Affordable Care Act

The ACA MarketplaceS

How Has Marketplace Enrollment Changed Across States in 2026?

Following several years of rapid enrollment growth in the ACA Marketplaces that corresponded with temporary enhanced premium tax credits, enrollment fell for the first time in seven years in 2026, when those tax credits expired. Every state except for New Mexico saw a drop in Marketplace enrollment from 2025 to 2026. State-based Marketplaces that run their own enrollment platforms, including those that partially offset the enhanced tax credits, generally saw lower drops in enrollment.

About the ACA

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Did the Affordable Care Act Make Health Care More Affordable?

The expiration of the ACA’s enhanced premium tax credits at the start of 2026, combined with rising insurer premiums, put a spotlight on health care affordability that extends beyond Marketplace enrollees. KFF’s Cynthia Cox examines the ACA’s record and the broader underlying question it raises: what’s a fair price for Americans people to pay for health care?

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  • Back to the Future? A look back at High-Risk Pools

    Quick Insights

    Sen. Vance suggested moving higher-risk individuals to different insurance risk pools than healthier ones... What could such a policy mean for health coverage and costs?

  • What did Sen. JD Vance mean by ‘Reinsurance?’

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    Vance’s debate comment likely refers to state reinsurance waivers, largely approved by the Trump Administration. These waivers aimed to lower unsubsidized premiums by offsetting insurer costs for very sick enrollees.

  • Why Might Republicans Consider Extending Obamacare Tax Credits?

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    KFF Vice President Cynthia Cox takes a broader look at the expiring enhanced tax credits, which Congressional Democrats have made central to their government funding demands, and how they lower health costs for many traditionally Republican constituencies, such as people in southern states, small business owners and employees, farmers and ranchers, older adults, and rural Americans.

  • Is it Too Late for ACA Insurers to Change Their Premiums?

    Quick Insights

    Affordable Care Act Marketplace insurers are raising premiums by an average of 18% next year, due in part to the expiring enhanced premium tax credits. Even if the credits are extended in shutdown negotiations, it is unlikely that insurers will have time to revise premiums, though the credits would still offer enrollees relief from them.

  • A Steep Subsidy Cliff Looms for Older Middle-Income Enrollees if ACA Enhanced Tax Credits Expire

    Quick Insights

    The expiration of the ACA enhanced premium tax credits at the end of this year would reintroduce the “subsidy cliff,” which abruptly ends the credit for Marketplace enrollees earning over 400% of poverty. That means some middle-income enrollees, especially older ones, would spend a much larger share of their income on premium payments than those earning just slightly less with the credit.