfulness of these claims about immigrants, a majority of adults are in the “muddled middle,” saying the claims are either “probably true” or “probably false.” For example, more than half (56%) of adults overall say the false claim that “immigrants are causing an increase in violent crime in the U.S.” is either “probably true” (28%) or “probably false” (28%), while about one in five each say this claim is “definitely true” (23%) or “definitely false” (20%).
  • Despite many adults falling in the “muddled middle,” there are strong partisan divides in the public’s perceptions of the truthfulness of these claims, with Republicans more likely than Democrats to say false claims about immigrants are “definitely true.” For example, about four in ten (45%) Republicans say it is “definitely true” that immigrants are causing an increase in violent crime in the U.S., whereas a similar share (39%) of Democrats say this claim is “definitely false.” Conversely, Democrats are more likely than Republicans to say each of the true claims about immigrants is “definitely true.”
  • Amid former President Trump’s false claims that undocumented immigrants drain federal benefit programs and receive free government health care, many U.S. adults, as well as immigrants themselves, are confused about whether and when immigrants can qualify for programs like these. Across partisanship and immigration status, about half or more U.S. adults and immigrant adults say they are either unsure or incorrectly believe that most immigrants to the U.S. are eligible to enroll in federal health insurance programs, including Medicare and Medicaid, as soon as they arrive in the U.S. Under longstanding federal policy, most lawfully present immigrants, with some exceptions, are generally ineligible to enroll in federal benefit programs like Medicaid until they have resided in the U.S. for at least five years. Undocumented immigrants are ineligible for federally funded health insurance programs.
  • Nearly four in ten (36%) immigrant adults say the way former President Trump has talked about immigrants in his campaign has had a negative effect on how they are treated as immigrants in the U.S., rising to 45% among Asian immigrant adults. Those who say they have been negatively affected by Trump’s rhetoric point to his role in instigating violence, racism, and discrimination toward immigrants. Most (72%) immigrants say that the way Vice President Harris has spoken about immigrants in her campaign has not affected how they are treated, yet perhaps in a nod to her heritage, three in ten (30%) Asian immigrant adults say the way Harris speaks about immigrants has had a positive effect on how they are treated.
  • More than twice as many immigrant adults say that immigrants will be better off under a Harris (55%) presidency than a Trump presidency (19%), but about one quarter (26%) say who the president is makes no difference in the lives of immigrants. About seven in ten (73%) immigrants who identify as Democrats or lean towards the Democratic party say immigrants will be better off under Harris while nearly half (46%) of Republicans and Republican-leaning immigrants say the same about Trump.
  • Similar to U.S. voters overall, immigrants who are citizens and registered to vote name the economy and inflation (39%) and threats to democracy (24%) as their top voting issues in this year’s presidential election. About one in ten (9%) immigrant voters say immigration and border security is their top issue.

The Public’s Exposure to and Belief in Claims About Immigrants

Immigrants and immigration have been a central issue of the 2024 presidential campaign. The Trump campaign has repeatedly described immigrants as a source of crime, a burden for taxpayers, and a drain on government programs like Medicare and Social Security. The Harris campaign has also focused on immigration, emphasizing her tough on crime stance as a former attorney general of a border state, while also highlighting her family’s immigrant roots. Fielded before the September 10 presidential debate, the latest KFF Health Misinformation Tracking Poll asked the public about true and false claims about immigrants that have circulated during the campaigns. 

False claims about immigrants are pervasive, with large majorities of adults saying they have heard or read statements from candidates or elected officials that “immigrants are causing an increase in violent crime in the U.S.” (80%) and that “immigrants are taking jobs and causing an increase in unemployment for people born in the U.S.” (74%). A majority of adults (69%) also report hearing the true claim from candidates or elected officials that “immigrants help fill labor shortages in certain industries like agriculture, construction, and health care,” though far fewer (31%) report hearing that “undocumented immigrants pay billions of dollars in U.S. taxes every year.” The shares who report hearing or reading these claims are similar across partisans, but fewer Republicans than Democrats have heard the true claim about undocumented immigrants paying billions in taxes (23% vs. 38%).

Split bar chart showing percent who say they have heard or read specific statements about immigrants from elected officials or candidates. Results shown by total U.S. adults and party identification.

As with other forms of misinformation, many adults are not certain what to believe when it comes to campaign-related statements about immigrants, with a majority falling in the “muddled middle,” saying the claims are either “probably true” or “probably false.” Overall, more than half (56%) of adults say the false claim that “immigrants are causing an increase in violent crime in the U.S.” is either “probably true” (28%) or “probably false” (28%). A similar pattern exists on the false claim about immigrants causing an increase in unemployment for U.S.-born workers (27% “probably true,” 30% “probably false”) and the true claim that undocumented immigrants pay billions of dollars in U.S. taxes (27% “probably true,” 32% “probably false”). For the true claim about immigrants filling labor shortages in key industries, overall, about half of adults fall in the middle, but more adults are inclined to say it is “probably true” (44%) than “probably false” (11%).

Stacked bar chart showing percent who say specific claims about immigrants are definitely true, probably true, probably false, or definitely false.

Public perceptions of the truthfulness of these claims are sharply divided along partisan lines, with Republicans more likely than Democrats to believe false assertions that immigrants are causing increases in violent crime and unemployment. About four in ten (45%) Republicans say the false claim about immigrants and violent crime is “definitely true,” whereas a similar share (39%) of Democrats says this claim is “definitely false.” There is also a wide partisan gap in perceptions of the false claim that immigrants are taking jobs and contributing to unemployment for U.S.-born adults, with about three in ten (31%) Republicans saying this is “definitely true,” while about four in ten (46%) Democrats say this is “definitely false.”

Stacked bar chart showing percent who say specific false claims about immigrants are definitely true, probably true, probably false, or definitely false. Results shown by party identification.

Partisans also differ in their level of certainty about two true claims about immigrants. For example, sizeable shares of both Democrats and Republicans are inclined to believe the true claim that immigrants help fill labor shortages in certain industries, as at least three quarters from both parties say this claim is at least “probably true.” However, Democrats are stronger than Republicans in this conviction, as a larger share say it is “definitely true” (55% vs. 21%). Few Democrats or Republicans are certain about the truthfulness of the true claim that “undocumented immigrants pay billions of dollars in U.S. taxes every year,” as at least half of adults from both parties say this statement is either “probably true” or “probably false.” Still, on this true claim, Republicans are more likely than Democrats to say it is “definitely false” (43% vs. 13%).

Stacked bar chart showing the percent who say they think specific true claims about immigrants are definitely true, probably true, probably false, or definitely false. Results shown by party identification.

Knowledge About Immigrants’ Eligibility and Use of Federal Benefit Programs

Immigrants and immigration are key talking points of former President Donald Trump’s campaign as well as many other Republican candidates and elected officials. He and others have frequently made false statements about immigrants, including that undocumented immigrants are receiving free health care from the federal government, immigrants are “killing” Social Security and Medicare, and that immigrants receive an outsized share of government benefits. The latest KFF Health Misinformation Tracking Poll asks both the general public as well as immigrants themselves their knowledge on immigrants’ eligibility and use of federal benefits.

About half of U.S. adults overall (51%) and immigrant adults (49%) incorrectly believe undocumented immigrants are eligible for health insurance programs paid for by the federal government or say they are “not sure.” About three in ten adults overall (29%) and immigrant adults (32%) say they are “not sure” whether undocumented immigrants are eligible for health insurance paid for by the federal government and about one in five of each group (21%, 17%) incorrectly say undocumented immigrants are eligible. The other half of U.S. adults (49%) and immigrant adults (51%) correctly say undocumented immigrants are not eligible for federal health insurance programs. Among U.S. adults overall, Republicans are more likely than Democrats to incorrectly believe undocumented immigrants are eligible for federal health insurance programs (30% vs. 18%). Under federal policy, undocumented immigrants are ineligible to enroll in federal health insurance programs like Medicare, Medicaid, or CHIP, or to purchase coverage through the ACA Marketplaces. As of June 2024, six states plus D.C. provide fully state-funded health insurance coverage to some income-eligible immigrant adults regardless of status. However, these programs are fully paid for by state funds.

Stacked bar chart showing percent who say they think undocumented immigrants are or are not eligible for health insurance programs paid for by the federal government. Results shown by total immigrant adults, total U.S. adults, U.S. adults by party identification, and immigrants by citizenship status.

About half or more U.S. adults and immigrant adults either incorrectly believe most immigrants are eligible to receive benefits like Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security as soon as they arrive in the U.S. or say they are unsure. Under longstanding federal policy, most lawfully present immigrants, with some exceptions, are generally ineligible to enroll in federal benefit programs like Medicaid, until they have resided in the U.S. for at least five years (see KFF’s companion issue brief on health care use among immigrants for more information). To qualify for Social Security and Medicare, lawfully present immigrants must meet all eligibility requirements, including work and age requirements, which preclude new immigrants from enrolling. About three in ten U.S. adults overall (31%) and one third of immigrant adults (32%) incorrectly believe most immigrants are eligible to receive benefits from Medicaid as soon as they arrive in the U.S., while at least a third of each group (33%, 38%) are unsure. There are similar levels of confusion over Medicare eligibility, with 58% of all U.S. adults and the same share of immigrant adults answering incorrectly or being unsure. About half of U.S. adults overall (53%) and immigrant adults (45%) correctly say immigrants are not eligible for Social Security benefits as soon as they arrive in the U.S., though about half in each group either answer incorrectly or are unsure. Overall, similar shares of U.S. adults and immigrants are confused about immigrants’ eligibility for these federal benefits regardless of their partisanship or citizenship status, respectively, but a higher percentage of U.S. adults who are Republican mistakenly believe immigrants are immediately eligible for Medicaid compared with Democrats (40% vs. 31%).

Stacked bar chart showing percent who say immigrants are or are not eligible to receive specific government benefits as soon as they arrive in the U.S. Results shown by total immigrant adults and total U.S. adults.

Most (59%) U.S. adults incorrectly believe that on average, immigrants receive more in government benefits than they pay in taxes, while most (66%) immigrant adults correctly say the opposite: that immigrants pay more in taxes than they receive in government benefits. Among both U.S. adults overall and immigrant adults, there are stark differences by partisanship on this question. About eight in ten (84%) Republican U.S. adults incorrectly believe immigrants receive more in government benefits on average than they pay in taxes, whereas a majority (61%) of Democrats correctly say the opposite. Among immigrant adults, most partisans correctly answer that immigrants pay more in taxes than they receive in government benefits, but Democrats and Democratic-leaning immigrants are more likely than Republicans and Republican-leaners to answer correctly (71% vs. 58%). Perhaps in a reflection of their own ineligibility for many government benefits, about eight in ten (78%) immigrant adults who are non-citizens are aware that immigrants pay more in taxes than they receive in government benefits, while a smaller majority (57%) of immigrant citizens say the same. Analysis shows undocumented immigrants contribute billions in federal, state, and local taxes each year, helping to fund programs they cannot access, including Social Security and Medicare. Research further finds that immigrants pay more into the health care system through taxes and health insurance premiums than they utilize, helping to subsidize health care for U.S.-born citizens.

Split bar chart showing percent who indicate which of the following statements comes closest to their view. Immigrants pay more in taxes than they receive in government benefits, or immigrants receive more in government benefits than they pay in taxes. Results shown by total immigrant adults, total U.S. adults, U.S. adults by party identification, immigrants by party identification, and immigrants by citizenship status.

How Immigrants Have Been Affected by the Campaign

Nearly four in ten (36%) immigrant adults say the way former President Trump has talked about immigrants in his campaign has had a negative effect on how they are treated as immigrants in the U.S., rising to 45% among Asian immigrant adults. Overall, about half of (54%) immigrant adults say Trump’s rhetoric about immigrants has not had an effect on how they are treated, while an additional one in ten (10%) say it has had a positive effect. There are no substantial differences in responses among immigrant adults by citizenship status nor by English proficiency in how they say Trump’s immigrant rhetoric has affected them.

Percent of U.S. immigrants who say the way former President Trump has talked about immigrants in his campaign has had a negative, positive, or no effect on how they are treated. Results shown by total immigrant adults and race and ethnicity.

In Their Own Words: How Trump’s Campaign Rhetoric Has Affected Immigrants

In a few words, can you describe how the campaign has affected how you are treated?

“With Trump people belittle me and think that we’re thieves and rapists”-  72-year-old Mexican immigrant woman in California

“I am looked at more suspiciously when I am out alone or with only other people of color. I do not feel safe out alone”— 50-year-old Taiwanese immigrant woman in California

“People usually tell me to go back to my country, to go back where I came from, to go back to Mexico even though that’s not where I’m from”-27-year-old Dominican immigrant woman in Rhode Island

“If you happen to speak Spanish (like at [the grocery store]) as my wife and I do, there are generally ‘eye rolls’ and ‘staring’ at us by primarily White folks”-80-year-old Mexican immigrant man in Texas

“Donald Trump’s rhetoric has demonized all immigrants and make them feel like second class citizens”-41-year-old Chinese immigrant man in California

Most (72%) immigrants report that Vice President Harris’s campaign statements about immigrants have had no effect on how they are treated, but perhaps in a nod to her heritage, about three in ten (30%) Asian immigrant adults say her statements have had a positive effect. Overall, about one in five (21%) immigrant adults say they feel the way Harris has talked about immigrants in her campaign has positively affected the way they are treated as immigrants in the U.S., while far fewer (7%) say Harris’s statements have had a negative effect on how they are treated.

Stacked bar chart showing the percent of U.S. immigrants who say the way Vice President Harris has talked about immigrants in her campaign has had a negative, positive, or no effect on the way they are treated. Results shown by total immigrant adults and race and ethnicity.

A majority of immigrant adults say that immigrants would be better off under a Harris (55%) presidency compared to a Trump presidency (19%), but about one quarter (26%) say who the president is makes no difference in the lives of immigrants. Immigrant partisans are divided on this question. About three quarters (73%) of immigrant Democrats and Democratic-leaners say immigrants will be better off under Harris, whereas about one in four (24%) Republicans and Republican-leaning immigrants say the same. While about four in ten (46%) of immigrants who are Republican or lean Republican say immigrants would be better off under Trump, about three in ten (29%) say it makes no difference who is president.

Stacked bar chart showing percent of U.S. immigrants who say immigrants in the U.S. will be better off if either Trump or Harris is elected president, or that it will make no difference. Results shown by total immigrant adults and by party identification.

Immigrant Voters’ Priorities

Immigrants who are citizens and registered to vote prioritize similar issues and are equally motivated to vote in the presidential election as U.S. voters overall. About half of immigrants to the U.S. are naturalized citizens and therefore eligible to vote in U.S. Among these voters, about half (53%) say they are more motivated to vote this year compared to previous presidential elections, similar to the share of all U.S. voters who say the same (59%).

Immigrant voters also prioritize a similar list of issues as U.S. voters overall, with the economy and inflation (39%) and threats to democracy (24%) topping the list of issues these voters say are most important to their presidential vote. About one in ten (9%) citizen immigrant voters say immigration and border security is their top issue, followed by Medicare and Social Security (8%), abortion (5%), and the war in Gaza (5%). Partisan splits on these issues are also similar to U.S. voters overall, with a larger share of Republican and Republican-leaning immigrant voters compared to Democrats/Democratic-leaning immigrant voters prioritizing the economy and inflation (51% vs. 32%), and larger shares of Democrats vs. Republicans prioritizing threats to democracy (35% vs. 3%) and abortion (7% vs. 1%).

Split bar chart showing percent of U.S. immigrant citizens who say specific issues are the most important issue determining their vote. Results shown by total citizen immigrant voters and party identification.

Methodology

KFF September 2024 Health Misinformation Tracking Poll Methodology

This KFF Health Tracking Poll/Health Misinformation Tracking Poll was designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at KFF. The survey was conducted August 26-September 4, 2024, online and by telephone among a nationally representative sample of 1,312 U.S. adults in English (1,244) and in Spanish (68). The sample includes 1,028 adults (n=53 in Spanish) reached through the SSRS Opinion Panel either online (n=1,018) or over the phone (n=18). The SSRS Opinion Panel is a nationally representative probability-based panel where panel members are recruited randomly in one of two ways: (a) Through invitations mailed to respondents randomly sampled from an Address-Based Sample (ABS) provided by Marketing Systems Groups (MSG) through the U.S. Postal Service’s Computerized Delivery Sequence (CDS); (b) from a dual-frame random digit dial (RDD) sample provided by MSG. For the online panel component, invitations were sent to panel members by email followed by up to three reminder emails.

Another 284 (n=15 in Spanish) interviews were conducted from a random digit dial telephone sample of prepaid cell phone numbers obtained through MSG. Phone numbers used for the prepaid cell phone component were randomly generated from a cell phone sampling frame with disproportionate stratification aimed at reaching Hispanic and non-Hispanic Black respondents. Stratification was based on incidence of the race/ethnicity groups within each frame.

Respondents in the phone samples received a $15 incentive via a check received by mail, and web respondents received a $5 electronic gift card incentive (some harder-to-reach groups received a $10 electronic gift card). In order to ensure data quality, cases were removed if they failed two or more quality checks: (1) attention check questions in the online version of the questionnaire, (2) had over 30% item non-response, or (3) had a length less than one quarter of the mean length by mode. Based on this criterion, no cases were removed.

The combined cell phone and panel samples were weighted to match the sample’s demographics to the national U.S. adult population using data from the Census Bureau’s 2022 Current Population Survey (CPS), September 2021 Volunteering and Civic Life Supplement data from the CPS, and the 2024 KFF Benchmarking Survey with ABS and prepaid cell phone samples. The demographic variables included in weighting for the general population sample are gender, age, education, race/ethnicity, region, civic engagement, frequency of internet use, political party identification by race/ethnicity, and education. The sample of registered voters was weighted separately to match the U.S. registered voter population using the same parameters above derived from the 2024 KFF Benchmarking Survey. Both weights account for differences in the probability of selection for each sample type (prepaid cell phone and panel). This includes adjustment for the sample design and geographic stratification of the cell phone sample, within household probability of selection, and the design of the panel-recruitment procedure.

The margin of sampling error including the design effect for the full sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points and is plus or minus 4 percentage points for registered voters. Numbers of respondents and margins of sampling error for key subgroups are shown in the table below. For results based on other subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher. Sample sizes and margins of sampling error for other subgroups are available by request. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error and there may be other unmeasured error in this or any other public opinion poll. KFF public opinion and survey research is a charter member of the Transparency Initiative of the American Association for Public Opinion Research.

GroupN (unweighted)M.O.S.E.
Total1,312± 4 percentage points
Total registered voters1,084± 4 percentage points
Democratic registered voters377± 7 percentage points
Independent registered voters335± 7 percentage points
Republican registered voters332± 7 percentage points

 


KFF Survey of Immigrants: Election 2024 Methodology

This KFF Survey of Immigrants: Election 2024 was designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at KFF. The survey was conducted August 19-September 17, 2024, online and by telephone among a nationally representative sample of 543 U.S. immigrants in English (429), Chinese (21), Spanish (80), Korean (12), and Vietnamese (1). The sample was reached through the SSRS/KFF Immigrants Panel either online (n=492) or over the phone (n=51). The SSRS/KFF Immigrants Panel is a nationally representative probability-based panel of immigrants where panel members were recruited randomly in one of three ways: (a) Through invitations mailed to respondents randomly sampled from an Address-Based Sample (ABS) provided by Marketing Systems Groups (MSG) through the U.S. Postal Service’s Computerized Delivery Sequence (CDS); (b) a random digit dial telephone sample of prepaid cell phone numbers obtained through MSG from a dual-frame random digit dial (RDD) sample provided by MSG or (c) calling back telephone numbers from recent SSRS RDD polls whose final disposition was “language barrier,” meaning the person answering the phone spoke a language other than English or Spanish.

An initial invitation letter to the survey was sent to panel members via USPS asking them to take the survey online or by calling a toll-free number. Invitation letters were also sent via email to panelists who provided an email address during registration. Email invitations were sent to those who provided an email address during panel registration. Outbound call attempts were also made to panelists who provided a phone number. Online respondents received a $10 electronic gift card incentive, and phone respondents received a $10 incentive check by mail.

The sample was weighted to match the sample’s demographics to the national U.S. adult immigrant population using data from the 2022 American Communities Survey. The demographic variables included in weighting are home ownership, number of adults in household, presence of children in household, census region, length of time in the U.S., English proficiency, citizenship status, gender, age, race/ethnicity, education, and country of origin. Weights account for recontact propensity and the design of the panel recruitment survey.

Comparisons to total US adults come from the September 2024 KFF Health Misinformation tracking poll which was conducted among a nationally representative sample of N=1,312 US adults in English (1,244) and Spanish (68) from August 26 to September 4, 2024. The sample was reached via the probability based SSRS Opinion Panel (1,028) and through a RDD sample of prepaid cell phone numbers (284). The combined cell phone and panel samples were weighted to match the sample’s demographics to the national U.S. adult population using data from the Census Bureau’s 2022 Current Population Survey (CPS), September 2021 Volunteering and Civic Life Supplement data from the CPS, and the 2024 KFF Benchmarking Survey with ABS and prepaid cell phone samples. The demographic variables included in weighting for the general population sample are gender, age, education, race/ethnicity, region, civic engagement, frequency of internet use, political party identification by race/ethnicity, and education. The sample of registered voters was weighted separately to match the U.S. registered voter population using the same parameters above derived from the 2024 KFF Benchmarking Survey. Both weights account for differences in the probability of selection for each sample type (prepaid cell phone and panel). This includes adjustment for the sample design and geographic stratification of the cell phone sample, within household probability of selection, and the design of the panel-recruitment procedure.

The margin of sampling error including the design effect for the immigrant adults sample is plus or minus 6 percentage points and is plus or minus 4 percentage points for US adults. Numbers of respondents and margins of sampling error for key subgroups are shown in the table below. For results based on other subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher. Sample sizes and margins of sampling error for other subgroups are available by request. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error and there may be other unmeasured error in this or any other public opinion poll. KFF public opinion and survey research is a charter member of the Transparency Initiative of the American Association for Public Opinion Research.

GroupN (unweighted)M.O.S.E.
Total Immigrant Adults543± 6 percentage points
Total US adults1,312± 4 percentage points
Registered voters
Immigrant registered voters315± 9 percentage points
Total US registered voters1,084± 4 percentage points

 

Appendix

The KFF Health Misinformation Tracking Poll sought to examine the public’s exposure to and belief in several true and false claims about immigrants. Below are some of the sources used to document their accuracy.

ClaimAccuracy Source
Immigrants are causing an increase in violent crime in the U.S.False. Violent crime is not increasing in the U.S. Studies show that immigrants are less likely to commit violent crimes than U.S.-born adults, and that there is no correlation between immigration and violent crime rates.NY Times; Factcheck.org; NPR
Immigrants are taking jobs and causing an increase in unemployment for people born in the U.S.False. Unemployment rates are not increasing for people born in the U.S. Since 2021, employment for U.S.-born adults has increased more than employment for foreign-born workers.Factcheck.org; Bureau of Labor Statistics
Immigrants help fill labor shortages in certain industries like agriculture, construction, and health careTrue. There are labor shortages in many service industry jobs, and immigrants are more likely to be employed in these sectors than are U.S.-born adults.CNN; Brookings; KFF: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Undocumented immigrants pay billions of dollars in U.S. taxes every yearTrue. Undocumented immigrants paid $96.7 billion in federal, state, and local taxes in 2022.Institute of Taxation and Economic Policy; CNN

 

News Release

Poll: As the Election Approaches, Most of the Public Say They Have Heard False Claims about Immigrants 

Nearly 4 in 10 Immigrants Say that Former President Trump’s Rhetoric Has Harmed Them

Published: Sep 24, 2024

With immigration and border security getting attention heading into November’s elections, a large majority of the public reports hearing false claims about immigrants from candidates or elected officials, and many immigrants say the rhetoric is negatively affecting how they are treated, a new KFF Health Misinformation Tracking Poll finds.

Fielded before the Sept. 10 debate between former President Trump and Vice President Harris, the poll tested the public’s awareness of, and belief in, several statements about immigrants, both false and true. A companion survey of immigrants examines their views and experiences during the campaign.

Most of the public say they have heard candidates or officials make the false claims that “immigrants are causing an increase in violent crime” (80%) and that “immigrants are taking jobs and causing an increase in unemployment for people born in the U.S.” (74%).

About one in five people wrongly say that each of those two false claims are “definitely true,” with similar shares saying they are “definitely false.” In each case, a majority falls somewhere in between, describing the claims as only “probably” true or false.

For many immigrants, campaign rhetoric can have tangible effects. Nearly four in ten (36%) immigrants – including almost half (45%) of Asian immigrants – say that the way former President Trump talks about immigrants has negatively affected the way they are treated. Few (7%) say the same about Vice President Harris’ rhetoric, while about one in five (21%), including three in ten (30%) Asian immigrants, say that her rhetoric has had a positive effect.

When asked about the potential outcome of the election for immigrants, a narrow majority (55%) of immigrants say they would be better off if Vice President Harris wins, roughly three times the share that say that they would be better off if former President Trump wins (19%). A quarter (26%) say that who the president would not make a difference in the lives of U.S. immigrants.

“Everyone is quick to point to social media as the source of misinformation, and it often is, but it’s candidates who are amplifying misinformation about immigrants. Our poll shows that they’re harming immigrants in the process,” said KFF President and CEO Drew Altman, who also wrote a new column on the issue following comments by former President Trump and Sen. J.D. Vance about Haitian immigrants in Springfield Ohio.  

The poll of the public at large also reveals sharp differences among partisans in their likelihood to endorse those false claims.

Specifically, about four in ten (45%) Republicans say it is “definitely true” that immigrants are causing an increase in violent crime in the U.S., while a similar share (39%) of Democrats say this claim is “definitely false.” And about three in ten (31%) Republicans say the false claim about immigrants causing an increase in unemployment for U.S.-born people is “definitely true,” while nearly half (46%) of Democrats say it is “definitely false.”

Many People, Including Immigrants, Are Confused about Eligibility for Federal Health Benefits

The poll also gauges the public’s – and immigrants’ – understanding about immigrants’ eligibility for government benefits programs amid former President Trump’s false claims during the campaign that immigrants drain federal benefit programs and receive free government health care.

Half of the general public (51%) and immigrants (49%) do not realize that undocumented immigrants are not eligible for health insurance programs paid for by the federal government, either saying either that they aren’t sure or wrongly saying that they are eligible.

Similarly, half or more of the public and immigrants do not understand that most immigrants are not eligible for Social Security, Medicare, or Medicaid benefits as soon as they arrive in the U.S., saying either that they aren’t sure or wrongly saying that they are eligible immediately.

Under longstanding federal policy, most lawfully present immigrants, with some exceptions, are generally ineligible to enroll in federal benefit programs like Medicaid until they have resided in the U.S. for at least five years. Undocumented immigrants are ineligible for federally funded health insurance programs.

A related new KFF report explains these rules as well as other key facts about immigrants’ use of health care and its costs.

Designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at KFF. The KFF Health Misinformation Tracking Poll was conducted August 26-Sept. 4, 2024, online and by telephone among a nationally representative sample of 1,312 U.S. adults in English and Spanish. Findings for immigrant adults are based on a separate nationally representative survey of 543 immigrant adults (people living in the U.S. who were born outside the U.S. and its territories). The survey of immigrants was conducted August 19-September 17, 2024 online and by telephone in English, Chinese, Spanish, Korean, and Vietnamese. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points for total U.S. adults and 6 percentage points for immigrant adults. For results based on other subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher.

Key Facts on Health Care Use and Costs Among Immigrants

Published: Sep 23, 2024

Immigrant adults are a diverse population who make up 16% of adults in the United States and play a significant role in the nation’s workforce and communities. Leading up to the 2024 election, there has been an increase in anti-immigrant rhetoric and immigration has been a central talking point for candidates. The Trump campaign has repeatedly described immigrants as a source of crime, a burden for taxpayers, and a drain on government programs like Medicare and Social Security. The Harris campaign has also focused on immigration, emphasizing her tough on crime stance as a former attorney general of a border state, while also highlighting her family’s immigrant roots. Some states have also taken restrictive actions focused on immigrants, including requiring hospitals to collect patient immigration status.

Amid this rhetoric and these recent state actions, data on immigrants’ health care use and costs as well as their contributions to the economy and workforce, including in the health care sector, can be informative. This brief provides key data on these topics drawing on KFF analysis across a range of data sources, including the KFF/LA Times Survey of Immigrants, the largest nationally representative survey of immigrants conducted to date, and other research.

Immigrants are not more likely than U.S.-born citizens to report using government assistance for food, housing, or health care, and undocumented immigrants remain ineligible for federally funded assistance.

The 2023 KFF/LA Times Survey of Immigrants shows that, despite having lower household incomes and facing financial challenges, immigrant adults are no more likely than U.S.-born adults to say that they or someone living with them received government assistance with food, housing, or health care in the past year. Overall, about a quarter (28%) of both immigrant adults and U.S.-born citizen adults say they received this type of assistance in the past 12 months (Figure 1).

Lawfully present immigrants face eligibility restrictions for federal programs, including Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP). In general, lawfully present immigrants must have a “qualified status” to be eligible for Medicaid or CHIP, and many, including most lawful permanent residents or “green card” holders, must wait five years after obtaining qualified status before they may enroll even if they meet other eligibility requirements. Some lawfully present immigrants, such as refugees and asylees, are exempt from the five-year waiting period. States can also expand coverage to lawfully residing immigrant pregnant people and children without a five year wait. Lawfully present immigrants can purchase Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplace coverage and receive tax credits to offset the cost of that coverage without a five-year wait. Lawfully present immigrants can also qualify for Medicare but must have sufficient work history. If they do not have this work history, they can purchase Medicare Part A after residing legally in the U.S. for five years continuously.

Undocumented immigrants are not eligible to enroll in federally funded coverage including Medicaid, CHIP, or Medicare, or to purchase coverage through the ACA Marketplaces. Medicaid payments for emergency services may be made to hospitals or other providers on behalf of individuals who are otherwise eligible for Medicaid but for their immigration status. Emergency conditions include those that place an individuals’ health in serious jeopardy or cause serious bodily impairment or dysfunction, although states have discretion to determine what services can be reimbursed through Emergency Medicaid.

Some states have established fully state-funded programs to provide coverage to immigrants regardless of immigration status, although they vary in eligibility and scope of benefits provided. Research suggests that expanding health coverage for immigrants can reduce uninsurance rates, increase health care use, lower costs, and improve health outcomes.

Similar Shares of Immigrant and U.S.-Born Adults Say They Have Received Government Assistance with Food, Housing, or Health Care in the Past Year

Immigrants, particularly those who are undocumented, use less health care, including emergency room care, than people born in the U.S.

Overall, research shows that immigrants, including lawfully present and undocumented immigrants, use less health care than U.S.-born citizens. Moreover, the KFF/LA Times Survey of Immigrants shows that among immigrant adults, likely undocumented immigrants are less likely than lawfully present immigrants and naturalized citizens to report seeking or receiving care in the U.S. or having a health care visit in the past year. About six in ten (63%) likely undocumented immigrant adults report a health care visit in the past year compared with 74% of lawfully present immigrant adults and 82% of naturalized citizen adults.

Lower use of health care among immigrants likely reflects a combination of them being younger and healthier than their U.S.-born counterparts as well as them facing increased barriers to care, including language access challenges, confusion, and immigration-related fears. Prior KFF analysis found that Trump-era policies amplified these fears and contributed to greater reluctance to access care.

Likely Undocumented Immigrant Adults are Significantly Less Likely to Receive Health Care Services Than Naturalized Citizens and Lawfully Present Immigrants

Immigrants have lower health care costs than U.S.- born people.

Reflecting their lower use of health care, immigrants have lower health care expenditures than their U.S.-born counterparts. KFF analysis of 2021 medical expenditure data shows that, on average, annual per capita health care expenditures for immigrants are about two-thirds those of U.S.-born citizens ($4,875 vs. $7,277) (Figure 3). This reflects lower spending for most types of health care, including office-based visits, prescription drugs, inpatient care, outpatient care, and dental care. These findings are consistent with other research which shows that immigrants’ overall health expenditures are one-half to two-thirds of those of U.S.-born individuals, regardless of status, and that per capita expenditures from private and public insurance sources are lower for immigrants, particularly for undocumented immigrants. For example, one study found that undocumented immigrants are more likely to be uninsured and have significantly lower health care expenditures than U.S.-born individuals per year, and that despite differences in the likelihood of being uninsured, there are no significant differences in rates of uncompensated care between undocumented immigrants and U.S.-born individuals.

Immigrants Have Two-Thirds the Per Capita Health Care Expenditures of U.S.-Born People

Immigrants contribute to the economy through their role in the workforce and tax payments, with research showing that they help subsidize health care for U.S.- born people and stabilize Medicare and Social Security.

Immigrants support the nation’s workforce by filling unmet labor market needs, and research suggests that they do not take jobs away from U.S.-born people. They play a disproportionate role filling jobs in essential industries such as construction and agriculture that are at increased risk of adverse health outcomes and injuries, including climate-related health hazards. In addition, immigrants as well as the adult children of immigrants play outsized roles in the health care workforce as physicians, surgeons, nurses, and long-term care workers (Figure 4). As health care workforce shortages are projected to continue and the U.S. 65 and older population grows, immigrants could help mitigate these shortages.

Analysis shows that undocumented immigrants contribute billions in federal, state, and local taxes each year. It is estimated that more than a third of their tax dollars are payroll taxes that fund programs they cannot access, including Social Security, Medicare, and the federal share of unemployment insurance. Research further finds that immigrants pay more into the health care system through taxes and health insurance premiums than they utilize, helping to subsidize health care for U.S.-born citizens. Earlier research found that without the contributions undocumented immigrants make to the Medicare Trust Fund, it would reach insolvency earlier, and that undocumented immigrants result in a net positive effect on the financial status of Social Security.

Immigrants and Adult Children of Immigrants Play an Outsized Role in the Health Care Workforce