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Trends and Indicators in the Changing Health Care Marketplace
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Exhibit 1.3: Percent Annual Increase in National Health Expenditures (NHE) per Capita vs. Increase in Consumer Price Index (CPI), 1980-2004
Growth in U.S. per capita health spending has been higher than the growth in the CPI since 1980. Changes in per capita health spending have for the most part corresponded to changes in CPI growth. Per capita health spending growth and CPI increases deviated from each other from 2000 to 2002 as per capita health spending growth accelerated and CPI increases declined. However, in 2004, per capita health spending growth dropped to 6.8% after peaking at a 12-year high of 8.0% in 2002, while CPI growth rose from 1.6% in 2002 to 2.7% in 2004.
 
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Notes: With the 2004 estimates, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) incorporated new concepts, methods, and data sources in the National Health Expenditure Accounts and revised the entire time series back to 1960. According to CMS, the most important revisions were the introduction of estimates of investment in medical equipment and software, expanded estimates of investment in medical-sector structures, and the use of updated data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2002 Economic Census and other sources. Overall, these changes raised the estimates of health spending 3-4% for nearly all years prior to 2004.

Source: Kaiser Family Foundation calculations using NHE data from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group, at http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/ (see Historical; NHE summary including share of GDP, CY 1960-2004; file nhegdp04.zip), and CPI data from Bureau of Labor Statistics at ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/special.requests/cpi/cpiai.txt (All Urban Consumers, All Items, 1982-1984=100, Not Seasonally Adjusted, U.S. city average).

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Trends and Indicators in the Changing Health Care Marketplace
Information provided by the Health Care Marketplace Project.

Publication Number: 7031
Information Updated: 02/08/06

 

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