Reading the Post-Roe Tea Leaves in States Without Abortion Bans or Protections

Published: Jun 23, 2022

In recent months, many states have enacted laws to either prohibit abortions or to expand and protect access to abortion in anticipation of the Supreme Court’s likely ruling to overturn Roe v. Wade in the Dobbs v Jackson Women’s Health case. There has been less clarity, however, about what abortion access will be like in the 17 states that do not have any explicit laws either upholding abortion rights or prohibiting abortion. If the Court rules to overturn Roe, then it is anticipated that while some states may not fully ban abortion, some will act to further restrict abortion access through new or expanded abortion restrictions to regulate abortion providers and the provision of abortion care.

Since the Roe v. Wade decision in 1973, states have not been permitted to ban abortions before viability. However, the High Court’s ruling in the Planned Parenthood v Casey case allowed states to regulate the abortions that were done before fetal viability, so long as the regulation did not create an “undue burden” for people seeking abortions. If the Supreme Court overrules Roe v. Wade, states will be permitted to restrict access to abortion before the point of viability and to regulate abortions without any federal constitutional standards. It is likely that some of the states that will not prohibit abortion will have so many restrictions that access to abortion will be extremely limited, essentially blocking most abortions without enacting an outright ban.

In the 17 states without explicit laws prohibiting or protecting abortions, we present a number of indicators to assess abortion access, including abortion restrictions, the number of clinics, and women of reproductive1  age per clinic, as well as State Supreme Court rulings interpreting the right to abortion in that state.2  We included seven main categories of abortion restrictions: counseling requirements, waiting periods, ultrasound requirements, parental notification or consent requirements, gestational limits, prohibitions on insurance coverage of abortion3 , and regulations on facilities or clinicians providing abortion. Some states might have enacted other abortion restrictions or abortion-specific regulations that are not included in our review.

Most States Without Laws Expressly Protecting or Banning Abortion Already have Numerous Abortion Restrictions

Five of these states (Alaska, Florida, Kansas, Minnesota, and Montana) have a prior State Supreme Court decision interpreting a right to abortion in the State constitution. There is current litigation challenging these Court decisions in Florida and Montana. In Kansas, there is a constitutional amendment on the November ballot to amend the Kansas Constitution to explicitly state that nothing in the state constitution creates a right to abortion or requires government funding for abortion and that the state legislature has the authority to pass laws regarding abortion.

In ten of these states, the legislatures have a history of enacting many laws that restrict abortion. Even if these states do not prohibit abortion outright, it is likely that many people seeking abortions in these states will not be able to access care. It is also important to consider that eleven of these states will have gubernatorial elections this year and the outcome of these elections will play a role in the future of abortion access in several of these states.

While it’s not possible to precisely predict the extent of abortion access in these states, the number of abortion restrictions, abortion coverage policy, and the partisan composition of the state legislature and governor’s office today can give us a good sense of what the future holds in many states. Future litigation resulting in state Supreme Court rulings and the outcomes of the 2022 and future elections will also be critical in determining the extent of abortion access in these states.

Alaska

The Alaska Supreme Court found that the state constitution protects the right to abortion.

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 1

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions: None

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 5

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 32,300

Current partisan composition of state offices: Republican governor and legislature, and attorney general (AG). AG is appointed by the governor. Supreme Court justices are appointed in part by the governor.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Governor, with the Republican incumbent running
  • Potential for the House to flip

Florida

The Florida Supreme Court found that the state constitution protects the right to abortion. Florida enacted a 15-week abortion ban that is scheduled to take effect July 1, 2022; it is being challenged by two lawsuits as being in violation of the state constitution.

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 7

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions:

  • Health insurance exchange
  • Medicaid

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 55

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 82,892

Current partisan composition of state offices: Republican governor, legislature, and attorney general. Supreme Court justices are appointed by the governor.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Governor, with the Republican incumbent running
  • Attorney general, with the Republican incumbent running

Georgia

Georgia has enacted a 6-week ban that has been temporarily blocked by a Court. If the U.S. Supreme Court allows states to ban abortion at any point during pregnancy, then Georgia could implement this law.

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 6 (one restriction temporarily blocked)

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions:

  • Health insurance exchange
  • Public employee plans
  • Medicaid

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 15

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 169,260

Current partisan composition of state offices: Republican governor, legislature, and attorney general. Supreme Court justices are elected on a non-partisan basis.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Governor, with the Republican incumbent running
  • Attorney general, with the Republican incumbent running
  • Three non-partisan Supreme Court seats

Indiana

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 7

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions: All market segments including Medicaid

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 7

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 216,785

Current partisan composition of state offices: Republican governor, legislature, and attorney general (elected). Supreme Court justices are appointed in part by the governor.

Key 2022 state elections: None

Iowa

On June 17, 2022, the Iowa Supreme Court overturned the 2018 decision that found the state constitution protects the right to abortion. While the Court found there is no fundamental right to abortion found in the state constitution, the Court did not set a standard for how to evaluate abortion regulations but noted that they will turn to the U.S. Supreme Court decision on the Dobbs case for future insights in how they will interpret the state constitution regarding abortion.

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 5

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions:

  • Medicaid

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 7

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 97,458

Current partisan composition of state offices: Republican governor and legislature, and Democratic attorney general. Supreme Court justices are appointed in part by the governor.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Governor, with the Republican incumbent running
  • Attorney general, with the Democratic incumbent running

Kansas

In 2019, the Kansas Supreme Court found that the Kansas Bill of Rights includes the right to abortion.

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 6

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions: All market segments including Medicaid

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 4

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 160,156

Current partisan composition of state offices: Democratic governor and Republican legislature and attorney general. Supreme Court justices are appointed by the State Bar Association.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Governor, with the Democratic incumbent running
  • Attorney general, with the Republican incumbent running
  • Ballot initiative (during its August 2, 2022, primaries) that would amend the state constitution to state that nothing in the state constitution creates a right to abortion or requires government funding for abortion and that the state legislature has the authority to pass laws regarding abortion.

Michigan

The Governor and Planned Parenthood filed a lawsuit to block the implementation of Michigan’s pre-Roe abortion ban. The Michigan Court of Claims issued a preliminary injunction that bars the state government from enforcing the ban as the litigation continues. The current attorney general, a Democrat, will not appeal this decision. If the incumbent Democrat loses the 2022 election, the new attorney general could choose whether to defend the pre-Roe ban.

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 6

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions: All market segments including Medicaid

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 28

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 78,165

Current partisan composition of state offices: Democratic governor and attorney general, and Republican legislature. Supreme Court justices are elected on a non-partisan basis.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Governor, with the Democratic incumbent running
  • Attorney general, with the Democratic incumbent running
  • Potential for the Senate and House to flip
  • Two non-partisan Supreme Court seats with the potential to shift the majority of the Court from liberal to conservative
  • Pending ballot initiative (July 11 deadline for inclusion) that would create a state constitutional right to reproductive freedom, including abortion, and that the state could only prohibit abortion after fetal viability except to protect the life, physical, or mental health of the pregnant person, as determined by a clinician.

Minnesota

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 3

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions: None

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 9

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 138,226

Current partisan composition of state offices: Democratic governor and attorney general, and split legislature. Supreme Court justices are elected on a non-partisan basis.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Governor, with the Democratic incumbent running
  • Attorney general, with the Democratic incumbent running
  • Potential for the House to flip

Montana

In 1999, the Montana Supreme Court found that the state constitution protects the right to abortion. Montana’s Attorney General is challenging the state's constitutional protection.

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 3 (two are temporarily blocked)

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions:

  • Health insurance exchange

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 7

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 31,898

Current partisan composition of state offices: Republican governor, legislature, and attorney general (elected). Supreme Court justices are elected on a non-partisan basis.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Two non-partisan state Supreme Court seats, with the potential to shift the majority to potentially conservative

Nebraska

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 7

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions: All market segments including Medicaid

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 3

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 142,036

Current partisan composition of state offices: Republican governor and attorney general. Legislators are elected on a nonpartisan basis. Supreme Court justices are appointed in part by the governor.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Governor, with the Republican incumbent not running
  • Attorney general, with the Republican incumbent not running

New Hampshire

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 3

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions:

  • Medicaid

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 7

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 41,300

Current partisan composition of state offices: Republican governor, legislature, and attorney general (appointed by the governor). Supreme Court justices are appointed by the governor.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Governor, with the Republican incumbent running

New Mexico

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 0

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions: None

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 6

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 76,010

Current partisan composition of state offices: Democratic governor, legislature, and attorney general. Supreme Court justices are elected on a partisan basis.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Governor, with the Democratic incumbent running
  • Attorney general, with the Democrat incumbent not running

North Carolina

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 7

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions:

  • Health insurance exchange
  • Public employee plans
  • Medicaid

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 16

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 149,847

Current partisan composition of state offices: Democratic governor and attorney general (elected), and Republican legislature. Supreme Court justices are elected on a partisan basis.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Two partisan state Supreme Court seats with the potential to shift the majority of the Court from Democrat to Republican

Ohio

Ohio has enacted a 6-week ban that has been temporarily blocked by a Court. If the U.S. Supreme Court allows states to ban abortion at any point during pregnancy, then Ohio could implement this law.

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 7

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions:

  • Health insurance exchange
  • Public employee plans
  • Medicaid

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 9

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 285,661

Current partisan composition of state offices: Republican governor, attorney general, and legislature. Supreme Court justices are elected on a partisan basis.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Governor, with the Republican incumbent running
  • Attorney general, with the Republican incumbent running
  • Three partisan Supreme Court seats that could shift the majority from Republican to Democrat

Pennsylvania

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 6

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions:

  • Health insurance exchange
  • Public employee plans
  • Medicaid

Number of abortion clinics in 2021: 16

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 173,246

Current partisan composition of state office: Democratic governor and attorney general (elected), and Republican legislature. Supreme Court justices are elected on a partisan basis.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Governor, with the Democratic incumbent not running

South Carolina

South Carolina has enacted a 6-week ban that has been temporarily blocked by a Court. If the U.S. Supreme Court allows states to ban abortion at any point during pregnancy, then South Carolina could implement this law.

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 7

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions:

  • Health insurance exchange
  • Public employee plans
  • Medicaid

Number of abortion clinics 2021: 3

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 380,350

Current partisan composition of state offices: Republican governor, legislature, and attorney general. Supreme Court justices are elected by the legislature.

Key 2022 state elections:

  • Governor, with the Republican incumbent running
  • Attorney general, with the Republican incumbent running

Virginia

Number of abortion restriction indicators: 2

Abortion-related health insurance coverage prohibitions:

  • Medicaid
  • Public employee plans

Number of abortion clinics 2021: 17

Number of women of reproductive age per clinic: 114,086

Current partisan composition of state offices: Republican governor and attorney general (elected), and split legislature. Supreme Court justices are elected by the legislature.

Key 2022 state elections: None

  1. Ages 15-49. ↩︎
  2. SOURCES: KFF Analysis of State Laws; NARAL State Laws Archive, 2018; Center for Reproductive Rights, What if Roe Fell, 2021; Guttmacher Institute, State Bans on Abortions Throughout Pregnancy, May 2022; KFF, Interactive: How State Policies Shape Access to Abortion Coverage, August 2021; Guttmacher Institute, State Policies in Brief, Counseling and Waiting Periods for Abortion, Parental Involvement in Minors' Abortions, Targeted Regulation of Abortion Providers; ANSIRH: Trends in Abortion Care in the United States, 2017-2021, 2022 ↩︎
  3. This may include restrictions on private health insurance and/or a state’s Medicaid program. State regulations for employer-sponsored health plans apply to fully-insured plans and do not apply to self-funded plans. Sixty-four percent of covered workers are enrolled in a self-funded plan. ↩︎

How Equitable is Access to COVID-19 Treatments?

Published: Jun 23, 2022

With uptake of COVID-19 vaccines and boosters leveling off and the U.S. currently in the midst of another Omicron wave, ensuring equitable and rapid distribution of COVID-19 treatments will be important for mitigating the uneven impacts of the pandemic. COVID-19 has disproportionately affected certain underserved and high-risk populations, including people of color and those who are socioeconomically disadvantaged. Because many of these groups remain at increased risk of exposure, given that they are less likely to work in jobs that can be done remotely and due to other structural factors, access to treatments (in addition to vaccines) is particularly important. The Biden Administration has identified increasing access to COVID-19 treatments as a priority, but there has been wide variation in access across states and local jurisdictions.

To date, data on who has received COVID-19 treatments remains very limited, hindering the ability to assess whether access to them has been equitable. To provide better insight into access to COVID-19 treatments, we analyzed data from the HHS Office of the Assistance Secretary for Preparedness and Response on public locations that have received shipments of federally-procured oral antiviral COVID-19 treatments. We examined availability treatments by county and certain county characteristics, including metro vs. non-metro status, poverty rate, and majority Black, Hispanic, or American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN), the groups who have experienced the largest disparities in COVID-19 health outcomes. The analysis is limited to oral antiviral COVID-19 treatments that can be administered at home.

In sum, the findings show that:

  • COVID-19 oral antiviral treatments are available through facilities across the country and nearly all people live in a county with availability regardless of whether they live in a metro or non-metro area, their income, or their race/ethnicity.
  • However, the small number of counties with the highest poverty rates and those that are majority Black, Hispanic, and AIAN are less likely to have a facility with COVID-19 treatments available and have fewer facilities available compared to their counterpart counties. Findings are more mixed for treatment courses. Non-metro and majority Hispanic and AIAN counties also have fewer courses available than their counterpart counties, while high poverty and majority Black counties having slightly larger numbers of courses available.

In sum, while nearly all people live in a county with a facility with COVID-19 treatments available, disparities in access persist among the potentially highest risk and highest need counties. Non-metro counties and majority Hispanic and AIAN counties, which have fewer facilities and courses available have more limited access to treatments overall. High poverty and majority Black counties, which have fewer facilities but more courses available relative to their population size, may not have disparities in terms of number of treatments available, but may still have more limited access, as individuals could have to travel a farther distance to obtain them. Given that there have been no recent shortages in treatment courses, proximity to a facility may be a more relevant measure of access at this time.

While this analysis provides some insight into the availability of facilities and treatments, getting them also depends on having knowledge about treatments, access to medical advice, and the time and resources to obtain them. However, to date, no federal data is available on who is receiving treatments. Going forward, continued steps to ensure equity in access to COVID-19 treatments will be important, as will increasing data availability to understand who has received COVID-19 treatments.

Background

The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has issued emergency use authorization for two home oral antiviral COVID-19 treatments. These treatments – Paxlovid and Lagevrio – are available for people who test positive for COVID-19 and are at high risk of developing serious illness. They must be taken within the first five days after COVID-19 symptoms appear and each require a prescription from a health care provider. Both have been shown to significantly reduce hospitalization and death from COVID-19. The federal government has purchased supplies of both treatments for distribution to sites throughout the country and to be provided for free to those who are eligible.

The Biden Administration launched a nationwide Test to Treat initiative in March 2022 to expand access to oral antiviral COVID-19 treatments. The Test-to-Treat initiative builds on prior distribution of oral antivirals, which began in December 2021, to states, Tribes, territories, and community health centers, which in turn distribute these treatments to health care providers, pharmacies, and other locations. The goal of this program is to enable people to get tested and, if they are positive and treatments are appropriate for them, receive a prescription from a health care provider and have their prescription filled all at one location. These Test-to-Treat sites are available at locations nationwide, including clinics, federally-funded health centers, long-term care facilities, and community-based sites. In May 2022, the Administration expanded the initiative to include new federally-supported Test-to-Treat locations that focus on reaching hard-hit and high-risk communities and helping to ensure equitable access to COVID-19 treatments. The Administration indicates that 40% of pharmacy sites with oral antivirals available are located in communities with the highest levels of social vulnerability.

Key Findings

Nearly all people (98%) live in a county with at least one facility that has COVID-19 oral antiviral treatments available. As of June 7, there were 2.6 million courses of oral antiviral treatments available in 37,100 facilities across the U.S. Nearly 8 in 10 (79%) of counties have a facility with COVID-19 oral antiviral treatments available, while one in five (21% or 665) counties do not. Even with these gaps in some counties, nearly all people in the U.S. (98%) live in a county with a facility available regardless of whether they live in metro or non-metro area, their income, or their race/ethnicity.

The average number of facilities and treatment courses available varies across counties. On average, there are 10.2 facilities and 668 treatment courses available per 100,000 people per county. However, the number of facilities per 100,000 ranges greatly, from 0 to 154 across counties. Similarly, the number of courses per 100,000 ranges from 0 to 22,644 across counties.

Access to COVID-19 Oral Antiviral Treatments by County

On average, access to COVID-19 oral antivirals is largely comparable between metro and non-metro counties, although non-metro counties are more likely to not have a facility with treatments available. Nationwide, there are 1,167 metro counties and 1,976 non-metro counties. The majority (86%) of the population lives in metro counties, while 14% lives in non-metro counties. Non-metro counties are more likely than metro counties to not have a facility with oral antiviral treatments available (28% vs. 9%), and people living in a non-metro county are less likely to have a facility with treatment available (92% vs. 100%). However, the average number of facilities per 100,000 people was similar for metro (10.7) and non-metro (9.9) counties, reflecting the lower population density in non-metro counties. Metro counties did have more courses available compared to non-metro counties (737 vs. 629 per 100,000 people).

Although nearly all people (98%) with incomes below poverty live in a county that has a facility with COVID-19 treatments available, high-poverty counties have fewer facilities available than areas with lower rates of poverty. While most counties have low or moderate poverty rates (defined as less than 10% and between 10% and 30%, respectively), a small number (87) counties have a high poverty rate of 30% or more. Four in ten (40%) high poverty counties did not have a facility with oral antiviral COVID-19 treatments available compared to 26% of low poverty counties and 19% of moderate poverty counties. Moreover, high poverty counties had fewer facilities compared to low and moderate poverty counties (7.7 vs. 10.4 and 10.2 per 100,000 people, respectively). However, high poverty counties have slightly more treatment courses available compared to low and moderate poverty counties (692 vs. 601 and 686 per 100,000 people, respectively).

Majority Black, Hispanic, and American Indian Alaska Native (AIAN) population counties have more limited access to facilities with oral antiviral COVID-19 treatments than non-majority Black, Hispanic, and AIAN counties. (There were no majority Asian counties, so similar analysis was not conducted for this group.)

  • Overall, there are 96 counties where Black people make up 50% or more of the population. These counties are home to nearly 10% of the total Black population. While nearly all Black people (99%) live in a county that has a facility with COVID-19 treatments available, these majority Black counties have more limited access compared to non-majority Black counties. Roughly one in three (31%) majority Black counties did not have a facility with oral antiviral COVID-19 treatments available compared to 21% of counties where Black people make up less than half of the population. Moreover, there were 8.6 facilities per 100,000 people in majority Black counties compared to 10.3 facilities per 100,000 people in non-majority Black counties. However, majority Black counties had a somewhat larger number of courses available on average compared to non-majority Black counties (705 vs. 667 per 100,000 people).
  • Hispanic people account for at least 50% of the population in 102 counties that are home to nearly 20% of the total Hispanic population. Nearly all Hispanic people (99%) live in a county with a facility with COVID-19 treatments available, but majority Hispanic counties have fewer facilities available than non-majority Hispanic counties. One-third (33%) of majority Hispanic population counties did not have a facility with COVID-19 treatments available compared to about one in five (21%) of non-majority Hispanic counties. On average, there were 7.3 facilities per 100,000 people in majority Hispanic counties compared to 10.3 facilities per 100,000 people in non-majority Hispanic counties. Majority Hispanic counties also had fewer courses available than non-majority Hispanic counties (503 vs. 674 per 100,000 people).
  • In 28 counties, AIAN people make up 50% or more of the population, and these areas are home to 11% of the total AIAN population. Overall, just over nine in ten (91%) of AIAN people live in a county with a facility available. However, three-quarters (75%) of AIAN majority population counties did not have a facility with COVID-19 treatments available compared to roughly one-quarter (21%) of non-majority AIAN counties. Moreover, majority AIAN counties had a lower average number of facilities available than non-majority AIAN counties (4.2 vs. 10.3 per 100,000 people) and a lower average number of courses available (185 vs. 673 per 100,000 people).
Percent of Counties without a Facility with Oral Antiviral COVID-19 Treatments Available by Key  Characteristics

Implications

The COVID-19 pandemic has disproportionately affected the health and financial security of people of color due to underlying disparities that place people of color at increased risk for exposure and illness, and ensuring equity in access to COVID-19 treatments (as well as vaccines) is important for mitigating disparities and preventing against further widening of disparities going forward.

This analysis shows that while treatments are available at facilities across the country and nearly all people live in a county with such a facility, regardless of their income, race/ethnicity, or whether they live in a metro or non-metro area, some disparities in access persist among the potentially highest risk and highest need counties. Non-metro counties and majority Hispanic and AIAN counties, which have fewer facilities and courses available have more limited access to treatments overall. High poverty and majority Black counties, which have fewer facilities but more courses available relative to their population size, may not have disparities in terms of number of treatments available, but may still have more limited access, as individuals could have to travel a farther distance to obtain them. Given that there have been no recent shortages in treatment courses, proximity to a facility may be a more relevant measure of access at this time.

While the counties facing disparities account for a small share of counties overall, they represent areas that have the highest shares of residents who have borne the heaviest burdens of the pandemic. These high burden counties represent a narrower set of counties than those that measure high on the overall social vulnerability index, an index developed by the federal government to identify communities that will most likely need support in response to hazardous events, which the Administration is using to guide equitable distribution. Our findings suggest that distribution based on the social vulnerability index alone may leave some areas with high concentrations of residents at increased risk facing gaps in access, and as such, additional equity lenses may be helpful for promoting access.

Importantly, while this analysis provides some insight into the availability of COVID-19 oral antiviral treatments, getting them also depends on having knowledge about treatments, access to medical advice, and the time and resources to obtain them. As such, even if there is broad geographic availability of treatments, there may still be disparities in who is able to obtain them. Going forward, continued steps to ensure equity in access to COVID-19 treatments will be important, as will increasing data available to understand who has received them.

Methods

For this data note, KFF researchers analyzed data at the county level and drawing from multiple sources:

Our main outcome of interest, facilities with oral antiviral COVID-19 treatments available, was collected from the U.S. Department of Health & Human Services (HHS) COVID-19 Public Therapeutic Locator Data as of June 7, 2022 The HHS data includes locations that have received an order of Evusheld, Paxlovid, Renal Paxlovid, Lagevrio (molnupiravir), or bebtelovimab in the last two months and/or have reported availability of these therapeutics within the last two weeks. The analysis is limited to locations in the 50 states and D.C. (excludes territories) that reported inventory in the past two weeks and have a current supply of oral antivirals (Paxlovid, Renal Paxlovid, or Lagevrio). Locations that did not report inventory within the prior two weeks and whose status was unknown were not included in the analysis. These locations may have treatments available but are not counted as an active location in this analysis.

Metro and non-metro classifications are based on the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s 2013 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes. Counties with codes 1 through 3 are classified as “metro” and 4 through 9 are classified as “non-metro.” The rural-urban continuum codes distinguish metropolitan counties by the population size of their metro area and nonmetropolitan counties by degree of urbanization and adjacency to a metro area. Data to categorize counties by racial composition of residents is based on the Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Estimates by county. Specifically, we calculate the share of the county population that is majority (50% or more) Hispanic, non-Hispanic American Indian Alaska Native, and non-Hispanic Black. Non-Hispanic Asian people were not included in this analysis, as no county had a majority non-Hispanic Asian population according to 2019 ACS data. Data to categorize counties by poverty level is also based on the Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates by county. We used the 30% threshold to define “high poverty” since research has shown that the negative effects of neighborhood poverty are most prominent when a neighborhood has between 20% and 40% poverty and 30% is commonly used in existing literature measuring high poverty neighborhoods.

Appendix

Appendix Table 1: Access to COVID-19 Oral Antiviral Treatments by Selected County Characteristics
Key CharacteristicsNumber of CountiesPercent of Counties without a Facility with Oral Antiviral COVID-19 Treatments AvailableAverage Number of Facilities with Oral Antiviral COVID-19 Treatments Available per 100,000 by CountyAverage Number of Oral Antiviral COVID-19 Treatment Courses Available per 100,000 by County
Geography
Metro1,1679%10.7737
Non-Metro1,97628%9.9629
Income
Low Poverty (<10% below poverty)65426%10.4601
Moderate Poverty (10-30% below poverty)2,40119%10.2686
High Poverty (30%+below poverty)8740%7.7692
Racial Composition
Non-Majority Black (<50%)3,04621%10.3667
Majority Black (50%+)9631%8.6705
Non-Majority Hispanic (<50%)3,04021%10.3674
Majority Hispanic (50%+)10233%7.3503
Non-Majority AIAN (<50%)3,11421%10.3673
Majority AIAN (50%+)2875%4.2185
NOTES: Values (excluding the number of counties column) have been rounded to the nearest whole number. For Geography, counties with USDA Rural-Urban Continuum Codes between 1 and 3 are classified as “metro” and counties with codes 4 through 9 are classified as “non-metro”. Only the 50 states and D.C. were included in this analysis (territories were excluded). Further, only therapeutics providers that have reported on their inventory status in the past two weeks as having a current available supply of oral antivirals (Paxlovid, Renal Paxlovid, or Lagevrio) were included.
SOURCE: Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey Estimates (used for both Poverty and Racial Composition analyses); U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) 2013 Rural-Urban Continuum Codes; U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) COVID-19 Public Therapeutic Locator Data, as of June 7, 2022.

 

News Release

As the U.S. Prepares to Launch a National Three-Digit Number for the Mental Health Crisis Hotline in July, Data Show Suicide Death Rates Increased in the Decade from 2010 to 2020, Especially Among People of Color

Published: Jun 22, 2022

As the federal government prepares to launch the national three-digit number “988” for the mental health crisis hotline next month, a new KFF analysis shows that suicide death rates increased by 12 percent in the decade from 2010 to 2020 — with death rates rising fastest among people of color, younger individuals, and people who live in rural areas.

The number of suicide deaths peaked at 48,344 in 2018 and then decreased slightly in 2019 and 2020, although some research suggests that some suicides may be misclassified as drug overdose deaths. Between 2019 and 2020, drug overdose deaths increased by 31 percent.

Suicide deaths by firearms accounted for more than half of the 45,979 suicides in 2020, the most complete data available, according to the analysis. Looked at another way, suicide deaths accounted for more than half (54%) of all deaths involving a firearm in 2020.

Among people of color, the highest increase in suicide death rates was among Black people (43% increase), followed by American Indian or Alaska Natives (41%), and Hispanic people (27%). As of 2020, American Indian and Alaska Native people had the highest suicide death rate, at 23.9 per 100,000 people – substantially higher than the rate for White people (16.8 per 100,000 people). Suicide death rates for Black, Hispanic, and Asian and Pacific Islander people were all less than half the rate for White people.

Suicide death rates also increased significantly in rural areas, rising 23 percent over the decade — possibly due to acute shortages of mental health workers in these areas. Among adolescents age 12 to 17 the suicide death rate increased 62 percent, and among young adults ages 18 to 23 the increase was 33 percent.

Suicide death rates varied substantially by state in 2020, ranging from 5.5 per 100,000 population in Washington, D.C. to a high of 30.5 per 100,000 people in Wyoming.

Against that backdrop of need, the federally mandated crisis number “988” will be available to all landline and cell phone users beginning July 16. Callers who are suicidal or experiencing a mental health crisis will be routed to the National Suicide Prevention Lifeline and connected to a crisis counselor.

For the full analysis, as well as other KFF data and analyses related to mental health, visit kff.org.

Civil Society Inclusion in a New Financial Intermediary Fund: Lessons from Current Multilateral Initiatives

Authors: Jennifer Kates, Josh Michaud, and Mike Isbell
Published: Jun 21, 2022

Key Findings

Key Findings

Global leaders appear poised to approve the creation of a new financing mechanism for pandemic preparedness and response (PPR) activities. Support for such a mechanism grew as the profound fault lines exposed by the COVID-19 pandemic became clearer. The U.S. government has strongly supported the idea of creating a financial intermediary fund (FIF) for PPR at the World Bank, a proposal now endorsed by the G20, the WHO, and others, with the World Bank expected to vote on such a proposal this month. Despite this momentum, however, many questions remain about a new FIF including its governance and operations and the extent to which civil society will be formally included. A white paper on the FIF, recently released by the World Bank, contains a brief mention of civil society as potential observers to a FIF governing board, though some have critiqued that as insufficient. To help inform ongoing discussions, we sought to examine and draw lessons from existing institutions on how they engage with civil society formally, as part of their governance, as well as through other avenues. We analyzed 14 major multilateral global health and related institutions to assess how civil society, including from the global South, has been engaged in their governance, implementation/programming, and monitoring. We examined the following metrics of civil society inclusion to assess more formal engagement: board representation; voting rights; global South representation required; formal representation on committees; support for participation in governance; and requirements to fund civil society as part of program implementation. For those institutions that included formal board representation, we also looked at the share of seats reserved for civil society. Our key findings are summarized as follows:

  • Civil society inclusion and engagement in the governance and operations of multilateral global health institutions has grown over time, especially since the Millennium Development Goals era, and as part of the global HIV movement in particular.
  • The degree and nature of civil society engagement varies considerably. Three of the 14 institutions met all six metrics of formal civil society inclusion assessed (the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria; the Global Partnership for Education; and the Stop TB Alliance) and three met five metrics (GAVI, UNAIDS, and Unitaid). On the other end of the spectrum, three institutions met none (the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations; the RBM Partnership to End Malaria; and the World Health Organization).
  • On board representation specifically, six of the 14 institutions have formal seats for civil society, the strongest measure of inclusion, ranging from 3.5% to 15% of board seats. Five of the six provide voting rights, and four of the six specify that at least some portion of civil society representation be from the global South. In addition, the six with formal board seats also require civil society representation on their primary governance committee(s).
  • All 14 multilateral global health initiatives, including those with no formal civil society representation on their governing board or committees, provide other opportunities for civil society engagement. Specific approaches and processes employed can bolster or limit civil society’s influence in governing decisions. For example, civil society representatives who are able to participate in advisory or working groups, or regional subgroups, can feed into and shape institutional governance. Other avenues, such as those that are more ad hoc, are seen as providing fewer opportunities for engagement or influence.
  • At the same time, and even among those initiatives with formal representation on governing boards, civil society representatives confront a number of challenges, including a lack of financial and administrative support while managing a substantial burden of work, a steep learning curve for new representatives, and difficulties representing broad constituencies fairly and effectively.
  • To address some of these challenges, some initiatives, but not all, have created mechanisms to directly support civil society engagement in governance, implementation and/or monitoring activities. Many of these have been instituted and expanded only in recent years.

Taken together, these findings offer new insights into how civil society has been included in major multilateral global health and related organizations that are in operation today, including the trend towards greater and more formal inclusion over time, and may inform ongoing global discussions about the creation of a new financing mechanism for PPR.

Introduction

Global leaders appear poised to approve the creation of a new financing mechanism for pandemic preparedness and response (PPR) activities. Support for such a mechanism, intended to coordinate and direct additional resources for PPR, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs),  grew as the profound fault lines exposed by the COVID-19 pandemic became clearer. For its part, the Biden Administration has strongly supported the idea of creating a financial intermediary fund (FIF) for PPR at the World Bank and has already pledged $450 million and requested an additional $4.75 billion more from Congress. Support from other donors was pledged at the second Global COVID-19 summit, convened by the U.S. and several other governments, and the idea has been endorsed by the G20 and the World Health Organization. Most recently, the World Bank released a white paper outlining how a FIF might function and a proposal to establish the mechanism will be submitted for approval to the Executive Directors of the World Bank this month, after which the fund could begin to operate by the end of 2022.

Global Health and Related Initiatives Studied and Key Characteristics (Ordered by Year Launched)

Despite this momentum, however, many questions remain about a new FIF, including its governance and operations and how representative and inclusive it will be. Some global health stakeholders have raised questions as to whether and how civil society might be formally engaged in the governance of the FIF, as well as its design, implementation, and monitoring. The primary global health structure set up to respond to COVID-19 – the Access to COVID-19 Tools Accelerator, which includes COVAX, it’s vaccine arm designed to accelerate the development and manufacturing of COVID-19 vaccines and provide equitable access – has been critiqued for its lack of formal and meaningful civil society and community engagement, especially of representatives from the global South. In May of this year, the Independent Panel on Pandemic Preparedness and Response found that consultations to date with non-state actors on policy-making processes for pandemic preparedness have been “rushed, pro forma, and frankly, abysmal.”

In its white paper on the FIF, the World Bank states that it seeks to balance “inclusivity with simplicity and efficiency, to support streamlined and efficient decision-making and implementation”. The white paper contains a brief mention of civil society, as potential observers to the FIF governing board but not as formal members, as follows: “the observer pool could be broadened out, as needed, to include other multilateral institutions, civil society organizations (CSOs) and/or the private sector” and that “CSO observers could be included through a constituency-based approach”. The Bank solicited input on its white paper, and several critiques, including calls for ensuring substantive and formal civil society engagement in the governance and design of a FIF, have been submitted.1  The U.S. government, in its submitted comments, has been less clear on this point, saying that the FIF “should balance inclusivity and agility” and that non-governmental stakeholders could be included either as Board members or observers.

To help inform discussions regarding the creation and design of a global pandemic preparedness fund, we analyzed major multilateral global health and related institutions to assess how civil society, including global South organizations, has been engaged in their governance, implementation/programming, and monitoring. We examined 14 such institutions ranging from those that are affiliated with the United Nations, FIFs based at the World Bank, and/or independent organizations. For purposes of our analysis, we defined civil society to include representatives from non-profit or otherwise non-commercial actors who are not directly affiliated with a government and who are not acting in a solely individual capacity. Our analysis is based on a literature review, a review of official governance and other institutional documents, and interviews with a range of stakeholders (see methodology for more detail).

Methodology

We performed a broad literature review on civil society and global health governance and identified 14 prominent, ongoing multilateral global health and related initiatives for inclusion in this analysis (see Table 1). Overall, five of the 14 models examined are FIFs housed in some manner at the World Bank. The others are multilateral efforts that are either independent (6) or part of the United Nations (3), although some of the independent entities are formally hosted by Unite Nations agencies. While we focused on multilateral initiatives, it is important to note that some bilateral donor governments have also made efforts to engage civil society in development planning and programming, including for global health. PEPFAR, the U.S. global HIV/AIDS program and largest initiative focused on a single disease, stands out in particular in this area, given both its size and because it has moved to enhance the engagement of civil society in its bilateral program implementation over time. As such, it also may offer some lessons and models for future PPR efforts (see Box 2).

For each of the global health initiatives included in this analysis, official governance documents (e.g. by-laws, terms of reference of governing bodies, website information regarding governing and advisory bodies) were studied to ascertain if, how, and to what extent civil society is officially included in the organization’s governance, implementation, and monitoring. This document review was supplemented by interviews with 22 individuals who are either involved in or have working knowledge of the governance processes of these organizations. The interviews provided additional details on the dynamics of the governing bodies, other avenues for civil society input into decision-making, particular challenges and opportunities experienced by civil society with respect to engagement in governance, and ways that civil society may be engaged (beyond governance). Both during the document review and key informant interviews, the analysis paid particular attention to the engagement of civil society representatives from the global South, which includes the bulk of countries that are the recipients of outside assistance. We examined the following metrics of civil society inclusion to assess more formal engagement: board representation; voting rights; global South representation required; formal representation on committees; support for participation in governance; and requirement to fund civil society as part of program implementation. For those institutions that included formal board representation, we also looked at the share of seats reserved for civil society.

For the purposes of this analysis, civil society was defined to include representatives from non-profit or otherwise non-commercial actors who are not directly affiliated with a government and who are not acting in a solely individual capacity. Multilateral institutions or public-private partnerships affiliated with multilateral bodies were not considered as civil society. Likewise, major private funders of organizations (such as private foundations) were not considered civil society for our purposes here. Organizations were deemed to have formally included civil society on their board only if governance documents specifically reserved seats for civil society representatives.

Issue Brief

Findings

  1. Civil society inclusion and engagement in the governance and operations of multilateral global health institutions has grown over time. A general trend in global health has been one of greater recognition over time of the importance of engaging with civil society actors.2  While older UN-based organizations such as WHO and GPEI feature little civil society role in their formal governance structures, even to this day, some of the institutions founded more recently, such as the Global Fund, Stop TB, Unitaid, and Gavi, engage civil society more prominently in their governance structures (see below). There are also a range of ways in which civil society actors engage in multilateral global health institutions, including both directly (through board participation, engagement in rule-making processes, and involvement in capacity-building for implementation) and indirectly (by helping set the global health agenda, generating knowledge and strategic information, and monitoring implementation of global health policies).3  The literature has found that civil society actors can play an important role in helping to ensure that global health policies and programs are informed by the lived experiences of the people most affected by health challenges, a view underscored by stakeholders interviewed. Official documents of many, but not all, of the initiatives included in this analysis reference a range of benefits derived from engagement with civil society (see Box 1).-The literature also supports the idea that civil society engagement improves global health processes and outcomes. Studies have found, for example, that civil society engagement has driven adoption of breakthrough innovations in health service delivery, including home management of malaria and community delivery of HIV treatment. Direct engagement of civil society in the governance of a global health organization may also help create a constituency that is invested in the organization’s success and will advocate on its behalf. For example, civil society engagement helps legitimize policies, mobilize resources for global health interventions and enhance the accountability of global health efforts (through its so-called “watchdog” role).4  In recent years, as the value of community-led health monitoring has become increasingly recognized, there has been a growing push to institutionalize and integrate civil society’s generation of strategic information within health monitoring and evaluation systems, such as, for example, with the Global Fund’s embrace of community-led monitoring for HIV.

Box 1: Multilateral Global Health Institutions: Reasons and Rationales for Engaging with Civil Society Organizations

Many of the initiatives examined here reference civil society engagement contributing to organizational success. For example, a number of initiatives (e.g. ACT-A, Gavi, Stop TB Partnership) highlight the role of civil society as advocates for policies, programs and funding to increase health service access. The Stop TB Partnership notes the value of civil society in monitoring health service access and outcomes and holding governments to account. Some initiatives (e.g. Gavi, GPE) tout the role of civil society in delivering services or technical assistance, and the Global Fund highlights how civil society can “serve as implementers of Global Fund grants and are often best placed to work with populations marginalized and excluded from mainstream health services.” In convening the Civil Society Task Force on TB, WHO cited civil society as the “driver for change,” helping translate WHO policies into practice and enhancing collaboration between governments and communities to improve health outcomes. The GEF says the “primary role of civil society…is to contribute to the development, implementation, monitoring and evaluation of GEF programs and projects on the ground.” CEPI’s articles of association state that “the CEPI Board shall be aware of take account of the views of different CEPI stakeholders such as…civil society” in order to “best support development of new vaccines and equitable access for affected people.”

Other initiatives emphasize that civil society can bring key community perspectives to the organization’s attention and shape governance, as well as muster support for the initiatives themselves. Unitaid’s Constitution advises that “[s]trong dialogue with NGOs and civil society is essential to ensure that the initiative is viable and addresses the needs of patients and communities.” UNAIDS governing documents state that civil society board representatives are “essential, respective stakeholders in decision-making processes”, representing the “perspectives of civil society, including living with HIV to the UNAIDS board.” The GFF says civil society helps ensure health assistance to countries is “evidence-based, reflective of community needs, and aligned with other issue-focused policies and strategies” while also “maintaining women’s, children’s and adolescents’ health high on the agenda for global leaders.” The Global Fund says civil society has an important role in “larger fundraising efforts with donor governments", which is also highlighted by a number of other initiatives, including Gavi and Stop TB.

  1. Multilateral global health institutions that arose during the Millennium Development Goals5  era, and from the HIV movement in particular, are more likely to prioritize civil society engagement. Previous analysis has found that intergovernmental institutions rooted more firmly in the global architecture that arose following World War II (such as United Nations entities and the World Bank) tend to be less likely to engage civil society in their governance compared to initiatives that arose after 2000, during the Millennium Development Goals (MDG) era (such as the Global Fund and Gavi). This pattern was confirmed by our analysis, as the entities least likely to formalize civil society involvement governance are either UN agencies (e.g. WHO) or certain financial intermediary funds housed at the World Bank (e.g. GEF, GFF). However, this pattern is not universal. UNAIDS, for example, is a UN body with five NGO representatives on its governing Programme Coordinating Board, but is unusual among UN organizations in this regard and its inclusion of civil society is firmly rooted in its origins in the HIV movement. It is also one of the more recently established UN agencies.-In some analyses of civil society engagement on global health governance, the response to HIV has been cited as a catalyst for greater attention to civil society engagement in the global health field. The Denver Principles, for example, articulated by people living with HIV in the earliest years of the HIV pandemic, as well as the endorsement in 1994 by 42 countries of commitments for the Greater Involvement of People Living with HIV/AIDS (GIPA), highlighted the right of people living with HIV to participate in decision-making processes that affect their lives. Among the initiatives examined here, those with a focus on HIV and TB tend to have greater engagement of civil society in governance, including through formal board representation, than global health initiatives focused on other health issues.
  2. The degree and nature of civil society engagement varies considerably, with three of the 14 institutions meeting all six metrics of formal civil society inclusion assessed, and three meeting none. The Global Fund, GPE, and Stop TB met all six metrics while GAVI, UNAIDS, and Unitaid met five. On the other end of the spectrum, CEPI, RBM, and WHO met none of the criteria (although they included less formal avenues of engagement). See Table 2.
  3. On board representation specifically, six of 14 have formal seats for civil society, the strongest measure of inclusion. The six are GAVI, the Global Fund, GPE, Stop TB, UNAIDS, and Unitaid. Five of these institutions (all but UNAIDS), provide voting rights. The Global Fund, GPE, Stop TB, and Unitaid each reserve 15% of voting seats for civil society representatives while Gavi reserves 3.5%. Although civil society representatives on the UNAIDS board do not have a formal vote, 13% of all board seats (including non-voting seats) are reserved for civil society representatives, as specified in governance by-laws. See Figure and Table 2.-The eight organizations that do not include civil society formally in their primary governance bodies are: ACT-A (no stand-alone governance mechanism, though its Principals Group includes some entities that do formally include civil society on their governing boards such as Gavi, the Global Fund and Unitaid); CEPI (which reserves one seat on its board for a non-profit/NGO investor, but not a civil society representative), GFF (no civil society representatives on the principal Trust Fund Committee), the GEF, GPEI, MPP, RBM Partnership to End Malaria, and WHO. Some of these eight organizations (e.g. MPP, RBM Partnership) have civil society members serving in their individual capacity on their current governing boards, but do not expressly dedicate a seat for civil society, and all do involve civil society in other ways (see below).
Assessment of Civil Society Inclusion and Engagement Metrics at 14 Global Health and Related Initiatives

Several multilateral global health initiatives have seen their civil society engagement evolve over time. For example, at the earliest stages of its organizational development, affected communities did not have voting rights on the board of the Global Fund, but community representatives were granted full voting rights in 2004. In 2022, the Stop TB Partnership is restructuring its governance to ensure that representatives from the global South (including both government and civil society) occupy a majority of board seats and that robust representation of civil society and affected communities is further institutionalized.

Civil Society Representatives as Share of Board Seats
  1. A subset of multilateral global health initiatives that formally include civil society on their boards (4 of 6) specifically reserve seats for civil society from the global South. GPE, the Global Fund, and Stop TB allocate one board seat for developed country NGOs and another for developing country NGOs. The five NGO delegations on the UNAIDS Programme Coordinating Board include three civil society representatives from the global South and two from high-income countries or countries in transition.
  2. Whether civil society is formally included on board committees, as required by 6 of the 14 institutions examined, is also an important determinant of civil society’s influence. According to key informants, much of the substantive work conducted by the governing boards of multilateral global health initiatives occurs in board committees and working groups. The six institutions that have board seats for civil society also require civil society representation on formal governance committees. The executive committee of the Stop TB Partnership board expressly reserves one seat for TB-affected communities. The NGO delegation of the UNAIDS Programme Coordinating Board has a seat on the PCB Bureau, which plans the board’s biannual meetings and oversees the board’s intersessional decision-making processes. Gavi mandates civil society representation on its governing board’s committees for governance and market-sensitive decisions. The Global Fund’s operating procedures require that each constituency be represented on at least one standing committee and all standing committees include both implementer and donor group members. GPE and Unitaid also require civil society representation on their main governance committee or committees. In addition to formal representation on primary governance committees, four other organizations – Act-A, the GFF, GPEI, and MPP – include civil society representation on an adjacent entity, such as an advisory group (e.g., Act-A’s Facilitation Council or MPP’s Expert Advisory Group).-The timing of board processes may occasionally affect the ability of civil society to influence the agenda of global health initiatives. In the case of the GFF, which has no civil society representation on its formal decision-making body (the Trust Fund), the Investors Group, which includes civil society, meets prior to regular meetings of the Trust Fund, enabling decisions on GFF funding by the Trust Fund to take account the findings and recommendations of the Investors Group. One key informant with experience working with the GFF advised that in part because of this, civil society is able to have some influence in GFF decision-making, even without a seat on the decision-making Trust Fund committee.
  3. All 14 multilateral global health initiatives, including those with no formal civil society representation on their governing board or committees, afford other opportunities for engagement. Beyond formal board representation, other avenues for engagement include a presence on committees (other than the primary governance committee), such as technical advisory working groups or other sub-committees, as well as involvement in temporary and issue-specific meetings and discussions. As mentioned above, while the GFF’s governing Trust Fund Committee includes no civil society representation on its board, its Investors Group, which advises the Trust Fund Committee and supports the GFF’s work at country level, includes two seats for civil society (one from an eligible country and one from a donor country) as well as one representative of the youth constituency. The GEF’s governance documents note the ability of civil society to participate in its civil society forum, workshops and meetings of GEF’s Country Support Program, and relevant task forces and working groups. ACT-A includes two civil society representatives on its Facilitation Council, which advises its Principals Group, and civil society representatives also participate in working groups for each of ACT-A’s four pillars (diagnostics, therapeutics, vaccines and health systems and response). Civil society representatives participate in MPP’s Expert Advisory Group and Scientific Advisory Panel. Unitaid’s consultative processes for its market-shaping interventions frequently include civil society. WHO has entered into official agreement with more than 200 non-state actors, who have the ability (within limits) to attend and speak at World Health Assembly meetings, and civil society organizations are frequently invited to participate in WHO processes to develop normative guidance on specific issues and topics. While these other avenues for collaboration and engagement are present in most initiatives, key informants have indicated that more informal participation is rarely as impactful as fixed representation on a governing board. They noted that the ability of civil society to speak at Health Assembly meetings is sharply limited, with civil society speakers limited to brief remarks regarding agenda items that they had no role in formulating. Informants advised that decisions of the Health Assembly are frequently negotiated in advance between Member States, further diminishing the meaningfulness of civil society input into decision-making by the body charged with setting global health norms.
  4. Among the five World Bank FIFs included in this analysis, civil society engagement also varies. The Bank is a trustee for numerous FIFs – ranging across development areas including prevention and treatment for communicable disease, climate change and food security. FIFs aim to leverage public and private resources to support international initiatives, including provision of global public goods. From FY2008 through FY2019, the number of FIFs at the World Bank rose from 12 to 27. The five FIFs included in this analysis – CEPI, GEF, the Global Fund, GPE, and the GFF – vary broadly in their models and in the degree of the Bank’s involvement in governance and decision-making. CEPI and the Global Fund, for example, effectively operate as independent entities, with the World Bank only providing financial services and serving on their governing boards as a non-voting member. By contrast, the Bank has a much more central role in the governance of some other FIFs. For example, the Bank chairs the Trust Fund Committee of the GFF. For the GPE, the Bank occupies a seat on the governing board that is reserved for multilateral and regional development banks. At the GEF, the World Bank helps mobilize resources, administers the trust fund, disburses funds, prepares financial statements, and monitors application of GEF funds.-Just as the FIFs have diverse operating models, FIFs also have broadly divergent modes of engaging with civil society. As mentioned above, 15% of GPE and Global Fund board seats are occupied by civil society, while CEPI, the GEF, and the GFF have none. Governance of the GEF, for example, is wholly intergovernmental, with ministerial officials representing a series of regional constituencies. Also, as noted earlier, all five FIFs do involve civil society in other ways, even the three that do not include civil society on their boards.
  5. Governance rules and practices, including whether board members represent constituencies or serve in their individual capacity, can affect civil society’s influence in multilateral global health initiatives. Civil society’s ability to influence multilateral global health institutions depends in part on having a critical mass of representation on the governing bodies that chart strategic directions and make decisions on behalf of these institutions. As noted, a number of multilateral global health initiatives have no civil society representatives on their governing boards, while others allow but do not mandate civil society inclusion. Governing rules or practices may affect the weight that civil society board representation has within a governing body. For example, the five NGO representatives on the UNAIDS governing board do not have voting power, although the Terms of Reference for the Programme Coordinating Board’s NGO delegation provides that “[t]hough technically NGOs do not have ‘the right to take part in the formal decision-making process’ of the PCB, in practice NGOs fully participate and are essential, respected stakeholders in the decision-making process.”-The capacity in which civil society representatives serve on governing boards varies among multilateral global health institutions. For most that have civil society on their governing body, board members represent constituencies. The Global Fund, Stop TB Partnership, and Unitaid reserve seats for representatives of communities affected by the diseases these organizations address, and the Global Fund reserves a board seat for NGO constituencies from developed and developing countries, respectively. UNAIDS reserves individual NGO seats for five regions (Africa, Asia/Pacific, Europe, Latin America and the Caribbean, and North America). In the case of the GPE, one civil society seat is set aside for the constituency of teachers. Where board seats are reserved for specific civil society constituencies, members are elected by their respective constituency and are expected to consult with their constituencies as part of their board responsibilities.-More rarely, civil society representatives serve on governing boards in their individual capacity. This is the case for the Medicines Patent Pool. UNAIDS governing rules also provide that NGO members serve in their individual capacity, although in practice, they operate as representatives of their respective regions and solicit considerable input from stakeholders in their respective regions.-The Global Fund’s unique model for formal decision-making serves to empower civil society to affect the organization’s funding decisions and strategic direction. Where a consensus cannot be reached on the board and a vote is called, Global Fund by-laws require that motions achieve a two-thirds majority in both the donor group (which includes eight donor countries plus one private sector seat and one private foundation seat) and the implementers group (which consists of seven developing county seats, two NGO seats, and the community representative). This effectively means the three civil society seats may, by persuading one of the developing country seats to vote with them, achieve a ”blocking minority” on any motion before the board. Informants cited this somewhat unusual arrangement as a key reason why civil society plays an especially influential role on the Global Fund board.
  6. At the same time, and even with formal involvement, civil society representatives on the governing bodies of multilateral global health initiatives confront a number of challenges. Key informants, many of whom are civil society representatives who are serving or have served on the governing boards of multilateral global health initiatives, cited an array of challenges that civil society board representatives face. Numerous informants pointed to the enormous time commitment required to serve on these boards, including review of voluminous board meeting materials and participation in board committees and working groups. Unlike the officials of national ministries and donor agencies, large philanthropic foundations, and multilateral agencies who serve on these boards, civil society representatives typically lack staff support to synthesize substantial bodies of data and analysis.-In addition, despite the substantial work burden associated with board membership in a multilateral global health body, civil society board members are often uncompensated for these efforts. Again, this distinguishes civil society representatives from most other board members, whose service on governing bodies is typically regarded as part of the job for which they are compensated. According to informants, uncompensated board work can be especially burdensome for civil society representatives from the global South, who often lack substantial institutional backing for such work. A group of civil society advocates who assessed the evolving global health architecture recommended that civil society and community engagement be specifically and adequately resourced, in order to enable civil society representatives to engage fully with governance processes and with their global constituencies.-According to key informants, civil society representatives who join the boards of multilateral global health initiatives often confront a sharp and daunting learning curve, and they sometimes receive limited training or ongoing support to help them navigate dynamic and often-complex governing processes. A common practice among global health initiatives with civil society membership on the board is to appoint two civil society representatives per seat – one serving as the formal board member, and one as alternate. This approach theoretically allows the alternate member to learn “on the job” before formally filling the board seat, although key informants said that the steady turnover in civil society board seats makes it difficult for civil society board blocs to cohere and become proficient in navigating board processes. Several key informants cited the civil society delegations to the Global Fund as examples of constituencies that have become sufficiently mature over time to wield considerable influence in institutional governance.-Where civil society members represent constituencies, the breadth and diversity of these constituencies can sometimes make it challenging for civil society board members to remain abreast of the full array of constituency issues and concerns. For example, the Global Fund board member representing affected communities is ostensibly representing people living on multiple continents and living with or affected by three diseases, each of which has a diversity of key affected populations.
  7. To address some of these challenges, several multilateral global health initiatives have created mechanisms to support civil society engagement in governance, implementation and/or monitoring. Multilateral global health initiatives have taken steps to support the engagement of civil society. While some of these initiatives focus specifically on enhancing the meaningfulness of civil society engagement in governance, most focus more broadly on facilitating greater civil society engagement in the respective work of these global initiatives. A recent review by the OECD, for example, found that development agencies are more likely to support civil society for project implementation than for joint planning, agenda-setting and decision-making.-UNAIDS funds a Communications and Consultation Facility to support NGO engagement in governance processes. This facility facilitates and coordinates communications within the NGO board delegation and between the NGO delegations and broader civil society. The Global Network of People Living with HIV (GNP+) currently oversees this mechanism for UNAIDS. A donor-funded effort supports a constituency bureau, based in Addis Ababa, to support the engagement of African board representatives on the governing boards of the Global Fund, and discussions are underway to leverage the bureau to support Africa civil society representatives on the boards of other global health initiatives.-For the Global Fund, formulation of national funding proposals for HIV, TB, malaria and health systems strengthening occurs within Country Coordinating Mechanisms (CCMs). The Global Fund mandates that CCMs set aside 15% of their administrative funding for non-governmental constituency engagement, with a particular focus on civil society and key and vulnerable populations.-Other support mechanisms created by global health initiatives focus primarily on engaging civil society in advocacy and program implementation, typically at country level. To improve civil society engagement in its work, GFF approved a civil society engagement framework for 2021-2025, with a specific focus on enhancing country-level engagement. GFF has committed $5 million over two years to implement the framework, which includes steps for communications, information sharing and engagement in strategic planning as well as creation of a civil society host to enable and support greater civil society engagement.-Gavi has earmarked 10% of funding from three Gavi funding windows to support civil society engagement in reaching communities currently missed by immunization programs. In April 2022, Gavi announced that Amref Health Africa would serve as the host of the Gavi CSO Constituency, responsible for mobilizing and supporting the efforts of more than 4000 civil society organizations to deliver immunization to underserved communities.

Box 2: The U.S. President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) and Civil Society Engagement

PEPFAR is the U.S. government’s global HIV/AIDS program and largest commitment by any nation to address a single disease.  While PEPFAR encompasses all of the U.S. government’s global HIV response, including financial support for and coordination with the Global Fund, the bulk of the program (approximately $5 billion per year) is for bilateral efforts – support provided directly to or on behalf of other countries.

Although the U.S. Department of State provides direct governance of PEPFAR, with oversight provided by Congress, the inclusion of civil society and community in PEPFAR country-level policy development and programming has been a hallmark of the program and one that has grown and become more formalized over time. Its importance was first identified in its 2003 authorizing legislation and first report to Congress.  In its 2008 reauthorization, Congress specifically required PEPFAR to include civil society in the development of country “compacts”. In 2013, PEPFAR formally included civil society for the first time in the annual process for developing “Country Operational Plans” (COPs). COPs are prepared by multi-stakeholder country teams to document planned investments and results, and they serve as a basis for approval of final PEPFAR funding at the country level. Moreover, PEPFAR’s FY 2014 COP guidance specified that PEPFAR country teams must include a separate supplemental narrative documenting how civil society has been involved in COP development, comments made by civil society, and how these have been considered by country teams. Specifically, the guidance says that “As part of the COP process, PEPFAR teams are expected to expand their engagements with local civil society as a way to spur greater local civil society engagement by partner-country governments” and requires teams to include civil society at each major step of COP development. In addition, in 2018, PEPFAR set a goal that by the end of FY 2020, 70% of new funding going to partners must be local, including civil society and community organizations.

At the planning level, the Office of the Global AIDS Coordinator, which oversees PEPFAR, has begun providing draft COP guidance for input by civil society and other stakeholders and incorporating feedback into final guidance documents, which have reflected their recommendations and influenced country plans. At the country planning level, a recent analysis found that nearly 500 civil society recommendations were either fully or partially incorporated into PEPFAR annual country workplans during the COP 2020-2021 planning process. In addition, community involvement in COP development has been cited as an important factor in the implementation of innovations in HIV treatment programming in Malawi, Uganda, and Zimbabwe. Finally, civil society groups successfully advocated to have PEPFAR, and the Global Fund, adopt and support “community-led monitoring” (CLM), a process by which civil society groups are directly involved in data collection on HIV service quality and access primarily from actual beneficiaries of those services, and PEPFAR COP guidance now requires countries to establish CLM.

Sources: KFF, Key Issues and Questions for PEPFAR’s Future, September 2021, available at: https://www.kff.org/global-health-policy/issue-brief/key-issues-and-questions-for-pepfars-future/; State Department, PEPFAR 2022 Country and Regional Operational Plan (COP/ROP) Guidance for all PEPFAR-Supported Countries, January 2022, available at: https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/COP22-Guidance-Final_508-Compliant-3.pdf.

Since 2009, GPE has provided dedicated funding to civil society organizations through its Civil Society Education Fund. This mechanism aims to support civil society groups in influencing education policies, monitoring programs, and holding governments accountable for their commitments to ensure children’s access to quality education.

In addition to program implementation funding for civil society, some global health initiatives provide financing for civil society monitoring. For example, the Global Fund provides funding for community-based efforts to gather quantitative and qualitative data on the programs it funds and is working to stimulate inclusion of community-led monitoring in national funding proposals.

Implications

Our review highlights the spectrum of ways multilateral global health and related initiatives have incorporated civil society into their governance, operations, and other activities. The findings highlighted here may have relevance for the new global funding mechanism for pandemic preparedness and response – the FIF housed at the World Bank – that is being actively considered and whose governance structure is not yet decided. Several groups have already highlighted the importance of including civil society in pandemic preparedness, and the FIF specifically. For example, the Global Fund’s new strategic plan for 2023-2028 commits the organization to “champion community and civil society leadership in pandemic preparedness response, decision-making and oversight.” Advocacy and expert panel groups have provided feedback on the World Bank’s FIF white paper, as requested by the World Bank, calling for civil society to be “integral elements of the design” and expressing concern that the current approach “relegates civil society to an observer status…a far cry from the focused but inclusive multisectoral governance model.”

Our review identifies a clear trend in global health toward greater, more inclusive engagement of civil society in both governance and implementation, especially with respect to the meaningful involvement of civil society from the global South and affected constituencies. The ability of civil society to engage with and influence the programs and policies of multilateral global health initiatives appears most effective when the rules for inclusion of civil society constituencies are formalized and there exists a measure of institutional support to ensure the meaningfulness of civil society engagement. This is particularly the case when civil society has formal representation on governing boards as in the case of six of the 14 institutions analyzed here. While presence on governing bodies and committees is often important, it may not be sufficient in and of itself to create meaningful input and engagement with civil society. The details regarding how constituency-based representation is structured and how specific constituencies are identified and chosen, in addition to the availability of support mechanisms for civil society participation, often shape the meaningfulness of civil society involvement.

Many of our informants said civil society has important perspectives and insights that can strengthen efforts to address pandemic preparedness and response and other aspects of health system resilience. In particular, given the importance of building and maintaining trust in communities prior to and during pandemic response, civil society engagement may be a significant factor in the ultimate success of these efforts.  Regarding a new FIF for PPR, many stakeholders have argued that inclusive governance should be emphasized for these reasons and to address existing power imbalances found in a more traditional donor-beneficiary framework.6  At the same time, as referenced in the World Bank’s white paper, some believe that a more inclusive governance structure could result in decision-making that is more complex and less efficient. It also requires existing decision-makers to relinquish some degree of power.

Taken together, these findings offer new insights into how civil society has been included in major multilateral health and related organizations that are in operation today and may inform ongoing global discussions about the creation of a new financing mechanism for PPR. As we find here, all 14 institutions examined include civil society in a range of ways, including several which mandate formal inclusion.

This work was supported in part by the Conrad N. Hilton Foundation. KFF maintains full editorial control over all of its policy analysis, polling, and journalism activities.

Jen Kates and Josh Michaud are with KFF. Mike Isbell is an independent consultant.

Endnotes

  1. See, for example: Independent Panel for Pandemic Preparedness & Response, Comment on the World Bank’s White Paper on a Financial Intermediary Fund (FIF) for Pandemic Prevention Preparedness and Response, June 1, 2022, https://theindependentpanel.org/comment-on-the-world-banks-white-paper-on-a-financial-intermediary-fund-fif-for-pandemic-prevention-preparedness-and-response/; Friends of the Global Fight, Comments on World Bank White Paper on a proposed FIF for Pandemic Prevention, Preparedness and Response, June 2, 2022, https://www.theglobalfight.org/comments-on-world-bank-white-paper-on-a-proposed-fif-for-pandemic-prevention-preparedness-and-response/; WHO Council on the Economics of Health for All, A Proposed Financial Intermediary Fund (FIF) for Pandemic Prevention, Preparedness and Response Hosted by the World Bank – Elevating Ambitions Beyond Business as Usual, May 31, 2022, https://cdn.who.int/media/docs/default-source/council-on-the-economics-of-health-for-all/who-council-statement-31-may-2022.pdf?sfvrsn=97b00b6b_3&download=true; Pandemic Action Network, https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/b045141896aeb7483eabc2c7a8a33da0-0290032022/original/Pandemic-Action-Network-Review-and-Feedback.pdf; Global Preparedness Monitoring Board, https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/d441e976caa31d90cb06da27f2e03fc4-0290032022/original/WHO-Global-Preparedness-Board-Response.pdf; GFAN, May 31, 2022, https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/30d000fce96e1ca1cd18dc5c853436b6-0290032022/original/GFAN.pdf; Resolve to Save Lives, May 30, 2022, https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/cc924b3c66c0ab2b05a4c7e11bce8f37-0290032022/original/RESOLVE-TO-SAVE-LIVES.pdf. All comments are posted here: https://www.worldbank.org/en/projects-operations/products-and-services/brief/financial-intermediary-fund-for-pandemic-prevention-preparedness-and-response-engagement#comments. ↩︎
  2. See: Loewenson R, Annotated Bibliography on Civil Society Influence on Global Health Policy, Geneva: World Health Organization and Training and Research Center, 2003, https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Rene-Loewenson/publication/237459829_Annotated_Bibliography_on_Civil_Society_And_Health_Civil_society_influence_on_global_health_policy/links/5423df3f0cf26120b7a6f22e/Annotated-Bibliography-on-Civil-Society-And-Health-Civil-society-influence-on-global-health-policy.pdf; Lee K, “Civil Society Organizations and the Functions of Global Health Governance: What Role within Intergovernmental Organizations?” Glob Health Gov, 2010,3(2), https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4888897/. ↩︎
  3. See: Gomez EJ, “Civil society in Global Health Policymaking: A Critical Review,” Globalization and Health 2018,14(1), https://globalizationandhealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12992-018-0393-2; Smith SL, “Factoring Civil Society Actors into Health Policy Processes in Low- and Middle-income countries: A Review of Research Articles,” 1007-16, Health Policy Plan 2019, 34(1); Haas PM, Is There a Global Governance Deficit and What Should be Done About It? 2003, Berlin, Institute for International and European Environmental Policy. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/228423400_Is_there_a_global_governance_deficit_and_what_should_be_done_about_it. ↩︎
  4. See: Loewenson R, Annotated Bibliography on Civil Society Influence on Global Health Policy, Geneva: World Health Organization and Training and Research Center, 2003, https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Rene-Loewenson/publication/237459829_Annotated_Bibliography_on_Civil_Society_And_Health_Civil_society_influence_on_global_health_policy/links/5423df3f0cf26120b7a6f22e/Annotated-Bibliography-on-Civil-Society-And-Health-Civil-society-influence-on-global-health-policy.pdf; Lee K, “Civil Society Organizations and the Functions of Global Health Governance: What Role within Intergovernmental Organizations?” Glob Health Gov, 2010,3(2), https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4888897/. ↩︎
  5. The MDGs were eight global goals, including health-related goals, that were agreed to in 2000 by all the world’s countries, with a target date of 2015. They have been succeeded by the Sustainable Development Goals. See: https://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/. ↩︎
  6. See: Mazzucato M, Donnelly A, “How to Design a Pandemic Preparedness and Response Fund,” Project Syndicate, April 20, 2022, https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/pandemic-financial-intermediary-fund-how-to-design-by-mariana-mazzucato-and-alan-donnelly-2022-04 (accessed June 15, 2022); Jarvis M, Glassman A, Kenny C, Governing New Pandemic Preparedness Financing – What’s Needed for Credibility, Legitimacy, and Effectiveness, Center for Global Development, September 21, 2021, https://www.cgdev.org/blog/governing-new-pandemic-preparedness-financing-whats-needed-credibility-legitimacy-and. ↩︎

The Last Major Phase of the COVID-19 Vaccination Roll-out: Children Under 5

Published: Jun 21, 2022

On June 17, the Food and Drug Administration authorized emergency use of both Moderna and Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccines for children between the ages of 6 months and 5 years and on June 18, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommended their use for this population, noting their safety as well as their effectiveness in preventing severe COVID-19 outcomes. This marks the first time COVID-19 vaccines are available to virtually all people in the United States. The CDC has already provided guidance to jurisdictions to help in their planning, including instructing them to pre-order doses in anticipation of a recommendation. Pre-orders began on June 3 and shipments as soon as the emergency use authorizations (EUA) were granted on June 17; vaccination can begin now that the CDC has provided its recommendation.

We previously explored policy considerations for vaccinating 5-11 year-olds, who became eligible in November of last year, and have continued to track vaccine progress and demand among this group, both of which may be instructive for this next phase. Among 5-11 year-olds, vaccination rose quickly after first recommended but then dropped just two weeks in; as of June 16, just 29.5% have been fully vaccinated compared to 75% of those ages 12 and above. While a similar pattern may be expected for younger children – our most recent COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor survey, fielded before vaccines were recommended for them, found that only 18% of parents said they would get their young child vaccinated right away – there are also unique issues to consider for younger children that may present additional barriers and issues for policymakers, public health practitioners, and parents and caregivers. This brief provides an overview of the characteristics of children under the age of 5 nationally and by state and discusses some of the particular issues to consider in rolling out vaccination to this age group.

What are Characteristics of Children Under Age 5?

There are approximately 19 million children under the age of 5 in the United States. They account for 6% of the U.S. population. The share of the population represented by young children varies by state, ranging from a low of 4.6% in Maine to a high of 7.7% in Utah.  Data about the size and composition of children under age 5 across the country come from the 2019 American Community Survey.  Due to data on age only being collected in years, we include all children under the age of 5, including children less than 6 months old who would not be eligible to receive the vaccine under this authorization.

Half of children under the age of 5 are children of color, including more than a quarter who are Hispanic (25.9%), 12.9% who are Black, and 4.5% who are Asian (Figure 1). Smaller shares are American Indian or Alaska Native or Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander (<1 % each). The distribution varies across the country (Table 1). For example, in four states, a third or more of younger children are Black – Georgia (32.7%), Louisiana (34.1%), Mississippi (41.7%) and DC (43.7%). States in the West and South include higher shares of Hispanic children; at least half of younger children are Hispanic in New Mexico (62.4%), California (51.3%), and Texas (49.8%).

Distribution of Children Under Age 5 by Race/Ethnicity, 2019

Four in ten children under the age of 5 live in a family with income below 200% of the Federal Poverty Level (FPL), including 18.1% below poverty and 21.9% between 100-200% FPL (Figure 1). An additional 29.8% live between 200-400% FPL and 30.2% are above 400% FPL. This income distribution varies significantly by state (Table 2). For example, the share living in a low-income family (below 200% FPL) ranges from 23.9% in New Hampshire to 56.3% in Arkansas. In four states, the share living below 200% FPL is greater than 50%; In 5 states, more than a quarter of younger children live below the poverty level.

Just over half of children under the age of 5 have private insurance coverage while 41.3% are covered by Medicaid/CHIP, and 4.5% are uninsured. This too, varies by state (Table 3). For example, the share of young children who are privately insured ranges from 35.7% in Mississippi to 72.8% in Utah, while the share covered by Medicaid/CHIP ranges from just 19% in Utah to 64% in New Mexico. The share of young children who are uninsured ranges from 1.3% in Massachusetts to 9.8% in Texas.

How will vaccine roll-out to children under 5 be similar or different to 5-11 year-olds?

Many of the issues that have affected vaccine roll-out to 5-11 year-olds will likely apply in the case of younger children as well, including access challenges in some places. As with 5-11 year-olds, access will likely vary across the country, depending on jurisdictional decisions and implementation plans, the number and location of pediatric vaccinators and sites, the adequacy of provider networks, and communication and outreach plans.  Unlike with adults, for example, where vaccines have been widely available at multiple locations to reach the close to 260 million who are eligible, the small population size of children has meant fewer locations with vaccines, an issue that has created access barriers in some rural areas. There are also other factors in play that will likely result in even fewer vaccination sites being available for those under age 5, as discussed below.

COVID-19 vaccination for children under age 5 will require yet another formulation and new doses and supplies to be shipped, and there are differences between the two newly authorized vaccines that may present new challenges for parents in their decision-making. One issue that arose during the roll-out of vaccination to 5-11 year-olds was that their vaccine dosage was lower than that for adults and required new vials to be shipped out to states and pharmacies. This delayed access in the beginning days of eligibility and has meant that vaccinators have had to specifically order and stock pediatric vaccines. For those under 5, there will again be different product configurations, compared to those for 5-11 year-olds, requiring new shipments to jurisdictions. This may once again hold up vaccination opportunities in the early days of authorization.

Moreover, unlike for those ages 5-11 where only one vaccine, Pfizer’s, was authorized for them last November (Moderna’s vaccine was only authorized for 5-11 year-olds on June 17), two vaccines have been authorized for those under 5 at the same time, each with a different number of doses, dosing schedules, and age ranges (see Table 4). Moderna’s vaccine requires two doses, with 28 days between them, while Pfizer’s requires three doses over a much longer time period. As a result, full protection will be reached several weeks sooner with Moderna compared to Pfizer. In addition, while both were found to be safe and effective, their trial results cannot be directly compared due to differences in  trial designs. At the same time, parents and vaccine providers are likely more familiar with Pfizer’s vaccine, which has been more widely available to all ages for months. Finally, there are slight differences in the age range authorized for each. These unique factors may present new challenges for parents in their decision-making. It may also be the case that vaccine providers stock only one of the vaccines.

Moderna and Pfizer COVID-19 Vaccines for Children, 6 Months–5 Years

Pharmacies and schools, while important components of the COVID-19 vaccination effort for older children, will be less likely to reach those under 5.  Many states limit the age at which pharmacists are allowed to vaccinate children. To address this issue in the context of COVID-19, the federal government amended the PREP Act under the COVID-19 public health emergency to allow pharmacists and pharmacist technicians to vaccinate children as young as 3 for routine immunizations as well as against COVID-19 (upon authorization). However, the Act has not been amended to allow for children under 3 (who account for almost 60% of all children under 5) to be vaccinated at a pharmacy, and according to data from the National Alliance of State Pharmacy Associations (NAPS) and American Pharmacists Association (Alpha), most states do not permit this. In addition, while schools have been important sites for providing access as well as information to help expand vaccination take-up among children as young as 5, and have been encouraged by the federal government to do so, most children under 5 are not yet enrolled in school, limiting this option for younger kids. Lastly, many of the larger vaccine clinics organized by jurisdictions, which were able to expand to new age groups when eligible, are no longer operating.

Pediatricians will likely be more important for vaccinating young children than even their slightly older counterparts. Pediatricians, who are already cited by parents as a highly trusted source of information about COVID-19 for children, will likely play an even more important role in vaccinating children under 5.  This is in part due to the more limited access to vaccinations at pharmacies and schools, but also because parents are even more accustomed to getting their routine immunizations for younger children at their doctor’s offices. CDC reports, for example, that in the 2020-21 flu season, 80% of children ages 6 months to 4 years old received their flu vaccine at a doctor’s office, while only 4% of children 2–4 years old and <1% of those under age 2 received their vaccine at a pharmacy. Still, pediatricians face unique challenges with pediatric COVID-19 vaccinations for children, relative to other vaccinations. In addition to cold storage requirements (Pfizer’s vaccine requires an ultra-low temperature for long-term storage), a COVID-19 pediatric vaccine vial, for either vaccine, contains 10 doses which must be used within 12 hours after opening. This means that pediatricians, or any other pediatric vaccinator, would need to be able to vaccinate 10 children within this time period or risk wasting doses.  Importantly, the CDC reports that as of early May 2022, more than two-thirds of Vaccines for Children (VFC) program providers were enrolled as COVID-19 vaccine providers, which could help to facilitate access, and encourages jurisdictions to enroll more VFC providers. But it also reports that while 73% of VFC providers intend to offer COVID-19 vaccines children under 5, only 52% intend to do so for children who are not regular patients.

Medicaid will be an especially important avenue for reaching younger children, as will community health centers. Among all children under age 5, over four in ten (41.3%) are covered by Medicaid, and almost three-quarters (74.1%) of children under age 5 with incomes below 200% of FPL are covered by Medicaid. We previously identified how state Medicaid programs and Medicaid managed care plans can facilitate access to vaccines for young, low-income children. In addition to these strategies to increase vaccine uptake, CMS released guidance requiring states to cover COVID-19 vaccine counseling visits for children under Medicaid’s Early and Periodic Screening, Diagnostic, and Treatment (EPSDT) benefit. Community health centers also offer vaccine access points for families with young children. A national network of safety net primary care providers, they are a primary source of care for many low-income populations (91% have incomes below 200% FPL) and communities of color (62%), and they have already been mobilized to provide vaccinations to their clients through the federal Health Center COVID-19 Vaccine Program. Community health centers serve between 5 and 6 million children under the age of 12, including about 2 million under the age of 5.

As with 5-11 year-olds, parents and caregivers will determine how quickly and how many younger children get vaccinated. Our latest COVID Vaccine Monitor report found that about one in five (18%) of parents of children under 5 say they’ll get their child vaccinated against COVID-19 right away once a vaccine is authorized, 38% say they will wait and see, and almost 4 in 10 say they won’t get their younger child vaccinated at all or only will if required. If the experience of vaccinating 5-11 year-olds is a guide for what might happen with younger children, vaccination coverage will likely be quite slow.  While the share of parents of 5-11 year-olds who say they have or will get their child vaccinated has increased over time, more than 4 in 10 say they will not do so, or will only do so if required. Our analysis of vaccine coverage among 5-11 year-olds found that while vaccination rose sharply for the two-week period after eligibility, it then dropped steeply and daily rates of administration have remained low. As of June 16, just 29.5% of children ages 5-11 have been fully vaccinated, compared to 75% of those ages 12 and above.

Prioritizing equity is particularly important as vaccination efforts extend to the youngest group of children. Of the estimated 19 million children in the U.S. under age 5, half are children of color (compared to 40% of the U.S. population overall), including more than a quarter who are Hispanic (25.9%) and 12.9% who are Black. Over the course of the vaccination rollout, Black and Hispanic people have been less likely than their White counterparts to receive a vaccine, but these disparities have narrowed over time and been reversed for Hispanic people. Disparities in children’s take-up of the vaccine could reverse that trend. Another KFF COVID Vaccine Monitor report found Hispanic parents, Black parents, and parents with lower incomes were more likely to say they might have to miss work to get their child vaccinated, that they won’t have a trusted place to go, or that they’ll have difficulty traveling to a vaccination location compared to other parents. To mitigate similar disparities in vaccination rates among children, it will be important to address potential access barriers, ensure vaccinations are available through trusted sites, and address parent/caregiver concerns and questions through trusted individuals in the community. CDC guidance provided to jurisdictions asks them to take equity into consideration when selecting vaccine sites, particularly those initially selected in the early days of roll-out. Data on vaccination rates for children by race and ethnicity is important for being able to identify disparities and to direct resources to address them. However, the federal government is not currently reporting vaccinations among children by race and ethnicity, and only a handful of states report these data.

Implications

Many of the issues that presented challenges to vaccinating 5-11 year-olds will likely be at play in the effort to vaccinate younger children; however, there are additional factors to consider. These include the likelihood that there will be fewer places to get vaccinated for this age group, due to more limited opportunities at pharmacies and schools, and reduction in larger scale vaccination clinics formerly operated by jurisdictions across the country. Parents may be more likely to seek out pediatricians, who themselves may face new challenges to vaccinating younger children against COVID-19, or to encounter an offer for COVID-19 vaccination only when they bring their child to a routine check-up, a time period which may or may not correspond to a COVID-19 surge. In addition, there will be new communication challenges to reaching parents of children in this age group, given that two vaccines are being made available at the same time, each of which requires a different number of doses and time period to achieve full protection. Finally, particular attention to equity will be important given that large shares of children under 5 are children of color and live in low-income households.

Distribution of Children Under Age 5 by Race/Ethnicity, 2019
Distribution of Children Under Age 5 by Federal Poverty Level, 2019
Distribution of Children Under Age 5 by Health Insurance Coverage, 2019

16 States and DC Have State Laws Protecting the Right to Abortion if Roe v. Wade is Overturned

Authors: Laurie Sobel and Amrutha Ramaswamy
Published: Jun 17, 2022

On May 2, 2022, news media reported a leaked draft of the Supreme Court’s decision in Dobbs v, Jackson Women’s Health that would overturn Roe v. Wade and Planned Parenthood v. Casey and eliminate the federal standard regarding abortion access. The Supreme Court acknowledged the authenticity of the draft but stated “it does not represent a decision by the Court or the final position of any member on the issues in the case.” The final decision is expected sometime next month.

If the Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, states will set their own abortion policies without any federal constitutional standards. Access to abortion care will be protected in 16 states and DC. Abortion will likely become illegal in 17 states that have laws that are intended to immediately ban abortion; four of these states have a law banning abortion on the books that predates Roe v. Wade and 14 states have expressed the intent to limit abortion to the maximum extent permitted by federal law.  While Michigan has a pre-Roe abortion ban on its books, a Michigan judge recently blocked this law while litigation challenging the law as violating the Michigan State Constitution proceeds. Two states, Oklahoma and Texas, currently have a pre-viability ban enforced by civil penalties in effect. Eight states have State Supreme Court decisions recognizing the right to abortion under the state constitution. If the Supreme Court overturns Roe, then some of these states and others without laws have expressed interest in passing state laws banning pre-viability abortions.

Source

KFF, Abortion at SCOTUS: Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health, Appendix 1: State Policies and Court Decisions Regarding the Legal Status of Abortion, May 2022.

News Release

KFF Announces Board Leadership Changes and New Trustees

Published: Jun 17, 2022

Olympia Snowe Chair of the Board and Jim Canales Vice-Chair

Five New Trustees Have Been Elected

San Francisco – KFF announced today the election of former U.S. Senator Olympia Snowe as the new chair and Jim Canales as vice-chair for its board of trustees and the completion of a two-year recruitment and selection process that has concluded with the election of five new trustees.

Snowe, a KFF trustee since 2016, succeeds James Doyle, former Governor of Wisconsin, whose term as a trustee came to an end last year. Jim Canales, President and Trustee of the Barr Foundation in Boston, succeeds Snowe as vice-chair and has been a KFF trustee since 2018.

“I’m honored to have been elected by my distinguished colleagues as we help guide KFF during these challenging times. The pandemic has highlighted the problems with our health system and KFF’s trusted health policy information is needed more than ever,” Senator Snowe said.

In addition to recent board leadership changes, KFF has completed a two-year effort led by the chair of the board’s selection and governance committee, former U.S. Secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services and Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius, to elect five new members to the board: Frederick Cerise, MD, Marcella Nunez-Smith, MD, Soledad O’Brien, Frederick Terrell, and Reed Tuckson, MD.

Frederick Cerise and Reed Tuckson were elected to the board last year and began their terms in the fall of 2021.

Frederick Cerise is President and Chief Executive Officer of Parkland Health & Hospital System and previously served as Vice President for Health Affairs and Medical Education of the Louisiana State University System. From 2004 to 2007, Dr. Cerise was Secretary of the Louisiana Department of Health and Hospitals. He serves on the federal Medicaid and CHIP Payment and Access Commission and previously served on KFF’s Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured.

Reed Tuckson is Managing Director of Tuckson Health Connections LLC. and is a Co-Founder of the Black Coalition Against COVID, a multi-stakeholder and interdisciplinary effort working to mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic in Washington, D.C. and nationally. He previously held numerous leadership positions in health care in the public and private sectors, including a long tenure as Executive Vice President and Chief of Medical Affairs for UnitedHealth Group. He was also Senior Vice President for Professional Standards of the AMA; Senior Vice President of the March of Dimes Birth Defects Foundation; President of the Charles R. Drew University of Medicine and Science; and Commissioner of Public Health for the District of Columbia.

Marcella Nunez-Smith, Soledad O’Brien, and Frederick Terrell were elected to the board of trustees this year. Mr. Terrell will begin his term in June and Dr. Nunez-Smith and Ms. O’Brien will start in September.

Frederick O. Terrell is a Senior Advisor with Centerbridge Partners, L.P. a multi-strategy investment management firm based in New York City. He is the former Executive Vice Chairman of Investment Banking and Capital Markets at Credit Suisse and Founder and CEO of Provender Capital Group, LLC which made investments in emerging companies of behalf of major institutional investors. Mr. Terrell has an extensive background in finance, investment management and corporate governance and currently serves on the boards of BNY Mellon, where he is Chairman of the Audit Committee, Paramount Global, Vroom Inc. and Mobility Capital Finance (MoCaFi). He is a member of the Investment Committee of the Rockefeller Foundation, the boards of the Partnership Fund for New York City, Planet Word Museum and is a member of the Economic Club of New York and the Council on Foreign Relations.

Marcella Nunez-Smith serves as the inaugural Associate Dean for Health Equity Research, and C.N.H Long Professor of Internal Medicine, Public Health and Management, and Founding Director of the Equity Research and Innovation Center at the Yale School of Medicine. The country saw Dr. Nunez-Smith regularly when she served as Senior Advisor to the White House COVID-19 Response Team and Chair of the Presidential COVID-19 Health Equity Task Force.

Soledad O’Brien is a documentarian, journalist, producer, speaker, author, and philanthropist who has produced and reported as wide range of critically acclaimed journalism. She is currently the CEO of Soledad O’Brien Productions, a multi-platform media production company, and anchors and produces the Hearst Television political magazine program “Matter of Fact with Soledad O’Brien.” She also reports regularly for HBO’s “Real Sports with Bryant Gumbel.” She has won numerous awards and authored two books.

“KFF’s ability to adapt and change as we continue to produce vital, relevant policy analysis, polling and journalism on health care issues is tied to the wealth of diverse experiences and the wisdom our board members bring to their duties as trustees. Our new board leadership and five new board members will add fresh perspectives and the judgment we need as we move the organization forward,” said KFF’s longtime CEO and President Drew Altman, PhD who founded the modern-day organization.

With the new additions, KFF’s board will have 13 members, including its CEO. The other board members currently serving are: President and CEO of the National Nursing League Beverly Malone PhD, RN, FAAN, Executive Editor of the Los Angeles Times Kevin Merida, former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Kathleen Sebelius, former Chief Innovation Officer of GE Sue Siegel, and President of the ECMC Foundation Peter Taylor, MPP. Board members serve up to two five-year terms. Additional information about KFF’s board can be found at https://www.kff.org/board-of-trustees/.

Immigrants in the U.S. Continue to Face Health Care Challenges

Published: Jun 16, 2022

June marks National Immigrant Heritage Month, which honors the contributions of immigrants to the U.S. As of 2020, there were close to 45 million immigrants residing in the U.S., accounting for 14% of the total U.S. population. Immigrants make up a significant part of the nation’s workforce and families yet face increased barriers to accessing health coverage and care. While citizens account for the majority of the nonelderly uninsured population, noncitizens are much more likely than citizens to be uninsured. Many lawfully present immigrants and citizen children in immigrant families who are eligible for coverage remain uninsured due to a range of barriers, including immigration-related fears. Research suggests that changes to immigration policy made by the Trump Administration contributed to growing fears among immigrant families about enrolling in Medicaid and CHIP even if they were eligible. The Biden Administration has since reversed some of these changes and implemented other policies to increase enrollment of eligible people in public coverage options, but sustained outreach efforts by trusted messengers will be key for reducing fears among the community.

The pandemic likely worsened the health and financial challenges faced by immigrants, as they have been at increased risk for exposure and financial difficulties and face greater barriers to accessing testing, treatment, and vaccines, in part, due to ongoing immigration-related fears. In addition, migrants have faced new barriers to enter the U.S., which have resulted in negative health impacts. Despite their role in the U.S., data are often missing to understand the diverse experiences of immigrants. Enhancing data to understand their experiences is of particular importance, given their growing population, the evolving landscape of immigration policies, the impact of the pandemic, and upticks in hate incidents among racialized groups.

Source

Health Coverage of Immigrants

News Release

KFF’s Kaiser Health News and NPR Launch Diagnosis: Debt, a Yearlong Reporting Partnership Exploring the Scale, Impact, and Causes of the Health Care Debt Crisis in America

About 4 in 10 Adults Have Some Debt Due to Medical or Dental Bills, Finds a National KFF Survey Conducted for the Project

Published: Jun 16, 2022

KFF’s Kaiser Health News (KHN) and NPR today launched a yearlong investigative project that explores the scale, impact, and causes of the health care debt crisis in the United States.

Drawing upon a special KFF poll conducted for the project, original data analysis, and hundreds of interviews, the investigation reveals a problem far more pervasive than previously reported. That’s because much of the medical debt is hidden as monthly installments paid via credit card, loans from family, and payment plans arranged directly with hospital and doctor’s offices.

About 4 in 10 adults report having medical or dental debt, the KFF poll finds, a share that roughly translates into an estimated 100 million adults. Many expect repaying the debt to take years, and about 1 in 5 say they do not expect to ever pay it all off.

The problem drives millions of Americans from their homes or into bankruptcy, but the consequences are not just financial. About 1 in 7 people with health care debt say they have been denied access to a hospital, doctor, or other provider because of unpaid bills. The toll of medical debt tends to fall most severely on the poor, the sick, and people of color, the investigation reveals.

Diagnosis: Debt is a multimedia series featuring KHN senior correspondent Noam N. Levey and NPR correspondent Yuki Noguchi. The first installment will run today on kffhealthnews.org and npr.org and air on NPR’s Morning Edition, which can be found at participating member stations. It represents a fusion of the investigative power of KHN and NPR, the public opinion survey expertise of the KFF polling team, and original data analysis.

The project will feature a series of digital and audio stories to be published and aired over the rest of this year, as well as an NPR podcast and profiles of Americans whose lives have been upended by health care debt. In addition to the poll and other research, KHN and NPR reporters conducted hundreds of interviews with patients, physicians, health industry leaders, consumer advocates, and researchers.

The first installment spotlights the plight of people like Elizabeth Woodruff, of Binghamton, New York., who spent through her retirement account and worked three jobs after she and her husband were sued for nearly $10,000 by the hospital where his infected leg was amputated. There is Ariane Buck of Peoria, Arizona, near Phoenix, who was unable to get an appointment with his doctor for an intestinal infection because the office said he had outstanding bills. Nurse practitioner Allyson Ward of Chicago worked extra shifts and she and her husband loaded up credit cards, borrowed from relatives, and delayed repaying student loans after the premature birth of their twins left them $80,000 in debt.

Forthcoming stories will examine U.S. hospital billing and collections practices as well as the flourishing medical debt industry that is now an integral part of American health care.

“From our joint Bill of the Month series with NPR, we knew that debt was a major byproduct of the American medical system. But in this investigation, we sought to quantify the scale of the problem and detail its impact on families’ financial health,” said KHN Editor-in-Chief Elisabeth Rosenthal. “It was a huge task, pulling in the reporting muscle of both our teams, outside data help, and an important survey performed by our colleagues at the KFF polling team.”

“This series represents the culmination of months of investigations and reporting by NPR and KHN, said Andrea Kissack, NPR’s Chief Science and Health Editor. “In addition to some of these stunning findings, the project will explore some of the little-known ways to avoid debt traps and how the mental health and substance abuse crisis is impacting debt and how the pandemic may influence racial disparities.”

A novel poll

In the national poll conducted for the project, KFF survey researchers found that about 1 in 4 four adults with health care debt (translating to 1 in 10 adults overall) owes at least $5,000, including about 1 in 8 who owe $10,000 or more (1 in 20 adults overall). Those who are uninsured, with low incomes, and Black and Hispanic adults are among the groups most likely to carry health care debt.

The survey used a broad lens to measure health care debt, including medical and dental bills people are unable to pay as well as different forms of debt accruing from health care bills such as payment plans, credit cards, bank loans, and borrowing from family and friends. About 1 in 5 adults (21%) say they are paying off health care bills through an installment plan with a hospital or other provider. One in 10 say they owe money to a friend or family member who covered their medical or dental bills.

Most people with health care debt (63%) say they or a household member had to cut spending on food, clothing, and basic household items as a result. Nearly half (48%) say they used up nearly all their savings. About 4 in 10 increased their credit card debt (41%), took on an extra job or worked more hours (40%), or skipped or delayed paying other bills (37%).

Having insurance is not a panacea. While 62% of working-age uninsured adults report having health care debt, so do 44% of working-age adults with health coverage, according to the poll.

A link between medical debt and chronic illness

Also published today is an interactive graphic showing where debt is concentrated in the U.S., based on original research the Urban Institute conducted for this project analyzing credit report data. The graphic features county and state maps as well as charts comparing counties and showing the link between medical debt and chronic illness.

Researchers find that chronic illness is a strong predictor of debt. In the 100 U.S. counties with the highest levels of chronic disease, nearly a quarter of adults have medical debt on their credit records, compared with fewer than 1 in 10 in the healthiest counties.

Patient debt is growing despite increased access to insurance through the Affordable Care Act, the investigation finds. Over the past decade the medical industry has posted record profits as hospitals, physicians, and other providers steadily raised prices, while health insurers have shifted costs onto patients through higher deductibles.

KHN is KFF’s award-winning news service with a national newsroom in Washington, D.C., and a rapidly growing network of regional bureaus in California, the Midwest, the Mountain States, and the South. Earlier this year KHN established a Rural Health Desk to produce and distribute stories on health care issues relevant to rural communities.

NPR and KHN have partnered for over a decade to bring important health stories from NPR member stations around the country to NPR and KHN’s audiences and to improve and expand health reporting at these stations. They also maintain a long-standing collaborative investigative project entitled “Bill of the Month,” which examines surprising medical bills and what they tell us about the U.S. health care system.

KHN works with many editorial partners, and media outlets can publish KHN stories at no charge. KHN also will publish the stories on kffhealthnews.org and promote them through its social media platforms. KHN journalists also are available for interviews about their stories. News organizations interested in working with KHN should contact the news service at KHNPartnerships@kff.org, and those interested in helping to expand and improve health journalism around the country should contact KFF at healthjournalism@kff.org.

About KFF

KHN (Kaiser Health News) is one of the four major operating programs at KFF (Kaiser Family Foundation), together with Policy Analysis, Polling and Survey Research, and Social Impact Media. KFF is an endowed nonprofit organization providing information on health issues to the nation. It has no connection to Kaiser Permanente.

About NPR

NPR’s rigorous reporting and unsurpassed storytelling connects with millions of Americans every day — on the air, online, and in person. NPR strives to create a more informed public — one challenged and invigorated by a deeper understanding and appreciation of events, ideas, and cultures. With a nationwide network of award-winning journalists and 17 international bureaus, NPR and its member stations are never far from where a story is unfolding. Listeners can find NPR by tuning in to their local member stations (npr.org/stations), and now it’s easy to listen to NPR stories on smart-speaker devices. Ask your smart speaker to “Play NPR,” and you’ll be tuned in to your local member station’s livestream. Your speaker can also access NPR podcasts, NPR One, and NPR News Now, and the Visual Newscast is available for screened speakers. Get more information at npr.org/about and by following NPR Extra on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram.

About the KFF Survey

The KFF Health Care Debt Survey was designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at KFF in collaboration with KHN journalists and editors. The survey was conducted online and via telephone Feb. 25-March 20, in English and Spanish, among a nationally representative sample of 2,375 U.S. adults, including 1,292 adults with current health care debt. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points for the full sample and 3 percentage points for those with current debt. For results based on subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher.

Health Care Debt In The U.S.: The Broad Consequences Of Medical And Dental Bills

Published: Jun 16, 2022

Overview

The KFF Health Care Debt Survey is part of a broader investigative project on health care debt conducted by our colleagues at KHN in partnership with NPR. The survey was designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at KFF in collaboration with KHN journalists and editors. This Report contains findings from the survey as well as the topline and methodology. The KFF Health Care Debt Survey provides a broad measure of health care debt, including medical and dental bills people are unable to pay as well as different forms of debt accruing from health care bills such as payment plans, credit cards, bank loans, and borrowing from family and friends. It also explores the effects of health care debt on individuals and the financial and personal sacrifices they make due to their debt.

Diagnosis: Debt is a multimedia investigative journalism series by KHN and NPR that explores the scale, impact, and causes of health care debt in America. It represents a fusion of the investigative power of KHN and NPR, the public opinion survey expertise of the KFF polling team, and original data analysis.

Explore the project’s journalism:

Diagnosis Debt:100 Million People in America Are Saddled With Health Care Debt, published June 16, 2022.

Upended: How Medical Debt Changed Their Lives, published June 16, 2022.

NPR Morning Edition: Sick and struggling to pay, 100 million people in the U.S. live with medical debt, aired June 16, 2022.

Medical Bills Can Shatter Lives. North Carolina May Act to ‘De-Weaponize’ That Debt, published June 21, 2022.

In America, Cancer Patients Endure Debt on Top of Disease, published July 9, 2022.

Nursing Homes Are Suing the Friends and Family of Residents to Collect Debts, published July 28, 2022.

Few Places Have More Medical Debt Than Dallas-Fort Worth, but Hospitals There Are Thriving, published Sept. 28, 2022.

Main Findings

Introduction

This is a companion report by the KFF polling group for an investigative project on health care debt conducted by our colleagues at KHN in partnership with NPR. The KFF Health Care Debt Survey was designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at KFF in collaboration with KHN journalists and editors. The survey provides a broad measure of health care debt in the U.S. and explores the effects of health care debt on individuals and the financial and personal sacrifices they make due to their debt.

Rising health care costs have been a dominant concern in the U.S. for both individuals and for the nation as a whole for many years. For individuals, these rising – and sometimes unexpected – health care costs can often lead to debt. Discussions about the problem of health care-related debt in the United States have typically focused more narrowly on medical bills that people are unable to pay or those that have been sent to collections. However, the problem of health care debt is ultimately much larger when looking at different types of debt that are caused at least partially by medical or dental bills. Indeed, often individuals use other forms of borrowing or debt, such as payment plans, credit cards, bank loans, and borrowing from family and friends to pay their medical and dental bills. These forms of debt are sometimes not included in estimates of medical debt from other surveys and administrative data.

To fill this gap, KFF conducted an in-depth, nationally representative survey with 2,375 adults, including interviews with 1,292 adults with current health care debt. The survey defined health care debt as any money respondents currently owe or debt they have due to medical or dental bills for their own or someone else’s medical or dental care, including any bills that are past due or that they are unable to pay, any bills they are paying off over time directly to a provider, any debt they owe to a bank, collection agency, or other lender that includes debt or loans used to pay medical or dental bills, any bills they have put on a credit card and are paying off over time and any debt owed to a family member or friend for money they borrowed to pay medical or dental bills.

Executive Summary

Debt due to medical and dental bills is a widespread issue in the United States, affecting both uninsured and insured adults. Health care related debt encompasses more than just unpaid or past due bills from providers. Substantial shares of adults carry debt from medical and dental bills that they have paid off by taking on other forms of debt, including credit cards, personal bank loans, or loans from family and friends. The KFF Health Care Debt Survey finds that four in ten adults have some form of health care debt. Yet the likelihood of having health care debt is not evenly distributed. Uninsured adults, women, Black and Hispanic adults, parents, and those with lower incomes are especially likely to say they have health care-related debt.

Unexpected bills can be a major contributor to health care debt. Most adults with health care debt say the bills that led to their debt were from a one-time or short-term medical expense, which are often unexpected. Indeed, about half of adults – including three in ten of those who do not currently have health care debt – are vulnerable to falling into debt, saying they would be unable to pay a $500 unexpected medical bill without borrowing money. While about a third of adults with health care debt owe less than $1,000, even small amounts of debt can have significant financial consequences for some. Though a third of those with current debt expect to pay it off within a year and about a quarter expect to pay it within one to two years, nearly one in five adults with health care debt think they will never be able to pay it off.

In their efforts to service or pay off their debt, adults with health care debt report making a number of sacrifices and enduring substantial financial consequences. Most report cutting back on household spending, and more than four in ten say they or a household member have used up all or most of their savings due to their health care debt. Many also report more serious consequences like skipping payment on other bills, delaying college or buying a home, or changing their housing situation as a result of their debt. In addition, about half of adults with health care debt say they have made what they feel to be a difficult sacrifice in order to pay down their debt. These sacrifices have left some individuals feeling as if they could not provide a good life for their families, or with a general sense that they will never be able to extricate themselves from debt. Other reported consequences of debt, such as being contacted by debt collectors and having their credit scores negatively affected, can lead to additional financial problems such as difficulty buying vehicles needed for work or buying or renting a home.

Health care debt can also affect the ability of individuals to access needed medical or dental care. One in seven adults with health care debt say they have been denied care by a provider due to unpaid bills. In addition, adults with health care debt are more than twice as likely as those without debt to say they or someone they live with have postponed or skipped getting needed health care because of the cost.

The unequal consequences of health care debt are evident in the survey results. Among those with debt due to medical or dental bills, those with lower incomes and people of color (particularly Black adults), are more likely than their counterparts to report experiences like being contacted by collection agencies due to health care debt, being denied subsequent care, and making difficult sacrifices like changing their housing situation to pay down their debt.

Who Has Health Care Debt Due To Medical And Dental Bills?

The KFF Health Care Debt Survey finds that 41% of adults currently have some debt caused by medical or dental bills. To develop this measure, we asked respondents to think about any money they currently owe or debt they have due to medical or dental bills for their own medical or dental care or someone else’s care, such as a child, spouse, or parent. We then asked whether they currently have five different types of debt due to medical or dental bills: any bills that are past due or that they are unable to pay; any bills they are paying off over time directly to a provider; any debt they owe to a bank, collection agency, or other lender that includes debt or loans used to pay medical or dental bills; any bills they have put on a credit card and are paying off over time; or any debt owed to a family member or friend for money they borrowed to pay medical or dental bills.

Estimating The Prevalence of Health Care Debt

The total share of U.S. adults with health care debt is difficult to estimate with precision and varies widely depending on the measures. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) estimates that $88 billion in medical debt is reflected on Americans’ credit reports, though they acknowledge the total amount of medical debt is likely higher because not all medical debt is visible to consumer reporting companies and those data only reflect debt among people with credit reports (not all adults). A recent Census Bureau analysis of data from the 2020 Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) on medical debt at the household level found 17% of households owed medical debt in 2019. A KFF analysis of the 2020 SIPP found that one in ten adults in the U.S. have significant medical debt (“significant” defined as medical debt of over $250) and that U.S. adults owe at least $195 billion in medical debt.

Nationally representative surveys generally capture a larger share of people and more types of medical debt than analyses of credit reports, yet challenges remain in capturing data of people who have debt due to medical and dental bills. Certain types of medical debt may not be disclosed or present on credit reports or can be disguised as another form of debt not typically captured in surveys. For example, people may pay for a medical expense on a credit card or fall behind on other payments in order to keep up with medical bills. The KFF Health Care Debt Survey asked about different forms of debt individuals may have used to pay their medical and dental bills in order to provide a broader estimate of adults who currently have health care debt. Other estimates of medical debt from recent years can be found in the Appendix of this report.

More specifically, about a quarter of adults (24%) say they currently have medical or dental bills that are past due or that they are unable to pay, about one in five (21%) say they have bills they are paying off over time directly to a provider, about one in six say they have debt they owe to a bank, collection agency, or other lender that for loans used to pay medical or dental bills (17%) or say they have medical or dental bills they have put on a credit card and are paying off over time (17%), and one in ten (10%) say they have debt they owe to a family member or friend for money borrowed to pay medical or dental bills.

Beyond the 41% of adults who currently have some form of health care debt, a further 16% of adults say they have had debt due to medical or dental bills in the past five years that has since been paid off.1  This means in total, most adults (57%) have experienced owing money due to medical or dental bills at some point in the past five years.

Four In Ten Adults Currently Have Debt Due To Medical Or Dental Bills

Adults with lower levels of education and income are more likely than those with higher education and higher income to say they have current health care debt due to medical or dental bills. Nearly half of without a college degree (47%) say they have health care debt compared to about three in ten college graduates (31%). While a majority (57%) of adults with household incomes under $40,000 say they currently have debt due to medical or dental bills, it is also notable that health care debt is not entirely uncommon among those with higher incomes (26% of those in households earning $90,000 or more). Among adults with health care debt, those with higher incomes are more likely to report debt due to medical bills in the form of credit card debt or bank loans, while those with lower incomes are more likely to report being indebted to friends or family.

There are also differences by gender, race, and ethnicity when it comes to current health care debt. Nearly half of women say they have debt due to medical or dental bills, compared to about a third of men (48% vs. 34%). Across race and ethnic groups, at least half of Black (56%) and Hispanic (50%) adults say they have debt due to medical or dental bills, compared to fewer White adults (37%). Unsurprisingly, among adults under 65, those who are currently uninsured are more likely to say they have health care debt than those who currently have health insurance (62% vs. 44%), though it’s notable that over four in ten adults with health insurance also report current debt.

By age, health care debt peaks among those between the ages of 30 and 49, with 52% in this age group saying they have current health care debt. This is likely related to the fact that about half of people in this age group are parents of children under 18, and parents are significantly more likely than non-parents to report having health care debt from their own or someone else’s medical or dental bills (58% vs. 35%). Over one in five adults ages 65 and over (22%) say they currently owe money due to medical or dental bills. Medicare provides near universal coverage to seniors, but it has gaps that can leave beneficiaries with substantial out-of-pocket costs.

Notably, across regions of the country, almost half of adults in the South say they have health care debt, compared to about a third of adults in the Northeast and in the Western U.S. who say the same. In addition, nearly half of adults (47%) in the twelve states that have not expanded their Medicaid program under the Affordable Care Act say they have current health care debt, compared to 39% in Medicaid expansion states.

The Uninsured, Parents, Those With Lower Incomes, Black and Hispanic Adults, And Women Are Among The Most Likely To Have Health Care Debt

Health care debt does not have to be enormous for people to have problems paying it off, though some do report owing large amounts. About half of adults with current health care debt (56%) say they owe less than $2,500, including 16% who say they owe less than $500 and 18% who owe between $500 and $1,000. Nearly half (44%) report owing at least $2,500 due to medical or dental bills, including about one in eight (12%) who say they owe $10,000 or more.

About Half Of Adults With Health Care Debt Owe Less Than $2,500

Most (59%) adults with current health care debt think they will be able to pay off their debt within two years, including a third who think they will pay it off within a year. However, nearly one in five (18%) say they don’t think they will ever pay it off. Notably, about one in four Black adults (24%), adults with household incomes under $40,000 (26%), and those who are uninsured (25%) say they don’t think they will ever pay off their health care debt.

Expectations of paying off health care debt also vary widely by the amount of debt. Among those who owe less than $1,000, nearly two-thirds (63%) say they expect to pay it off within one year. By contrast, about half (53%) of those who owe $10,000 or more say they’ll never be able to pay it off.

About One In Four Black Adults, Lower-Income Adults, And Uninsured Don't Think They Will Ever Pay Off Their Health Care Debt

Causes Of Health Care Debt

Debt due to health care bills can be driven by one individual’s medical care, but often multiple family members’ bills can contribute to overall debt. While about half (54%) of adults with health care debt say the bills that led to their debt were only for their own care, 12% say their health care debt stemmed from bills for someone else’s care and another third (34%) say that bills for both their own and someone else’s care contributed to the debt.

Highlighting how one acute medical or dental incident can lead to persistent debt, seven in ten adults with health care debt (72%) say the bills that led to their debt were for a one-time or short-term medical expense, such as a single hospital visit or treatment for an accident. Many in this group (24%, or 30% of all adults with health care debt) say the incident that led to their debt occurred three or more years ago. About a quarter of adults (27%) say their medical debt built up over time, such as treatment for a chronic illness.

Health Care Debt Mostly Due To Acute Medical Expenses, May Involve Bills For Multiple People's Care

Common health care needs such as lab and diagnostic test and doctor’s visits are also common sources of health care debt. Among adults with health care debt, about six in ten (59%) say some of the bills that led to their debt were due to lab fees or diagnostic tests and over half (56%) say bills from doctor visits contributed to their debt. Half of adults with health care debt say bills from emergency care (50%) caused their debt, again highlighting how one-time acute medical events can cause people to fall into health care debt.

About half of adults with health care debt (49%) say dental bills caused some of their debt. Notably, dental insurance, which typically has annual limits on coverage, does not necessarily protect individuals from falling into debt due to dental bills. Among those who say dental bills contributed to their health care debt, 60% say they or the person whose bills led to their debt had dental coverage at the time.

Lab Fees, Doctor Visits, Emergency Care, And Dental Care Are The Top Sources Of Bills That Led To Health Care Debt

The types of bills that lead to health care debt vary by age. Notably, one of the most common types of bills leading to health care debt for older adults is dental care, likely because traditional Medicare does not provide dental coverage (though some beneficiaries in private Medicare Advantage plans do have dental coverage, with the scope varying widely). By contrast, older adults are less likely than their younger counterparts to say their health care debt resulted from lab fees, doctor visits, or emergency care.

Other types of bills are more common sources of health care debt among younger adults. A majority of adults with health care debt under age 50 say their debt was at least partially due to bills for emergency care, compared to about four in ten (41%) of those ages 50-64 and about three in ten (31%) of those ages 65 and over. Adults under age 30 are also more likely than their older counterparts to report their health care debt is due at least partially to bills for mental health services (31%).

For young families, pregnancy and childbirth can lead to health care debt. Among adults under age 30 who have health care debt, 22% say that bills from pregnancy and childbirth contributed to their debt, rising to 29% of women in this age range.

Younger Adults Are More Likely Than Their Older Counterparts To Say Their Health Care Debt Was Caused By Emergency Care Bills

Lacking money to pay a bill is often a reason people fall into debt, but complications in billing and insurance practices may also be contributing factors for some. Two-thirds (67%) of those with health care debt say that in the past five years, they have not paid or only partially paid a medical bill because they didn’t have enough money to pay it. But a roughly equal share (68%) say they have not paid a bill in full because they were expecting their health insurance to pay the bill. About four in ten (44%) adults with health care debt say that they did not pay a bill in full in the past five years because they weren’t sure the bill was accurate.

Unsurprisingly, lack of money to pay a bill is particularly an issue for those with lower household incomes. More than three in four adults with health care debt whose income is under $40,000 (77%) say they have failed to pay a medical bill for because they did not have enough money, compared to fewer than half of those with incomes of $90,000 or more. Yet issues with insurance occur across income levels as majorities with health care debt across income groups say they have not paid a medical or dental bill that was sent to them because they expected their health insurance to pay.

In Addition To Lacking Money, Insurance And Billing Issues May Stop Individuals From Paying Health Care Bills

The Consequences Of Health Care Debt

Debt due to medical and dental bills can have broad consequences for individuals and families. When asked about some specific problems they or someone in their household may have experienced in the past five years as a result of their health care debt, six in ten adults with health care debt say they cut back spending on food, clothing, and basic household items (63%). Nearly half say they used all or most of their savings (48%) and about four in ten say they increased their credit card debt for other purchases (41%), took on an extra job or worked more hours (40%), and skipped or delayed paying other bills or debt (37%) due to their health care debt. Fewer, but substantial shares, say they have taken money out of long-term savings accounts (29%), delayed buying a home or delayed education for themselves or their child (28%), taken out other loans (26%), sought aid from a charity (24%) or changed their living situation, such as living with family or friends because of their health care debt (19%).

Six In Ten Adults With Health Care Debt Say They Or Their Household Has Had To Cut Back Spending On Basic Necessities To Pay Down Debt, Half Have Used Up Their Savings

Among adults with health care debt, majorities across race and ethnic groups and at least half across income groups say they have cut back on household spending due to their medical debt. However, lower-income adults are more likely than those with higher incomes to say they have experienced certain negative consequences due to their debt. For example, over half (55%) of those with health care debt whose household income is less than $40,000 say they used up all or most of their savings due to their debt, which may put them in a further precarious financial position if they encounter future medical or other expenses. Compared to those with higher incomes, larger shares of lower-income adults with debt say they have skipped or delayed paying other bills (43%) or sought aid from charity or non-profit organization (32%). Notably, about a quarter of lower-income adults (26%), Black adults (24%), Hispanic (25%) adults with health care debt say they had to change their housing situation, such as moving in with family or friends, as a result of their debt.

Lower-Income Adults Are More Likely To Say They Have Cut Back On Spending, Used Up Savings, As A Result Of Their Health Care Debt

Sacrifices Made Due To Health Care Debt

In addition to the specific consequences discussed above, over half (54%) of adults with debt due to health care bills say they have had to make what they feel is a difficult sacrifice to pay down their debt, Including at least six in ten of those in households with incomes under $40,000 (60%), Hispanic adults (64%) and those with current debt who were uninsured at the time the debt was incurred (66%).

Not surprisingly, those with greater amounts of debt are more likely to report having to make sacrifices, with three in four of those with debts of $10,000 or more reporting making a difficult sacrifice. A significant share of adults with smaller debts, however, also say they’ve had to make sacrifices (44% of those with debts under $2,500).

Majority Of Those With Health Care Debt Report Making Difficult Sacrifices To Pay It Down

The sacrifices adults with health care debt say they have had to make due to their debt are wide-ranging. When adults with health care debt were asked to describe in their own words the most difficult sacrifices they have made, the most commonly cited sacrifices include cutting back spending on food or eating less (14%), followed by cutting back on discretionary spending on things such as vacations and entertainment (8%), changing their housing or living situation (7%), and increasing work hours (7%). Other sacrifices mentioned include skipping or missing payments on other bills (6%), cutting back spending in general (5%), skipping medical or dental care (5%), taking money out of savings (5%), and delaying or not buying a vehicle or selling their vehicle (5%). Many of the sacrifices cited by adults with health care debt have their own consequences that can further negatively affect their financial and emotional wellbeing. Below, in their own words, are some examples of the difficult sacrifices that adults with health care debt say they have made to pay down their debt.

In Their Own Words: What is the most difficult sacrifice you’ve made to pay down your medical debt?

Had to move into rental place from home and not able to buy a house. Cut in some household or good food for kids.” -35 year old woman with $5,000-$10,000 in medical debt, Texas

“Quality of life. We've never been able to 'get ahead' because we have a 35 year old disabled daughter. We've had medical debt for 35 years varying from 30k down to $500.” -60 year old woman with $2,500-$5,000 in medical debt, Tennessee

“Not paying bills on time, creating larger bills due to late fees. Depleted savings.” -38 year old man with $2,500-$5,000 in medical debt, North Carolina

“Cutting out any expenses/services I can. No job, fixed income and chemo. Even with insurance, no one can afford cancer.” -67 year old woman with more than $25,000 in medical debt, Nebraska

“Limiting birthday/Christmas gifts for children and grandchildren.” -83 year old woman with $1,000-$2,500 in medical debt, New Jersey

“Getting a second job. I'm exhausted and I don't see a way out.” -44 year old woman with $1,000-$2,500 in medical debt, Ohio

“I can't do anything; I literally stay at home. Never taken my kids on vacation. I'm a single mother and all my money supports the household. So, there are not a lot of extras in my house.” -55 year old woman, with $2,500-$5,000 in medical debt, Missouri

“Strain on relationship with [my] father due to asking for help to pay medical expenses; negative impact on mental health issues (e.g., significant increase in anxiety symptoms).” -35 year old woman with $10,000-$25,000 in medical debt, New York

“This was medical debt for my (now deceased) husband -- my credit cards are maxed-out, savings is gone, I will need to relocate to afford rent and pay down bills.” -67 year old woman with $10,000-$25,000 in medical debt, Illinois

Financial And Housing Consequences

Health care debt can have significant financial consequences, including having bills going to collections, lowering credit scores, and for some can contribute to bankruptcy, home foreclosures or evictions. Nearly half of adults with health care debt say they or a member of their household has been contacted by a collection agency in the past five years because of medical or dental bills. In addition, a third of those with health care debt (35%) say it has negatively affected their credit score. Fewer say they have experienced more serious financial consequences in the past five years such as being sued by a provider (6%), declaring personal bankruptcy (3%), or losing their home due to foreclosure or eviction (3%).

Nearly Half Of Adults With Health Care Debt Have Been Contacted By Collection Agencies, About A Third Say Their Credit Score Has Been Hurt
Collections Agencies

Collection agencies are third-party, private companies contracted by lenders and creditors to recover funds that are past due. The Fair Debt Collection Practices Act (FDCPA) federally regulates debt collector’s malpractices to protect consumers from abusive, unfair, or deceptive practices. However, often those with debt can feel harassed and intimidated by collectors.

While half (47%) of adults with debt due to medical or dental bills say that they or someone in their household has been contacted by a collection agency because of these bills in the past five years, these shares are higher among Black adults (66%), those with lower incomes (55% of those with incomes under $40,000), and women (52%).

Majorities Of Women, Black Adults, And Uninsured Adults With Debt From Health Care Bills Say They Have Been Contacted By A Collection Agency
Credit Scores

Credit scores in the U.S. are important in determining financing for large purchases such as vehicles, for buying or renting a home, and for rates on future debts such as credit cards. Having a low credit score can be difficult to recover from and cause adults to go into further debt. Credit scores are determined by a number of factors, such as length of credit, unpaid balances, and missed or late payments. For many adults, it can be difficult to understand what factors are influencing the score. Recently, the three major credit bureaus in the U.S. announced that they would “no longer include medical collection debt under at least $500 on credit reports”, a move they estimate will remove nearly 70% of medical collection debt from credit reports.

The KFF Health Care Debt survey finds that more than a third (35%) of adults with health care debt say this debt has negatively impacted their credit score, yet a similar share (39%) say they are unsure if their debt has impacted their credit score. Credit score decreases are more commonly reported by Black adults with debt, as nearly half (46%) say their credit score has been negatively impacted by the health care debt they carry, compared to a third of White (32%) and Hispanic (33%) adults who say the same. Nearly four in ten (38%) adults with health care debt in households with lower incomes say their credit score has been negatively impacted by their debt, compared to one in four (24%) of those with debt in higher earning households.

About Half Of Black Adults With Health Care Debt Say Their Credit Score Was Negatively Impacted By The Debt; Large Shares Across Race, Ethnicity, Income And Insurance Status Are &quot;Not Sure&quot;

The negative effect of health care debt on credit scores is noted by some adults with debt when asked to describe the sacrifices they’ve made. Some describe how poor credit scores have led to more severe financial consequences such as losing access to vehicles needed for work and to stable housing options.

In Their Own Words: The Effect Of Negative Credit Scores Due To Health Care Debt

“Said goodbye to any positive credit scores, meaning that since all my medical bills went to collections, I’ve lost over 250 points on my credit score and can no longer be even considered for any [loans].” -38 year old man with $1,000-$2,500 in medical debt, Iowa

“My credit score is so low I can't get financing for a vehicle causing me to lose my job due to lack of transportation.” -31 year old woman with $5,000-$10,000 in medical debt, Arkansas

“I became homeless because my debt has hurt my credit score.” -33 year old woman with 1,000-$2,500 in health care debt, California

Consequences For Getting And Receiving Health Care

The consequences of health care debt are not limited to finances. For many, taking on health care debt can affect their ability to get future health care services or continue ongoing treatment. Fifteen percent of adults who currently have health care debt say they have been denied care by a hospital or other medical or dental provider because of their debt. Larger shares of Black adults with health care debt (22%) report this happening to them than their White (14%) or Hispanic (14%) counterparts. One in five (19%) adults with debt in households making less than $40,000 report being turned away from a medical provider, compared to 13% of those with higher household incomes.

One In Seven Adults With Health Care Debt Say They Have Been Denied Care By A Medical Provider Due To Their Debt

KFF polling has found that health care costs are a top concern for U.S. adults, and many—even those without debt—make decisions about whether to seek care based on how much it costs and whether they can afford it. This survey finds that those with health care debt are more likely to report delaying or skipping medical care due to costs, though significant shares of those without medical debt also say they or someone in their household has done these things as well. Adults with health care debt are more than twice as likely as those without debt to say they or someone in their family has put off health care they needed due to costs in the past 12 months (64% vs. 28%). Similarly, six in ten (62%) adults with health care debt, compared to about one-third (35%) of those without, say they have relied on home remedies or over-the-counter drugs in the last year instead of going to see a doctor due to costs. Adults with health care debt are also at least twice as likely as those without to say that in the past 12 months, because of the cost, they have skipped a medical test or treatment recommended by a doctor (51% vs. 21%), not filled a prescription, cut pills in half, or skipped doses of a medicine (39% vs. 12%), purchased or tried to purchase medications from outside the U.S. (14% vs. 7%), or obtained leftover medications that were prescribed to another person (12% vs. 5%).

Overall, about eight in ten (79%) of those with health care debt report taking at least one of these actions in the past 12 months because of the cost, compared to about half (49%) of those without health care debt.

Eight In Ten Adults With Health Care Debt Report Skipping Or Delaying Care Or Medications Due To Cost

When asked to describe the sacrifices they’ve made to pay down debt, many mention their reluctance to seek future medical or dental care for fear of incurring even greater bills.

In Their Own Words: How Health Care Debt Affects Access To Medical And Dental Care

We left the hospital a day after my wife gave birth via caesarean because we couldn't afford to stay.” -37 year old man with $5,000-$10,000 in medical debt, Texas

“Have neglected personal preventive [health care] since I feel like I have no right to step into a hospital since I am unable to pay.” -36 year old woman with $1,000-$2,500 in medical debt, Washington

“The most difficult sacrifice due to medical debt is avoiding dental [care] to avoid incurring any more debt. I have 6 broken teeth that could have been saved at some point if I had dental coverage.” -50 year old woman with less than $500 in health care debt, Minnesota

“I have skipped picking up prescriptions or seeking treatment, so my bill doesn't continue to get higher. The prescriptions are really the problem.” -60 year old woman, $500-$1,000 in health care debt, New Mexico

“I'm currently sacrificing my teeth. Insurance won't cover root canals. Only teeth pulling. And it's still like $500!” -29 year old man, $2,500-$5,000 in health care debt, New York

“There is a permanent anxiety with calling a doctor's office and scheduling a visit because I never know beforehand how much it will cost. Then, out of the blue, I'll get slammed with a bill I can't pay.” -25 year old woman with $500-$1,000 in health care debt, Ohio

A Precarious Position: Vulnerability To Health Care Debt

In addition to the four in ten adults who say they currently owe money due to medical or dental bills, many more may be one large bill away from landing themselves in this position. A KFF analysis has found that even among those with health insurance, many do not have the savings to pay typical health plan deductibles.

Among those with current health care debt, it is not surprising that the large majority say that if they got an unexpected medical bill for $500, they would either have to incur further debt to pay it (45%) or would not be able to pay the bill at all (30%). However, even among those who do not currently have health care debt, about three in ten say they would have to borrow money in order to pay such a bill (20%) or would not be able to pay it at all (10%).

About Half Of Adults Would Not Be Able To Pay An Unexpected $500 Medical Bill In Full

Public’s Views Of Policy Interventions To Address Or Assist Those With Health Care Debt

Given the relatively widespread nature of health care debt and the sizeable share of adults who would have to turn to debt to pay for a $500 unexpected medical bill, policies aimed at limiting costs for patients could potentially help individuals avoid health care debt. Majorities of both those who have and haven’t experienced health care debt say they support the government setting limits on how much patients with health insurance can be asked to pay out of pocket for medical care. While government regulation of health care is generally less popular among Republicans, majorities across partisans support such a proposal (though the share supporting among Democrats is 16 percentage points higher than among Republicans). Notably those who are insured and under age 65 (72%) are more likely to support this policy proposal than those who are uninsured (51%), likely because it would directly impact them.

It is worth noting that while overall support for this policy is high, the question on this survey did not ask individuals to consider any potential trade-offs related to the policy, such as higher health plan premiums or increased financial pressure of health care providers.

Majorities Across Demographics, Party, And Experiences With Health Care Debt Support Government Limits On How Much Patients Pay Out-Of-Pocket

Consumer assistance programs have been established in many states to help individuals resolve issues with insurance providers and disputed medical bills, though no federal funding has been appropriated for these programs since 2010. With two-thirds of adults with health care debt reporting they have not paid a bill because they were expecting their insurance to pay it, it follows that many would welcome assistance in navigating disputes with insurance providers. Indeed, seven in ten adults with health care debt say they think a state consumer assistance program would be helpful to them personally. Black (76%) and Hispanic (80%) adults with debt are particularly likely to think these programs would be helpful to them compared to slightly fewer White adults (66%) who say the same. Moreover, majorities of adults with health care debt across income groups think consumer assistance programs would be helpful to them personally.

Most Adults With Health Care Debt Think State Consumer Assistance Programs Would Be Helpful To Them

Appendix

Appendix

Below are studies and analyses with measures and estimates of medical debt from recent years, including some which utilize a more narrow definition of medical debt.

StudyQuestion Wording / Analysis sourceFindingDates
KFF Health Care Debt SurveyPlease think about any money you currently owe or debt you have due to medical or dental bills. This may include bills for your own medical or dental care or someone else’s care, such as a child, spouse, or parent. Do you currently have:

a. Any medical or dental bills that are past due or that you are unable to pay

b. Any medical or dental bills you are paying off over time directly to a provider

c. Any debt you owe to a bank, collection agency, or other lender that includes debt or loans used to pay medical or dental bills

d. Any medical or dental bills you have put on a credit card, and you are paying off over time

e. Any debt you owe to a family member or friend for money you borrowed to pay medical or dental bills

41% of adults have health care debt due to medical or dental billsFebruary 25 – March 20, 2022
Peterson-KFF: The burden of medical debt in the United StatesAnalysis of the 2020 Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP)

Did ... have any medical bills he/she was unable to pay in full? Include bills for doctors, dentists, hospitals, therapists, medication, equipment, nursing home or home care. Include any bills of the respondent's children that have not already been reported.

23 million people (nearly 1 in 10 adults) owe significant medical debt ($250 of more). The SIPP survey suggests people in the United States owe at least $195 billion in medical debt.January– December, 2019
Consumer Financial Protection BureauAnalysis of consumer credit records$88 billion in medical debt on consumer credit recordsJune 2021
Commonwealth Fund Health Care Coverage and COVID-19 SurveyAdults who reported that over the prior 12 months they or a family member had problems paying medical bills, had been contacted by a collection agency about unpaid bills, had to change their way of life to pay their bills, or were paying off medical bills and debt over time.38% of adults reported problems paying bills, contact by collection, changing way of life or paying medical bills and debt over timeMarch 9 – June 8, 2021
U.S. Census Bureau, Survey of Income and Program Participation, 2020Did ... have any medical bills he/she was unable to pay in full? Include bills for doctors, dentists, hospitals, therapists, medication, equipment, nursing home or home care. Include any bills of the respondent's children that have not already been reported.17% reported medical bills they were unable to pay in fullJanuary-December, 2019
2019 Pew Research Center’s American Trends Panel – Wave 54Do you have any of the following types of loans or debt? Debt from medical bills29% yes, have debt from medical billsSep 16-29, 2019
2018 National Financial Capability StudyDo you currently have any unpaid bills from a health care or medical service provider (e.g., a hospital, a doctor’s office, or a testing lab) that are past due?23% reported past-due medical debtJune-October, 2018

Methodology

This KFF Health Care Debt Survey was designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) in collaboration with KHN journalists and editors. The survey was conducted February 25 through March 20, 2022 online and via telephone, in English and Spanish, among a nationally representative sample of 2,375 U.S. adults. The sample includes 1,674 adults with current or past health care debt and 698 adults who have not had health care debt in the past five years. The majority of respondents (n=2,146) were reached online through the SSRS Opinion Panel. The SSRS Opinion Panel is a nationally representative probability-based web panel recruited randomly in one of two ways: (a) Through invitations mailed to respondents randomly sampled from an Address-Based Sample (ABS). ABS respondents are randomly sampled through the U.S. Postal Service’s Computerized Delivery Sequence (CDS). (b) from a dual-frame random digit dial (RDD) sample, through the SSRS Omnibus survey platform. To ensure representation of respondents less likely to be reached online, 177 interviews were conducted from a random digit dial telephone sample of prepaid cell phone numbers. Both the RDD sample for the SSRS Omnibus and the prepaid cell phone numbers were obtained through Marketing System Groups (MSG).

The survey was designed to reach adults who currently have health care debt or have had health care debt in the last five years. In order to do this, the probability panel sample included an oversample of panel members with annual household incomes less than $30,000, individuals with current or past health care debt (n=641) were included in the sample. In addition, 52 adults with past or current health care debt were reached by calling back respondents that had previously completed an interview on the SSRS Omnibus poll (and other RDD polls) and reported an annual household income of less than $25,000.

The combined online and telephone samples, excluding oversamples, were weighted to match the sample’s demographics to the U.S. population using data from the Census Bureau’s 2021 Current Population Survey (CPS). On the basis of this weighted sample, parameters for the debt and no-debt populations were extracted. Weighting parameters for each group included sex, age, education, race/ethnicity, region, education, and income, as well as patterns of civic engagement from the September 2017 Volunteering and Civic Life Supplement data from the CPS. The sample was also weighted to match population density parameters from the Census Planning Database 2020. The weights take into account differences in the probability of selection for each sample type. This includes adjustment for the sample design and geographic stratification of the cell phone sample, within household probability of selection, and the design of the panel-recruitment procedure.

The margin of sampling error including the design effect for the full sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Numbers of respondents and margins of sampling error for key subgroups are shown in the table below. For results based on other subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher. Sample sizes and margins of sampling error for other subgroups are available by request. Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error and there may be other unmeasured error in this or any other public opinion poll. Kaiser Family Foundation public opinion and survey research is a charter member of the Transparency Initiative of the American Association for Public Opinion Research.

GroupN (unweighted)M.O.S.E.
Total2,375± 3 percentage points
Health Care Debt Status
NET: Current or past health care debt1,674± 3 percentage points
Current health care debt1,292± 3 percentage points
Past health care debt382± 6 percentage points
No health care debt698± 5 percentage points

Endnotes

  1. Since adults with health care debt may carry that debt burden over a number of years, the survey asked adults to recall any health care debt they may have had in the past five years. Recall of health care debt was limited to a five-year time horizon as it may be difficult for people to accurately remember specifics about the type and origin of any debts incurred prior. ↩︎