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ACA Marketplace Plans Nationally Are Seeking a Median 18% Premium Increase for 2026

This analysis of insurers’ initial rate filings for Affordable Care Act Marketplace plans in all 50 states and DC finds the median proposed increase for 2026 is 18%, more than double last year’s proposed increase. The analysis also shows proposed rate changes by state and insurer.


Estimates of Additional Uninsured People Across the States

KFF Health Tracking Poll: ACA Enhanced Subsidies

From Drew Altman: Making the Marketplaces Great Again?

ACA Provisions in the 2025 Federal Budget Reconciliation Law

ACA Marketplaces

From Drew Altman: The Spotlight Is on Medicaid Cuts, But the ACA Marketplaces Could See a One-Third Cut in Enrollment

President and CEO Drew Altman shows how proposals contained in the House reconciliation bill could result in a one-third reduction in ACA Marketplace enrollment. “While all eyes are on the big Medicaid cuts being proposed in the House,” he writes, “significant changes are also being proposed that together would dramatically reduce enrollment in the ACA Marketplaces.”

ANALYSIS

Marketplace Enrollees with Unpredictable Incomes Could Face Bigger Penalties Under Reconciliation Bill

Analysis

Early Insights: Enhanced Premium Tax Credits and 2026 Marketplace Premiums

Policy Watch

Explaining Cost-Sharing Reductions and Silver Loading in ACA Marketplaces

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  • New Evidence Health Spending Is Growing Faster Again

    From Drew Altman

    In this column for The Wall Street Journal’s Think Tank, Drew Altman discusses new Census Department survey data showing higher health spending growth over the last four economic quarters, and raises the question: is the health spending slowdown over?

  • The ACA and People with HIV: Profiles from the Field

    Issue Brief

    This brief provides profiles of twelve individuals living with HIV to offer an in-depth look at how the Affordable Care Act (ACA) has affected their healthcare and coverage. Participants live in California, Florida, Georgia, New York, and Texas and discuss their enrollment and coverage experience, including whether they got new coverage (in the Marketplace or Medicaid), how their HIV care has been affected, and the role of the Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program.

  • How Have State Medicaid Expansion Decisions Affected the Experiences of Low-Income Adults? Perspectives from Ohio, Arkansas, and Missouri

    Issue Brief

    This brief examines the experiences of low-income adults in three states that have made varied Medicaid expansion decisions: Ohio, which adopted the ACA Medicaid expansion, Arkansas which implemented the Medicaid expansion through a “Private Option” waiver, and Missouri, which has not adopted the expansion. While Arkansas and Ohio implemented the expansion in different ways, participants in both states described how obtaining coverage improved their ability to access care, contributing to improvements in their ability to work and family relationships. In contrast, participants in Missouri remained uninsured limiting their ability to obtain needed care, creating significant stress and anxiety in their lives, and interfering with their ability to work and care for their families.

  • King v. Burwell and Media Coverage

    From Drew Altman

    In this column for The Wall Street Journal’s Think Tank, Drew Altman lays out the news media’s challenge covering the upcoming Supreme Court King v. Burwell decision about the ACA.

  • How Have Insurers Fared Under the Affordable Care Act?

    Perspective

    This analysis tracks the financial performance of insurers in the individual market by evaluating trends in the medical loss ratio (MLR) in the pre-ACA landscape from 2010 to 2013 and estimates the MLR for the first full year of Affordable Care Act implementation in 2014. Findings suggest that although performance varied among insurers, insurers overall had roughly comparable financial performance in 2014 as in recent prior years.

  • State-by-State Effects of a Ruling for the Challengers in King v. Burwell

    Interactive

    A map and table showing the number of people now receiving premium subsidies who would lose them if the Court finds for the challengers; the total amount of federal subsidy dollars; the average subsidy (or average premium tax credit) that subsidized enrollees have qualified for; and the average increase in premiums that subsidized enrollees would face if the subsidies are disallowed.