News Release

Nearly 6 in 10 Older Americans Don’t Know When or Where They Can Get a COVID-19 Vaccine; Black and Hispanic Adults among the Groups Least Likely to Have Enough Information

Two Thirds of the Public Give the Federal Government Low Marks for the Vaccine Rollout Under the Trump Administration; Half Expect the Situation to Get Better Under President Biden

Published: Jan 22, 2021

Despite Optimism about COVID-19 Vaccines in the Future, Half Say They are Frustrated with the Current Situation and Nearly a Quarter are Angry

While older Americans are a high-priority group for getting a COVID-19 vaccine, the latest KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor report finds that, among those who have not yet been vaccinated, most people ages 65 and older say they do not have enough information about when (58%) and where (59%) they will be able to get vaccinated.

Most essential workers, another high-priority group, say they have enough information about where to get a vaccine (55%) but do not have enough information about when they will be able to get vaccinated (55%). This includes some health care workers who have not yet gotten vaccinated and say they don’t have enough information about when they will be able to get vaccinated (21%).

“The Biden administration has been left with a huge challenge on vaccine administration. Most Americans don’t know when or where they can get a vaccine, including older Americans, who are already eligible to get a vaccine in a growing number of states,” KFF President and CEO Drew Altman said. “Understandably large numbers of people are frustrated, angry and confused.”

The findings highlight a key challenge facing public health authorities seeking to get their limited supplies of vaccine into the arms of priority populations. While the priorities differ across states, older Americans and at least some essential workers are high priorities for early phases of distribution across states.

Among the broader public, most who have not yet been vaccinated say they do not have enough information about when people like them will be able to get a vaccine (60%) or about where they can get a vaccine (55%).

Black and Hispanic adults, as well as low-income households, are among the groups least likely to say they have enough information. Within each group, at least two thirds say that they do not have enough information about when they can get vaccinated, and at least 6 in 10 say they don’t have enough information about where to get vaccinated.

Based on the latest Monitor survey fielded during the last days of the Trump administration, the Monitor report finds that about two thirds (65%) of the public rate the federal government’s distribution efforts so far as “fair” or “poor.”

There is a wide gap in how partisans grade the federal government’s performance. Republicans are more than twice as likely as Democrats to say the federal government is doing an “excellent” or “good” job (43% v. 17%), and Democrats are much more likely than Republicans to give negative marks (80% v. 46%). Independents fall in the middle with two-thirds giving the federal government negative marks.

Most Americans also rate their state government’s performance as only fair or poor (60%), though without a partisan divide, as majorities of Democrats, Republicans and independents hold this view.

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About half (48%) of the public expects vaccine distribution to “get better” under President Biden’s administration, while most others expect the situation to “stay about the same” (36%). Relatively few (12%) expect distribution to “get worse.”

Democrats overwhelmingly expect improvements under President Biden (83%), as do a plurality of independents (45%). While few (12%) Republicans expect the situation to “get better” under President Biden, most (57%) expect it to stay about the same.

With millions of health care workers, long-term care residents and staff, and older adults across the country already getting vaccinated against COVID-19, most (66%) of the public say they feel “optimistic” that things will get better.

At the same time, half (50%) say they are “frustrated,” a third (33%) say they feel “confused,” and nearly a quarter (23%) say they are “angry,” highlighting the difficulties ahead as the vaccine rollout continues.

While optimism crosses party lines, more Democrats (61%) than Republicans (42%) or independents (48%) say they are frustrated, reflecting their higher levels of concerns about the pandemic. The groups most likely to express confusion about the current situation includes at least four in ten Black adults (46%), those under age 30 (40%), and those with annual incomes under $40,000 (42%).

Other findings include:

  • Two thirds (65%) of the public, including most Democrats (70%), independents (64%), and Republicans (59%), are confident that vaccines are being distributed in a way that is fair, similar to the December KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor which found 67% of adults were confident the vaccine would be distributed in a fair manner.
  • While most Black adults express confidence that vaccines overall are being distributed fairly, half (52%) say they lack confidence that the needs of Black people are being taken into account. Among Hispanic adults, a significant minority (44%) lacks confidence that the needs of Hispanic people are being taken into account.

Next week, KFF will release new findings on people’s willingness to get a vaccine.

Designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at KFF, the KFF Vaccine Monitor survey was conducted from Jan. 11-18 among a nationally representative random digit dial telephone sample of 1,563 adults, including oversamples of adults who are Black (310) or Hispanic (306). Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish by landline (287) and cell phone (1,276). The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points for the full sample. For results based on subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher.

The KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor is an ongoing research project tracking the public’s attitudes and experiences with COVID-19 vaccinations. Using a combination of surveys and qualitative research, this project tracks the dynamic nature of public opinion as vaccine development and distribution unfold, including vaccine confidence and hesitancy, trusted messengers and messages, as well as the public’s experiences with vaccination.

KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor: January 2021

Published: Jan 22, 2021

Vaccine Distribution

The KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor is an ongoing research project tracking the public’s attitudes and experiences with COVID-19 vaccinations. Using a combination of surveys and qualitative research, this project tracks the dynamic nature of public opinion as vaccine development and distribution unfold, including vaccine confidence and hesitancy, trusted messengers and messages, as well as the public’s experiences with vaccination.

Key Findings

  • With news reports about states lagging in their vaccine distribution efforts and concerns that the supply of available vaccines will not meet demand, the latest KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor poll (conducted January 11-18) finds two-thirds of U.S. adults (65%) say the federal government is doing a “fair” or “poor” job of distributing vaccines to the states. About three in ten adults give the federal government a positive rating of “excellent” or “good”. Likewise, six in ten think their state government is doing a “fair” or “poor” job of distributing the vaccine to people in their state. Notably, while similar shares across partisans give their state government negative marks, nearly half of Democrats (45%) think the federal government is doing a “poor” job while Republicans are more divided in their assessment.
  • About half of the public think that efforts to distribute the vaccine will “get better” under a President Biden Administration, compared to about a third who think efforts will “stay about the same,” and one in ten who say it will “get worse”. Democrats overwhelmingly expect distribution efforts to improve under President Biden (83%) as do a plurality of independents (45%), while most Republicans (57%) say it will remain about the same.
  • Two-thirds of adults say they are confident that the COVID-19 vaccines in the U.S. are being distributed fairly, including most Black adults (58%). However, about half of Black adults say they are “not too” or “not at all” confident that the vaccine distribution efforts are taking into account the needs of Black people (52%).
  • Majorities of the public who have not yet gotten vaccinated (94% of all adults) say they do not have enough information about when people like them will be able to get the vaccine (60%) and about where they will be able to get the vaccine (55%). Notably, about six in ten Black and Hispanic adults say they do not have enough information about where to get the vaccine, compared to about half of White adults who say the same. Among adults 65 and over – a group that has higher priority for the vaccine – about six in ten say they do not have enough information about when (58%) and where (59%) they will be able to get the vaccine.
  • Despite some discontent with government vaccine distribution efforts, two-thirds of the public saying they feel “optimistic” about the current status of vaccinations in the U.S. Though amidst reports of delays in the vaccine rollout in some areas, half also say they feel “frustrated” by the state of the vaccination efforts – including six in ten Democrats (61%), nearly half of independents (48%), and four in ten Republicans (42%). Notably, a third of adults say they feel “confused” by the state of vaccinations in country, which is similar to share who say they feel “satisfied,” indicating there is room for improvement in the first weeks of the Biden Administration.

Most Give Negative Assessment of Federal, State Government Vaccine Distribution Efforts

With news that some states and localities are lagging behind in their distribution efforts and reports that demand for COVID-19 vaccines is outstripping supply, about two-thirds of adults say the federal government is doing a “fair” (33%) or “poor” (31%) job of distributing the COVID-19 vaccines to the states. Just under three in ten give the federal government a positive rating of either “good” (21%) or “excellent” (8%).

State governments also get a negative rating from the public with a majority saying their state government is doing just a “fair” job (36%) or a “poor” job (25%) of distributing vaccines to people in their state while a third say they are doing a “good” (25%) or “excellent” (7%) job.

Figure 1: Majorities Say Federal Government And State Governments Are Doing Fair Or Poor Job Of Distributing COVID-19 Vaccines

Notably, Democrats and Republicans give their state governments similar ratings with about six in ten saying they are doing a “fair” or “poor” job distributing the vaccine to people in their state. However, with the survey fielded in the last days of the Trump Administration, partisan opinions are more split when rating the federal government. Eight in ten Democrats say the federal government is doing a “fair” or “poor” job of distributing the COVID-19 vaccines to the states, whereas Republicans are more divided in their rating of the federal government (43% say “excellent” or “good”, and 46% “fair” or “poor”).

Figure 2: More Than Four In Ten Democrats Say Federal Government Is Doing Poor Job Of Distributing Vaccines To The States

About half of adults (48%) think efforts to distribute the vaccine in the U.S. will “get better” under the new President Biden Administration. About a third (36%) say they think vaccine distribution efforts will “stay about the same” while 12% say it will stay “get worse.” An overwhelming majority of Democrats (83%) think vaccine distribution efforts will “get better” under the Biden Administration while a majority of Republicans (57%) think distribution efforts will remain “about the same.” About four in ten independents (45%) expect distribution efforts to improve under President Joe Biden while 38% think it will “stay about the same.”

Figure 3: About Half Say Vaccine Distribution In The U.S. Will Get Better Under Biden Administration, Including Vast Majority Of Democrats

Despite some discontent with the vaccine distribution efforts of the federal government and state governments, most adults (65%) – including majorities across Democrats (70%), independents (64%), and Republicans (59%) – are confident that vaccines are being distributed in a way that is fair. About a third of the public say they are “not too confident” (20%) or “not at all confident” (12%) that the COVID-19 vaccines are being distributed fairly. In the December KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor, fielded before COVID-19 vaccinations began in the U.S., a similar share of adults (67%) expressed confidence that the vaccine would be distributed in a fair manner.

Figure 4: Majorities Across Partisans Are Confident COVID-19 Vaccines Are Being Distributed Fairly In The U.S.

Nonetheless, while the public overall expresses confidence that the vaccines are being distributed fairly, concerns remain about whether the needs of people of color are being taken into account in the vaccine distribution process. While most Black adults (58%) are at least “somewhat confident” that the vaccine is being distributed fairly in the U.S., just 9% are “very confident” that is the case. Indeed, about half of Black adults (52%) say they are “not too” or “not at all” confident that the distribution of a COVID-19 vaccine is taking the needs of Black people into account. While most about half of Hispanic adults (53%) express some confidence that the needs of Hispanic people are being taken into account in the distribution of the vaccine, a large share (44%) say they are “not too confident” or “not at all confident.”

In KFF’s December 2020 COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor, half of Black adults (49%) and six in ten Hispanic adults (60%) said they were confident that the development of the vaccine was taking into account the needs of Black and Hispanic people respectively.

Figure 5: Less Than Half Of Black Adults Are Confident COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution Is Taking Into Account The Needs Of Black People

Majorities Say They Do Not Have Enough Information About Where And When To Get Vaccine

Among those who have not yet gotten the COVID-19 vaccine (94% of all adults), six in ten say they do not have enough information about when people like them will be able to get the vaccine. Information on where to get a vaccine is also needed as a majority (55%) of those who are not yet vaccinated say they do not have enough information about where they will get a vaccine. Despite some states having slightly different vaccine priority criteria, most adults (55%) say they have enough information about how their state is deciding who gets priority for the COVID-19 vaccine, with four in ten (43%) saying they do not have enough information.

Figure 6: Majorities Say They Don’t Have Enough Information About When And Where To Get A COVID-19 Vaccine

Adults 65 and older are among the groups many states are prioritizing for vaccine distribution. However, among those older adults who have not yet been vaccinated, about six in ten say they do not have information about when people like them will be able to get the COVID-19 vaccine (58%) and about where they will be able to get it (59%). Notably, a majority of essential workers who have not yet gotten the vaccine say they have enough information about where to get the vaccine (55%), but most say they do not have enough information about when people like them will be able to get vaccinated (55%). This includes health care workers (one-fifth of essential workers work in a health care delivery setting) who have not yet gotten vaccinated and say they don’t have enough information about when they will be able to get vaccinated (21%). A similar share (18%) of health care workers haven’t gotten vaccinated and say they don’t have enough information about where to get vaccinated.

About six in ten Black (62%) and Hispanic (63%) adults say they do not have enough information about where to get a COVID-19 vaccine, compared to about half of White adults who say they do not enough information (51%). Six in ten lower income adults with a household income under $40,000 (61%) say they do not have enough information about where they will be able to get a vaccine, compared to about half of those with a household income of $90,000 or more (49%). Similarly, lower income adults are also less likely than their higher income counterparts to say do not have enough information about when people like them will be able to get the vaccine (66% vs. 54%).

Figure 7: Limited Information About When, Where To Get The Vaccine Is Particularly An Issue For Black, Hispanic, And Lower Income Adults

Public Is Optimistic About COVID-19 Vaccination Efforts, Though Some Concerns Remain

With millions of health care workers, long term care workers and residents, and older adults throughout the country getting vaccinated against COVID-19, two-thirds of the public (66%) say they feel “optimistic” about the current status of vaccinations in the U.S. Nonetheless, perhaps reflecting the negative ratings given to the federal and state government vaccine distribution efforts, half of the public (50%) say they feel “frustrated” with the current status of COVID-19 vaccinations in the country. Additionally, one-third of adults say they feel “confused” about the status of vaccinations, including about four in ten Black adults (46%), young adults ages 18 to 29 (40%), and those with a household income under $40,000 (42%). A third of the public say they feel “satisfied” about current status of vaccinations in the U.S. while about one in four say they feel angry (23%).

Figure 8: Two-Thirds Say They Feel Optimistic About U.S. COVID-19 Vaccinations, Half Are Frustrated
Table 1: Views of Current Status of Vaccine Distribution in U.S. by Age, Race/Ethnicity
Percent who say each of the following describes how they feel about current status of COVID-19 vaccination in the U.S.:AgeRace/Ethnicity
18-2930-4950-6465+BlackHispanicWhite
Optimistic   64%   66%   63%   70%   65%   70%   65%
Frustrated48465553554252
Confused40303233463831
Satisfied32272941314330
Angry25202623222423

Optimism about vaccinations crosses party lines with about two-thirds of Democrats, independents, and Republicans saying they feel optimistic about the current status of vaccinations in the country. However, despite the shared optimism, about six in ten Democrats (61%) also say they are frustrated, compared to less than half of Republicans (42%) and independents (48%) who say the same.

Figure 9: Majorities Across Partisanship Say They Feel Optimistic, Six In Ten Democrats Say They Feel Frustrated

Vaccine Hesitancy

These additional findings were released January 27, 2021.

The KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor is an ongoing research project tracking the public’s attitudes and experiences with COVID-19 vaccinations. Using a combination of surveys and qualitative research, this project tracks the dynamic nature of public opinion as vaccine development and distribution unfold, including vaccine confidence and hesitancy, trusted messengers and messages, as well as the public’s experiences with vaccination.

Key Findings

  • As millions of Americans get their first and second doses of a COVID-19 vaccine, the latest KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor reports that a growing share of the public is open to getting vaccinated, but many of the same groups that were hesitant in December remain hesitant now. The share of U.S. adults who want to get the vaccine as soon as possible has increased since December among Black, Hispanic, and White adults alike, and the share who say they want to “wait and see” how it works for other people has declined. Similarly, vaccine enthusiasm has shifted among those living in urban, suburban, and rural communities, but rural residents continue to be among the most resistant to getting vaccinated.
  • Partisanship continues to be a factor in attitudes towards COVID-19 vaccination. While vaccine enthusiasm increased for both Democrats and independents, it has not shifted among Republicans, who remain the most resistant, with 33% saying they will definitely not get the vaccine or will get it only if required to do so for work, school or other activities.
  • Racial and economic equity remains at the forefront of the COVID-19 vaccine conversation. Black and Hispanic adults and those with lower incomes are less likely than their White and higher-income counterparts to say they have personally received at least one dose of the vaccine or that they know someone who has. Black and Hispanic adults are also among those most likely to say they want to “wait and see” how the vaccine is working for other people before getting vaccinated themselves.
  • Knowing someone who has been vaccinated for COVID-19 is correlated with vaccine hesitancy and enthusiasm. Among those who say they want the vaccine “as soon as possible,” about half (52%) know someone who has been vaccinated, while among those who say they’ll get it “only if required,” a much smaller share (29%) know someone who has received the vaccine.
  • Those who have not yet been vaccinated for COVID-19 have many concerns and information needs related to the new vaccines, particularly when it comes to side effects and the effectiveness of the vaccine. About half say they don’t have enough information about the vaccine’s side effects or effectiveness, with higher shares of younger, Black, and Hispanic adults citing these information needs.
  • When examining messages and information that might increase the public’s willingness to get vaccinated, the messages the public finds the most convincing emphasize the vaccine’s effectiveness at preventing illness, protection for those who are vaccinated, and the ability to return to normal life. On the other hand, hearing that some people experience short-term side effects from the vaccine or that a small number of people have experienced serious allergic reactions has the potential to decrease willingness to get vaccinated for a substantial share of people.
  • Reinforcing previous findings about trusted sources of information, the survey finds that doctors, nurses, and other health care providers are the sources that people say they’re most likely to turn to when making their own decisions about whether to get vaccinated. Still, these conversations have not started yet for many, with only about a quarter (26%) saying they have asked a health care professional for information about the vaccine so far.

COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy and Enthusiasm

With millions of Americans having received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine, the latest KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor (fielded just before President Biden took office) reports that enthusiasm for getting vaccinated has increased markedly since December. Four in ten U.S. adults (41%) now say that when an FDA-approved vaccine for COVID-19 is available to them for free, they will get the vaccine “as soon they can,” up from 34% in December. An additional 6% say they have already received at least one dose of the vaccine1 , bringing the total in this “as soon as possible” group to nearly half the public (47%). About three in ten (31%) say they want to “wait until it has been available for a while to see how it is working for other people” before getting the COVID-19 vaccine themselves, down from 39% in December. One in five adults are more reluctant to get vaccinated, including 7% who say they will get the vaccine only “if they are required to do so for work, school, or other activities” and 13% who say they will “definitely not” get the vaccine.

Figure 1: Compared To December, Larger Share Now Want COVID-19 Vaccine “As Soon As Possible,” Fewer Want To “Wait And See”

The share of U.S. adults who want to get the vaccine as soon as possible has increased since December among Black, Hispanic, and White adults alike, and the share who say they want to “wait and see” how it works for other people has declined among Black and White adults. However, Black adults (43%) and Hispanic adults (37%) remain significantly more likely than White adults (26%) to say they want to “wait and see,” while White adults (53%) are more likely to say they have already been vaccinated or want the vaccine “as soon as possible” compared Black or Hispanic adults (35% and 42%, respectively).

Figure 2: Vaccine Enthusiasm Increased Across Racial/Ethnic Groups, But Black And Hispanic Adults Remain More Wary Than White Adults

Similarly, there has been a shift in COVID-19 vaccine enthusiasm across different types of communities, including in urban, suburban, and rural areas. Among rural residents, 42% now say they have either already been vaccinated or want the vaccine “as soon as possible” and 27% want to “wait and see” how it’s working, essentially reversed from December when 29% said “as soon as possible” and 38% said “wait and see.” Still, rural residents remain much more likely than those living in urban areas to say they will “definitely not” take the vaccine (21% vs. 8%).

Figure 3: COVID-19 Vaccine Enthusiasm Has Shifted Across Community Types, But Rural Residents Remain More Resistant

Politically, the shift in COVID-19 vaccine enthusiasm between December and January was driven almost entirely by Democrats (and to a lesser extent, independents). Nearly two-thirds of Democrats (64%) now say they have either already been vaccinated or want the vaccine as soon as possible, up from 47% in December, and the share of independents who fall into this group increased from 30% to 45%. Republicans remain the least enthusiastic group, with 32% saying they have already been vaccinated or want the vaccine as soon as they can, 33% saying they want to wait and see how it works for others, and 25% saying they will definitely not get the vaccine, similar to the December results.

Figure 4: Increase In Vaccine Enthusiasm Driven Entirely By Democrats And Independents; Republicans Remain Reluctant

Which Groups Are Most Enthusiastic/Hesitant/Resistant?

Who is most enthusiastic to get vaccinated against the novel coronavirus? Adults ages 65 and over (66%) and Democrats (64%) are among those most likely to say that they have already gotten the vaccine or that they will get it “as soon as they can.” Those who work in a health care delivery setting (58%), White adults (53%) and those who live in households where someone has a serious health condition (51%) are also more likely than their counterparts to say they have been vaccinated already or want the vaccine “as soon as possible.”

Figure 5: Older Adults, Democrats Most Enthusiastic To Get Vaccinated

Who is most likely to say they want to wait to see how vaccination goes for other people before getting vaccinated themselves? Young adults ages 18-29 (43%), Black adults (43%), Hispanic adults (37%), and those living in urban areas (37%) are the most likely to say they want to “wait and see” how the COVID-19 vaccine is working for other people before getting vaccinated themselves.

Figure 6: Young Adults, Black Adults Most Likely To Want To “Wait And See”

One in five U.S. adults overall say they will either “definitely not” get vaccinated or that they’ll get vaccinated “only if required” for work, school, or other activities. One-third (33%) of Republicans fall into one of these most reluctant categories, as do about three in ten rural residents (29%) and a similar share of essential workers in fields other than health care (28%).

Figure 7: Republicans And Rural Residents Most Reluctant To Get Vaccine

Health Care Workers and Other Essential Workers

One priority group for early COVID-19 vaccination is essential workers – those who are required to work outside their home during the pandemic – including those who work in health care delivery settings. Twelve percent of all essential workers, including 32% of health care workers and 5% of non-health essential workers, say they have received at least one dose of the vaccine. Still, substantial hesitation remains even among these priority groups. Three in ten non-health essential workers (31%), and a similar share of health care workers (28%) say they want to wait and see how the vaccine is working for other people before getting it themselves. Among essential workers in fields other than health care, 12% say they’ll get the vaccine only if required, and 16% say they will definitely not get it, though these shares are somewhat smaller among health care workers (5% and 9%, respectively).

Figure 8: Many Essential Workers, Including Some Health Care Workers, Remain Hesitant Or Reluctant To Get COVID-19 Vaccine

Personal Experiences With Vaccination

At the time the survey was fielded, access to the COVID-19 vaccine in most states was limited to health care workers and long-term care workers, and some states had begun to open up access to other groups including older adults, other front-line workers, and those with certain health conditions. While just 6% of U.S. adults say they have personally received at least one dose of the COVID-19 vaccine, an additional 41% say they know someone who has been vaccinated. However, this proximity to vaccination is unevenly distributed across demographic groups. White adults (51%) are more likely than their Black and Hispanic counterparts (38% and 37%, respectively) to say they’ve either been vaccinated or know someone who has. Further, those with household incomes of $90,000 or more are almost twice as likely as those with incomes under $40,000 to say that they or someone they know has been vaccinated (65% vs. 33%). These patterns are consistent with a recent KFF analysis that found that the shares of vaccinations among Black and Hispanic people were lower compared to their shares of the total population in most states where data were reported by race and ethnicity.

Figure 9: Almost Half Of Adults Have Been Vaccinated Or Know Someone Who Has, A Group That Is Disproportionately White, High-Income

Knowing someone who has been vaccinated for COVID-19 is also correlated with vaccine hesitancy and enthusiasm among those who have not yet been vaccinated themselves. Among those who say they want the vaccine “as soon as possible,” about half (52%) know someone who has been vaccinated, while among those who say they’ll get it “only if required,” a much smaller share (29%) know someone who has received the vaccine.

Figure 10: Knowing Someone Who Has Been Vaccinated For COVID-19 Is Correlated With Vaccine Enthusiasm

Concerns and Information Needs

Concerns About COVID-19 Vaccines

Understanding the concerns or reservations that people have about vaccines can be helpful for crafting effective messages to convince people to get vaccinated. Asked about a variety of things they might be concerned about, the most common concern among U.S. adults who have not yet been vaccinated is that “the long-term effects of the COVID-19 vaccines are unknown” (68% say they are “very” or “somewhat” concerned about this). Majorities are also concerned that they might experience serious side effects from the vaccine (59%), that the vaccines are not as safe as they are said to be (55%), or that they are not as effective as they are said to be (53%). Fewer (31%) say they concerned that they might get COVID-19 from the vaccine.

Figure 11: Many Express Concern About COVID-19 Vaccine’s Long-Term Effects, Side Effects, Safety, and Effectiveness

Concerns about safety and side effects are highest among those who want to wait and see how the vaccine is working for others as well as those who are more reluctant to get vaccinated. Among the “wait and see” group that is closely watching how things go for others during the initial vaccine rollout, nine in ten (89%) are concerned about the long-term effects of the vaccine, eight in ten are concerned they may experience serious side effects, three-quarters are concerned the vaccines are not as safe as they are said to be, and two-thirds (68%) are concerned they might not be as effective as claimed.

Still, concerns about the vaccine are not completely absent for those who are eager to get vaccinated, or even those who have already received at least one dose of the vaccine. Notably, about half of those who have already received at least one dose (49%) and a similar share of those who say they want the vaccine as soon as possible (48%) say they are at least somewhat concerned that the long-term effects of the COVID-19 vaccines are unknown.

Figure 12: Concerns About COVID-19 Vaccine Vary By Vaccine Enthusiasm

Echoing previous findings that different groups have different reasons for being hesitant to get vaccinated, the January KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor reports that different groups express different levels of concern about side effects, safety, and effectiveness as well. For example, among those who have not yet been vaccinated, about half of Black (54%) and Hispanic adults (50%) say they are concerned they might get COVID-19 from the vaccine, compared to a much smaller share of White adults (20%). Black and Hispanic adults are also more likely than White adults to express nearly every concern measured in the survey, with large shares of Black adults saying they are concerned that the long-term effects of the vaccine are unknown (86%), that they might experience serious side effects (75%), and that the vaccines may not be as safe (75%) or effective (71%) as they are said to be. Those with lower incomes and those who have not graduated from college are also more likely to express each of these concerns compared to their higher-income and more educated counterparts, and larger shares of women than men are concerned about each of these things.

Table 1: Concerns About A COVID-19 Vaccine Among Those Who Have Not Yet Been Vaccinated By Income, Race/Ethnicity, Education And Gender
Percent who say they are very or somewhat concerned about each of the following:TotalHousehold incomeRace/EthnicityEducationGender
>$40K$40K- >$90K$90K+BlackHisp.WhiteLess than CollegeCollege+MenWomen
The long-term effects of the COVID-19 vaccines are unknown68%77%72%55%86%74%63%73%58%63%74%
They might experience serious side effects from the COVID-19 vaccine5969624475685264475167
The COVID-19 vaccines are not as safe as they are said to be5566593775614960424764
The COVID-19 vaccines are not as effective as they are said to be5368513671664659404760
They might get COVID-19 from the vaccine3145271554502036182339
NOTE: Based on those who say they have not yet been vaccinated (94% of adults).

Information and Misinformation

Echoing the public’s concerns about side effects and effectiveness, nearly six in ten (57%) of those who have not been vaccinated against COVID-19 say they don’t have enough information about the potential side effects of the vaccine, and about half (49%) say they don’t know enough about the vaccine’s effectiveness. Notably, these information needs are substantially higher among those who say they are waiting to see how the vaccine works for others and those who say they will get vaccinated only if required. Just over three-quarters in both these groups say they don’t have enough information about the vaccine’s side effects, and about seven in ten say they don’t know enough about its effectiveness.

Figure 13: Large Shares Say They Don’t Have Enough Information About COVID-19 Vaccine Side Effects, Effectiveness

Information needs about COVID-19 vaccine side effects and effectiveness are higher among younger adults and those who are Black or Hispanic. Among Black and Hispanic adults who have not been vaccinated, about two-thirds say they don’t have enough information about the side effects of the vaccine and about six in ten say the same about the vaccine’s effectiveness. Among those under age 50, roughly six in ten say they don’t know enough about side effects and more than half need more information about effectiveness.

Figure 14: Majorities Of Younger, Black, Hispanic Adults Say They Don’t Have Enough Information About Vaccine Side Effects Or Effectiveness

Information needs also vary by education and income. Among adults with a high school education or less, 63% say they don’t know enough about the COVID-19 vaccine side effects and 57% say they lack information about its effectiveness. Similarly, among those with household incomes under $40,000, two-thirds say they don’t have enough information about side effects and six in ten (61%) don’t know enough about effectiveness.

Figure 15: Lower-Income Adults And Those Without College Degrees More Likely To Say They Don’t Have Enough Information About Vaccine

The Vaccine Monitor also reports that some of those who have not yet been vaccinated have heard misinformation about the COVID-19 vaccines and either believe it to be true or are unsure whether it is true or false. Most commonly, 8% of those who haven’t been vaccinated believe the vaccines currently being distributed contain the live virus that causes COVID-19, and an additional 11% say they’ve heard this and are unsure if it’s true. Small shares also believe or are unsure whether the COVID-19 vaccines have been shown to cause infertility (13%) or whether getting vaccinated requires paying an out-of-pocket cost (12%). Overall, one-third (34%) of those who have not been vaccinated believe or are unsure about at least one of these things.

Figure 16: One-Third Of The Unvaccinated Believe Or Are Unsure About Some Common COVID-19 Vaccine Myths

Notably, the share who believe or are unsure about at least one of these vaccine “myths” (that the vaccine contains the live coronavirus, that it causes infertility, or that an out-of-pocket cost is required to get vaccinated) is higher among those who want to “wait and see” how the vaccine works for other people (41%) and those who say they will “definitely not” get vaccinated (53%). These shares also vary by education level; 37% of those without a college degree believe or are unsure about at least one of these things, compared with 28% of college graduates.

Figure 17: Those In “Wait And See” And “Definitely Not” Groups Are More Likely To Believe Or Be Unsure About COVID-19 Vaccine Myths

On the other hand, about half (47%) of those who have not been vaccinated know that people will still need to wear face masks after getting vaccinated to help limit the spread of coronavirus, though this level of awareness is somewhat lower among the groups that are move hesitant to get vaccinated (36% in both the “wait and see” and “only if required” groups and 35% in the “definitely not” group).

Figure 18: About Half Are Aware That Face Masks Are Still Required After Vaccination, Fewer Among More Vaccine-Hesitant Groups

How Messages And Information Affect Willingness To Get Vaccinated For COVID-19

Messages and Information That Might Convince People To Get Vaccinated

The latest COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor tested different messages and information that might make people more likely to get vaccinated for COVID-19, and found that the messages the public finds the most convincing emphasize the vaccine’s effectiveness, protection from illness, and the ability to return to normal life. Among those who have not yet been vaccinated, majorities say they would be more likely to get a vaccine if they heard it was “highly effective” in preventing illness from COVID-19 (57%), that getting vaccinated offers protection from getting sick (56%), and that the vaccine offers “the quickest way for life to return to normal” (54%). Over four in ten say they would be more likely to get vaccinated if they heard that “millions of people have already safely been vaccinated” (46%) and that vaccination is needed to “get the U.S. economy back on track” (45%). Somewhat fewer said that knowing the vaccine is free (36%) or hearing that a doctor or health care provider they trust (38%) or a close friend or family member (32%) got vaccinated would make them more likely to get vaccinated themselves.

Figure 19: Most Convincing Messages Emphasize Vaccine Effectiveness, Protection From Illness, And Return To Normal Life

Among the important “wait and see” group that is the best target for converting from vaccine hesitant to vaccine enthusiastic, the most convincing messages are similar to those for the public overall. Two-thirds (67%) of this group says hearing that the vaccine will help protect them from getting sick would make them more likely to get vaccinated, and 64% say the same thing about hearing that the vaccines are highly effective. The same share (64%) say they would be more likely to get vaccinated after hearing that vaccination offers the quickest return to normal live. Few in the “definitely not” group say they’d be convinced by any of the messages tested, reflecting the daunting challenge of addressing reluctance to get vaccinated among this group.

Table 2: Responses To Pro-Vaccine Messages And Information By COVID-19 Vaccine Enthusiasm
Percent who say that hearing each of the following would make them more likely to get vaccinated:TotalGet it as soon as you canWait and seeGet it only if requiredDefinitely will not get
The vaccines have been shown to be highly effective in preventing illness from COVID-1957%64%66%54%18%
The vaccine will help protect you from getting sick from COVID-195667624114
The quickest way for life to return to normal is for most people to get vaccinated5464624812
Millions of people have already safely been vaccinated for COVID-19465551438
We need people to get vaccinated to get the U.S. economy back on track4555484711
A doctor or health care provider you trust has gotten the vaccine384938347
There is no cost to get the vaccine364638323
A close friend or family member got vaccinated for COVID-19323937293
NOTE: Asked among those who say they have not yet been vaccinated (94% of adults).

Whether people find pro-vaccine messages and information convincing also varies by demographic group and by partisan identification. For example, larger shares of Black and Hispanic adults compared to White adults say they would be more likely to get vaccinated after hearing most messages tested in the survey. In particular, Hispanic adults are much more likely than White adults to report increased likelihood of getting vaccinated after hearing that there is no cost to get vaccinated (54% vs. 32%) or that a friend or family member (53% vs. 26%) or a health care provider they trust (51% vs. 34%) got the vaccine. Young adults ages 18-29 are also more likely than their older counterparts to say they’d be more likely to get vaccinated after hearing there is no cost (48%) or that a close friend or family member got vaccinated (41%).

Republicans are less likely than Democrats and independents to say that each message tested would make them more likely to get vaccinated. Despite many polls showing Republicans are concerned about reviving the U.S. economy, 30% of Republicans say they would be more likely to get vaccinated after hearing that getting people vaccinated will help get the economy back on track, compared to 57% of Democrats and 47% of independents.

Table 3: Responses To Pro-Vaccine Messages And Information By Race/Ethnicity, Age, Party Identification
Percent who say that hearing each of the following would make them more likely to get vaccinated:TotalAgeRace/EthnicityParty ID
18-29 30-49 50-64 65+BlackHisp. WhiteDem. Ind. Rep.
The vaccines have been shown to be highly effective in preventing illness from COVID-1957%67%57%49%55%58%69%53%67%59%43%
The vaccine will help protect you from getting sick from COVID-195662564957617150675742
The quickest way for life to return to normal is for most people to get vaccinated5462524660616949675537
Millions of people have already safely been vaccinated for COVID-194655464142506539574829
We need people to get vaccinated to get the U.S. economy back on track4550434149516340574730
A doctor or health care provider you trust has gotten the vaccine3844413136435134484024
There is no cost to get the vaccine3648363228335432443921
A close friend or family member got vaccinated for COVID-193241342926355326423320
NOTE: Asked among those who say they have not yet been vaccinated (94% of adults).

Messages and Information That Might Deter People From Getting Vaccinated

Just as messaging can help convince people to get vaccinated, the public may also hear things that would make them less eager to get a COVID-19 vaccine. In the Monitor we report on a few of these messages and find that hearing about rare allergic reactions and short-term side effects may increase vaccine hesitancy for some. Overall, 39% of those who have not yet been vaccinated say that hearing that “a small number of people have experienced a serious allergic reaction” to the vaccine would make them less likely to get vaccinated, and 33% say the same after hearing that some-people experience “short-term side effects like pain or fever.” Fewer say they would be deterred after hearing that masks and social distancing will still be required after getting vaccinated (20% say this would make them less likely) or that two vaccine doses are required (18%).

Figure 20: Some Say Hearing About Rare Allergic Reactions And Short-Term Side Effects Would Make Them Less Likely To Get Vaccinated

Of particular concern, six in ten of those who want to “wait and see” how the vaccine is working say hearing about rare allergic reactions would make them “less likely” to get vaccinated, and half of this group says the same about hearing of short-term side effects.

Figure 21: “Wait And See” Group Particularly Affected By Hearing About Side Effects, Rare Allergic Reactions

About half of Black and Hispanic adults also say that hearing about short-term side effects and rare allergic reactions to the COVID-19 vaccine would make them less likely to get vaccinated. While one in five adults overall (18%) say that learning they would need to receive two doses of the vaccine several weeks apart would make them less likely to get vaccinated, about a quarter of Hispanic adults (28%), Black adults (26%), and those with household incomes under $40,000 (26%) say this is the case.

Table 4: Response To Negative Vaccine Messages And Information By Race/Ethnicity And Income
Percent who say that hearing each of the following would make them less likely to get vaccinated:TotalRace/EthnicityHousehold Income
BlackHispanicWhite>$40K$40K- >$90K$90K+
A small number of people have experienced a serious allergic reaction to the COVID-19 vaccine39%49%50%32%48%38%27%
Some people were experiencing short-term side effects like pain or fever from the COVID-19 vaccine33464623433217
You will need to continue to wear a mask and practice social distancing even after getting vaccinated20262716271915
You had to receive two doses of the vaccine several weeks apart1826281226177
NOTE: Asked among those who say they have not yet been vaccinated (94% of adults).

Who Will The Public Turn To When Making Decisions About Whether To Get Vaccinated?

Echoing previous findings about trusted sources of information on COVID-19 vaccination, the latest survey finds that 79% of U.S. adults who have not yet been vaccinated say they would be likely to turn to a doctor, nurse, or other health care provider when deciding whether to get a vaccination, including almost half (46%) who say they would be “very likely.” About six in ten say they’d be likely to turn to other sources such as the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) (60%), family or friends (58%), their state or local health department (57%), or a pharmacist (54%). Few say they’d turn to a religious leader such as a priest, rabbi, or minister (17%).

Despite the fact that health care providers are the source people say they are most likely to turn to for vaccine information, relatively few (24%) of those who have not yet been vaccinated say they have already asked a doctor or other health care professional for information about the vaccine, a share that rises to 32% among those who say they want to get vaccinated “as soon as possible.”

Figure 22: 8 in 10 Say They’ll Turn To Doctors, Nurses, And Other Health Providers When Deciding Whether To Get COVID-19 Vaccination

Health care providers are the top source that Americans say they’ll turn to for help with vaccine decision-making across demographic groups. However, there are some differences in how different groups plan to use other sources in making this decision. For example, larger shares of Black and Hispanic adults, as well as young adults ages 18-29, say they’re likely to turn to the CDC or their state and local health department, reflecting partisan differences in how these sources of information are viewed. Further, a larger share of Black adults (33%) and Hispanic adults (29%) say they will turn to a religious leader for help with this decision compared to White adults (11%), suggesting a potential pathway for information delivery that could be productive with some communities of color.

Table 5: Likely Sources of COVID-19 Vaccine Information By Age. Race/Ethnicity And Party Identification
Percent who say that, when deciding whether to get a COVID-19 vaccine, they are very or somewhat likely to turn to each of the following for information:TotalAgeRace/EthnicityParty ID
18-2930-4950-6465+BlackHisp.WhiteDem.Ind.Rep.
A doctor, nurse, or other health care provider79%82%80%77%79%84%81%77%85%80%72%
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)6078645146716955746439
Family or friends5862565758616356645754
Their state or local public health department5768575055717351735937
A pharmacist5456555155655752635448
A religious leader such as minister, pastor, priest, or rabbi1712171822332911171716
NOTE: Asked among those who say they have not yet been vaccinated (94% of adults).

Recent Sources Of Information

These additional findings were released February 3, 2021.

The KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor is an ongoing research project tracking the public’s attitudes and experiences with COVID-19 vaccinations. Using a combination of surveys and qualitative research, this project tracks the dynamic nature of public opinion as vaccine development and distribution unfold, including vaccine confidence and hesitancy, trusted messengers and messages, as well as the public’s experiences with vaccination.

Key Findings

  • Adults with differing levels of enthusiasm towards getting the COVID-19 vaccine also report different media sources of information. Among those who say they want to get the COVID-19 vaccine as soon as they can, about half say they have gotten at least a fair amount of information about the vaccine from cable news (51%) and network television news (48%) in the past two weeks compared to about a third of adults who say they definitely will not get the vaccine (37% and 32% respectively) or who want to “wait and see” (37% and 36% respectively).
  • Adults who are hesitant about the COVID-19 vaccine and say they want to “wait and see” before getting it or who say they definitely will not get it are more likely to say they have gotten information about the vaccine from social media (37% and 40% respectively) than those who are more enthusiastic about getting the vaccine (25%). This likely reflects the higher levels of enthusiasm for the vaccine among older adults – who are more likely to say they have gotten information from cable news – and reflects vaccine hesitancy among younger adults, who are more likely to say they have gotten information from social media.
  • The public is also turning to more personal sources of information, as nearly four in ten adults say they have gotten vaccine information from family and friends. Notably, those who say they want the vaccine as soon as possible are more likely than those most resistant to the vaccine to say family and friends have been an information source.
  • Adults who say they want to get the vaccine “as soon as they can” are most likely to say they have gotten information about the vaccine from CNN (41%) and MSNBC (31%) while those who say they will definitely not get the vaccine are most likely to say they have gotten information from Fox News (33%). This split reflects both the fractured media environment and the partisan differences in enthusiasm for getting the COVID-19 vaccine.
  • Facebook is a key social media source of information with at least one in five adults across levels of vaccine enthusiasm and hesitancy saying they got information about the vaccine from Facebook, including more than a third of those who say they definitely will not get the vaccine.

Recent Sources Of COVID-19 Vaccine Information

The KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor, conducted January 11-18, 2021, reports that majorities of the public say they do not have enough information about when they can get a COVID-19 vaccine and where to get their vaccine once it is time. As public health officials are tasked with making sure accurate and timely COVID-19 vaccination information is reaching the public, television news, social media, and family and friends are likely to be key mediums. Currently, many adults report getting information about the COVID-19 vaccine from television, including about four in ten who say that in the past two weeks they have gotten at least a fair amount of information about the vaccine from cable news (43%), network news (41%), and local TV news (40%). This includes a majority of adults 65 and older (54%) who say they have gotten at least a fair amount of information about the COVID-19 vaccine from cable news in the past two weeks. Notably, about two-thirds of Black adults – a group that is more likely to report they do not have enough information about where and when to get a COVID-19 vaccine – say they have gotten at least a fair amount of information about the vaccine from cable news (65%) and network news (68%) in the past two weeks.

Three in ten adults (31%) say they have gotten at least a fair amount of information about the vaccine from social media in the past two weeks while about one in five have gotten information from national newspapers (23%), radio (20%), and local newspapers (19%). Large shares of adults 18 to 29 (42%), Hispanic adults (40%), and Black adults (39%) report getting at least a fair amount of information about the vaccine from social media.

When it comes to more personal and direct sources of information, four in ten adults (40%) say they have gotten at least at a fair amount of information about the vaccine from family and friends. Though nearly eight in ten adults say they will turn to doctors, nurses and other health care providers when deciding whether to get vaccinated for COVID-19, currently most of the public is not getting recent information about the vaccine from these medical professionals as just three in ten (31%) report getting information from a doctor, nurse or other health care provider in the past two weeks. One in five adults (20%) say they have gotten information about the vaccine from an employer while fewer have gotten vaccine information from a health insurance provider (15%) or from a place of worship (9%). Though notably, Black (19%) and Hispanic adults (14%) are more likely than their White counterparts (7%) to say they have gotten a lot or a fair amount of vaccine information from a place of worship in the past two weeks.

Figure 1: TV News Tops Media Sources For COVID-19 Vaccine Information, Friends And Family Top Personal Sources Of Information
Table 1: Sources Of Information By Age, Race/Ethnicity, And Community Type
AgeRace/EthnicityCommunity type
Percent who say they got a lot or a fair amount of information about the COVID-19 vaccine from each of the following in the past two weeks:18-2930-4950-6465+BlackHispanicWhiteUrbanSuburbanRural
Media sources:
Cable news34% 40% 45% 54%65%44%40%42%44%42%
Network TV news34384052684736414041
Local TV news28374353595435424036
Social media42372816394027343028
National newspapers31271620282821252416
Radio18202219292717222113
Local newspapers18171427242017201815
Personal sources:
Friends and family41% 38% 40% 41%48%44%37%41%  39%  37%
A doctor, nurse, or other health care provider35313029383030323130
An employer2723208202418222013
A health insurance provider12121525282013151614
A place of worship581113191479814

Adults with differing levels of enthusiasm towards getting the COVID-19 vaccine report different media sources of information. Among the 41% of adults who say they want to get the COVID-19 vaccine as soon as they can, about half say they have gotten “a lot” or a “fair amount” of information about the vaccine from cable news (51%) and network television news (48%) in the past two weeks. Smaller shares of those who say they definitely will not get the vaccine and those who say they want to “wait and see” before getting the vaccine say they have gotten at least a fair amount of information about it from cable news or network news. Indeed, those who say they want to “wait and see” or who say they definitely will not get the vaccine are somewhat more likely to say they have gotten information about the vaccine from social media (37% and 40% respectively) than those who are more enthusiastic about getting the vaccine (25%).

Table 2: Media Sources Of Information By COVID-19 Vaccine Enthusiasm
Percent who say they got a lot or a fair amount of information about the COVID-19 vaccine from each of the following in the past two weeks:Get it as soon as you canWait and seeGet it only if requiredDefinitely will not get vaccinated
Cable news51% 37% 44% 37%
Network TV news48363432
Local TV news42414028
Social media25372640
National newspapers31161520
Radio22173114
Local newspapers22151715
NOTE: Among those who have not gotten the COVID-19 vaccine

One-third (33%) of the public believe or are unsure about at least one vaccine myth including that the vaccines currently being distributed contain the live virus that causes COVID-19, that it causes infertility, or that getting vaccinated requires paying an out-of-pocket cost. Despite concerns that vaccine misinformation may be spreading, particularly through social media, the KFF COVID-19 Vaccine monitor finds that overall, similar shares of both those who believe or are unsure about at least one of the these myths and those who do not believe this misinformation say they have gotten information from television news and social media.

Figure 2: Sources Of Information Are Similar For Both Those Who Believe Vaccine Misinformation And Those Who Do Not

While sizeable shares of adults across levels of vaccine enthusiasm say they have gotten information about the vaccine from friends and family in the past two weeks, those who say they want the vaccine as soon as possible are more likely than those most resistant to the vaccine to say family and friends have been an information source (44% vs. 34%). On the other hand, the most vaccine resistant group is at least twice as likely as those most enthusiastic for the vaccine to say they have gotten at least a fair amount of information from a place of worship (15% vs. 6%).

Table 3: Personal Sources Of Information By COVID-19 Vaccine Enthusiasm
Percent who say they got a lot or a fair amount of information about the COVID-19 vaccine from each of the following in the past two weeks:Get it as soon as you canWait and seeGet it only if requiredDefinitely will not get vaccinated
Friends and family44% 40% 28%34%
A doctor, nurse, or other health care provider32252131
An employer17182314
A health insurance provider16131316
A place of worship610715
NOTE: Among those who have not gotten the COVID-19 vaccine

Specific Cable News Information Sources

Reflecting the fractured media environment and the partisanship that has characterized the U.S. COVID-19 response, people with different levels of vaccine enthusiasm report different sources of COVID-19 vaccine information when it comes to cable news. Those who say they want to get the vaccine as soon as possible are most likely to say they have gotten information about the vaccine from CNN (41%) and MSNBC (31%), while those who say they will definitely not get the vaccine are most likely to say they have gotten information from Fox News (33%). Notably, those who say they definitely will not get the vaccine are about twice as likely to say they have gotten information from Newsmax (13%) than those who want to get the vaccine as soon as possible (5%) or who want to “wait and see” (6%). Among adults who say they want to “wait and see” before getting the vaccine or who say they will only get the vaccine if required, one in four say they have gotten information from CNN and Fox News.

Figure 3: Specific Cable News Source Varies By Vaccine Enthusiasm And Hesitancy

When thinking about what is said in the news, adults who say they think the seriousness of COVID-19 is generally underestimated or generally accurate are most likely to say they have gotten information about the vaccine from CNN (43% and 36% respectively). On the other hand, those who say the seriousness of COVID-19 is exaggerated are most likely to say Fox News was their cable news source for information about the vaccine (29%). Similarly, those who say the seriousness of COVID-19 is exaggerated are three times as likely as those who say the seriousness of the virus has been presented accurately or has been underestimated to say they have gotten information from Newsmax. Given that people self-select their news sources, these data do not necessarily prove a causal relationship; it may be that those who believe the seriousness of COVID-19 is exaggerated are more likely to select specific news sources, rather than the news sources being the origin of the belief that the seriousness of COVID-19 is exaggerated.

Figure 4: Specific Cable News Source Varies By Perception Of Seriousness Of COVID-19

Specific Social Media Information Sources

Facebook is a key social media source of information with at least one in five adults across levels of vaccine enthusiasm and hesitancy saying they got information about the vaccine from Facebook in the past two weeks. It emerges as a particularly important media source for those most reluctant to get the vaccine with 36% of those who say they will definitely not get the vaccine saying they have gotten information from Facebook.

Figure 5: At Least One in Five Got Information About The Vaccine From Facebook, Including More Than A Third Of Those Most Reluctant

Irrespective of whether people think the seriousness of COVID-19 has been exaggerated, accurately presented, or underestimated, Facebook maintains a dominant position as a social media source of information.

Figure 6: Facebook Is The Top Social Media Information Source Across Perceptions Of The Seriousness Of COVID-19

Methodology

This KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor was designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF). The survey was conducted January 11- 18, 2021, among a nationally representative random digit dial telephone sample of 1,563 adults ages 18 and older (including interviews from 306 Hispanic adults and 310 non-Hispanic Black adults), living in the United States, including Alaska and Hawaii (note: persons without a telephone could not be included in the random selection process). Phone numbers used for this study were randomly generated from cell phone and landline sampling frames, with an overlapping frame design, and disproportionate stratification aimed at reaching Hispanic and non-Hispanic Black respondents. Stratification was based on incidence of the race/ethnicity subgroups within each frame. Specifically, the cell phone frame was stratified as: (1) High Hispanic: Cell phone numbers associated with rate centers from counties where at least 35% of the population is Hispanic; (2) High Black: Cell phone numbers associated with remaining rate centers from counties where at least 35% of the population is non-Hispanic Black; (3) Else: numbers from all remaining rate centers. The landline frame was stratified as: (1) High Black: landline exchanges associated with Census block groups where at least 35% of the population is Black; (2) Else: all remaining landline exchanges. The sample also included 246 respondents reached by calling back respondents that had previously completed an interview on the KFF Health Tracking Poll at least nine months ago. Another 197 interviews were completed with respondents who had previously completed an interview on the SSRS Omnibus poll (and other RDD polls) and identified as Hispanic (n = 75; including 24 in Spanish) or non-Hispanic Black (n=122). Computer-assisted telephone interviews conducted by landline (287) and cell phone (1,276, including 931 who had no landline telephone) were carried out in English and Spanish by SSRS of Glen Mills, PA. To efficiently obtain a sample of lower-income and non-White respondents, the sample also included an oversample of prepaid (pay-as-you-go) telephone numbers (25% of the cell phone sample consisted of prepaid numbers) Both the random digit dial landline and cell phone samples were provided by Marketing Systems Group (MSG). For the landline sample, respondents were selected by asking for the youngest adult male or female currently at home based on a random rotation. If no one of that gender was available, interviewers asked to speak with the youngest adult of the opposite gender. For the cell phone sample, interviews were conducted with the adult who answered the phone. KFF paid for all costs associated with the survey.

The combined landline and cell phone sample was weighted to balance the sample demographics to match estimates for the national population using data from the Census Bureau’s 2019 U.S. American Community Survey (ACS), on sex, age, education, race, Hispanic origin, and region, within race-groups, along with data from the 2010 Census on population density. The sample was also weighted to match current patterns of telephone use using data from the January- June 2019 National Health Interview Survey. The weight takes into account the fact that respondents with both a landline and cell phone have a higher probability of selection in the combined sample and also adjusts for the household size for the landline sample, and design modifications, namely, the oversampling of prepaid cell phones and likelihood of non-response for the re-contacted sample. All statistical tests of significance account for the effect of weighting.

The margin of sampling error including the design effect for the full sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Numbers of respondents and margins of sampling error for key subgroups are shown in the table below. For results based on other subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher. Sample sizes and margins of sampling error for other subgroups are available by request. Note that sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll. Kaiser Family Foundation public opinion and survey research is a charter member of the Transparency Initiative of the American Association for Public Opinion Research.

GroupN (unweighted)M.O.S.E.
Total1,563± 3 percentage points
Total who have not gotten a COVID-19 vaccine1,454± 3 percentage points
Race/Ethnicity
White, non-Hispanic823± 4 percentage points
Black, non-Hispanic310± 7 percentage points
Hispanic306± 7 percentage points
Party Identification
Democratic555± 5 percentage points
Republican301± 7 percentage points
Independent484± 5 percentage points
Vaccine Uptake
Already got vaccinated/Will get vaccine as soon as they can798± 4 percentage points
Wait and see464± 6 percentage points
Only if required/Definitely not getting vaccine282± 7 percentage points

Cross-tabs

Appendix

These additional findings were released February 3, 2021.

Appendix Table 1: Cable News Information Sources By Age, Race/Ethnicity, And Community Type
Percent who say they got information about the COVID-19 vaccine from each of the following:TotalAgeRace/EthnicityCommunity type
18-2930-4950-6465+BlackHispanicWhiteUrbanSuburbanRural
CNN31% 33% 31% 29% 32%  58%  34%  26%  34%  32%  22%
Fox News2418202536282723212626
MSNBC2218182429411920222417
One America News11891314121510101015
Newsmax73798778489
Appendix Table 2: Social Media Information Sources By Age, Race/Ethnicity, And Community Type
Percent who say they got information about the COVID-19 vaccine from each of the following:TotalAgeRace/EthnicityCommunity type
18-2930-4950-6465+BlackHispanicWhiteUrbanSuburbanRural
Facebook26% 26%36%23%14%29%32%5%25%27%27%
YouTube122215931622912156
Twitter920105291171195
Instagram8191032161641273

Endnotes

  1. Estimates of the number of people vaccinated from this or any survey may vary from government statistics due to survey timing or margin of sampling error. ↩︎

Early State Vaccination Data Raise Warning Flags for Racial Equity

Authors: Nambi Ndugga, Olivia Pham, Latoya Hill, Samantha Artiga, and Salem Mengistu
Published: Jan 21, 2021

The latest data on COVID-19 vaccinations by race/ethnicity is available here.

Federal data show that, as of January 19, 2021, over 12 million COVID-19 vaccines had been administered across the country. As vaccine distribution continues, ensuring racial equity will be important for mitigating the disproportionate impacts of COVID-19 on people of color, preventing widening health disparities, and achieving broad population immunity. Some states have centered equity as a key principle in their vaccine distribution plans. Across states, data to understand access to and uptake of the vaccine by race/ethnicity and other demographic factors will be central to efforts to ensure equity. These data are necessary to move past “color blind” policies that reinforce systematic racism and inform decisionmakers on how to develop culturally responsive interventions and direct resources to ensure equitable distribution and uptake of the vaccine. KFF is compiling and will regularly update state-reported data on vaccination by race/ethnicity through its COVID-19 state data and policy tracker.

As of January 19, 2021, 17 states were publicly reporting COVID-19 vaccination data by race/ethnicity. All but one of these states report the distribution of vaccinations by race/ethnicity, while North Dakota reports vaccination rates by racial/ethnic group. States vary in whether they report total doses administered, total first doses administered, and/or total people vaccinated by race/ethnicity.

To date, vaccination patterns by race and ethnicity appear to be at odds with who the virus has affected the most. Based on vaccinations with known race/ethnicity, the share of vaccinations among Black people is smaller than their share of cases in all 16 reporting states and smaller than their share of deaths in 15 states. For example, in Mississippi, Black people account for 15% of vaccinations, compared to 38% of cases and 42% of deaths, and, in Delaware, 8% of vaccinations have been received by Black people, while they make up nearly a quarter of cases (24%) and deaths (23%). Similarly, Hispanic people account for a smaller share of vaccinations compared to their share of cases and deaths in most states reporting data. For example, in Nebraska, 4% of vaccinations are among Hispanic people, while they make up 23% of cases and 13% of deaths. There are fewer and smaller gaps between the share of vaccinations and cases among Asian people, and data on their share of deaths remain limited. Gaps remain in data available for American Indian and Alaska Native as well as Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander people. Reflecting these trends, the share of vaccinations among White people is larger than their share of cases in 13 of the 16 reporting states and larger than their share of deaths in 9 states. For example, in Maryland, White people account for nearly two-thirds of vaccinations (65%), but 39% of cases and 50% of deaths. Similarly, in North Carolina, 82% of vaccinations have been among White people, while they make up 62% of cases and 65% of deaths.

Data also show that the shares of vaccinations among Black and Hispanic people are lower compared to their shares of the total population in most reporting states. In contrast, the share of vaccinations among White people is higher than their share of the total population in most states. While this will be an important metric to track over time, it is still early in the process to interpret these data since the vaccines are not yet broadly available to the public.

Together the data raise some early warning flags about potential racial disparities in access to and uptake of the vaccine, but it is difficult to draw strong conclusions given that the vaccines are not yet broadly available and due to data limitations. As noted, the vaccines still are not yet broadly available to the public as the early priority groups for vaccination have primarily been health care workers and long-term care residents and staff. Different patterns may emerge as the vaccines roll out more broadly. In addition, there remain gaps and inconsistencies in the data. In some states, race/ethnicity is unknown for a significant share of vaccinations, and the share unknown may not be distributed equally across racial/ethnic groups. For example, in three states (Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Tennessee), race/ethnicity is unknown for over half of vaccinations. In addition, as noted above, states vary in what vaccination data they are reporting, with some reporting doses administered and others reporting people vaccinated. States also vary in their racial/ethnic classifications, limiting the comparability of data across states. For example, some include Hispanic people in their racial categories, while others limit racial groups to non-Hispanic people. Additionally, some states report Asian and Pacific Islander people in a combined group, while others disaggregate data for Asian and Native Hawaiian and other Pacific Islander people.

Comprehensive standardized data across states will be vital to monitor and ensure equitable access to and take up of the vaccine. Given the dearth of COVID-19 data by race/ethnicity at the outset of the pandemic, it is encouraging that some states are reporting vaccinations by race/ethnicity during this early stage of the vaccine rollout. However, most states are not yet reporting these data, and the data that are reported are incomplete and inconsistent, limiting their usefulness. In a recent KFF briefing, President Biden’s COVID-19 Equity Task Force Chair, Dr. Marcella Nunez-Smith, emphasized the importance of accurate, high-quality data for addressing disparities noting, “we cannot address what we cannot see.” The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has outlined COVID-19 vaccine data reporting and sharing requirements that include the collection of race/ethnicity data. However, since “unknown” or “unable to report due to policy or law” are response options, data completeness will hinge on collection efforts, which may vary across states and providers given potential burdens and challenges associated with collecting it.

KFF will keep a close eye on vaccination data going forward and continue to report additional state and national data as they become available.

The COVID-19 Vaccine Priority Line Continues to Change as States Make Further Updates

Published: Jan 21, 2021

See updated state data table.

The COVID-19 vaccine rollout has stumbled in much of the country, with uneven experience across states and many doses going unused. Meanwhile, with the death toll rising and concern increasing about new variants of the virus, there is new urgency to get more people vaccinated.

Drew Altman wrote recently in The Washington Post, a “much simpler plan” based on age could improve distribution. President Biden has said he would encourage states to vaccinate those ages 65 and older. And, on January 12, 2021, as one of the last COVID-19 actions of the Trump administration, the Department of Health and Human Services issued new guidance to states recommending they open vaccine availability to all people ages 65 and older and to those under 65 with high-risk medical conditions. This latest recommendation differed from CDC Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommendations issued in December 2020, that called for targeting limited vaccine doses to health care workers and long-term care facility residents in phase 1a and people over age 75 and frontline essential workers in phase 1b. Most states had initially followed the ACIP guidelines.

We assessed how states are changing vaccination plans by comparing prioritization groups on January 19 to those that were in place on January 11. Many states have, in fact, moved to redefine their priority populations or open vaccine availability to people 65 and older; a smaller number moved those under age 65 with high risk medical conditions up in line:

  • As of January 19th, 28 states include people ages 65 and older in their phase 1a or 1b priority groups, up from 16 on January 11th. The 12 states that moved those 65+ up in line were Idaho, Maine, Mississippi, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Washington.
  • A total of 19 states include younger adults with high-risk medical conditions in phase 1a or 1b, including 6 states (Maine, Mississippi, Nebraska, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Virginia) that have revised their plans since January 11th.
  • States continue to operate on different timelines, depending on how large their priority groups are, their capacity to vaccinate, and vaccine supply. Of the 28 states that include those 65+ in phase 1a or 1b, only 15 states are currently registering them for the vaccine (and in several of these states, there are long waits to get a vaccine appointment). In the 19 states that include high-risk younger adults, only 10 have opened eligibility to this group.
  • In some cases, who is eligible or who can make an appointment to get vaccinated varies within states by county and even by health system within counties.
  • While states did not make other broad changes to their phase 1a and 1b priority groups, by moving others into the same group or, in some cases, ahead of existing groups through further sub-prioritization, the timeline to receive a vaccine for many—particularly frontline workers—will likely be extended.

Even as some states broaden and simplify the priority groups eligible for COVID-19 vaccination based on new federal guidance, they face the challenge of communicating these changes to an anxious public. And, while expanding who is eligible to receive the vaccine may help to accelerate the pace in some cases, the limited supply of vaccine means many who are now eligible will continue to wait in line for an extended period of time.

Table

Table 1: State COVID-19 Vaccine Prioritization and Phase of Vaccine Distribution, as of January 19, 2021

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Key Characteristics of Health Care Workers and Implications for COVID-19 Vaccination

Authors: Samantha Artiga, Matthew Rae, Gary Claxton, and Rachel Garfield
Published: Jan 21, 2021

Data Note

Introduction

Across states, health and long-term care workers and residents have been the first groups offered COVID-19 vaccines, consistent with federal recommendations. Previous KFF analysis estimated that, nationwide, 19.7 million adults work in health and long-term care settings, of which roughly 15.5 million are estimated to have direct patient contact and be included in the initial priority group for vaccination. Media reports suggest that the initial vaccination efforts have been slower than expected and that some health care workers who have been offered the vaccine have chosen not to get vaccinated, particularly among staff in long-term care facilities. More information is needed to understand why some health care workers are declining the vaccine, although there are anecdotal reports of concerns about safety and/or side effects. KFF survey data show that roughly three in ten health care workers (29%) express hesitancy about getting the COVID-19 vaccine and that, among all adults, levels of vaccine hesitancy and reasons for hesitancy vary across demographic groups.

This analysis provides an overview of demographic characteristics and health insurance coverage of health care workers with direct patient contact, including those working in hospital and long-term care settings, who may be most at risk of patient contact with someone with coronavirus due to the concentration of cases in these facilities. Increased understanding of who these health care workers are can help inform vaccination efforts and prevent disparities in vaccination among this group.

Findings

Table 1 presents data on race/ethnicity, citizenship status, sex, age, education, poverty status and health insurance coverage for the 15.5 million health and long-term care workers who are estimated to have direct patient contact. It also includes separate data for those working in hospitals and long-term care facilities, who account for 37% and 25% of health care workers with direct patient contact, respectively.

Overall, the data show that, although most of these health care workers are White (59%) and citizens (95%), 41% are people of color and 5% are noncitizens. The majority are women (77%), and nearly one in four (23%) are age 55 or older. Most have completed at least some college (80%), and, reflecting that they are all employed, few are low-income (17%) and nearly all have health insurance coverage (93%). Hospital workers largely mirror these overall patterns, although they have higher levels of education, income, and health coverage. Workers in long-term care settings include higher shares of people of color (52%), non-citizens (8%), women (84%), and workers age 55 or above (27%) and have lower levels of educational attainment, lower incomes, and higher uninsured rates compared to the overall population of health care workers with direct patient contact. More detailed findings include:

Race/ethnicity. Roughly six in ten health care workers with direct patient contact are White (59%), while the remaining 41% are people of color, including 17% who are Black, 14% who are Hispanic, and 8% who are Asian (Figure 1). Among those working in long-term care settings, over half (52%) are people of color, including over one in four (28%) who are Black.1 

Citizenship Status. The large majority of health care workers with direct patient contact are citizens (95%), while 5% are noncitizens (Figure 1). However, the share who are noncitizens is higher, at 8%, among those working in long-term care settings.

Sex. Over three-quarters (77%) of health care workers with direct patient contact are women, and this share rises to 84% among those working in long-term care settings.

Age. Nearly a quarter (23%) of health care workers with direct patient contact are age 55 or older, while four in ten (41%) are age 35-54 and over one-third (35%) are below age 35. Those working in long-term care settings include a slightly higher share of workers age 55 or above (27%), while those working in hospital settings have a slightly lower share of workers age 55 and older (21%).

Education. Eight in ten of health care workers with direct patient contact have completed at least some college, including 45% who have a bachelor’s degree of higher (Figure 1). Education levels are higher among hospital workers, with nearly nine in ten (88%) completing at least some college, including over half (54%) who have a bachelor’s degree or higher. In contrast, among those working in long-term care, six in ten have completed some college, with only 20% having a bachelor’s degree or higher and 10% having less than a high school education.

Poverty Status. Overall, 17% of health care workers with direct patient contact are low-income (household income less than 200% of the federal poverty level (FPL)), with only 5% with household income below the poverty level (Figure 1). Over half (54%) have income at 400% FPL or higher. Those working in hospitals generally have higher incomes, with nearly two-thirds (64%) having household income at 400% FPL or higher. Household income is lower among those working in long-term care, where one-third (33%) are low-income, including 11% who have household income below poverty.

Health Insurance Coverage. Less than one in ten (7%) health care workers with direct patient contact are uninsured (Figure 1). Nearly eight in ten (79%) have private health insurance coverage, 10% are covered by Medicaid, and 4% have Medicare coverage. Coverage rates are higher among those working in hospitals, with only 3% uninsured and 90% having private coverage. In contrast, coverage rates among those working in long-term care are lower, with 14% uninsured. Moreover, they have higher rates of Medicaid coverage (21%) and lower rates of private insurance (60%).

Table 1: Demographic Characteristics of Adult Health Care Workers with Direct Patient Contact, 2019
TotalWorking in HospitalsWorking in Long-Term Care
Total (millions)15.55.83.8
Race/Ethnicity
     White58.6%61.0%48.0%
     Black16.6%14.9%27.9%
     Hispanic13.8%11.9%15.1%
     Asian8.0%9.4%5.9%
     American Indian or Alaska Native0.5%0.4%0.6%
     Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander0.2%0.2%0.2%
     Multiple Races2.2%2.2%2.4%
Citizenship Status
     Citizen94.8%95.7%91.7%
     Noncitizen5.2%4.3%8.3%
Sex
     Male22.6%23.6%15.7%
     Female77.4%76.4%84.3%
Age
     19-2511.1%9.8%12.5%
     26-3423.9%26.3%18.8%
     35-5441.8%42.5%40.8%
     55-6416.9%17.1%19.2%
     65+5.9%4.1%7.7%
Education
     Less than high school3.9%2.1%9.8%
     High school graduate16.0%9.8%29.7%
     Some college35.6%33.7%40.0%
     Bachelor’s or higher44.6%54.4%20.5%
Federal Poverty Level (FPL)
     <100% FPL5.4%2.8%11.5%
     100-199% FPL12.0%7.5%21.5%
     200%-399% FPL28.7%25.6%34.9%
     400%+ FPL54.0%64.0%32.2%
Health Coverage
     Uninsured7.2%3.1%13.6%
     Private78.5%89.6%59.6%
     Medicaid/Other Public10.2%5.2%20.9%
     Medicare4.0%2.0%5.8%
Notes: Totals may not sum to 100% due to rounding. Persons of Hispanic origin may be of any race but are categorized as Hispanic; other groups are non-Hispanic. Medicaid/Other Public includes those covered by Medicaid, Medical Assistance, Children’s Health Insurance Plan (CHIP) or any kind of government-assistance plan for those with low incomes or a disability; people who have both Medicaid and another type of coverage, such as dual eligibles who are also covered by Medicare; and people covered under the military or Veterans Administration. Private includes those covered through a current or former employer or union, either as policyholder or as dependent and those covered by a policy purchased directly from an insurance company, either as policyholder or as dependentSource: KFF Analysis based on 2019 American Community Survey

Discussion

Increased understanding of who health care workers with direct patient contact are can help inform vaccination efforts and prevent disparities in vaccination among this group. In sum, these findings show that the roughly 15.5 million health care workers with direct patient contact are a racially diverse workforce. They are predominantly female, with most between ages 35-54. Most have completed at least some college and, reflecting their employment, few are low-income, and the large majority have health insurance. However, those working in long-term care settings are more likely to be Black and have lower levels of education, income, and insurance coverage, which may have implications for access to the COVID-19 vaccine and willingness to get vaccinated.

KFF survey data show, as of December 2020, roughly one in three adult health care workers (29%) said they probably or definitely would not get vaccinated, similar to the share among adults overall (27%). Data also show that levels of vaccine hesitancy vary across demographic groups. For example, adults age 30-49 and Black adults have relatively high levels of hesitancy, while adults ages 65 and older report greater willingness to get the vaccine. Hesitancy varies among health care workers in similar ways. For example, an earlier KFF/The Undefeated survey found that, among adults who are health care workers or who live in a household with a healthcare worker, Black adults were much less likely to say they would definitely get vaccinated compared to White adults (24% vs. 46%). Moreover, different groups have different reasons for vaccine hesitancy. For example, among adults overall who say they probably or definitely won’t get vaccinated, Black adults are more likely than White adults to cite concerns about side effects and the newness of the vaccine, and about half of Black adults in this group cite worries they may get COVID-19 from the vaccine or that they don’t trust vaccines in general as major reasons.

People living in immigrant families and people who are uninsured may also have specific concerns which could make them less likely to seek vaccination. For example, people living in immigrant families may have concerns about potential negative effects on their or a family member’s immigration status. People who are uninsured are less likely to have an established relationship with a health care provider and generally have greater concerns about potential costs of health care.

Addressing concerns and potential access barriers to vaccination among health care workers will be particularly important since, as one of the first groups offered the vaccination and a top trusted messenger for information on the COVID-19 vaccine, their experiences and take-up may help inform the general public’s attitudes and willingness to get the vaccine. Together these data suggest that providing information to respond to concerns about potential side effects and safety of the vaccine is key, particularly among Black health care workers. Clearly communicating that personal information collected for vaccination cannot be used for immigration-related purposes may help reduce fears among noncitizen workers. Moreover, ensuring people know that they will not face any costs associated with the vaccine may reduce concerns among people who are uninsured. Beyond providing education and information, making the vaccine easily accessible is key. While many health care workers are able to access the vaccine directly through their employment site, ensuring it is available in ways that accommodate workers’ varied schedules, caregiving responsibilities, and transportation options can help reduce potential access barriers among those who need to obtain it through pharmacies or community sites.

Methods

The estimates of health care workers are based on KFF analysis of the 2019 American Community Survey (ACS), 1-year file. The ACS includes a 1% sample of the US population. The health care industry is defined as industry codes 5070 and 7970 through 8290 and does not include the childcare or vocational training industries. We include retail pharmacies (industry code 5070) as a healthcare industry. We identified people working specifically within hospital settings using industry code 8191 and 8192, which includes psychiatric and substance abuse hospitals, and people working specifically within long-term care settings using industry codes 8270 (skilled nursing facilities), 8290 (residential care facilities), and 8170 (home health care services). For more information see here. This analysis only includes those individuals who work in health care settings, so does not include health professionals working in other care settings, such as school nurses, and does not include individuals who provide other services to clients, such as social services. We exclude individuals in these industries who are not currently in the labor force. For information on how the healthcare workforce has changed during the course of the pandemic see here.

We identified health care workers who likely have direct patient contact by reviewing the occupation codes of workers in healthcare industries. We included workers providing direct clinical care, such as doctors, nurses, and aides; workers providing direct patient support, such as environmental and food staff; and first line supervisors and managers of these occupations. We excluded administrative and managerial staff who are likely able to work remotely and/or not expected to have direct patient contact through their job duties. It is possible that estimate includes some workers who normally have direct patient contact but who can work remotely, for example, through the use of telehealth.

Endnotes

  1. This share differs slightly from that published in previous KFF analysis due to the inclusion of people earning less than $1,000 per year and slightly different definitions of direct contact workers. ↩︎

Long-Term Care Facilities Battled Rising COVID-19 Cases In Weeks Leading Up to Roll Out of Vaccines to Residents and Staff

Authors: Priya Chidambaram, Daniel McDermott, Chelsea Rice, and Hanna Dingel
Published: Jan 20, 2021

In recent months, the US has experienced record-breaking numbers of coronavirus cases and deaths. A new KFF analysis finds long-term care facility (LTCF) cases and deaths were highest in the final two months of 2020 in many states, mirroring the spike in total COVID-19 case numbers and deaths this winter. A separate KFF analysis of 30 studies published since the start of the pandemic finds increased community-level cases are associated with increased cases in long-term care facilities (LTCFs). The findings underscore the urgency to vaccinate residents and staff at LTCFs, who are included in phase 1a vaccination rollout that began in mid-December.

Approximately three-quarters of reporting states with trend-able data (28 of 38) experienced their highest average weekly number of new coronavirus cases in long-term care facilities in November or December 2020. Over half of reporting states (21 of 39 states) experienced their highest average weekly new COVID-19 deaths in long-term care facilities in the last two months of 2020, mostly in December. These trends align with the timing of when many states experienced their highest state-wide new cases and deaths. Early data from 2021 indicates that states are on track to surpass the record-high new cases and deaths from late 2020, indicating the true peak in long-term care cases and deaths has yet to come in some states.

Rising case numbers in LTCFs are particularly concerning, as these facilities bear a disproportionate burden of COVID-19 deaths. In recognition of their high-risk status, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has recommended states include LTCF residents and staff in the highest priority group for vaccine distribution, a recommendation all states have followed. However, initial reports indicate slower-than-anticipated rollout, with some reports of high levels of vaccine hesitancy among LTCF staff members. Staff vaccine hesitancy was also a recurring theme in a recent KFF briefing, where experts discussed the LTCF vaccination effort and agreed that there were challenges to overcome. These delays will likely mean additional deaths due to COVID-19 in LTCFs.

Source

Patterns in COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in Long-Term Care Facilities in 2020

The Language of Health Care Reform

Author: Larry Levitt
Published: Jan 19, 2021

Published in the Jan. 19 edition of JAMA, this article from KFF Executive Vice President for Health Policy Larry Levitt lays out the major health policy challenges that will confront President-elect Biden and potential approaches to major reform.While a big reform debate may not be likely this year, one is likely coming as the nation will need to confront much higher costs than in other high-income countries, worse outcomes in many cases, tens of millions of people still uninsured, and many more with burdensome out-of-pocket costs.The broader reform plan likely will draw on President-elect Biden’s campaign plan to create a public health insurance option, administered by Medicare, that anyone could join with premiums capped as a percentage of income. In the short term, though, the new administration may pursue administration actions, including many that would undo what President-elect Biden has called “sabotage” of the Affordable Care Act.

This Week in Coronavirus: January 8 to January 14

Published: Jan 15, 2021

During the 51st week since the first coronavirus case appeared in the United States, the U.S. surpassed 23.3 million total cases and 388,700 deaths due to the pandemic. Here’s our recap of the past week in the coronavirus pandemic from our tracking, policy analysis, polling, and journalism.

With the country’s coronavirus pandemic continuing unabated as cases and deaths increase and a more contagious variant of the virus spreads, there is greater focus on vaccine distribution troubles. KFF President and CEO Drew Altman’s op-ed in The Washington Post calls for a simplified process to fit our “fragmented, multi-layered health system.”

A new analysis examines the different approaches states are taking to manage the limited initial supply of COVID-19 vaccines and balance the desire to vaccinate those at greatest risk first with the need to ensure a fast and effective statewide vaccination effort.

One of the high-priority groups for vaccination are residents and staff of long-term care facilities (LTCFs). The latest data, published this week in a new analysis of the patterns of infections and deaths in LTCFs since the start of the pandemic, outlines that most states saw their highest numbers of LTCF cases and deaths due to COVID-19 in the last two months of 2020. KHN reports that only a quarter of the COVID-19 vaccine doses allocated to Walgreens and CVS through the federal program to vaccinate residents and staff of these facilities has been distributed so far.

Watch a recording of the discussion KFF Medicare and Medicaid policy analysts had this week with long-term care stakeholders, who shared their perspectives on the pandemic response and the ensuing vaccine rollout. In a KFF literature review of more than 30 studies done to analyze these trends so far, cases and deaths were associated with LTCFs that included a relatively large share of Black or Hispanic residents, for-profit status, a large number of beds, and/or an urban location.

The pandemic has disproportionately impacted people of color. In addition to Black and American Indian and Alaska Native people, Hispanic people are overrepresented in coronavirus cases, more likely to suffer worse outcomes, and hit harder by the economic impact of the pandemic than their peers. The latest analysis from the KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor examined Hispanic vaccine hesitancy this week and found that 71% of Hispanic adults said they will “definitely get” the COVID-19 vaccine, with some generational variation. For the non-citizen immigrant population — which represents approximately 13 million members of the U.S. workforce and significant shares of workers categorized as “essential” — our analysis outlines the potential barriers to vaccine rollout.

Drew Altman highlighted another sector of the population that presents a challenge for vaccination efforts: rural America. More than a third of rural Americans say they either will not or probably won’t get the COVID-19 vaccine – a level of overall hesitancy similar to that of Black Americans.

Here are the latest coronavirus stats from KFF’s tracking resources:

Global Cases and Deaths: Total cases worldwide reached 88 million this week – with an increase of nearly 5 million new confirmed cases in the past seven days. There were approximately 95,200 new confirmed deaths worldwide, bringing the total for confirmed deaths to nearly 2 million.

U.S. Cases and Deaths: Total confirmed cases in the U.S. reached 23.4 million this week. There was an increase of nearly 1.7 million confirmed cases between Jan. 7 and Jan. 14. Approximately 23,400 confirmed deaths in the past week brought the total in the United States to 388,700.

State Social Distancing Actions (includes Washington D.C.) that went into effect this week:

Extensions: AK, DC, MI, MN, MT, NM, NV, UT

Rollbacks: IL, OK, WA

The latest KFF COVID-19 resources:

  • The COVID-19 “Vaccination Line”: An Update on State Prioritization Plans (News Release, Issue Brief)
  • We Need a Better Way Of Distributing the COVID-19 Vaccine. Here’s How To Do It. (Washington Post Op-Ed)
  • The Challenge of Vaccine Hesitancy In Rural America (Full Column, Axios Column)
  • Factors Associated With COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in Long-Term Care Facilities: Findings from a Literature Review (News Release, Issue Brief)
  • Patterns in COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in Long-Term Care Facilities in 2020 (Issue Brief)
  • January 14 Web Event: A Shot in the Arm For Long-Term Care Facilities? Early Lessons from the COVID-19 Vaccine Rollout to High Priority Populations (Archived Recording)
  • Vaccine Hesitancy Among Hispanic Adults (News Release, Poll Finding)
  • Immigrant Access to COVID-19 Vaccines: Key Issues to Consider (Issue Brief)
  • Updated: COVID-19 Coronavirus Tracker – Updated as of January 15 (Interactive)
  • Updated: State Data and Policy Actions to Address Coronavirus (Interactive)

The latest KHN COVID-19 stories:

  • Hospitals’ Rocky Rollout of Covid Vaccine Sparks Questions of Fairness (KHN)
  • Feeling Left Out: Private Practice Doctors, Patients Wonder When It’s Their Turn for Vaccine (KHN, CNN)
  • In Search of a Baby, I Got Covid Instead (CHL, New York Times)
  • Is Your Covid Vaccine Venue Prepared to Handle Rare, Life-Threatening Reactions? (KHN, NBC News)
  • Are You Old Enough to Get Vaccinated? In Tennessee, They’re Using the Honor System (KHN, NPR)
  • Health Workers Unions See Surge in Interest Amid Covid (KHN, NPR)
  • One Ambulance Ride Leads to Another When Packed Hospitals Cannot Handle Non-Covid Patients (KHN)
  • California Budget Reflects ‘Pandemic-Induced Reality,’ Governor Says (KHN)
  • Lost on the Frontline: New this week (KHN, The Guardian)
  • CVS and Walgreens Under Fire for Slow Pace of Vaccination in Nursing Homes (KHN, CNN)
  • Delicate Covid Vaccines Slow Rollout — Leading to Shots Given Out of Turn or, Worse, Wasted (KHN, CNN)
  • Vaccination Disarray Leaves Seniors Confused About When They Can Get a Shot (KHN)
  • California Counties ‘Flying the Plane as We Build It’ in a Plodding Vaccine Rollout (KHN)
  • 5 Reasons to Wear a Mask Even After You’re Vaccinated (KHN)
  • When Covid Deaths Aren’t Counted, Families Pay the Price (KHN, The Guardian)
  • Geography Is Destiny: Dentists’ Access to Covid Shots Depends on Where They Live (KHN)
  • Journalists Examine How Covid Polarizes Communities (KHN)

Medicaid: What to Watch in 2021

Authors: Robin Rudowitz, MaryBeth Musumeci, and Rachel Garfield
Published: Jan 15, 2021

As the Biden Administration takes office, the ongoing effects of the coronavirus pandemic and related economic downturn are the key issues that will substantially shape Medicaid coverage and financing policy in the year ahead. Other issues to watch in 2021 include efforts to maintain and expand Medicaid coverage, potential changes in Medicaid demonstration waiver policy, issues around state budgets and Medicaid financing, initiatives to strengthen long-term services and supports and efforts to address social determinants of health.

Medicaid Coverage and Enrollment

Enrollment Prior to the Pandemic. Before the pandemic, Medicaid enrollment growth peaked after implementation of the Affordable Care Act (ACA). The ACA Medicaid expansion has been adopted by 39 states and covers more than 15 million adults. However, Medicaid enrollment declined from 2017 through 2019, which has contributed to increases in the overall number and rate of uninsured. Enrollment declines could reflect a more robust economy during those years, but experiences in some states suggest declines may have also been due to individuals experiencing challenges completing enrollment or renewal processes. In addition, the Trump Administration promoted a number of policies that restrict enrollment including issuance of the public charge rule that imposed new barriers to obtaining permanent immigration status or immigrating to the U.S. (leading to declines in participation in Medicaid and other programs broadly across immigrant families). The Trump Administration also supported proposals to repeal and replace the ACA as well as litigation to overturn the law that is pending at the Supreme Court.

Enrollment and COVID-19. As a counter-cyclical program, Medicaid enrollment grows during economic downturns when more people experience income and job loss and qualify for coverage. Since the start of the coronavirus pandemic, enrollment in Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) grew to 76.5 million in August 2020, an increase of 5.3 million from February 2020 (7.4%). This trend likely reflects changes in the economy due to the pandemic and provisions in the Families First Coronavirus Response Act (FFCRA) that require states to ensure continuous coverage for current Medicaid enrollees to access a temporary increase in the Medicaid match rate. These FFCRA provisions are tied to the Public Health Emergency (PHE) period, which currently expires in April 2021 but may be extended longer.

Key Biden Priorities to Expand Coverage. Biden has proposed building on the ACA by increasing Marketplace premium assistance and creating a Medicare-like public option plan, which would be available to anyone and automatically cover people with low incomes in states that have not expanded Medicaid. While not as sweeping as proposals like Medicare for All, Biden’s proposals are broad changes that could be difficult to pass with a closely divided Senate even with Democrats in the majority. More narrow proposals to address those who fall into the coverage gap in states that have not adopted the expansion include legislation to reinstate the 100% federal matching rate for states that newly adopt the expansion for a period of time (the current match rate for the expansion is 90%), or extending ACA marketplace premium help to people below the poverty level. States that have already expanded Medicaid and are currently paying 10% of the cost might look for additional federal help as well. Twelve states have not adopted the Medicaid expansion, leaving many poor adults in a coverage gap, ineligible for Medicaid or Marketplace subsidies.

Other Options to Expand Coverage. There has been bi-partisan support for legislation that would allow states to extend postpartum Medicaid coverage from the current 60 days to 12 months. Another targeted bi-partisan legislative proposal is the Medicaid Reentry Act, which would allow states to cover services for Medicaid beneficiaries who are incarcerated during the 30 days preceding their release which could facilitate coverage and access to care post-release. In addition, Congress could consider legislation to allow states the options to cover recent immigrants on Medicaid (eliminating the current 5 year coverage ban for groups other than pregnant women and children).

What to Watch:

  • How will the health and economic effects of the pandemic affect Medicaid enrollment?
  • How long will the PHE and the maintenance of eligibility requirements be in place, and what will be the effects on Medicaid coverage when they end?
  • What will happen with the ACA litigation pending at the Supreme Court?
  • What efforts to protect and build on the ACA and expand Medicaid will the Biden Administration and Congress pursue?

Medicaid Demonstration Waivers

Section 1115 waivers generally reflect priorities identified by the states and the federal Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), as well as changing priorities from one presidential administration to another. Past administrations have used waivers to expand coverage, modify delivery systems, and restructure financing and other program elements. Although each administration has some discretion over which waivers to approve and encourage, that discretion is not unlimited.  Section 1115 waivers are governed by statutory requirements as well as longstanding executive branch policy that waivers be budget neutral to the federal government. The Trump administration’s Section 1115 waiver policy has emphasized work requirements and other eligibility restrictions, payment for institutional behavioral health services, and capped financing.

The Biden Administration can revise current demonstration waiver policy to focus on expanding coverage and rescind or reverse waivers or guidance that could limit coverage (including work requirements) or cap federal financing.  The Supreme Court is hearing cases involving the Arkansas and New Hampshire work requirement waivers this term. The Biden Administration also can encourage waivers that expand coverage to targeted groups or help make Marketplace coverage more affordable. This could include guidance to states about using Medicaid Section 1115 waivers in combination with Section 1332 waivers to advance public option proposals or other strategies to improve affordability for consumers and expand coverage.   In addition, while addressing behavioral health and substance use disorder through waivers is likely to remain a high priority, the Biden Administration may emphasize the need to provide services across a full care continuum, including institutional community based care. Waivers could also be used to address social determinants of health.

What to Watch:

  • How will the Biden Administration use Section 1115 waivers?
  • Will the Biden Administration rescind certain waivers that have already been approved?
  • Will the Biden Administration issue guidance for states to use combination Section 1115 and 1332 waivers?
  • What will the Supreme Court decide in pending litigation about work requirements?

Medicaid Financing

Medicaid’s current financing structure provides some protections for states facing higher costs during economic downturns, as federal matching funds (FMAP) automatically increase as enrollment grows. In addition, temporary increases in the federal share of Medicaid funds can provide fiscal relief to states, offsetting some state funds. The FFCRA provided an FMAP increase of 6.2 percentage points through the end of the quarter in which the PHE ends so provided states meet certain requirements to maintain coverage and provide access to COVID-19-related services. With the recent extension of the PHE, the FMAP will be in place through June 2021.  However, there is uncertainty about how long the fiscal relief will be in place, and many states are seeing year over year declines in revenues. States need to pass balanced budgets and may face tough choices to cut spending (including for Medicaid) in the upcoming fiscal year. Often during economic downturns, states implement provider rate cuts or benefit restrictions; however, these policies could be difficult given pandemic’s health effects, as states strive to support health care providers and maintain Medicaid provider networks. Changes to the FMAP require legislation and cannot be made through Administrative action alone.

President-elect Biden has indicated support for further increasing the FMAP and may try to work with Congress to enact legislation. Republican leaders have generally opposed substantial increases in state and local assistance during the pandemic and economic crisis, though an increase in federal Medicaid payments could be included in a budget reconciliation bill that requires just a simple majority to pass the Senate. The Medicaid and CHIP Payment and Access Commission (MACPAC) in December 2020 announced moving toward a recommendation calling for an automatic Medicaid countercyclical financing model based on earlier recommendations from the General Accountability Office. The HEROES Act passed by the House in May and then updated and passed again in October would have increased the enhanced FMAP to 14 percentage points through September 2021, providing states with an estimated $55.5 billion in federal support according to the Congressional Budget Office. Congress could also consider alternative options to target the relief to states experiencing higher enrollment increases. However, it remains unclear if Congress will provide additional relief through the FMAP or if they will revisit the maintenance of effort requirements as part of another coronavirus relief package.

Another Medicaid financing issue could be to re-examine the financing for Puerto Rico and the rest of the territories.  Federal funding for Medicaid in the territories is subject to a statutory cap and a fixed federal matching rate, unlike in the states, where federal Medicaid funding is not capped, and the federal share varies based on states’ per capita income. As a result of the capped financing, the effective FMAP is generally lower than the statutory levels.  Hurricanes and other emergencies exacerbated long-standing fiscal issues in the territories.  Additional funding support (through both increased amounts and increases in the FMAP) have been provided through the ACA and then in response to other emergencies.  For Puerto Rico, support is expected to expire at the end of FY 2021.  Congress could extend relief or make more permanent funding changes for Puerto Rico and other territories.

What to Watch:

  • To what extent will the pandemic continue to affect state budgets and ability to finance Medicaid? Will states propose Medicaid cuts in the upcoming state fiscal year?
  • How long will the PHE and the temporary increase in the FMAP remain in place?
  • Will Congress consider proposals to adopt additional fiscal relief or a permanent counter-cyclical adjustment or address Medicaid financing in the territories?

Long-Term Services and Supports

Medicaid is a significant source of coverage for seniors and people with disabilities, including those who need long-term services and supports (LTSS). Most eligibility pathways based on old age or disability, and nearly all home and community-based services (HCBS), are optional for states, creating state variation. The COVID-19 public health crisis has highlighted the significance of Medicaid coverage for people with disabilities through the ACA expansion as well as optional eligibility pathways based on old age or disability and optional HCBS benefit packages, as these populations have been hit particularly hard by the pandemic. Many seniors and people with disabilities rely on Medicaid LTSS to meet daily self-care and independent living needs, which has taken on even greater consequence during the pandemic. At the same time, state budget shortfalls could make it challenging for states to maintain optional LTSS.

President-elect Biden supports legislative changes to increase federal Medicaid funding for and expand access to HCBS. More broadly, Congress could consider proposals to eliminate Medicaid’s historical institutional bias by making HCBS a mandatory benefit. Federal and state policymakers also are expected to continue focusing on nursing home oversight, including compliance with federal Medicaid and Medicare infection control and other care quality measures as the pandemic continues. As states rollout their vaccine priority plans, additional attention will focus on reaching LTSS users and staff beyond nursing facilities, including people receiving and delivering HCBS.

What to Watch

  • What actions will states continue to take to address the pandemic’s disproportionate impact on seniors and people with disabilities, and will any of these policy changes continue after the PHE ends?
  • Will Congress consider legislation to expand coverage and financing for Medicaid community-based LTSS?

Social Determinants of Health

Social determinants of health (SDOH) are the conditions in which people are born, grow, live, work, and age that shape health. Addressing SDOH is important for improving health and reducing longstanding disparities in health and health care. SDOH include but are not limited to housing, food, education, employment, healthy behaviors, transportation, and personal safety. Within the health care system, there are multi-payer federal and state initiatives as well as Medicaid-specific initiatives focused on addressing social needs. Although federal Medicaid rules prohibit expenditures for most non-medical services, states have been developing strategies to identify and address enrollee social needs both within and outside of managed care. Medicaid managed care plans may use administrative savings or state funds to provide some of these services. CMS released additional guidance for states about opportunities to use Medicaid and CHIP to address SDOH on January 7.  The pandemic has exacerbated the challenges for state Medicaid programs related to health care access and other SDOH and has shined a light on persistent health inequities due to the disparate impact of COVID-19 on people of color. Access to food and housing are areas of growing need as many people have lost jobs and income.

What to Watch: 

  • How can Medicaid be leveraged to help address SDOH during the pandemic and beyond?
  • How will efforts be implemented (e.g. through managed care, waivers, etc.)?
  • How will efforts affect health and health disparities?
News Release

Most Hispanic Adults Lean Towards Getting a COVID-19 Vaccine, But Many Younger Adults are Hesitant

Younger Hispanic Adults are Less Likely to Express Confidence that the Vaccine Is Safe and to See Vaccination as a Shared Responsibility

Published: Jan 14, 2021

A new analysis of KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor survey data finds that most Hispanic adults across the country want to get a COVID-19 vaccine at some point though younger adults are more hesitant, in part because of lower confidence that it is safe and effective.

Overall a quarter (26%) of Hispanic adults say they will get a COVID-19 vaccine “as soon as possible” and an additional 43% say they will “wait until it has been available for a while to see how it is working for others” before getting it. Fewer say they will only get a vaccine “if required to do so for work, school or other activities” (11%) or that they “will definitely not” get the vaccine (18%).

In addition, a quarter (26%) of Hispanic adults say they definitely or probably won’t get the vaccine, similar to the national average (27%), while some of the most vaccine-hesitant groups are Black adults (35%), rural residents (35%) and Republicans (42%).

The data shows a wide age divide, with Hispanic adults under age 50 twice as likely to say they “definitely will not” get the vaccine as older Hispanic adults (22% and 11%, respectively). In addition, nearly one in five (18%) Hispanic essential workers (who also tend to be younger) say they would “definitely not get” a vaccine, a potential concern for vaccination efforts since they are required to work outside their homes and are more likely to have interactions with other people.

The age gap reflects differences in attitudes about a COVID-19 vaccine.

Older Hispanic adults are more likely than younger ones to express confidence that a vaccine has been proven safe and effective (73% vs. 56%). In addition, two thirds of older Hispanic adults also say getting a COVID-19 vaccine is “part of everyone’s responsibility to protect the health of others,” while younger ones are about as likely to say so (48%) as to say it is “a personal choice” (50%).

These findings suggest that younger Hispanic adults may need to be reassured about vaccine safety and could be more receptive to messages about how vaccination would protect themselves and allow their lives to return to normal than about the impact on the broader community. Similar to the public at large, a large majority of Hispanic adults say they would trust vaccine information from their own doctor or health care providers (75%). Most also say they would trust information from the CDC (71%), the FDA (66%), their local public health department (65%), Dr. Anthony Fauci (62%) and President-elect Joe Biden (58%).

Many Hispanic adults also face additional barriers to getting vaccinated, such as lack of health insurance or a usual source of care, lack of information about the vaccine being cost-free, and logistical barriers such as limited transportation.