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Did the Affordable Care Act Make Health Care More Affordable?

The expiration of the ACA’s enhanced premium tax credits at the start of 2026, combined with rising insurer premiums, put a spotlight on health care affordability that extends beyond Marketplace enrollees. KFF’s Cynthia Cox examines the ACA’s record and the broader underlying question it raises: what’s a fair price for Americans people to pay for health care?

The ACA MarketplaceS

In Preliminary Rate Filings, ACA Marketplace Insurers Largely Propose Double-Digit Premium Increase For 2027, Following a Steep Climb This Year 

ACA Marketplace insurers are proposing a median premium increase of 14% for 2027— indicating a likely second consecutive year of double-digit increases, according to a new analysis of preliminary rate filings in 16 states and DC. If these increases hold, typical premiums for insurers participating in the ACA Marketplaces would jump by more than one-third between 2025 and 2027.

The Average Marketplace Deductible Grew by About $1,000 Per Person in 2026, With More Enrollees Shifting to Higher-Deductible Plans as Enhanced Tax Credits Expired

The average Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplace deductible experienced the steepest increase in history—growing by 37% or over $1,000, from $2,759 in 2025 to $3,786 in 2026 as enhanced premium tax credits expired, according to a new KFF analysis. After the enhanced tax credits ended, many Marketplace shoppers shifted toward lower-premium, higher-deductible plans.

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  • Data Note: How Has the Individual Insurance Market Grown Under the Affordable Care Act?

    Issue Brief

    This data note examines changes in the individual insurance market under the Affordable Care Act. Through analysis of filings by insurers to state insurance departments, the Kaiser Family Foundation estimates that the number of people enrolled in the individual insurance market grew 40 percent from the end-of-year 2013 to the end-of-year 2014 and has likely continued growing in 2015 as well.

  • Evolving Picture of Nine Safety-Net Hospitals: Implications of the ACA and Other Strategies

    Issue Brief

    Safety-net hospitals are an integral part of the U.S. health care landscape, providing care to some of the nation’s most medically vulnerable populations, including Medicaid enrollees and the uninsured. With the implementation of the Affordable Care Act (ACA), the U.S. health care system is rapidly changing, and safety-net hospitals need to make major adjustments to survive in the post-reform environment. This brief draws on interviews with executives at nine safety-net hospital systems and examines how…

  • Briefing on the ACA in CA: Year One & Beyond

    Event Date:
    Event

    Continuing an effort to explore Affordable Care Act (ACA) implementation in the states, the Kaiser Family Foundation and the Blue Shield of California Foundation examined ACA implementation in California (CA) at a Sacramento, Calif. briefing and panel discussion on May 28. A state official, experts and advocates discussed issues and challenges related to implementation of the law, and the practical impact of providing coverage to roughly 4.5 million Californians who have coverage via the state…

  • Minimum Contraceptive Coverage Requirements Clarified by HHS Guidance

    Issue Brief

    New HHS clarification on ACA contraceptive coverage requirement specifies that insurance plans must cover at no cost to women all of the 18 contraceptive methods approved by the FDA.  If a provider recommends a specific option or product, plans must cover it at no cost as well. Minimum Contraceptive Coverage Requirements Clarified by HHS GuidanceContraceptive MethodProducts/OptionsMust CoverSurgical sterilizationAlso called tubal ligation√Implant sterilizationOnly Essure available√Implantable RodMultiple√ at least 1IUD - CopperOnly ParaGard available√IUD - ProgestinMultiple√ at least 1InjectionMultiple√ at…

  • Nearly Half of the Uninsured, or 15.7 Million People, Are Eligible for Medicaid or Subsidized Affordable Care Act Coverage, Analysis Finds

    News Release

    State-Level Numbers Provide Estimates of How Many Could Be Reached During Third ACA Open Enrollment Period Weeks away from the Affordable Care Act’s third open enrollment period, a new Kaiser Family Foundation analysis finds nearly half (49% or 15.7 million) of the 32.3 million nonelderly people in the United States without health insurance at the beginning of 2015 are eligible for Medicaid or subsidized coverage through an ACA marketplace. On a state level, the share…

  • JAMA Forum: Why the Ruckus Over the Cadillac Plan Tax?

    Perspective

    Larry Levitt’s October 2015 post explains the terms of the much-debated Cadillac plan tax, how it is designed to reduce health costs, and how it could end up shifting more costs to workers.

  • Analysis of Insurer Participation in 2016 Marketplaces

    Issue Brief

    As Marketplace enrollees begin to shop for coverage starting in 2016, the number of insurance choices available to them is changing in some parts of the country.  In early 2015, an average of 6.1 insurer groups offered coverage in each state, up from an average of 5.0 in 2014.  Since then, some insurers have announced their exit or been required to withdraw from the Marketplaces, most notably a number of nonprofit Consumer Operated and Oriented…