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The Enhanced Premium Tax Credits

About Half of Adults with ACA Marketplace Coverage are Small Business Owners, Employees, or Self-Employed

About Half of Adults with ACA Marketplace Coverage are Small Business Employees or Self-Employed and Could Face Higher Premiums Soon

About half (48%) of adults with ACA Marketplace coverage are employed by small businesses or are self-employed and could face higher premiums soon. Because the vast majority of individual market coverage is purchased through the Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplaces, changes to the ACA, including the expiration of the enhanced premium tax credits at the end of this year, would have significant implications for what small business owners and workers spend on their health care.

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ACA Marketplace Plans Nationally Are Seeking a Median 18% Premium Increase for 2026

This analysis of insurers’ initial rate filings for Affordable Care Act Marketplace plans in all 50 states and DC finds the median proposed increase for 2026 is 18%, more than double last year’s proposed increase. The analysis also shows proposed rate changes by state and insurer.


Tariffs Are Driving up Premiums for Small Businesses

Estimates of Additional Uninsured People Across the States

ACA Provisions in the 2025 Federal Budget Reconciliation Law

Health Insurance Marketplace Calculator

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  • Eliminating the Medicaid Expansion Federal Match Rate: State-by-State Estimates

    Issue Brief

    This analysis examines the potential impacts on states and Medicaid enrollees of eliminating the 90% federal match rate for the Affordable Care Act (ACA) expansion. Eliminating the federal match rate for adults in the Medicaid expansion could reduce Medicaid spending by nearly one-fifth ($1.9 trillion) over a 10-year period and up to nearly a quarter of all Medicaid enrollees (20 million people) could lose coverage.

  • About Half of Adults with ACA Marketplace Coverage are Small Business Owners, Employees, or Self-Employed

    About Half of Adults with ACA Marketplace Coverage are Small Business Owners, Employees, or Self-Employed

    Issue Brief

    This analysis estimates that 48% of adults under age 65 with individual market coverage are either employed by a small business with fewer than 25 workers, self-employed entrepreneurs, or small business owners. Because the vast majority of this coverage is purchased through the Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplaces, changes to the ACA, including the expiration of the enhanced premium tax credits at the end of this year, would have significant implications for what small business owners and workers spend on their health care.

  • KFF Health Tracking Poll: Economic Hardship, Health Coverage, And The ACA

    Feature

    This poll examines the public's assessments of the Biden administration's handling of the coronavirus pandemic, the impact COVID-19 has had on people's finances, and support for provisions of the latest COVID-19 relief bill. It examines the public's views of the ACA and possible next steps.

  • Potential Story Lines from Trump-Era Health Care Cuts

    Perspective

    In his latest column for the JAMA Health Forum, KFF’s Larry Levitt talks about how popular shows like “The Pitt” can make changes to the health care system stemming from this year’s federal tax and budget bill tangible for viewers, and offers some suggested story lines.

  • No Easy Choices: 5 Options to Respond to Per Capita Caps

    Issue Brief

    Under a per capita cap, per enrollee spending would be capped, but the total amount of federal dollars to states could vary with enrollment changes and states would not be able to impose enrollment caps. Faced with restrictions in federal financing, states would have to make hard choices. This brief outlines the key measures states could use to manage their budgets and the associated challenges under a per capita cap: raise taxes or make other cuts, reduce benefits, limit coverage of high cost enrollees, reduce rates or implement delivery system reforms, and promote personal responsibility. Each option has challenges that are identified in the brief.

  • Current Flexibility in Medicaid: An Overview of Federal Standards and State Options

    Issue Brief

    The Trump Administration and new Congress have indicated that they will seek to cap Medicaid financing through a block grant or per capita cap, reduce federal funding for the program, and offer states increased flexibility to manage their programs within this more limited financing structure. The size of the federal reductions as well as which federal program standards would remain in place and what increased flexibility might be provided to states under such proposals would have significant implications. To help inform discussion around increased flexibility, this brief provides an overview of current federal standards and state options in Medicaid and how states have responded to these options in four key areas: eligibility, benefits, premiums and cost sharing, and provider payments and delivery systems.