How Many Foreign NGOs Are Subject to the Expanded Mexico City Policy?

Published: Dec 4, 2017

Key Points

  • On January 23, 2017, President Trump reinstated the Mexico City Policy (see KFF explainer). In the past, the policy required foreign non-governmental organizations (NGOs) to certify that they would not “perform or actively promote abortion as a method of family planning,” using funds from any source, as a condition for receiving U.S. government global family planning assistance; it applied to foreign NGOs receiving funding directly, as prime recipients, and indirectly, as sub-recipients. It also required U.S. NGOs to ensure that their foreign NGO sub-recipients were in compliance.
  • Under the Trump Administration, the policy’s scope has been significantly expanded to include most other U.S. bilateral global health assistance, beyond just family planning funding, and additional funding agreements.
  • At this time, many questions remain about the potential impact of the expanded policy. One key unknown is the size of the universe of affected NGOs. To begin to answer this question, we analyzed data on U.S. global health assistance obligated over a recent three-year period (FY 2013-FY 20151 ) to identify the number of foreign NGOs that received funding. Our findings should be considered a minimum estimate, since we were only able to include a sample of NGO sub-recipients. Our analysis finds that:
    • If the policy had been in effect during this time, at least 1,275 foreign NGOs – half as prime recipients of U.S. global health assistance and half as sub-recipients – and approximately $2.2 billion in funding directed to these NGOs would have been subject to the policy.
    • In addition, at least 469 U.S. NGOs receiving U.S. global health assistance would have been required to ensure that their foreign NGO sub-recipients were in compliance.
    • The expansion of the policy greatly increased its reach. Among prime recipients alone, most affected foreign NGOs (92%) and funding (88%) would not have been subject to the policy under its pre-expansion terms.
  • Ultimately, while it is too soon to know the actual impacts of the expanded policy on the people served by U.S. global health programs, our analysis suggests that, at a minimum, a significant number of NGOs will be subject to the policy.

Issue Brief

Introduction

On January 23, 2017, President Trump reinstated the Mexico City Policy (MCP), renamed “Protecting Life in Global Health Assistance” (see the KFF explainer). In the past, when in effect, the policy required foreign non-governmental organizations (NGOs)2  to certify that they would not “perform or actively promote abortion as a method of family planning” using funds from any source (including non-U.S. funds) as a condition for receiving U.S. government global family planning assistance. This included both foreign NGOs receiving U.S. funding directly, as “prime recipients,”3  or indirectly, as “sub-recipients.”4  Furthermore, it required U.S. NGOs to ensure that any foreign NGO sub-recipients were in compliance. Under the Trump Administration, the policy’s scope has been significantly expanded beyond these conditions. It now includes most other U.S. bilateral global health assistance and, pending the outcome of a rule-making process, additional funding agreements (in the past, it applied to cooperative agreements and grants;5  the Administration intends to also apply it to contracts).6  As such, the policy applies to more than $7 billion, to the extent that such funding is ultimately provided to foreign NGOs, directly or indirectly.

At this time, many questions remain about the potential impact of the expanded policy. One key unknown is the size of the universe of affected NGOs. We undertook this analysis to begin to answer that question. Using ForeignAssistance.gov data obtained from USAID,7  we identified NGO prime recipients of U.S. global health assistance in the most recent three-year period for which such data were available (FY 2013- FY 2015).8  We categorized them into U.S. and foreign NGOs. We included bilateral global health funding obligated by USAID (including funding that had been transferred to USAID from the Department of State) through grants, cooperative agreements, and contracts (contracts were included even though the rule-making process has not yet been initiated9 ) that would have been subject to the MCP. We then analyzed data from USAspending.gov to identify NGO sub-recipients of the top NGO prime recipients of U.S. global health assistance over the same period.10  This allowed us to create a database of foreign NGOs that would have been subject to the expanded MCP if the policy had been in effect during that three-year period, as well as U.S. NGOs that would have been required to ensure that their foreign NGO sub-recipients were in compliance. We also quantified the effect of expanding the policy beyond its prior conditions on the number of affected NGOs.

Our findings should be considered a minimum estimate since we only looked at sub-recipients of the top prime recipients of funding (and not all prime recipients report sub-recipient data). Indeed, based on a prior analysis we conducted, most U.S. global health assistance flows first to U.S.-based organizations before reaching foreign NGOs.11  In addition, we did not include NGOs that received global health funding transferred from State or other agencies to the Department of Health and Human Services in this analysis (although such funding is subject to the policy12 ). At the same time, it is important to note that while all foreign NGOs will be required to certify compliance with the MCP as a condition of receiving U.S. global health assistance, only some carry out activities that are prohibited by the policy; however, available data did not allow us to assess this issue. See full methodology in Appendix A.

Findings

Overview

We found that had the expanded Mexico City Policy been in effect during the FY 2013 – FY 2015 period:

  • At least 1,275 foreign NGOs – 639 as prime recipients of U.S. global health assistance and 658 as sub-recipients – would have been subject to the policy.13  See Figure 1.
Figure 1: Foreign NGOs Subject to Mexico City Policy: Recipients of U.S. Global Health Assistance, FY 2013-FY 2015
  • Together, they accounted for approximately $2.2 billion14  in funding subject to the policy, including $1.36 billion to prime recipients and $831 million15  to sub-recipients.
  • This funding supported foreign NGO efforts in at least 91 countries, including many countries that allow for legal abortion in at least one case not permitted by the MCP (see KFF analysis), and across all major global health program areas: family planning/reproductive health (FP/RH), maternal and child health (MCH), nutrition, HIV, TB, malaria, global health security, and other threats, including NTDs. HIV had the greatest number of foreign NGO prime recipients (470), followed by MCH (105) and FP/RH (82). See Table 1.
Table 1: Foreign NGO Prime Recipients: Number and Amount of Program Area Funding Subject to Mexico City Policy, FY 2013-FY 2015
Program AreaNumber of Prime Recipients Subject to MCP*Prime Recipient Funding Subject to MCP*
FP/RH82$175 million
MCH105$75 million
Nutrition15$6 million
HIV470$873 million
Tuberculosis30$194 million
Malaria55$31 million
Global Health Security43$1 million
Other Threats, inc. NTDs5$6 million
TOTAL639$1.36 billion
NOTES: * Does not include funding not subject to the MCP, including support for the Food for Peace (FFP) and American Schools and Hospitals Abroad (ASHA) programs and certain WASH efforts as well as support via agreements other than cooperative agreements, grants, and contracts. Sub-recipients not included.
  • HIV also accounted for the greatest amount of affected funding ($873 million), though this represented just 8% of HIV program area funding obligated over the period. The TB program had the greatest share of its program funding affected (35%), though this represented a much smaller amount of funding ($194 million). For FP/RH funding, 11% (or $175 million) was subject to the policy.16  See Table 2. These variations largely reflect the extent to which different program areas rely on foreign NGOs as prime recipients of aid, which was most common in the case of the TB program.
Table 2: Foreign NGO Prime Recipients: Amount & Share of Program Area Funding Subject to Mexico City Policy, FY 2013-FY 2015
Program AreaTotal Program Area FundingPrime Recipient Funding Subject to MCP* (% of Total)
FP/RH$1.54 billion$175 million (11%)
MCH$2.27 billion$75 million (3%)
Nutrition$490 million$6 million (1%)
HIV$11.24 billion$873 million (8%)
Tuberculosis$554 million$194 million (35%)
Malaria$1.62 billion$31 million (2%)
Global Health Security$388 million$1 million (<1%)
Other Threats, inc. NTDs$413 million$6 million (2%)
NOTES: * Does not include funding not subject to the MCP, including support for the Food for Peace (FFP) and American Schools and Hospitals Abroad (ASHA) programs and certain WASH efforts as well as support via agreements other than cooperative agreements, grants, and contracts. Sub-recipients not included.
  • In addition to foreign NGOs, at least 469 U.S. NGOs that received U.S. global health assistance during this period (including 391 who were prime recipients) would have been required to ensure that their foreign NGO sub-recipients were in compliance. See Figure 2.
Figure 2: U.S. NGOs and the Mexico City Policy: Recipients of U.S. Global Health Assistance, FY 2013-FY 2015

Newly Subject NGOs and Funding

Looking at prime recipients only, we also quantified the effect of expanding the policy beyond its prior conditions on the number of affected NGOs (available data on sub-recipients did not permit this level of analysis). We found that the expansion of the policy beyond family planning assistance and to contracts greatly increased its reach:

  • Among prime recipients alone, most affected foreign NGOs (587 of 639, or 92%) and most funding ($1.2 billion of $1.36 billion, or 88%) would not have been subject to the policy under its pre-expansion terms. See Figure 3.
Figure 3: Foreign NGOs Newly Subject to Mexico City Policy: Impact of Expansion on Prime Recipients, FY 2013-FY 2015
  • Of the 587 newly subject to the policy, 557 received non-family planning global health assistance only (i.e., MCH, nutrition, HIV, TB, malaria, global health security, and other threats, including NTDs) and 401 received funding through contracts only.17 ,18  See Figure 4.
Figure 4: Foreign NGOs Newly Subject to Mexico City Policy: Impact of Expansion on Prime Recipients, FY 2013-FY 2015, by Reason
  • Of the 391 U.S. NGOs prime recipients that would have had to ensure certification by and monitor compliance of their foreign NGO sub-recipients, most (321, or 82%) would have had to do this for the first time due to the expansion.19 

Conclusion

Our analysis finds that the expansion of the Mexico City Policy by the Trump Administration greatly increased its reach, affecting a much greater number of foreign NGOs and funding than prior iterations. This is particularly the case given the Administration’s intent to expand the policy to include contracts, pending the outcome of a rule-making process. Importantly, while our analysis provides an initial estimate of the number of foreign NGOs that would be subject to the policy, it does not represent the entire universe, due to data limitations in identifying sub-recipients of U.S. support. Such an accounting would be important for more fully understanding the scope and impact. Furthermore, this analysis does not assess the extent to which affected NGOs carry out activities prohibited by the policy, some of whom may choose to end such activities or forgo U.S. funding. Ultimately, this next layer of analysis will be critical to assessing the impact of the expanded policy on the people served by U.S. global health programs, as the policy continues to be rolled-out.

Appendix

Methodology

Using ForeignAssistance.gov data obtained from USAID,20  we identified NGO prime recipients of U.S. global health assistance in the most recent three-year period for which such data were available (FY 2013 – FY 2015).21  We categorized them into U.S. and foreign22  NGOs. We included bilateral global health funding obligated by USAID (including funding that had been transferred to USAID from the Department of State) through grants, cooperative agreements, and contracts. We then analyzed data from USAspending.gov to identify NGO sub-recipients of the top NGO prime recipients of U.S. global health assistance over the same period. This allowed us to create a database of foreign NGOs that would have been subject to the expanded MCP if the policy had been in effect during that three-year period, as well as U.S. NGOs that would have been required to ensure that their foreign NGO sub-recipients were in compliance. We also quantified the effect of expanding the policy beyond its prior conditions on the number of affected NGOs.

Our findings should be considered a minimum estimate since we only looked at sub-recipients of the top prime recipients of funding (and not all prime recipients report sub-recipient data).23  In addition, we did not include NGOs that received global health funding transferred from State or other agencies to the Department of Health and Human Services in this analysis (although such funding is subject to the policy).

Funding totals shown in this report represent net obligations. We only included funding subject to the policy and for health activities in program areas subject to the policy.24  Funding that is exempted from the policy (e.g., funding provided to international organizations, such as the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, certain water and sanitation activities, the American Schools and Hospitals Abroad (ASHA) program, the Food for Peace (FFP) program, and humanitarian assistance) was not included. The exceptions were funding provided to entities that are government-run hospitals25  and entities that qualify for a “commercial exemption”26  under the current policy.

For prime recipients, we used information in the ForeignAssistance.gov data on health program area, responsible office, and activity descriptions to identify funding amounts subject to the policy, which was available for most but not all recipients. For sub-recipients, we used information in the USAspending.gov data on the funded agreement and activity, as well as related additional research, to identify funding amounts subject to the policy. The funded agreement must have been included in and identified as “health,” at least in part, in the ForeignAssistance.gov prime recipient data for the funding to have been considered subject to the policy at the sub-recipient level.

NGOs are defined by USAID as “any non-governmental organization or entity, whether non-profit or profit-making, receiving or providing USAID-funded assistance under an assistance instrument or contract.”27  This includes institutions of higher education,28  hospitals, non-profit non-governmental organizations, and commercial organizations.29 ,30  For prime recipients, we used information in the ForeignAssistance.gov data on organization type and country of origin to assign organizations into these categories; where information was not available, we did additional research. For sub-recipients, we conducted additional research to categorize organizations as NGOs and used information in the USAspending.gov data on country of origin to assign them to the U.S. or foreign category.

Endnotes

  1. At the time this project began, this was the most recent complete data available at the awardee level. Complete data from FY 2016 may now be available. ↩︎
  2. Defined by USAID as “a for-profit or not-for-profit non-governmental organization that is not organized under the laws of the United States, any State of the United States, the District of Columbia, or the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, or any other territory or possession of the United States.” USAID: “Standard Provisions for U.S. Nongovernmental Organizations: A Mandatory Reference for ADS Chapter 303,” ADS Reference 303maa, partial revision May 22, 2017, https://www.usaid.gov/ads/policy/300/303maa; “Standard Provisions for Non-U.S. Nongovernmental Organizations: A Mandatory Reference for ADS Chapter 303,” ADS Reference 303mab, partial revision May 22, 2017, https://www.usaid.gov/ads/policy/300/303mab. ↩︎
  3. A prime recipient receives money directly from the U.S. government after signing a cooperative agreement, grant, contract, or other funding agreement with the U.S. government. ↩︎
  4. A sub-recipient receives money from a prime recipient (see above) to carry out the original agreement. ↩︎
  5. With some exceptions – see endnote #9 for exception about “grants under contracts.” ↩︎
  6. USAID, “Implementation of Protecting Life in Global Health Assistance (formerly known as the Mexico City Policy),” Executive Message to USAID/General Notice Distribution List, May 15, 2017. As of May 15, the policy applies to all new USAID grants and cooperative agreements that provide global health assistance, as well as to all existing grants and cooperative agreements that provide global health assistance when such agreements are amended to add new funding. As of March 2, the same holds true for USAID grants and cooperative agreements that provide family planning assistance. USAID: “Standard Provisions for U.S. Nongovernmental Organizations: A Mandatory Reference for ADS Chapter 303,” ADS Reference 303maa, partial revision May 22, 2017, https://www.usaid.gov/ads/policy/300/303maa; “Standard Provisions for Non-U.S. Nongovernmental Organizations: A Mandatory Reference for ADS Chapter 303,” ADS Reference 303mab, partial revision May 22, 2017, https://www.usaid.gov/ads/policy/300/303mab. ↩︎
  7. KFF analysis of USAID FY 2013 – FY 2015 transaction data provided via personal communication with USAID staff of the U.S. Foreign Assistance Dashboard (ForeignAssistance.gov), Feb. 10, 2017. ↩︎
  8. At the time this project began, this was the most recent complete data available at the awardee level. ↩︎
  9. USAID, “Implementation of Protecting Life in Global Health Assistance (formerly known as the Mexico City Policy),” Executive Message to USAID/General Notice Distribution List, May 15, 2017. As of the date this brief was published, the policy is not in effect with regard to contracts. A rulemaking process is required to apply the policy to contracts, which may take some time. The exception to this is “grants under contracts,” which were previously subject to the policy when last in effect and are covered by the reinstated policy at this time; they are essentially grants made to sub-recipients by prime recipients of contracts. ↩︎
  10. Among the top 20 NGO prime recipients, as measured by funding that could have been subject to the MCP had it ultimately been directed to foreign NGOs, 14 reported providing global health funding to sub-recipients, but only 13 were included in this analysis (there was an apparent error in the funding amount reported by the one that was excluded); their sub-recipients that were NGOs were included in this analysis. KFF analysis of data downloaded from USAspending.gov, March 10, 2017. ↩︎
  11. See, for example, KFF, Key Implementers of U.S. Global Health Efforts, Sept. 6, 2016. ↩︎
  12. CDC, “Additional Requirement – 35: Protecting Life in Global Health Assistance,” webpage, updated July 13, 2017, https://www.cdc.gov/grants/additionalrequirements/ar-35.html; NIH, “Protecting Life in Global Health Assistance,” Notice Number: NOT-OD-17-083, June 23, 2017, https://grants.nih.gov/grants/guide/notice-files/NOT-OD-17-083.html. ↩︎
  13. Some prime recipients are also sub-recipients, so the total is less than the sum of prime and sub-recipients. ↩︎
  14. This $2.2 billion represented 17% of global health assistance that the policy might have applied to during this period if it had ultimately been provided entirely to foreign NGOs during this period (approximately $12.54 billion). ↩︎
  15. Of this, approximately $12 million was provided to other foreign NGOs (sub-recipients) by a foreign NGO prime recipient; this funding may or may not overlap to some degree with that prime recipient’s funding that was included in the foreign NGO prime recipient funding total. ↩︎
  16. This does not represent the entire amount of program funding that would have been subject to the policy. Most FP/RH funding was provided to U.S. NGO prime recipients, which may have provided funding to foreign NGO sub-recipients in turn; as with other global health funding provided to U.S. NGO prime recipients, funding provided indirectly to foreign NGOs would have been subject to the Mexico City policy. ↩︎
  17. NGOs that received funding through both cooperative agreements/grants and contracts were not considered to be newly impacted since they would already be subject to the policy; only 15 NGOs received both during this time period. ↩︎
  18. See State Department, “Subject: Protecting Life in Global Health Assistance,” Federal Assistance Management Advisory Number 2017-01; USAID, “USAID Notice: Implementation of Protecting Life in Global Health Assistance (formerly known as the Mexico City Policy),” Executive Message, May 15, 2017. ↩︎
  19. Additionally, some of the 70 U.S. NGOs that would have been required to ensure prior certification of their foreign NGO subawardees for FP/RH funding under prior policy would have also had their responsibilities expanded under the reinstated policy to include subawardees of their non-FP/RH funding via cooperative agreements and grants and/or any global health funding via contracts. ↩︎
  20. KFF analysis of USAID FY 2013 – FY 2015 transaction data provided via personal communication with USAID staff of the U.S. Foreign Assistance Dashboard (ForeignAssistance.gov), Feb. 10, 2017. ↩︎
  21. At the time this project began, this was the most recent complete data available at the awardee level. ↩︎
  22. A foreign NGO is defined by USAID as an NGO “that is not organized under the laws of the United States, any State of the United States, the District of Columbia, or the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, or any other territory or possession of the United States.” USAID: “Standard Provisions for U.S. Nongovernmental Organizations: A Mandatory Reference for ADS Chapter 303,” ADS Reference 303maa, partial revision May 22, 2017, https://www.usaid.gov/ads/policy/300/303maa; “Standard Provisions for Non-U.S. Nongovernmental Organizations: A Mandatory Reference for ADS Chapter 303,” ADS Reference 303mab, partial revision May 22, 2017, https://www.usaid.gov/ads/policy/300/303mab. ↩︎
  23. Among the top 20 NGO prime recipients, as measured by funding that could have been subject to the MCP had it ultimately been directed to foreign NGOs, 14 reported providing global health funding to sub-recipients, but only 13 were included in this analysis (there was an apparent error in the funding amount reported by the one that was excluded); their sub-recipients that were NGOs were included in this analysis. KFF analysis of data downloaded from USAspending.gov, March 10, 2017. ↩︎
  24. See USAID, “Implementation of Protecting Life in Global Health Assistance (formerly known as the Mexico City Policy),” Executive Message to USAID/General Notice Distribution List, May 15, 2017; USAID, “Standard Provisions for U.S. Nongovernmental Organizations: A Mandatory Reference for ADS Chapter 303,” ADS Reference 303maa, partial revision May 22, 2017, https://www.usaid.gov/ads/policy/300/303maa; USAID, “Standard Provisions for Non-U.S. Nongovernmental Organizations: A Mandatory Reference for ADS Chapter 303,” ADS Reference 303mab, partial revision May 22, 2017, https://www.usaid.gov/ads/policy/300/303mab. ↩︎
  25. PAI, What You Need to Know About the Protecting Life in Global Health Assistance Restrictions on U.S. Global Health Assistance, Oct. 5, 2017. ↩︎
  26. For the purchase of goods or services. ↩︎
  27. USAID, Glossary of ADS Terms, partial revision, April 30, 2017, https://www.usaid.gov/sites/default/files/documents/1868/glossary.pdf. ↩︎
  28. Foreign public educational institutions were excluded from our analysis, since they are exempt from the Mexico City Policy as government-operated institutions. ↩︎
  29. USAID, Grants and Cooperative Agreements to Non-Governmental Organizations, ADS Chapter 303, partial revision, April 3, 2017, https://www.usaid.gov/ads/policy/300/303. ↩︎
  30. Not subject to the Mexico City Policy are, among others: agreements with national and sub‐national governments, including foreign public universities; public international organizations; and other multilateral entities in which sovereign nations participate (such as the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Malaria, and Tuberculosis, and Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance). USAID, “Implementation of Protecting Life in Global Health Assistance (formerly known as the Mexico City Policy),” Executive Message to USAID/General Notice Distribution List, May 15, 2017. A Department of State memo included a similar statement; see the Department of State, “Subject: Protecting Life in Global Health Assistance,” Federal Assistance Management Advisory Number 2017-01, May 15, 2017. ↩︎

Globally, As New Infections and AIDS-related Deaths Decline, More People Are Living With HIV Than Ever Before

Published: Nov 30, 2017

Source

SOURCE: Analysis of data obtained via online query of the UNAIDS Aidsinfo website; accessed November 2017.

National Survey of Young Adults on HIV/AIDS

Published: Nov 30, 2017

More than three and a half decades have passed since the first case of AIDS. An entire generation has been born and grown up without ever knowing a time when HIV did not exist, and they may be the first to see it end.

While there is no cure for HIV, experts say we have the knowledge and tools today that could lead to the eradication of the disease. Antiretrovirals (or ARVs), the medications used to treat HIV, work to reduce the viral load to levels undetectable by standard lab tests. Studies show that when the viral load is less than 200 copies of virus per milliliter of blood, long-term health is greatly improved and sexual transmission of the virus is extremely unlikely, if not impossible.[i]

For those who do not have HIV, PrEP (short for pre-exposure prophylaxis), an FDA approved once daily pill, offers another means of protection. When taken as prescribed, PrEP is highly effective in protecting against HIV.[ii] PrEP is also a significant advance in that it provides women with the first HIV prevention tool that they can control themselves.

To provide more insight into the knowledge, attitudes and experiences of young adults in the U.S. at this critical time in the epidemic, the Kaiser Family Foundation conducted a comprehensive nationally representative survey of 1,794 18-30 year olds between January 25-February 16, 2017. Given the disproportionate impact of HIV on Black and Latino populations, oversamples of these groups were included to provide a more in-depth look by race.

 

 


[i] Journal of the American Medical Association, July 12, 2016; New England Journal of Medicine, Sept. 1, 2016

[ii] New England Journal of Medicine, Dec. 30, 2010; Science Translational Medicine, Sept. 12, 2012; New England Journal of Medicine, Aug. 2, 2012

News Release

For Young People of Color HIV Remains a Significant Concern for Self and Community

Survey Finds Few Know about Advances in HIV Prevention and Treatment; Stigma and Misperceptions Persist

Published: Nov 30, 2017

MENLO PARK, CA – A comprehensive new national survey of young adults, ages 18-30, from the Kaiser Family Foundation finds more than three and half decades into the epidemic, HIV remains an issue of deep concern for young people of color, both for themselves as well as for those they know. Few of those surveyed know about advances in prevention and treatment that experts say could end HIV if more widely adopted.

A majority (53%) of young Black adults say they are personally concerned about HIV, including 44 percent who are “very concerned.” Many Latinos also express worry (35% “very concerned,” 12% “somewhat concerned”). By contrast, 61 percent of their white peers say HIV is “not a concern” for them personally today, and another 20 percent say they are “not too concerned.”

About three times as many Blacks (46%) and Latinos (41%), as whites (15%), say HIV today is a “very serious” concern for people they know. Almost twice as many Black young adults (30%) say they know someone who is living with, or has died of, HIV/AIDS, as compared to whites and Latinos (16% each). One in five (20%) Black young people have a family member or close friend affected by HIV.

A third of Black (34%) and Latino (35%) young people say they worry about getting HIV; 16 percent of whites say they worry about their risk.

“An entire generation has been born and grown up without ever knowing a time when HIV did not exist, and they may be the first to see it end. Whether this future is realized rests with those most affected being educated about – and having access to – the latest advances in prevention and treatment,” said Tina Hoff, Senior Vice President, Health Communications and Media Partnerships, Kaiser Family Foundation.

Many Don’t Know about Advances in Prevention and Treatment

PrEP, the pill to protect against HIV, has been called a potential “game changer” in the fight against HIV; yet, in the five years since it was approved by the Food & Drug Administration (FDA), only 13 percent of young adults know about the prevention option.

Among the relatively few young people who have heard anything about PrEP (27%), only 18 percent believe it to be “very effective.” Many also doubt that all who might want PrEP could get it: 64 percent say “no.” When taken as prescribed, `this once daily pill reduces the risk of getting HIV up to 99 percent.

There are also gaps in understanding of how antiretrovirals (ARVs), the medications used to treat HIV, work. While most are generally aware of the health benefits, many understate the effectiveness of modern day treatments. Half of young people do not know being on consistent treatment also prevents the spread of HIV to sexual partners (29 percent say “not too effective,” and 23 percent say “not at all effective”). Just one in ten (11%) say ARVs are “very effective” at preventing the spread of HIV. Studies show that when the viral load is less than 200 copies of virus per milliliter of blood, long-term health is greatly improved and sexual transmission of the virus is extremely unlikely, if not impossible.

Stigma and Misperceptions Persist

Even this many years later, unfounded fears about the risks presented by those with HIV persist. Most young people today say they would be comfortable having people with HIV as friends (65%) or work colleagues (66%) but when it comes to other situations, stigma – and misperceptions – are evident.

Majorities say they would be uncomfortable having a roommate with HIV (51%), or having their food prepared by someone with HIV (58%). Three quarters (73%) respond that are “very uncomfortable” having a sexual partner with HIV, another 18 percent say they would be “somewhat uncomfortable.”

Providing insight into what may be behind the stigma, the survey also revealed a lack of understanding among a significant share about how HIV is transmitted. More than a third incorrectly believe there is a chance HIV could be spread through everyday items, such as plates and glasses (38%) or toilets (38%). Majorities are misinformed in thinking HIV can be transmitted by spitting (54%), or kissing (58%).

HIV Testing

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommends HIV testing as part of routine health care, yet more than half (54%) of young adults say they have never been tested. Most who have not say it is because they don’t believe [they are] at risk (67% of those never tested), followed by a doctor never suggested it (41%, multiple responses were possible).

Black young adults are more likely – and more recently – to report having gotten an HIV test. One in three (34%) Black young adults replied they had been tested for HIV within the last 12 months; comparatively, 16 percent of whites and 25 percent of Latinos report having been tested as recently. Overall, 61 percent of Black young adults report ever having been tested for HIV, as compared with 42 percent of whites and 49 percent of Latinos.

Black young adults are also more likely to say a health care provider has suggested HIV testing. One in four (25%) Black respondents report having a health care provider suggest HIV testing within the previous12 months; only about one in ten whites and Latinos say the topic came up (8% and 14%, respectively).  Analysis shows that those who have discussed HIV with a health care provider – and/or have had a health care provider suggest testing – are more likely to report having been tested for HIV.

THE U.S. EPIDEMIC. More than three and a half decades have passed since the first case was diagnosed of what is now known as AIDS. An estimated 1.1 million people in the United States are living with HIV, more than at any time in the history of the epidemic. Due to a combination of social inequities, and where the disease took hold, a disproportionate share of those affected are Black and Latino and/or gay men. In 2015, Black Americans accounted for almost half (45%) of new HIV diagnoses in the U.S., while comprising just 12 percent of the population.  Latinos are also heavily affected, accounting for 24 percent persons newly diagnosed with HIV in 2015 and representing 17 percent of the population.

The survey was designed and analyzed by researchers at the Kaiser Family Foundation. It was conducted between January 25 – February 16, 2017 among a nationally-representative sample of 1,794 people ages 18-30 years of age. Interviews were administered online and by telephone in English using an instrument developed by staff at the Kaiser Family Foundation. NORC at the University of Chicago conducted sampling, interviewing, and tabulation for the survey using the GenForward panel, a representative panel of adults ages 18-30 living in the United States. Panel members who do not have internet access complete surveys via telephone, and internet users complete surveys via the web (for the current survey, 1,647 participated via the web and 147 via telephone). The margin of sampling error including the design effect for the full sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points; for Black and Latino young adults it is plus or minus 7 percentage points and for whites it is plus or minus 5 percentage points. For sub-groups the sampling error may be higher.Methodology

Filling the need for trusted information on national health issues, the Kaiser Family Foundation is a nonprofit organization based in Menlo Park, California.

How Premiums Are Changing In 2018

Authors: Ashley Semanskee, Gary Claxton, and Larry Levitt
Published: Nov 29, 2017

NOTE: A more recent version of this analysis, for 2019, is available here.

The premiums for 2018 Marketplace plans were recently released to give consumers a chance to look at their plan options before open enrollment begins on November 1. Premiums are rising significantly in many counties across the country, in part due to the decision of the Trump Administration to cease payments to insurers for cost-sharing reductions.  Insurer participation also declined in many areas, leaving more counties with only one insurer, which likely contributed to the high rate of premium growth.

The map below illustrates how premiums changed for 2018 by looking at the change in the lowest-cost bronze, silver and gold plans by county. Results are shown for a 40-year-old paying the full premium and for a 40-year old with an income of $20,000 (166% of poverty), $25,000 (207% of poverty), $30,000 (249% of poverty), $35,000 (290% of poverty), and $40,000 (332% of poverty), who would be eligible for a premium tax credit.

Percent Change in Lowest-Cost Metal Plan Before and After Tax Credit, 2017-2018

Nationally, the unsubsidized premium for the lowest-cost bronze plan is increasing an average of 17% between 2017 and 2018, the lowest-cost silver plan is increasing an average of 32%, and the lowest-cost gold plan is increasing an average of 18% (Table 1).  These average increases are weighted by the number of plan selections by county in 2017 (see Methods).  Premiums for silver plans are rising much more than those for bronze or gold plans because in many states insurers loaded the cost from the termination of the cost-sharing reduction payments entirely on the silver tier.

For consumers who receive premium tax credits, the amounts that they will have to pay will often be lower in 2018 (Table 2).  The particularly large increase in premiums for silver plans means that tax-credit-eligible Marketplace enrollees will see much higher premium tax credits (which are calculated based on the second-lowest-cost silver plan in each area). These large credits make gold plans more easily attainable and make bronze plans much cheaper (or even available at no additional premium).  In fact, after these increases, the lowest-cost gold premium is lower than the lowest-cost silver premium in 478 counties.

For example, a 40-year-old individual making $35,000 (249% of poverty) and eligible for a tax credit will on average pay 36% less in 2018 for their share of the premium for the lowest-cost bronze plan, 6% less for the lowest-cost silver plan, and 12% less for the lowest-cost gold plan. The savings are greater for subsidized enrollees with lower incomes and less for those with higher incomes (Table 2). The premiums for bronze plans may be particularly attractive to many people eligible for premium tax credits. For example, the tax credit for a 40-year-old individual making $25,000 covers the full cost of the premium for the lowest-cost bronze plan in 1,679 counties (Table 3).

Table 1: Average Change in the Lowest-Cost Premium by Metal Level Before Tax Credit, 2017-2018 for a 40-year-old
% Change in Lowest Cost Bronze Premium+17%
% Change in Lowest Cost Silver Premium+32%
% Change in Lowest Cost Gold Premium+18%
SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of premium data from Healthcare.gov and review of state rate filings.
Table 2: Average Change in the Lowest-Cost Premium by Metal Level After Tax Credit, 2017-2018
40-year-old with $20,000 income (166% of poverty)
% Change in Lowest Cost Bronze Premium-85%
% Change in Lowest Cost Silver Premium-14%
% Change in Lowest Cost Gold Premium-26%
40-year-old with $25,000 income (207% of poverty)
% Change in Lowest Cost Bronze Premium-69%
% Change in Lowest Cost Silver Premium-10%
% Change in Lowest Cost Gold Premium-20%
40-year-old with $30,000 income (249% of poverty)
% Change in Lowest Cost Bronze Premium-50%
% Change in Lowest Cost Silver Premium-8%
% Change in Lowest Cost Gold Premium-16%
40-year-old with $35,000 income (290% of poverty)
% Change in Lowest Cost Bronze Premium-36%
% Change in Lowest Cost Silver Premium-6%
% Change in Lowest Cost Gold Premium-12%
40-year-old with $40,000 income (332% of poverty)
% Change in Lowest Cost Bronze Premium-24%
% Change in Lowest Cost Silver Premium1%
% Change in Lowest Cost Gold Premium-6%
SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of premium data from Healthcare.gov and review of state rate filings.
Table 3: Number of Counties Where an Individual’s Tax Credit Covers the Full Premium of the Lowest-Cost Bronze Plan in 2018, for a 40-year-old
Example Age and IncomeNumber of counties where the tax credit covers the full premium for the lowest-cost bronze plan
40-year-old with $20,000 income (166% of poverty2434
40-year-old with $25,000 income (207% of poverty)1679
40-year-old with $30,000 income (248% of poverty)488
40-year-old with $35,000 income (290% of poverty)169
40-year old with $40,000 income (332% of poverty)104
SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of premium data from Healthcare.gov and review of state rate filings.

The map below shows where an individual’s tax credit covers the full premium of the lowest-cost bronze plan for a 40-year-old with an income of $20,000 (166% of poverty), $25,000 (207% of poverty), $30,000 (249% of poverty), $35,000 (290% of poverty), and $40,000 (332% of poverty).

Counties Where the Lowest-Cost Bronze Plan Premium Costs Zero Dollars After the Tax Credit in 2018

The map below shows counties where the unsubsidized premium for the lowest-cost gold plan has a lower or comparable premium to the lowest-cost silver plan in 2018.

Counties Where the Lowest-Cost Gold Plan Costs Less than the Lowest-Cost Silver Plan

Discussion

The differences in premium changes across plan types and the peculiar effect these differences have on plan costs for both unsubsidized and subsidized enrollees makes it important that consumers shop around and carefully consider their options.  Although CMS will no longer be paying insurers for reducing the cost sharing for lower-income enrollees, insurers remain obliged to provide the reduced cost sharing policies to eligible Marketplace enrollees.  These policies generally have higher actuarial values than gold plans for enrollees with incomes below 200% of poverty so consumers will need to carefully consider whether it makes sense to switch even though gold-plan premiums may be comparable or less than silver plans.  Consumers eligible for cost sharing reductions also will need to weigh the much lower premiums they would pay for a bronze plan with the much higher cost sharing they could encounter if they need care.

Methods

We analyzed data from the 2017 and 2018 Individual Market Medical files to determine premiums and the benchmark amounts to calculate premium tax credits for the scenarios presented.  These files are available at data.healthcare.gov.  The 2017 data were from the 2017 QHP Individual Market Medical file dated 8-11-2017.  Premiums from the 12 state based marketplace are from a review of state rate filings and plan finders. California premium data were from 2018 and 2017 Product Prices for all Health Insurance Companies and Products by Zip Code files made available by Covered California. Massachusetts premium by zip code data in 2017 and 2018 were from Massachusetts Health Connector. Where premiums and benchmark amounts varied by zip code within a county, the benchmark for the majority of enrollees within the county was used.

The average changes in plan costs were weighted by county using 2017 plan selections obtained from the 2017 Marketplace Open Enrollment Period County-Level Public Use file provided by CMS and available here. In states running their own exchanges, we gathered county-level plan selection data where possible, and if unavailable estimated county plan selections based on the county population in the 2010 census and total state plan selections in the 2017 OEP State-Level Public Use File provided by CMS and available here. Massachusetts enrollment by zip code data in 2017 were from Massachusetts Health Connector, with adjustments made to match total state plan selections in 2017.

Facilitating Access to Mental Health Services: A Look at Medicaid, Private Insurance, and the Uninsured

Published: Nov 27, 2017

In 2015, over 43 million adults had a mental illness and nearly 10 million had a serious mental illness, such as depression, bipolar disorder, or schizophrenia. People with mental health conditions often have chronic medical conditions, significant health care services utilization, and barriers to employment, and are frequently involved with the criminal justice system.1 ,2 ,3 ,4  Medicaid plays an important role for individuals with mental health conditions, particularly among those with low incomes. In 2015, Medicaid covered 22% of nonelderly adults with mental illness and 26% of nonelderly adults with serious mental illness. The Medicaid program covers many inpatient and outpatient mental health services, such as psychiatric treatment, counseling, and prescription medications. Medicaid coverage of mental health services is often more comprehensive than private insurance coverage.

As of June 2017, 32 states have expanded Medicaid, with enhanced federal funding, to cover adults up to 138% of the federal poverty level ($16,643/year for an individual in 2017). The Medicaid expansion has enabled many low-income individuals with mental health conditions to obtain coverage and access treatment.  The following series of graphics describes individuals with mental health conditions and compares mental health needs and receipt of services among individuals without insurance, with Medicaid, and with private insurance. The data show that utilization of mental health services among people with Medicaid is comparable to and sometimes greater than utilization among people with private insurance, while people who lack insurance often face difficulty obtaining services.

1. 20% of nonelderly adults have a mental illness and 5% have a serious mental illness.

Figure 1: Prevalence of Mental Illness and Serious Mental Illness Among Nonelderly Adults, 2015

2. Nonelderly adults with mental illness are predominantly white, female, and under 50.

Figure 2: Race, Gender, and Age of Nonelderly Adults with Mental Illness, 2015

3. Most nonelderly adults with mental illness are employed (63%), but over 4 in 10 have low incomes, including 22% below poverty.

Figure 3: Employment Status and Income of Nonelderly Adults with Mental Illness, 2015

4. Nonelderly adults with mental illness often have co-morbid health conditions.

Figure 4: Prevalence of Comorbid Health Conditions Among Nonelderly Adults with Mental Illness, 2015

5. Most nonelderly adults with mental illness and serious mental illness have either Medicaid or private insurance, and Medicaid plays a particularly important role for those with low incomes.

Figure 5: Insurance Status of Nonelderly Adults with Mental Illness and Serious Mental Illness, 2015

6. Among nonelderly adults with mental illness and serious mental illness, those with Medicaid are more likely than those without insurance or with private insurance to receive treatment.

Figure 6: Past-Year Mental Health Treatment Among Nonelderly Adults by Insurance Status, 2015

7. Receipt of psychiatric medication is also more common among nonelderly adults with Medicaid compared to those without insurance or with private insurance.

Figure 7: Past-Year Receipt of Psychiatric Medication Among Nonelderly Adults by Insurance Status, 2015
  1. Benjamin G. Druss and Elizabeth Reisinger Walker. Mental disorders and medical comorbidity (Princeton, NJ: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, February 2011), http://www.integration.samhsa.gov/workforce/mental_disorders_and_medical_comorbidity.pdf ↩︎
  2. Audrey J. Weiss et al., Trends in Emergency Department Visits Involving Mental and Substance Use Disorders, 2006-2013 (Rockville, MD: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, December, 2016), https://www.hcup-us.ahrq.gov/reports/statbriefs/sb216-Mental-Substance-Use-Disorder-ED-Visit-Trends.pdf ↩︎
  3. Ronald C. Kessler, et al., “Depression in the Workplace: Effects on Short-Term Disability,” Health Affairs, 18, 5(1999):163-71. ↩︎
  4. Doris J. James and Lauren E. Glaze. Mental Health Problems of Prison and Jail Inmates (Washington, DC: US Department of Justice, December 2006), https://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/mhppji.pdf ↩︎

What Do We Know about Social Determinants of Health in the U.S. and Comparable Countries?

Published: Nov 21, 2017

Social determinants, such as individual and community behaviors, economic circumstances, and environmental factors, can influence health costs and outcomes, despite being outside the control of the health system in some respects. This chart collection explores social determinants and health outcomes in the United States and similar countries. The collection looks at income inequality, obesity, and rates of insurance, as well as behaviors such as cigarette and alcohol consumption. Health outcomes, such as disease burden from drug abuse disorders and motor vehicle road injuries, also are examined, along with measures such as years of life lost due to firearms assaults and death rates from accidental poisonings.

The chart collection is part of the Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker, an online information hub dedicated to monitoring and assessing the performance of the U.S. health system.

JAMA Forum: The Health Care Law that Continues to Escape Death

Author: Larry Levitt
Published: Nov 20, 2017

In this November 2017 post for The JAMA Forum, Larry Levitt reviews the status of the Affordable Care Act following actions by the Trump administration widely perceived as designed to undermine the marketplaces. Despite assertions to the contrary, Levitt finds, “at least for now, the ACA seems very much alive.”

Other contributions to The JAMA Forum are also available.