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Did the Affordable Care Act Make Health Care More Affordable?

The expiration of the ACA’s enhanced premium tax credits at the start of 2026, combined with rising insurer premiums, put a spotlight on health care affordability that extends beyond Marketplace enrollees. KFF’s Cynthia Cox examines the ACA’s record and the broader underlying question it raises: what’s a fair price for Americans people to pay for health care?

The ACA MarketplaceS

In Preliminary Rate Filings, ACA Marketplace Insurers Largely Propose Double-Digit Premium Increase For 2027, Following a Steep Climb This Year 

ACA Marketplace insurers are proposing a median premium increase of 14% for 2027— indicating a likely second consecutive year of double-digit increases, according to a new analysis of preliminary rate filings in 16 states and DC. If these increases hold, typical premiums for insurers participating in the ACA Marketplaces would jump by more than one-third between 2025 and 2027.

The Average Marketplace Deductible Grew by About $1,000 Per Person in 2026, With More Enrollees Shifting to Higher-Deductible Plans as Enhanced Tax Credits Expired

The average Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplace deductible experienced the steepest increase in history—growing by 37% or over $1,000, from $2,759 in 2025 to $3,786 in 2026 as enhanced premium tax credits expired, according to a new KFF analysis. After the enhanced tax credits ended, many Marketplace shoppers shifted toward lower-premium, higher-deductible plans.

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  • I am covered by Medicaid, but I’m wondering if I can drop my Medicaid and purchase one of the health plans offered through the Marketplace instead?

    FAQs

    While you are allowed to purchase Marketplace coverage, if you are currently covered by Medicaid or have been told you are eligible for Medicaid, you are not eligible for premium tax credits that make Marketplace coverage more affordable for people with lower incomes. Without the Marketplace tax credits, the cost of a Marketplace plan will likely be unaffordable. Medicaid offers comprehensive coverage with no or low premiums and limited out-of-pocket costs.

  • Me enteré que mi cobertura de Medicaid terminó. ¿Qué hago ahora?

    FAQs

    Si pierde Medicaid pero cree que aún califica, comuníquese con su agencia de Medicaid. Si su cobertura terminó hace menos de 90 días, es posible que pueda enviar los formularios y documentos requeridos y restablecer su cobertura. En este caso, su cobertura será retroactiva a su fecha de baja. Si su cobertura terminó hace más de 90 días, es probable que deba volver a aplicar para Medicaid. Si la agencia de Medicaid dice que usted…

  • ACA Marketplace Enrollees Will See Steep Increases in Premium Payments in 2026 if Enhanced Subsidies Expire

    News Release

    Without the enhanced subsidies in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplace enrollees in 12 of the states that use HealthCare.gov would see their annual premium payments at least double on average, according to a new KFF analysis. Enrollees in three states would see the steepest annual increases: Wyoming (195% or $1,872), Alaska (125% or $1,836), and West Virginia (133% or $1,404), and premiums would rise by an average of 93% or…

  • A Look at State Efforts to Ban Cellphones in Schools and Implications for Youth Mental Health

    Issue Brief

    Education leaders and policymakers are turning to cellphone bans in schools to help address youth mental health concerns and improve learning, an idea that has largely received bipartisan support. Cellphone ban legislation has had a resurgence following advisories from the U.S. Surgeon General on youth mental health and the impacts of social media. Research on the effectiveness of these bans, however, is limited, and challenges with implementation and enforcement remain.

  • How Might Changes to the ACA Marketplace Impact Enrollees with Mental Health Conditions?

    Issue Brief

    This brief estimates the number of current Marketplace enrollees with a mental health diagnosis to understand what changes in enrollment may mean for access to services. Among the 24.3 million Marketplace enrollees in 2025, over 4.4 million individuals are estimated to have at least one mental health diagnosis on a health care claim.

  • We’ve Never Seen Health Care Cuts This Big

    Perspective

    In this July 1 column for The New York Times Opinion section, KFF Executive Vice President for Health Policy Larry Levitt explains how the budget reconciliation bill passed by the Senate on July 1 is effectively a partial repeal of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) and, if signed into law, the resulting reductions in Medicaid and ACA Marketplace coverage would make it "the biggest rollback in federal support for health coverage ever."

  • Insurers’ Preliminary Rate Filings Anticipate Biggest Increases in ACA Marketplace Plan Premiums Since 2018

    News Release

    This analysis of preliminary rate filings submitted by 105 ACA Marketplace insurers in 19 states and DC shows that ACA Marketplace insurers are requesting a median premium increase of 15% for 2026, which would represent the largest hike in premiums since 2018, the last time policy uncertainty contributed to sharp premium growth. The scheduled expiration of enhanced tax credits and impact of tariffs on some drugs, medical equipment, and supplies are among the factors pushing…

  • KFF Health Tracking Poll: Public Views on Recent Tax and Budget Legislation

    Poll Finding

    KFF's Health Tracking Poll looks at awareness and perceived impact of the tax and budget law signed by Trump in July 2025. Nearly half of the public says that they expect the new law to generally hurt them and their families, about twice the share who say it will generally help. The law itself remains largely unpopular, with many more people holding unfavorable views than favorable ones.