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The ACA MarketplaceS

Change in February effectuated enrollment, by state, 2025-2026

How Has ACA Marketplace Enrollment Changed Across States in 2026?

ACA Marketplace enrollment fell this year in every state except New Mexico, which was the only state to fully replace the enhanced premium tax credits that expired last year with a state-funded subsidy, according to a new KFF analysis of effectuated enrollment data. The Marketplace enrollment decline—the first in seven years—follows several years of rapid enrollment growth and coincides with the end of the enhanced federal subsidies.

How Much and Why ACA Marketplace Premiums Are Going Up in 2027

ACA Marketplaces insurers are proposing a median premium increase of 15% in 2027, according to KFF’s updated analysis of 276 insurers with publicly available filings across all 50 states and the District of Columbia. This is the second consecutive year of double-digit premium hikes. Last year’s median nationwide proposed rate change was 18%, and the median finalized rate change was 20%. While this proposed rate change is lower than last year, it represents the second-highest requested rate change since 2018, as premium growth had been relatively flat in this market for several years.

About the ACA

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Did the Affordable Care Act Make Health Care More Affordable?

The expiration of the ACA’s enhanced premium tax credits at the start of 2026, combined with rising insurer premiums, put a spotlight on health care affordability that extends beyond Marketplace enrollees. KFF’s Cynthia Cox examines the ACA’s record and the broader underlying question it raises: what’s a fair price for Americans people to pay for health care?

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  • It’s Not Obamacare Anymore. It’s Our National Health-Care System.

    From Drew Altman

    In this Washington Post op-ed, Drew Altman and Larry Levitt discuss why the latest Republican effort to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act failed and what it will take for congress and the administration to address the next challenge, providing long-term stability to the ACA marketplaces.

  • What’s the Near-Term Outlook for the Affordable Care Act?

    News Release

    With congressional Republicans’ efforts to repeal the Affordable Care Act on hold, a new issue brief from the Kaiser Family Foundation answers questions about the current state of the 2010 health law, zeroing in on the individual insurance marketplaces that the law established. Questions addressed by the brief include: Is Obamacare failing? How would administrative actions affect market stability? What happens if the market fails? What might be done to strengthen the Marketplaces?

  • Early Analysis of 21 Major Cities Tracks ACA Marketplace Premium Changes, Insurer Participation, Uncertainty

    News Release

    As insurers grapple with continuing uncertainty surrounding 2018 Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplaces, a new Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of initial filings in 21 major cities finds that changes in 2018 benchmark silver plan premiums are likely to range widely, from a decrease of 5 percent in Providence, R.I., to an increase of 49 percent in Wilmington, Del., without factoring in tax credits. However, the analysis finds that preliminary rates will likely change, and some…

  • How to Keep ACA Stabilization Narrow

    From Drew Altman

    In this column for Axios, Drew Altman discusses the main challenges for members and media coverage as members take up the issue of stabilization of the Affordable Care Act.

  • Analysis: 6.3 Million People with Pre-Existing Conditions Would Be at Risk for Higher Premiums under the House’s Health Bill

    News Release

    A new Kaiser Family Foundation analysis estimates that 6.3 million people -- 23 percent of 27.4 million non-elderly adults with a gap of several months in insurance coverage in 2015 – could potentially face higher premiums under the House’s American Health Care Act (AHCA), due to pre-existing health conditions. The bill, which passed the House earlier this month, allows states to waive community rating in the individual insurance market. Insurers in states with such waivers…

  • Democrats Like Medicare-for-All, but Swing Voters Don’t

    From Drew Altman

    Medicare-for-all is popular with Democrats in battleground states, but not with swing voters. In this Axios column, Drew Altman discusses the implications of the KFF-Cook Political Report poll findings. 

  • How Many of the Uninsured Can Purchase a Marketplace Plan for Free in 2020?

    Issue Brief

    This analysis looks at how many of the remaining uninsured are eligible for premium subsidies that are large enough to cover the entire cost of a bronze plan, which is the minimum level of coverage available on the Marketplaces. It estimates 28% of uninsured individuals who could shop on the ACA Marketplace, or 4.7 million people nationwide, are eligible to purchase a bronze plan with $0 premiums after subsidies in 2020.

  • Surprise Bills Often Hit in Emergencies

    From Drew Altman

    In an Axios column, Drew Altman previews new data highlighting that people with critical health issues are especially vulnerable to these bills. 

  • Analysis: 4.7 Million Uninsured People Nationally Could Get a No-Premium Bronze Plan in the ACA Marketplace,Though Deductibles Would be High

    News Release

    As the Affordable Care Act’s open enrollment period nears an end in most areas this week, a new KFF analysis finds that 4.7 million currently uninsured people could get a bronze-level plan for 2020 and pay nothing in premiums after factoring in tax credits, though the deductibles would be high. That works out to 28 percent of the 16.7 million uninsured individuals who are potential customers for coverage through ACA marketplaces. Half of the uninsured…