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Did the Affordable Care Act Make Health Care More Affordable?

The expiration of the ACA’s enhanced premium tax credits at the start of 2026, combined with rising insurer premiums, put a spotlight on health care affordability that extends beyond Marketplace enrollees. KFF’s Cynthia Cox examines the ACA’s record and the broader underlying question it raises: what’s a fair price for Americans people to pay for health care?

The ACA MarketplaceS

In Preliminary Rate Filings, ACA Marketplace Insurers Largely Propose Double-Digit Premium Increase For 2027, Following a Steep Climb This Year 

ACA Marketplace insurers are proposing a median premium increase of 14% for 2027— indicating a likely second consecutive year of double-digit increases, according to a new analysis of preliminary rate filings in 16 states and DC. If these increases hold, typical premiums for insurers participating in the ACA Marketplaces would jump by more than one-third between 2025 and 2027.

The Average Marketplace Deductible Grew by About $1,000 Per Person in 2026, With More Enrollees Shifting to Higher-Deductible Plans as Enhanced Tax Credits Expired

The average Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplace deductible experienced the steepest increase in history—growing by 37% or over $1,000, from $2,759 in 2025 to $3,786 in 2026 as enhanced premium tax credits expired, according to a new KFF analysis. After the enhanced tax credits ended, many Marketplace shoppers shifted toward lower-premium, higher-deductible plans.

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  • Quick Take: Timing Matters: States Waiting for a Supreme Court Decision to Plan an Exchange

    Fact Sheet

    State-based health insurance exchanges are an important component of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) designed to extend subsidized private health insurance coverage to millions of Americans by 2014. Though projections show exchange enrollment could grow to 20 million individuals nationally, aggressive planning on the part of states will be necessary to meet implementation timelines—exchanges must be fully operational by January 1, 2014 and the Department of Health and Human Services will begin…

  • Quick Take: Essential Health Benefits: What Have States Decided for Their Benchmark?

    Fact Sheet

    Beginning on January 1, 2014, the Affordable Care Act (ACA) requires that all non-grandfathered individual and small group health insurance plans sold in a state, including those offered through an Exchange, cover certain essential health benefits (EHBs). As it stands today, many plans offered in the individual and small group markets lack access to key benefits; the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) estimates that 62% of health plan enrollees in the individual market…

  • The Symbolic Manipulation of Health Issues in Elections

    From Drew Altman

    KFF President and CEO Drew Altman explains why data and facts, policy plans and lists of accomplishments do not connect with many voters. Understanding the symbolic dimensions of politics and issues is critical for experts. We can reach a share of the public with facts and data but need additional strategies to reach everyone, including storytelling and trusted messengers.

  • An image of text is an excerpt from Cynthia Cox's quick take which reads, "While the Trump administration attributes this drop in enrollment to their attempts to address fraud, this coverage loss happened at the same time millions of people faced steep increases in their premium payments — often in the double or even triple digits — with the expiration of enhanced tax credits."

    ACA Marketplace Enrollment Is Down By 3 Million After Big Jump in Premium Payments

    Quick Insights

    Enrollment dropped 13% following the expiration of enhanced premium tax credits at the beginning of this year. Enrollment fell from a high of 22.1 million people in 2025 to 19.2 million people in February 2026. While the Trump administration attributes this drop in enrollment to their attempts to address fraud, this coverage loss happened at the same time millions of people faced steep increases in their premium payments – often in the double or even…

  • KFF Examines Challenges in Navigating Coverage for Opill, the First Over-the-Counter Daily Oral Contraceptive Pill, Coming to Market Next Year 

    News Release

    As Opill—the first over-the-counter daily oral contraceptive pill in the United States—is expected to be available for purchase in early 2024, new research conducted by KFF examines barriers to its accessibility for consumers and challenges in providing insurance coverage for it. Based on interviews with nearly 80 representatives from private insurance plans, state Medicaid programs, chain pharmacies, and other key groups, the report provides a deeper view into the operational challenges in expanding access to…

  • ¿Qué debo hacer para prepararme para renovar Medicaid?

    FAQs

    Debe comunicarse con la agencia estatal de Medicaid para asegurarse que su dirección postal, dirección de correo electrónico y número de teléfono registrados estén actualizados. Dependiendo de su estado, es posible que pueda actualizar esta información a través de su cuenta en línea.

  • Recibí un aviso por correo de la agencia de Medicaid en mi estado sobre la renovación de la cobertura. ¿Qué sigue?

    FAQs

    Complete los formularios requeridos y envíe la información solicitada antes de la fecha límite indicada en el aviso. Si necesita ayuda, los navegadores y otros asistentes en cada estado pueden ayudarlo a completar los formularios, reunir los documentos necesarios y responder otras preguntas. En los estados que usan cuidadodesalud.gov, puede encontrar información de contacto de navegadores y asistentes aquí.

  • Me notificaron que no era elegible para Medicaid, pero creo que esta decisión es un error. ¿Con quién debo comunicarme con respecto a este problema?

    FAQs

    Puede apelar si cree que su decisión de elegibilidad fue equivocada. La información sobre los derechos de apelación y audiencia imparcial, y cómo presentar una apelación, debe incluirse en el aviso que recibió informándole que su cobertura de Medicaid había terminado. Si esa información no era clara o no estaba incluida en el aviso, comuníquese con la agencia estatal de Medicaid para preguntar sobre los pasos necesarios para presentar una apelación.

  • How Marketplace Costs and Premiums will Change if Rescue Plan Subsidies Expire

    Policy Watch

    In this Policy Watch we explore the potential impact of the expiration of the American Rescue Plan Act’s enhanced financial help and new eligibility for the Affordable Care Act’s health insurance Marketplace federal subsidies. While the COVID-19 relief legislation passed earlier this year provides greater subsidy assistance through 2022, Democrats in Congress are currently considering making the temporary federal help permanent or extending it as part of their planned budget reconciliation legislation.