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Affordable Care Act Signups Are Down, But Still an Incomplete Picture

Data from CMS may not fully show how much the expiration of the enhanced premium tax credits has affected enrollment in the ACA Marketplaces. The extent of enrollment changes likely won’t be known until this summer, when effectuated enrollment data are typically released.
DATA

Marketplace Enrollment Snapshot for Open Enrollment 2026

ANALYSIS

Higher Premium Payments or Higher Deductibles: The ACA's Tradeoffs

QUIZ

Test Your Knowledge of the Affordable Care Act

ANALYSIS

Competition Increased in Individual Market But Fell in Fully Insured Group Markets

Enhanced Premium tax credits

2025 KFF Marketplace Enrollees Survey

If their premium payments double, about one in three ACA enrollees say they would be “very likely” to look for a lower-premium Marketplace plan.

Updated Larry QT on ePTCs

There is No Drop-Dead Date for an ACA Tax Credit Extension, But Coverage Losses Will Mount as the Clock Ticks

A discharge petition in the House paves the way for a vote on a three-year extension of the tax credits, which would provide ACA enrollees premium relief whenever it comes. While there is still time to extend the enhanced tax credits, with each passing day, more and more ACA Marketplace enrollees are going to drop their health insurance when faced with eye-popping increases in their premium payments, writes KFF’s Larry Levitt.

Timely insights and analysis from KFF staff

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  • Medicaid Expansion, Health Coverage, and Spending: An Update for the 21 States That Have Not Expanded Eligibility

    Issue Brief

    Ever since the Supreme Court ruled in June 2012 that states could effectively choose whether or not to accept the Affordable Care Act’s expansion of Medicaid eligibility, that choice has been one of the most prominent and often one of the most contentious issues for states. In this report, we provide new projections of the impact of Medicaid expansion on health coverage, Medicaid enrollment, and costs in states that have not expanded Medicaid.

  • Americans’ Health Priorities Diverge From Washington’s Focus on Obamacare

    News Release

    In his latest column for The Wall Street Journal's Think Tank, Drew Altman finds the public’s health-care priorities have more to do with drug costs and other real-world issues people deal with using the health-care system than the ongoing partisan wrangling over the Affordable Care Act. All previous columns by Drew Altman are available online.

  • Briefing on the ACA in CA: Year One & Beyond

    Event Date:
    Event

    Continuing an effort to explore Affordable Care Act (ACA) implementation in the states, the Kaiser Family Foundation and the Blue Shield of California Foundation examined ACA implementation in California (CA) at a Sacramento, Calif. briefing and panel discussion on May 28. A state official, experts and advocates discussed issues and challenges related to implementation of the law, and the practical impact of providing coverage to roughly 4.5 million Californians who have coverage via the state marketplace or the Medi-Cal expansion.

  • Community Health Centers: A 2013 Profile and Prospects as ACA Implementation Proceeds

    Issue Brief

    Community health centers are an integral part of the health care safety-net, providing access to care for nearly 22 million people in underserved communities. The ACA established trust fund for health center growth, and with increased patient revenues attributable to expanded coverage, health centers’ grant funding to support care of the uninsured can go further. This brief provides a 2013 data profile of health centers; highlights pre-ACA differences between health centers in Medicaid expansion and non-expansion states; and considers financial challenges facing health centers and the implications of state Medicaid decisions, the outcome of King v. Burwell, and the approaching sunset of the special trust fund for health centers’ capacity to ensure access to care for the communities they serve.

  • Repayments and Refunds: Estimating the Effects of 2014 Premium Tax Credit Reconciliation

    Issue Brief

    This analysis estimates the range of repayment or refund amounts of the advanced premium tax credits issued to enrollees who experience income volatility between the time of enrollment and tax credit reconciliation. Using a simulation model among all households eligible for advance payments of the premium tax credits under the Affordable Care Act, it estimates that half would owe a repayment while 45 percent would be issued a refund of some or all of premium subsidies received.

  • At Five Year Anniversary of the ACA, Gap Between Favorable and Unfavorable Views Among The Public Narrows to Smallest Spread in More Than Two Years

    News Release

    Most Expect Negative Consequences if Supreme Court Prohibits Subsidies in States Without Their Own Insurance Exchanges; Two Thirds of the Public and Those in Affected States Want Congress or Their State to Close Any Gaps As April 15 Tax Deadline Nears, Nearly Half Unaware Insurance Reporting Requirement Starts This Year Five years after President Obama…

  • Measles Outbreak and Vaccination Debate Capture Public’s Attention

    News Release

    Those Following Measles Story More Likely To Say They Worry About the DiseaseThe public paid more attention to news coverage of the measles outbreak in the U.S. and the resulting debate on whether vaccinations should be required for all kids than any other news story included in this month's Kaiser Health Policy News Index.

  • JAMA Forum: Why the Ruckus Over the Cadillac Plan Tax?

    Perspective

    Larry Levitt’s October 2015 post explains the terms of the much-debated Cadillac plan tax, how it is designed to reduce health costs, and how it could end up shifting more costs to workers.