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Medicaid Watch

Featuring policy research, polling and news about how Medicaid is changing, and the impact of those changes due to the tax and spending cuts law

budget reconciliation

Map shows the percentage point increase in the uninsured population due to the budget reconciliation package based on CBO estimates, by state. An Additional 10M People Nationwide Could be Uninsured in 2034 Due to the Budget Reconciliation Law

How Will the 2025 Reconciliation Law Affect the Uninsured Rate in Each State?

This analysis apportions the increase in the number of uninsured across the 50 states and DC. CBO estimates that the reconciliation law will increase the number of uninsured by 10 million in 2034. That number would rise to over 14 million if enhanced premium tax credits for ACA Marketplace enrollees expire later this year.

MEDICAID CUTS

Medicaid and work

Understanding the Intersection of Medicaid and Work

Data show that, in 2023, 92% of Medicaid adults were either working full or part-time (64%), or were not working due to barriers to work such as caregiving responsibilities, illness or disability, or school attendance -- reasons that counted as qualifying exemptions from the work requirements under previous policies.

understanding medicaid

5 Facts: Medicaid and Immigrants

Confusion persists about immigrants’ eligibility for federal programs. This brief helps readers understand how current Medicaid policy affects immigrants as well as the potential impacts of policy changes under the Trump administration.

5 Facts: Medicaid and Rural Areas

Approximately 66 million people live in rural areas – about 20% of the U.S. population. Nearly 1 in 4 of them have Medicaid, a higher share than in urban areas (24% vs 21%).

5 Facts: Medicaid and Hospitals

Absorbing reductions in Medicaid spending could be challenging for hospitals, particularly for those that are financially vulnerable. This brief provides data on the reach of Medicaid across hospitals, patients, and charity care.

5 Facts: Provider Taxes

All states except Alaska cover some state Medicaid costs with taxes on health care providers. This brief uses data from KFF’s 2024-2025 survey of Medicaid directors to describe current practices and the federal rules governing them.

5 Facts: Nursing Facilities

Amid debates about federal Medicaid cuts, which could cause states to lower Medicaid reimbursement rates for nursing facilities, this brief explains how Medicaid supports nursing facilities and the people living in them.

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  • 5 Key Facts About Medicaid Expansion

    Issue Brief

    This issue brief examines Medicaid expansion enrollment and Medicaid spending in expansion and non-expansion states and describes the characteristics of adults covered by the Medicaid expansion.

  • Understanding Fraud and Abuse in Medicaid

    Event Date:
    Event

    As Congress considers ways to help pay for extending tax cuts, some lawmakers have suggested that hundreds of billions of dollars in federal savings could be achieved by addressing fraud, waste and abuse in the Medicaid program. Three experts joined Health Wonk Shop series moderator Larry Levitt in an hour-long discussion designed to unpack claims about fraud and abuse and put them in a larger context.

  • How States Verify Citizenship and Immigration Status in Medicaid

    Issue Brief

    This brief describes federal citizenship and immigration status eligibility and eligibility verification requirements for Medicaid. Eligibility for federally-funded coverage under Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program is limited to U.S. citizens and certain lawfully present immigrants.

  • 10 Things to Know About Rural Hospitals

    Issue Brief

    This brief explores data about rural hospitals’ financial health and stability at a time when Congress is considering potential federal budget cuts. It examines the prevalence of rural hospitals, their characteristics and finances, federal support for these facilities, and the potential impact of reductions in Medicaid and Medicare spending that are under consideration.

  • The Debate About Enhanced Premium Tax Credits Begins to Emerge (Finally)

    From Drew Altman

    In his latest column, president and CEO Drew Altman discusses why debate about extending the ACA enhanced tax credits set to expire this year has been slow to develop, and why it could matter to Republicans politically if the tax credits are not extended.

  • 5 Key Facts About Medicaid Coverage for Adults with Chronic Conditions

    Issue Brief

    Nearly three in four adults enrolled in Medicaid have one or more chronic conditions. Medicaid spending doubles for adults with 1-2 chronic conditions and quadruples for those with 3 or more chronic conditions. Low or no out-of-pocket costs for prescription medications in the Medicaid program help adults with chronic conditions avoid cost-related rationing or delays in prescription access. Uninsured adults were 2.5 times more likely than Medicaid-enrolled or privately insured adults to report skipping or delaying prescription medications due to cost.

  • What Role Do Immigrants Play in The Direct Long-Term Care Workforce?

    Issue Brief

    To increase understanding of how shifting immigration policies may affect the direct care workforce providing long-term care services, this data note uses the 2023 American Community Survey (ACS) to provide an overview of the role that immigrants play in the direct care workforce for long-term care (LTC) services