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The ACA MarketplaceS

Change in February effectuated enrollment, by state, 2025-2026

How Has ACA Marketplace Enrollment Changed Across States in 2026?

ACA Marketplace enrollment fell this year in every state except New Mexico, which was the only state to fully replace the enhanced premium tax credits that expired last year with a state-funded subsidy, according to a new KFF analysis of effectuated enrollment data. The Marketplace enrollment decline—the first in seven years—follows several years of rapid enrollment growth and coincides with the end of the enhanced federal subsidies.

How Much and Why ACA Marketplace Premiums Are Going Up in 2027

ACA Marketplaces insurers are proposing a median premium increase of 15% in 2027, according to KFF’s updated analysis of 276 insurers with publicly available filings across all 50 states and the District of Columbia. This is the second consecutive year of double-digit premium hikes. Last year’s median nationwide proposed rate change was 18%, and the median finalized rate change was 20%. While this proposed rate change is lower than last year, it represents the second-highest requested rate change since 2018, as premium growth had been relatively flat in this market for several years.

About the ACA

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Did the Affordable Care Act Make Health Care More Affordable?

The expiration of the ACA’s enhanced premium tax credits at the start of 2026, combined with rising insurer premiums, put a spotlight on health care affordability that extends beyond Marketplace enrollees. KFF’s Cynthia Cox examines the ACA’s record and the broader underlying question it raises: what’s a fair price for Americans people to pay for health care?

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  • Is it Too Late for ACA Insurers to Change Their Premiums?

    Quick Insights

    Affordable Care Act Marketplace insurers are raising premiums by an average of 18% next year, due in part to the expiring enhanced premium tax credits. Even if the credits are extended in shutdown negotiations, it is unlikely that insurers will have time to revise premiums, though the credits would still offer enrollees relief from them.

  • A Steep Subsidy Cliff Looms for Older Middle-Income Enrollees if ACA Enhanced Tax Credits Expire

    Quick Insights

    The expiration of the ACA enhanced premium tax credits at the end of this year would reintroduce the “subsidy cliff,” which abruptly ends the credit for Marketplace enrollees earning over 400% of poverty. That means some middle-income enrollees, especially older ones, would spend a much larger share of their income on premium payments than those earning just slightly less with the credit.

  • As ACA Deadline Approaches, Some Price-Sensitive Consumers May Consider Switching to Short-Term Plans

    Quick Insights

    As the ACA open enrollment deadline approaches amid the expiration of the enhanced premium tax credits, nearly six in 10 Marketplace enrollees say they would not be able to afford $300 more in annual health care costs, which may lead some to alternative coverage products, such as short-term plans, a type of private coverage that tends to have lower premiums but few consumer protections and limited benefits.

  • Navigating Uncertainty: The Latest Challenge to the Title X Family Planning Safety Net

    Quick Insights

    The Administration's latest funding deadline and guidance shift intensifies pressure to the reproductive health safety net at a time when the number of uninsured individuals is projected to rise due to Medicaid cuts and expiration of enhanced Affordable Care Act premium tax credits, and Planned Parenthood clinics have lost their federal Medicaid funding.

  • After 16 Years, Partisans Still View the Affordable Care Act Very Differently

    Quick Insights

    On the 16th anniversary of the Affordable Care Act’s (ACA) passage, most of the public (61%) view the law favorably, though opinions and debates remain as partisan as ever....As voters continue to grapple with the affordability of coverage and care, the partisan legacy of the ACA will almost certainly figure into debates about health care costs this fall.

  • Grandfathering Explained

    Perspective

    The Republican leadership in the House of Representatives recently indicated that it will be seeking to repeal regulations under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) that govern the “grandfathered” status of health plans. As this aspect of the health reform law gets more scrutiny, it may be useful to review some of the specifics of how grandfathering works. The purpose of grandfathering: As provisions of the ACA go into effect, grandfathering provides for a smoother transition by…