State Budgets - Research and Data from KFF

States Expect Medicaid Enrollment and Spending to Increase by Over 8 Percent Each in FY 2021, Primarily Driven By a Slumping Economy and Federal Conditions to Maintain Eligibility to Access Enhanced Federal Medicaid Funds

Oct 14, 2020

News Release

Following several years of declining or flat enrollment growth, states expect Medicaid enrollment and spending each to jump by more than 8 percent in fiscal year 2021, chiefly due to a slumping economy amid the pandemic and federal conditions to maintain coverage to access enhanced federal matching funds, according to a new KFF Medicaid budget…

Medicaid Enrollment & Spending Growth: FY 2020 & 2021

Oct 14, 2020

Issue Brief

This brief analyzes Medicaid enrollment and spending trends for FY 2020 and FY 2021 based on data provided by state Medicaid directors as part of the 20th annual survey of Medicaid directors in states across the country and the District of Columbia. After relatively flat enrollment growth in FY 2020, states responding to the survey expect Medicaid enrollment to jump in FY 2021, attributed to the Families First Coronavirus Response Act “maintenance of eligibility” (MOE) requirements and to the economic downturn that started late in FY 2020. Across all reporting states, states were anticipating that total Medicaid spending growth would accelerate in FY 2021 compared to FY 2020. Enrollment was the primary factor identified as putting upward pressure on expenditure growth in FY 2021.

Temporary Enhanced Federal Medicaid Funding Can Soften the Economic Blow of the COVID-19 Pandemic on States, but is Unlikely to Fully Offset State Revenue Declines or Forestall Budget Shortfalls

Jul 22, 2020

News Release

The temporary boost in federal Medicaid funding enacted as part of the Families First Coronavirus Response Act (FFCRA) will soften the economic blow of COVID-19 on states, but is unlikely to fully offset state revenue declines or forestall budget shortfalls stemming from the pandemic, finds a new KFF analysis. The 6.

How Much Fiscal Relief Can States Expect From the Temporary Increase in the Medicaid FMAP?

Jul 22, 2020

Issue Brief

This brief examines how much fiscal relief states can expect from the increase in the Medicaid FMAP under FFCRA under different assumptions about the duration of the relief, how the FMAP increase provides broad fiscal relief to states and the factors that affect how much relief is available across states.

State Medicaid Management of Prescription Drugs for HIV Treatment and Prevention

Jun 4, 2020

Issue Brief

This data note, primarily based on a survey of state Medicaid pharmacies, reviews cost-containment policies and protections as they relate to antiretrovirals for treatment and prevention of HIV.

As People Lose Jobs Due to the Coronavirus Crisis and Enroll in Medicaid, Survey Finds States Anticipate Medicaid Budget Shortfalls

May 15, 2020

News Release

Many states that shared budget projections in response to a new KFF survey of state Medicaid officials report that they expect to see Medicaid budget shortfalls due to rising Medicaid spending and enrollment as people lose jobs amid the coronavirus pandemic and more people enroll in the government health insurance program for low-income people.

Early Look at Medicaid Spending and Enrollment Trends Amid COVID-19

May 15, 2020

Issue Brief

The coronavirus pandemic has generated both a public health crisis and an economic crisis, with major implications for Medicaid, a countercyclical program. During economic downturns, more people enroll in Medicaid, increasing program spending at the same time state tax revenues may be falling. To help support states as enrollment in Medicaid grows and ensure existing enrollees maintain continuous coverage, the Families First Coronavirus Response Act (FFCRA) authorized a 6.2 percentage point increase in the federal match rate (“FMAP”) (retroactive to January 1, 2020) available if states meet certain “maintenance of eligibility” (MOE) requirements. This brief provides some early insights into the current picture of Medicaid spending and enrollment, as Congress considers providing additional fiscal relief through the federal Medicaid match rate.

How State Medicaid Programs are Managing Prescription Drug Costs: Results from a State Medicaid Pharmacy Survey for State Fiscal Years 2019 and 2020

Apr 29, 2020

Report

This report summarizes results from a Medicaid pharmacy benefit survey of all 50 states and the District of Columbia (DC) conducted by Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Management Associates in 2019.

COVID-19: Expected Implications for Medicaid and State Budgets

Apr 3, 2020

Policy Watch

Rising unemployment due to COVID-19 has implications for state budgets and Medicaid, as individuals who lose income may qualify for Medicaid or become uninsured. The magnitude of the coverage changes, as well as fiscal impact, is expected to be even greater than in the Great Recession.

The Effects of Medicaid Expansion under the ACA: Studies from January 2014 to January 2020

Mar 17, 2020

Report

This literature review summarizes findings from 404 studies of the impact of state Medicaid expansions under the ACA published between January 2014 (when the coverage provisions of the ACA went into effect) and January 2020. It includes studies, analyses, and reports published by government, research, and policy organizations using data from 2014 or later. This body of research suggests that the expansion presents an opportunity for gains in coverage, improvements in access and financial security, and economic benefits for states and providers.

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