Poll Finding

Kaiser Health Tracking Poll: February 2013

Published: Feb 27, 2013

The February Kaiser Health Tracking Poll focuses on some of the health policy implications of this winter’s national debate over gun violence, gun control and the adequacy of the nation’s response to the needs of those living with serious mental illness. The survey finds that one in five Americans have some connection to a victim of gun violence, a share that doubles to 42 percent among blacks. Worry about becoming a victim is even more widespread among the public (four in ten are at least somewhat worried) and again is strikingly high among members of minority groups (62 percent of blacks express concern, as do 75 percent of Hispanics). When it comes to mental health issues, most Americans perceive that those with serious mental illness experience at least some discrimination or prejudice in U.S. society, even as many say they themselves would be uncomfortable living or working near someone with severe mental health issues. The majority of the public backs the idea having equal benefits for mental health coverage; fewer than half (38 percent) recognize mental health parity is already law. With one in four adults estimated1  to suffer from a mental health problem, the poll finds that just shy of one in ten Americans report having had trouble getting access to the mental health services they need. Finally, the February survey checked in on opinion toward the Affordable Care Act (ACA), which tilted negative in this poll: 42 percent unfavorable, 36 percent favorable, and 23 percent with no opinion, the latter a new high in Kaiser polling. As the national debate on immigration reform picks up speed, the survey finds four in ten Americans wrongly believe that the ACA offers benefits to undocumented immigrants, and another quarter are not sure how undocumented immigrants are treated under the law. The majority of the public says that if lawmakers did pass a law allowing some undocumented immigrants to apply for provisional legal status, those who obtain this status should have full access health coverage options provided by the ACA. However, it is worth noting that, today, many lawfully present immigrants face restrictions that limit their eligibility for health coverage.

ACA Update: Public Opinion Back to a Negative Title in Early 2013

The February Kaiser Health Tracking Poll finds the public leaning negative on the Affordable Care Act (ACA), with 42 percent holding unfavorable views and 36 percent favorable, a seven percentage point drop in favorability driven primarily by a post-election fade in support among Democrats. With the presidential election in the rearview mirror and the ACA largely out of the national political spotlight, the share of Democrats backing the law dropped from 72 percent in November to 57 percent, closer to October levels. Democrats’ support for the law, like the public’s overall, wobbles up and down within a relatively narrow band month by month, and it’s difficult to say whether this downward drop will last. Support seems to have shifted to the no opinion category, up to nearly a quarter (23 percent), a new high in Kaiser polling.

Figure 1

Figure 2

How does the public form their opinion of the ACA? The plurality of Americans (45 percent) say they have based their impression of the law mainly on what they’ve seen in the media. Two in ten (22 percent) say their own experience has been the primary driver of opinion and 14 percent say their views are primarily based on what they’ve learned from friends and family.

As Immigration Debate Gains the Spotlight, Four in Ten Americans Believe the ACA Provides Benefits to Undocumented Immigrants

Over the nearly three years of its existence as law, there have been a number of hard-to-dispel misimpressions about the ACA, and as Congress’ attention turns to immigration reform, the February tracking poll returned to one of these regarding undocumented immigrants. The survey finds that four in ten Americans – including more than half of Republicans – wrongly believe undocumented immigrants will have access to benefits under the health law and another quarter say they aren’t sure whether this is fact or fiction.

FIGURE 3: HOW MANY AMERICANS RECOGNIZE ACA DOESN’T COVER UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRANTS?
By Party ID
To the best of your knowledge, would you say the health care law does or does not…TotalDemIndRep
…allow undocumented immigrants to receive financial help from the government to buy insurance
Yes42%31%46%54%
No (correct answer)35463227
Don’t know/Refused23232319
…allow undocumented immigrants to enroll in Medicaid program
Yes42%35%43%52%
No (correct answer)35433624
Don’t know/Refused23222223

The onset of the immigration debate has also spurred policy discussions over whether undocumented immigrants that could potentially obtain some new form of provisional legal status through immigration reform legislation would be eligible for health coverage options under the ACA. Current immigration reform proposals suggest that individuals granted this provisional lawful status may not be eligible for federal benefits, including health coverage. At first blush, at least, the majority of Americans hold a different opinion: six in ten say that undocumented immigrants who obtain provisional legal status should be able to enroll in Medicaid if their income is low enough to qualify (63 percent) or receive subsidies to purchase insurance in the exchanges if they don’t get affordable insurance through their employer (59 percent). However, it is worth noting that, under current law, many lawfully present immigrants are subject to eligibility restrictions for health coverage, including Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), that remain in place under the ACA.2 

FIGURE 4: MAJORITY SAY IF UNDOCUMENTED IMMIGRANTS OBTAIN PROVISIONAL LEGAL STATUS, THEY SHOULD BE ELIGIBLE FOR ACA BENEFITS
By Party IDBy Race
Do you think undocumented immigrants who obtain provisional legal status should be eligible to…TotalDemIndRepWhiteBlackHispanic
…enroll in the Medicaid program if their income is low enough to qualify
Yes, should be eligible63%77%60%45%56%77%86%
No, should not be eligible33213651412110
…receive financial help from the government to buy health insurance if they don’t get it through their job
Yes, should be eligible59%75%55%41%50%78%83%
No, should not be eligible38234156472113

Support for extending access to health coverage options does differ by party, with majorities of Democrats and independents saying they are in favor of providing this group with coverage options available to citizens under the ACA, while Republicans tilt negative on the proposal. Majorities in each major racial and ethnic group support the extension of benefits, with a larger degree of support among Hispanics and blacks.

One In Five Americans Know A Victim Of Gun Violence; Worry Reaches Even More Broadly

Spurred by the tragic mass shootings in Newtown, CT and Aurora, CO in 2012, gun control has also emerged as a political hot topic this year. While a number of polls have measured the public’s attitudes towards the policy options being put on the table, this month’s Health Tracking Poll measures the public’s personal experiences with, and worries about, gun violence.

Figure 5

One in five Americans say they personally know someone who was a victim of gun violence in the last three years, and for most of these individuals the connection is close. Among those who know a victim, a majority (62 percent) say these were good friends or family members, and some were even a victim themselves.Blacks stand out as the group most likely to know someone who was affected (42 percent do), followed by younger Americans (28 percent of those aged 18 to 29).

Worry about gun violence reaches even more broadly, encompassing many who have not personally been touched by a gun-related crime. Overall, four in ten Americans (42 percent) say they are at least somewhat worried about being the victim of gun violence. Again, members of minority groups are particularly likely to report concern. Also disproportionately likely to be harboring worries are individuals with lower incomes, those who know a victim of gun violence, and those whose households do not have a gun. Least likely to be worrying about gun violence: individuals who live in a gun-owning household.

Figure 6

Figure 7

To keep this concern in context, it’s worth noting that other health-related worries do outstrip those about being a victim of gun violence. Considerably more, for example, are worried about someone close to them getting seriously ill (75 percent) or affording necessary health care (58 percent). But this ranking is driven by gun violence being a significantly lower concern among whites. Among both blacks and Hispanics, concern about gun violence ranks a clear and close second, behind only concerns about becoming seriously ill, and evenly tied with concerns about affordability of health care.

A THIRD REPORT HAVING GUNS IN THEIR HOUSEHOLDA third of Americans (35 percent) say they live in a household that has a gun. This number is higher among Republicans and those who live in rural areas, of whom half live in a gun-owning household (53 percent). Whites and those with high- incomes are also more likely to report living in a gun-owning household (46 percent).

Feb13Tracking-About a third live in a

Guns Still An Important Aspect Of American Life

Despite experience with, and worries about, gun violence, guns remain a widespread aspect of American life, for some a way to feel safer in a society where such violence is a daily event. Overall, about a third of adults say they live in a gun-owning household [see pull-out section above], and as noted above, this group is less likely than non-gun owners to worry about being a victim of a gun-related crime. When those living in non-gun households are asked whether they would feel safer if they owned a gun, the majority say a gun wouldn’t make much difference to their feelings of safety, either inside or outside the home. But more than one in five in this group say that a gun would make them feel safer, while one in six say it would make them feel less safe. Most non-gun owners whose lives have been touched by gun violence report that the experience did not cause them to consider buying a gun.

FIGURE 8: MAJORITY OF NON-GUN OWNERS SAY OWNING FIREARM WOULD MAKE NO DIFFERENCE TO FEELINGS OF SAFETY
AMONG THOSE LIVING IN NON-GUN HOUSEHOLDS: Do you think owning a gun would make you feel safer, less safe, or make no difference in how safe you feel…SaferLess safeNo difference
…at home25%16%58%
…outside of your home221462

A Majority Of Americans Unaware Law Requires Mental Health Parity

The mass shooting at Sandy Hook Elementary School perpetrated by a disturbed 20-year old man has also increased the national dialogue surrounding the role of the mental health care system in averting similar tragedies. In light of this, we took a closer look at Americans’ experience accessing mental health care, their views on mental health parity, and the extent to which they perceive discrimination against those with serious mental illnesses.

FIGURE 9: MAJORITY OF DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS FAVOR EQUIVALENT BENEFITS FOR MENTAL HEALTH SERVICES
By Insurance Status (among those under age 65)By Party ID
Do you favor or oppose the federal government requiring insurance companies to offer benefits for mental health and substance abuse services that are equivalent to benefits for other medical services?TotalInsuredUninsuredDemIndRep
Favor75%77%79%83%75%64%
Oppose212019122231

Overall, most Americans (75 percent) say they favor “requiring insurance companies to offer benefits for mental health and substance abuse services that are equivalent to benefits for other medical services.” And this idea is widely popular, with majority support across age, race, insurance status, and even political party. At the same time, fewer than four in ten Americans (38 percent) are aware that there is a federal requirement (as part of the Mental Health Parity and Addiction Equity Act of 20083  that certain health plans providing mental health benefits have the same rules regarding copays, deductibles and coverage limits for those benefits as for other medical services. Just as many Americans (40 percent) currently believe insurance plans can have separate rules for mental health benefits, and another 22 percent aren’t sure of what the status is.

Uninsured More Likely To Report Problems Getting Mental Health Care, Most Common Reason Being Cost

Overall, roughly one in ten Americans (8 percent) say someone in their household has had problems getting needed mental health care in the last year, a proportion that rises to two in ten (20 percent) among those currently without health insurance. The most common barrier among those who reported having problems getting mental health care was cost, followed by insurance coverage issues and confusion over where to go for such care. Least commonly expressed reasons were that people were afraid or embarrassed to seek help. Among households that have had experience in the mental health care system, a quarter (25 percent) report that they’ve faced problems getting needed services.

FIGURE 10: PROBLEMS ACCESSING MENTAL HEALTH CARE
In the past 12 months, have you or another family member living in your household had problems getting mental health care, or not? Was each of the following a reason you or your family member had problems getting mental health care, or not?TotalAmong those who live in a household where someone received mental health careAmong those under age 65 and uninsured
Yes, had problems getting mental health care8%25%20%
Because you couldn’t afford the cost61817
Because your insurance wouldn’t cover it4139
Because you or your family member didn’t know where to go to get care3105
Because you or your family member were afraid or embarrassed to seek care for a mental health problem132
No, have not had problems getting mental health care917580

Public Says Discrimination Against People With Serious Mental Illness Is Common, Many Hold Potentially Stigmatizing Attitudes

A large majority of Americans believe that people with serious mental health issues experience discrimination. Overall, 76 percent say these individuals experience at least some prejudice or discrimination, higher than the share who say the same for minorities, women, and people with disabilities. Immigrants are the only group towards which Americans perceive more discrimination.

Figure 11

Those who live in households with direct experience with the mental health care system are somewhat more likely to perceive discrimination against people with serious mental illness than others: 45 percent see a lot of prejudice, versus 35 percent of those who have not dealt with mental health issues in their household.

FIGURE 12: EXPERIENCE WITH MENTAL HEALTH SYSTEM AND VIEWS OF DISCRIMINATION AGAINST THOSE WITH SERIOUS MENTAL ILLNESS
Among those who live in a household where someone…
How much prejudice and discrimination do you think there is against people with serious mental illness in the U.S. today?Total…received mental health care…did not receive mental health care
A lot37%45%35%
Some394039
Only a little161117
None at all637

The February poll suggests that many Americans are themselves uncomfortable with the idea of interacting with people who have a serious mental illness as a general category. For example, two-thirds of parents say they would not feel comfortable having “a person with a serious mental illness” work in their child’s school, and nearly half the public (47 percent) would feel at least somewhat uncomfortable living next door to such a person. Overall, four in ten express discomfort at the idea of having a coworker with a serious mental illness. It is impossible to know the extent to which relatively rare incidents like the one at Sandy Hook Elementary School create a backlash against innocent people with serious mental health issues, and the current survey does not suggest what kind of “serious mental illness” people are thinking of when they respond with “discomfort”.

Figure 13

In a sign of generational differences in views toward mental health, those under age thirty are less likely than older Americans – particularly senior citizens—to say they would be uncomfortable being in consistent proximity to those with serious mental health issues. For example, about six in ten of those under age 30 say they would be at least somewhat comfortable having a neighbor who was seriously mentally ill, while a similar share of those aged 65 and up say they would be at least somewhat uncomfortable. Concerns are also somewhat attenuated among those who’ve had experience with the mental health care system. Those who have experience with mental health issues in their family are much less likely to say they would feel uncomfortable living next door or working with someone who has a serious mental illness. But, possibly showing evidence of Sandy Hook’s lasting influence, even two-thirds of these individuals report discomfort if someone with a serious mental illness worked at their child’s school.

FIGURE 14: THOSE WITH EXPERIENCE IN THE MENTAL HEALTH SYSTEM LESS LIKELY TO FEEL UNCOMFORTABLE WITH PEOPLE WITH SERIOUS MENTAL ILLNESS, EXCEPT WHEN IT COMES TO THEIR CHILDREN
Among those who live in a household where someone…
Percent who say they personally would be uncomfortable with each of the followingTotal…received mental health care…did not receive mental health care
If a person with a serious mental illness worked in your child’s school*66%64%67%
Living next door to someone who has a serious mental illness473850
Working with someone who has a serious mental illness413044
*Among parents with children under the age of 20

This Kaiser Health Tracking Poll was designed and analyzed by public opinion researchers at the Kaiser Family Foundation led by Mollyann Brodie, Ph.D., including Liz Hamel, Claudia Deane, Sarah Cho, Bianca DiJulio, and Becky Hanna. The survey was conducted February 14-19, 2013, among a nationally representative random digit dial telephone sample of 1,209 adults ages 18 and older, living in the United States, including Alaska and Hawaii (note: persons without a telephone could not be included in the random selection process). Computer-assisted telephone interviews conducted by landline (602) and cell phone (607, including 321 who had no landline telephone) were carried out in English and Spanish by Princeton Data Source under the direction of Princeton Survey Research Associates International (PSRAI). Both the landline and cell phone samples were provided by Survey Sampling International, LLC. For the landline sample, respondents were selected by asking for the youngest adult male or female currently at home based on a random rotation. If no one of that gender was available, interviewers asked to speak with the youngest adult of the opposite gender. For the cell phone sample, interviews were conducted with the person who answered the phone.

The combined landline and cell phone sample was weighted to balance the sample demographics to match estimates for the national population data from the Census Bureau’s 2011 American Community Survey (ACS) on sex, age, education, race, Hispanic origin, nativity (for Hispanics only), and region along with data from the 2010 Census on population density. The sample was also weighted to match current patterns of telephone use using data from the January-June 2012 National Health Interview Survey. The weight takes into account the fact that respondents with both a landline and cell phone have a higher probability of selection in the combined sample and also adjusts for the household size for the landline sample. All statistical tests of significance account for the effect of weighting. Weighted and unweighted values for key demographic variables are shown in the table below.

Sample Demographics
UnweightedWeighted
Gender
Male49.0%48.6%
Female51.0%51.4%
Age
18-247.2%12.8%
25-3411.8%16.8%
35-4412.2%17.2%
45-5419.1%19.0%
55-6421.8%16.5%
65+27.9%17.7%
Education
HS Graduate or Less33.0%41.6%
Some College/Assoc. Degree28.9%30.9%
College Grad.38.1%27.5%
Race/Ethnicity
White/not Hispanic74.9%67.5%
Black/not Hispanic9.3%11.6%
Hisp – US born6.5%7.3%
Hisp – born outside5.0%7.3%
Other/not Hispanic4.1%6.3%
Party Identification
Democrat34.6%34.6%
Independent29.6%30.1%
Republican25.3%23.1%
Other6.8%7.8%

The margin of sampling error including the design effect for the full sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. For results based on subgroups, the margin of sampling error may be higher. Sample sizes and margin of sampling errors for other subgroups are available by request. Note that sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error in this or any other public opinion poll.

The response rate calculated based on the American Association of Public Opinion Research’s Response Rate 3 formula was 10 percent for the landline sample and 8 percent for the cell phone sample.

Endnotes

  1. See, for example, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, Sept. 2, 2011, 60(03);1-32, “Mental Illness Surveillance Among Adults in the United States”,  http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6003a1.htm?s_cid=su6003a1_w ↩︎
  2. For more, see “Immigration Reform and Access to Health Coverage: Key Issues to Consider,” February 2013, Kaiser Family Foundation, http://modern.kff.org/uninsured/8420.cfm ↩︎
  3. The Mental Health Parity and Addiction Equity Act (MHPAEA) of 2008 applies to large group plans and requires cost sharing to be the same for mental health and substance abuse treatments as for other types of health care. It does not, however, require employers or health plans to offer mental health or substance abuse benefits. Beginning in 2014, as part of the essential health benefits provisions, the Affordable Care Act requires that health insurance plans offered in the individual market and most small group plans include coverage for mental health and substance abuse and comply with parity laws. For more information on the MHPAEA, see a description of the law by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, available at http://cciio.cms.gov/programs/protections/mhpaea/mhpaea_factsheet.html. For more information on how the ACA extends coverage for mental health and substance abuse services, see http://aspe.hhs.gov/health/reports/2013/mental/rb_mental.cfm. ↩︎

Visualizing Health Policy: The Public’s Health Care Agenda for 2013

Published: Feb 27, 2013

This month’s Visualizing Health Policy infographic looks at the US public’s priorities for health care in 2013, including actions by state governments, Medicaid expansion, Medicare spending, and spending for specific types of public health activities.

Jama Infographic

See the full-size infographic at The Journal of the American Medical Association

The original public opinion poll is available here.

View the related Slideshow

Visualizing Health Policy is a monthly infographic series produced in partnership with the Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA). Each month’s infographic is freely available on JAMA’s website and is published in the print edition of the journal.

Money Follows the Person Medicaid Demonstration Program: Helping People Move Back Home

Published: Feb 25, 2013

This paper contains short profiles four Medicaid beneficiaries who have been helped by Money Follows the Person demonstration programs in Michigan and Washington state.

Roads to Community Living: A Closer Look at Washington State’s Money Follows the Person Demonstration

Published: Feb 25, 2013

This case study looks at Washington state’s Money Follows the Person demonstration program, Roads to Community Living. The program is responsible for assisting over 2,400 Medicaid beneficiaries with complex long-term services and supports (LTSS) needs in transitioning out of institutions back to community-based care settings. Washington State has been a leader in Medicaid LTSS rebalancing efforts over the last two decades. According to the state, in the early 1990s, 82 percent of long-term care funding went toward institutional services, and by 2010, that percentage dropped to 37 percent.

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 Case Study (.pdf)

Case Study: Michigan’s Money Follows the Person Demonstration

Published: Feb 25, 2013

This case study looks at Michigan’s Money Follows the Person (MFP) demonstration program, which has enabled the state to accelerate existing transition activities and increase access to home- and community-based services (HCBS) by providing enhanced federal funds for each MFP participant’s 365-day enrollment period. Through MFP, Michigan is able to provide a comprehensive set of demonstration services in addition to existing HCBS waiver services so that each MFP participant receives the services necessary to transition home and to maintain a community residence.

icon_reports_studies.gif Case Study (.pdf)

Premiums and Cost-Sharing in Medicaid

Published: Feb 25, 2013

Medicaid, the nation’s public health insurance program for low-income people, now covers nearly 60 million Americans, including many working families, low-income elderly, and individuals with disabilities. Medicaid beneficiaries tend to be poorer and sicker than those enrolled in private insurance. Given these characteristics, federal law limits the extent to which states can charge premiums and cost-sharing, particularly for pregnant women, children and adults but allows flexibility for individuals with incomes above 100% of the federal poverty level.

Over the years, Medicaid premiums and cost sharing have been used to limit state program costs, encourage more personal responsibility over health care choices and to better align public coverage with private coverage where states have expanded coverage. However, research shows that premiums and cost sharing can act as barriers to obtaining, maintaining and accessing health coverage and health care services, particularly for individuals with low-incomes and significant health care needs. State savings from cost-sharing and premiums may accrue due to declines in coverage and utilization more so than from increases in revenues. This brief reviews three key questions: What are the current rules about cost-sharing?; What is the status of premiums and cost-sharing in Medicaid today?; and What are the new proposed rules for premiums and cost-sharing?

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 Brief (.pdf)

See related: Premiums and Cost-Sharing in Medicaid: A Review of Research Findings

Premiums and Cost-Sharing in Medicaid: A Review of Research Findings

Published: Feb 25, 2013

Medicaid covers nearly 60 million Americans. Because the population covered by the program is low-income, federal law limits the extent to which states can charge premiums and cost-sharing amounts, particularly for pregnant women, children and adults with incomes below poverty. Yet there is renewed interest in the use of premiums and cost-sharing in Medicaid given the continued focus on cost-containment due to ongoing state budget pressures as well as recently proposed changes to federal regulations on premiums and cost-sharing in Medicaid programs. This brief, based on a review of published research, provides an overview of the effects of cost-sharing and premiums on populations with low income and significant health care needs.

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Brief (.pdf)

See related: Premiums and Cost-Sharing in Medicaid

Quick Take: Medicaid: 3 Key Issues to Watch in 2013

Published: Feb 22, 2013

2013 will be a historic year for Medicaid with the implementation of major provisions to expand coverage and streamline enrollment in the Affordable Care Act (ACA) less than a year away, a surge in activity around care delivery reforms that seek to improve care and potentially reduce costs, and the unfolding of fiscal developments at the state and federal level. Today, Medicaid provides health and long-term care coverage to more than 60 million low-income children, adults, people with disabilities and the elderly. As a major payer of services, Medicaid also provides essential funding to safety‐net providers including hospitals and health centers that provide care to underserved communities and many of the nation’s uninsured. The Medicaid program is also the single largest source of coverage for nursing home and community-based long-term care. Medicaid is administered by states within broad federal rules and financed jointly by states and the federal government.

This brief provides a quick look at the 3 key issues that will shape the program over the next year.

1. The Affordable Care Act (ACA)

Under the ACA, Medicaid eligibility will expand in 2014 to reach millions more poor Americans – mostly, uninsured adults. The ACA will expand Medicaid’s role as a foundation for coverage for most low-income people and as the foundation of a new system of broader health coverage.

Medicaid Coverage Expansion. The ACA expands Medicaid to a national eligibility floor of 138% of the federal poverty level (FPL). The Supreme Court upheld the ACA but limited the federal government’s ability to enforce the Medicaid expansion to low-income adults, effectively making implementation of the Medicaid expansion a state choice. Many governors are making this decision in the context of their proposed state budgets for FY 2014 and state legislatures will act in the spring. For states that move forward, the federal government will fund the vast majority of the costs of the expansion, the number of uninsured will decline and states could see savings related to reductions in uncompensated care costs, shifting other state costs to Medicaid or due to broader economic effects. States that do not move forward with the Medicaid expansion could see large gaps in coverage because individuals with incomes below 100% FPL generally cannot receive subsidies to purchase coverage in the newly established health insurance exchanges and will not gain any new affordable coverage options.

Streamlined Enrollment Systems. Headed into 2013, states are continuing to press forward to develop high-performing eligibility and enrollment systems. During 2012, final regulations were released that outline new requirements for web-based, paperless, real-time eligibility and enrollment processes that will need to be in place by October 1, 2013 for existing and new coverage options beginning in 2014. For many states this will be a huge transformation from their current systems, so it is likely that there will be a transition period and continued improvements beyond the initial implementation of new systems. States also will need to shift to a uniform income eligibility standard (Modified Adjusted Gross Income or MAGI) for most coverage groups and coordinate closely with exchanges in implementing these processes to establish a “no wrong door” enrollment approach, so that, regardless of a person’s point of entry (i.e., an exchange or state Medicaid agency), eligibility is determined for all insurance affordability programs. States must meet these new requirements regardless of whether they expand Medicaid.

What to Watch:

  • How many states will implement the Medicaid expansion?
  • What will these decisions mean for coverage and costs?
  • What progress will states make in transforming enrollment systems over the next year?
  • How will new eligibility and enrollment systems be coordinated with enrollment and applications for coverage in the new health insurance exchanges?

2. Delivery System Reforms

For years, Medicaid programs across the country have been leaders in implementing delivery system reforms to coordinate care, improve outcomes and reduce costs. States are continuing to move forward with an array of delivery system and payment reforms in 2013. Along with delivery system reforms, an increase in primary care physician fees was designed to help improved access to care.

Managed Care and Care Coordination. Over the 2012 to 2013 period, a total of 40 states are adopting new managed care policies primarily by expanding managed care into new geographic areas or by adding eligibility groups. Some states like New York and Texas are implementing major expansions of managed care. Improvement in health plan performance, health care quality, and outcomes are key objectives of Medicaid managed care. Beyond managed care, states are implementing a range of initiatives to coordinate and integrate care beyond traditional managed care. These initiatives are focused on improving care for populations with chronic and complex conditions, aligning payment incentives with performance goals, and building in accountability for high quality care. Nearly all states reported that they have new care coordination efforts underway including health home initiatives, patient-centered medical homes, Accountable Care Organizations, and initiatives to coordinate physical and behavioral health or to coordinate long-term care and acute care services. These changes in care delivery may also be utilized in expanding Medicaid under the ACA.

Initiatives for Dual Eligible Beneficiaries and Long-Term Care. The Medicare-Medicaid Coordination Office (MMCO) and the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation, created under the ACA, are working with states to develop new approaches to improve care for dual eligible beneficiaries. Nearly half of all states are working with MMCO on financial alignment demonstration proposals and additional states are developing alternative initiatives for duals. To date, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) finalized memoranda of understanding (MOUs) with Massachusetts, Washington and Ohio to implement demonstrations to integrate care and align financing for people who are dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid. These three year demonstrations are authorized under Section 1115A of the Social Security Act, which allows the Health and Human Services Secretary to “test innovative payment and service delivery models to reduce program expenditures under” Medicare and Medicaid “while preserving or enhancing the quality of care furnished” to beneficiaries. States are also implementing managed long-term care models and are continuing to shift the delivery of long-term services and supports from institutional care to home and community based care.

Primary Care Physician Fee Increase. Low Medicaid physician fees, physician participation and access have been perennial concerns in Medicaid. To help shore up and enhance physician participation in Medicaid, the health reform law requires states to raise their Medicaid fees to at least Medicare levels, for family physicians, internists, and pediatricians for many primary care services in both fee-for-service and managed care settings. The primary care fee increase, which applies in 2013 and 2014, is fully federally funded up to the difference between a state’s Medicaid fees in effect on July 1, 2009 and Medicare fees in 2013 and 2014. A recent survey indicates that on average, Medicaid physician fees for primary care services will rise by 73% in 2013, but the magnitude of the increase will vary by state.

What to Watch:

  • How will managed care and other care coordination initiatives continue to develop?
  • What service delivery models will be used to cover Medicaid expansion populations?
  • What consumer protections will be put into place as part of the new models?
  • Will these initiatives improve care and save money?
  • How many more states will implement initiatives for dual eligible beneficiaries and how will these changes affect care and costs?
  • How will the primary care fee increase affect participation of providers in Medicaid and access to care?

3. State and Federal Fiscal Realities

State Fiscal Issues. States are continuing to recover from the recent recession as the fiscal outlook for states has started to improve. After experiencing the largest collapse in state tax revenues on record during the most recent recession, state tax revenues have grown for eleven consecutive quarters, but remain weak. In line with improvements in the economy, Medicaid spending and enrollment growth has slowed putting less pressure on overall state budgets. While states remain focused on cost containment, improvements in the economy allow for strategic investments. It is within this context that states will be making broader Medicaid policy changes, advancing efforts to reform delivery systems and making decisions about the ACA Medicaid expansion. Most states start their state fiscal year on July 1, so these decisions will occur throughout the spring.

Federal Deficit Reduction Efforts. Implementation of the automatic spending cuts that were scheduled to go into effect in January 2013 (the sequester) was delayed two months, but there is on-going debate about alternatives that will reduce the federal deficit. Medicaid is exempt from the sequester; however, cuts could be part of an alternate deficit reduction package. Proposals to reduce Medicaid spending have varied in tremendously in size and scope ranging from a block grant that could substantially reduce federal funds for Medicaid and fundamentally change the financing and entitlement structure of the program to more targeted program changes. While the Administration has proposed some Medicaid cuts in the past, White House officials have recently indicated that they no longer support cuts to Medicaid as states are making decisions about how to move forward on the ACA Medicaid expansion. A recent survey shows that the public continues to express a general sense of urgency about addressing the nation’s budget deficit, but most Americans resist changes to entitlement programs. The four areas where most Americans say they would not be willing to see any reductions include public education, Medicare, Social Security and Medicaid. Widespread partisan differences exist on where to cut spending with Republicans more likely than Democrats to be willing to cut spending in nearly every area, except national defense.

What to Watch:

  • What Medicaid policy changes will be included in state budgets for state fiscal year 2014?
  • Will the automatic federal spending cuts go into effect?
  • How will these changes affect state budgets?
  • If the sequester is avoided, what alternate federal deficit reductions will be put into place and what will be the effect on Medicaid and state budgets?

For More Information See the Following Kaiser Family Foundation Resources:

Getting into Gear for 2014: Briefing, Survey Examine 2013 Data From 50-State Survey of Medicaid and CHIP Eligibility and Enrollment Policies, January 2013. http://www.kff.org/event/getting-into-gear-for-2014-briefing-survey-examine-2013-data-from-50-state-survey-of-medicaid-and-chip-eligibility-and-enrollment-policies/

Medicaid Today; Preparing for Tomorrow A Look at State Medicaid Program Spending, Enrollment and Policy Trends Results from a 50-State Medicaid Budget Survey for State Fiscal Years 2012 and 2013. October, 2012. http://www.kff.org/report/medicaid-today-preparing-for-tomorrow-a-look/, Fact Sheet: http://www.kff.org/fact-sheet/state-fiscal-conditions-and-medicaid-program-changes/

Medicaid Home and Community-Based Service Programs: 2009 Data Update. December, 2012. http://www.kff.org/report/medicaid-home-and-community-based-service-programs/

How Much Will Medicaid Physician Fees for Primary Care Rise in 2013? Evidence from a 2012 Survey of Medicaid Physician Fees. December 2012. http://www.kff.org/issue-brief/how-much-will-medicaid-physician-fees-for/

Explaining the State Integrated Care and Financial Alignment Demonstrations for Dual Eligible Beneficiaries, October 2012. http://www.kff.org/issue-brief/explaining-the-state-integrated-care-and-financial/

The Public’s Policy Agenda for the 113th Congress, January 2013. http://www.kff.org/poll-finding/the-publics-policy-agenda-for-the-113th-congress/

JAMA Forum: Great Expectations and the Affordable Care Act

Author:
Published: Feb 20, 2013

“Great Expectations and the Affordable Care Act,” Larry Levitt’s February 2013 post for The JAMA Forum, is now available online.