Tracking the Affordable Care Act Provisions in the 2025 Reconciliation Bill May 20, 2025 Page KFF is tracking the Medicaid provisions in the 2025 federal budget bill, including new Medicaid work and verification requirements and a reduction in the expansion match rate for states that use their own funds to cover undocumented immigrants.
How Will the 2025 Reconciliation Bill Affect the Uninsured Rate in Each State?: Allocating CBO’s Partial Estimates of Coverage Loss May 20, 2025 Issue Brief Legislation passed by the Energy and Commerce Committee could increase the number of people without health insurance by 8.6 million, due largely to changes to Medicaid and the ACA. Combining the provisions with the effect of the expected expiration of the ACA’s enhanced premium tax credits, CBO expects 13.7 million more people will be uninsured in 2034.
The Spotlight Is on Medicaid Cuts, But the ACA Marketplaces Could See a One-Third Cut in Enrollment May 20, 2025 From Drew Altman In his latest column, President and CEO Drew Altman shows how proposals contained in the House reconciliation bill could result in a one-third reduction in ACA Marketplace enrollment. “While all eyes are on the big Medicaid cuts being proposed in the House,” he writes, “significant changes are also being proposed that together would dramatically reduce enrollment in the ACA Marketplaces.”
Marketplace Enrollees with Unpredictable Incomes Could Face Bigger Penalties Under House Reconciliation Bill Provision May 19, 2025 Issue Brief This analysis illustrates how provisions included in the House budget reconciliation bill could expose Marketplace enrollees with unpredictable incomes to higher penalties when filing taxes if they underestimate their incomes. About one in four potential Marketplace shoppers had incomes that varied at least 20 percent from the beginning to the end of the year.
