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The Enhanced Premium Tax Credits

About Half of Adults with ACA Marketplace Coverage are Small Business Owners, Employees, or Self-Employed

About Half of Adults with ACA Marketplace Coverage are Small Business Employees or Self-Employed and Could Face Higher Premiums Soon

About half (48%) of adults with ACA Marketplace coverage are employed by small businesses or are self-employed and could face higher premiums soon. Because the vast majority of individual market coverage is purchased through the Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplaces, changes to the ACA, including the expiration of the enhanced premium tax credits at the end of this year, would have significant implications for what small business owners and workers spend on their health care.

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ACA Marketplace Plans Nationally Are Seeking a Median 18% Premium Increase for 2026

This analysis of insurers’ initial rate filings for Affordable Care Act Marketplace plans in all 50 states and DC finds the median proposed increase for 2026 is 18%, more than double last year’s proposed increase. The analysis also shows proposed rate changes by state and insurer.


Tariffs Are Driving up Premiums for Small Businesses

Estimates of Additional Uninsured People Across the States

ACA Provisions in the 2025 Federal Budget Reconciliation Law

Health Insurance Marketplace Calculator

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  • ACA Preventive Services at the Supreme Court

    Quick Take

    If the Court rules in favor of Braidwood, private health insurers would no longer be required to cover, without cost sharing, certain preventive services recommended by USPTF after 2010 when the ACA was enacted.

  • KFF Health Tracking Poll: Public Weighs Health Care Spending and Other Priorities for Incoming Administration

    Feature

    With the incoming Trump administration and Republican-led Congress looking to ways to reduce federal spending, this Poll finds that the Medicare and Medicaid programs remain broadly popular, and more people favor more spending on those programs than less spending. Among potential actions on health, the public sees price transparency and limiting chemicals in food as top priorities. Few say so about cuts to Medicaid and restrictions on abortion.

  • Claims Denials and Appeals in ACA Marketplace Plans in 2023

    Issue Brief

    This brief analyzes federal transparency data released by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) on claims denials and appeals for non-group qualified health plans (QHPs) offered on HealthCare.gov in 2023. It finds that HealthCare.gov insurers denied nearly one out of every five claims (19%) submitted for in-network services. Information about the reasons for denials is limited, and few consumers appeal claims denials.

  • What’s Next for the Affordable Care Act?

    Event Date:
    Event

    Health coverage enrollment through the ACA marketplaces now exceeds 24 million people, a dramatic increase in recent years fueled largely by enhanced premium aid. With the subsidies set to expire at the end of this year, Congress and the Trump Administration will be faced with a choice of whether and how to extend the subsidies, alongside broader discussion about the budget. On February 10, KFF’s Larry Levitt moderated a 45-minute virtual discussion with an expert panel to explore these questions and more about the future of the ACA.

  • The Rubber is About to Hit the Road on Medicaid Cuts

    Quick Take

    Once Republicans in Congress get specific about Medicaid cuts, it will become more tangible and clearer who will be affected. Changes to the status quo in health care rarely get more popular when the details get filled in.

  • The Debate About Enhanced Premium Tax Credits Begins to Emerge (Finally)

    From Drew Altman

    In his latest column, president and CEO Drew Altman discusses why debate about extending the ACA enhanced tax credits set to expire this year has been slow to develop, and why it could matter to Republicans politically if the tax credits are not extended.

  • How Pending Health-Related Lawsuits Could be Impacted by the Incoming Trump Administration

    Issue Brief

    This brief provides an overview of current lawsuits in health policy including preventive services, abortion care, gender affirming care, Medicare drug price negotiations, nursing home staffing rules, private coverage consumer protections, and protections and health coverage for Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) recipients; how they may be affected by the incoming Trump administration; and the implications of their potential outcomes.

  • How Might Changes to the ACA Marketplace Impact Enrollees with Mental Health Conditions?

    Issue Brief

    This brief estimates the number of current Marketplace enrollees with a mental health diagnosis to understand what changes in enrollment may mean for access to services. Among the 24.3 million Marketplace enrollees in 2025, over 4.4 million individuals are estimated to have at least one mental health diagnosis on a health care claim.

  • Fraud in Marketplace Enrollment and Eligibility: Five Things to Know

    Issue Brief

    This brief evaluates what is currently known about fraud and abuse in the Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplace, including how the final Marketplace Integrity and Affordability Rule and the recently enacted budget reconciliation law change existing Marketplace enrollment and eligibility standards.