How Much is Health Spending Expected to Grow?
This updated chart collection explores how health spending is expected to grow in coming years, based on National Health Expenditure (NHE) projections from federal actuaries.
Health spending is projected to reach $5.6 trillion in 2025, with hospitals making up the largest share of spending ($1.8 trillion). By 2033, health spending is expected to hit $8.6 trillion.
These projections do not account for recent regulatory changes under the Trump Administration, nor do they account for recent legislative changes in the tax and budget law (formerly “the One Big, Beautiful Bill Act”), which the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) expects to decrease spending on Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act (ACA) Marketplaces by over a trillion dollars through 2034.
The analysis can be found on the Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker, an information hub dedicated to monitoring and assessing the performance of the U.S. health system.
